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2021-02-12
[流泪]
LIVE MARKETS-S&P 500: Pressure in the pipe<blockquote>实时市场-标普500：管道中的压力</blockquote>
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You can share your thoughts with us at markets.research@thomsonreuters.com</p><p><blockquote>2月12日——欢迎来到路透社记者为您带来的实时市场报道之家。您可以通过markets.research@thomsonreuters.com与我们分享您的想法</blockquote></p><p> S&P 500: PRESSURE IN THE PIPE (0900 EST/1400 GMT)</p><p><blockquote>标普500：管道中的压力（0900 EST/1400 GMT）</blockquote></p><p> The S&P 500 index has seen little change over the past 3 trading days. In fact, the index is essentially flat with a gain of just 0.02% over this period.</p><p><blockquote>标普500指数近3个交易日变化不大。事实上，该指数在此期间基本持平，仅上涨0.02%。</blockquote></p><p> With this narrow action shorter-term, historical volatility measures, on an hourly basis, have compressed to especially low levels:</p><p><blockquote>由于这种狭窄的行动，以每小时为基础的短期历史波动率指标已压缩至特别低的水平：</blockquote></p><p> On Tuesday, hourly Bollinger Band width collapsed to 0.00565, which was its lowest reading since December 31 of last year. On January 4, the first trading day of 2021, the SPX promptly slid 2.5%.</p><p><blockquote>周二，每小时布林线宽度跌至0.00565，为去年12月31日以来的最低读数。1月4日，2021年第一个交易日，SPX指数迅速下跌2.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Bollinger Bands <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BB\">$(BB)$</a> are envelopes, or trading bands, plotted at a level of standard deviation above and below a simple moving average of price. Given that the bands are based on standard deviation, they adjust to swings in volatility.</p><p><blockquote>布林线<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BB\">$(BB)$</a>包络或交易带是以价格简单移动平均线上下的标准差水平绘制的。鉴于波段是基于标准差的，它们会根据波动性的波动进行调整。</blockquote></p><p> Besides readings on December 30 and 31, over the past year or so, hourly BB width was only lower than Tuesday's level on February 14 and 18 of last year. February 18 was just 1 trading day before the SPX put in a major top.</p><p><blockquote>除了12月30日和31日的读数外，在过去一年左右的时间里，每小时BB宽度仅低于去年2月14日和18日周二的水平。2月18日是SPX出现重大顶部的前一个交易日。</blockquote></p><p> The January 4 tumble proved to be a <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a>-day wonder, although the aftermath of the February 2020 top was, of course, a severe month-long affair.</p><p><blockquote>1月4日的暴跌被证明是<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">一</a>——日奇迹，尽管2020年2月顶部的后果当然是长达一个月的严重事件。</blockquote></p><p> On the upside, low hourly BB width readings in mid-August of last year, preceded a more than 6%-thrust into the early September high.</p><p><blockquote>从好的方面来看，去年8月中旬每小时BB宽度读数较低，随后突破6%，升至9月初的高点。</blockquote></p><p> Indeed, crushed historical volatility in itself does not predict direction, but it can indicate the market is poised for much more spirited action. </p><p><blockquote>事实上，压低的历史波动性本身并不能预测方向，但它可以表明市场准备采取更激烈的行动。</blockquote></p><p> Thus, by this measure, it would appear the SPX is especially ripe to let off some steam, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> way or the other. </p><p><blockquote>因此，根据这一衡量标准，SPX似乎已经特别成熟，可以释放一些蒸汽，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>不管怎样。</blockquote></p><p> (Terence Gabriel)</p><p><blockquote>（特伦斯·加布里埃尔）</blockquote></p><p> *****</p><p><blockquote>*****</blockquote></p><p> FOR FRIDAY'S LIVE MARKETS' POSTS PRIOR TO 0900 EST/1400 GMT - CLICK HERE: </p><p><blockquote>对于美国东部时间0900/格林威治标准时间1400之前的周五实时市场帖子-单击此处：</blockquote></p><p> <^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ SPX02122021 </p><p><blockquote><^^</blockquote></p><p> ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^></p><p><blockquote>^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^></blockquote></p><p>(Terence Gabriel is a Reuters market analyst. The views expressed are his own)</p><p><blockquote>（Terence Gabriel为路透社市场分析师，所表达观点为其个人观点）</blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>LIVE MARKETS-S&P 500: Pressure in the pipe<blockquote>实时市场-标普500：管道中的压力</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nLIVE MARKETS-S&P 500: Pressure in the pipe<blockquote>实时市场-标普500：管道中的压力</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-02-12 22:04</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><body>* U.S. equity index futures suggest modest opening losses</p><p><blockquote><html><body>*美国股指期货开盘小幅亏损</body></html></blockquote></p><p> * Euro STOXX 600 index up ~0.2%</p><p><blockquote>*欧洲斯托克600指数上涨约0.2%</blockquote></p><p> * Dollar up; gold, crude decline</p><p><blockquote>*美元上涨；黄金、原油下跌</blockquote></p><p> * U.S. 10-Year Treasury yield ~1.19%</p><p><blockquote>*美国10年期国债收益率约1.19%</blockquote></p><p> Feb 12 - Welcome to the home for real-time coverage of markets brought to you by Reuters reporters. You can share your thoughts with us at markets.research@thomsonreuters.com</p><p><blockquote>2月12日——欢迎来到路透社记者为您带来的实时市场报道之家。您可以通过markets.research@thomsonreuters.com与我们分享您的想法</blockquote></p><p> S&P 500: PRESSURE IN THE PIPE (0900 EST/1400 GMT)</p><p><blockquote>标普500：管道中的压力（0900 EST/1400 GMT）</blockquote></p><p> The S&P 500 index has seen little change over the past 3 trading days. In fact, the index is essentially flat with a gain of just 0.02% over this period.</p><p><blockquote>标普500指数近3个交易日变化不大。事实上，该指数在此期间基本持平，仅上涨0.02%。</blockquote></p><p> With this narrow action shorter-term, historical volatility measures, on an hourly basis, have compressed to especially low levels:</p><p><blockquote>由于这种狭窄的行动，以每小时为基础的短期历史波动率指标已压缩至特别低的水平：</blockquote></p><p> On Tuesday, hourly Bollinger Band width collapsed to 0.00565, which was its lowest reading since December 31 of last year. On January 4, the first trading day of 2021, the SPX promptly slid 2.5%.</p><p><blockquote>周二，每小时布林线宽度跌至0.00565，为去年12月31日以来的最低读数。1月4日，2021年第一个交易日，SPX指数迅速下跌2.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Bollinger Bands <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BB\">$(BB)$</a> are envelopes, or trading bands, plotted at a level of standard deviation above and below a simple moving average of price. Given that the bands are based on standard deviation, they adjust to swings in volatility.</p><p><blockquote>布林线<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BB\">$(BB)$</a>包络或交易带是以价格简单移动平均线上下的标准差水平绘制的。鉴于波段是基于标准差的，它们会根据波动性的波动进行调整。</blockquote></p><p> Besides readings on December 30 and 31, over the past year or so, hourly BB width was only lower than Tuesday's level on February 14 and 18 of last year. February 18 was just 1 trading day before the SPX put in a major top.</p><p><blockquote>除了12月30日和31日的读数外，在过去一年左右的时间里，每小时BB宽度仅低于去年2月14日和18日周二的水平。2月18日是SPX出现重大顶部的前一个交易日。</blockquote></p><p> The January 4 tumble proved to be a <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a>-day wonder, although the aftermath of the February 2020 top was, of course, a severe month-long affair.</p><p><blockquote>1月4日的暴跌被证明是<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">一</a>——日奇迹，尽管2020年2月顶部的后果当然是长达一个月的严重事件。</blockquote></p><p> On the upside, low hourly BB width readings in mid-August of last year, preceded a more than 6%-thrust into the early September high.</p><p><blockquote>从好的方面来看，去年8月中旬每小时BB宽度读数较低，随后突破6%，升至9月初的高点。</blockquote></p><p> Indeed, crushed historical volatility in itself does not predict direction, but it can indicate the market is poised for much more spirited action. </p><p><blockquote>事实上，压低的历史波动性本身并不能预测方向，但它可以表明市场准备采取更激烈的行动。</blockquote></p><p> Thus, by this measure, it would appear the SPX is especially ripe to let off some steam, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> way or the other. </p><p><blockquote>因此，根据这一衡量标准，SPX似乎已经特别成熟，可以释放一些蒸汽，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>不管怎样。</blockquote></p><p> (Terence Gabriel)</p><p><blockquote>（特伦斯·加布里埃尔）</blockquote></p><p> *****</p><p><blockquote>*****</blockquote></p><p> FOR FRIDAY'S LIVE MARKETS' POSTS PRIOR TO 0900 EST/1400 GMT - CLICK HERE: </p><p><blockquote>对于美国东部时间0900/格林威治标准时间1400之前的周五实时市场帖子-单击此处：</blockquote></p><p> <^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ SPX02122021 </p><p><blockquote><^^</blockquote></p><p> ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^></p><p><blockquote>^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^></blockquote></p><p>(Terence Gabriel is a Reuters market analyst. The views expressed are his own)</p><p><blockquote>（Terence Gabriel为路透社市场分析师，所表达观点为其个人观点）</blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares","OEX":"标普100","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares",".DJI":"道琼斯","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SH":"做空标普500-Proshares","SSO":"2倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","IVV":"标普500ETF-iShares","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"http://api.rkd.refinitiv.com/api/News/News.svc/REST/News_1/RetrieveStoryML_1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2110507567","content_text":"* U.S. equity index futures suggest modest opening losses * Euro STOXX 600 index up ~0.2% * Dollar up; gold, crude decline * U.S. 10-Year Treasury yield ~1.19% Feb 12 - Welcome to the home for real-time coverage of markets brought to you by Reuters reporters. You can share your thoughts with us at markets.research@thomsonreuters.com S&P 500: PRESSURE IN THE PIPE (0900 EST/1400 GMT) The S&P 500 index has seen little change over the past 3 trading days. In fact, the index is essentially flat with a gain of just 0.02% over this period. With this narrow action shorter-term, historical volatility measures, on an hourly basis, have compressed to especially low levels: On Tuesday, hourly Bollinger Band width collapsed to 0.00565, which was its lowest reading since December 31 of last year. On January 4, the first trading day of 2021, the SPX promptly slid 2.5%. Bollinger Bands $(BB)$ are envelopes, or trading bands, plotted at a level of standard deviation above and below a simple moving average of price. Given that the bands are based on standard deviation, they adjust to swings in volatility. Besides readings on December 30 and 31, over the past year or so, hourly BB width was only lower than Tuesday's level on February 14 and 18 of last year. February 18 was just 1 trading day before the SPX put in a major top. The January 4 tumble proved to be a one-day wonder, although the aftermath of the February 2020 top was, of course, a severe month-long affair. On the upside, low hourly BB width readings in mid-August of last year, preceded a more than 6%-thrust into the early September high. Indeed, crushed historical volatility in itself does not predict direction, but it can indicate the market is poised for much more spirited action. Thus, by this measure, it would appear the SPX is especially ripe to let off some steam, one way or the other. (Terence Gabriel) ***** FOR FRIDAY'S LIVE MARKETS' POSTS PRIOR TO 0900 EST/1400 GMT - CLICK HERE: <^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ SPX02122021 ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^>(Terence Gabriel is a Reuters market analyst. 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