他们怎么可能事先不通_老虎社区_美港股上老虎

他们怎么可能事先不通气呢？劳工部数据对美联储储是绝密的？

免责声明：上述内容仅代表发帖人个人观点，不构成本平台的任何投资建议。

精彩评论

我们需要你的真知灼见来填补这片空白

发表看法

{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"detailType":1,"isChannel":false,"data":{"magic":2,"id":585741220896856,"tweetId":"585741220896856","gmtCreate":1784034647125,"gmtModify":1784035279204,"author":{"id":3527067918838677,"idStr":"3527067918838677","authorId":3527067918838677,"authorIdStr":"3527067918838677","name":"美D","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5fe8f593b7fa04c1fbef063d85a0320","vip":1,"userType":1,"introduction":"","boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[],"wearingBadges":[],"fanSize":0,"starInvestorFlag":false},"themes":[],"images":[],"coverImages":[],"title":"","html":"<html><head></head><body><p>他们怎么可能事先不通气呢？ 劳工部数据对美联储储是绝密的？&nbsp;</p></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><p>他们怎么可能事先不通气呢？ 劳工部数据对美联储储是绝密的？&nbsp;</p></body></html>","text":"他们怎么可能事先不通气呢？ 劳工部数据对美联储储是绝密的？","highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/585741220896856","repostId":2651106841,"repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2651106841","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1784034023,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/2651106841?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-07-14 21:00","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"沃什国会首秀撞车CPI爆冷！“零容忍”证词遭数据突袭，加息压力瞬间减轻","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2651106841","media":"智通财经","summary":"智通财经APP获悉，美联储主席凯文·沃什今晚10点将出席美国众议院金融服务委员会“美联储半年度货币政策报告”听证会，但他的证词已提前发布。证词里，他表示，美联储的政策制定者们对高通胀“零容忍”，并重申了遏制已持续五年高企的物价增长的誓言。这份全面爆冷的数据犹如一颗深水炸弹，直接打乱了美联储此前的强硬节奏。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p style=\"text-align: left;\">7月14日，美联储主席凯文·沃什今晚10点将出席美国众议院金融服务委员会“美联储半年度货币政策报告”听证会，但他的证词已提前发布。证词里，他表示，美联储的政策制定者们对高通胀“零容忍”，并重申了遏制已持续五年高企的物价增长的誓言。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">“我们委员会的成员对持续高企的通胀绝不姑息，”沃什在证词中表示。“ And we share a resolute commitment to restoring price stability（我们共同拥有恢复价格稳定的坚定承诺）。”</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">这位新任美联储主席自今年5月上任以来，一直强调政策制定者应对通胀的承诺，并表示首要目标是确保货币政策的正确性。“如果我们把政策做对了——我们也一定会做到——那么过去五年的通胀飙升都将成为过去式，”沃什指出。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">然而，戏剧性的反转在20:30轰然落地。就在沃什准备在10点发表这份充斥着“零容忍”的鹰派证词前仅一个半小时，美国劳工统计局砸出了6月份的消费者物价指数（CPI）报告。这份全面爆冷的数据犹如一颗深水炸弹，直接打乱了美联储此前的强硬节奏。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">数据显示，美国6月 CPI 环比负增长0.4%，不仅远低于市场预期的-0.1%，更是美国六年来首次出现环比负增长；同比增速也超预期跌至3.5%。更让华尔街振奋的是，剔除食品与能源后的核心 CPI 环比录得0.0%（持平，预期为+0.2%），同比增速也降至2.6%（预期为2.8%）。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ef3ca2977fdf821fb0f0191b9e031779\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"200\" tg-height=\"120\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">数据公布后，全球金融市场瞬间倒戈：美股股指期货直线拉升，美国国债收益率暴跌，投资者开始疯狂削减对美联储在7月突袭加息的押注。报告暗示，随着总统特朗普此前举措显效，加油站燃油价格剧烈下滑，美伊战争引发的初始能源冲击正在消退。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">在沃什将发表上述言论之际，其他几位美联储决策者正纷纷发出警告，称可能需要更高的利率来遏制通胀。但正如文中特别注明的：沃什的这份听证会证词，是在这批爆冷的 CPI 数据发布之前就已经“提前准备好（prepared prior to）”的。这批突然“退烧”的数据，直接抽走了鹰派阵营原本准备用来大谈加息的底牌。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">在经济展望方面，沃什此前持乐观态度，将劳动力市场描述为大致稳定，几乎没有裁员迹象，且名义薪资增长强劲。但美联储官员们也必须正视潜在的隐患——虽然数据表明最坏的冲击可能过去，但若美伊之间近期再度爆发新的敌对行动，油价二次反弹的风险仍可能拉长这场地缘冲突的通胀后遗症。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">此外，这位美联储掌门人对人工智能（AI）热潮的态度则更为谨慎。他表示，AI正推动商业投资出现飙升，但也给经济带来了不确定性。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">“我们尚不清楚经济能在多大程度上受益于AI的建设，”沃什说。“经济发展的新机遇也给政策制定者带来了新挑战。我们美联储正在密切监测其对通胀和劳动力市场的影响。”</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">美联储公开市场委员会（FOMC）6月16日至17日的会议纪要曾反映出，政策制定者对通胀的担忧正日益加剧。官员们在那次会议上一致投票通过将基准利率维持在3.5%至3.75%的区间内。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">与该决议一同发布的利率预测（点阵图）显示，有九名官员预测今年至少会加息25个基点，其中六人预计至少加息两次；另外九名官员则预计将按兵不动或降息。而一向对向市场提供利率路径线索的所谓“前瞻指引”持批评态度的沃什，此次直接拒绝提交个人预测。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">这一连串硬核数据在听证会前的狂轰滥炸，将直接把10点登场的沃什架在火上烤。在接下来的问答环节中，面对这批六年来首次环比下滑的通胀新证据，这位“拒绝前瞻指引”也拒绝填写点阵图的主席必然会被立法者们当场逼问：美联储是否还会坚持此前的加息转向？</p></body></html>","source":"stock_zhitongcaijing","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>沃什国会首秀撞车CPI爆冷！“零容忍”证词遭数据突袭，加息压力瞬间减轻</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n沃什国会首秀撞车CPI爆冷！“零容忍”证词遭数据突袭，加息压力瞬间减轻\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2026-07-14 21:00 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1467479.html><strong>智通财经</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>7月14日，美联储主席凯文·沃什今晚10点将出席美国众议院金融服务委员会“美联储半年度货币政策报告”听证会，但他的证词已提前发布。证词里，他表示，美联储的政策制定者们对高通胀“零容忍”，并重申了遏制已持续五年高企的物价增长的誓言。“我们委员会的成员对持续高企的通胀绝不姑息，”沃什在证词中表示。“ And we share a resolute commitment to restoring ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1467479.html\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c7da52addfd52fb216bcf87283f43750","relate_stocks":{"DIA":"道琼斯ETF","SH":"做空标普500-Proshares",".DJI":"道琼斯","QDTE":"Roundhill N-100 0DTE Covered Call Strategy ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","IEF":"债券指数ETF-iShares Barclays 7-10年","07522":"FI二华夏纳一百","SPYH":"Neos S&P 500 Hedged Equity Income ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","02834":"安硕纳指一百","JEPQ":"JPMorgan Nasdaq Equity Premium Income ETF","07568":"FI二南方纳指","IEI":"iShares Barclays 3-7 Year Trea","SPYM":"投资组合标普500指数ETF-SPDR","IGOV":"iShares安硕全球国债ETF","SPYQ":"2倍做多SPY Quarterly ETF-Tradr","TFJL":"Innovator 20+ Year Treasury Bond 5 Floor ETF - July","SPYU":"MAX S&P 500 4X Leveraged ETN","DMAX":"ISHARES LARGE CAP MAX BUFFER DEC ETF","BK4581":"高盛持仓","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF","FTEC":"Fidelity MSCI Information Techno","SSO":"2倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","TQQY":"GraniteShares YieldBOOST QQQ ETF","BWX":"国际主权债ETF-SPDR","NJAN":"Innovator Growth-100 Power Buffer ETF - January","BWZ":"SPDR Bloomberg Short Term International Treasury Bond ETF","ONEQ":"Fidelity NASDAQ Composite Index ETF","YSPY":"GraniteShares YieldBOOST SPY ETF","NJUL":"Innovator Growth-100 Power Buffer ETF - July","NDX":"纳斯达克100指数","QQQX":"Nuveen NASDAQ 100 Dynamic Overwrite","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF","BBIB":"JPMorgan BetaBuilders U.S. Treasury Bond 3-10 Year ETF","SHV":"美国短期国债ETF-iShares","SHY":"债券指数ETF-iShares Barclays 1-3年国债","BBLB":"JPMorgan BetaBuilders U.S. Treasury Bond 20+ Year ETF","QID":"两倍做空纳斯达克指数ETF-ProShares","SDOW":"三倍做空道指30ETF-ProShares","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","03086":"华夏纳指","DOG":"道指ETF-ProShares做空","ISHG":"iShares S&P/Citigroup 1-3 Year I","TECS":"Direxion Daily Technology Bear 3X Shares","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares","HIBL":"Direxion Daily S&P 500 High Beta Bull 3X Shares","IYW":"美国科技ETF-iShares","TLH":"iShares安硕10-20年国债ETF","QQQA":"ProShares Nasdaq-100 Dorsey Wright Momentum ETF","09834":"安硕纳指一百—U","TLT":"20+年以上美国国债ETF-iShares","QQQE":"Direxion NASDAQ-100 Equal Weighted Index Shares","DDM":"2倍做多道指ETF-ProShares","NOCT":"Innovator Growth-100 Power Buffer ETF - October","BK4588":"碎股","BBSB":"JPMorgan BetaBuilders U.S. Treasury Bond 1-3 Year ETF","SPUU":"Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 2x Shares","IVV":"标普500ETF-iShares","TLTI":"NEOS Enhanced Income 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF","GPIQ":"GOLDMAN SACHS NASDAQ 100 CORE PREMIUM INCOME ETF","SPDN":"Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 1X Shares","QLD":"2倍做多纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares","QQQJ":"Invesco NASDAQ Next Gen 100 ETF","DXD":"两倍做空道琼30指数ETF-ProShares","NAPR":"Innovator Growth-100 Power Buffer ETF - April","QQQM":"NASDAQ100指数ETF-Invesco","UDOW":"三倍做多道指30ETF-ProShares","TBJL":"Innovator 20+ Year Treasury Bond 9 Buffer ETF - July","07261":"FL二华夏纳一百","TLTW":"iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond Buywrite Strategy ETF","TLTX":"Global X Treasury Bond Enhanced Income ETF","07266":"南方两倍做多纳指","09086":"华夏纳指-U","SPXL":"三倍做多标普500ETF-Direxion","MMAX":"iShares Large Cap Max Buffer Mar ETF","03034":"南方纳指一百","VOO":"Vanguard标普500ETF","QYLG":"Nasdaq 100 Covered Call & Growth ETF","SPXS":"三倍做空标普500ETF-Direxion","QQQY":"Defiance Nasdaq 100 Enhanced Options & 0DTE Income ETF","SGOV":"iShares 0-3 Month Treasury Bond ETF","FLGV":"Franklin U.S. Treasury Bond ETF","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares","PSQ":"做空纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares","QMAR":"FT Vest Nasdaq-100 Buffer ETF - March","TSYW":"Roundhill Treasury Bond WeeklyPay ETF","QDEC":"FT Vest Nasdaq-100 Buffer ETF - December","SPY":"标普500ETF","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","SMAX":"ISHARES LARGE CAP MAX BUFFER SEP ETF","03455":"景顺QQQ"},"source_url":"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1467479.html","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2651106841","content_text":"7月14日，美联储主席凯文·沃什今晚10点将出席美国众议院金融服务委员会“美联储半年度货币政策报告”听证会，但他的证词已提前发布。证词里，他表示，美联储的政策制定者们对高通胀“零容忍”，并重申了遏制已持续五年高企的物价增长的誓言。“我们委员会的成员对持续高企的通胀绝不姑息，”沃什在证词中表示。“ And we share a resolute commitment to restoring price stability（我们共同拥有恢复价格稳定的坚定承诺）。”这位新任美联储主席自今年5月上任以来，一直强调政策制定者应对通胀的承诺，并表示首要目标是确保货币政策的正确性。“如果我们把政策做对了——我们也一定会做到——那么过去五年的通胀飙升都将成为过去式，”沃什指出。然而，戏剧性的反转在20:30轰然落地。就在沃什准备在10点发表这份充斥着“零容忍”的鹰派证词前仅一个半小时，美国劳工统计局砸出了6月份的消费者物价指数（CPI）报告。这份全面爆冷的数据犹如一颗深水炸弹，直接打乱了美联储此前的强硬节奏。数据显示，美国6月 CPI 环比负增长0.4%，不仅远低于市场预期的-0.1%，更是美国六年来首次出现环比负增长；同比增速也超预期跌至3.5%。更让华尔街振奋的是，剔除食品与能源后的核心 CPI 环比录得0.0%（持平，预期为+0.2%），同比增速也降至2.6%（预期为2.8%）。数据公布后，全球金融市场瞬间倒戈：美股股指期货直线拉升，美国国债收益率暴跌，投资者开始疯狂削减对美联储在7月突袭加息的押注。报告暗示，随着总统特朗普此前举措显效，加油站燃油价格剧烈下滑，美伊战争引发的初始能源冲击正在消退。在沃什将发表上述言论之际，其他几位美联储决策者正纷纷发出警告，称可能需要更高的利率来遏制通胀。但正如文中特别注明的：沃什的这份听证会证词，是在这批爆冷的 CPI 数据发布之前就已经“提前准备好（prepared prior to）”的。这批突然“退烧”的数据，直接抽走了鹰派阵营原本准备用来大谈加息的底牌。在经济展望方面，沃什此前持乐观态度，将劳动力市场描述为大致稳定，几乎没有裁员迹象，且名义薪资增长强劲。但美联储官员们也必须正视潜在的隐患——虽然数据表明最坏的冲击可能过去，但若美伊之间近期再度爆发新的敌对行动，油价二次反弹的风险仍可能拉长这场地缘冲突的通胀后遗症。此外，这位美联储掌门人对人工智能（AI）热潮的态度则更为谨慎。他表示，AI正推动商业投资出现飙升，但也给经济带来了不确定性。“我们尚不清楚经济能在多大程度上受益于AI的建设，”沃什说。“经济发展的新机遇也给政策制定者带来了新挑战。我们美联储正在密切监测其对通胀和劳动力市场的影响。”美联储公开市场委员会（FOMC）6月16日至17日的会议纪要曾反映出，政策制定者对通胀的担忧正日益加剧。官员们在那次会议上一致投票通过将基准利率维持在3.5%至3.75%的区间内。与该决议一同发布的利率预测（点阵图）显示，有九名官员预测今年至少会加息25个基点，其中六人预计至少加息两次；另外九名官员则预计将按兵不动或降息。而一向对向市场提供利率路径线索的所谓“前瞻指引”持批评态度的沃什，此次直接拒绝提交个人预测。这一连串硬核数据在听证会前的狂轰滥炸，将直接把10点登场的沃什架在火上烤。在接下来的问答环节中，面对这批六年来首次环比下滑的通胀新证据，这位“拒绝前瞻指引”也拒绝填写点阵图的主席必然会被立法者们当场逼问：美联储是否还会坚持此前的加息转向？","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"QQQJ":0.6,"DIA":0.6,"NAPR":0.6,"BWX":0.6,"TECS":0.6,"IYW":0.6,"SPXU":0.6,"QDEC":0.6,"SQQQ":0.6,"TLH":0.6,"03455":0.6,"SSO":0.6,"UDOW":0.6,"NJUL":0.6,"NOCT":0.6,"DOG":0.6,"SPYH":0.6,"ISHG":0.6,"SPYU":0.6,"NJAN":0.6,"03086":0.6,"QQQ":0.6,"TQQY":0.6,"SHV":0.6,"09834":0.6,"IVV":0.6,"QQQX":0.6,"QLD":0.6,"SH":0.6,"TLT":1.85,"QQQY":0.6,"GPIQ":0.6,"SDS":0.6,"TFJL":0.6,"UPRO":0.6,".SPX":2,"JEPQ":0.6,"09086":0.6,"SPUU":0.6,"QQQE":0.6,"BBIB":0.6,"IGOV":0.6,"FLGV":0.6,"BBLB":0.6,"SPDN":0.6,"TBJL":0.6,"QMAR":0.6,"DXD":0.6,"BBSB":0.6,"HIBL":0.6,"03034":0.6,"07261":0.6,".DJI":2,"DDM":0.6,"MMAX":0.6,"QQQA":0.6,"BWZ":0.6,"QQQM":0.6,"QYLG":0.6,"QID":0.6,".IXIC":2,"SPYQ":0.6,"07522":0.6,"TQQQ":0.6,"SHY":0.6,"NDX":2,"07266":0.6,"TSYW":0.6,"FTEC":0.6,"SMAX":0.6,"ONEQ":0.6,"DMAX":0.6,"TLTI":0.6,"IEI":0.6,"TLTX":0.6,"VOO":0.6,"IEF":0.6,"TLTW":0.6,"SDOW":0.6,"SGOV":0.6,"02834":0.6,"07568":0.6,"YSPY":0.6,"SPYM":0.6,"SPY":0.6,"PSQ":0.6,"SPXS":0.6,"QDTE":0.6,"SPXL":0.6}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":329,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"CN","currentLanguage":"CN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":54,"optionInvolvedFlag":false,"subscribersOnly":false,"subscribersOnlyAccessible":false,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ZH_CN"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/585741220896856"}