$纳斯达克(.IXI_老虎社区_美港股上老虎

$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$ 抵抗趋势没有任何意义。

支撑美国经济的是科技服务高溢价能力与高顺差能力的对标。科技服务的溢价能力顺差能力如果快速下降，赤字就会急剧上升，一个硬币的两面，然后引发滞胀，财赤螺旋。最后只有一个场景能自我平衡，就是美元资产估值崩塌，快速消灭拥挤和冗余的头寸，资产负债表螺旋冲击……最后极端政策废墟重建。

这一切会像设定程序一样发生。我本身也是美股的持有者也希望泡沫永远不灭，但这个过程你我都决定不了，而且特朗普还在加速这个过程。

免责声明：上述内容仅代表发帖人个人观点，不构成本平台的任何投资建议。

精彩评论

起飞16888
03-11
起飞16888
美国经济基本面不存在问题。只是近期涨的太多。一调整就世界毁灭。一涨就改变世界。没这么恐怖。
- 一见青橙:
  你的口吻和联储基本一致。
  不过消费和就业好看的数据一直依赖政府的高额赤字，这本身就是不可持续的。
  历史上没有任何一个经济体可以同时保持高通胀高利率高估值，如果说接近那只有70年代的美国，你可以查查当时的标普500下降了多少。
孙立冉
03-11
孙立冉
太惨了 💔
发椰林
03-11
发椰林
言简意赅
- 一见青橙:
  [抱拳] [抱拳]

发表看法

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