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2021-12-15

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Over 25% Of Nio Option Flows Are Expiring Friday: Will It Bounce?<blockquote>超过25%的蔚来期权流量将于周五到期：会反弹吗？</blockquote>

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{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"detailType":1,"isChannel":false,"data":{"magic":2,"id":607275781,"tweetId":"607275781","gmtCreate":1639554551959,"gmtModify":1639554552443,"author":{"id":3558500464606684,"idStr":"3558500464606684","authorId":3558500464606684,"authorIdStr":"3558500464606684","name":"thesushimao","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/53952a1b873d03c715d3711a2395a297","vip":1,"userType":1,"introduction":"","boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[],"fanSize":48,"starInvestorFlag":false},"themes":[],"images":[],"coverImages":[],"extraTitle":"","html":"<html><head></head><body>Wow pls like</body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body>Wow pls like</body></html>","text":"Wow pls like","highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/607275781","repostId":1127951705,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1127951705","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1639527737,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1127951705?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-15 08:22","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Over 25% Of Nio Option Flows Are Expiring Friday: Will It Bounce?<blockquote>超过25%的蔚来期权流量将于周五到期：会反弹吗？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1127951705","media":"Benzinga","summary":"What Happened:Shares of NIO Inc lost 4% Tuesday as many U.S. and Asian stocks fell due to omicron CO","content":"What Happened:Shares of&nbsp;NIO Inc&nbsp;lost 4% Tuesday&nbsp;as many U.S. and Asian stocks fell due to omicron COVID-19 variant concerns.<blockquote>发生了什么：本公司之股份蔚来公司由于对奥密克戎COVID-19变种的担忧，许多美国和亚洲股市下跌，周二下跌4%。</blockquote> The stock is approaching a major support level around $30 that has held since October of 2020.&nbsp;Looking at the option flows on the day, there are over 148,000 calls and 71,000 puts, so two out of every three&nbsp;options&nbsp;on the day are calls (image below).<blockquote>该股正在接近自2020年10月以来一直保持的30美元左右的主要支撑位。从当天的期权流向来看，有超过148,000份评级和71,000份看跌期权，因此当天每三份期权中就有两份是评级（下图）。</blockquote> Prior to Tuesday's trading, there were approximately 1.8 million calls and 1.6 million puts in NIO for a total of 3.48 million options.<blockquote>在周二交易之前，蔚来约有180万份评级和160万份看跌期权，总计348万份期权。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1829707a572d0f5331bc22fb8bb77d2e\" tg-width=\"1023\" tg-height=\"279\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><blockquote></blockquote> This means that the option flows for Tuesday&nbsp;represent about 7% of the total options, which is solid considering the FOMC meeting on Wednesday, Dec. 15 is putting a damper on flows.<blockquote>这意味着周二的期权流量约占期权总量的7%，考虑到12月15日周三的FOMC会议抑制了流量，这一数字是可靠的。</blockquote> Why It Matters:Generally traders do not make aggressive bets ahead of a&nbsp;FOMC, meeting, especially the last one of the year, which could set the tone for trading in 2022.<blockquote>为什么重要：一般来说，交易者不会在FOMC会议之前进行激进的押注，尤其是今年的最后一次会议，这可能会为2022年的交易定下基调。</blockquote> Of the approximately 219,000 options traded today, only about 60,000 of them are short dated (expiring Friday, Dec. 17), which means the majority of flows are forward looking beyond the FOMC and monthly op-ex.<blockquote>在今天交易的约219,000份期权中，只有约60,000份是短期期权（将于12月17日星期五到期），这意味着大多数流量都是前瞻性的，超出了FOMC和月度op-ex。</blockquote> The next largest option expiry by volume is the Jan.&nbsp;21 op-ex, which means a strong amount of traders are taking bullish bets on Nio&nbsp;into next year.<blockquote>按交易量计算，下一个最大的期权到期日是1月21日的op-ex，这意味着大量交易者在明年对蔚来进行看涨押注。</blockquote> What's Next:Looking at the option chain for the Jan. 21 expiry next year, the largest strikes by volume are concentrated between the $35 and $40 strikes (image below).<blockquote>下一步是什么：从明年1月21日到期的期权链来看，交易量最大的行使价集中在35美元至40美元之间（如下图）。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/747fa367be175f2627d9a91fd7542fac\" tg-width=\"1117\" tg-height=\"399\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><blockquote></blockquote> Meanwhile, the largest strikes by open interest are the $40 and $45 strikes, which shows a fair amount of interest for a bounce off support and a move back up into the $40s.<blockquote>与此同时，未平仓合约的最大罢工是40美元和45美元，这表明人们对从支撑位反弹并回升至40美元的兴趣相当大。</blockquote> It should be noted the option market is currently pricing in a 14% probability NIO closes at or above $40 by the January op-ex next year, so it's currently a lower probability event.<blockquote>应该指出的是，期权市场目前定价蔚来在明年1月交易前收盘价为40美元或以上的可能性为14%，因此目前这是一个较低概率的事件。</blockquote> But if the $30 level can hold for this week&nbsp;and there is no hawkishness out of the Fed for the FOMC on Dec. 15, then equities might get a Christmas rally to end the year, as the bearish pressure leading into the FOMC could subside.<blockquote>但如果本周能够守住30美元的水平，并且美联储在12月15日没有对FOMC采取鹰派态度，那么股市可能会在年底出现圣诞节反弹，因为FOMC的看跌压力可能会消退。</blockquote> On the other hand, if the stock closes below the $30 level on a weekly closing basis, then the next support does not come in until&nbsp;around $25.<blockquote>另一方面，如果该股每周收盘价低于30美元，那么下一个支撑位要到25美元左右才会出现。</blockquote>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Over 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padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nOver 25% Of Nio Option Flows Are Expiring Friday: Will It Bounce?<blockquote>超过25%的蔚来期权流量将于周五到期：会反弹吗？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\nBenzinga \n2021-12-15 08:22\n</div>\n</div>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\nWhat Happened:Shares of&nbsp;NIO Inc&nbsp;lost 4% Tuesday&nbsp;as many U.S. and Asian stocks fell due to omicron COVID-19 variant concerns.<blockquote>发生了什么：本公司之股份蔚来公司由于对奥密克戎COVID-19变种的担忧，许多美国和亚洲股市下跌，周二下跌4%。</blockquote> The stock is approaching a major support level around $30 that has held since October of 2020.&nbsp;Looking at the option flows on the day, there are over 148,000 calls and 71,000 puts, so two out of every three&nbsp;options&nbsp;on the day are calls (image below).<blockquote>该股正在接近自2020年10月以来一直保持的30美元左右的主要支撑位。从当天的期权流向来看，有超过148,000份评级和71,000份看跌期权，因此当天每三份期权中就有两份是评级（下图）。</blockquote> Prior to Tuesday's trading, there were approximately 1.8 million calls and 1.6 million puts in NIO for a total of 3.48 million options.<blockquote>在周二交易之前，蔚来约有180万份评级和160万份看跌期权，总计348万份期权。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1829707a572d0f5331bc22fb8bb77d2e\" tg-width=\"1023\" tg-height=\"279\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><blockquote></blockquote> This means that the option flows for Tuesday&nbsp;represent about 7% of the total options, which is solid considering the FOMC meeting on Wednesday, Dec. 15 is putting a damper on flows.<blockquote>这意味着周二的期权流量约占期权总量的7%，考虑到12月15日周三的FOMC会议抑制了流量，这一数字是可靠的。</blockquote> Why It Matters:Generally traders do not make aggressive bets ahead of a&nbsp;FOMC, meeting, especially the last one of the year, which could set the tone for trading in 2022.<blockquote>为什么重要：一般来说，交易者不会在FOMC会议之前进行激进的押注，尤其是今年的最后一次会议，这可能会为2022年的交易定下基调。</blockquote> Of the approximately 219,000 options traded today, only about 60,000 of them are short dated (expiring Friday, Dec. 17), which means the majority of flows are forward looking beyond the FOMC and monthly op-ex.<blockquote>在今天交易的约219,000份期权中，只有约60,000份是短期期权（将于12月17日星期五到期），这意味着大多数流量都是前瞻性的，超出了FOMC和月度op-ex。</blockquote> The next largest option expiry by volume is the Jan.&nbsp;21 op-ex, which means a strong amount of traders are taking bullish bets on Nio&nbsp;into next year.<blockquote>按交易量计算，下一个最大的期权到期日是1月21日的op-ex，这意味着大量交易者在明年对蔚来进行看涨押注。</blockquote> What's Next:Looking at the option chain for the Jan. 21 expiry next year, the largest strikes by volume are concentrated between the $35 and $40 strikes (image below).<blockquote>下一步是什么：从明年1月21日到期的期权链来看，交易量最大的行使价集中在35美元至40美元之间（如下图）。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/747fa367be175f2627d9a91fd7542fac\" tg-width=\"1117\" tg-height=\"399\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><blockquote></blockquote> Meanwhile, the largest strikes by open interest are the $40 and $45 strikes, which shows a fair amount of interest for a bounce off support and a move back up into the $40s.<blockquote>与此同时，未平仓合约的最大罢工是40美元和45美元，这表明人们对从支撑位反弹并回升至40美元的兴趣相当大。</blockquote> It should be noted the option market is currently pricing in a 14% probability NIO closes at or above $40 by the January op-ex next year, so it's currently a lower probability event.<blockquote>应该指出的是，期权市场目前定价蔚来在明年1月交易前收盘价为40美元或以上的可能性为14%，因此目前这是一个较低概率的事件。</blockquote> But if the $30 level can hold for this week&nbsp;and there is no hawkishness out of the Fed for the FOMC on Dec. 15, then equities might get a Christmas rally to end the year, as the bearish pressure leading into the FOMC could subside.<blockquote>但如果本周能够守住30美元的水平，并且美联储在12月15日没有对FOMC采取鹰派态度，那么股市可能会在年底出现圣诞节反弹，因为FOMC的看跌压力可能会消退。</blockquote> On the other hand, if the stock closes below the $30 level on a weekly closing basis, then the next support does not come in until&nbsp;around $25.<blockquote>另一方面，如果该股每周收盘价低于30美元，那么下一个支撑位要到25美元左右才会出现。</blockquote>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NIO":"蔚来"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1127951705","content_text":"What Happened:Shares of NIO Inc lost 4% Tuesday as many U.S. and Asian stocks fell due to omicron COVID-19 variant concerns.\nThe stock is approaching a major support level around $30 that has held since October of 2020. Looking at the option flows on the day, there are over 148,000 calls and 71,000 puts, so two out of every three options on the day are calls (image below).\nPrior to Tuesday's trading, there were approximately 1.8 million calls and 1.6 million puts in NIO for a total of 3.48 million options.\n\nThis means that the option flows for Tuesday represent about 7% of the total options, which is solid considering the FOMC meeting on Wednesday, Dec. 15 is putting a damper on flows.\nWhy It Matters:Generally traders do not make aggressive bets ahead of a FOMC, meeting, especially the last one of the year, which could set the tone for trading in 2022.\nOf the approximately 219,000 options traded today, only about 60,000 of them are short dated (expiring Friday, Dec. 17), which means the majority of flows are forward looking beyond the FOMC and monthly op-ex.\nThe next largest option expiry by volume is the Jan. 21 op-ex, which means a strong amount of traders are taking bullish bets on Nio into next year.\nWhat's Next:Looking at the option chain for the Jan. 21 expiry next year, the largest strikes by volume are concentrated between the $35 and $40 strikes (image below).\n\nMeanwhile, the largest strikes by open interest are the $40 and $45 strikes, which shows a fair amount of interest for a bounce off support and a move back up into the $40s.\nIt should be noted the option market is currently pricing in a 14% probability NIO closes at or above $40 by the January op-ex next year, so it's currently a lower probability event.\nBut if the $30 level can hold for this week and there is no hawkishness out of the Fed for the FOMC on Dec. 15, then equities might get a Christmas rally to end the year, as the bearish pressure leading into the FOMC could subside.\nOn the other hand, if the stock closes below the $30 level on a weekly closing basis, then the next support does not come in until around $25.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NIO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3503,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"CN","currentLanguage":"CN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":10,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ZH_CN"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/607275781"}