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2021-03-03
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Bitcoin is surging as an inflation hedge, but don't count out gold either<blockquote>比特币作为通胀对冲工具正在飙升,但也不要排除黄金</blockquote>
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That should be good news for gold, a tangible asset with a limited supply that often does well in times of inflation. Central banks can always print more money. Miners can't just magically create more gold.</p><p><blockquote>纽约(CNN商业)通胀担忧导致近期股票和债券市场波动加剧。这对黄金来说应该是个好消息,黄金是一种供应有限的有形资产,在通胀时期往往表现良好。中央银行总是可以印更多的钱。矿工不可能神奇地创造更多的黄金。</blockquote></p><p> Butgoldhas recentlylost some of its lusterthanks to a new financial kid in town: bitcoin. Gold prices are down about 9% this year and are trading nearly 15% below theall-time highof more than $2,000 an ounceset last summer.Meanwhile, bitcoin has soared nearly 70% and is currently hovering just below $50,000 per coin — not far from therecord highit reached last month.Still, fans of gold think the yellow metal is due for a rebound — even if bitcoin continues to march higher as well.The tried and true inflation hedgeGold is a classic fear trade. Prices rallied last year on worries about coronavirus lockdowns crippling the global economy. But gold also does well when investors are worried about inflation — as they are now.</p><p><blockquote>但由于城里出现了一位新的金融小子:比特币,黄金最近失去了一些光彩。金价今年下跌了约9%,比去年夏天创下的每盎司2000多美元的历史高点低了近15%。与此同时,比特币已飙升近70%,目前徘徊在每枚硬币略低于50,000美元,距离上个月创下的历史新高不远。尽管如此,黄金爱好者认为黄金将会反弹——即使比特币也继续走高。久经考验的通胀对冲黄金是一种经典的恐惧交易。去年,由于担心冠状病毒封锁削弱全球经济,价格上涨。但当投资者担心通胀时,黄金也表现良好——就像现在一样。</blockquote></p><p> Plus, the price volatility of bitcoin may make it less attractive than gold to many big institutions looking to protect their cash, despiterecent decisionsby the likes ofTesla(TSLA)andMicroStrategy(MSTR)tohold bitcoinon their balance sheets.</p><p><blockquote>此外,尽管特斯拉(TSLA)和MicroStrategy(MSTR)等公司最近决定在资产负债表上持有比特币,但对于许多寻求保护现金的大型机构来说,比特币的价格波动可能会使其不如黄金更具吸引力。</blockquote></p><p> \"Investors need a serious hedge against inflation, and bitcoin may not offer that,\" said Ipek Ozkardeskaya, senior analyst with Swissquote, in a recent report.Some investors think inflation fears could run rampant again if the US Senate passes President Joe Biden's proposed $1.9 trillion stimulus package. There are questions about whether that much money is really needed now that there are multiple Covid-19 vaccines and more people are returning to work.The worry is that all the federal stimulus money will eventually cause the economy to overheat, leading to even higher inflation. That, in turn, could boost gold prices further.\"The reason that we see higher gold prices is also mainly because the US House passed the stimulus package. We have a real fear of higher inflation,\" Naeem Aslam, chief market analyst with AvaTrade said in a report, adding that more stimulus will \"only fuel the fire\" of inflation.Analysts at European asset manager Amundi are also concerned about a sudden spike in inflation due to higher interest rates as the US economy recovers.They argue that investors need to \"stay vigilant\" and get ahead of this inflation scenario and that buying gold is one way to do so.\"Gold could also provide support amid abundant liquidity in the current environment,\" the Amundi analysts wrote in a report.Analysts from UBS Global Wealth Management also said in a report Tuesday that the recent pullback in gold looked \"overdone\" and that —\"spikes in market uncertainties...could offer support in the short run.\"But bitcoin may be beating gold for good reasonStill, a gold rebound doesn't have to coincide with a bitcoin pullback. In fact, cryptocurrencies could continue be a good bet at a time when bond yields are expected to keep climbing.\"Gold is good for slightly higher inflation but not necessarily much higher real interest rates,\" said Brad Neuman, director of market strategy at Alger, in an interview with CNN Business.Neuman said that although inflation is often accompanied by rising rates, the problem is that rates can spike dramatically and hurt the returns on gold. That might be one of the reasons it has lagged bitcoin lately.</p><p><blockquote>Swissquote高级分析师Ipek Ozkardeskaya在最近的一份报告中表示:“投资者需要认真对冲通胀,而比特币可能无法提供这一点。”一些投资者认为,如果美国参议院通过总统乔·拜登提出的1.9万亿美元刺激计划,通胀担忧可能会再次猖獗。有人质疑,既然有多种新冠肺炎疫苗,越来越多的人重返工作岗位,是否真的需要那么多钱。令人担忧的是,所有的联邦刺激资金最终将导致经济过热,导致更高的通胀。这反过来可能会进一步推高金价。”我们看到金价上涨的原因也主要是因为美国众议院通过了刺激计划。AvaTrade首席市场分析师Naeem Aslam在一份报告中表示:“我们确实担心通胀上升。”他补充说,更多的刺激措施只会“助长”通胀。欧洲资产管理公司Amundi的分析师也担心随着美国经济复苏,利率上升导致通胀突然飙升。他们认为,投资者需要“保持警惕”并领先于这种通胀情景,购买黄金是实现这一目标的一种方式。瑞银全球财富管理公司的分析师在周二的一份报告中还表示,近期黄金的回调看起来“过度”,“市场不确定性的飙升……可能会在短期内提供支撑。”但比特币可能有充分的理由击败黄金尽管如此,黄金反弹并不一定要与比特币回调同时发生。事实上,在债券收益率预计将继续攀升之际,加密货币可能继续是一个不错的选择。Alger市场策略总监Brad Neuman表示:“黄金有利于通胀略高,但不一定有利于实际利率高得多。”接受CNN Business采访。纽曼表示,尽管通胀往往伴随着利率上升,但问题是利率可能会大幅飙升,损害黄金回报。这可能是它最近落后于比特币的原因之一。</blockquote></p><p> As such, Neuman thinks bitcoin — as well as crypto-related companies such asPayPal(PYPL), which now allows users to trade and hold bitcoin on the platform — could be even better bets than gold.Bitcoin backers also point out that the cryptocurrency likely will remain popular with investors who view it as a store of value during times of inflation — justlike gold.The biggest reason bitcoin has surged this year probably has more to do with the fact that investors have come to recognize that the cryptocurrency is even more scarce than gold or other precious metals.There is a cap of just 21 million bitcoins built into its source code. And roughly 18.6 million are already in circulation.\"There is a finite number of coins. That is why bitcoin can replace gold,\" said Steve Ehrlich, CEO ofVoyager Digital(VYGVF), a cyptocurrency brokerage firm. \"It really is more like digital gold and not necessarily a medium for payment.\"Most consumers are unlikely to use gold or bitcoin to actually buy anything, but both assets could wind up being investment winners at a time when consumer prices are rising.</p><p><blockquote>因此,纽曼认为比特币以及PayPal(PYPL)等加密货币相关公司(现在允许用户在该平台上交易和持有比特币)可能是比黄金更好的选择。比特币支持者还指出,加密货币可能仍然受到投资者的欢迎,他们将其视为通货膨胀时期的价值储存手段——就像黄金一样。比特币今年飙升的最大原因可能与投资者开始认识到加密货币比黄金或其他贵金属更加稀缺有关。其源代码中内置的比特币上限仅为2100万个。大约1860万枚已经在流通。“硬币的数量是有限的。这就是为什么比特币可以取代黄金,”加密货币经纪公司Voyager Digital(VYGVF)的首席执行官Steve Ehrlich说。“它实际上更像是数字黄金,不一定是支付媒介。”大多数消费者不太可能使用黄金或比特币来实际购买任何东西,但在消费者价格上涨之际,这两种资产最终可能成为投资赢家。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Bitcoin is surging as an inflation hedge, but don't count out gold either<blockquote>比特币作为通胀对冲工具正在飙升,但也不要排除黄金</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBitcoin is surging as an inflation hedge, but don't count out gold either<blockquote>比特币作为通胀对冲工具正在飙升,但也不要排除黄金</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">CNN</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-03-03 14:23</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>New York (CNN Business)Inflation concerns have led to more volatility in thestockandbond marketsof late. That should be good news for gold, a tangible asset with a limited supply that often does well in times of inflation. Central banks can always print more money. Miners can't just magically create more gold.</p><p><blockquote>纽约(CNN商业)通胀担忧导致近期股票和债券市场波动加剧。这对黄金来说应该是个好消息,黄金是一种供应有限的有形资产,在通胀时期往往表现良好。中央银行总是可以印更多的钱。矿工不可能神奇地创造更多的黄金。</blockquote></p><p> Butgoldhas recentlylost some of its lusterthanks to a new financial kid in town: bitcoin. Gold prices are down about 9% this year and are trading nearly 15% below theall-time highof more than $2,000 an ounceset last summer.Meanwhile, bitcoin has soared nearly 70% and is currently hovering just below $50,000 per coin — not far from therecord highit reached last month.Still, fans of gold think the yellow metal is due for a rebound — even if bitcoin continues to march higher as well.The tried and true inflation hedgeGold is a classic fear trade. Prices rallied last year on worries about coronavirus lockdowns crippling the global economy. But gold also does well when investors are worried about inflation — as they are now.</p><p><blockquote>但由于城里出现了一位新的金融小子:比特币,黄金最近失去了一些光彩。金价今年下跌了约9%,比去年夏天创下的每盎司2000多美元的历史高点低了近15%。与此同时,比特币已飙升近70%,目前徘徊在每枚硬币略低于50,000美元,距离上个月创下的历史新高不远。尽管如此,黄金爱好者认为黄金将会反弹——即使比特币也继续走高。久经考验的通胀对冲黄金是一种经典的恐惧交易。去年,由于担心冠状病毒封锁削弱全球经济,价格上涨。但当投资者担心通胀时,黄金也表现良好——就像现在一样。</blockquote></p><p> Plus, the price volatility of bitcoin may make it less attractive than gold to many big institutions looking to protect their cash, despiterecent decisionsby the likes ofTesla(TSLA)andMicroStrategy(MSTR)tohold bitcoinon their balance sheets.</p><p><blockquote>此外,尽管特斯拉(TSLA)和MicroStrategy(MSTR)等公司最近决定在资产负债表上持有比特币,但对于许多寻求保护现金的大型机构来说,比特币的价格波动可能会使其不如黄金更具吸引力。</blockquote></p><p> \"Investors need a serious hedge against inflation, and bitcoin may not offer that,\" said Ipek Ozkardeskaya, senior analyst with Swissquote, in a recent report.Some investors think inflation fears could run rampant again if the US Senate passes President Joe Biden's proposed $1.9 trillion stimulus package. There are questions about whether that much money is really needed now that there are multiple Covid-19 vaccines and more people are returning to work.The worry is that all the federal stimulus money will eventually cause the economy to overheat, leading to even higher inflation. That, in turn, could boost gold prices further.\"The reason that we see higher gold prices is also mainly because the US House passed the stimulus package. We have a real fear of higher inflation,\" Naeem Aslam, chief market analyst with AvaTrade said in a report, adding that more stimulus will \"only fuel the fire\" of inflation.Analysts at European asset manager Amundi are also concerned about a sudden spike in inflation due to higher interest rates as the US economy recovers.They argue that investors need to \"stay vigilant\" and get ahead of this inflation scenario and that buying gold is one way to do so.\"Gold could also provide support amid abundant liquidity in the current environment,\" the Amundi analysts wrote in a report.Analysts from UBS Global Wealth Management also said in a report Tuesday that the recent pullback in gold looked \"overdone\" and that —\"spikes in market uncertainties...could offer support in the short run.\"But bitcoin may be beating gold for good reasonStill, a gold rebound doesn't have to coincide with a bitcoin pullback. In fact, cryptocurrencies could continue be a good bet at a time when bond yields are expected to keep climbing.\"Gold is good for slightly higher inflation but not necessarily much higher real interest rates,\" said Brad Neuman, director of market strategy at Alger, in an interview with CNN Business.Neuman said that although inflation is often accompanied by rising rates, the problem is that rates can spike dramatically and hurt the returns on gold. That might be one of the reasons it has lagged bitcoin lately.</p><p><blockquote>Swissquote高级分析师Ipek Ozkardeskaya在最近的一份报告中表示:“投资者需要认真对冲通胀,而比特币可能无法提供这一点。”一些投资者认为,如果美国参议院通过总统乔·拜登提出的1.9万亿美元刺激计划,通胀担忧可能会再次猖獗。有人质疑,既然有多种新冠肺炎疫苗,越来越多的人重返工作岗位,是否真的需要那么多钱。令人担忧的是,所有的联邦刺激资金最终将导致经济过热,导致更高的通胀。这反过来可能会进一步推高金价。”我们看到金价上涨的原因也主要是因为美国众议院通过了刺激计划。AvaTrade首席市场分析师Naeem Aslam在一份报告中表示:“我们确实担心通胀上升。”他补充说,更多的刺激措施只会“助长”通胀。欧洲资产管理公司Amundi的分析师也担心随着美国经济复苏,利率上升导致通胀突然飙升。他们认为,投资者需要“保持警惕”并领先于这种通胀情景,购买黄金是实现这一目标的一种方式。瑞银全球财富管理公司的分析师在周二的一份报告中还表示,近期黄金的回调看起来“过度”,“市场不确定性的飙升……可能会在短期内提供支撑。”但比特币可能有充分的理由击败黄金尽管如此,黄金反弹并不一定要与比特币回调同时发生。事实上,在债券收益率预计将继续攀升之际,加密货币可能继续是一个不错的选择。Alger市场策略总监Brad Neuman表示:“黄金有利于通胀略高,但不一定有利于实际利率高得多。”接受CNN Business采访。纽曼表示,尽管通胀往往伴随着利率上升,但问题是利率可能会大幅飙升,损害黄金回报。这可能是它最近落后于比特币的原因之一。</blockquote></p><p> As such, Neuman thinks bitcoin — as well as crypto-related companies such asPayPal(PYPL), which now allows users to trade and hold bitcoin on the platform — could be even better bets than gold.Bitcoin backers also point out that the cryptocurrency likely will remain popular with investors who view it as a store of value during times of inflation — justlike gold.The biggest reason bitcoin has surged this year probably has more to do with the fact that investors have come to recognize that the cryptocurrency is even more scarce than gold or other precious metals.There is a cap of just 21 million bitcoins built into its source code. And roughly 18.6 million are already in circulation.\"There is a finite number of coins. That is why bitcoin can replace gold,\" said Steve Ehrlich, CEO ofVoyager Digital(VYGVF), a cyptocurrency brokerage firm. \"It really is more like digital gold and not necessarily a medium for payment.\"Most consumers are unlikely to use gold or bitcoin to actually buy anything, but both assets could wind up being investment winners at a time when consumer prices are rising.</p><p><blockquote>因此,纽曼认为比特币以及PayPal(PYPL)等加密货币相关公司(现在允许用户在该平台上交易和持有比特币)可能是比黄金更好的选择。比特币支持者还指出,加密货币可能仍然受到投资者的欢迎,他们将其视为通货膨胀时期的价值储存手段——就像黄金一样。比特币今年飙升的最大原因可能与投资者开始认识到加密货币比黄金或其他贵金属更加稀缺有关。其源代码中内置的比特币上限仅为2100万个。大约1860万枚已经在流通。“硬币的数量是有限的。这就是为什么比特币可以取代黄金,”加密货币经纪公司Voyager Digital(VYGVF)的首席执行官Steve Ehrlich说。“它实际上更像是数字黄金,不一定是支付媒介。”大多数消费者不太可能使用黄金或比特币来实际购买任何东西,但在消费者价格上涨之际,这两种资产最终可能成为投资赢家。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://edition.cnn.com/2021/03/02/investing/gold-bitcoin-inflation/index.html\">CNN</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GBTC":"比特币ETF-Grayscale"},"source_url":"https://edition.cnn.com/2021/03/02/investing/gold-bitcoin-inflation/index.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1132659841","content_text":"New York (CNN Business)Inflation concerns have led to more volatility in thestockandbond marketsof late. That should be good news for gold, a tangible asset with a limited supply that often does well in times of inflation. Central banks can always print more money. Miners can't just magically create more gold.\nButgoldhas recentlylost some of its lusterthanks to a new financial kid in town: bitcoin. Gold prices are down about 9% this year and are trading nearly 15% below theall-time highof more than $2,000 an ounceset last summer.Meanwhile, bitcoin has soared nearly 70% and is currently hovering just below $50,000 per coin — not far from therecord highit reached last month.Still, fans of gold think the yellow metal is due for a rebound — even if bitcoin continues to march higher as well.The tried and true inflation hedgeGold is a classic fear trade. Prices rallied last year on worries about coronavirus lockdowns crippling the global economy. But gold also does well when investors are worried about inflation — as they are now.\nPlus, the price volatility of bitcoin may make it less attractive than gold to many big institutions looking to protect their cash, despiterecent decisionsby the likes ofTesla(TSLA)andMicroStrategy(MSTR)tohold bitcoinon their balance sheets.\n\"Investors need a serious hedge against inflation, and bitcoin may not offer that,\" said Ipek Ozkardeskaya, senior analyst with Swissquote, in a recent report.Some investors think inflation fears could run rampant again if the US Senate passes President Joe Biden's proposed $1.9 trillion stimulus package. There are questions about whether that much money is really needed now that there are multiple Covid-19 vaccines and more people are returning to work.The worry is that all the federal stimulus money will eventually cause the economy to overheat, leading to even higher inflation. That, in turn, could boost gold prices further.\"The reason that we see higher gold prices is also mainly because the US House passed the stimulus package. We have a real fear of higher inflation,\" Naeem Aslam, chief market analyst with AvaTrade said in a report, adding that more stimulus will \"only fuel the fire\" of inflation.Analysts at European asset manager Amundi are also concerned about a sudden spike in inflation due to higher interest rates as the US economy recovers.They argue that investors need to \"stay vigilant\" and get ahead of this inflation scenario and that buying gold is one way to do so.\"Gold could also provide support amid abundant liquidity in the current environment,\" the Amundi analysts wrote in a report.Analysts from UBS Global Wealth Management also said in a report Tuesday that the recent pullback in gold looked \"overdone\" and that —\"spikes in market uncertainties...could offer support in the short run.\"But bitcoin may be beating gold for good reasonStill, a gold rebound doesn't have to coincide with a bitcoin pullback. In fact, cryptocurrencies could continue be a good bet at a time when bond yields are expected to keep climbing.\"Gold is good for slightly higher inflation but not necessarily much higher real interest rates,\" said Brad Neuman, director of market strategy at Alger, in an interview with CNN Business.Neuman said that although inflation is often accompanied by rising rates, the problem is that rates can spike dramatically and hurt the returns on gold. That might be one of the reasons it has lagged bitcoin lately.\nAs such, Neuman thinks bitcoin — as well as crypto-related companies such asPayPal(PYPL), which now allows users to trade and hold bitcoin on the platform — could be even better bets than gold.Bitcoin backers also point out that the cryptocurrency likely will remain popular with investors who view it as a store of value during times of inflation — justlike gold.The biggest reason bitcoin has surged this year probably has more to do with the fact that investors have come to recognize that the cryptocurrency is even more scarce than gold or other precious metals.There is a cap of just 21 million bitcoins built into its source code. And roughly 18.6 million are already in circulation.\"There is a finite number of coins. That is why bitcoin can replace gold,\" said Steve Ehrlich, CEO ofVoyager Digital(VYGVF), a cyptocurrency brokerage firm. \"It really is more like digital gold and not necessarily a medium for payment.\"Most consumers are unlikely to use gold or bitcoin to actually buy anything, but both assets could wind up being investment winners at a time when consumer prices are rising.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GBTC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":512,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":14,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/365532891"}
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