YueHean
2021-03-24
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After a Record Year for IPOs, What’s Next?<blockquote>在IPO创纪录的一年之后，下一步是什么？</blockquote>
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Whether the streak will con","content":"<p>This year is on pace to set another record for initial public offerings. Whether the streak will continue depends on how high and quickly interest rates rise—and how quickly the quality of the issuers deteriorates and then fail to rally once they begin trading.</p><p><blockquote>今年有望再创首次公开募股纪录。这种趋势是否会持续取决于利率上升的程度和速度，以及发行人的质量恶化的速度，然后一旦开始交易就无法反弹。</blockquote></p><p> Last year, 457 IPOs raised $168 billion—a new high. Through March 10 of this year, 310 U.S. IPOs raised $102 billion—on pace for a potential $400 billion-plus. By comparison, during the dot-com bubble in 1999, 547 offerings raised $108 billion.</p><p><blockquote>去年，457起IPO筹集了1680亿美元，创下新高。截至今年3月10日，美国有310起IPO筹集了1020亿美元——有望超过4000亿美元。相比之下，在1999年互联网泡沫期间，547次发行筹集了1080亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Approximately 80% of this year’s crop usedspecial purpose acquisition companies, or SPACs,to go public, compared with just 13 last year.</p><p><blockquote>今年大约80%的crop通过特殊目的收购公司(SPAC)上市，而去年只有13家。</blockquote></p><p> In the face of a record issuance of new issues, how is the sector doing? Let’s look at the broadest index of new issues—the Renaissance IPO index,which measures the float of newly listed companies for two years, limiting the exposure of any one company to 10% of the index.</p><p><blockquote>面对创纪录的新股发行，板块表现如何？让我们看看最广泛的新发行指数——文艺复兴IPO指数，该指数衡量新上市公司两年的流通量，将任何一家公司的风险敞口限制在该指数的10%。</blockquote></p><p> After consolidating for two years, the index broke out last May and then doubled to its recent February high of 840. It then corrected quickly, falling 25% to 625, where it met the up-trending 34-week moving average. Price and moving average resistance is in the 750-770 area, with price and moving average support at 625-640.</p><p><blockquote>在盘整两年后，该指数于去年5月爆发，随后翻倍至近期2月高点840点。随后迅速回调，下跌25%至625点，并触及上升趋势的34周移动平均线。价格和移动平均线阻力在750-770区域，价格和移动平均线支撑在625-640。</blockquote></p><p> We now have clear parameters. The IPO index would project to new highs if hurdled 775 resistance. But breaking below 620 would lead to a decline to the low 500s.</p><p><blockquote>我们现在有了明确的参数。如果突破775阻力位，IPO指数将创下新高。但跌破620点将导致跌至500点低点。</blockquote></p><p> The IPO index began its bull market versus the S&P 500 index when it broke out of a six-year base last May. While still early in its bull market, the IPO Index would weaken further if it broke below support (see dashed trendlines in chart above). If relative strength pulled back further, it would create an oversold condition. And as long as relative strength doesn’t forfeit more than half of its gains, then an oversold condition would set the stage for a resumption of the IPO bull market.</p><p><blockquote>去年5月，IPO指数突破六年低点，开始了相对于标准普尔500指数的牛市。虽然仍处于牛市早期，但如果跌破支撑位，IPO指数将进一步走弱（见上图中的虚线趋势线）。如果相对强度进一步回调，将造成超卖状况。只要相对强势不损失一半以上的涨幅，那么超卖状况将为IPO牛市的恢复奠定基础。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>After a Record Year for IPOs, What’s Next?<blockquote>在IPO创纪录的一年之后，下一步是什么？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAfter a Record Year for IPOs, What’s Next?<blockquote>在IPO创纪录的一年之后，下一步是什么？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-03-24 21:15</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>This year is on pace to set another record for initial public offerings. Whether the streak will continue depends on how high and quickly interest rates rise—and how quickly the quality of the issuers deteriorates and then fail to rally once they begin trading.</p><p><blockquote>今年有望再创首次公开募股纪录。这种趋势是否会持续取决于利率上升的程度和速度，以及发行人的质量恶化的速度，然后一旦开始交易就无法反弹。</blockquote></p><p> Last year, 457 IPOs raised $168 billion—a new high. Through March 10 of this year, 310 U.S. IPOs raised $102 billion—on pace for a potential $400 billion-plus. By comparison, during the dot-com bubble in 1999, 547 offerings raised $108 billion.</p><p><blockquote>去年，457起IPO筹集了1680亿美元，创下新高。截至今年3月10日，美国有310起IPO筹集了1020亿美元——有望超过4000亿美元。相比之下，在1999年互联网泡沫期间，547次发行筹集了1080亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Approximately 80% of this year’s crop usedspecial purpose acquisition companies, or SPACs,to go public, compared with just 13 last year.</p><p><blockquote>今年大约80%的crop通过特殊目的收购公司(SPAC)上市，而去年只有13家。</blockquote></p><p> In the face of a record issuance of new issues, how is the sector doing? Let’s look at the broadest index of new issues—the Renaissance IPO index,which measures the float of newly listed companies for two years, limiting the exposure of any one company to 10% of the index.</p><p><blockquote>面对创纪录的新股发行，板块表现如何？让我们看看最广泛的新发行指数——文艺复兴IPO指数，该指数衡量新上市公司两年的流通量，将任何一家公司的风险敞口限制在该指数的10%。</blockquote></p><p> After consolidating for two years, the index broke out last May and then doubled to its recent February high of 840. It then corrected quickly, falling 25% to 625, where it met the up-trending 34-week moving average. Price and moving average resistance is in the 750-770 area, with price and moving average support at 625-640.</p><p><blockquote>在盘整两年后，该指数于去年5月爆发，随后翻倍至近期2月高点840点。随后迅速回调，下跌25%至625点，并触及上升趋势的34周移动平均线。价格和移动平均线阻力在750-770区域，价格和移动平均线支撑在625-640。</blockquote></p><p> We now have clear parameters. The IPO index would project to new highs if hurdled 775 resistance. But breaking below 620 would lead to a decline to the low 500s.</p><p><blockquote>我们现在有了明确的参数。如果突破775阻力位，IPO指数将创下新高。但跌破620点将导致跌至500点低点。</blockquote></p><p> The IPO index began its bull market versus the S&P 500 index when it broke out of a six-year base last May. While still early in its bull market, the IPO Index would weaken further if it broke below support (see dashed trendlines in chart above). If relative strength pulled back further, it would create an oversold condition. And as long as relative strength doesn’t forfeit more than half of its gains, then an oversold condition would set the stage for a resumption of the IPO bull market.</p><p><blockquote>去年5月，IPO指数突破六年低点，开始了相对于标准普尔500指数的牛市。虽然仍处于牛市早期，但如果跌破支撑位，IPO指数将进一步走弱（见上图中的虚线趋势线）。如果相对强度进一步回调，将造成超卖状况。只要相对强势不损失一半以上的涨幅，那么超卖状况将为IPO牛市的恢复奠定基础。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/whats-next-for-ipos-51616530467?mod=hp_DAY_Theme_1_1\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/whats-next-for-ipos-51616530467?mod=hp_DAY_Theme_1_1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1129479850","content_text":"This year is on pace to set another record for initial public offerings. Whether the streak will continue depends on how high and quickly interest rates rise—and how quickly the quality of the issuers deteriorates and then fail to rally once they begin trading.\nLast year, 457 IPOs raised $168 billion—a new high. Through March 10 of this year, 310 U.S. IPOs raised $102 billion—on pace for a potential $400 billion-plus. By comparison, during the dot-com bubble in 1999, 547 offerings raised $108 billion.\nApproximately 80% of this year’s crop usedspecial purpose acquisition companies, or SPACs,to go public, compared with just 13 last year.\nIn the face of a record issuance of new issues, how is the sector doing? Let’s look at the broadest index of new issues—the Renaissance IPO index,which measures the float of newly listed companies for two years, limiting the exposure of any one company to 10% of the index.\nAfter consolidating for two years, the index broke out last May and then doubled to its recent February high of 840. It then corrected quickly, falling 25% to 625, where it met the up-trending 34-week moving average. Price and moving average resistance is in the 750-770 area, with price and moving average support at 625-640.\nWe now have clear parameters. The IPO index would project to new highs if hurdled 775 resistance. But breaking below 620 would lead to a decline to the low 500s.\nThe IPO index began its bull market versus the S&P 500 index when it broke out of a six-year base last May. While still early in its bull market, the IPO Index would weaken further if it broke below support (see dashed trendlines in chart above). If relative strength pulled back further, it would create an oversold condition. And as long as relative strength doesn’t forfeit more than half of its gains, then an oversold condition would set the stage for a resumption of the IPO bull market.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":276,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":28,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/351693785"}
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