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2021-05-04

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The stock market is ‘inching toward euphoria’, warn analysts at BofA<blockquote>美国银行分析师警告称，股市正在“逐渐走向兴奋”</blockquote>

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{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"detailType":1,"isChannel":false,"data":{"magic":2,"id":106138412,"tweetId":"106138412","gmtCreate":1620092250336,"gmtModify":1634207888368,"author":{"id":3555033693588783,"idStr":"3555033693588783","authorId":3555033693588783,"authorIdStr":"3555033693588783","name":"Mookey","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"userType":1,"introduction":"","boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[],"fanSize":10,"starInvestorFlag":false},"themes":[],"images":[],"coverImages":[],"extraTitle":"","html":"<html><head></head><body>Like and comment please</body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body>Like and comment please</body></html>","text":"Like and comment please","highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/106138412","repostId":1144893737,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1144893737","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1620092033,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1144893737?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-04 09:33","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The stock market is ‘inching toward euphoria’, warn analysts at BofA<blockquote>美国银行分析师警告称，股市正在“逐渐走向兴奋”</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1144893737","media":"Market Wacth","summary":"Fear that the equity-markets are getting a bit too ebullient is starting to emerge in a number of re","content":"Fear that the equity-markets are getting a bit too ebullient is starting to emerge in a number of research reports as stocks trade near record levels.<blockquote>随着股市交易接近创纪录水平，许多研究报告开始出现对股市变得有点过于热情的担忧。</blockquote>The crew at BofA Global Research advocated for caution in a Monday report titled, “Inching toward euphoria,” amid a rebound from the COVID pandemic that has sent one indicator to a 13-year peak as bullishness grips the U.S. market.<blockquote>美国银行全球研究部（BofA Global Research）的工作人员在周一题为“逐渐走向欣快”的报告中主张谨慎行事，因为美国市场的看涨情绪已使一项指标升至13年来的峰值。</blockquote>“The Sell Side Indicator, which&nbsp;tracks&nbsp;the&nbsp;average&nbsp;recommended equity allocation by sell-side strategists, rose for the&nbsp;fourth&nbsp;consecutive&nbsp;month to 59.8% from 59.4%, a 13-year high,” wrote the analysts.<blockquote>分析师写道：“跟踪卖方策略师平均推荐股票配置的卖方指标连续第四个月从59.4%升至59.8%，创13年新高。”</blockquote>BofA researchers led by star analyst Savita Subramanian say that the firm’s sell-indicator, which they describe as a reliable contrarian indicator, is flashing a warning sign if not a sell signal.<blockquote>由明星分析师萨维塔·萨勃拉曼尼亚(Savita Subramanian)领导的美国银行研究人员表示，该公司的卖出指标（他们将其描述为可靠的逆向指标）即使不是卖出信号，也在闪烁警告信号。</blockquote>“Increasingly euphoric sentiment is a&nbsp;driver of&nbsp;our&nbsp;more&nbsp;cautious outlook&nbsp;as&nbsp;we believe that&nbsp;vaccine&nbsp;deployment,&nbsp;economic reopening,&nbsp;stimulus,&nbsp;etc. are&nbsp;largely priced in,” the analysts wrote.<blockquote>分析师写道：“日益乐观的情绪是我们更加谨慎前景的驱动因素，因为我们认为疫苗部署、经济重新开放、刺激措施等已在很大程度上被定价。”</blockquote>The researchers note that there hasn’t been a 5% retreat in the broader market in the past six months even though such pullbacks tend to happen at least three times on average during a calendar year. The strategists also note that the market hasn’t seen a 10% retreat in stocks in the past 14 months. Pullbacks of that magnitude tend to occur at least once a year.<blockquote>研究人员指出，在过去的六个月里，大盘并没有出现5%的回调，尽管这种回调往往在一个日历年中平均至少发生三次。策略师还指出，在过去14个月里，市场股市没有出现10%的下跌。这种幅度的回调往往每年至少发生一次。</blockquote>All that said, BofA’s team noted the indicators aren’t quite triggering a “sell” signal yet, even though the group’s sell-side indicator hasn’t been this high since May of 2007, which followed a 7% tumble in stocks back then.<blockquote>尽管如此，美国银行的团队指出，这些指标还没有完全触发“抛售”信号，尽管该集团的抛售指标自2007年5月以来就没有这么高，此前该集团的抛售指标在当时股市下跌7%之后一直没有这么高。</blockquote>Subramanian and team, however, believe that this time around “tepid” rather than negative returns are likely ahead.<blockquote>然而，Subramanian和他的团队认为，这一次可能会出现“不温不火”而不是负回报。</blockquote>“While encouraging, the current level is forecasting 12-[month] returns of just 6%, a much weaker outlook compared with an average 12m forecast of 14% since the end of the Global Financial Crisis,” the analysts note, adding this bit of a disclaimer: “However, past performance is not an indication of future results.”<blockquote>分析师指出：“虽然令人鼓舞，但目前的水平预测12个月的回报率仅为6%，与全球金融危机结束以来1200万人14%的平均预测相比，前景要弱得多。”免责声明：“然而，过去的表现并不代表未来的结果。”</blockquote>BofA’s note comes also as Stifel’s head of institutional equity strategy, BarryBannister also recommends a cautious approach to investing, while also predicting that the S&amp;P 500 is headed for a performance that could see it flat to down 5% to 10% for the next few months.<blockquote>美国银行的报告发布之际，Stifel的机构股票策略主管BarryBannister也建议采取谨慎的投资态度，同时还预测标普500的表现可能会在未来几个月内持平或下跌5%至10%。</blockquote>Meanwhile, stocks were storming higher, with the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,+0.70%,the S&amp;P 500 indexSPX,+0.27%and the Nasdaq Composite IndexCOMP,-0.48%all kicking off trade inMay on a much higher note.<blockquote>与此同时，股市大幅走高，道琼斯工业平均指数DJIA上涨0.70%，标普500指数SPX上涨0.27%，纳斯达克综合指数COMP上涨-0.48%，5月份交易均以更高的价格开始。</blockquote>","source":"lsy1604288433698","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe stock market is ‘inching toward euphoria’, warn analysts at BofA<blockquote>美国银行分析师警告称，股市正在“逐渐走向兴奋”</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\nMarket Wacth2021-05-04 09:33\n\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\nFear that the equity-markets are getting a bit too ebullient is starting to emerge in a number of research reports as stocks trade near record levels.<blockquote>随着股市交易接近创纪录水平，许多研究报告开始出现对股市变得有点过于热情的担忧。</blockquote>The crew at BofA Global Research advocated for caution in a Monday report titled, “Inching toward euphoria,” amid a rebound from the COVID pandemic that has sent one indicator to a 13-year peak as bullishness grips the U.S. market.<blockquote>美国银行全球研究部（BofA Global Research）的工作人员在周一题为“逐渐走向欣快”的报告中主张谨慎行事，因为美国市场的看涨情绪已使一项指标升至13年来的峰值。</blockquote>“The Sell Side Indicator, which&nbsp;tracks&nbsp;the&nbsp;average&nbsp;recommended equity allocation by sell-side strategists, rose for the&nbsp;fourth&nbsp;consecutive&nbsp;month to 59.8% from 59.4%, a 13-year high,” wrote the analysts.<blockquote>分析师写道：“跟踪卖方策略师平均推荐股票配置的卖方指标连续第四个月从59.4%升至59.8%，创13年新高。”</blockquote>BofA researchers led by star analyst Savita Subramanian say that the firm’s sell-indicator, which they describe as a reliable contrarian indicator, is flashing a warning sign if not a sell signal.<blockquote>由明星分析师萨维塔·萨勃拉曼尼亚(Savita Subramanian)领导的美国银行研究人员表示，该公司的卖出指标（他们将其描述为可靠的逆向指标）即使不是卖出信号，也在闪烁警告信号。</blockquote>“Increasingly euphoric sentiment is a&nbsp;driver of&nbsp;our&nbsp;more&nbsp;cautious outlook&nbsp;as&nbsp;we believe that&nbsp;vaccine&nbsp;deployment,&nbsp;economic reopening,&nbsp;stimulus,&nbsp;etc. are&nbsp;largely priced in,” the analysts wrote.<blockquote>分析师写道：“日益乐观的情绪是我们更加谨慎前景的驱动因素，因为我们认为疫苗部署、经济重新开放、刺激措施等已在很大程度上被定价。”</blockquote>The researchers note that there hasn’t been a 5% retreat in the broader market in the past six months even though such pullbacks tend to happen at least three times on average during a calendar year. The strategists also note that the market hasn’t seen a 10% retreat in stocks in the past 14 months. Pullbacks of that magnitude tend to occur at least once a year.<blockquote>研究人员指出，在过去的六个月里，大盘并没有出现5%的回调，尽管这种回调往往在一个日历年中平均至少发生三次。策略师还指出，在过去14个月里，市场股市没有出现10%的下跌。这种幅度的回调往往每年至少发生一次。</blockquote>All that said, BofA’s team noted the indicators aren’t quite triggering a “sell” signal yet, even though the group’s sell-side indicator hasn’t been this high since May of 2007, which followed a 7% tumble in stocks back then.<blockquote>尽管如此，美国银行的团队指出，这些指标还没有完全触发“抛售”信号，尽管该集团的抛售指标自2007年5月以来就没有这么高，此前该集团的抛售指标在当时股市下跌7%之后一直没有这么高。</blockquote>Subramanian and team, however, believe that this time around “tepid” rather than negative returns are likely ahead.<blockquote>然而，Subramanian和他的团队认为，这一次可能会出现“不温不火”而不是负回报。</blockquote>“While encouraging, the current level is forecasting 12-[month] returns of just 6%, a much weaker outlook compared with an average 12m forecast of 14% since the end of the Global Financial Crisis,” the analysts note, adding this bit of a disclaimer: “However, past performance is not an indication of future results.”<blockquote>分析师指出：“虽然令人鼓舞，但目前的水平预测12个月的回报率仅为6%，与全球金融危机结束以来1200万人14%的平均预测相比，前景要弱得多。”免责声明：“然而，过去的表现并不代表未来的结果。”</blockquote>BofA’s note comes also as Stifel’s head of institutional equity strategy, BarryBannister also recommends a cautious approach to investing, while also predicting that the S&amp;P 500 is headed for a performance that could see it flat to down 5% to 10% for the next few months.<blockquote>美国银行的报告发布之际，Stifel的机构股票策略主管BarryBannister也建议采取谨慎的投资态度，同时还预测标普500的表现可能会在未来几个月内持平或下跌5%至10%。</blockquote>Meanwhile, stocks were storming higher, with the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,+0.70%,the S&amp;P 500 indexSPX,+0.27%and the Nasdaq Composite IndexCOMP,-0.48%all kicking off trade inMay on a much higher note.<blockquote>与此同时，股市大幅走高，道琼斯工业平均指数DJIA上涨0.70%，标普500指数SPX上涨0.27%，纳斯达克综合指数COMP上涨-0.48%，5月份交易均以更高的价格开始。</blockquote>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-stock-market-is-inching-toward-euphoria-warn-analysts-at-bofa-11620051606?mod=home-page\">Market Wacth</a>\n为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-stock-market-is-inching-toward-euphoria-warn-analysts-at-bofa-11620051606?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1144893737","content_text":"Fear that the equity-markets are getting a bit too ebullient is starting to emerge in a number of research reports as stocks trade near record levels.The crew at BofA Global Research advocated for caution in a Monday report titled, “Inching toward euphoria,” amid a rebound from the COVID pandemic that has sent one indicator to a 13-year peak as bullishness grips the U.S. market.“The Sell Side Indicator, which tracks the average recommended equity allocation by sell-side strategists, rose for the fourth consecutive month to 59.8% from 59.4%, a 13-year high,” wrote the analysts.BofA researchers led by star analyst Savita Subramanian say that the firm’s sell-indicator, which they describe as a reliable contrarian indicator, is flashing a warning sign if not a sell signal.“Increasingly euphoric sentiment is a driver of our more cautious outlook as we believe that vaccine deployment, economic reopening, stimulus, etc. are largely priced in,” the analysts wrote.The researchers note that there hasn’t been a 5% retreat in the broader market in the past six months even though such pullbacks tend to happen at least three times on average during a calendar year. The strategists also note that the market hasn’t seen a 10% retreat in stocks in the past 14 months. Pullbacks of that magnitude tend to occur at least once a year.All that said, BofA’s team noted the indicators aren’t quite triggering a “sell” signal yet, even though the group’s sell-side indicator hasn’t been this high since May of 2007, which followed a 7% tumble in stocks back then.Subramanian and team, however, believe that this time around “tepid” rather than negative returns are likely ahead.“While encouraging, the current level is forecasting 12-[month] returns of just 6%, a much weaker outlook compared with an average 12m forecast of 14% since the end of the Global Financial Crisis,” the analysts note, adding this bit of a disclaimer: “However, past performance is not an indication of future results.”BofA’s note comes also as Stifel’s head of institutional equity strategy, BarryBannister also recommends a cautious approach to investing, while also predicting that the S&P 500 is headed for a performance that could see it flat to down 5% to 10% for the next few months.Meanwhile, stocks were storming higher, with the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,+0.70%,the S&P 500 indexSPX,+0.27%and the Nasdaq Composite IndexCOMP,-0.48%all kicking off trade inMay on a much higher note.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":765,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":20,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/106138412"}