Energy supposed to up!_老虎社区_美港股上老虎

2021-07-21

Energy supposed to up!

"Extremely Disconnected" Energy Stocks Face Explosive Short Squeeze: JPM<blockquote>摩根大通：“极度脱节”的能源股面临爆炸性轧空</blockquote>

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It's also why JPM raised both its year-end EPS estimate by an additional $5 to $205, as well as its year-end SPX price target of 4,400 to 4,600.<blockquote>正如我们之前报道的那样，摩根大通出于各种原因上调了标准普尔目标价，对近期的市场抛售做出了强有力的声明，其中最主要的是即将到来的股票回购潮将提振所有船只，重点是消费者复苏、国内复苏和国际复苏股票。这也是摩根大通将年终每股收益预期额外上调5美元至205美元以及年终SPX目标价4,400美元至4,600美元的原因。</blockquote> And while JPMorgan's chief equity strategist Dubravko Lakos-Bujas was bullish on everything from Consumer Discretionary (i.e. Retail,<blockquote>尽管摩根大通首席股票策略师Dubravko Lakos-Bujas看好从非必需消费品（即零售、</blockquote> Travel &amp; Leisure), to Semis and Banks, there was one sector which he felt was poised was most likely to move sharply higher over the near-term.Energy.<blockquote>旅游和休闲）、半成品和银行，他认为有一个行业最有可能在短期内大幅走高。能源.</blockquote> There are two reasons behind his energy exuberance: the first is that as JPM discussed a few weeks ago,large-cap Energy is now trading at a ~10% FCF yield and a &gt;8% FCF/EV yield at $70 Brent in 2022, with leverage that is &lt;1x. These are extremely cheap numbers relative to recent history and indicate that the market is trading as if investors expect oil prices to plunge in the near future (something which the strip does not show).<blockquote>他的能源繁荣背后有两个原因：第一是正如摩根大通几周前讨论的那样，大盘股能源目前的FCF收益率约为10%，2022年布伦特原油价格为70美元，FCF/EV收益率&gt;8%，杠杆率&lt;1倍相对于最近的历史，这些数字是极其便宜的，表明市场的交易就好像投资者预计油价将在不久的将来暴跌一样（漫画没有显示这一点）。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9989d19483221872af65f6fb09c9a0be\" tg-width=\"868\" tg-height=\"628\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Second, and much more relevant, is Dubrakvo's claim that the energy sector has \"increasing potential for a sharp short squeeze and move higher, given its extreme disconnect from oil fundamentals\" which as shown in the chart below is the widest in more than 30 years...<blockquote>第二，也是更相关的是杜布拉克沃声称能源部门已经“鉴于其与石油基本面极度脱节，大幅轧空并走高的可能性越来越大如下图所示，这是30多年来最宽的...</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4857b35f19f8b39850baa1e88a2ded1f\" tg-width=\"592\" tg-height=\"448\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">... while the divergence between oil and energy stocks is such that energynames would need to gain approximately 40% from here to catch up to oil.<blockquote>...而石油和能源股之间的分歧使得能源名字需要从这里获得大约40%的收益才能赶上石油。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e0b1026f1be7d3b95909af2ca1bc6020\" tg-width=\"624\" tg-height=\"450\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><blockquote></blockquote>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>\"Extremely Disconnected\" Energy Stocks Face Explosive Short Squeeze: JPM<blockquote>摩根大通：“极度脱节”的能源股面临爆炸性轧空</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n\"Extremely Disconnected\" Energy Stocks Face Explosive Short Squeeze: JPM<blockquote>摩根大通：“极度脱节”的能源股面临爆炸性轧空</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\nzerohedge2021-07-21 17:12\n\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\nAs wereported earlier, JPM made a forceful statement against the recent market dump by hiking its S&amp;P price target for various reasons, the chief of which was that a the coming tide of stock buybacks will lift all boats, with an emphasis on Consumer Recovery, Domestic Recovery and International Recovery stocks. It's also why JPM raised both its year-end EPS estimate by an additional $5 to $205, as well as its year-end SPX price target of 4,400 to 4,600.<blockquote>正如我们之前报道的那样，摩根大通出于各种原因上调了标准普尔目标价，对近期的市场抛售做出了强有力的声明，其中最主要的是即将到来的股票回购潮将提振所有船只，重点是消费者复苏、国内复苏和国际复苏股票。这也是摩根大通将年终每股收益预期额外上调5美元至205美元以及年终SPX目标价4,400美元至4,600美元的原因。</blockquote> And while JPMorgan's chief equity strategist Dubravko Lakos-Bujas was bullish on everything from Consumer Discretionary (i.e. Retail,<blockquote>尽管摩根大通首席股票策略师Dubravko Lakos-Bujas看好从非必需消费品（即零售、</blockquote> Travel &amp; Leisure), to Semis and Banks, there was one sector which he felt was poised was most likely to move sharply higher over the near-term.Energy.<blockquote>旅游和休闲）、半成品和银行，他认为有一个行业最有可能在短期内大幅走高。能源.</blockquote> There are two reasons behind his energy exuberance: the first is that as JPM discussed a few weeks ago,large-cap Energy is now trading at a ~10% FCF yield and a &gt;8% FCF/EV yield at $70 Brent in 2022, with leverage that is &lt;1x. These are extremely cheap numbers relative to recent history and indicate that the market is trading as if investors expect oil prices to plunge in the near future (something which the strip does not show).<blockquote>他的能源繁荣背后有两个原因：第一是正如摩根大通几周前讨论的那样，大盘股能源目前的FCF收益率约为10%，2022年布伦特原油价格为70美元，FCF/EV收益率&gt;8%，杠杆率&lt;1倍相对于最近的历史，这些数字是极其便宜的，表明市场的交易就好像投资者预计油价将在不久的将来暴跌一样（漫画没有显示这一点）。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9989d19483221872af65f6fb09c9a0be\" tg-width=\"868\" tg-height=\"628\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Second, and much more relevant, is Dubrakvo's claim that the energy sector has \"increasing potential for a sharp short squeeze and move higher, given its extreme disconnect from oil fundamentals\" which as shown in the chart below is the widest in more than 30 years...<blockquote>第二，也是更相关的是杜布拉克沃声称能源部门已经“鉴于其与石油基本面极度脱节，大幅轧空并走高的可能性越来越大如下图所示，这是30多年来最宽的...</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4857b35f19f8b39850baa1e88a2ded1f\" tg-width=\"592\" tg-height=\"448\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">... while the divergence between oil and energy stocks is such that energynames would need to gain approximately 40% from here to catch up to oil.<blockquote>...而石油和能源股之间的分歧使得能源名字需要从这里获得大约40%的收益才能赶上石油。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e0b1026f1be7d3b95909af2ca1bc6020\" tg-width=\"624\" tg-height=\"450\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><blockquote></blockquote>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/extremely-disconnected-energy-stocks-face-explosive-short-squeeze-jpm\">zerohedge</a>\n为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/extremely-disconnected-energy-stocks-face-explosive-short-squeeze-jpm","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1186658773","content_text":"As wereported earlier, JPM made a forceful statement against the recent market dump by hiking its S&P price target for various reasons, the chief of which was that a the coming tide of stock buybacks will lift all boats, with an emphasis on Consumer Recovery, Domestic Recovery and International Recovery stocks. It's also why JPM raised both its year-end EPS estimate by an additional $5 to $205, as well as its year-end SPX price target of 4,400 to 4,600.\nAnd while JPMorgan's chief equity strategist Dubravko Lakos-Bujas was bullish on everything from Consumer Discretionary (i.e. Retail,\nTravel & Leisure), to Semis and Banks, there was one sector which he felt was poised was most likely to move sharply higher over the near-term.Energy.\nThere are two reasons behind his energy exuberance: the first is that as JPM discussed a few weeks ago,large-cap Energy is now trading at a ~10% FCF yield and a >8% FCF/EV yield at $70 Brent in 2022, with leverage that is <1x. These are extremely cheap numbers relative to recent history and indicate that the market is trading as if investors expect oil prices to plunge in the near future (something which the strip does not show).\nSecond, and much more relevant, is Dubrakvo's claim that the energy sector has \"increasing potential for a sharp short squeeze and move higher, given its extreme disconnect from oil fundamentals\" which as shown in the chart below is the widest in more than 30 years...\n... while the divergence between oil and energy stocks is such that energynames would need to gain approximately 40% from here to catch up to oil.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":485,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":19,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/176392894"}