TriciaChang
2021-03-09
We need a recovery!!! Help to comment plss
More Fiscal Stimulus in the United States – Is It Needed?<blockquote>美国需要更多的财政刺激吗?</blockquote>
免责声明:上述内容仅代表发帖人个人观点,不构成本平台的任何投资建议。
分享至
微信
复制链接
精彩评论
我们需要你的真知灼见来填补这片空白
打开APP,发表看法
APP内打开
发表看法
4
4
{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"detailType":1,"isChannel":false,"data":{"magic":2,"id":329550758,"tweetId":"329550758","gmtCreate":1615261073674,"gmtModify":1703486415064,"author":{"id":3560421500323385,"idStr":"3560421500323385","authorId":3560421500323385,"authorIdStr":"3560421500323385","name":"TriciaChang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5cb6619edb253a8bb8b2776c7d9b0e02","vip":1,"userType":1,"introduction":"","boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[],"fanSize":65,"starInvestorFlag":false},"themes":[],"images":[],"coverImages":[],"extraTitle":"","html":"<html><head></head><body><p>We need a recovery!!! Help to comment plss</p></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><p>We need a recovery!!! Help to comment plss</p></body></html>","text":"We need a recovery!!! Help to comment plss","highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/329550758","repostId":1176510115,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1176510115","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1615260653,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1176510115?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-09 11:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"More Fiscal Stimulus in the United States – Is It Needed?<blockquote>美国需要更多的财政刺激吗?</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1176510115","media":"Vantage Point","summary":"The U.S. Senate has approved over the weekend a new round of fiscal stimulus. The emergency spending","content":"<p><b>The U.S. Senate has approved over the weekend a new round of fiscal stimulus. The emergency spending, $1.9 trillion, comes on top of the $4 trillion already spent before Joe Biden became president.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>美国。参议院周末批准了新一轮财政刺激计划。1.9万亿美元的紧急支出是在乔·拜登成为总统之前已经花费的4万亿美元之上的。</b></blockquote></p><p> The vast amount of money dwarfs anything seen in other parts of the world. For example, a quick comparison between the United States’ fiscal response and the one in the Eurozone reveals a huge difference. Not only that Europe is more conservative, but the fiscal stimulus is less than half of the output gap, while in America it is more than double.</p><p><blockquote>巨额资金使世界其他地方的任何东西都相形见绌。例如,快速比较一下美国和欧元区的财政反应就会发现巨大的差异。不仅如此,欧洲更加保守,财政刺激还不到产出缺口的一半,而美国则是两倍多。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/052ef4a171706432d9e4fedacfd24bd4\" tg-width=\"1149\" tg-height=\"794\"><b>Implications for Financial Markets</b></p><p><blockquote><b>对金融市场的影响</b></blockquote></p><p> Based on what happened in the past with the previous checks received by Americans, a big part of the stimulus will be saved. The savings rate did increase during the health crisis, as it does on economic uncertainty.</p><p><blockquote>根据美国人以前收到的支票过去发生的情况,刺激计划的很大一部分将被挽救。储蓄率在健康危机期间确实有所上升,就像在经济不确定性期间一样。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7a655f68597371ee3304a68dc02ca2ca\" tg-width=\"878\" tg-height=\"869\">Also, a big part of it will find its way to the stock market. Americans, and especially retail traders, have invested part of the stimulus money they received, so the stock market should get another boost on the back of it.</p><p><blockquote>此外,其中很大一部分将进入股市。美国人,尤其是散户交易者,已经投资了他们收到的部分刺激资金,因此股市应该会在此基础上再次提振。</blockquote></p><p> How about the dollar? How come that the dollar is rising when the logical response should be the opposite?</p><p><blockquote>美元怎么样?为什么美元在上涨,而合乎逻辑的反应应该是相反的?</blockquote></p><p> The answer comes from the world’s reserve status that the American dollar has. Most debt in the world is issued in American dollars, and the health crisis led to nations’ debt level increasing dramatically. However, such debt needs to be paid sometimes down the road, in the form of interest and principal. Therefore, the demand for dollars increases exponentially as the world issues more debt denominated in dollars. More precisely, despite the fact that the Fed keeps an easy monetary policy and despite the huge fiscal stimulus, the world needs dollars.</p><p><blockquote>答案来自美元的世界储备地位。世界上大多数债务都是以美元发行的,健康危机导致各国的债务水平急剧增加。然而,这种债务有时需要以利息和本金的形式偿还。因此,随着世界发行更多以美元计价的债务,对美元的需求呈指数级增长。更准确地说,尽管美联储保持宽松的货币政策,尽管实施了巨额财政刺激,但世界需要美元。</blockquote></p><p> At this point, the debate is whether the new round of stimulus is needed or not? After all, the NFP report last Friday showed a strong labor market and a declining unemployment rate. In other words, the economy is recovering much faster than expected. Therefore, some critics argue that the new round of fiscal stimulus will lead to the economy overheating and inflation shooting much higher than the Fed wants.</p><p><blockquote>在这一点上,争论的焦点是是否需要新一轮刺激?毕竟,上周五的NFP报告显示劳动力市场强劲,失业率下降。换句话说,经济复苏速度远超预期。因此,一些批评人士认为,新一轮财政刺激将导致经济过热,通胀射出远高于美联储希望的水平。</blockquote></p><p> The months ahead are critical to the inflation narrative, especially because the price of oil is above $65. Higher oil prices coupled with more dollars on the market may lead to much higher inflation that the Fed wants to see.</p><p><blockquote>未来几个月对于通胀叙事至关重要,特别是因为油价高于65美元。更高的油价加上市场上更多的美元可能会导致美联储希望看到的更高的通胀。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1614859619341","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>More Fiscal Stimulus in the United States – Is It Needed?<blockquote>美国需要更多的财政刺激吗?</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMore Fiscal Stimulus in the United States – Is It Needed?<blockquote>美国需要更多的财政刺激吗?</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Vantage Point</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-03-09 11:30</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>The U.S. Senate has approved over the weekend a new round of fiscal stimulus. The emergency spending, $1.9 trillion, comes on top of the $4 trillion already spent before Joe Biden became president.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>美国。参议院周末批准了新一轮财政刺激计划。1.9万亿美元的紧急支出是在乔·拜登成为总统之前已经花费的4万亿美元之上的。</b></blockquote></p><p> The vast amount of money dwarfs anything seen in other parts of the world. For example, a quick comparison between the United States’ fiscal response and the one in the Eurozone reveals a huge difference. Not only that Europe is more conservative, but the fiscal stimulus is less than half of the output gap, while in America it is more than double.</p><p><blockquote>巨额资金使世界其他地方的任何东西都相形见绌。例如,快速比较一下美国和欧元区的财政反应就会发现巨大的差异。不仅如此,欧洲更加保守,财政刺激还不到产出缺口的一半,而美国则是两倍多。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/052ef4a171706432d9e4fedacfd24bd4\" tg-width=\"1149\" tg-height=\"794\"><b>Implications for Financial Markets</b></p><p><blockquote><b>对金融市场的影响</b></blockquote></p><p> Based on what happened in the past with the previous checks received by Americans, a big part of the stimulus will be saved. The savings rate did increase during the health crisis, as it does on economic uncertainty.</p><p><blockquote>根据美国人以前收到的支票过去发生的情况,刺激计划的很大一部分将被挽救。储蓄率在健康危机期间确实有所上升,就像在经济不确定性期间一样。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7a655f68597371ee3304a68dc02ca2ca\" tg-width=\"878\" tg-height=\"869\">Also, a big part of it will find its way to the stock market. Americans, and especially retail traders, have invested part of the stimulus money they received, so the stock market should get another boost on the back of it.</p><p><blockquote>此外,其中很大一部分将进入股市。美国人,尤其是散户交易者,已经投资了他们收到的部分刺激资金,因此股市应该会在此基础上再次提振。</blockquote></p><p> How about the dollar? How come that the dollar is rising when the logical response should be the opposite?</p><p><blockquote>美元怎么样?为什么美元在上涨,而合乎逻辑的反应应该是相反的?</blockquote></p><p> The answer comes from the world’s reserve status that the American dollar has. Most debt in the world is issued in American dollars, and the health crisis led to nations’ debt level increasing dramatically. However, such debt needs to be paid sometimes down the road, in the form of interest and principal. Therefore, the demand for dollars increases exponentially as the world issues more debt denominated in dollars. More precisely, despite the fact that the Fed keeps an easy monetary policy and despite the huge fiscal stimulus, the world needs dollars.</p><p><blockquote>答案来自美元的世界储备地位。世界上大多数债务都是以美元发行的,健康危机导致各国的债务水平急剧增加。然而,这种债务有时需要以利息和本金的形式偿还。因此,随着世界发行更多以美元计价的债务,对美元的需求呈指数级增长。更准确地说,尽管美联储保持宽松的货币政策,尽管实施了巨额财政刺激,但世界需要美元。</blockquote></p><p> At this point, the debate is whether the new round of stimulus is needed or not? After all, the NFP report last Friday showed a strong labor market and a declining unemployment rate. In other words, the economy is recovering much faster than expected. Therefore, some critics argue that the new round of fiscal stimulus will lead to the economy overheating and inflation shooting much higher than the Fed wants.</p><p><blockquote>在这一点上,争论的焦点是是否需要新一轮刺激?毕竟,上周五的NFP报告显示劳动力市场强劲,失业率下降。换句话说,经济复苏速度远超预期。因此,一些批评人士认为,新一轮财政刺激将导致经济过热,通胀射出远高于美联储希望的水平。</blockquote></p><p> The months ahead are critical to the inflation narrative, especially because the price of oil is above $65. Higher oil prices coupled with more dollars on the market may lead to much higher inflation that the Fed wants to see.</p><p><blockquote>未来几个月对于通胀叙事至关重要,特别是因为油价高于65美元。更高的油价加上市场上更多的美元可能会导致美联储希望看到的更高的通胀。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://vantagepointtrading.com/news/more-fiscal-stimulus-in-the-united-states-is-it-needed/\">Vantage Point</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://vantagepointtrading.com/news/more-fiscal-stimulus-in-the-united-states-is-it-needed/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1176510115","content_text":"The U.S. Senate has approved over the weekend a new round of fiscal stimulus. The emergency spending, $1.9 trillion, comes on top of the $4 trillion already spent before Joe Biden became president.\nThe vast amount of money dwarfs anything seen in other parts of the world. For example, a quick comparison between the United States’ fiscal response and the one in the Eurozone reveals a huge difference. Not only that Europe is more conservative, but the fiscal stimulus is less than half of the output gap, while in America it is more than double.\nImplications for Financial Markets\nBased on what happened in the past with the previous checks received by Americans, a big part of the stimulus will be saved. The savings rate did increase during the health crisis, as it does on economic uncertainty.\nAlso, a big part of it will find its way to the stock market. Americans, and especially retail traders, have invested part of the stimulus money they received, so the stock market should get another boost on the back of it.\nHow about the dollar? How come that the dollar is rising when the logical response should be the opposite?\nThe answer comes from the world’s reserve status that the American dollar has. Most debt in the world is issued in American dollars, and the health crisis led to nations’ debt level increasing dramatically. However, such debt needs to be paid sometimes down the road, in the form of interest and principal. Therefore, the demand for dollars increases exponentially as the world issues more debt denominated in dollars. More precisely, despite the fact that the Fed keeps an easy monetary policy and despite the huge fiscal stimulus, the world needs dollars.\nAt this point, the debate is whether the new round of stimulus is needed or not? After all, the NFP report last Friday showed a strong labor market and a declining unemployment rate. In other words, the economy is recovering much faster than expected. Therefore, some critics argue that the new round of fiscal stimulus will lead to the economy overheating and inflation shooting much higher than the Fed wants.\nThe months ahead are critical to the inflation narrative, especially because the price of oil is above $65. Higher oil prices coupled with more dollars on the market may lead to much higher inflation that the Fed wants to see.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":440,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":35,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/329550758"}
精彩评论