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2021-06-17
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Breaking ranks, Norway signals 4 rate hikes by mid-2022<blockquote>挪威打破惯例,暗示到2022年中期加息4次</blockquote>
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It then fell back to 10.21.</p><p><blockquote>就在挪威央行宣布政策之前,挪威货币克朗兑欧元汇率从10.15坚挺至10.12。随后回落至10.21。</blockquote></p><p> “In the light of today’s hawkish message from Norges Bank, we will revise our policy rate forecast upward,” economists at Handelsbanken wrote.</p><p><blockquote>德国商业银行的经济学家写道:“鉴于挪威央行今天发出的鹰派信息,我们将上调政策利率预测。”</blockquote></p><p> The central bank said the monetary policy committee’s revised forecasts implied a slightly faster series of rate rises towards 2024 than in previous predictions issued in March.</p><p><blockquote>央行表示,货币政策委员会修订后的预测意味着2024年的一系列加息速度将略快于3月份发布的预测。</blockquote></p><p> Part of the reason behind the accelerated timetable is a rapidly recovering economy.</p><p><blockquote>加快时间表背后的部分原因是经济快速复苏。</blockquote></p><p> Norges Bank on Thursday held its forecast for GDP growth of 3.8% in 2021, but raised its prediction for next year to 4.1% from 3.4%.</p><p><blockquote>挪威央行周四维持2021年GDP增长3.8%的预期,但将明年的预期从3.4%上调至4.1%。</blockquote></p><p> Another factor is house price inflation, which has gathered pace since Norway cut rates three times last year to combat the impact of COVID-19, contributing to a property boom as borrowers took advantage of cheap credit.</p><p><blockquote>另一个因素是房价通胀,自挪威去年三次降息以应对COVID-19的影响以来,房价通胀加速,由于借款人利用廉价信贷,导致房地产繁荣。</blockquote></p><p> While core inflation was expected to ease to 1.7% this year from 3.0% last year, below the central bank’s 2% goal, it forecast house prices would rise by 9.2% in 2021 after expanding by 4.5% in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>虽然预计今年核心通胀率将从去年的3.0%降至1.7%,低于央行2%的目标,但预计房价在2020年上涨4.5%后,将在2021年上涨9.2%。</blockquote></p><p> In a related statement on Thursday, Norway’s finance ministry said it would force banks to hold more supplementary buffer capital, 1.5% of its balance sheet instead of 1%, boosting the system’s solidity while making less capital available for lending.</p><p><blockquote>挪威财政部在周四的一份相关声明中表示,将迫使银行持有更多的补充缓冲资本,占其资产负债表的1.5%而不是1%,从而增强系统的稳健性,同时减少可用于放贷的资本。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBreaking ranks, Norway signals 4 rate hikes by mid-2022<blockquote>挪威打破惯例,暗示到2022年中期加息4次</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-17 19:32</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>* Norges Bank holds base rate at 0%</p><p><blockquote>*挪威央行将基准利率维持在0%</blockquote></p><p> * But govenor signals hikes in each of next four quarters</p><p><blockquote>*但州长表示未来四个季度每个季度都会加息</blockquote></p><p> * Likely to be first G10 central bank to hike rates</p><p><blockquote>*可能是第一个加息的G10央行</blockquote></p><p> * By contrast, no change to ultra-loose outlook for SNB</p><p><blockquote>*相比之下,瑞士央行的超宽松前景没有变化</blockquote></p><p> * U.S. Fed opened door to post-COVID policy era on Weds (Releads with news conference)</p><p><blockquote>*美联储周三打开后新冠政策时代的大门(与新闻发布会一起发布)</blockquote></p><p> OSLO, June 17 (Reuters) - Norway’s central bank said on Thursday it expected to raise interest rates four times by mid-2022 as the economy shakes off the effects of COVID-19, breaking ranks with the still ultra-loose policy outlook of counterparts in other developed nations.</p><p><blockquote>路透奥斯陆6月17日-挪威央行周四表示,随着经济摆脱COVID-19的影响,预计到2022年中期将加息四次,打破了挪威央行仍超宽松政策前景的行列。其他发达国家。</blockquote></p><p> A day after the Federal Reserve signalled U.S rates would probably rise from 2023 rather than 2024, Norges Bank’s monetary policy committee kept its key rate unchanged at a record low 0.0% but said a hike was likely in September and others soon after.</p><p><blockquote>在美联储暗示美国可能从2023年而不是2024年加息的第二天,挪威央行货币政策委员会将关键利率维持在0.0%的历史低点不变,但表示可能会在9月份加息,并在不久后加息。</blockquote></p><p> “Given the rate path we see now, rates will be raised by 0.25% in (each of) the next four quarters,” Governor Oeystein Olsen told a news conference.</p><p><blockquote>州长Oeystein Olsen在新闻发布会上表示:“鉴于我们现在看到的利率路径,未来四个季度(每个季度)利率将上调0.25%。”</blockquote></p><p> Announced delays in vaccine deliveries to Norway in the third quarter did not “shift the big picture” on the economic recovery, he added in an interview with Reuters.</p><p><blockquote>他在接受路透社采访时补充说,第三季度宣布推迟向挪威交付疫苗并没有“改变经济复苏的大局”。</blockquote></p><p> With many of the world’s central banks laying the groundwork for a post-pandemic transition to life with less stimulus, the Fed on Wednesday also opened talks on how to end its crisis-era bond-buying.</p><p><blockquote>随着全球许多央行为大流行后向减少刺激的生活过渡奠定基础,美联储周三还就如何结束危机时期的债券购买展开了谈判。</blockquote></p><p> Norges Bank looks set to be be the first of the G10 group of developed economies’ central banks to raise the cost of borrowing, however, having previously signalled a hike this year.</p><p><blockquote>然而,挪威央行似乎将成为G10发达经济体央行中第一个提高借贷成本的央行,此前挪威央行曾表示今年将加息。</blockquote></p><p> Economists polled by Reuters had been almost evenly split over whether it that would happen in September or December.</p><p><blockquote>路透社调查的经济学家对于这种情况会在9月还是12月发生几乎平分秋色。</blockquote></p><p> But few had predicted two hikes by year-end.</p><p><blockquote>但很少有人预测年底前会加息两次。</blockquote></p><p> In stark contrast, the Swiss National Bank on Thursday signalled monetary policy would stay ultra-loose for the foreseeable future, saying projected higher inflation was no reason to change course and citing a highly valued Swiss franc.</p><p><blockquote>与此形成鲜明对比的是,瑞士央行周四表示,在可预见的未来,货币政策将保持超宽松,称预计通胀上升不是改变路线的理由,并引用了瑞士法郎的高估值。</blockquote></p><p> REAL ESTATE BOOM</p><p><blockquote>房地产繁荣</blockquote></p><p> Norway’s currency, the crown, firmed to trade at 10.12 against the euro from 10.15 just before Norges Bank’s policy announcement. It then fell back to 10.21.</p><p><blockquote>就在挪威央行宣布政策之前,挪威货币克朗兑欧元汇率从10.15坚挺至10.12。随后回落至10.21。</blockquote></p><p> “In the light of today’s hawkish message from Norges Bank, we will revise our policy rate forecast upward,” economists at Handelsbanken wrote.</p><p><blockquote>德国商业银行的经济学家写道:“鉴于挪威央行今天发出的鹰派信息,我们将上调政策利率预测。”</blockquote></p><p> The central bank said the monetary policy committee’s revised forecasts implied a slightly faster series of rate rises towards 2024 than in previous predictions issued in March.</p><p><blockquote>央行表示,货币政策委员会修订后的预测意味着2024年的一系列加息速度将略快于3月份发布的预测。</blockquote></p><p> Part of the reason behind the accelerated timetable is a rapidly recovering economy.</p><p><blockquote>加快时间表背后的部分原因是经济快速复苏。</blockquote></p><p> Norges Bank on Thursday held its forecast for GDP growth of 3.8% in 2021, but raised its prediction for next year to 4.1% from 3.4%.</p><p><blockquote>挪威央行周四维持2021年GDP增长3.8%的预期,但将明年的预期从3.4%上调至4.1%。</blockquote></p><p> Another factor is house price inflation, which has gathered pace since Norway cut rates three times last year to combat the impact of COVID-19, contributing to a property boom as borrowers took advantage of cheap credit.</p><p><blockquote>另一个因素是房价通胀,自挪威去年三次降息以应对COVID-19的影响以来,房价通胀加速,由于借款人利用廉价信贷,导致房地产繁荣。</blockquote></p><p> While core inflation was expected to ease to 1.7% this year from 3.0% last year, below the central bank’s 2% goal, it forecast house prices would rise by 9.2% in 2021 after expanding by 4.5% in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>虽然预计今年核心通胀率将从去年的3.0%降至1.7%,低于央行2%的目标,但预计房价在2020年上涨4.5%后,将在2021年上涨9.2%。</blockquote></p><p> In a related statement on Thursday, Norway’s finance ministry said it would force banks to hold more supplementary buffer capital, 1.5% of its balance sheet instead of 1%, boosting the system’s solidity while making less capital available for lending.</p><p><blockquote>挪威财政部在周四的一份相关声明中表示,将迫使银行持有更多的补充缓冲资本,占其资产负债表的1.5%而不是1%,从而增强系统的稳健性,同时减少可用于放贷的资本。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/article/norway-economy-rates/update-4-breaking-ranks-norway-signals-4-rate-hikes-by-mid-2022-idUSL5N2NZ1VI\">Reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/article/norway-economy-rates/update-4-breaking-ranks-norway-signals-4-rate-hikes-by-mid-2022-idUSL5N2NZ1VI","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1160003162","content_text":"* Norges Bank holds base rate at 0%\n* But govenor signals hikes in each of next four quarters\n* Likely to be first G10 central bank to hike rates\n* By contrast, no change to ultra-loose outlook for SNB\n* U.S. Fed opened door to post-COVID policy era on Weds (Releads with news conference)\nOSLO, June 17 (Reuters) - Norway’s central bank said on Thursday it expected to raise interest rates four times by mid-2022 as the economy shakes off the effects of COVID-19, breaking ranks with the still ultra-loose policy outlook of counterparts in other developed nations.\nA day after the Federal Reserve signalled U.S rates would probably rise from 2023 rather than 2024, Norges Bank’s monetary policy committee kept its key rate unchanged at a record low 0.0% but said a hike was likely in September and others soon after.\n“Given the rate path we see now, rates will be raised by 0.25% in (each of) the next four quarters,” Governor Oeystein Olsen told a news conference.\nAnnounced delays in vaccine deliveries to Norway in the third quarter did not “shift the big picture” on the economic recovery, he added in an interview with Reuters.\nWith many of the world’s central banks laying the groundwork for a post-pandemic transition to life with less stimulus, the Fed on Wednesday also opened talks on how to end its crisis-era bond-buying.\nNorges Bank looks set to be be the first of the G10 group of developed economies’ central banks to raise the cost of borrowing, however, having previously signalled a hike this year.\nEconomists polled by Reuters had been almost evenly split over whether it that would happen in September or December.\nBut few had predicted two hikes by year-end.\nIn stark contrast, the Swiss National Bank on Thursday signalled monetary policy would stay ultra-loose for the foreseeable future, saying projected higher inflation was no reason to change course and citing a highly valued Swiss franc.\nREAL ESTATE BOOM\nNorway’s currency, the crown, firmed to trade at 10.12 against the euro from 10.15 just before Norges Bank’s policy announcement. It then fell back to 10.21.\n“In the light of today’s hawkish message from Norges Bank, we will revise our policy rate forecast upward,” economists at Handelsbanken wrote.\nThe central bank said the monetary policy committee’s revised forecasts implied a slightly faster series of rate rises towards 2024 than in previous predictions issued in March.\nPart of the reason behind the accelerated timetable is a rapidly recovering economy.\nNorges Bank on Thursday held its forecast for GDP growth of 3.8% in 2021, but raised its prediction for next year to 4.1% from 3.4%.\nAnother factor is house price inflation, which has gathered pace since Norway cut rates three times last year to combat the impact of COVID-19, contributing to a property boom as borrowers took advantage of cheap credit.\nWhile core inflation was expected to ease to 1.7% this year from 3.0% last year, below the central bank’s 2% goal, it forecast house prices would rise by 9.2% in 2021 after expanding by 4.5% in 2020.\nIn a related statement on Thursday, Norway’s finance ministry said it would force banks to hold more supplementary buffer capital, 1.5% of its balance sheet instead of 1%, boosting the system’s solidity while making less capital available for lending.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3049,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":7,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/161228904"}
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