Ryan_Z0528
05-22
简单来说,今晚的国债拍卖就像给美国经济做压力测试。如果投标情况不佳,可能引发连锁反应:债市暴跌→收益率飙升→股市承压→经济降温。这个恶性循环,正是华尔街眼下最担心的噩梦。
@好奇先生0211:
今晚,美债迎来“大考”!
免责声明:上述内容仅代表发帖人个人观点,不构成本平台的任何投资建议。
分享至
微信
复制链接
精彩评论
我们需要你的真知灼见来填补这片空白
打开APP,发表看法
APP内打开
发表看法
1
{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"detailType":1,"isChannel":false,"data":{"magic":2,"id":437537701405072,"tweetId":"437537701405072","gmtCreate":1747851555893,"gmtModify":1747851557878,"author":{"id":1436866998000,"idStr":"1436866998000","authorId":1436866998000,"authorIdStr":"1436866998000","name":"Ryan_Z0528","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d65c4b5c01f61efa0ccc7644f4f6b9b9","vip":1,"userType":1,"introduction":"","boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"currentWearingBadge":{"badgeId":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969-3","templateUuid":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969","name":"传说交易员","description":"证券或期货账户累计交易次数达到300次","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/656db16598a0b8f21429e10d6c1cb033","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/03f10910d4dd9234f9b5702a3342193a","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0c767e35268feb729d50d3fa9a386c5a","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":1,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2024.07.16","exceedPercentage":"93.93%","individualDisplayEnabled":0},"individualDisplayBadges":[{"badgeId":"3f8f4b8c193b4343a88817ce07587dbd-1","templateUuid":"3f8f4b8c193b4343a88817ce07587dbd","name":"星级创作者","description":"累计发表精华帖>=3(或有料帖>=10),且30天内发表过至少一篇精华帖(或4篇有料帖)并参与过评论","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1866dcf97a73be1c330f85862546aedc","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f5c5fa8e2c7683bb5a7fce8753ee456","redirectLinkEnabled":1,"redirectLink":"https://www.laohu8.com/activity/market/2023/star-contributors/","hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2025.06.19","individualDisplayEnabled":1,"backgroundColor":{"dark":"#675a37","tint":"#f9ebc2"},"fontColor":{"dark":"#ffffff","tint":"#ab7a0e"}}],"fanSize":1751,"starInvestorFlag":false},"themes":[],"images":[],"coverImages":[],"html":"<html><head></head><body>简单来说,今晚的国债拍卖就像给美国经济做压力测试。如果投标情况不佳,可能引发连锁反应:债市暴跌→收益率飙升→股市承压→经济降温。这个恶性循环,正是华尔街眼下最担心的噩梦。</body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body>简单来说,今晚的国债拍卖就像给美国经济做压力测试。如果投标情况不佳,可能引发连锁反应:债市暴跌→收益率飙升→股市承压→经济降温。这个恶性循环,正是华尔街眼下最担心的噩梦。</body></html>","text":"简单来说,今晚的国债拍卖就像给美国经济做压力测试。如果投标情况不佳,可能引发连锁反应:债市暴跌→收益率飙升→股市承压→经济降温。这个恶性循环,正是华尔街眼下最担心的噩梦。","highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/437537701405072","repostId":437420490826632,"repostType":1,"repost":{"magic":2,"id":437420490826632,"tweetId":"437420490826632","gmtCreate":1747819853731,"gmtModify":1747821209893,"author":{"id":3471595454491028,"idStr":"3471595454491028","authorId":3471595454491028,"authorIdStr":"3471595454491028","name":"好奇先生0211","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/28d2348e339429034892424a7a63651a","vip":1,"userType":1,"introduction":"","boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[{"badgeId":"3f8f4b8c193b4343a88817ce07587dbd-1","templateUuid":"3f8f4b8c193b4343a88817ce07587dbd","name":"星级创作者","description":"累计发表精华帖>=3(或有料帖>=10),且30天内发表过至少一篇精华帖(或4篇有料帖)并参与过评论","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1866dcf97a73be1c330f85862546aedc","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f5c5fa8e2c7683bb5a7fce8753ee456","redirectLinkEnabled":1,"redirectLink":"https://www.laohu8.com/activity/market/2023/star-contributors/","hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2025.06.19","individualDisplayEnabled":1,"backgroundColor":{"dark":"#675a37","tint":"#f9ebc2"},"fontColor":{"dark":"#ffffff","tint":"#ab7a0e"}}],"fanSize":286,"starInvestorFlag":false},"themes":[{"themeId":"c7beb8c494764725b3b94f2f414bb12c","categoryId":"d316d8bd4a714fab9ea15fd7157c45e7","name":"黄金高位震荡!接下来暴涨or暴跌?","type":0,"rnLink":"https://laohu8.com/RN?name=RNTheme&page=/theme/detail&rndata={\"themeId\":c7beb8c494764725b3b94f2f414bb12c}&rnconfig={\"headerBarHidden\": true}","description":"收缩往往对应“筹码高度集中”,多空双方暂时陷入观望,【迎接黄金的将是一场暴跌,还是暴涨?】","image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9cbf18f7a1c154ab922cf947be106842"}],"images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60ee52651995674f66819407c7b36875","width":"750","height":"375"}],"coverImages":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60ee52651995674f66819407c7b36875","width":"750","height":"375"}],"title":"今晚,美债迎来“大考”!","html":"<html><head></head><body><p></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60ee52651995674f66819407c7b36875\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"375\"></p>\n<p>今晚,美债将迎来一场“大考”,美国财政部要拍卖160亿美元的20年期国债,这是国际评级机构穆迪把美国信用评级从最高档AAA降级后的首次长期国债拍卖,结果将直接反映出市场对美债的信心。</p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">市场紧张不是没有道理的。</p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">就在上周二,日本20年期国债拍卖创下了12年以来最差结果,导致其收益率一天内暴涨15个基点,华尔街担心今晚美债的拍卖也可能复制这种情况。</p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>目前美债20年和30年期国债收益率都已经逼近5%关口,</strong>当国债收益率飙升时,意味着债券的价格会暴跌,持有债券的人会亏钱,并且会引发更多的抛压。</p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>对美股会有什么影响呢?非常容易被美债“拖下水”</strong></p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">昨晚美股三大指数全线收跌,标普500指数结束六连涨,部分原因其实就是投资者担心美债收益率会飙升冲击股市。</p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">芝加哥商品交易所的数据显示,好多人买了期权赌10年期收益率未来几周能涨到 5%,为了对冲风险,大家愿意花更高的成本去买保险,市场焦虑感可想而知。</p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">摩根大通的分析师说得直接:现在贸易政策和货币政策都充满不确定性,美债收益率可能会 “熊陡”—— 说白了就是长期利率会比短期利率涨得更快,这背后是大家对经济前景的担忧。</p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">简单来说,今晚的国债拍卖就像给美国经济做压力测试。如果投标情况不佳,可能引发连锁反应:<strong>债市暴跌→收益率飙升→股市承压→经济降温</strong>。这个恶性循环,正是华尔街眼下最担心的噩梦。</p>\n<p></p></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><p></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60ee52651995674f66819407c7b36875\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"375\"></p>\n<p>今晚,美债将迎来一场“大考”,美国财政部要拍卖160亿美元的20年期国债,这是国际评级机构穆迪把美国信用评级从最高档AAA降级后的首次长期国债拍卖,结果将直接反映出市场对美债的信心。</p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">市场紧张不是没有道理的。</p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">就在上周二,日本20年期国债拍卖创下了12年以来最差结果,导致其收益率一天内暴涨15个基点,华尔街担心今晚美债的拍卖也可能复制这种情况。</p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>目前美债20年和30年期国债收益率都已经逼近5%关口,</strong>当国债收益率飙升时,意味着债券的价格会暴跌,持有债券的人会亏钱,并且会引发更多的抛压。</p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>对美股会有什么影响呢?非常容易被美债“拖下水”</strong></p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">昨晚美股三大指数全线收跌,标普500指数结束六连涨,部分原因其实就是投资者担心美债收益率会飙升冲击股市。</p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">芝加哥商品交易所的数据显示,好多人买了期权赌10年期收益率未来几周能涨到 5%,为了对冲风险,大家愿意花更高的成本去买保险,市场焦虑感可想而知。</p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">摩根大通的分析师说得直接:现在贸易政策和货币政策都充满不确定性,美债收益率可能会 “熊陡”—— 说白了就是长期利率会比短期利率涨得更快,这背后是大家对经济前景的担忧。</p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">简单来说,今晚的国债拍卖就像给美国经济做压力测试。如果投标情况不佳,可能引发连锁反应:<strong>债市暴跌→收益率飙升→股市承压→经济降温</strong>。这个恶性循环,正是华尔街眼下最担心的噩梦。</p>\n<p></p></body></html>","text":"今晚,美债将迎来一场“大考”,美国财政部要拍卖160亿美元的20年期国债,这是国际评级机构穆迪把美国信用评级从最高档AAA降级后的首次长期国债拍卖,结果将直接反映出市场对美债的信心。 市场紧张不是没有道理的。 就在上周二,日本20年期国债拍卖创下了12年以来最差结果,导致其收益率一天内暴涨15个基点,华尔街担心今晚美债的拍卖也可能复制这种情况。 目前美债20年和30年期国债收益率都已经逼近5%关口,当国债收益率飙升时,意味着债券的价格会暴跌,持有债券的人会亏钱,并且会引发更多的抛压。 对美股会有什么影响呢?非常容易被美债“拖下水” 昨晚美股三大指数全线收跌,标普500指数结束六连涨,部分原因其实就是投资者担心美债收益率会飙升冲击股市。 芝加哥商品交易所的数据显示,好多人买了期权赌10年期收益率未来几周能涨到 5%,为了对冲风险,大家愿意花更高的成本去买保险,市场焦虑感可想而知。 摩根大通的分析师说得直接:现在贸易政策和货币政策都充满不确定性,美债收益率可能会 “熊陡”—— 说白了就是长期利率会比短期利率涨得更快,这背后是大家对经济前景的担忧。 简单来说,今晚的国债拍卖就像给美国经济做压力测试。如果投标情况不佳,可能引发连锁反应:债市暴跌→收益率飙升→股市承压→经济降温。这个恶性循环,正是华尔街眼下最担心的噩梦。","highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/437420490826632","repostId":0,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"commentLimit":10,"symbols":["USVN","TNmain","UBmain","ZTmain","ZFmain","UTRE","BND","UTWY","UTHY","ZBmain","UFIV","ZNmain"],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"CN","currentLanguage":"CN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":1033,"optionInvolvedFlag":true,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ZH_CN"},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":494,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"CN","currentLanguage":"CN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":160,"optionInvolvedFlag":false,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ZH_CN"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/437537701405072"}
精彩评论