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Powell expects inflation to fall closer to Fed's goal by end of next year<blockquote>鲍威尔预计明年年底通胀将更接近美联储目标</blockquote>

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{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"detailType":1,"isChannel":false,"data":{"magic":2,"id":607764478,"tweetId":"607764478","gmtCreate":1639603828306,"gmtModify":1639603828489,"author":{"id":3581998808524359,"idStr":"3581998808524359","authorId":3581998808524359,"authorIdStr":"3581998808524359","name":"湖中有虎","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"userType":1,"introduction":"","boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[],"fanSize":15,"starInvestorFlag":false},"themes":[],"images":[],"coverImages":[],"extraTitle":"","html":"<html><head></head><body>还</body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body>还</body></html>","text":"还","highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/607764478","repostId":1144281028,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1144281028","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1639596982,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1144281028?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-16 03:36","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Powell expects inflation to fall closer to Fed's goal by end of next year<blockquote>鲍威尔预计明年年底通胀将更接近美联储目标</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1144281028","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Economic growth and \"rapid gains\" in the employment picture are supporting the central bank's decision to accelerate the tapering of its asset purchase program, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said during his post-FOMC press conference.The recent increase in COVID and the emergence of the Omicron variant \"poses risk to the outlook,\" he said.","content":"<ul> <li>Economic growth and \"rapid gains\" in the employment picture are supporting the central bank's decision to accelerate the tapering of its asset purchase program, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said during his post-FOMC press conference.</li> <li>The recent increase in COVID and the emergence of the Omicron variant \"poses risk to the outlook,\" he said.</li> <li>\"The economy no longer needs increasing amounts of policy support,\" Powell said.</li> </ul> <ul> <li>3:30 PM ET:&nbsp;\"I'm not troubled where the long bond is. We're focused on broader economic issues,\" he said.</li> </ul> <ul> <li>3:23 PM ET:&nbsp;The central bank committee \"hasn't&nbsp;made any decision at all\" on when balance sheet runoff will start. \"We did have a balance sheet issue discussion, we'll have another at the next meeting... we didn't make any decisions today.\"</li> <li>3:22 PM ET:Asset purchase decisions and raising interest rates are two separate decisions. The policymakers haven't yet discussed whether the higher interest rates will immediately follow the winding down of the taper.</li> <li>3:20 PM ET:\"We are at a point after March that we can raise interest rates as and when appropriate,\" he said.</li> </ul> <ul> <li>3:18 PM ET:&nbsp;He thinks cryptocurrency risks are a longer-term risk doesn't think of them as a financial stability concern. Also, he commented that stablecoins are not currently property regulated.</li> </ul> <ul> <li>3:16 PM ET: \"Asset valuations are somewhat elevated,\" he&nbsp; In terms of financial risks, \"businesses have debt, but their default rates are very low.\" Money market funds are a vulnerability. Cyber risk is harder to deal with, he said.</li> </ul> <ul> <li>3:13 PM ET:&nbsp;\"The risk of inflation becoming entrenched has increased. I don't think it's high, but it has increased,\" the Fed chair said. That's a major risk, along with the virus itself, he said.</li> </ul> <ul> <li>3:12 PM ET:Consumer incomes are strong, and spending has been strong, he notes. \"We expect personal consumption expenditures to be very strong in the fourth quarter,\" he said.</li> </ul> <ul> <li>As of 3:09 PM ET, the Nasdaq&nbsp;climbs 1.0%, the S&amp;P&nbsp;rises 0.9%, and the Dowgains 0.5%.</li> <li>3:08 PM ET:\"It will take time and to get the pandemic under control\" to produce gains in the labor force participation rate, he said.</li> </ul> <ul> <li>3:03 PM ET: \"The inflation that we got was not at all the inflation we were talking about or looking for in the framework,\" Powell said. The post-pandemic inflation was triggered by supply-side barriers, \"a very different kind of inflation\" that was considered in the Fed's policy framework.</li> </ul> <ul> <li>2:58 PM ET:&nbsp;Turning to inflation: \"Wages are not a big part of the high inflation that we're seeing,\" he said. The Fed needs to watch for is if wages were persistently above productivity growth, he added, \"we don't see that yet.\" They're also carefully watching rent increases.</li> </ul> <ul> <li>2:56 PM ET:Powell decided the Fed needed to speed up the taper after the November employment report came out in early December.</li> </ul> <ul> <li>2:53 PM:Even with Omicron posing a risk to the economic outlook, Powell said accelerating the taper is warranted. At this point, \"it's very difficult to say what the economic effect will be...&nbsp;Moving forward the end of the taper is appropriate and Omicron doesn’t have much to do with it.\"</li> </ul> <ul> <li>2:47 PM:While the unemployment rate has improved quickly and stands at about 4.2%, the labor force participation rate has been disappointing, he said. \"I do think it feels likely now that the return to higher LFP is going to take longer.\"</li> </ul> <ul> <li>2:44 PM: He doesn't expect the Fed to start raising rates before the taper ends. It \"wouldn't be appropriate\" to raise rates while still increasing asset purchases, he said.</li> <li>2:42 PM ET:\"We're basically two meetings away from finishing the taper,\" he noted.</li> <li>2:40 PM ET:When asked what maximum employment looks like, Powell said it entails a \"broad range of indicators,\" such as the unemployment rate, labor force participation rate, and others. \"It is admittedly a judgment call because it's a range of factors. We are making rapid progress toward maximum employment.\"</li> <li>Earlier, the Federal Open Market Committee&nbsp;doubled the pace of tapering&nbsp;to $30B per month as inflation remained elevated and the labor market stayed strong.</li> <li>The faster pace of winding down the central bank's asset purchases puts it on track to boost rates earlier. Now all of the Fed officials expect at least one rate hike during 2022, with two-thirds of them predicting at least three 25-basis point&nbsp;increases during the year.</li> </ul> <blockquote><ul><li>美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔在FOMC会议后的新闻发布会上表示，经济增长和就业形势的“快速增长”正在支持央行加速缩减资产购买计划的决定。</li><li>他说，最近新冠病毒的增加和奥密克戎变种的出现“对前景构成了风险”。</li><li>鲍威尔表示：“经济不再需要越来越多的政策支持。”</li></ul><ul><li>美国东部时间下午3:30：“我并不担心长期债券在哪里。我们专注于更广泛的经济问题，”他说。</li></ul><ul><li>美国东部时间下午3:23：央行委员会对于何时开始资产负债表决选“根本没有做出任何决定”。“我们确实讨论了资产负债表问题，我们将在下次会议上再讨论一次……我们今天没有做出任何决定。”</li><li>美国东部时间下午3:22：资产购买决策和加息是两个独立的决策。政策制定者尚未讨论缩减购债规模后是否会立即加息。</li><li>美国东部时间下午3:20：他表示：“三月份之后，我们可以在适当的时候加息。”</li></ul><ul><li>美国东部时间下午3:18：他认为加密货币风险是一种长期风险，并不认为它们是金融稳定问题。此外，他评论说，稳定币目前不受财产监管。</li></ul><ul><li>美国东部时间下午3:16：“资产估值有些偏高，”他在金融风险方面，“企业有债务，但违约率很低。”货币市场基金是一个弱点。他说，网络风险更难应对。</li></ul><ul><li>美国东部时间下午3:13：美联储主席表示：“通胀变得根深蒂固的风险已经增加。我认为通胀并不高，但已经增加了。”他说，这与病毒本身一样是一个重大风险。</li></ul><ul><li>美国东部时间下午3:12：他指出，消费者收入强劲，支出也强劲。“我们预计第四季度个人消费支出将非常强劲，”他说。</li></ul><ul><li>截至美国东部时间下午3:09，纳斯达克上涨1.0%，标准普尔指数上涨0.9%，道琼斯指数上涨0.5%。</li><li>美国东部时间下午3:08：他说，“控制疫情需要时间”才能提高劳动力参与率。</li></ul><ul><li>美国东部时间下午3:03：“我们得到的通胀根本不是我们在框架中谈论或寻找的通胀，”鲍威尔说。疫情后的通胀是由供给侧壁垒引发的，这是美联储政策框架中考虑的“一种非常不同的通胀”。</li></ul><ul><li>美国东部时间下午2:58：谈到通货膨胀：“工资并不是我们看到的高通货膨胀的重要组成部分，”他说。他补充说，美联储需要关注工资是否持续高于生产率增长，“我们还没有看到这一点。”他们也在密切关注租金上涨。</li></ul><ul><li>美国东部时间下午2:56：鲍威尔在12月初11月就业报告出来后决定美联储需要加快taper。</li></ul><ul><li>下午2点53分：尽管奥密克戎对经济前景构成风险，但Powell表示，加速缩减规模是有道理的。在这一点上，“很难说经济影响会是什么……提前结束缩减是合适的，奥密克戎与此没有太大关系。”</li></ul><ul><li>下午2:47：他说，虽然失业率迅速改善，约为4.2%，但劳动力参与率令人失望。“我确实认为，现在感觉恢复到更高的LFP可能需要更长的时间。”</li></ul><ul><li>下午2点44分：他预计美联储不会在taper结束前开始加息。他表示，在增加资产购买的同时加息“不合适”。</li><li>美国东部时间下午2:42：“我们基本上距离完成缩减规模还有两次会议，”他指出。</li><li>美国东部时间下午2:40：当被问及最大就业是什么样子时，鲍威尔表示，这需要“广泛的指标”，例如失业率、劳动力参与率等。“诚然，这是一个判断看涨期权，因为这是一系列因素。我们正在朝着最大限度就业取得快速进展。”</li><li>早些时候，由于通胀居高不下且劳动力市场依然强劲，联邦公开市场委员会将缩减步伐提高了一倍，达到每月300亿美元。</li><li>央行逐步减少资产购买的步伐加快，使其有望提前加息。现在，所有美联储官员都预计2022年至少加息一次，其中三分之二的人预计年内至少加息三次25个基点。</li></ul></blockquote>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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We're focused on broader economic issues,\" he said.</li> </ul> <ul> <li>3:23 PM ET:&nbsp;The central bank committee \"hasn't&nbsp;made any decision at all\" on when balance sheet runoff will start. \"We did have a balance sheet issue discussion, we'll have another at the next meeting... we didn't make any decisions today.\"</li> <li>3:22 PM ET:Asset purchase decisions and raising interest rates are two separate decisions. The policymakers haven't yet discussed whether the higher interest rates will immediately follow the winding down of the taper.</li> <li>3:20 PM ET:\"We are at a point after March that we can raise interest rates as and when appropriate,\" he said.</li> </ul> <ul> <li>3:18 PM ET:&nbsp;He thinks cryptocurrency risks are a longer-term risk doesn't think of them as a financial stability concern. Also, he commented that stablecoins are not currently property regulated.</li> </ul> <ul> <li>3:16 PM ET: \"Asset valuations are somewhat elevated,\" he&nbsp; In terms of financial risks, \"businesses have debt, but their default rates are very low.\" Money market funds are a vulnerability. Cyber risk is harder to deal with, he said.</li> </ul> <ul> <li>3:13 PM ET:&nbsp;\"The risk of inflation becoming entrenched has increased. I don't think it's high, but it has increased,\" the Fed chair said. That's a major risk, along with the virus itself, he said.</li> </ul> <ul> <li>3:12 PM ET:Consumer incomes are strong, and spending has been strong, he notes. \"We expect personal consumption expenditures to be very strong in the fourth quarter,\" he said.</li> </ul> <ul> <li>As of 3:09 PM ET, the Nasdaq&nbsp;climbs 1.0%, the S&amp;P&nbsp;rises 0.9%, and the Dowgains 0.5%.</li> <li>3:08 PM ET:\"It will take time and to get the pandemic under control\" to produce gains in the labor force participation rate, he said.</li> </ul> <ul> <li>3:03 PM ET: \"The inflation that we got was not at all the inflation we were talking about or looking for in the framework,\" Powell said. The post-pandemic inflation was triggered by supply-side barriers, \"a very different kind of inflation\" that was considered in the Fed's policy framework.</li> </ul> <ul> <li>2:58 PM ET:&nbsp;Turning to inflation: \"Wages are not a big part of the high inflation that we're seeing,\" he said. The Fed needs to watch for is if wages were persistently above productivity growth, he added, \"we don't see that yet.\" They're also carefully watching rent increases.</li> </ul> <ul> <li>2:56 PM ET:Powell decided the Fed needed to speed up the taper after the November employment report came out in early December.</li> </ul> <ul> <li>2:53 PM:Even with Omicron posing a risk to the economic outlook, Powell said accelerating the taper is warranted. At this point, \"it's very difficult to say what the economic effect will be...&nbsp;Moving forward the end of the taper is appropriate and Omicron doesn’t have much to do with it.\"</li> </ul> <ul> <li>2:47 PM:While the unemployment rate has improved quickly and stands at about 4.2%, the labor force participation rate has been disappointing, he said. \"I do think it feels likely now that the return to higher LFP is going to take longer.\"</li> </ul> <ul> <li>2:44 PM: He doesn't expect the Fed to start raising rates before the taper ends. It \"wouldn't be appropriate\" to raise rates while still increasing asset purchases, he said.</li> <li>2:42 PM ET:\"We're basically two meetings away from finishing the taper,\" he noted.</li> <li>2:40 PM ET:When asked what maximum employment looks like, Powell said it entails a \"broad range of indicators,\" such as the unemployment rate, labor force participation rate, and others. \"It is admittedly a judgment call because it's a range of factors. We are making rapid progress toward maximum employment.\"</li> <li>Earlier, the Federal Open Market Committee&nbsp;doubled the pace of tapering&nbsp;to $30B per month as inflation remained elevated and the labor market stayed strong.</li> <li>The faster pace of winding down the central bank's asset purchases puts it on track to boost rates earlier. Now all of the Fed officials expect at least one rate hike during 2022, with two-thirds of them predicting at least three 25-basis point&nbsp;increases during the year.</li> </ul> <blockquote><ul><li>美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔在FOMC会议后的新闻发布会上表示，经济增长和就业形势的“快速增长”正在支持央行加速缩减资产购买计划的决定。</li><li>他说，最近新冠病毒的增加和奥密克戎变种的出现“对前景构成了风险”。</li><li>鲍威尔表示：“经济不再需要越来越多的政策支持。”</li></ul><ul><li>美国东部时间下午3:30：“我并不担心长期债券在哪里。我们专注于更广泛的经济问题，”他说。</li></ul><ul><li>美国东部时间下午3:23：央行委员会对于何时开始资产负债表决选“根本没有做出任何决定”。“我们确实讨论了资产负债表问题，我们将在下次会议上再讨论一次……我们今天没有做出任何决定。”</li><li>美国东部时间下午3:22：资产购买决策和加息是两个独立的决策。政策制定者尚未讨论缩减购债规模后是否会立即加息。</li><li>美国东部时间下午3:20：他表示：“三月份之后，我们可以在适当的时候加息。”</li></ul><ul><li>美国东部时间下午3:18：他认为加密货币风险是一种长期风险，并不认为它们是金融稳定问题。此外，他评论说，稳定币目前不受财产监管。</li></ul><ul><li>美国东部时间下午3:16：“资产估值有些偏高，”他在金融风险方面，“企业有债务，但违约率很低。”货币市场基金是一个弱点。他说，网络风险更难应对。</li></ul><ul><li>美国东部时间下午3:13：美联储主席表示：“通胀变得根深蒂固的风险已经增加。我认为通胀并不高，但已经增加了。”他说，这与病毒本身一样是一个重大风险。</li></ul><ul><li>美国东部时间下午3:12：他指出，消费者收入强劲，支出也强劲。“我们预计第四季度个人消费支出将非常强劲，”他说。</li></ul><ul><li>截至美国东部时间下午3:09，纳斯达克上涨1.0%，标准普尔指数上涨0.9%，道琼斯指数上涨0.5%。</li><li>美国东部时间下午3:08：他说，“控制疫情需要时间”才能提高劳动力参与率。</li></ul><ul><li>美国东部时间下午3:03：“我们得到的通胀根本不是我们在框架中谈论或寻找的通胀，”鲍威尔说。疫情后的通胀是由供给侧壁垒引发的，这是美联储政策框架中考虑的“一种非常不同的通胀”。</li></ul><ul><li>美国东部时间下午2:58：谈到通货膨胀：“工资并不是我们看到的高通货膨胀的重要组成部分，”他说。他补充说，美联储需要关注工资是否持续高于生产率增长，“我们还没有看到这一点。”他们也在密切关注租金上涨。</li></ul><ul><li>美国东部时间下午2:56：鲍威尔在12月初11月就业报告出来后决定美联储需要加快taper。</li></ul><ul><li>下午2点53分：尽管奥密克戎对经济前景构成风险，但Powell表示，加速缩减规模是有道理的。在这一点上，“很难说经济影响会是什么……提前结束缩减是合适的，奥密克戎与此没有太大关系。”</li></ul><ul><li>下午2:47：他说，虽然失业率迅速改善，约为4.2%，但劳动力参与率令人失望。“我确实认为，现在感觉恢复到更高的LFP可能需要更长的时间。”</li></ul><ul><li>下午2点44分：他预计美联储不会在taper结束前开始加息。他表示，在增加资产购买的同时加息“不合适”。</li><li>美国东部时间下午2:42：“我们基本上距离完成缩减规模还有两次会议，”他指出。</li><li>美国东部时间下午2:40：当被问及最大就业是什么样子时，鲍威尔表示，这需要“广泛的指标”，例如失业率、劳动力参与率等。“诚然，这是一个判断看涨期权，因为这是一系列因素。我们正在朝着最大限度就业取得快速进展。”</li><li>早些时候，由于通胀居高不下且劳动力市场依然强劲，联邦公开市场委员会将缩减步伐提高了一倍，达到每月300亿美元。</li><li>央行逐步减少资产购买的步伐加快，使其有望提前加息。现在，所有美联储官员都预计2022年至少加息一次，其中三分之二的人预计年内至少加息三次25个基点。</li></ul></blockquote>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1144281028","content_text":"Economic growth and \"rapid gains\" in the employment picture are supporting the central bank's decision to accelerate the tapering of its asset purchase program, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said during his post-FOMC press conference.\nThe recent increase in COVID and the emergence of the Omicron variant \"poses risk to the outlook,\" he said.\n\"The economy no longer needs increasing amounts of policy support,\" Powell said.\n\n\n3:30 PM ET: \"I'm not troubled where the long bond is. We're focused on broader economic issues,\" he said.\n\n\n3:23 PM ET: The central bank committee \"hasn't made any decision at all\" on when balance sheet runoff will start. \"We did have a balance sheet issue discussion, we'll have another at the next meeting... we didn't make any decisions today.\"\n3:22 PM ET:Asset purchase decisions and raising interest rates are two separate decisions. The policymakers haven't yet discussed whether the higher interest rates will immediately follow the winding down of the taper.\n3:20 PM ET:\"We are at a point after March that we can raise interest rates as and when appropriate,\" he said.\n\n\n3:18 PM ET: He thinks cryptocurrency risks are a longer-term risk doesn't think of them as a financial stability concern. Also, he commented that stablecoins are not currently property regulated.\n\n\n3:16 PM ET: \"Asset valuations are somewhat elevated,\" he  In terms of financial risks, \"businesses have debt, but their default rates are very low.\" Money market funds are a vulnerability. Cyber risk is harder to deal with, he said.\n\n\n3:13 PM ET: \"The risk of inflation becoming entrenched has increased. I don't think it's high, but it has increased,\" the Fed chair said. That's a major risk, along with the virus itself, he said.\n\n\n3:12 PM ET:Consumer incomes are strong, and spending has been strong, he notes. \"We expect personal consumption expenditures to be very strong in the fourth quarter,\" he said.\n\n\nAs of 3:09 PM ET, the Nasdaq climbs 1.0%, the S&P rises 0.9%, and the Dowgains 0.5%.\n3:08 PM ET:\"It will take time and to get the pandemic under control\" to produce gains in the labor force participation rate, he said.\n\n\n3:03 PM ET: \"The inflation that we got was not at all the inflation we were talking about or looking for in the framework,\" Powell said. The post-pandemic inflation was triggered by supply-side barriers, \"a very different kind of inflation\" that was considered in the Fed's policy framework.\n\n\n2:58 PM ET: Turning to inflation: \"Wages are not a big part of the high inflation that we're seeing,\" he said. The Fed needs to watch for is if wages were persistently above productivity growth, he added, \"we don't see that yet.\" They're also carefully watching rent increases.\n\n\n2:56 PM ET:Powell decided the Fed needed to speed up the taper after the November employment report came out in early December.\n\n\n2:53 PM:Even with Omicron posing a risk to the economic outlook, Powell said accelerating the taper is warranted. At this point, \"it's very difficult to say what the economic effect will be... Moving forward the end of the taper is appropriate and Omicron doesn’t have much to do with it.\"\n\n\n2:47 PM:While the unemployment rate has improved quickly and stands at about 4.2%, the labor force participation rate has been disappointing, he said. \"I do think it feels likely now that the return to higher LFP is going to take longer.\"\n\n\n2:44 PM: He doesn't expect the Fed to start raising rates before the taper ends. It \"wouldn't be appropriate\" to raise rates while still increasing asset purchases, he said.\n2:42 PM ET:\"We're basically two meetings away from finishing the taper,\" he noted.\n2:40 PM ET:When asked what maximum employment looks like, Powell said it entails a \"broad range of indicators,\" such as the unemployment rate, labor force participation rate, and others. \"It is admittedly a judgment call because it's a range of factors. We are making rapid progress toward maximum employment.\"\nEarlier, the Federal Open Market Committee doubled the pace of tapering to $30B per month as inflation remained elevated and the labor market stayed strong.\nThe faster pace of winding down the central bank's asset purchases puts it on track to boost rates earlier. Now all of the Fed officials expect at least one rate hike during 2022, with two-thirds of them predicting at least three 25-basis point increases during the year.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":690,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"CN","currentLanguage":"CN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":2,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ZH_CN"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/607764478"}