Shifeng
2021-06-10
Indispensable
3 Top Tech Stocks to Buy During a Recession<blockquote>经济衰退期间最值得买入的3只科技股</blockquote>
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Some people lose their jobs, budgets tighten, spending dec","content":"<p>Arecessioncan be a very stressful period. Some people lose their jobs, budgets tighten, spending decreases, markets get volatile, and investors get nervous as they see a portion of their portfolios apparently begin to evaporate.</p><p><blockquote>经济衰退可能是一个压力很大的时期。一些人失业，预算收紧，支出减少，市场变得不稳定，投资者感到紧张，因为他们看到自己的一部分投资组合显然开始蒸发。</blockquote></p><p> Some investors panic and make the mistake of selling their stocks during a recession and lock in losses. But others know that recessions are a time to<i>buy</i>stock as they offer access to lower stock prices that can lay the foundation for tremendous returns once the economy recovers. The key to executing that last action successfully is to focus on buying stock in strong companies that can survive periods of soft demand and high unemployment.</p><p><blockquote>一些投资者惊慌失措，犯了在经济衰退期间出售股票并锁定损失的错误。但其他人知道经济衰退是一个<i>购买</i>股票，因为它们提供了较低股价的机会，可以为经济复苏后的巨额回报奠定基础。成功执行最后一项行动的关键是专注于购买能够度过需求疲软和高失业率时期的强大公司的股票。</blockquote></p><p> No one knows when a recession will hit, but we do know there have been 18 recessions over the last century, so it's likely to happen again. The wise investor will do what it takes to be prepared for this eventuality.</p><p><blockquote>没有人知道经济衰退何时会到来，但我们确实知道上个世纪已经发生了18次经济衰退，所以它很可能会再次发生。明智的投资者会尽一切努力为这种可能性做好准备。</blockquote></p><p> Here are three relatively safe tech stocks that represent strong companies and I would buy them during the next recession.</p><p><blockquote>这里有三只相对安全的科技股，它们代表了强大的公司，我会在下一次经济衰退期间购买它们。</blockquote></p><p> 1. Microsoft</p><p><blockquote>1.微软</blockquote></p><p> <b>Microsoft</b>'s(NASDAQ:MSFT)software is widely used by both consumers and businesses. There are more than 1 billion active devices that run on Windows 10, and the company reported that Office 365 usage was higher than ever last year. Microsoft is also a leader in helping organizations shift to digital technologies, whereMicrosoft Azureis emerging as a strong second-place competitor to<b>Amazon</b>(NASDAQ:AMZN)in the cloud services market.</p><p><blockquote><b>微软</b>（纳斯达克股票代码：MSFT）的软件被消费者和企业广泛使用。运行Windows 10的活跃设备超过10亿台，该公司报告称，去年Office 365的使用量比以往任何时候都高。微软也是帮助组织转向数字技术的领导者，Microsoft Azures正在成为强大的第二名竞争对手<b>亚马逊</b>（纳斯达克：AMZN）在云服务市场。</blockquote></p><p> Even with Microsoft's established brand and customer base, the company is not immune to dips in demand caused by recessions. For example, spending on technology could decline during a weak economy, pressuring Microsoft's revenue growth. But it's worth noting that spending on cloud services and infrastructure continued to increase during the pandemic as Microsoft benefited from the remote work trend, and CEO Satya Nadella believes the growing demand for digital services is just getting started.</p><p><blockquote>即使微软拥有成熟的品牌和客户群，该公司也不能幸免于经济衰退造成的需求下降。例如，在经济疲软期间，技术支出可能会下降，给微软的收入增长带来压力。但值得注意的是，随着微软受益于远程工作趋势，疫情期间云服务和基础设施支出持续增加，首席执行官Satya Nadella认为，对数字服务不断增长的需求才刚刚开始。</blockquote></p><p> \"Over a year into the pandemic, digital adoption curves aren't slowing down. They're accelerating, and it's just the beginning,\" Nadella stated in the fiscal Q3 2021 earnings report.</p><p><blockquote>纳德拉在2021财年第三季度财报中表示：“疫情爆发一年多来，数字采用曲线并没有放缓。它们正在加速，而这仅仅是个开始。”</blockquote></p><p> Microsoft estimates that 50 billion new devices will come online by 2030, and that could translate to tremendous growth in revenue for Azure -- not to mention demand for Microsoft's popular software tools like Word and Excel, which the company bundles as a subscription service with Microsoft 365.</p><p><blockquote>微软估计，到2030年，将有500亿台新设备上线，这可能会转化为Azure收入的巨大增长，更不用说对Word和Excel等微软流行软件工具的需求了，该公司将这些工具作为订阅服务与微软365捆绑在一起。</blockquote></p><p> Microsoft is a financial fortress. It ended the most recent quarter with a net cash position of $73 billion, and it generated $54 billion infree cash flowover the last four quarters. With that much cash sitting on the balance sheet and more coming in every year, Microsoft would likely be able to continue increasing its dividend payout even during challenging business conditions. The stock currently pays adividend yieldof 0.87%, representing a cash payout ratio of 30% relative to free cash flow.</p><p><blockquote>微软是一个金融堡垒。截至最近一个季度末，该公司的净现金头寸为730亿美元，过去四个季度产生了540亿美元的自由现金流。由于资产负债表上有这么多现金，而且每年都有更多现金流入，微软可能能够继续即使在充满挑战的商业环境下也增加股息支付。该股目前支付的股息收益率为0.87%，相对于自由现金流的现金支付率为30%。</blockquote></p><p> The secular demand trend for digital enterprise software services should keep Microsoft growing over the long term, and its rock-solid financial position should provide a cushion to the stock price in the event of anothermarket correction.</p><p><blockquote>数字企业软件服务的长期需求趋势应该会使微软保持长期增长，其坚如磐石的财务状况应该会在市场再次调整时为股价提供缓冲。</blockquote></p><p> 2. Amazon</p><p><blockquote>2.亚马逊</blockquote></p><p> Amazon provides essential services through its grocery businesses (Amazon Fresh and Whole Foods). It's also the leader in cloud services with its Amazon Web Services business. But serving the consumer is still its bread and butter. The annualPrime Day(usually held in the summer months) has become just as big as Black Friday, and the event provides Amazon an opportunity to reach new customers with its Prime membership program.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊通过其杂货业务（亚马逊生鲜和全食）提供基本服务。它也是云服务领域的领导者，拥有亚马逊网络服务业务。但是为消费者服务仍然是它的面包和黄油。一年一度的Prime Day（通常在夏季举行）已经变得和黑色星期五一样重要，该活动为亚马逊提供了通过Prime会员计划接触新客户的机会。</blockquote></p><p> Amazon generated $419 billion in revenue over the last year, and it continues to grow very fast for a large business. Revenue has doubled over the last three years, with growth accelerating during the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊去年创造了4190亿美元的收入，对于一家大型企业来说，它继续快速增长。过去三年，收入翻了一番，疫情期间增长加速。</blockquote></p><p> Still, not all recessions may turn out as well for the e-commerce giant. Amazon sells a lot of consumer electronics and other nonessential items that people may not purchase during a prolonged recession.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，并非所有经济衰退对这家电子商务巨头来说都是如此。亚马逊销售许多消费电子产品和其他人们在长期经济衰退期间可能不会购买的非必需品。</blockquote></p><p> On the other hand, many customers would likely stick with their Prime memberships to enjoy movies, music, and free grocery delivery. Amazon now has more than 200 million loyal patrons through Prime, and the company is seeing Prime engagement continue to rise, providing a stickier ecosystem of services for consumers.</p><p><blockquote>另一方面，许多顾客可能会坚持使用Prime会员资格来享受电影、音乐和免费杂货配送。亚马逊目前通过Prime拥有超过2亿忠实顾客，该公司看到Prime参与度持续上升，为消费者提供了更具粘性的服务生态系统。</blockquote></p><p> Like Microsoft, Amazon generates a substantial amount of free cash flow to continue investing in the future no matter what the economy is doing. Over the last four quarters, Amazon generated $26.4 billion in free cash flow. Most of its operating profit comes from cloud services, where Amazon Web Services made up 11.6% of total revenue on a trailing-12-month basis.</p><p><blockquote>与微软一样，无论经济状况如何，亚马逊都会产生大量自由现金流来继续投资未来。在过去的四个季度中，亚马逊产生了264亿美元的自由现金流。其大部分营业利润来自云服务，亚马逊网络服务在过去12个月中占总收入的11.6%。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> While Amazon doesn't pay a dividend, that's sort of a good thing at this juncture, because it means management is still seeing tremendous opportunities to invest in building more fulfillment warehouses and its own transportation fleet to meet growing demand. This is a top growth stock to consider buying when the next market correction strikes.</p><p><blockquote>虽然亚马逊不支付股息，但在这个节骨眼上这是一件好事，因为这意味着管理层仍然看到了投资建设更多履行仓库和自己的运输车队以满足不断增长的需求的巨大机会。当下一次市场调整来袭时，这是一只值得考虑购买的顶级成长型股票。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bc76a43a51b8c48de3337ad1dea22962\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"387\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>AAPLDATA BY YCHARTS</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>AAPL数据来自YCHARTS</span></p></blockquote></p><p> 3. Apple</p><p><blockquote>3.苹果</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple</b>(NASDAQ:AAPL)is one of the most iconic consumer brands in the world. Sure, sales of its pricey aluminum-clad devices would likely suffer if people didn't have money to spend, but the company also has a growing revenue stream from subscription services, and it generates plenty of cash to continue paying a regular dividend to shareholders.</p><p><blockquote><b>苹果</b>（纳斯达克：AAPL）是世界上最具标志性的消费品牌之一。当然，如果人们没有钱花，其昂贵的铝包设备的销售可能会受到影响，但该公司的订阅服务收入来源也在不断增长，并且它产生了大量现金来继续向股东支付定期股息。</blockquote></p><p> While iPhone revenue dropped 3.3% in fiscal 2020 (which ended in September), Apple saw sales of its Macs, iPads, and wearables grow at healthy rates during the pandemic. And since the iPhone 12 launched in the fall, Apple's revenue growth has accelerated to 53% year over year in the quarter that ended in March.</p><p><blockquote>虽然iPhone收入在2020财年（截至9月）下降了3.3%，但苹果的Mac、iPad和可穿戴设备的销量在疫情期间以健康的速度增长。自iPhone 12秋季推出以来，截至3月份的季度，苹果的收入同比增长已加速至53%。</blockquote></p><p> Most importantly, Apple's installed base of active devices continues to hit new records. The new Macs and iPad Pros featuringApple's new M1 chip have rejuvenated salesof these products -- a great sign of Apple's brand strength in the marketplace.</p><p><blockquote>最重要的是，苹果的活跃设备安装基数继续创下新纪录。采用苹果新M1芯片的新款Mac和iPad Pro重振了这些产品的销售，这是苹果在市场上品牌实力的一个很好的标志。</blockquote></p><p> The stock currently pays a dividend yield of 0.67%, with a current cash payout ratio of 15.7% of trailing free cash flow. While shares are up 50% over the last year, the forwardprice-to-earnings ratiois roughly in line with that of the broader market at 24 times expected earnings. At this valuation level, there might be more room for upside in the near term, especially if the iPhone upgrade cycle remains stronger than investors expect.</p><p><blockquote>该股目前支付的股息收益率为0.67%，当前现金支付率为追踪自由现金流的15.7%。虽然股价比去年上涨了50%，但远期市盈率与大盘大致一致，为预期市盈率的24倍。在这个估值水平下，短期内可能会有更大的上涨空间，特别是如果iPhone升级周期仍然强于投资者的预期。</blockquote></p><p> During the earnings call in late April, Apple CEO Tim Cook noted that 5G penetration is \"still low at this point,\" with a lot of upgrades still in front of the company.</p><p><blockquote>在4月下旬的财报看涨期权上，苹果首席执行官Tim Cook指出，5G渗透率“目前仍然很低”，公司面前仍有很多升级。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e5874f0d32193fcda101a46ff8ad430\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"387\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>AAPL PE RATIO (FORWARD)DATA BY YCHARTS</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>YCHARTS提供的AAPL市盈率（远期）数据</span></p></blockquote></p><p> In the event of another recession, investors can feel confident that Apple's business won't be starving for funds to keep cranking out new products -- and most importantly, keeping its employees happily on the payroll.</p><p><blockquote>如果再次出现经济衰退，投资者可以相信苹果的业务不会缺乏资金来继续开发新产品，最重要的是，让员工愉快地享受工资。</blockquote></p><p> Apple ended the fiscal second quarter with net cash of $87 billion on the books. While management is working toward a cash-neutral position on its balance sheet, Apple continues to gush more every year, with trailing free cash flow topping $90 billion.</p><p><blockquote>苹果第二财季结束时账面净现金为870亿美元。虽然管理层正在努力在资产负债表上实现现金中性，但苹果每年都会继续增加资金，追踪自由现金流超过900亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> The key takeaway</p><p><blockquote>关键要点</blockquote></p><p> Shares ofleading tech stocksthat generate substantial amounts of free cash flow will be relatively safe bets during a recession. Microsoft, Amazon, and Apple possess these traits in spades. These companies are dominant sector leaders that should reward investors for years to come.</p><p><blockquote>在经济衰退期间，产生大量自由现金流的领先科技股的股票将是相对安全的押注。微软、亚马逊和苹果绝对具备这些特征。这些公司是占主导地位的行业领导者，应该在未来几年回报投资者。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Top Tech Stocks to Buy During a Recession<blockquote>经济衰退期间最值得买入的3只科技股</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Top Tech Stocks to Buy During a Recession<blockquote>经济衰退期间最值得买入的3只科技股</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-10 10:49</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Arecessioncan be a very stressful period. Some people lose their jobs, budgets tighten, spending decreases, markets get volatile, and investors get nervous as they see a portion of their portfolios apparently begin to evaporate.</p><p><blockquote>经济衰退可能是一个压力很大的时期。一些人失业，预算收紧，支出减少，市场变得不稳定，投资者感到紧张，因为他们看到自己的一部分投资组合显然开始蒸发。</blockquote></p><p> Some investors panic and make the mistake of selling their stocks during a recession and lock in losses. But others know that recessions are a time to<i>buy</i>stock as they offer access to lower stock prices that can lay the foundation for tremendous returns once the economy recovers. The key to executing that last action successfully is to focus on buying stock in strong companies that can survive periods of soft demand and high unemployment.</p><p><blockquote>一些投资者惊慌失措，犯了在经济衰退期间出售股票并锁定损失的错误。但其他人知道经济衰退是一个<i>购买</i>股票，因为它们提供了较低股价的机会，可以为经济复苏后的巨额回报奠定基础。成功执行最后一项行动的关键是专注于购买能够度过需求疲软和高失业率时期的强大公司的股票。</blockquote></p><p> No one knows when a recession will hit, but we do know there have been 18 recessions over the last century, so it's likely to happen again. The wise investor will do what it takes to be prepared for this eventuality.</p><p><blockquote>没有人知道经济衰退何时会到来，但我们确实知道上个世纪已经发生了18次经济衰退，所以它很可能会再次发生。明智的投资者会尽一切努力为这种可能性做好准备。</blockquote></p><p> Here are three relatively safe tech stocks that represent strong companies and I would buy them during the next recession.</p><p><blockquote>这里有三只相对安全的科技股，它们代表了强大的公司，我会在下一次经济衰退期间购买它们。</blockquote></p><p> 1. Microsoft</p><p><blockquote>1.微软</blockquote></p><p> <b>Microsoft</b>'s(NASDAQ:MSFT)software is widely used by both consumers and businesses. There are more than 1 billion active devices that run on Windows 10, and the company reported that Office 365 usage was higher than ever last year. Microsoft is also a leader in helping organizations shift to digital technologies, whereMicrosoft Azureis emerging as a strong second-place competitor to<b>Amazon</b>(NASDAQ:AMZN)in the cloud services market.</p><p><blockquote><b>微软</b>（纳斯达克股票代码：MSFT）的软件被消费者和企业广泛使用。运行Windows 10的活跃设备超过10亿台，该公司报告称，去年Office 365的使用量比以往任何时候都高。微软也是帮助组织转向数字技术的领导者，Microsoft Azures正在成为强大的第二名竞争对手<b>亚马逊</b>（纳斯达克：AMZN）在云服务市场。</blockquote></p><p> Even with Microsoft's established brand and customer base, the company is not immune to dips in demand caused by recessions. For example, spending on technology could decline during a weak economy, pressuring Microsoft's revenue growth. But it's worth noting that spending on cloud services and infrastructure continued to increase during the pandemic as Microsoft benefited from the remote work trend, and CEO Satya Nadella believes the growing demand for digital services is just getting started.</p><p><blockquote>即使微软拥有成熟的品牌和客户群，该公司也不能幸免于经济衰退造成的需求下降。例如，在经济疲软期间，技术支出可能会下降，给微软的收入增长带来压力。但值得注意的是，随着微软受益于远程工作趋势，疫情期间云服务和基础设施支出持续增加，首席执行官Satya Nadella认为，对数字服务不断增长的需求才刚刚开始。</blockquote></p><p> \"Over a year into the pandemic, digital adoption curves aren't slowing down. They're accelerating, and it's just the beginning,\" Nadella stated in the fiscal Q3 2021 earnings report.</p><p><blockquote>纳德拉在2021财年第三季度财报中表示：“疫情爆发一年多来，数字采用曲线并没有放缓。它们正在加速，而这仅仅是个开始。”</blockquote></p><p> Microsoft estimates that 50 billion new devices will come online by 2030, and that could translate to tremendous growth in revenue for Azure -- not to mention demand for Microsoft's popular software tools like Word and Excel, which the company bundles as a subscription service with Microsoft 365.</p><p><blockquote>微软估计，到2030年，将有500亿台新设备上线，这可能会转化为Azure收入的巨大增长，更不用说对Word和Excel等微软流行软件工具的需求了，该公司将这些工具作为订阅服务与微软365捆绑在一起。</blockquote></p><p> Microsoft is a financial fortress. It ended the most recent quarter with a net cash position of $73 billion, and it generated $54 billion infree cash flowover the last four quarters. With that much cash sitting on the balance sheet and more coming in every year, Microsoft would likely be able to continue increasing its dividend payout even during challenging business conditions. The stock currently pays adividend yieldof 0.87%, representing a cash payout ratio of 30% relative to free cash flow.</p><p><blockquote>微软是一个金融堡垒。截至最近一个季度末，该公司的净现金头寸为730亿美元，过去四个季度产生了540亿美元的自由现金流。由于资产负债表上有这么多现金，而且每年都有更多现金流入，微软可能能够继续即使在充满挑战的商业环境下也增加股息支付。该股目前支付的股息收益率为0.87%，相对于自由现金流的现金支付率为30%。</blockquote></p><p> The secular demand trend for digital enterprise software services should keep Microsoft growing over the long term, and its rock-solid financial position should provide a cushion to the stock price in the event of anothermarket correction.</p><p><blockquote>数字企业软件服务的长期需求趋势应该会使微软保持长期增长，其坚如磐石的财务状况应该会在市场再次调整时为股价提供缓冲。</blockquote></p><p> 2. Amazon</p><p><blockquote>2.亚马逊</blockquote></p><p> Amazon provides essential services through its grocery businesses (Amazon Fresh and Whole Foods). It's also the leader in cloud services with its Amazon Web Services business. But serving the consumer is still its bread and butter. The annualPrime Day(usually held in the summer months) has become just as big as Black Friday, and the event provides Amazon an opportunity to reach new customers with its Prime membership program.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊通过其杂货业务（亚马逊生鲜和全食）提供基本服务。它也是云服务领域的领导者，拥有亚马逊网络服务业务。但是为消费者服务仍然是它的面包和黄油。一年一度的Prime Day（通常在夏季举行）已经变得和黑色星期五一样重要，该活动为亚马逊提供了通过Prime会员计划接触新客户的机会。</blockquote></p><p> Amazon generated $419 billion in revenue over the last year, and it continues to grow very fast for a large business. Revenue has doubled over the last three years, with growth accelerating during the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊去年创造了4190亿美元的收入，对于一家大型企业来说，它继续快速增长。过去三年，收入翻了一番，疫情期间增长加速。</blockquote></p><p> Still, not all recessions may turn out as well for the e-commerce giant. Amazon sells a lot of consumer electronics and other nonessential items that people may not purchase during a prolonged recession.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，并非所有经济衰退对这家电子商务巨头来说都是如此。亚马逊销售许多消费电子产品和其他人们在长期经济衰退期间可能不会购买的非必需品。</blockquote></p><p> On the other hand, many customers would likely stick with their Prime memberships to enjoy movies, music, and free grocery delivery. Amazon now has more than 200 million loyal patrons through Prime, and the company is seeing Prime engagement continue to rise, providing a stickier ecosystem of services for consumers.</p><p><blockquote>另一方面，许多顾客可能会坚持使用Prime会员资格来享受电影、音乐和免费杂货配送。亚马逊目前通过Prime拥有超过2亿忠实顾客，该公司看到Prime参与度持续上升，为消费者提供了更具粘性的服务生态系统。</blockquote></p><p> Like Microsoft, Amazon generates a substantial amount of free cash flow to continue investing in the future no matter what the economy is doing. Over the last four quarters, Amazon generated $26.4 billion in free cash flow. Most of its operating profit comes from cloud services, where Amazon Web Services made up 11.6% of total revenue on a trailing-12-month basis.</p><p><blockquote>与微软一样，无论经济状况如何，亚马逊都会产生大量自由现金流来继续投资未来。在过去的四个季度中，亚马逊产生了264亿美元的自由现金流。其大部分营业利润来自云服务，亚马逊网络服务在过去12个月中占总收入的11.6%。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> While Amazon doesn't pay a dividend, that's sort of a good thing at this juncture, because it means management is still seeing tremendous opportunities to invest in building more fulfillment warehouses and its own transportation fleet to meet growing demand. This is a top growth stock to consider buying when the next market correction strikes.</p><p><blockquote>虽然亚马逊不支付股息，但在这个节骨眼上这是一件好事，因为这意味着管理层仍然看到了投资建设更多履行仓库和自己的运输车队以满足不断增长的需求的巨大机会。当下一次市场调整来袭时，这是一只值得考虑购买的顶级成长型股票。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bc76a43a51b8c48de3337ad1dea22962\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"387\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>AAPLDATA BY YCHARTS</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>AAPL数据来自YCHARTS</span></p></blockquote></p><p> 3. Apple</p><p><blockquote>3.苹果</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple</b>(NASDAQ:AAPL)is one of the most iconic consumer brands in the world. Sure, sales of its pricey aluminum-clad devices would likely suffer if people didn't have money to spend, but the company also has a growing revenue stream from subscription services, and it generates plenty of cash to continue paying a regular dividend to shareholders.</p><p><blockquote><b>苹果</b>（纳斯达克：AAPL）是世界上最具标志性的消费品牌之一。当然，如果人们没有钱花，其昂贵的铝包设备的销售可能会受到影响，但该公司的订阅服务收入来源也在不断增长，并且它产生了大量现金来继续向股东支付定期股息。</blockquote></p><p> While iPhone revenue dropped 3.3% in fiscal 2020 (which ended in September), Apple saw sales of its Macs, iPads, and wearables grow at healthy rates during the pandemic. And since the iPhone 12 launched in the fall, Apple's revenue growth has accelerated to 53% year over year in the quarter that ended in March.</p><p><blockquote>虽然iPhone收入在2020财年（截至9月）下降了3.3%，但苹果的Mac、iPad和可穿戴设备的销量在疫情期间以健康的速度增长。自iPhone 12秋季推出以来，截至3月份的季度，苹果的收入同比增长已加速至53%。</blockquote></p><p> Most importantly, Apple's installed base of active devices continues to hit new records. The new Macs and iPad Pros featuringApple's new M1 chip have rejuvenated salesof these products -- a great sign of Apple's brand strength in the marketplace.</p><p><blockquote>最重要的是，苹果的活跃设备安装基数继续创下新纪录。采用苹果新M1芯片的新款Mac和iPad Pro重振了这些产品的销售，这是苹果在市场上品牌实力的一个很好的标志。</blockquote></p><p> The stock currently pays a dividend yield of 0.67%, with a current cash payout ratio of 15.7% of trailing free cash flow. While shares are up 50% over the last year, the forwardprice-to-earnings ratiois roughly in line with that of the broader market at 24 times expected earnings. At this valuation level, there might be more room for upside in the near term, especially if the iPhone upgrade cycle remains stronger than investors expect.</p><p><blockquote>该股目前支付的股息收益率为0.67%，当前现金支付率为追踪自由现金流的15.7%。虽然股价比去年上涨了50%，但远期市盈率与大盘大致一致，为预期市盈率的24倍。在这个估值水平下，短期内可能会有更大的上涨空间，特别是如果iPhone升级周期仍然强于投资者的预期。</blockquote></p><p> During the earnings call in late April, Apple CEO Tim Cook noted that 5G penetration is \"still low at this point,\" with a lot of upgrades still in front of the company.</p><p><blockquote>在4月下旬的财报看涨期权上，苹果首席执行官Tim Cook指出，5G渗透率“目前仍然很低”，公司面前仍有很多升级。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e5874f0d32193fcda101a46ff8ad430\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"387\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>AAPL PE RATIO (FORWARD)DATA BY YCHARTS</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>YCHARTS提供的AAPL市盈率（远期）数据</span></p></blockquote></p><p> In the event of another recession, investors can feel confident that Apple's business won't be starving for funds to keep cranking out new products -- and most importantly, keeping its employees happily on the payroll.</p><p><blockquote>如果再次出现经济衰退，投资者可以相信苹果的业务不会缺乏资金来继续开发新产品，最重要的是，让员工愉快地享受工资。</blockquote></p><p> Apple ended the fiscal second quarter with net cash of $87 billion on the books. While management is working toward a cash-neutral position on its balance sheet, Apple continues to gush more every year, with trailing free cash flow topping $90 billion.</p><p><blockquote>苹果第二财季结束时账面净现金为870亿美元。虽然管理层正在努力在资产负债表上实现现金中性，但苹果每年都会继续增加资金，追踪自由现金流超过900亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> The key takeaway</p><p><blockquote>关键要点</blockquote></p><p> Shares ofleading tech stocksthat generate substantial amounts of free cash flow will be relatively safe bets during a recession. Microsoft, Amazon, and Apple possess these traits in spades. These companies are dominant sector leaders that should reward investors for years to come.</p><p><blockquote>在经济衰退期间，产生大量自由现金流的领先科技股的股票将是相对安全的押注。微软、亚马逊和苹果绝对具备这些特征。这些公司是占主导地位的行业领导者，应该在未来几年回报投资者。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/09/3-top-tech-stocks-to-buy-during-a-recession/\">fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMZN":"亚马逊","MSFT":"微软","AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/09/3-top-tech-stocks-to-buy-during-a-recession/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1143747111","content_text":"Arecessioncan be a very stressful period. Some people lose their jobs, budgets tighten, spending decreases, markets get volatile, and investors get nervous as they see a portion of their portfolios apparently begin to evaporate.\nSome investors panic and make the mistake of selling their stocks during a recession and lock in losses. But others know that recessions are a time tobuystock as they offer access to lower stock prices that can lay the foundation for tremendous returns once the economy recovers. The key to executing that last action successfully is to focus on buying stock in strong companies that can survive periods of soft demand and high unemployment.\nNo one knows when a recession will hit, but we do know there have been 18 recessions over the last century, so it's likely to happen again. The wise investor will do what it takes to be prepared for this eventuality.\nHere are three relatively safe tech stocks that represent strong companies and I would buy them during the next recession.\n1. Microsoft\nMicrosoft's(NASDAQ:MSFT)software is widely used by both consumers and businesses. There are more than 1 billion active devices that run on Windows 10, and the company reported that Office 365 usage was higher than ever last year. Microsoft is also a leader in helping organizations shift to digital technologies, whereMicrosoft Azureis emerging as a strong second-place competitor toAmazon(NASDAQ:AMZN)in the cloud services market.\nEven with Microsoft's established brand and customer base, the company is not immune to dips in demand caused by recessions. For example, spending on technology could decline during a weak economy, pressuring Microsoft's revenue growth. But it's worth noting that spending on cloud services and infrastructure continued to increase during the pandemic as Microsoft benefited from the remote work trend, and CEO Satya Nadella believes the growing demand for digital services is just getting started.\n\"Over a year into the pandemic, digital adoption curves aren't slowing down. They're accelerating, and it's just the beginning,\" Nadella stated in the fiscal Q3 2021 earnings report.\nMicrosoft estimates that 50 billion new devices will come online by 2030, and that could translate to tremendous growth in revenue for Azure -- not to mention demand for Microsoft's popular software tools like Word and Excel, which the company bundles as a subscription service with Microsoft 365.\nMicrosoft is a financial fortress. It ended the most recent quarter with a net cash position of $73 billion, and it generated $54 billion infree cash flowover the last four quarters. With that much cash sitting on the balance sheet and more coming in every year, Microsoft would likely be able to continue increasing its dividend payout even during challenging business conditions. The stock currently pays adividend yieldof 0.87%, representing a cash payout ratio of 30% relative to free cash flow.\nThe secular demand trend for digital enterprise software services should keep Microsoft growing over the long term, and its rock-solid financial position should provide a cushion to the stock price in the event of anothermarket correction.\n2. Amazon\nAmazon provides essential services through its grocery businesses (Amazon Fresh and Whole Foods). It's also the leader in cloud services with its Amazon Web Services business. But serving the consumer is still its bread and butter. The annualPrime Day(usually held in the summer months) has become just as big as Black Friday, and the event provides Amazon an opportunity to reach new customers with its Prime membership program.\nAmazon generated $419 billion in revenue over the last year, and it continues to grow very fast for a large business. Revenue has doubled over the last three years, with growth accelerating during the pandemic.\nStill, not all recessions may turn out as well for the e-commerce giant. Amazon sells a lot of consumer electronics and other nonessential items that people may not purchase during a prolonged recession.\nOn the other hand, many customers would likely stick with their Prime memberships to enjoy movies, music, and free grocery delivery. Amazon now has more than 200 million loyal patrons through Prime, and the company is seeing Prime engagement continue to rise, providing a stickier ecosystem of services for consumers.\nLike Microsoft, Amazon generates a substantial amount of free cash flow to continue investing in the future no matter what the economy is doing. Over the last four quarters, Amazon generated $26.4 billion in free cash flow. Most of its operating profit comes from cloud services, where Amazon Web Services made up 11.6% of total revenue on a trailing-12-month basis.\nWhile Amazon doesn't pay a dividend, that's sort of a good thing at this juncture, because it means management is still seeing tremendous opportunities to invest in building more fulfillment warehouses and its own transportation fleet to meet growing demand. This is a top growth stock to consider buying when the next market correction strikes.\nAAPLDATA BY YCHARTS\n3. Apple\nApple(NASDAQ:AAPL)is one of the most iconic consumer brands in the world. Sure, sales of its pricey aluminum-clad devices would likely suffer if people didn't have money to spend, but the company also has a growing revenue stream from subscription services, and it generates plenty of cash to continue paying a regular dividend to shareholders.\nWhile iPhone revenue dropped 3.3% in fiscal 2020 (which ended in September), Apple saw sales of its Macs, iPads, and wearables grow at healthy rates during the pandemic. And since the iPhone 12 launched in the fall, Apple's revenue growth has accelerated to 53% year over year in the quarter that ended in March.\nMost importantly, Apple's installed base of active devices continues to hit new records. The new Macs and iPad Pros featuringApple's new M1 chip have rejuvenated salesof these products -- a great sign of Apple's brand strength in the marketplace.\nThe stock currently pays a dividend yield of 0.67%, with a current cash payout ratio of 15.7% of trailing free cash flow. While shares are up 50% over the last year, the forwardprice-to-earnings ratiois roughly in line with that of the broader market at 24 times expected earnings. At this valuation level, there might be more room for upside in the near term, especially if the iPhone upgrade cycle remains stronger than investors expect.\nDuring the earnings call in late April, Apple CEO Tim Cook noted that 5G penetration is \"still low at this point,\" with a lot of upgrades still in front of the company.\nAAPL PE RATIO (FORWARD)DATA BY YCHARTS\nIn the event of another recession, investors can feel confident that Apple's business won't be starving for funds to keep cranking out new products -- and most importantly, keeping its employees happily on the payroll.\nApple ended the fiscal second quarter with net cash of $87 billion on the books. While management is working toward a cash-neutral position on its balance sheet, Apple continues to gush more every year, with trailing free cash flow topping $90 billion.\nThe key takeaway\nShares ofleading tech stocksthat generate substantial amounts of free cash flow will be relatively safe bets during a recession. Microsoft, Amazon, and Apple possess these traits in spades. These companies are dominant sector leaders that should reward investors for years to come.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMZN":0.9,"AAPL":0.9,"MSFT":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1880,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":13,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/183059016"}
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