Kelvinzzz
2021-03-17
Agreed
The Fed must chart a new course as the economy strengthens.<blockquote>随着经济走强,美联储必须制定新的路线。</blockquote>
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The Federal Reserve is staring down a challenge that would have been all but unthinkable a year ago: With its policies seton emergency modeto bolster growth in the face of the pandemic’s shock, it must now navigate an economy that is expected to strengthen rapidly in the coming months.</p><p><blockquote>随着疫苗和近 1.9 万亿美元的复苏计划提高了增长预期,美联储正在召开会议,分析师希望看看这将如何改变政策预测。美联储正面临着一个在一年前几乎是不可想象的挑战: 面对大流行病的冲击,美联储的政策将紧急模式转化为促进经济增长,因此美联储现在必须应对预计将在未来几个月迅速走强的经济。</blockquote></p><p> Officials will release an interest rate policy decision and their first economic projections of 2021 at 2 p.m. on Wednesday, and they are virtually certain to leave borrowing costs unchanged at near zero.</p><p><blockquote>官员们将于周三下午2点发布利率政策决定和2021年的首次经济预测,他们几乎肯定会将借贷成本保持在接近于零的水平不变。</blockquote></p><p> But analysts and Wall Street investors alike are eager to see whether growing economic optimism will shake up the outlook for policy in the months and years ahead.</p><p><blockquote>但分析师和华尔街投资者都渴望看到日益增长的经济乐观情绪是否会动摇未来几个月和几年的政策前景。</blockquote></p><p> The Fedslashed interest rates to rock bottoma year ago as the pandemic shut down huge swaths of the economy. It has also been buying $120 billion in bonds per month, a policy meant to keep credit cheap and help the economy rebound from a virus that has thrown millions out of work.</p><p><blockquote>一年前,由于疫情关闭了大部分经济,美联储将利率降至谷底。它还每月购买 1200 亿美元的债券,这项政策旨在保持信贷便宜,并帮助经济从导致数百万人失业的病毒中反弹。</blockquote></p><p> Jerome H. Powell, the Fed chair, has been clear for months that officials expect to be patient in removing that policy help — a cautious tone that he is expected to maintain at a news conference on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>美联储主席杰罗姆·H·鲍威尔(Jerome H. Powell)几个月来一直明确表示,官员们希望在取消政策帮助时保持耐心——预计他将在周三的新闻发布会上保持谨慎的语气。</blockquote></p><p> “This is one of the most critical Fed meetings we’ve had in a while,” said Michelle Meyer, head of U.S. economists at Bank of America Merrill Lynch. “Markets are really paying attention, and they’re going to dissect everything he says.”</p><p><blockquote>“美银美林美国经济学家主管米歇尔-迈耶(Michelle Meyer)说:”这是我们一段时间以来召开的最关键的美联储会议之一。“市场真的很关注,他们会剖析他说的每一句话”。</blockquote></p><p> That’s because theeconomic backdrop is shifting. Coronavirus vaccines are fueling hopes for reopening parts of the service sector. A freshly signed stimulus package will pump $1.9 trillion into the economy, with an eye on preventing evictions, funneling cash to parents and putting $1,400 checks directly into bank accounts.</p><p><blockquote>这是因为经济背景正在发生变化。冠状病毒疫苗正在燃起重新开放部分服务业的希望。新签署的刺激计划将向经济注入 1.9 万亿美元,重点是防止驱逐、向父母提供现金以及将 1,400 美元支票直接存入银行账户。</blockquote></p><p> Against that improving backdrop, economists in aBloomberg surveyexpect the Fed to increase rates twice in 2023, the news outlet reported. In December, they typically expected rates to remain on hold until 2024 or later.</p><p><blockquote>据该新闻媒体报道,在这种改善的背景下,彭博社调查中的经济学家预计美联储将在 2023 年加息两次。12 月份,他们通常预计利率将维持不变,直到 2024 年或更晚。</blockquote></p><p> As investors expect faster growth,higher inflationand a quicker-moving Fed, they have pushed up the yield on 10-year Treasury notes. That has weighed on stock indexes, which tend to fall when rates rise.</p><p><blockquote>由于投资者预期更快的增长、更高的通胀和更快的美联储行动,他们推高了10年期国债收益率。这给股票指数带来了压力,当利率上升时,股票指数往往会下跌。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed’s economic projections — which anonymously report officials’ forecasts for interest rates, unemployment, inflation and growth both through 2023 and in the longer run — could show a shift when they are released on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>美联储的经济预测--匿名报告官员对2023年及更长时间利率、失业率、通胀和增长的预测--在周三发布时可能会显示出转变。</blockquote></p><p> Wall Street will pay particular attention to the inflation forecast and the policy rate path. The Fed’s median interest rate forecast previously showed no rate increases over the next three years, but analysts expect that officials could now pencil in one move in 2023.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街将特别关注通胀预测和政策利率路径。美联储的利率预测中值此前显示,未来三年内不会加息,但分析师预计,官员们现在可能会在 2023 年只加息一次。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1605590967916","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Fed must chart a new course as the economy strengthens.<blockquote>随着经济走强,美联储必须制定新的路线。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Fed must chart a new course as the economy strengthens.<blockquote>随着经济走强,美联储必须制定新的路线。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">NewYork Times</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-03-17 18:36</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p> The Federal Reserve is meeting as vaccines and a nearly $1.9 trillion recovery package raise expectations for growth, and analysts want to see how that changes policy forecasts. The Federal Reserve is staring down a challenge that would have been all but unthinkable a year ago: With its policies seton emergency modeto bolster growth in the face of the pandemic’s shock, it must now navigate an economy that is expected to strengthen rapidly in the coming months.</p><p><blockquote>随着疫苗和近 1.9 万亿美元的复苏计划提高了增长预期,美联储正在召开会议,分析师希望看看这将如何改变政策预测。美联储正面临着一个在一年前几乎是不可想象的挑战: 面对大流行病的冲击,美联储的政策将紧急模式转化为促进经济增长,因此美联储现在必须应对预计将在未来几个月迅速走强的经济。</blockquote></p><p> Officials will release an interest rate policy decision and their first economic projections of 2021 at 2 p.m. on Wednesday, and they are virtually certain to leave borrowing costs unchanged at near zero.</p><p><blockquote>官员们将于周三下午2点发布利率政策决定和2021年的首次经济预测,他们几乎肯定会将借贷成本保持在接近于零的水平不变。</blockquote></p><p> But analysts and Wall Street investors alike are eager to see whether growing economic optimism will shake up the outlook for policy in the months and years ahead.</p><p><blockquote>但分析师和华尔街投资者都渴望看到日益增长的经济乐观情绪是否会动摇未来几个月和几年的政策前景。</blockquote></p><p> The Fedslashed interest rates to rock bottoma year ago as the pandemic shut down huge swaths of the economy. It has also been buying $120 billion in bonds per month, a policy meant to keep credit cheap and help the economy rebound from a virus that has thrown millions out of work.</p><p><blockquote>一年前,由于疫情关闭了大部分经济,美联储将利率降至谷底。它还每月购买 1200 亿美元的债券,这项政策旨在保持信贷便宜,并帮助经济从导致数百万人失业的病毒中反弹。</blockquote></p><p> Jerome H. Powell, the Fed chair, has been clear for months that officials expect to be patient in removing that policy help — a cautious tone that he is expected to maintain at a news conference on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>美联储主席杰罗姆·H·鲍威尔(Jerome H. Powell)几个月来一直明确表示,官员们希望在取消政策帮助时保持耐心——预计他将在周三的新闻发布会上保持谨慎的语气。</blockquote></p><p> “This is one of the most critical Fed meetings we’ve had in a while,” said Michelle Meyer, head of U.S. economists at Bank of America Merrill Lynch. “Markets are really paying attention, and they’re going to dissect everything he says.”</p><p><blockquote>“美银美林美国经济学家主管米歇尔-迈耶(Michelle Meyer)说:”这是我们一段时间以来召开的最关键的美联储会议之一。“市场真的很关注,他们会剖析他说的每一句话”。</blockquote></p><p> That’s because theeconomic backdrop is shifting. Coronavirus vaccines are fueling hopes for reopening parts of the service sector. A freshly signed stimulus package will pump $1.9 trillion into the economy, with an eye on preventing evictions, funneling cash to parents and putting $1,400 checks directly into bank accounts.</p><p><blockquote>这是因为经济背景正在发生变化。冠状病毒疫苗正在燃起重新开放部分服务业的希望。新签署的刺激计划将向经济注入 1.9 万亿美元,重点是防止驱逐、向父母提供现金以及将 1,400 美元支票直接存入银行账户。</blockquote></p><p> Against that improving backdrop, economists in aBloomberg surveyexpect the Fed to increase rates twice in 2023, the news outlet reported. In December, they typically expected rates to remain on hold until 2024 or later.</p><p><blockquote>据该新闻媒体报道,在这种改善的背景下,彭博社调查中的经济学家预计美联储将在 2023 年加息两次。12 月份,他们通常预计利率将维持不变,直到 2024 年或更晚。</blockquote></p><p> As investors expect faster growth,higher inflationand a quicker-moving Fed, they have pushed up the yield on 10-year Treasury notes. That has weighed on stock indexes, which tend to fall when rates rise.</p><p><blockquote>由于投资者预期更快的增长、更高的通胀和更快的美联储行动,他们推高了10年期国债收益率。这给股票指数带来了压力,当利率上升时,股票指数往往会下跌。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed’s economic projections — which anonymously report officials’ forecasts for interest rates, unemployment, inflation and growth both through 2023 and in the longer run — could show a shift when they are released on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>美联储的经济预测--匿名报告官员对2023年及更长时间利率、失业率、通胀和增长的预测--在周三发布时可能会显示出转变。</blockquote></p><p> Wall Street will pay particular attention to the inflation forecast and the policy rate path. The Fed’s median interest rate forecast previously showed no rate increases over the next three years, but analysts expect that officials could now pencil in one move in 2023.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街将特别关注通胀预测和政策利率路径。美联储的利率预测中值此前显示,未来三年内不会加息,但分析师预计,官员们现在可能会在 2023 年只加息一次。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.nytimes.com/2021/03/17/business/federal-reserve-meeting.html\">NewYork Times</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.nytimes.com/2021/03/17/business/federal-reserve-meeting.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1184627788","content_text":"The Federal Reserve is meeting as vaccines and a nearly $1.9 trillion recovery package raise expectations for growth, and analysts want to see how that changes policy forecasts.\n\nThe Federal Reserve is staring down a challenge that would have been all but unthinkable a year ago: With its policies seton emergency modeto bolster growth in the face of the pandemic’s shock, it must now navigate an economy that is expected to strengthen rapidly in the coming months.\nOfficials will release an interest rate policy decision and their first economic projections of 2021 at 2 p.m. on Wednesday, and they are virtually certain to leave borrowing costs unchanged at near zero.\nBut analysts and Wall Street investors alike are eager to see whether growing economic optimism will shake up the outlook for policy in the months and years ahead.\nThe Fedslashed interest rates to rock bottoma year ago as the pandemic shut down huge swaths of the economy. It has also been buying $120 billion in bonds per month, a policy meant to keep credit cheap and help the economy rebound from a virus that has thrown millions out of work.\nJerome H. Powell, the Fed chair, has been clear for months that officials expect to be patient in removing that policy help — a cautious tone that he is expected to maintain at a news conference on Wednesday.\n“This is one of the most critical Fed meetings we’ve had in a while,” said Michelle Meyer, head of U.S. economists at Bank of America Merrill Lynch. “Markets are really paying attention, and they’re going to dissect everything he says.”\nThat’s because theeconomic backdrop is shifting. Coronavirus vaccines are fueling hopes for reopening parts of the service sector. A freshly signed stimulus package will pump $1.9 trillion into the economy, with an eye on preventing evictions, funneling cash to parents and putting $1,400 checks directly into bank accounts.\nAgainst that improving backdrop, economists in aBloomberg surveyexpect the Fed to increase rates twice in 2023, the news outlet reported. In December, they typically expected rates to remain on hold until 2024 or later.\nAs investors expect faster growth,higher inflationand a quicker-moving Fed, they have pushed up the yield on 10-year Treasury notes. That has weighed on stock indexes, which tend to fall when rates rise.\nThe Fed’s economic projections — which anonymously report officials’ forecasts for interest rates, unemployment, inflation and growth both through 2023 and in the longer run — could show a shift when they are released on Wednesday.\nWall Street will pay particular attention to the inflation forecast and the policy rate path. The Fed’s median interest rate forecast previously showed no rate increases over the next three years, but analysts expect that officials could now pencil in one move in 2023.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1079,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":6,"subscribersOnly":false,"subscribersOnlyAccessible":false,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/324813455"}
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