valerie
2021-07-19
wow
Here's The Line In The Sand For The S&P 500 Today<blockquote>这是今天标普500的沙地线</blockquote>
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This is due to fairly large open interest at that strike, which also makes it first resistance this morning.<b>Key levels today are 4300, 4335 (gamma flip) to the upside, with 4240 downside support.</b></p><p><blockquote>官方伽马翻转点在4335,但我们建议使用4300作为关键的“避险”水平。这是由于那次罢工的未平仓合约相当大,这也使其成为今天早上的第一个阻力。<b>今天的关键水平是4300,4335(伽马翻转)上行,4240下行支撑。</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>We certainly see the setup for weakness today...</b>and another call to The PPT imminent...</p><p><blockquote><b>我们当然看到了今天的疲软...</b>而PPT的另一个看涨期权迫在眉睫...</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76183579b0d2cb52af80006d0658ec62\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"680\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><b>Monitoring implied volatility[IV] (ie VIX) today will be critical.</b>Any drop in IV, particularly with a break back above 4300 could lead to a very sharp rally which takes us right back to all time highs over the next few sessions. Because of this elevated volatility this is a market that likely cannot remain “flat”. If price action pauses that likely leads to a drop in IV and a short cover rally.</p><p><blockquote><b>今天监控隐含波动率[IV](即VIX)至关重要。</b>IV的任何下跌,特别是突破4300点,都可能导致非常剧烈的反弹,使我们在接下来的几个交易日中回到历史高点。由于波动性上升,这是一个可能无法保持“平稳”的市场。如果价格走势暂停,可能会导致IV下降和空头回补反弹。</blockquote></p><p> Conversely a spike in IV suggests traders are adding short protection which should lead to strong selling. We do see 4240 as the limit for downside today, with a large air pocket beneath that to 4150.</p><p><blockquote>相反,IV的飙升表明交易者正在增加空头保护,这应该会导致强劲的抛售。我们确实认为4240点是今天下行的极限,下方有一个大气穴至4150点。</blockquote></p><p> As shown below the current gamma models suggests that<b>we don’t see much positive gamma unless we return to 4400, and therefore volatility should remain high until/unless we revisit that price level.</b></p><p><blockquote>如下所示,当前的伽马模型表明<b>除非我们回到4400点,否则我们不会看到太多正伽马值,因此波动性应该会保持在高位,直到/除非我们重新审视该价格水平。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/527bbf8075f5c046470958e243b61ba2\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"820\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><b>VIX expiration is on Wednesday AM which could play in as a catalyst this week</b>. We also have the “retail short put position” that we flagged this weekend.</p><p><blockquote><b>VIX将于周三上午到期,这可能会成为本周的催化剂</b>.我们还有本周末标记的“零售空头看跌头寸”。</blockquote></p><p> Our bottom line is this:<i><b>a close above 4300 give bulls control. Beneath that level leaves markets in a “risk off” stance.</b></i></p><p><blockquote>我们的底线是:<i><b>收盘价高于4300点让多头控制局面。低于该水平将使市场处于“避险”状态。</b></i></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Here's The Line In The Sand For The S&P 500 Today<blockquote>这是今天标普500的沙地线</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHere's The Line In The Sand For The S&P 500 Today<blockquote>这是今天标普500的沙地线</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-19 20:58</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Futures are down (relatively) hard ahead of today's open with Small Caps leading the charge to the downside...</p><p><blockquote>期货在今天开盘前(相对)大幅下跌,小盘股领跌...</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8a3932b1fc7ed150d2f4f83bba31fb01\" tg-width=\"1029\" tg-height=\"588\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Notably,SpotGammapoints out that<b>we start the session in a negative gamma position.</b></p><p><blockquote>值得注意的是,SpotGamma指出<b>我们在负伽马位置开始会话。</b></blockquote></p><p> The official gamma flip points are coming in at 4335 but we suggest using 4300 as the key “risk off” level. This is due to fairly large open interest at that strike, which also makes it first resistance this morning.<b>Key levels today are 4300, 4335 (gamma flip) to the upside, with 4240 downside support.</b></p><p><blockquote>官方伽马翻转点在4335,但我们建议使用4300作为关键的“避险”水平。这是由于那次罢工的未平仓合约相当大,这也使其成为今天早上的第一个阻力。<b>今天的关键水平是4300,4335(伽马翻转)上行,4240下行支撑。</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>We certainly see the setup for weakness today...</b>and another call to The PPT imminent...</p><p><blockquote><b>我们当然看到了今天的疲软...</b>而PPT的另一个看涨期权迫在眉睫...</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76183579b0d2cb52af80006d0658ec62\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"680\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><b>Monitoring implied volatility[IV] (ie VIX) today will be critical.</b>Any drop in IV, particularly with a break back above 4300 could lead to a very sharp rally which takes us right back to all time highs over the next few sessions. Because of this elevated volatility this is a market that likely cannot remain “flat”. If price action pauses that likely leads to a drop in IV and a short cover rally.</p><p><blockquote><b>今天监控隐含波动率[IV](即VIX)至关重要。</b>IV的任何下跌,特别是突破4300点,都可能导致非常剧烈的反弹,使我们在接下来的几个交易日中回到历史高点。由于波动性上升,这是一个可能无法保持“平稳”的市场。如果价格走势暂停,可能会导致IV下降和空头回补反弹。</blockquote></p><p> Conversely a spike in IV suggests traders are adding short protection which should lead to strong selling. We do see 4240 as the limit for downside today, with a large air pocket beneath that to 4150.</p><p><blockquote>相反,IV的飙升表明交易者正在增加空头保护,这应该会导致强劲的抛售。我们确实认为4240点是今天下行的极限,下方有一个大气穴至4150点。</blockquote></p><p> As shown below the current gamma models suggests that<b>we don’t see much positive gamma unless we return to 4400, and therefore volatility should remain high until/unless we revisit that price level.</b></p><p><blockquote>如下所示,当前的伽马模型表明<b>除非我们回到4400点,否则我们不会看到太多正伽马值,因此波动性应该会保持在高位,直到/除非我们重新审视该价格水平。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/527bbf8075f5c046470958e243b61ba2\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"820\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><b>VIX expiration is on Wednesday AM which could play in as a catalyst this week</b>. We also have the “retail short put position” that we flagged this weekend.</p><p><blockquote><b>VIX将于周三上午到期,这可能会成为本周的催化剂</b>.我们还有本周末标记的“零售空头看跌头寸”。</blockquote></p><p> Our bottom line is this:<i><b>a close above 4300 give bulls control. Beneath that level leaves markets in a “risk off” stance.</b></i></p><p><blockquote>我们的底线是:<i><b>收盘价高于4300点让多头控制局面。低于该水平将使市场处于“避险”状态。</b></i></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/heres-line-sand-sp-500-today?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/heres-line-sand-sp-500-today?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1198051456","content_text":"Futures are down (relatively) hard ahead of today's open with Small Caps leading the charge to the downside...\nNotably,SpotGammapoints out thatwe start the session in a negative gamma position.\nThe official gamma flip points are coming in at 4335 but we suggest using 4300 as the key “risk off” level. This is due to fairly large open interest at that strike, which also makes it first resistance this morning.Key levels today are 4300, 4335 (gamma flip) to the upside, with 4240 downside support.\nWe certainly see the setup for weakness today...and another call to The PPT imminent...\nMonitoring implied volatility[IV] (ie VIX) today will be critical.Any drop in IV, particularly with a break back above 4300 could lead to a very sharp rally which takes us right back to all time highs over the next few sessions. Because of this elevated volatility this is a market that likely cannot remain “flat”. If price action pauses that likely leads to a drop in IV and a short cover rally.\nConversely a spike in IV suggests traders are adding short protection which should lead to strong selling. We do see 4240 as the limit for downside today, with a large air pocket beneath that to 4150.\nAs shown below the current gamma models suggests thatwe don’t see much positive gamma unless we return to 4400, and therefore volatility should remain high until/unless we revisit that price level.\nVIX expiration is on Wednesday AM which could play in as a catalyst this week. We also have the “retail short put position” that we flagged this weekend.\nOur bottom line is this:a close above 4300 give bulls control. Beneath that level leaves markets in a “risk off” stance.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":653,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":3,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/171072606"}
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