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{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"detailType":1,"isChannel":false,"data":{"magic":2,"id":172088930,"tweetId":"172088930","gmtCreate":1626920849520,"gmtModify":1631891531202,"author":{"id":3577185043030916,"idStr":"3577185043030916","authorId":3577185043030916,"authorIdStr":"3577185043030916","name":"Rontjk","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"userType":1,"introduction":"","boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[],"wearingBadges":[],"fanSize":10,"starInvestorFlag":false},"themes":[],"images":[],"coverImages":[],"title":"","extraTitle":"","html":"<html><head></head><body>Hi</body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body>Hi</body></html>","text":"Hi","highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/172088930","repostId":1144363960,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1144363960","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626877711,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1144363960?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-21 22:28","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Behind The Market's Furious Reversal: Record High Skew<blockquote>市场剧烈逆转背后：创纪录的高偏差</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1144363960","media":"zerohedge","summary":"At the end of June, when the S&P was making new all time highs day after day, and when the VIX was t","content":"At the end of June, when the S&amp;P was making new all time highs day after day, and when the VIX was touching fresh 2021 lows, we cautioned that the skew index just hit a new all time high - meaning that put options have been unusually expensive relative to at-the-money options, helping support the put-heavy VIX index. As we further added, high skew, which compares put option prices with at-the-money option prices, has reached new all-time high,&nbsp;and reflected investor perception that high volatility would return should markets sell off.<blockquote>6 月底，当标准普尔指数日复一日地创下历史新高，当 VIX 指数触及 2021 年新低时，我们警告说，倾斜指数刚刚创下历史新高——这意味着看跌期权相对于实值期权来说异常昂贵，有助于支撑以看跌期权为主的 VIX 指数。正如我们进一步补充的，将看跌期权价格与实值期权价格进行比较的高偏差已达到历史新高，并反映了投资者的看法，即如果市场抛售，高波动性将会回归。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b30d4664cf3c973cc1a86d743bcae379\" tg-width=\"746\" tg-height=\"464\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Commenting on this unusual move, we said that it shows that while on one hand traders seem complacent, they have never been more nervous that even a modest wobble in the market could start a crash. By extension,\"they have also never been more protected against a full-blown market crash.\"<blockquote>在评论这一不寻常的举动时，我们说，这表明一方面交易者似乎很自满，但他们从未像现在这样紧张，因为即使是市场的轻微波动也可能引发崩盘。推而广之，\"面对全面的市场崩盘，它们也从未像现在这样受到保护.\"</blockquote> So fast forward to the violent, if brief, air pocket (and hardly a full-blown crash) the market experienced late last week and on Monday, which saw stocks tumble the most in months... only to soar right after. In retrospect, traders have the record high skew to thank for that because while risk reversed sharply on Tuesday and continuing today, traders were fully hedged and ready to pounce.<blockquote>如此迅速地进入了上周晚些时候和周一市场经历的剧烈（尽管是短暂的）气穴（几乎不是全面崩盘），股市在几个月来跌幅最大……只是在那之后突然飙升。回想起来，交易员之所以有创纪录的高偏差，是因为尽管风险在周二急剧逆转并在今天继续，但交易员已经完全对冲并准备突袭。</blockquote> So following up on his observations from a month ago, when he first noted the record high skew, Goldman's derivatives strategist Rocky Fishman wrote that this week’s volatility pushed equity implied and realized volatility higher, with the VIX briefly hitting 25 during the day on Monday (19-Jul)...<blockquote>因此，高盛衍生品策略师洛基-菲什曼（Rocky Fishman）在一个月前首次注意到创纪录的高位偏差时写道，本周的波动性推高了股票隐含和实际波动性，VIX 指数在周一（7 月 19 日）白天短暂触及 25...</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44c28ca21fe15a17f5b7fa1e3236e5ad\" tg-width=\"651\" tg-height=\"375\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">... even if in absolute terms vol is not high: three-week SPX realized vol (12.1%) is still below year-to-date realized vol (13.4%),and Tuesday’s rally brought the VIX back under 20. More importantly,in response to record downside skew correctly implying that a sell-off would bring much higher volatility, skew has now moved even higher - at least for the S&amp;P 500.<blockquote>...即使从绝对值来看，成交量并不高： 三周 SPX 已实现成交量（12.1%）仍低于年初至今的已实现成交量（13.4%），周二的反弹使 VIX 指数回到了 20 点以下。更重要的是，为了回应创纪录的下行倾斜正确地暗示抛售将带来更高的波动性，倾斜现在已经走得更高——至少对于标普500来说是这样。</blockquote> Some more observations from Fishman: \"although Tuesday’s large SPX move and drop in implied vol has reduced vol risk premium, the VIX remains high relative to recent realized vol.\"<blockquote>Fishman 的更多观察结果： “虽然周二 SPX 的大幅波动和隐含交易量的下降降低了交易量风险溢价，但相对于最近实现的交易量，VIX 指数仍然很高”。</blockquote> Furthermore, the SPX has not had one-month realized vol as high as the current VIX level (19.7) since November - indicating that options continue to be persistently expensive,which also means that traders are hedging to outsized moves both higher and lower and any selloffs are likely to be fleeting as hedges are cashed in.<blockquote>此外，自 11 月以来，SPX 的一个月实现交易量从未达到当前 VIX 水平 (19.7)，这表明期权仍然持续昂贵，这也意味着交易员正在对冲大幅上涨和下跌，随着对冲兑现，任何抛售都可能转瞬即逝.</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/002e0c79da541efcfb85fe1e04e29088\" tg-width=\"644\" tg-height=\"397\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><blockquote></blockquote> That said, given the recent precedent for quick sell-offs to be followed quickly by low volatility, Goldman expects volatility to subside in the near term with more likelihood of a sustained increase in Q4, and a big reason for this is the persistently high index skew.<blockquote>也就是说，鉴于最近快速抛售之后很快就会出现低波动性的先例，高盛预计波动性将在短期内消退，第四季度持续增长的可能性更大，而造成这种情况的一个重要原因是指数持续偏高。</blockquote> SPX index skew continues to be at near-record levels, which we see as driven by a lack of downside sellers as much as demand for hedging.The strong reaction of the VIX to Monday’s sell-off, with the VIX up over six points at one point intraday, proved that high skew was justified - at least on a very local level....on a more persistent sell-off, it would be difficult to sustain the level of implied volatility that skew would indicate. Meanwhile, from a cross-asset standpoint, Fishman adds that if interest rates staying this low has the potential to be a catalyst for further equity upside (unless they plungetoofast), leaving the potential for near-term asymmetry in SPX potential returns that is the opposite of what option markets are implying.<blockquote>SPX 指数偏差继续处于接近创纪录水平，我们认为这是由于缺乏下行卖家造成的和对冲需求一样多。VIX 对周一的抛售反应强烈，VIX 盘中一度上涨超过 6 点、证明了高度倾斜是合理的——至少在非常局部的层面上是如此…….在更持久的抛售中，很难维持 skew 所表明的隐含波动水平。与此同时，从跨资产的角度来看，菲什曼补充说，如果利率保持在如此低的水平，就有可能成为股市进一步上涨的催化剂（除非利率暴跌也快速），这使得 SPX 潜在回报可能出现近期不对称，这与期权市场所暗示的相反。</blockquote> So how does one trade the persistently sticky record high skew? Goldman continues to like levered risk reversals as a way to take advantage of this dynamic: Sell a 17-Sep 3800-strike put (12.1% OTM) to fund 2x 4550-strike (5.2% OTM) calls for zero net premium. The trade would be subject to dollar-for-dollar losses shouldthe SPX close below the downside strike at expiration.<blockquote>那么，如何交易持续粘性的创纪录高偏差呢？高盛仍然喜欢杠杆风险逆转作为利用这种动态的一种方式：出售 9 月 17 日 3800 行使价看跌期权 (12.1% OTM)，以零净溢价为 2x 4550 行使价 (5.2% OTM) 评级提供资金。如果SPX在到期时收盘低于下行震荡，该交易将遭受美元对美元的损失。</blockquote>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Behind The Market's Furious Reversal: Record High Skew<blockquote>市场剧烈逆转背后：创纪录的高偏差</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBehind The Market's Furious Reversal: Record High Skew<blockquote>市场剧烈逆转背后：创纪录的高偏差</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\nzerohedge2021-07-21 22:28\n\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\nAt the end of June, when the S&amp;P was making new all time highs day after day, and when the VIX was touching fresh 2021 lows, we cautioned that the skew index just hit a new all time high - meaning that put options have been unusually expensive relative to at-the-money options, helping support the put-heavy VIX index. As we further added, high skew, which compares put option prices with at-the-money option prices, has reached new all-time high,&nbsp;and reflected investor perception that high volatility would return should markets sell off.<blockquote>6 月底，当标准普尔指数日复一日地创下历史新高，当 VIX 指数触及 2021 年新低时，我们警告说，倾斜指数刚刚创下历史新高——这意味着看跌期权相对于实值期权来说异常昂贵，有助于支撑以看跌期权为主的 VIX 指数。正如我们进一步补充的，将看跌期权价格与实值期权价格进行比较的高偏差已达到历史新高，并反映了投资者的看法，即如果市场抛售，高波动性将会回归。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b30d4664cf3c973cc1a86d743bcae379\" tg-width=\"746\" tg-height=\"464\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Commenting on this unusual move, we said that it shows that while on one hand traders seem complacent, they have never been more nervous that even a modest wobble in the market could start a crash. By extension,\"they have also never been more protected against a full-blown market crash.\"<blockquote>在评论这一不寻常的举动时，我们说，这表明一方面交易者似乎很自满，但他们从未像现在这样紧张，因为即使是市场的轻微波动也可能引发崩盘。推而广之，\"面对全面的市场崩盘，它们也从未像现在这样受到保护.\"</blockquote> So fast forward to the violent, if brief, air pocket (and hardly a full-blown crash) the market experienced late last week and on Monday, which saw stocks tumble the most in months... only to soar right after. In retrospect, traders have the record high skew to thank for that because while risk reversed sharply on Tuesday and continuing today, traders were fully hedged and ready to pounce.<blockquote>如此迅速地进入了上周晚些时候和周一市场经历的剧烈（尽管是短暂的）气穴（几乎不是全面崩盘），股市在几个月来跌幅最大……只是在那之后突然飙升。回想起来，交易员之所以有创纪录的高偏差，是因为尽管风险在周二急剧逆转并在今天继续，但交易员已经完全对冲并准备突袭。</blockquote> So following up on his observations from a month ago, when he first noted the record high skew, Goldman's derivatives strategist Rocky Fishman wrote that this week’s volatility pushed equity implied and realized volatility higher, with the VIX briefly hitting 25 during the day on Monday (19-Jul)...<blockquote>因此，高盛衍生品策略师洛基-菲什曼（Rocky Fishman）在一个月前首次注意到创纪录的高位偏差时写道，本周的波动性推高了股票隐含和实际波动性，VIX 指数在周一（7 月 19 日）白天短暂触及 25...</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44c28ca21fe15a17f5b7fa1e3236e5ad\" tg-width=\"651\" tg-height=\"375\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">... even if in absolute terms vol is not high: three-week SPX realized vol (12.1%) is still below year-to-date realized vol (13.4%),and Tuesday’s rally brought the VIX back under 20. More importantly,in response to record downside skew correctly implying that a sell-off would bring much higher volatility, skew has now moved even higher - at least for the S&amp;P 500.<blockquote>...即使从绝对值来看，成交量并不高： 三周 SPX 已实现成交量（12.1%）仍低于年初至今的已实现成交量（13.4%），周二的反弹使 VIX 指数回到了 20 点以下。更重要的是，为了回应创纪录的下行倾斜正确地暗示抛售将带来更高的波动性，倾斜现在已经走得更高——至少对于标普500来说是这样。</blockquote> Some more observations from Fishman: \"although Tuesday’s large SPX move and drop in implied vol has reduced vol risk premium, the VIX remains high relative to recent realized vol.\"<blockquote>Fishman 的更多观察结果： “虽然周二 SPX 的大幅波动和隐含交易量的下降降低了交易量风险溢价，但相对于最近实现的交易量，VIX 指数仍然很高”。</blockquote> Furthermore, the SPX has not had one-month realized vol as high as the current VIX level (19.7) since November - indicating that options continue to be persistently expensive,which also means that traders are hedging to outsized moves both higher and lower and any selloffs are likely to be fleeting as hedges are cashed in.<blockquote>此外，自 11 月以来，SPX 的一个月实现交易量从未达到当前 VIX 水平 (19.7)，这表明期权仍然持续昂贵，这也意味着交易员正在对冲大幅上涨和下跌，随着对冲兑现，任何抛售都可能转瞬即逝.</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/002e0c79da541efcfb85fe1e04e29088\" tg-width=\"644\" tg-height=\"397\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><blockquote></blockquote> That said, given the recent precedent for quick sell-offs to be followed quickly by low volatility, Goldman expects volatility to subside in the near term with more likelihood of a sustained increase in Q4, and a big reason for this is the persistently high index skew.<blockquote>也就是说，鉴于最近快速抛售之后很快就会出现低波动性的先例，高盛预计波动性将在短期内消退，第四季度持续增长的可能性更大，而造成这种情况的一个重要原因是指数持续偏高。</blockquote> SPX index skew continues to be at near-record levels, which we see as driven by a lack of downside sellers as much as demand for hedging.The strong reaction of the VIX to Monday’s sell-off, with the VIX up over six points at one point intraday, proved that high skew was justified - at least on a very local level....on a more persistent sell-off, it would be difficult to sustain the level of implied volatility that skew would indicate. Meanwhile, from a cross-asset standpoint, Fishman adds that if interest rates staying this low has the potential to be a catalyst for further equity upside (unless they plungetoofast), leaving the potential for near-term asymmetry in SPX potential returns that is the opposite of what option markets are implying.<blockquote>SPX 指数偏差继续处于接近创纪录水平，我们认为这是由于缺乏下行卖家造成的和对冲需求一样多。VIX 对周一的抛售反应强烈，VIX 盘中一度上涨超过 6 点、证明了高度倾斜是合理的——至少在非常局部的层面上是如此…….在更持久的抛售中，很难维持 skew 所表明的隐含波动水平。与此同时，从跨资产的角度来看，菲什曼补充说，如果利率保持在如此低的水平，就有可能成为股市进一步上涨的催化剂（除非利率暴跌也快速），这使得 SPX 潜在回报可能出现近期不对称，这与期权市场所暗示的相反。</blockquote> So how does one trade the persistently sticky record high skew? Goldman continues to like levered risk reversals as a way to take advantage of this dynamic: Sell a 17-Sep 3800-strike put (12.1% OTM) to fund 2x 4550-strike (5.2% OTM) calls for zero net premium. The trade would be subject to dollar-for-dollar losses shouldthe SPX close below the downside strike at expiration.<blockquote>那么，如何交易持续粘性的创纪录高偏差呢？高盛仍然喜欢杠杆风险逆转作为利用这种动态的一种方式：出售 9 月 17 日 3800 行使价看跌期权 (12.1% OTM)，以零净溢价为 2x 4550 行使价 (5.2% OTM) 评级提供资金。如果SPX在到期时收盘低于下行震荡，该交易将遭受美元对美元的损失。</blockquote>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/behind-markets-furious-reversal-record-high-skew?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29\">zerohedge</a>\n为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/behind-markets-furious-reversal-record-high-skew?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1144363960","content_text":"At the end of June, when the S&P was making new all time highs day after day, and when the VIX was touching fresh 2021 lows, we cautioned that the skew index just hit a new all time high - meaning that put options have been unusually expensive relative to at-the-money options, helping support the put-heavy VIX index. As we further added, high skew, which compares put option prices with at-the-money option prices, has reached new all-time high, and reflected investor perception that high volatility would return should markets sell off.\nCommenting on this unusual move, we said that it shows that while on one hand traders seem complacent, they have never been more nervous that even a modest wobble in the market could start a crash. By extension,\"they have also never been more protected against a full-blown market crash.\"\nSo fast forward to the violent, if brief, air pocket (and hardly a full-blown crash) the market experienced late last week and on Monday, which saw stocks tumble the most in months... only to soar right after. In retrospect, traders have the record high skew to thank for that because while risk reversed sharply on Tuesday and continuing today, traders were fully hedged and ready to pounce.\nSo following up on his observations from a month ago, when he first noted the record high skew, Goldman's derivatives strategist Rocky Fishman wrote that this week’s volatility pushed equity implied and realized volatility higher, with the VIX briefly hitting 25 during the day on Monday (19-Jul)...\n... even if in absolute terms vol is not high: three-week SPX realized vol (12.1%) is still below year-to-date realized vol (13.4%),and Tuesday’s rally brought the VIX back under 20. More importantly,in response to record downside skew correctly implying that a sell-off would bring much higher volatility, skew has now moved even higher - at least for the S&P 500.\nSome more observations from Fishman: \"although Tuesday’s large SPX move and drop in implied vol has reduced vol risk premium, the VIX remains high relative to recent realized vol.\"\nFurthermore, the SPX has not had one-month realized vol as high as the current VIX level (19.7) since November - indicating that options continue to be persistently expensive,which also means that traders are hedging to outsized moves both higher and lower and any selloffs are likely to be fleeting as hedges are cashed in.\n\nThat said, given the recent precedent for quick sell-offs to be followed quickly by low volatility, Goldman expects volatility to subside in the near term with more likelihood of a sustained increase in Q4, and a big reason for this is the persistently high index skew.\n\n SPX index skew continues to be at near-record levels, which we see as driven by a lack of downside sellers\n as much as demand for hedging.The strong reaction of the VIX to Monday’s sell-off, with the VIX up over six points at one point intraday,\n proved that high skew was justified - at least on a very local level....on a more persistent sell-off, it would be difficult to sustain the level of implied volatility that skew would indicate.\n\nMeanwhile, from a cross-asset standpoint, Fishman adds that if interest rates staying this low has the potential to be a catalyst for further equity upside (unless they plungetoofast), leaving the potential for near-term asymmetry in SPX potential returns that is the opposite of what option markets are implying.\nSo how does one trade the persistently sticky record high skew? Goldman continues to like levered risk reversals as a way to take advantage of this dynamic: Sell a 17-Sep 3800-strike put (12.1% OTM) to fund 2x 4550-strike (5.2% OTM) calls for zero net premium. The trade would be subject to dollar-for-dollar losses shouldthe SPX close below the downside strike at expiration.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2482,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":2,"subscribersOnly":false,"subscribersOnlyAccessible":false,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/172088930"}