Energy supposed to up!_老虎社区_美港股上老虎

2021-07-21

Energy supposed to up!

"Extremely Disconnected" Energy Stocks Face Explosive Short Squeeze: JPM<blockquote>摩根大通：“极度脱节”的能源股面临爆炸性空头挤压</blockquote>

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It's also why JPM raised both its year-end EPS estimate by an additional $5 to $205, as well as its year-end SPX price target of 4,400 to 4,600.<blockquote>正如之前报道的那样，摩根大通出于各种原因上调了标准普尔指数的目标价，对最近的市场抛售发表了强有力的声明，其中最主要的是即将到来的股票回购浪潮将推动所有船只，重点是消费者复苏、国内复苏和国际复苏股票。这也是摩根大通将年底每股收益预期额外上调 5 美元至 205 美元，并将年底 SPX 目标价上调至 4,400 美元至 4,600 美元的原因。</blockquote> And while JPMorgan's chief equity strategist Dubravko Lakos-Bujas was bullish on everything from Consumer Discretionary (i.e. Retail,<blockquote>虽然摩根大通首席股票策略师 Dubravko Lakos-Bujas 看好从非必需消费品（即零售、</blockquote> Travel &amp; Leisure), to Semis and Banks, there was one sector which he felt was poised was most likely to move sharply higher over the near-term.Energy.<blockquote>旅游与休闲）、半成品和银行，他认为有一个行业最有可能在短期内大幅走高。能源.</blockquote> There are two reasons behind his energy exuberance: the first is that as JPM discussed a few weeks ago,large-cap Energy is now trading at a ~10% FCF yield and a &gt;8% FCF/EV yield at $70 Brent in 2022, with leverage that is &lt;1x. These are extremely cheap numbers relative to recent history and indicate that the market is trading as if investors expect oil prices to plunge in the near future (something which the strip does not show).<blockquote>他精力旺盛的背后有两个原因：第一是正如摩根大通几周前讨论的那样，大盘能源目前的 FCF 收益率约为 10%，2022 年布伦特原油价格约为 70 美元，FCF/EV 收益率约为 8%，杠杆小于 1 倍与近期历史相比，这些数字极其便宜，表明市场的交易方式好像投资者预计油价将在不久的将来暴跌（而图表并未显示这一点）。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9989d19483221872af65f6fb09c9a0be\" tg-width=\"868\" tg-height=\"628\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Second, and much more relevant, is Dubrakvo's claim that the energy sector has \"increasing potential for a sharp short squeeze and move higher, given its extreme disconnect from oil fundamentals\" which as shown in the chart below is the widest in more than 30 years...<blockquote>其次，也是更相关的，是杜布拉克沃声称能源部门已经“鉴于其与石油基本面的极端脱节，大幅挤空和走高的可能性越来越大如下图所示，这是30多年来最宽的……</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4857b35f19f8b39850baa1e88a2ded1f\" tg-width=\"592\" tg-height=\"448\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">... while the divergence between oil and energy stocks is such that energynames would need to gain approximately 40% from here to catch up to oil.<blockquote>...虽然石油和能源股之间的背离使得能源names 需要从这里获得大约 40% 的份额才能赶上石油。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e0b1026f1be7d3b95909af2ca1bc6020\" tg-width=\"624\" tg-height=\"450\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><blockquote></blockquote>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>\"Extremely Disconnected\" Energy Stocks Face Explosive Short Squeeze: JPM<blockquote>摩根大通：“极度脱节”的能源股面临爆炸性空头挤压</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n\"Extremely Disconnected\" Energy Stocks Face Explosive Short Squeeze: JPM<blockquote>摩根大通：“极度脱节”的能源股面临爆炸性空头挤压</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\nzerohedge2021-07-21 17:12\n\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\nAs wereported earlier, JPM made a forceful statement against the recent market dump by hiking its S&amp;P price target for various reasons, the chief of which was that a the coming tide of stock buybacks will lift all boats, with an emphasis on Consumer Recovery, Domestic Recovery and International Recovery stocks. It's also why JPM raised both its year-end EPS estimate by an additional $5 to $205, as well as its year-end SPX price target of 4,400 to 4,600.<blockquote>正如之前报道的那样，摩根大通出于各种原因上调了标准普尔指数的目标价，对最近的市场抛售发表了强有力的声明，其中最主要的是即将到来的股票回购浪潮将推动所有船只，重点是消费者复苏、国内复苏和国际复苏股票。这也是摩根大通将年底每股收益预期额外上调 5 美元至 205 美元，并将年底 SPX 目标价上调至 4,400 美元至 4,600 美元的原因。</blockquote> And while JPMorgan's chief equity strategist Dubravko Lakos-Bujas was bullish on everything from Consumer Discretionary (i.e. Retail,<blockquote>虽然摩根大通首席股票策略师 Dubravko Lakos-Bujas 看好从非必需消费品（即零售、</blockquote> Travel &amp; Leisure), to Semis and Banks, there was one sector which he felt was poised was most likely to move sharply higher over the near-term.Energy.<blockquote>旅游与休闲）、半成品和银行，他认为有一个行业最有可能在短期内大幅走高。能源.</blockquote> There are two reasons behind his energy exuberance: the first is that as JPM discussed a few weeks ago,large-cap Energy is now trading at a ~10% FCF yield and a &gt;8% FCF/EV yield at $70 Brent in 2022, with leverage that is &lt;1x. These are extremely cheap numbers relative to recent history and indicate that the market is trading as if investors expect oil prices to plunge in the near future (something which the strip does not show).<blockquote>他精力旺盛的背后有两个原因：第一是正如摩根大通几周前讨论的那样，大盘能源目前的 FCF 收益率约为 10%，2022 年布伦特原油价格约为 70 美元，FCF/EV 收益率约为 8%，杠杆小于 1 倍与近期历史相比，这些数字极其便宜，表明市场的交易方式好像投资者预计油价将在不久的将来暴跌（而图表并未显示这一点）。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9989d19483221872af65f6fb09c9a0be\" tg-width=\"868\" tg-height=\"628\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Second, and much more relevant, is Dubrakvo's claim that the energy sector has \"increasing potential for a sharp short squeeze and move higher, given its extreme disconnect from oil fundamentals\" which as shown in the chart below is the widest in more than 30 years...<blockquote>其次，也是更相关的，是杜布拉克沃声称能源部门已经“鉴于其与石油基本面的极端脱节，大幅挤空和走高的可能性越来越大如下图所示，这是30多年来最宽的……</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4857b35f19f8b39850baa1e88a2ded1f\" tg-width=\"592\" tg-height=\"448\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">... while the divergence between oil and energy stocks is such that energynames would need to gain approximately 40% from here to catch up to oil.<blockquote>...虽然石油和能源股之间的背离使得能源names 需要从这里获得大约 40% 的份额才能赶上石油。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e0b1026f1be7d3b95909af2ca1bc6020\" tg-width=\"624\" tg-height=\"450\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><blockquote></blockquote>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/extremely-disconnected-energy-stocks-face-explosive-short-squeeze-jpm\">zerohedge</a>\n为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/extremely-disconnected-energy-stocks-face-explosive-short-squeeze-jpm","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1186658773","content_text":"As wereported earlier, JPM made a forceful statement against the recent market dump by hiking its S&P price target for various reasons, the chief of which was that a the coming tide of stock buybacks will lift all boats, with an emphasis on Consumer Recovery, Domestic Recovery and International Recovery stocks. It's also why JPM raised both its year-end EPS estimate by an additional $5 to $205, as well as its year-end SPX price target of 4,400 to 4,600.\nAnd while JPMorgan's chief equity strategist Dubravko Lakos-Bujas was bullish on everything from Consumer Discretionary (i.e. Retail,\nTravel & Leisure), to Semis and Banks, there was one sector which he felt was poised was most likely to move sharply higher over the near-term.Energy.\nThere are two reasons behind his energy exuberance: the first is that as JPM discussed a few weeks ago,large-cap Energy is now trading at a ~10% FCF yield and a >8% FCF/EV yield at $70 Brent in 2022, with leverage that is <1x. These are extremely cheap numbers relative to recent history and indicate that the market is trading as if investors expect oil prices to plunge in the near future (something which the strip does not show).\nSecond, and much more relevant, is Dubrakvo's claim that the energy sector has \"increasing potential for a sharp short squeeze and move higher, given its extreme disconnect from oil fundamentals\" which as shown in the chart below is the widest in more than 30 years...\n... while the divergence between oil and energy stocks is such that energynames would need to gain approximately 40% from here to catch up to oil.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":617,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":19,"subscribersOnly":false,"subscribersOnlyAccessible":false,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/176392894"}