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2021-03-04
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What Will Happen To Bitcoin In The Next Decade?<blockquote>未来十年比特币会发生什么？</blockquote>
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{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"detailType":1,"isChannel":false,"data":{"magic":2,"id":364520896,"tweetId":"364520896","gmtCreate":1614865769115,"gmtModify":1703482182497,"author":{"id":3570678310101837,"idStr":"3570678310101837","authorId":3570678310101837,"authorIdStr":"3570678310101837","name":"Wlkhoo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d7c306314479bd738d275d6ace761fd4","vip":1,"userType":1,"introduction":"","boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[],"wearingBadges":[],"fanSize":0,"starInvestorFlag":false},"themes":[],"images":[],"coverImages":[],"title":"","extraTitle":"","html":"<html><head></head><body><p>👍🏻</p></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><p>👍🏻</p></body></html>","text":"👍🏻","highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/364520896","repostId":1193630485,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1193630485","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1614843805,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1193630485?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-04 15:43","market":"us","language":"en","title":"What Will Happen To Bitcoin In The Next Decade?<blockquote>未来十年比特币会发生什么？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1193630485","media":"Investopedia","summary":"(March 4) When it was introduced to the world a decade ago, bitcoin was supposed to be a revolution ","content":"<p>(March 4) When it was introduced to the world a decade ago, bitcoin was supposed to be a revolution in the finance ecosystem. But that revolution has hardly come to pass. The cryptocurrency’s tumultuous first decade has been marked byscandals, missteps, and wild price swings. The slump in bitcoin’s price this year has been accompanied by afusillade of criticism. But investors and the cryptocurrency’s enthusiasts have doubled down on their optimism regarding its future. As such, the coming decade could prove to be pivotal to its existence.</p><p><blockquote>（3月4日）十年前，当比特币被推向全球时，它被认为是金融生态系统的一场革命。但是这场革命几乎没有发生。加密货币动荡的第一个十年充满了丑闻、失误和价格的剧烈波动。今年比特币价格的暴跌伴随着铺天盖地的批评。但投资者和加密货币爱好者对加密货币的未来更加乐观。因此，未来十年可能对其生存至关重要。</blockquote></p><p><b>A Compromised Vision</b></p><p><blockquote><b>受损的愿景</b></blockquote></p><p>As set forth by its inventor Satoshi Nakamoto in a seminal paper released on Oct. 31, 2008, bitcoin was supposed to be a borderless and decentralized alternative to government- and central bank-controlled fiat currencies. Consensus regarding a transaction within the bitcoin network does not depend on third-party mediators. Instead, it is achieved with the help of blockchain—a peer-to-peer network of systems with electronic ledgers—to verify and authenticate a transaction. “The cost of mediation increases transaction costs, limiting the minimum practical transaction size and cutting off the possibility for small and casual transactions,” wrote Nakamoto to make his case for removing mediation and replacing it with a peer-to-peer network.1</p><p><blockquote>正如其发明者中本聪在 2008 年 10 月 31 日发布的一篇开创性论文中所阐述的那样，比特币应该是政府和央行控制的法定货币的无国界和分散的替代品。关于比特币网络内交易的共识不依赖于第三方中介。相反，它是在区块链的帮助下实现的——一个带有电子账本的点对点系统网络——来验证和认证交易。“调解成本增加了交易成本，限制了最低实际交易规模，切断了小额和随意交易的可能性，”中本聪写道，他认为应该取消调解，代之以点对点网络。1</blockquote></p><p>At the end of bitcoin’s first decade, however, that original vision seems compromised. Decentralization has given way to centralization. Bitcoin whales, or investors who have massive holdings of the cryptocurrency, are said to control its price in the markets. The democratization of printing money through mining has been sacrificed for the efficiency of massive mining farms. For example, Chinese company Bitmain, a semiconductor maker, owns 75% of the market for mining-related application-specific integrated circuits. Even bitcoin’s technology has frayed and is afflicted with scaling problems.2</p><p><blockquote>然而，在比特币第一个十年即将结束时，最初的愿景似乎受到了损害。权力下放已经让位于中央集权。据说比特币鲸鱼，即持有大量加密货币的投资者，可以控制其在市场上的价格。为了提高大型矿场的效率，牺牲了通过采矿印钞的民主化。例如，半导体制造商中国公司比特大陆拥有与采矿相关的专用集成电路75%的市场。即使是比特币的技术也已经磨损，并受到扩展问题的困扰。2</blockquote></p><p>But those negatives are balanced by the growth of a thriving and vibrant ecosystem for crypto. The cryptocurrency market, which did not exist less than a decade ago, is currently worth $1.56 trillion.3</p><p><blockquote>但这些负面影响被蓬勃发展和充满活力的加密生态系统的增长所平衡。不到十年前还不存在的加密货币市场目前价值1.56万亿美元。3</blockquote></p><p>More than 1500 cryptocurrencies have been created and are being traded onexchangessince bitcoin’s debut.3Blockchain has become a household word and is being touted as a solution to complex problems. After initial hesitation, institutional investors are alsomaking a beelinetowards crypto-assets as a form of investment.</p><p><blockquote>自比特币首次亮相以来，已有超过 1500 种加密货币被创建并在交易所进行交易。3 区块链已成为一个家喻户晓的词汇，并被吹捧为解决复杂问题的方案。在最初的犹豫之后，机构投资者也开始将加密资产作为一种投资形式。</blockquote></p><p><b>Evaluating The Next Decade</b></p><p><blockquote><b>评估下一个十年</b></blockquote></p><p>The next decade could prove its importance in bitcoin's evolution. Revolutions within the financial ecosystem apart, there are a couple of areas in bitcoin’s ecosystem that investors should pay close attention to.</p><p><blockquote>未来十年可能会证明它在比特币演变中的重要性。除了金融生态系统内部的革命之外，比特币生态系统中还有几个领域值得投资者密切关注。</blockquote></p><p>Currently, the cryptocurrency is poised between being a store of value and a medium for daily transactions.Institutional investorsare eager to get in on the action and profit from the volatility in its prices even as governments around the world, such as Japan, have declared it a valid form of payment for goods.4</p><p><blockquote>目前，加密货币介于价值储存和日常交易媒介之间。机构投资者渴望参与其中并从其价格波动中获利，尽管日本等世界各国政府已宣布加密货币是一种有效的商品支付方式。4</blockquote></p><p>But problems with scaling and security have prevented both occurrences from happening. “...arguably the biggest failings for bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies over the previous years lies with security,”said Chakib Bouda, CTO at Rambus—a payment firm. He is referring to the billions of dollars’ worth of bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies that have been stolen from exchanges by hackers. According to him, a secure bitcoin ecosystem will lead to widespread adoption. “...we expect in 10 years' time, bitcoin will become mainstream and have a remarkably different reputation,” he said.</p><p><blockquote>但是扩展性和安全性问题阻止了这两种情况的发生。“......可以说，比特币和其他加密货币在前几年最大的缺陷在于安全性，”支付公司 Rambus 的首席技术官 Chakib Bouda 说。他指的是黑客从交易所窃取的价值数十亿美元的比特币和其他加密货币。据他说，一个安全的比特币生态系统将导致广泛采用。“......我们预计，10 年后，比特币将成为主流，并拥有截然不同的声誉，”他说。</blockquote></p><p>The mainstreaming of bitcoin (or, for that matter, increase in its attractiveness as an asset class) as a payment mechanism will not occur without technological improvements in its ecosystem. To be considered a viable investment asset or form of payment, bitcoin’s blockchain should be able to handle millions of transactions in a short span of time. Several new technologies, such asLightning Network, promise scale in its operations.</p><p><blockquote>如果没有生态系统的技术改进，比特币作为一种支付机制的主流化（或者就此而言，增加其作为一种资产类别的吸引力）就不会发生。要想被视为一种可行的投资资产或支付形式，比特币的区块链应该能够在短时间内处理数百万笔交易。几项新技术，如轻型网络，有望扩大其运营规模。</blockquote></p><p>Along with improvements in bitcoin’s blockchain, Ripple’s CTO David Schwartz,compared bitcoin to Ford’s Model Tin 2018. The automobile's manufacturer heralded a revolution in transportation and an entire ecosystem, from highways to gas stations, evolved to serve the automobile. Thanks to extensive media coverage, the beginnings of an ecosystem have already taken root in the last couple of years.</p><p><blockquote>除了比特币区块链的改进，Ripple 的首席技术官 David Schwartz 还将比特币与福特 2018 年的 Model Tin 进行了比较。这家汽车制造商预示着交通运输的一场革命，从高速公路到加油站的整个生态系统都在不断发展，为汽车服务。由于媒体的广泛报道，一个生态系统的开端已经在过去几年中扎根。</blockquote></p><p>As regulation evolves to keep pace, it is likely that the ecosystem will expand. Schwartz predicts that the next decade will “bring an explosion of low-cost, high-speed payments that will transform value exchange the way the Internet transformed information exchange.\"</p><p><blockquote>随着监管的发展跟上步伐，生态系统很可能会扩大。施瓦茨预测，未来十年将 “带来低成本、高速支付的爆炸式增长，这将像互联网改变信息交换一样改变价值交换”。</blockquote></p><p></p><p>So far in 2021, as of March 2021, the price of Bitcoin has topped $50,000 and traded close to $60,000. Large banks are continuing to take notice of the cryptocurrency, with Goldman Sachs reopening its crypto trading desk and BNY Mellon opening custody services for digital currencies.</p><p><blockquote>2021年到目前为止，截至2021年3月，比特币的价格已经突破5万美元，交易价格接近6万美元。大型银行继续关注加密货币，高盛重新开放了其加密货币交易柜台，纽约梅隆银行开设了数字货币托管服务。</blockquote></p><p>Citi saidbitcoin could be the currency of choicefor international trade. This comes as both PayPal (PYPL) and Tesla (TSLA) made investments in cryptocurrency in early 2021. Teslabought$1.5 billion in bitcoin, while PayPalmade a bid to buycrypto custodian Curv. Citi noted that bitcoin’s future is still very uncertain, but that it’s on the cusp of mainstream acceptance. The institutional investor interest is driving broad interest in the cryptocurrency, but issues over custody, security, and capital efficiency are still headwinds for the digital asset, noted Citi.</p><p><blockquote>花旗表示，比特币可能成为国际贸易的首选货币。与此同时，PayPal (PYPL) 和特斯拉 (TSLA) 都在 2021 年初投资了加密货币。特斯拉在比特币斥资 15 亿美元收购，而 PayPal 则出价收购加密货币托管人 Curv。花旗指出，比特币的未来仍然非常不确定，但它正处于被主流接受的风口浪尖。花旗指出，机构投资者的兴趣正在推动人们对加密货币的广泛兴趣，但托管、安全性和资本效率问题仍然是这种数字资产的阻力。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1606203311635","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>What Will Happen To Bitcoin In The Next Decade?<blockquote>未来十年比特币会发生什么？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhat Will Happen To Bitcoin In The Next Decade?<blockquote>未来十年比特币会发生什么？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Investopedia</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-03-04 15:43</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(March 4) When it was introduced to the world a decade ago, bitcoin was supposed to be a revolution in the finance ecosystem. But that revolution has hardly come to pass. The cryptocurrency’s tumultuous first decade has been marked byscandals, missteps, and wild price swings. The slump in bitcoin’s price this year has been accompanied by afusillade of criticism. But investors and the cryptocurrency’s enthusiasts have doubled down on their optimism regarding its future. As such, the coming decade could prove to be pivotal to its existence.</p><p><blockquote>（3月4日）十年前，当比特币被推向全球时，它被认为是金融生态系统的一场革命。但是这场革命几乎没有发生。加密货币动荡的第一个十年充满了丑闻、失误和价格的剧烈波动。今年比特币价格的暴跌伴随着铺天盖地的批评。但投资者和加密货币爱好者对加密货币的未来更加乐观。因此，未来十年可能对其生存至关重要。</blockquote></p><p><b>A Compromised Vision</b></p><p><blockquote><b>受损的愿景</b></blockquote></p><p>As set forth by its inventor Satoshi Nakamoto in a seminal paper released on Oct. 31, 2008, bitcoin was supposed to be a borderless and decentralized alternative to government- and central bank-controlled fiat currencies. Consensus regarding a transaction within the bitcoin network does not depend on third-party mediators. Instead, it is achieved with the help of blockchain—a peer-to-peer network of systems with electronic ledgers—to verify and authenticate a transaction. “The cost of mediation increases transaction costs, limiting the minimum practical transaction size and cutting off the possibility for small and casual transactions,” wrote Nakamoto to make his case for removing mediation and replacing it with a peer-to-peer network.1</p><p><blockquote>正如其发明者中本聪在 2008 年 10 月 31 日发布的一篇开创性论文中所阐述的那样，比特币应该是政府和央行控制的法定货币的无国界和分散的替代品。关于比特币网络内交易的共识不依赖于第三方中介。相反，它是在区块链的帮助下实现的——一个带有电子账本的点对点系统网络——来验证和认证交易。“调解成本增加了交易成本，限制了最低实际交易规模，切断了小额和随意交易的可能性，”中本聪写道，他认为应该取消调解，代之以点对点网络。1</blockquote></p><p>At the end of bitcoin’s first decade, however, that original vision seems compromised. Decentralization has given way to centralization. Bitcoin whales, or investors who have massive holdings of the cryptocurrency, are said to control its price in the markets. The democratization of printing money through mining has been sacrificed for the efficiency of massive mining farms. For example, Chinese company Bitmain, a semiconductor maker, owns 75% of the market for mining-related application-specific integrated circuits. Even bitcoin’s technology has frayed and is afflicted with scaling problems.2</p><p><blockquote>然而，在比特币第一个十年即将结束时，最初的愿景似乎受到了损害。权力下放已经让位于中央集权。据说比特币鲸鱼，即持有大量加密货币的投资者，可以控制其在市场上的价格。为了提高大型矿场的效率，牺牲了通过采矿印钞的民主化。例如，半导体制造商中国公司比特大陆拥有与采矿相关的专用集成电路75%的市场。即使是比特币的技术也已经磨损，并受到扩展问题的困扰。2</blockquote></p><p>But those negatives are balanced by the growth of a thriving and vibrant ecosystem for crypto. The cryptocurrency market, which did not exist less than a decade ago, is currently worth $1.56 trillion.3</p><p><blockquote>但这些负面影响被蓬勃发展和充满活力的加密生态系统的增长所平衡。不到十年前还不存在的加密货币市场目前价值1.56万亿美元。3</blockquote></p><p>More than 1500 cryptocurrencies have been created and are being traded onexchangessince bitcoin’s debut.3Blockchain has become a household word and is being touted as a solution to complex problems. After initial hesitation, institutional investors are alsomaking a beelinetowards crypto-assets as a form of investment.</p><p><blockquote>自比特币首次亮相以来，已有超过 1500 种加密货币被创建并在交易所进行交易。3 区块链已成为一个家喻户晓的词汇，并被吹捧为解决复杂问题的方案。在最初的犹豫之后，机构投资者也开始将加密资产作为一种投资形式。</blockquote></p><p><b>Evaluating The Next Decade</b></p><p><blockquote><b>评估下一个十年</b></blockquote></p><p>The next decade could prove its importance in bitcoin's evolution. Revolutions within the financial ecosystem apart, there are a couple of areas in bitcoin’s ecosystem that investors should pay close attention to.</p><p><blockquote>未来十年可能会证明它在比特币演变中的重要性。除了金融生态系统内部的革命之外，比特币生态系统中还有几个领域值得投资者密切关注。</blockquote></p><p>Currently, the cryptocurrency is poised between being a store of value and a medium for daily transactions.Institutional investorsare eager to get in on the action and profit from the volatility in its prices even as governments around the world, such as Japan, have declared it a valid form of payment for goods.4</p><p><blockquote>目前，加密货币介于价值储存和日常交易媒介之间。机构投资者渴望参与其中并从其价格波动中获利，尽管日本等世界各国政府已宣布加密货币是一种有效的商品支付方式。4</blockquote></p><p>But problems with scaling and security have prevented both occurrences from happening. “...arguably the biggest failings for bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies over the previous years lies with security,”said Chakib Bouda, CTO at Rambus—a payment firm. He is referring to the billions of dollars’ worth of bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies that have been stolen from exchanges by hackers. According to him, a secure bitcoin ecosystem will lead to widespread adoption. “...we expect in 10 years' time, bitcoin will become mainstream and have a remarkably different reputation,” he said.</p><p><blockquote>但是扩展性和安全性问题阻止了这两种情况的发生。“......可以说，比特币和其他加密货币在前几年最大的缺陷在于安全性，”支付公司 Rambus 的首席技术官 Chakib Bouda 说。他指的是黑客从交易所窃取的价值数十亿美元的比特币和其他加密货币。据他说，一个安全的比特币生态系统将导致广泛采用。“......我们预计，10 年后，比特币将成为主流，并拥有截然不同的声誉，”他说。</blockquote></p><p>The mainstreaming of bitcoin (or, for that matter, increase in its attractiveness as an asset class) as a payment mechanism will not occur without technological improvements in its ecosystem. To be considered a viable investment asset or form of payment, bitcoin’s blockchain should be able to handle millions of transactions in a short span of time. Several new technologies, such asLightning Network, promise scale in its operations.</p><p><blockquote>如果没有生态系统的技术改进，比特币作为一种支付机制的主流化（或者就此而言，增加其作为一种资产类别的吸引力）就不会发生。要想被视为一种可行的投资资产或支付形式，比特币的区块链应该能够在短时间内处理数百万笔交易。几项新技术，如轻型网络，有望扩大其运营规模。</blockquote></p><p>Along with improvements in bitcoin’s blockchain, Ripple’s CTO David Schwartz,compared bitcoin to Ford’s Model Tin 2018. The automobile's manufacturer heralded a revolution in transportation and an entire ecosystem, from highways to gas stations, evolved to serve the automobile. Thanks to extensive media coverage, the beginnings of an ecosystem have already taken root in the last couple of years.</p><p><blockquote>除了比特币区块链的改进，Ripple 的首席技术官 David Schwartz 还将比特币与福特 2018 年的 Model Tin 进行了比较。这家汽车制造商预示着交通运输的一场革命，从高速公路到加油站的整个生态系统都在不断发展，为汽车服务。由于媒体的广泛报道，一个生态系统的开端已经在过去几年中扎根。</blockquote></p><p>As regulation evolves to keep pace, it is likely that the ecosystem will expand. Schwartz predicts that the next decade will “bring an explosion of low-cost, high-speed payments that will transform value exchange the way the Internet transformed information exchange.\"</p><p><blockquote>随着监管的发展跟上步伐，生态系统很可能会扩大。施瓦茨预测，未来十年将 “带来低成本、高速支付的爆炸式增长，这将像互联网改变信息交换一样改变价值交换”。</blockquote></p><p></p><p>So far in 2021, as of March 2021, the price of Bitcoin has topped $50,000 and traded close to $60,000. Large banks are continuing to take notice of the cryptocurrency, with Goldman Sachs reopening its crypto trading desk and BNY Mellon opening custody services for digital currencies.</p><p><blockquote>2021年到目前为止，截至2021年3月，比特币的价格已经突破5万美元，交易价格接近6万美元。大型银行继续关注加密货币，高盛重新开放了其加密货币交易柜台，纽约梅隆银行开设了数字货币托管服务。</blockquote></p><p>Citi saidbitcoin could be the currency of choicefor international trade. This comes as both PayPal (PYPL) and Tesla (TSLA) made investments in cryptocurrency in early 2021. Teslabought$1.5 billion in bitcoin, while PayPalmade a bid to buycrypto custodian Curv. Citi noted that bitcoin’s future is still very uncertain, but that it’s on the cusp of mainstream acceptance. The institutional investor interest is driving broad interest in the cryptocurrency, but issues over custody, security, and capital efficiency are still headwinds for the digital asset, noted Citi.</p><p><blockquote>花旗表示，比特币可能成为国际贸易的首选货币。与此同时，PayPal (PYPL) 和特斯拉 (TSLA) 都在 2021 年初投资了加密货币。特斯拉在比特币斥资 15 亿美元收购，而 PayPal 则出价收购加密货币托管人 Curv。花旗指出，比特币的未来仍然非常不确定，但它正处于被主流接受的风口浪尖。花旗指出，机构投资者的兴趣正在推动人们对加密货币的广泛兴趣，但托管、安全性和资本效率问题仍然是这种数字资产的阻力。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.investopedia.com/tech/what-will-happen-bitcoin-next-decade/?utm_campaign=quote-yahoo&utm_source=yahoo&utm_medium=referral\">Investopedia</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PYPL":"PayPal","MARA":"MARA Holdings","GBTC":"比特币ETF-Grayscale","MSTR":"Strategy","OBTC":"Osprey Bitcoin Trust"},"source_url":"https://www.investopedia.com/tech/what-will-happen-bitcoin-next-decade/?utm_campaign=quote-yahoo&utm_source=yahoo&utm_medium=referral","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1193630485","content_text":"(March 4) When it was introduced to the world a decade ago, bitcoin was supposed to be a revolution in the finance ecosystem. But that revolution has hardly come to pass. The cryptocurrency’s tumultuous first decade has been marked byscandals, missteps, and wild price swings. The slump in bitcoin’s price this year has been accompanied by afusillade of criticism. But investors and the cryptocurrency’s enthusiasts have doubled down on their optimism regarding its future. As such, the coming decade could prove to be pivotal to its existence.A Compromised VisionAs set forth by its inventor Satoshi Nakamoto in a seminal paper released on Oct. 31, 2008, bitcoin was supposed to be a borderless and decentralized alternative to government- and central bank-controlled fiat currencies. Consensus regarding a transaction within the bitcoin network does not depend on third-party mediators. Instead, it is achieved with the help of blockchain—a peer-to-peer network of systems with electronic ledgers—to verify and authenticate a transaction. “The cost of mediation increases transaction costs, limiting the minimum practical transaction size and cutting off the possibility for small and casual transactions,” wrote Nakamoto to make his case for removing mediation and replacing it with a peer-to-peer network.1At the end of bitcoin’s first decade, however, that original vision seems compromised. Decentralization has given way to centralization. Bitcoin whales, or investors who have massive holdings of the cryptocurrency, are said to control its price in the markets. The democratization of printing money through mining has been sacrificed for the efficiency of massive mining farms. For example, Chinese company Bitmain, a semiconductor maker, owns 75% of the market for mining-related application-specific integrated circuits. Even bitcoin’s technology has frayed and is afflicted with scaling problems.2But those negatives are balanced by the growth of a thriving and vibrant ecosystem for crypto. The cryptocurrency market, which did not exist less than a decade ago, is currently worth $1.56 trillion.3More than 1500 cryptocurrencies have been created and are being traded onexchangessince bitcoin’s debut.3Blockchain has become a household word and is being touted as a solution to complex problems. After initial hesitation, institutional investors are alsomaking a beelinetowards crypto-assets as a form of investment.Evaluating The Next DecadeThe next decade could prove its importance in bitcoin's evolution. Revolutions within the financial ecosystem apart, there are a couple of areas in bitcoin’s ecosystem that investors should pay close attention to.Currently, the cryptocurrency is poised between being a store of value and a medium for daily transactions.Institutional investorsare eager to get in on the action and profit from the volatility in its prices even as governments around the world, such as Japan, have declared it a valid form of payment for goods.4But problems with scaling and security have prevented both occurrences from happening. “...arguably the biggest failings for bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies over the previous years lies with security,”said Chakib Bouda, CTO at Rambus—a payment firm. He is referring to the billions of dollars’ worth of bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies that have been stolen from exchanges by hackers. According to him, a secure bitcoin ecosystem will lead to widespread adoption. “...we expect in 10 years' time, bitcoin will become mainstream and have a remarkably different reputation,” he said.The mainstreaming of bitcoin (or, for that matter, increase in its attractiveness as an asset class) as a payment mechanism will not occur without technological improvements in its ecosystem. To be considered a viable investment asset or form of payment, bitcoin’s blockchain should be able to handle millions of transactions in a short span of time. Several new technologies, such asLightning Network, promise scale in its operations.Along with improvements in bitcoin’s blockchain, Ripple’s CTO David Schwartz,compared bitcoin to Ford’s Model Tin 2018. The automobile's manufacturer heralded a revolution in transportation and an entire ecosystem, from highways to gas stations, evolved to serve the automobile. Thanks to extensive media coverage, the beginnings of an ecosystem have already taken root in the last couple of years.As regulation evolves to keep pace, it is likely that the ecosystem will expand. Schwartz predicts that the next decade will “bring an explosion of low-cost, high-speed payments that will transform value exchange the way the Internet transformed information exchange.\"So far in 2021, as of March 2021, the price of Bitcoin has topped $50,000 and traded close to $60,000. Large banks are continuing to take notice of the cryptocurrency, with Goldman Sachs reopening its crypto trading desk and BNY Mellon opening custody services for digital currencies.Citi saidbitcoin could be the currency of choicefor international trade. This comes as both PayPal (PYPL) and Tesla (TSLA) made investments in cryptocurrency in early 2021. Teslabought$1.5 billion in bitcoin, while PayPalmade a bid to buycrypto custodian Curv. Citi noted that bitcoin’s future is still very uncertain, but that it’s on the cusp of mainstream acceptance. The institutional investor interest is driving broad interest in the cryptocurrency, but issues over custody, security, and capital efficiency are still headwinds for the digital asset, noted Citi.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"MARA":0.9,"GBTC":0.9,"MSTR":0.9,"PYPL":0.9,"OBTC":0.9,"SQ":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1074,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":4,"subscribersOnly":false,"subscribersOnlyAccessible":false,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/364520896"}
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