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2021-05-04

BAD WEEK!!!

"It Could Get Weird": Stocks Puke As "Extreme" Negative Gamma Strikes<blockquote>“事情可能会变得奇怪”：随着“极端”负面伽马来袭，股市呕吐</blockquote>

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{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"detailType":1,"isChannel":false,"data":{"magic":2,"id":106499278,"tweetId":"106499278","gmtCreate":1620137530594,"gmtModify":1634207536725,"author":{"id":3577508443886467,"idStr":"3577508443886467","authorId":3577508443886467,"authorIdStr":"3577508443886467","name":"kamaboboko","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/494950ef9791f7c07f131aa8cb9ee86d","vip":1,"userType":1,"introduction":"","boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[],"fanSize":0,"starInvestorFlag":false},"themes":[],"images":[],"coverImages":[],"extraTitle":"","html":"<html><head></head><body>BAD WEEK!!!</body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body>BAD WEEK!!!</body></html>","text":"BAD WEEK!!!","highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/106499278","repostId":1195636027,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1195636027","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1620137110,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1195636027?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-04 22:05","market":"us","language":"en","title":"\"It Could Get Weird\": Stocks Puke As \"Extreme\" Negative Gamma Strikes<blockquote>“事情可能会变得奇怪”：随着“极端”负面伽马来袭，股市呕吐</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1195636027","media":"zerohedge","summary":"Just like late February when we had the firstinflation scare-cum-Treasury tantrum,Tech is breaking d","content":"Just like late February when we had the firstinflation scare-cum-Treasury tantrum,Tech is breaking down, and look no further than Amazon for the evidence.<blockquote>就像二月下旬我们第一次通胀恐慌兼财政部发脾气，科技正在崩溃，只要看看亚马逊就能找到证据。</blockquote> In just the three days since reporting blowout Q1 earnings which sent its stock to a new all time high, AMZN stock is down over 9% and is on the verge of a correction. Other FAAMGs, most notably Apple which had a just as impressive quarter, are not faring any better.<blockquote>自公布井喷的第一季度盈利使其股价创下历史新高以来的短短三天内，亚马逊股价已下跌超过9%，并处于调整的边缘。其他FAAMG，尤其是苹果，其季度表现同样令人印象深刻，但情况也好不到哪里去。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c89d66b1ced8ac68b5fb3ff40b54f134\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"240\"><blockquote></blockquote> However, unlike late February when tech was monkeyhammered mostly as a result of sharply surging yields, this time there is the double whammy of deeply negative gamma.<blockquote>然而，与2月底科技股主要因收益率大幅飙升而遭受重创不同，这一次出现了深度负伽马的双重打击。</blockquote> AsSpotGamma wrote overnight, \"both SPY &amp; QQQ remain in negative gamma territory which implies higher relative volatility.\"<blockquote>AsSpotGamma隔夜写道：“SPDR标普500指数ETF和QQQ均仍处于负伽马区域，这意味着相对波动性较高。”</blockquote> Nomura's resident x-asset expert, Chalie McElligott, picks on this and in a note this morning writes that while \"there is nothing exceedingly bulky or “whale-like” by itself\", there has\"been a pick-up with broad Vol / Gamma selling from clients in recent weeks.\"The details:<blockquote>野村证券的x-asset常驻专家Chalie McElligott指出了这一点，并在今天早上的一份报告中写道，虽然“没有什么东西本身非常庞大或‘鲸鱼般’”，但有“最近几周，客户的成交量/伽马销量有所回升。”详细信息：</blockquote> <ul> <li>This has show via standard overwriter flows in singles and index, but also to the systematic strangle-selling mentioned in the press last week (which looks like the odd-lottish flows in ratios that trade ~3-4x’s a week, while there too is a separate daily overwriter program in one month straddles for example)…all of which has contributed to what has been a very “long gamma” dynamic for Dealers—and thus the “stuck” S&amp;P for about three weeks, pinging around the gravity of the big strikes at 4150-4200</li> <li>The %ile rank of the overall $Gamma magnitude across US Equities index has come-off after recent expirations (SPX / SPY consolidated now a middling 56.6%ile $Gamma / IWM 35.9%ile; EEM 37.4%ile); however,Nasdaq / QQQ’s continue to be the epicenter for how broad index movement could get weird, with -$435.8mm $Gamma which is extremely negative at just 3.8%ile</li> </ul> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0dbb4e73ce8bc66785a7aa43170b3dc3\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"648\">Needless to say, negative QQQ gamma + tech selloff = explosive combination, and as McElligott summarizes, \"with this “extreme” negative $Gamma in QQQ,we see Dealers increasingly moving into “short Gamma vs spot” territory as well(Gamma “neutral line” at 339.36 vs spot 333.55); similarly, we currently see Dealers “short Gamma vs spot” too in both IWM (226.19 “neutral line” vs 224.79 spot) and EEM (54.29 “neutral line” vs spot 53.59)\"<blockquote><ul><li>这通过单打和指数中的标准覆盖流得到了体现，也通过上周媒体中提到的系统性扼杀抛售得到了体现（这看起来像是每周交易约3-4倍的比率的奇数流，同时也有例如，一个月内单独的每日覆盖程序跨越）……所有这些都导致了交易商的“长伽马”动态——因此标准普尔指数“停滞”了大约三周，围绕4150-4200点的大罢工的严重性</li><li>在最近到期后，整个美国股票指数的整体$伽马幅度的%ile排名已经下降（SPX/SPDR标普500指数ETF合并现在为56.6%ile$伽马/IWM 35.9%ile；EEM 37.4%ile）；然而，纳斯达克/QQQ仍然是广泛指数走势可能变得奇怪的中心，其伽马值为-4.358亿美元，极负，仅为3.8%</li></ul>不用说，负面的QQQ gamma+科技抛售=爆炸性组合，正如McElligott总结的那样，“随着QQQ中这种‘极端’的负面$Gamma，我们看到交易商也越来越多地进入“空头伽马vs现货”领域（伽马“中性线”339.36 vs现货333.55）；同样，我们目前在IWM（226.19“中性线”vs 224.79现货）和EEM（54.29“中性线”vs现货53.59）中也看到交易商“做空Gamma vs现货”。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c7be1b134edacd8fc5831a10f026c1d2\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"311\">Tech's inability to breakout higher has crippled sentiment, and as the Nomura quant concludes, following what had been a strong recovery in April for the Tech sector and “Secular Growth” (aided by the stabilization in USTs and relative “bull-flattening” off the extremes of the March Rates selloff / “bear-steepening”) \"our Nomura Sector Sentiment analysis shows that WoW, we have seen Tech sector sentiment collapse (again)--with an 85.1%ile score a week ago, but today printing down at 53.9%\"<blockquote>科技股无法突破走高削弱了市场情绪，正如野村量化总结的那样，继4月份科技股强劲复苏和“长期增长”（得益于UST的稳定和相对“牛市趋于平缓”）3月份利率抛售/“熊市加剧”的极端情况）“我们的野村行业情绪分析显示，哇，我们看到科技行业情绪（再次）崩溃——一周前ile得分为85.1%，但今天降至53.9%”</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/938a77b986fc7fbbd0450254e29b7dce\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"277\">And as the tech revulsion spreads, dragging Nasdaq lower...<blockquote>随着对科技的厌恶蔓延，拖累纳斯达克走低……</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/35406354f6f369f0aa382d819a26ea4e\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"260\">... it is starting to hit broader indexesm such as the S&amp;P and Russell...<blockquote>...它开始冲击更广泛的指数，例如S&amp;P和罗素...</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d50bd11171fa55adf45caf3cf0ab389\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"285\">... which just dipped below its 50dma.<blockquote>...刚刚跌破50日均线。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5b8200d703a1c2d305811eadd35af3c3\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"227\"><blockquote></blockquote>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n\"It Could Get Weird\": Stocks Puke As \"Extreme\" Negative Gamma Strikes<blockquote>“事情可能会变得奇怪”：随着“极端”负面伽马来袭，股市呕吐</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\nzerohedge2021-05-04 22:05\n\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\nJust like late February when we had the firstinflation scare-cum-Treasury tantrum,Tech is breaking down, and look no further than Amazon for the evidence.<blockquote>就像二月下旬我们第一次通胀恐慌兼财政部发脾气，科技正在崩溃，只要看看亚马逊就能找到证据。</blockquote> In just the three days since reporting blowout Q1 earnings which sent its stock to a new all time high, AMZN stock is down over 9% and is on the verge of a correction. Other FAAMGs, most notably Apple which had a just as impressive quarter, are not faring any better.<blockquote>自公布井喷的第一季度盈利使其股价创下历史新高以来的短短三天内，亚马逊股价已下跌超过9%，并处于调整的边缘。其他FAAMG，尤其是苹果，其季度表现同样令人印象深刻，但情况也好不到哪里去。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c89d66b1ced8ac68b5fb3ff40b54f134\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"240\"><blockquote></blockquote> However, unlike late February when tech was monkeyhammered mostly as a result of sharply surging yields, this time there is the double whammy of deeply negative gamma.<blockquote>然而，与2月底科技股主要因收益率大幅飙升而遭受重创不同，这一次出现了深度负伽马的双重打击。</blockquote> AsSpotGamma wrote overnight, \"both SPY &amp; QQQ remain in negative gamma territory which implies higher relative volatility.\"<blockquote>AsSpotGamma隔夜写道：“SPDR标普500指数ETF和QQQ均仍处于负伽马区域，这意味着相对波动性较高。”</blockquote> Nomura's resident x-asset expert, Chalie McElligott, picks on this and in a note this morning writes that while \"there is nothing exceedingly bulky or “whale-like” by itself\", there has\"been a pick-up with broad Vol / Gamma selling from clients in recent weeks.\"The details:<blockquote>野村证券的x-asset常驻专家Chalie McElligott指出了这一点，并在今天早上的一份报告中写道，虽然“没有什么东西本身非常庞大或‘鲸鱼般’”，但有“最近几周，客户的成交量/伽马销量有所回升。”详细信息：</blockquote> <ul> <li>This has show via standard overwriter flows in singles and index, but also to the systematic strangle-selling mentioned in the press last week (which looks like the odd-lottish flows in ratios that trade ~3-4x’s a week, while there too is a separate daily overwriter program in one month straddles for example)…all of which has contributed to what has been a very “long gamma” dynamic for Dealers—and thus the “stuck” S&amp;P for about three weeks, pinging around the gravity of the big strikes at 4150-4200</li> <li>The %ile rank of the overall $Gamma magnitude across US Equities index has come-off after recent expirations (SPX / SPY consolidated now a middling 56.6%ile $Gamma / IWM 35.9%ile; EEM 37.4%ile); however,Nasdaq / QQQ’s continue to be the epicenter for how broad index movement could get weird, with -$435.8mm $Gamma which is extremely negative at just 3.8%ile</li> </ul> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0dbb4e73ce8bc66785a7aa43170b3dc3\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"648\">Needless to say, negative QQQ gamma + tech selloff = explosive combination, and as McElligott summarizes, \"with this “extreme” negative $Gamma in QQQ,we see Dealers increasingly moving into “short Gamma vs spot” territory as well(Gamma “neutral line” at 339.36 vs spot 333.55); similarly, we currently see Dealers “short Gamma vs spot” too in both IWM (226.19 “neutral line” vs 224.79 spot) and EEM (54.29 “neutral line” vs spot 53.59)\"<blockquote><ul><li>这通过单打和指数中的标准覆盖流得到了体现，也通过上周媒体中提到的系统性扼杀抛售得到了体现（这看起来像是每周交易约3-4倍的比率的奇数流，同时也有例如，一个月内单独的每日覆盖程序跨越）……所有这些都导致了交易商的“长伽马”动态——因此标准普尔指数“停滞”了大约三周，围绕4150-4200点的大罢工的严重性</li><li>在最近到期后，整个美国股票指数的整体$伽马幅度的%ile排名已经下降（SPX/SPDR标普500指数ETF合并现在为56.6%ile$伽马/IWM 35.9%ile；EEM 37.4%ile）；然而，纳斯达克/QQQ仍然是广泛指数走势可能变得奇怪的中心，其伽马值为-4.358亿美元，极负，仅为3.8%</li></ul>不用说，负面的QQQ gamma+科技抛售=爆炸性组合，正如McElligott总结的那样，“随着QQQ中这种‘极端’的负面$Gamma，我们看到交易商也越来越多地进入“空头伽马vs现货”领域（伽马“中性线”339.36 vs现货333.55）；同样，我们目前在IWM（226.19“中性线”vs 224.79现货）和EEM（54.29“中性线”vs现货53.59）中也看到交易商“做空Gamma vs现货”。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c7be1b134edacd8fc5831a10f026c1d2\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"311\">Tech's inability to breakout higher has crippled sentiment, and as the Nomura quant concludes, following what had been a strong recovery in April for the Tech sector and “Secular Growth” (aided by the stabilization in USTs and relative “bull-flattening” off the extremes of the March Rates selloff / “bear-steepening”) \"our Nomura Sector Sentiment analysis shows that WoW, we have seen Tech sector sentiment collapse (again)--with an 85.1%ile score a week ago, but today printing down at 53.9%\"<blockquote>科技股无法突破走高削弱了市场情绪，正如野村量化总结的那样，继4月份科技股强劲复苏和“长期增长”（得益于UST的稳定和相对“牛市趋于平缓”）3月份利率抛售/“熊市加剧”的极端情况）“我们的野村行业情绪分析显示，哇，我们看到科技行业情绪（再次）崩溃——一周前ile得分为85.1%，但今天降至53.9%”</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/938a77b986fc7fbbd0450254e29b7dce\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"277\">And as the tech revulsion spreads, dragging Nasdaq lower...<blockquote>随着对科技的厌恶蔓延，拖累纳斯达克走低……</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/35406354f6f369f0aa382d819a26ea4e\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"260\">... it is starting to hit broader indexesm such as the S&amp;P and Russell...<blockquote>...它开始冲击更广泛的指数，例如S&amp;P和罗素...</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d50bd11171fa55adf45caf3cf0ab389\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"285\">... which just dipped below its 50dma.<blockquote>...刚刚跌破50日均线。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5b8200d703a1c2d305811eadd35af3c3\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"227\"><blockquote></blockquote>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/it-could-get-weird-stocks-puke-extreme-negative-gamma-strikes?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29\">zerohedge</a>\n为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/it-could-get-weird-stocks-puke-extreme-negative-gamma-strikes?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1195636027","content_text":"Just like late February when we had the firstinflation scare-cum-Treasury tantrum,Tech is breaking down, and look no further than Amazon for the evidence.\nIn just the three days since reporting blowout Q1 earnings which sent its stock to a new all time high, AMZN stock is down over 9% and is on the verge of a correction. Other FAAMGs, most notably Apple which had a just as impressive quarter, are not faring any better.\n\nHowever, unlike late February when tech was monkeyhammered mostly as a result of sharply surging yields, this time there is the double whammy of deeply negative gamma.\nAsSpotGamma wrote overnight, \"both SPY & QQQ remain in negative gamma territory which implies higher relative volatility.\"\nNomura's resident x-asset expert, Chalie McElligott, picks on this and in a note this morning writes that while \"there is nothing exceedingly bulky or “whale-like” by itself\", there has\"been a pick-up with broad Vol / Gamma selling from clients in recent weeks.\"The details:\n\nThis has show via standard overwriter flows in singles and index, but also to the systematic strangle-selling mentioned in the press last week (which looks like the odd-lottish flows in ratios that trade ~3-4x’s a week, while there too is a separate daily overwriter program in one month straddles for example)…all of which has contributed to what has been a very “long gamma” dynamic for Dealers—and thus the “stuck” S&P for about three weeks, pinging around the gravity of the big strikes at 4150-4200\nThe %ile rank of the overall $Gamma magnitude across US Equities index has come-off after recent expirations (SPX / SPY consolidated now a middling 56.6%ile $Gamma / IWM 35.9%ile; EEM 37.4%ile); however,Nasdaq / QQQ’s continue to be the epicenter for how broad index movement could get weird, with -$435.8mm $Gamma which is extremely negative at just 3.8%ile\n\nNeedless to say, negative QQQ gamma + tech selloff = explosive combination, and as McElligott summarizes, \"with this “extreme” negative $Gamma in QQQ,we see Dealers increasingly moving into “short Gamma vs spot” territory as well(Gamma “neutral line” at 339.36 vs spot 333.55); similarly, we currently see Dealers “short Gamma vs spot” too in both IWM (226.19 “neutral line” vs 224.79 spot) and EEM (54.29 “neutral line” vs spot 53.59)\"\nTech's inability to breakout higher has crippled sentiment, and as the Nomura quant concludes, following what had been a strong recovery in April for the Tech sector and “Secular Growth” (aided by the stabilization in USTs and relative “bull-flattening” off the extremes of the March Rates selloff / “bear-steepening”) \"our Nomura Sector Sentiment analysis shows that WoW, we have seen Tech sector sentiment collapse (again)--with an 85.1%ile score a week ago, but today printing down at 53.9%\"\nAnd as the tech revulsion spreads, dragging Nasdaq lower...\n... it is starting to hit broader indexesm such as the S&P and Russell...\n... which just dipped below its 50dma.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":316,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":10,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/106499278"}