OO_898
2021-12-10
Looking forward
[Grin]
Will Apple Stock’s Rally Fizzle Out? Don’t Bet on It.<blockquote>苹果股市的反弹会失败吗？别赌了。</blockquote>
免责声明：上述内容仅代表发帖人个人观点，不构成本平台的任何投资建议。
分享至
微信
复制链接
精彩评论
我们需要你的真知灼见来填补这片空白
打开APP，发表看法
APP内打开
发表看法
1
{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"detailType":1,"isChannel":false,"data":{"magic":2,"id":605143643,"tweetId":"605143643","gmtCreate":1639135033481,"gmtModify":1639135033729,"author":{"id":3582969710070724,"idStr":"3582969710070724","authorId":3582969710070724,"authorIdStr":"3582969710070724","name":"OO_898","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9fb3c360d5d7711641a868a144192fc7","vip":1,"userType":1,"introduction":"","boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[],"wearingBadges":[],"fanSize":23,"starInvestorFlag":false},"themes":[],"images":[],"coverImages":[],"title":"","extraTitle":"","html":"<html><head></head><body><p>Looking forward <span>[Grin] </span></p></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><p>Looking forward <span>[Grin] </span></p></body></html>","text":"Looking forward [Grin]","highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/605143643","repostId":1185363632,"repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1185363632","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639125824,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1185363632?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-10 16:43","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Will Apple Stock’s Rally Fizzle Out? Don’t Bet on It.<blockquote>苹果股市的反弹会失败吗？别赌了。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1185363632","media":"Barrons","summary":"Apple stock has been on a tear, and nothing seems to be able to knock it down for long. When I see t","content":"<p>Apple stock has been on a tear, and nothing seems to be able to knock it down for long. When I see that kind of acceleration, I usually start thinking it’s time to sell. The thing is, with Apple stock, it might not be.</p><p><blockquote>苹果股价一直处于崩溃状态，似乎没有什么能够长期将其击垮。当我看到这种加速时，我通常会开始认为是时候卖出了。问题是，对于苹果股票来说，情况可能并非如此。</blockquote></p><p> Apple stock (ticker: AAPL) has jumped 19% during the past month of trading, easily outperforming the Dow Jones Industrial Average’s 0.5% rise, the S&P 500’s 0.9% gain, and the Nasdaq Composite’s 0.04% advance. It’s an amazing move when compared with the overall market, and how little bad news seems to hurt the stock. It even goes up when nearly everything else goes down.</p><p><blockquote>苹果股票（股票代码：AAPL）在过去一个月的交易中上涨了 19%，轻松超过了道琼斯工业平均指数 0.5% 的涨幅、标普500 0.9% 的涨幅以及纳斯达克综合指数 0.04% 的涨幅。与整体市场相比，这是一个惊人的举动，而且坏消息似乎对该股造成的伤害也很小。当几乎所有其他东西都下跌时，它甚至会上涨。</blockquote></p><p> The gain also marks an acceleration for the stock. On Thursday, Apple was up 0.3% at $175.58, more than 15% above its 50-day moving average of $152.30. We looked at that hoping it would serve as a sell signal, but that’s not the case. During the past five years, Apple stock has gone on to advance 2% in the two weeks after trading 15% or higher above the 50-day moving average, and 3% in the month following it. The stock was higher one month later 28 out of 39 occurrences.</p><p><blockquote>这一涨幅也标志着该股的加速上涨。周四，苹果股价上涨 0.3%，至 175.58 美元，较 50 天移动平均线 152.30 美元高出 15% 以上。我们希望这能成为一个卖出信号，但事实并非如此。在过去五年中，苹果股价在交易价格高于 50 天移动平均线 15% 或更高后的两周内上涨了 2%，在接下来的一个月内上涨了 3%。一个月后，39 起事件中有 28 起上涨。</blockquote></p><p> Even if we use only the first instance of the stock rising 15% above the moving average—we eliminated any that occurred with five trading days of the first close—the stock performed OK, with shares gaining 0.9% two weeks after the first instance, and 9% during the month after.</p><p><blockquote>即使我们只使用股票在移动平均线上方上涨 15% 的第一个实例——我们排除了第一次收盘后五个交易日发生的任何情况——该股表现良好，股价在第一个实例后两周上涨了 0.9%，在接下来的一个月内上涨了 9%。</blockquote></p><p> As much as we worry that Apple’s gains can’t continue in the long-run, at least based on recent history, Apple stock could have more room to run.</p><p><blockquote>尽管我们担心苹果的涨势无法长期持续，但至少从最近的历史来看，苹果的股票可能还有更大的上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> That doesn’t mean Apple stock can just keep running in perpetuity. While the 15% threshold didn’t result in losses, a 20% threshold did. When that happened, Apple stock has dropped an average of 3% over the two weeks following the instance, and 2.9% month after.</p><p><blockquote>这并不意味着苹果的股票可以永远持续下去。虽然 15% 的门槛不会导致损失，但 20% 的门槛会导致损失。当这种情况发生时，苹果股价在事件发生后的两周内平均下跌了 3%，一个月后下跌了 2.9%。</blockquote></p><p> Apple stock can get too strong, after all. It’s just not there yet.</p><p><blockquote>毕竟，苹果股票可能会变得过于强劲。只是还没到。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Will Apple Stock’s Rally Fizzle Out? Don’t Bet on It.<blockquote>苹果股市的反弹会失败吗？别赌了。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWill Apple Stock’s Rally Fizzle Out? Don’t Bet on It.<blockquote>苹果股市的反弹会失败吗？别赌了。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-10 16:43</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Apple stock has been on a tear, and nothing seems to be able to knock it down for long. When I see that kind of acceleration, I usually start thinking it’s time to sell. The thing is, with Apple stock, it might not be.</p><p><blockquote>苹果股价一直处于崩溃状态，似乎没有什么能够长期将其击垮。当我看到这种加速时，我通常会开始认为是时候卖出了。问题是，对于苹果股票来说，情况可能并非如此。</blockquote></p><p> Apple stock (ticker: AAPL) has jumped 19% during the past month of trading, easily outperforming the Dow Jones Industrial Average’s 0.5% rise, the S&P 500’s 0.9% gain, and the Nasdaq Composite’s 0.04% advance. It’s an amazing move when compared with the overall market, and how little bad news seems to hurt the stock. It even goes up when nearly everything else goes down.</p><p><blockquote>苹果股票（股票代码：AAPL）在过去一个月的交易中上涨了 19%，轻松超过了道琼斯工业平均指数 0.5% 的涨幅、标普500 0.9% 的涨幅以及纳斯达克综合指数 0.04% 的涨幅。与整体市场相比，这是一个惊人的举动，而且坏消息似乎对该股造成的伤害也很小。当几乎所有其他东西都下跌时，它甚至会上涨。</blockquote></p><p> The gain also marks an acceleration for the stock. On Thursday, Apple was up 0.3% at $175.58, more than 15% above its 50-day moving average of $152.30. We looked at that hoping it would serve as a sell signal, but that’s not the case. During the past five years, Apple stock has gone on to advance 2% in the two weeks after trading 15% or higher above the 50-day moving average, and 3% in the month following it. The stock was higher one month later 28 out of 39 occurrences.</p><p><blockquote>这一涨幅也标志着该股的加速上涨。周四，苹果股价上涨 0.3%，至 175.58 美元，较 50 天移动平均线 152.30 美元高出 15% 以上。我们希望这能成为一个卖出信号，但事实并非如此。在过去五年中，苹果股价在交易价格高于 50 天移动平均线 15% 或更高后的两周内上涨了 2%，在接下来的一个月内上涨了 3%。一个月后，39 起事件中有 28 起上涨。</blockquote></p><p> Even if we use only the first instance of the stock rising 15% above the moving average—we eliminated any that occurred with five trading days of the first close—the stock performed OK, with shares gaining 0.9% two weeks after the first instance, and 9% during the month after.</p><p><blockquote>即使我们只使用股票在移动平均线上方上涨 15% 的第一个实例——我们排除了第一次收盘后五个交易日发生的任何情况——该股表现良好，股价在第一个实例后两周上涨了 0.9%，在接下来的一个月内上涨了 9%。</blockquote></p><p> As much as we worry that Apple’s gains can’t continue in the long-run, at least based on recent history, Apple stock could have more room to run.</p><p><blockquote>尽管我们担心苹果的涨势无法长期持续，但至少从最近的历史来看，苹果的股票可能还有更大的上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> That doesn’t mean Apple stock can just keep running in perpetuity. While the 15% threshold didn’t result in losses, a 20% threshold did. When that happened, Apple stock has dropped an average of 3% over the two weeks following the instance, and 2.9% month after.</p><p><blockquote>这并不意味着苹果的股票可以永远持续下去。虽然 15% 的门槛不会导致损失，但 20% 的门槛会导致损失。当这种情况发生时，苹果股价在事件发生后的两周内平均下跌了 3%，一个月后下跌了 2.9%。</blockquote></p><p> Apple stock can get too strong, after all. It’s just not there yet.</p><p><blockquote>毕竟，苹果股票可能会变得过于强劲。只是还没到。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/apple-stock-price-buy-sell-rally-51639071310?mod=hp_LEADSUPP_3\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/apple-stock-price-buy-sell-rally-51639071310?mod=hp_LEADSUPP_3","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1185363632","content_text":"Apple stock has been on a tear, and nothing seems to be able to knock it down for long. When I see that kind of acceleration, I usually start thinking it’s time to sell. The thing is, with Apple stock, it might not be.\nApple stock (ticker: AAPL) has jumped 19% during the past month of trading, easily outperforming the Dow Jones Industrial Average’s 0.5% rise, the S&P 500’s 0.9% gain, and the Nasdaq Composite’s 0.04% advance. It’s an amazing move when compared with the overall market, and how little bad news seems to hurt the stock. It even goes up when nearly everything else goes down.\nThe gain also marks an acceleration for the stock. On Thursday, Apple was up 0.3% at $175.58, more than 15% above its 50-day moving average of $152.30. We looked at that hoping it would serve as a sell signal, but that’s not the case. During the past five years, Apple stock has gone on to advance 2% in the two weeks after trading 15% or higher above the 50-day moving average, and 3% in the month following it. The stock was higher one month later 28 out of 39 occurrences.\nEven if we use only the first instance of the stock rising 15% above the moving average—we eliminated any that occurred with five trading days of the first close—the stock performed OK, with shares gaining 0.9% two weeks after the first instance, and 9% during the month after.\nAs much as we worry that Apple’s gains can’t continue in the long-run, at least based on recent history, Apple stock could have more room to run.\nThat doesn’t mean Apple stock can just keep running in perpetuity. While the 15% threshold didn’t result in losses, a 20% threshold did. When that happened, Apple stock has dropped an average of 3% over the two weeks following the instance, and 2.9% month after.\nApple stock can get too strong, after all. It’s just not there yet.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3413,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"CN","currentLanguage":"CN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":20,"subscribersOnly":false,"subscribersOnlyAccessible":false,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ZH_CN"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/605143643"}
精彩评论