GANCL
2021-04-25
Value company for long term investment
Apple’s business is roaring, and investors are about to find out how much of that cash is coming their way<blockquote>苹果的生意蒸蒸日上，投资者们即将知道有多少现金会流向他们</blockquote>
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{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"detailType":1,"isChannel":false,"data":{"magic":2,"id":375528500,"tweetId":"375528500","gmtCreate":1619365168300,"gmtModify":1634273997382,"author":{"id":3566524239552357,"idStr":"3566524239552357","authorId":3566524239552357,"authorIdStr":"3566524239552357","name":"GANCL","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02bdb0309baf16b47e74509dc75824e6","vip":1,"userType":1,"introduction":"","boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[],"wearingBadges":[],"fanSize":26,"starInvestorFlag":false},"themes":[],"images":[],"coverImages":[],"title":"","extraTitle":"","html":"<html><head></head><body><p>Value company for long term investment </p></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><p>Value company for long term investment </p></body></html>","text":"Value company for long term investment","highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/375528500","repostId":2129680033,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2129680033","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1619338263,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/2129680033?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-25 16:11","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple’s business is roaring, and investors are about to find out how much of that cash is coming their way<blockquote>苹果的生意蒸蒸日上，投资者们即将知道有多少现金会流向他们</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2129680033","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Apple earnings preview: After 'more modest' dividend increases in the past two years, Apple could ge","content":"<p>Apple earnings preview: After 'more modest' dividend increases in the past two years, Apple could get back to double-digit dividend growth when it details investor-return plans for the year</p><p><blockquote>苹果盈利预览：在过去两年“更温和”的股息增长之后，苹果在详细说明今年的投资者回报计划时可能会恢复两位数的股息增长</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9c3de8d4d6e2f179b5f904720051de74\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\"><span>Apple's iPad and Mac momentum may have \"accelerated\" in the latest quarter, analyst argues. AFP/Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>分析师认为，苹果iPad和Mac的势头可能在最近一个季度“加速”。法新社/盖蒂图片社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> After posting record sales and profits in its latest fiscal year, Apple Inc. is expected to show how much of its financial success will get delivered back to shareholders this year.</p><p><blockquote>在最近一个财年公布创纪录的销售额和利润后，苹果公司预计将展示其今年将有多少财务成功回馈给股东。</blockquote></p><p> Apple <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$(AAPL)$</a> is expected to increase its dividend and authorize further stock buybacks when it announces fiscal second-quarter earnings Wednesday, part of the company's continued focus on returning money to shareholders as it aims to reduce its sizable cash pile. The company typically makes updates to its capital-return program alongside its March-quarter report, and the coming announcement could be a driver of Apple's post-earnings stock momentum.</p><p><blockquote>苹果<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$(苹果)$</a>预计该公司将在周三公布第二财季收益时增加股息并授权进一步回购股票，这是该公司继续专注于向股东返还资金以减少其可观的现金储备的一部分。该公司通常会在发布三月份季度报告的同时更新其资本回报计划，即将发布的公告可能会推动苹果财报后股价上涨。</blockquote></p><p> \"We think Apple's capital return update could be the most incremental consideration coming out of Apple's upcoming F2Q21 results,\" Wells Fargo analyst Aaron Rakers wrote.</p><p><blockquote>富国银行分析师 Aaron Rakers 写道：“我们认为苹果的资本回报率更新可能是苹果即将发布的 2021 年第二季度业绩中最重要的考虑因素。”</blockquote></p><p> Though Apple shares have nearly doubled in the past year, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTLW\">Morgan Stanley</a>'s Katy Huberty anticipates that the company will remain aggressive with its buybacks. She predicts that the company could add $60 billion to its buyback authorization this quarter, compared with the $50 billion increase that Apple approved a year ago .</p><p><blockquote>尽管苹果股价在过去一年几乎翻了一番，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTLW\">摩根士丹利</a>凯蒂·休伯蒂 (Katy Huberty) 预计该公司将继续积极进行回购。她预测，该公司本季度可能会增加 600 亿美元的回购授权，而苹果一年前批准的回购授权为 500 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Apple's pace of repurchases is unlikely to \"materially slow\" in the next 12 to 18 months, Huberty argued, as she projected that the company could buy back $18 billion worth of its stock each quarter until the end of fiscal 2022. That would reduce the number of shares outstanding by about 3% and leave Apple with a net-cash position of about $75 billion.</p><p><blockquote>休伯蒂认为，苹果的回购步伐在未来 12 至 18 个月内不太可能“大幅放缓”，因为她预计该公司每个季度可以回购价值 180 亿美元的股票，直到 2022 财年结束。这将使流通股数量减少约 3%，苹果的净现金头寸约为 750 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> She also projects a 10% increase in Apple's dividend, which would bring the annual payout to 90 cents a share.</p><p><blockquote>她还预计苹果的股息将增加 10%，这将使每股年度股息达到 90 美分。</blockquote></p><p> Apple's dividend announcement could be a bigger driver of stock performance than the buyback plans, Wells Fargo's Rakers suggested. He thinks Apple could raise its dividend by at least 10%, an increase that would mark the highest annual hike since Apple's 16% bump in 2018 and stand in comparison to the \"more modest\" increases of 5.5% and 6.5% that Apple delivered in 2019 and 2020, respectively.</p><p><blockquote>富国银行的 Rakers 表示，苹果的股息宣布可能比回购计划更能推动股票表现。他认为苹果可能会将股息提高至少 10%，这一增幅将标志着自苹果 2018 年股息上涨 16% 以来的最高年度涨幅，相比之下，苹果分别在 2019 年和 2020 年实现了 5.5% 和 6.5% 的“更温和”增幅。</blockquote></p><p> \"Our positive view on Apple's continued ability to generate strong [free-cash flow] supports our view that the company could return its annual dividend growth trajectory into the double-digit [percent] range,\" he wrote.</p><p><blockquote>他写道：“我们对苹果持续产生强劲[自由现金流]能力的积极看法支持了我们的观点，即该公司可以将年度股息增长轨迹恢复到两位数[百分比]范围。”</blockquote></p><p> Rakers is expecting a roughly $50 billion increase to the buyback program, flat with a year ago.</p><p><blockquote>Rakers 预计回购计划将增加约 500 亿美元，与一年前持平。</blockquote></p><p> The company has set out to become net-cash-neutral, opting against blockbuster acquisitions and in favor of capital returns as it tries to winnow down its sizable net-cash balance, which stood at more than $80 billion as of Apple's last report. But Apple is also generating strong free-cash flow, with Huberty predicting a 30% increase this fiscal year and suggesting that it will take time before Apple achieves its target.</p><p><blockquote>该公司已着手实现净现金中性，选择不进行大规模收购，而支持资本回报，因为它试图减少其可观的净现金余额，截至苹果上一份报告，净现金余额已超过 800 亿美元。但苹果也产生了强劲的自由现金流，休伯蒂预测本财年将增长 30%，并表示苹果实现目标还需要时间。</blockquote></p><p> \"Apple is firing on all cylinders today and even as the company spends nearly $100 billion per year on shareholder returns, we believe the path to a net-cash-neutral position requires multiple more years of sustained strong shareholder returns,\" Huberty wrote.</p><p><blockquote>休伯蒂写道：“苹果今天正在全力以赴，尽管该公司每年在股东回报上花费近 1000 亿美元，但我们相信，实现净现金中性头寸的道路需要多年持续强劲的股东回报。”</blockquote></p><p> Apple repurchased an average of 2.5 million shares a day in the last nine months of 2020, Rakers noted, accounting for about 1.6% of the stock's daily trading volume.</p><p><blockquote>Rakers 指出，苹果在 2020 年最后 9 个月平均每天回购 250 万股股票，约占该股日交易量的 1.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What to expect</b></p><p><blockquote><b>期待什么</b></blockquote></p><p> Earnings: Analysts tracked by FactSet expect that Apple earned 98 cents a share in the latest quarter, up from 64 cents a year earlier. According to Estimize, which crowdsources projections from hedge funds, academics and others, the average estimate calls for $1.02 a share.</p><p><blockquote>盈利：FactSet 追踪的分析师预计，苹果最新季度每股收益为 98 美分，高于去年同期的 64 美分。Estimize 从对冲基金、学者和其他人那里众包预测，平均估计评级为每股 1.02 美元。</blockquote></p><p> Revenue: The FactSet consensus models revenue of $76.7 billion, while the average estimate on Estimize is for $78.3 billion. Apple posted $58.3 billion in revenue during the prior March quarter, as COVID-19 shutdowns affected China and began to cause store closures in other parts of the world.</p><p><blockquote>收入：FactSet 共识模型的收入为 767 亿美元，而 Estimize 的平均估计为 783 亿美元。由于 COVID-19 关闭影响了中国大陆，并开始导致世界其他地区的商店关闭，苹果 3 月份上一季度的收入为 583 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Stock movement: Apple shares have fallen following three of the past five earnings reports. Shares have gained 91% over the past 12 months as the Dow Jones Industrial Average , of which Apple is a component, has risen 44%.</p><p><blockquote>股票走势：过去五份收益报告中有三份发布后，苹果股价下跌。过去 12 个月，苹果所在的道琼斯工业平均指数上涨了 44%，股价上涨了 91%。</blockquote></p><p> Of the 42 analysts tracked by FactSet who cover Apple's stock, 30 have buy ratings, nine have hold ratings, and three have sell ratings, with an average price target of $151.12.</p><p><blockquote>在 FactSet 追踪的 42 位关注苹果股票的分析师中，30 位给予买入评级，9 位给予持有评级，3 位给予卖出评级，平均目标价为 151.12 美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What else to watch for</b></p><p><blockquote><b>还有什么要注意的</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Apple has seen strong momentum in recent quarters amid a surge in demand for Macs and iPads during the pandemic and a successful iPhone 12 launch. Evercore ISI analyst Amit Daryanani predicts that the company continued to see good traction in the March quarter and could deliver results ahead of expectations.</p><p><blockquote>由于疫情期间对 Mac 和 iPad 的需求激增以及 iPhone 12 的成功推出，苹果最近几个季度的发展势头强劲。Evercore ISI 分析师 Amit Daryanani 预测，该公司在三月份季度将继续保持良好的吸引力，并可能超出预期交付业绩。</blockquote></p><p> The company could be more insulated than others from the continuing chip shortage given \"its status as <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> of the largest electronics purchasers in the world,\" Daryanani argued, noting that while manufacturing partner Foxconn mentioned some supply issues, that company said that the component shortage would affect a small fraction of customer orders.</p><p><blockquote>鉴于“其地位”，该公司可能比其他公司更能免受持续芯片短缺的影响<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">一</a>Daryanani 认为，虽然制造合作伙伴富士康提到了一些供应问题，但该公司表示，零部件短缺将影响一小部分客户订单。</blockquote></p><p> Daryanani is upbeat about Apple's iPhone momentum in China and encouraged by Foxconn's indication that March-quarter performance would be better than what's typically seen for this period. That's consistent with Apple's own projections, he noted. He rates the stock at outperform with a $175 price target.</p><p><blockquote>Daryanani 对苹果 iPhone 在中国的发展势头持乐观态度，并对富士康表示 3 月份季度的业绩将好于这一时期的典型表现感到鼓舞。他指出，这与苹果自己的预测一致。他将该股评级为跑赢大盘，目标价为 175 美元。</blockquote></p><p> Wells Fargo's Rakers pointed to \"ongoing positive demand drivers\" but said he was \"reluctant to make a meaningful upside (iPhone-driven) call\" ahead of the release. His iPhone revenue estimate for the quarter is for $38.8 billion, while the FactSet consensus calls for $41.0 billion.</p><p><blockquote>富国银行的 Rakers 指出了“持续的积极需求驱动因素”，但表示他“不愿意在发布之前做出有意义的上行（iPhone 驱动的）看涨期权”。他预计本季度 iPhone 收入为 388 亿美元，而 FactSet 一致认为评级为 410 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Outside of the iPhone, Rakers expects that the company continues to see strong demand for iPads and Macs buoyed by at-home dynamics. He'll also be looking for broader commentary on supply issues.</p><p><blockquote>除了 iPhone 之外，Rakers 预计该公司将继续看到家庭动态推动对 iPad 和 Mac 的强劲需求。他还将寻求对供应问题更广泛的评论。</blockquote></p><p> \"With continued reports of overall semiconductor supply-chain tightness, presumably impacting Apple's Mac and iPad lead times, along with increasing DRAM prices, investors will be focused on Apple's thoughts on overall demand fulfillment and gross margin expectations,\" he wrote, while reiterating an overweight rating on the stock and a $160 target price.</p><p><blockquote>“随着有关整体半导体供应链紧张的持续报道，可能会影响苹果 Mac 和 iPad 的交货时间，以及 DRAM 价格上涨，投资者将关注苹果对整体需求满足和毛利率预期的看法，”他写道，同时重申了跑赢大盘对该股的评级和 160 美元的目标价。</blockquote></p><p> Morgan Stanley's Huberty has \"high confidence\" that Apple will beat March-quarter expectations and she's also expecting an upbeat outlook.</p><p><blockquote>摩根士丹利的休伯蒂“非常有信心”苹果将超出三月份季度的预期，她也预计前景乐观。</blockquote></p><p> \"We believe that much of the consumer and education-market strength that propelled the Mac and iPad to 21% year-over-year and 41% year-over-year growth the December quarter sustained, and even accelerated into the March quarter,\" she wrote, highlighting upbeat third-party Mac data from IDC.</p><p><blockquote>“我们相信，推动 Mac 和 iPad 同比增长 21% 和 41% 的消费者和教育市场力量在 12 月份季度得以维持，甚至加速到 3 月份季度，”她写道，强调了 IDC 乐观的第三方 Mac 数据。</blockquote></p><p> Huberty forecasts $8.2 billion in Mac revenue and $6.8 billion in iPad revenue for the quarter, significantly above the FactSet consensus, which calls for $6.7 billion and $5.6 billion, respectively. She has an overweight rating and $158 price target on Apple shares.</p><p><blockquote>Huberty 预测本季度 Mac 收入为 82 亿美元，iPad 收入为 68 亿美元，远高于 FactSet 的共识，FactSet 的评级分别为 67 亿美元和 56 亿美元。她对苹果股票给予跑赢大盘评级和 158 美元的目标价。</blockquote></p><p> Apple recently introduced new iPads and iMacs that could allow it to continue capitalizing on at-home trends, though these won't factor into the March-quarter numbers.</p><p><blockquote>苹果最近推出了新的 iPad 和 iMac，这可能使其能够继续利用家庭趋势，尽管这些不会计入 3 月份季度的数据。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple’s business is roaring, and investors are about to find out how much of that cash is coming their way<blockquote>苹果的生意蒸蒸日上，投资者们即将知道有多少现金会流向他们</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple’s business is roaring, and investors are about to find out how much of that cash is coming their way<blockquote>苹果的生意蒸蒸日上，投资者们即将知道有多少现金会流向他们</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-04-25 16:11</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Apple earnings preview: After 'more modest' dividend increases in the past two years, Apple could get back to double-digit dividend growth when it details investor-return plans for the year</p><p><blockquote>苹果盈利预览：在过去两年“更温和”的股息增长之后，苹果在详细说明今年的投资者回报计划时可能会恢复两位数的股息增长</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9c3de8d4d6e2f179b5f904720051de74\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\"><span>Apple's iPad and Mac momentum may have \"accelerated\" in the latest quarter, analyst argues. AFP/Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>分析师认为，苹果iPad和Mac的势头可能在最近一个季度“加速”。法新社/盖蒂图片社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> After posting record sales and profits in its latest fiscal year, Apple Inc. is expected to show how much of its financial success will get delivered back to shareholders this year.</p><p><blockquote>在最近一个财年公布创纪录的销售额和利润后，苹果公司预计将展示其今年将有多少财务成功回馈给股东。</blockquote></p><p> Apple <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$(AAPL)$</a> is expected to increase its dividend and authorize further stock buybacks when it announces fiscal second-quarter earnings Wednesday, part of the company's continued focus on returning money to shareholders as it aims to reduce its sizable cash pile. The company typically makes updates to its capital-return program alongside its March-quarter report, and the coming announcement could be a driver of Apple's post-earnings stock momentum.</p><p><blockquote>苹果<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$(苹果)$</a>预计该公司将在周三公布第二财季收益时增加股息并授权进一步回购股票，这是该公司继续专注于向股东返还资金以减少其可观的现金储备的一部分。该公司通常会在发布三月份季度报告的同时更新其资本回报计划，即将发布的公告可能会推动苹果财报后股价上涨。</blockquote></p><p> \"We think Apple's capital return update could be the most incremental consideration coming out of Apple's upcoming F2Q21 results,\" Wells Fargo analyst Aaron Rakers wrote.</p><p><blockquote>富国银行分析师 Aaron Rakers 写道：“我们认为苹果的资本回报率更新可能是苹果即将发布的 2021 年第二季度业绩中最重要的考虑因素。”</blockquote></p><p> Though Apple shares have nearly doubled in the past year, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTLW\">Morgan Stanley</a>'s Katy Huberty anticipates that the company will remain aggressive with its buybacks. She predicts that the company could add $60 billion to its buyback authorization this quarter, compared with the $50 billion increase that Apple approved a year ago .</p><p><blockquote>尽管苹果股价在过去一年几乎翻了一番，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTLW\">摩根士丹利</a>凯蒂·休伯蒂 (Katy Huberty) 预计该公司将继续积极进行回购。她预测，该公司本季度可能会增加 600 亿美元的回购授权，而苹果一年前批准的回购授权为 500 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Apple's pace of repurchases is unlikely to \"materially slow\" in the next 12 to 18 months, Huberty argued, as she projected that the company could buy back $18 billion worth of its stock each quarter until the end of fiscal 2022. That would reduce the number of shares outstanding by about 3% and leave Apple with a net-cash position of about $75 billion.</p><p><blockquote>休伯蒂认为，苹果的回购步伐在未来 12 至 18 个月内不太可能“大幅放缓”，因为她预计该公司每个季度可以回购价值 180 亿美元的股票，直到 2022 财年结束。这将使流通股数量减少约 3%，苹果的净现金头寸约为 750 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> She also projects a 10% increase in Apple's dividend, which would bring the annual payout to 90 cents a share.</p><p><blockquote>她还预计苹果的股息将增加 10%，这将使每股年度股息达到 90 美分。</blockquote></p><p> Apple's dividend announcement could be a bigger driver of stock performance than the buyback plans, Wells Fargo's Rakers suggested. He thinks Apple could raise its dividend by at least 10%, an increase that would mark the highest annual hike since Apple's 16% bump in 2018 and stand in comparison to the \"more modest\" increases of 5.5% and 6.5% that Apple delivered in 2019 and 2020, respectively.</p><p><blockquote>富国银行的 Rakers 表示，苹果的股息宣布可能比回购计划更能推动股票表现。他认为苹果可能会将股息提高至少 10%，这一增幅将标志着自苹果 2018 年股息上涨 16% 以来的最高年度涨幅，相比之下，苹果分别在 2019 年和 2020 年实现了 5.5% 和 6.5% 的“更温和”增幅。</blockquote></p><p> \"Our positive view on Apple's continued ability to generate strong [free-cash flow] supports our view that the company could return its annual dividend growth trajectory into the double-digit [percent] range,\" he wrote.</p><p><blockquote>他写道：“我们对苹果持续产生强劲[自由现金流]能力的积极看法支持了我们的观点，即该公司可以将年度股息增长轨迹恢复到两位数[百分比]范围。”</blockquote></p><p> Rakers is expecting a roughly $50 billion increase to the buyback program, flat with a year ago.</p><p><blockquote>Rakers 预计回购计划将增加约 500 亿美元，与一年前持平。</blockquote></p><p> The company has set out to become net-cash-neutral, opting against blockbuster acquisitions and in favor of capital returns as it tries to winnow down its sizable net-cash balance, which stood at more than $80 billion as of Apple's last report. But Apple is also generating strong free-cash flow, with Huberty predicting a 30% increase this fiscal year and suggesting that it will take time before Apple achieves its target.</p><p><blockquote>该公司已着手实现净现金中性，选择不进行大规模收购，而支持资本回报，因为它试图减少其可观的净现金余额，截至苹果上一份报告，净现金余额已超过 800 亿美元。但苹果也产生了强劲的自由现金流，休伯蒂预测本财年将增长 30%，并表示苹果实现目标还需要时间。</blockquote></p><p> \"Apple is firing on all cylinders today and even as the company spends nearly $100 billion per year on shareholder returns, we believe the path to a net-cash-neutral position requires multiple more years of sustained strong shareholder returns,\" Huberty wrote.</p><p><blockquote>休伯蒂写道：“苹果今天正在全力以赴，尽管该公司每年在股东回报上花费近 1000 亿美元，但我们相信，实现净现金中性头寸的道路需要多年持续强劲的股东回报。”</blockquote></p><p> Apple repurchased an average of 2.5 million shares a day in the last nine months of 2020, Rakers noted, accounting for about 1.6% of the stock's daily trading volume.</p><p><blockquote>Rakers 指出，苹果在 2020 年最后 9 个月平均每天回购 250 万股股票，约占该股日交易量的 1.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What to expect</b></p><p><blockquote><b>期待什么</b></blockquote></p><p> Earnings: Analysts tracked by FactSet expect that Apple earned 98 cents a share in the latest quarter, up from 64 cents a year earlier. According to Estimize, which crowdsources projections from hedge funds, academics and others, the average estimate calls for $1.02 a share.</p><p><blockquote>盈利：FactSet 追踪的分析师预计，苹果最新季度每股收益为 98 美分，高于去年同期的 64 美分。Estimize 从对冲基金、学者和其他人那里众包预测，平均估计评级为每股 1.02 美元。</blockquote></p><p> Revenue: The FactSet consensus models revenue of $76.7 billion, while the average estimate on Estimize is for $78.3 billion. Apple posted $58.3 billion in revenue during the prior March quarter, as COVID-19 shutdowns affected China and began to cause store closures in other parts of the world.</p><p><blockquote>收入：FactSet 共识模型的收入为 767 亿美元，而 Estimize 的平均估计为 783 亿美元。由于 COVID-19 关闭影响了中国大陆，并开始导致世界其他地区的商店关闭，苹果 3 月份上一季度的收入为 583 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Stock movement: Apple shares have fallen following three of the past five earnings reports. Shares have gained 91% over the past 12 months as the Dow Jones Industrial Average , of which Apple is a component, has risen 44%.</p><p><blockquote>股票走势：过去五份收益报告中有三份发布后，苹果股价下跌。过去 12 个月，苹果所在的道琼斯工业平均指数上涨了 44%，股价上涨了 91%。</blockquote></p><p> Of the 42 analysts tracked by FactSet who cover Apple's stock, 30 have buy ratings, nine have hold ratings, and three have sell ratings, with an average price target of $151.12.</p><p><blockquote>在 FactSet 追踪的 42 位关注苹果股票的分析师中，30 位给予买入评级，9 位给予持有评级，3 位给予卖出评级，平均目标价为 151.12 美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What else to watch for</b></p><p><blockquote><b>还有什么要注意的</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Apple has seen strong momentum in recent quarters amid a surge in demand for Macs and iPads during the pandemic and a successful iPhone 12 launch. Evercore ISI analyst Amit Daryanani predicts that the company continued to see good traction in the March quarter and could deliver results ahead of expectations.</p><p><blockquote>由于疫情期间对 Mac 和 iPad 的需求激增以及 iPhone 12 的成功推出，苹果最近几个季度的发展势头强劲。Evercore ISI 分析师 Amit Daryanani 预测，该公司在三月份季度将继续保持良好的吸引力，并可能超出预期交付业绩。</blockquote></p><p> The company could be more insulated than others from the continuing chip shortage given \"its status as <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> of the largest electronics purchasers in the world,\" Daryanani argued, noting that while manufacturing partner Foxconn mentioned some supply issues, that company said that the component shortage would affect a small fraction of customer orders.</p><p><blockquote>鉴于“其地位”，该公司可能比其他公司更能免受持续芯片短缺的影响<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">一</a>Daryanani 认为，虽然制造合作伙伴富士康提到了一些供应问题，但该公司表示，零部件短缺将影响一小部分客户订单。</blockquote></p><p> Daryanani is upbeat about Apple's iPhone momentum in China and encouraged by Foxconn's indication that March-quarter performance would be better than what's typically seen for this period. That's consistent with Apple's own projections, he noted. He rates the stock at outperform with a $175 price target.</p><p><blockquote>Daryanani 对苹果 iPhone 在中国的发展势头持乐观态度，并对富士康表示 3 月份季度的业绩将好于这一时期的典型表现感到鼓舞。他指出，这与苹果自己的预测一致。他将该股评级为跑赢大盘，目标价为 175 美元。</blockquote></p><p> Wells Fargo's Rakers pointed to \"ongoing positive demand drivers\" but said he was \"reluctant to make a meaningful upside (iPhone-driven) call\" ahead of the release. His iPhone revenue estimate for the quarter is for $38.8 billion, while the FactSet consensus calls for $41.0 billion.</p><p><blockquote>富国银行的 Rakers 指出了“持续的积极需求驱动因素”，但表示他“不愿意在发布之前做出有意义的上行（iPhone 驱动的）看涨期权”。他预计本季度 iPhone 收入为 388 亿美元，而 FactSet 一致认为评级为 410 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Outside of the iPhone, Rakers expects that the company continues to see strong demand for iPads and Macs buoyed by at-home dynamics. He'll also be looking for broader commentary on supply issues.</p><p><blockquote>除了 iPhone 之外，Rakers 预计该公司将继续看到家庭动态推动对 iPad 和 Mac 的强劲需求。他还将寻求对供应问题更广泛的评论。</blockquote></p><p> \"With continued reports of overall semiconductor supply-chain tightness, presumably impacting Apple's Mac and iPad lead times, along with increasing DRAM prices, investors will be focused on Apple's thoughts on overall demand fulfillment and gross margin expectations,\" he wrote, while reiterating an overweight rating on the stock and a $160 target price.</p><p><blockquote>“随着有关整体半导体供应链紧张的持续报道，可能会影响苹果 Mac 和 iPad 的交货时间，以及 DRAM 价格上涨，投资者将关注苹果对整体需求满足和毛利率预期的看法，”他写道，同时重申了跑赢大盘对该股的评级和 160 美元的目标价。</blockquote></p><p> Morgan Stanley's Huberty has \"high confidence\" that Apple will beat March-quarter expectations and she's also expecting an upbeat outlook.</p><p><blockquote>摩根士丹利的休伯蒂“非常有信心”苹果将超出三月份季度的预期，她也预计前景乐观。</blockquote></p><p> \"We believe that much of the consumer and education-market strength that propelled the Mac and iPad to 21% year-over-year and 41% year-over-year growth the December quarter sustained, and even accelerated into the March quarter,\" she wrote, highlighting upbeat third-party Mac data from IDC.</p><p><blockquote>“我们相信，推动 Mac 和 iPad 同比增长 21% 和 41% 的消费者和教育市场力量在 12 月份季度得以维持，甚至加速到 3 月份季度，”她写道，强调了 IDC 乐观的第三方 Mac 数据。</blockquote></p><p> Huberty forecasts $8.2 billion in Mac revenue and $6.8 billion in iPad revenue for the quarter, significantly above the FactSet consensus, which calls for $6.7 billion and $5.6 billion, respectively. She has an overweight rating and $158 price target on Apple shares.</p><p><blockquote>Huberty 预测本季度 Mac 收入为 82 亿美元，iPad 收入为 68 亿美元，远高于 FactSet 的共识，FactSet 的评级分别为 67 亿美元和 56 亿美元。她对苹果股票给予跑赢大盘评级和 158 美元的目标价。</blockquote></p><p> Apple recently introduced new iPads and iMacs that could allow it to continue capitalizing on at-home trends, though these won't factor into the March-quarter numbers.</p><p><blockquote>苹果最近推出了新的 iPad 和 iMac，这可能使其能够继续利用家庭趋势，尽管这些不会计入 3 月份季度的数据。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/apples-business-is-roaring-and-investors-are-about-to-find-out-how-much-of-that-cash-is-coming-their-way-11619194933?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/apples-business-is-roaring-and-investors-are-about-to-find-out-how-much-of-that-cash-is-coming-their-way-11619194933?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2129680033","content_text":"Apple earnings preview: After 'more modest' dividend increases in the past two years, Apple could get back to double-digit dividend growth when it details investor-return plans for the year\nApple's iPad and Mac momentum may have \"accelerated\" in the latest quarter, analyst argues. AFP/Getty Images\nAfter posting record sales and profits in its latest fiscal year, Apple Inc. is expected to show how much of its financial success will get delivered back to shareholders this year.\nApple $(AAPL)$ is expected to increase its dividend and authorize further stock buybacks when it announces fiscal second-quarter earnings Wednesday, part of the company's continued focus on returning money to shareholders as it aims to reduce its sizable cash pile. The company typically makes updates to its capital-return program alongside its March-quarter report, and the coming announcement could be a driver of Apple's post-earnings stock momentum.\n\"We think Apple's capital return update could be the most incremental consideration coming out of Apple's upcoming F2Q21 results,\" Wells Fargo analyst Aaron Rakers wrote.\nThough Apple shares have nearly doubled in the past year, Morgan Stanley's Katy Huberty anticipates that the company will remain aggressive with its buybacks. She predicts that the company could add $60 billion to its buyback authorization this quarter, compared with the $50 billion increase that Apple approved a year ago .\nApple's pace of repurchases is unlikely to \"materially slow\" in the next 12 to 18 months, Huberty argued, as she projected that the company could buy back $18 billion worth of its stock each quarter until the end of fiscal 2022. That would reduce the number of shares outstanding by about 3% and leave Apple with a net-cash position of about $75 billion.\nShe also projects a 10% increase in Apple's dividend, which would bring the annual payout to 90 cents a share.\nApple's dividend announcement could be a bigger driver of stock performance than the buyback plans, Wells Fargo's Rakers suggested. He thinks Apple could raise its dividend by at least 10%, an increase that would mark the highest annual hike since Apple's 16% bump in 2018 and stand in comparison to the \"more modest\" increases of 5.5% and 6.5% that Apple delivered in 2019 and 2020, respectively.\n\"Our positive view on Apple's continued ability to generate strong [free-cash flow] supports our view that the company could return its annual dividend growth trajectory into the double-digit [percent] range,\" he wrote.\nRakers is expecting a roughly $50 billion increase to the buyback program, flat with a year ago.\nThe company has set out to become net-cash-neutral, opting against blockbuster acquisitions and in favor of capital returns as it tries to winnow down its sizable net-cash balance, which stood at more than $80 billion as of Apple's last report. But Apple is also generating strong free-cash flow, with Huberty predicting a 30% increase this fiscal year and suggesting that it will take time before Apple achieves its target.\n\"Apple is firing on all cylinders today and even as the company spends nearly $100 billion per year on shareholder returns, we believe the path to a net-cash-neutral position requires multiple more years of sustained strong shareholder returns,\" Huberty wrote.\nApple repurchased an average of 2.5 million shares a day in the last nine months of 2020, Rakers noted, accounting for about 1.6% of the stock's daily trading volume.\nWhat to expect\nEarnings: Analysts tracked by FactSet expect that Apple earned 98 cents a share in the latest quarter, up from 64 cents a year earlier. According to Estimize, which crowdsources projections from hedge funds, academics and others, the average estimate calls for $1.02 a share.\nRevenue: The FactSet consensus models revenue of $76.7 billion, while the average estimate on Estimize is for $78.3 billion. Apple posted $58.3 billion in revenue during the prior March quarter, as COVID-19 shutdowns affected China and began to cause store closures in other parts of the world.\nStock movement: Apple shares have fallen following three of the past five earnings reports. Shares have gained 91% over the past 12 months as the Dow Jones Industrial Average , of which Apple is a component, has risen 44%.\nOf the 42 analysts tracked by FactSet who cover Apple's stock, 30 have buy ratings, nine have hold ratings, and three have sell ratings, with an average price target of $151.12.\nWhat else to watch for\nApple has seen strong momentum in recent quarters amid a surge in demand for Macs and iPads during the pandemic and a successful iPhone 12 launch. Evercore ISI analyst Amit Daryanani predicts that the company continued to see good traction in the March quarter and could deliver results ahead of expectations.\nThe company could be more insulated than others from the continuing chip shortage given \"its status as one of the largest electronics purchasers in the world,\" Daryanani argued, noting that while manufacturing partner Foxconn mentioned some supply issues, that company said that the component shortage would affect a small fraction of customer orders.\nDaryanani is upbeat about Apple's iPhone momentum in China and encouraged by Foxconn's indication that March-quarter performance would be better than what's typically seen for this period. That's consistent with Apple's own projections, he noted. He rates the stock at outperform with a $175 price target.\nWells Fargo's Rakers pointed to \"ongoing positive demand drivers\" but said he was \"reluctant to make a meaningful upside (iPhone-driven) call\" ahead of the release. His iPhone revenue estimate for the quarter is for $38.8 billion, while the FactSet consensus calls for $41.0 billion.\nOutside of the iPhone, Rakers expects that the company continues to see strong demand for iPads and Macs buoyed by at-home dynamics. He'll also be looking for broader commentary on supply issues.\n\"With continued reports of overall semiconductor supply-chain tightness, presumably impacting Apple's Mac and iPad lead times, along with increasing DRAM prices, investors will be focused on Apple's thoughts on overall demand fulfillment and gross margin expectations,\" he wrote, while reiterating an overweight rating on the stock and a $160 target price.\nMorgan Stanley's Huberty has \"high confidence\" that Apple will beat March-quarter expectations and she's also expecting an upbeat outlook.\n\"We believe that much of the consumer and education-market strength that propelled the Mac and iPad to 21% year-over-year and 41% year-over-year growth the December quarter sustained, and even accelerated into the March quarter,\" she wrote, highlighting upbeat third-party Mac data from IDC.\nHuberty forecasts $8.2 billion in Mac revenue and $6.8 billion in iPad revenue for the quarter, significantly above the FactSet consensus, which calls for $6.7 billion and $5.6 billion, respectively. She has an overweight rating and $158 price target on Apple shares.\nApple recently introduced new iPads and iMacs that could allow it to continue capitalizing on at-home trends, though these won't factor into the March-quarter numbers.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":570,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":33,"subscribersOnly":false,"subscribersOnlyAccessible":false,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/375528500"}
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