nbnbynmm
01-27
$英伟达(NVDA)$
其实逻辑狠简单的。假设deepseek真的遥遥领先,那么,大家都用ds模式来,请问此时拿谁的铲子挖最猛。是不是还是nvda的铲子最凶。你想赢就还是要用nvda的铲子,军备竞赛根本停不下来
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DeepValueMaking
01-27
DeepValueMaking
但是不需要那么多铲子了,对英伟达的销量有影响。
DeepValueMaking
:
换个角度说,因为对算力要求降低了,可能中国的芯片就能满足需求,没有必要非要买高价的英伟达芯片。这样对英伟达芯片的需求就降低了。
投资有道股海无边
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DeepValueMaking
:
换个角度,门槛降低了,原来玩不起的更多的小企业也能参与进来,需求其实增加了
完全体进化
回复
nbnbynmm
:
其实逻辑很简单,任何一次科技进步都不会带来市场的崩塌。能让市场崩塌的只有流动性。
穷不达
:
说到底 语言模型只是agi的第一步。后面还有图像 声音 视频。哪一个都比语言模型来的大
Nitedive
:
应用多了需求又上来了
全部7条回复
幻方董事长
01-27
幻方董事长
以前是预测1000个模型,每个模型拿几万张卡训练几年,现在呢?算力可以降低70%以上还能玩并且玩的好还开源,预期变了!铲子暂时还不足,但是未来不需要那么多了
幻方董事长
回复
穷不达
:
我只说算力卡特别是高端需求下降了,低端国内可以生产 达子还值那么多钱吗 现在不是说达子不值钱
穷不达
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幻方董事长
:
图片视频需要的算了更高。 deepseek也不能生成图像。 只能识别文字
幻方董事长
回复
穷不达
:
你自己去玩就知道了 图片一样可以 都是一个逻辑
穷不达
:
但是那些都是语言模型。 那么更复杂的场景呢 比如视觉 图片 等
立水marco
01-27
立水marco
deepseek证明了不需要那么多,那么金贵的黄金铲子,只要更少的铲子,用华为中芯制造的普通铲子就够了
立水marco
回复
中原狙神
:
我用的是deepseek,一个工具,我不介意买到跟华为苹果一样性能,但便宜10倍的手机。还有你买手机汽车是有排面效益,你买电脑,买工具是看排面还是看性能?
中原狙神
:
手机几百块的机子都能用,你为什么要买几千的更好的手机?
赌狗终将一无所有
01-27
赌狗终将一无所有
deepseek也是在meta的基础上改进的,以“降本增效”为方向改进和以突破极限为方向进步完全不一样,军备竞赛只会更激烈更全方面
老当益壮铁树开花
:
这是不是胡说八道,有证据吗?扎克不是已经抓狂了吗?
tiger20250101
01-27
tiger20250101
deepseek 只是导火索,可能未来有更省算力的方法出现,那英伟达就逗比了,是真的要凉凉的
招财专员
01-27
招财专员
不要把问题想得太简单,算法和算力就是木桶效应,AI发展的速度取决于最短的那块短板,以前是算法庞大算力需求大,所以短板在算法那么算力则过剩,现在算法精简起来了对更精尖的算力提出了新要求,正是芯片发展的下一个方向。AI的核心是什么是它自身迭代的速度,这个速度依赖永远离不开算法和算力
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