cmg76
2021-12-16
Yes
After a dazzling 2021, Apple and Tesla stocks are expected to be duds in 2022<blockquote>在经历了令人眼花缭乱的 2021 年之后，苹果和特斯拉的股票预计将在 2022 年表现不佳</blockquote>
免责声明：上述内容仅代表发帖人个人观点，不构成本平台的任何投资建议。
分享至
微信
复制链接
精彩评论
我们需要你的真知灼见来填补这片空白
打开APP，发表看法
APP内打开
发表看法
5
{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"detailType":1,"isChannel":false,"data":{"magic":2,"id":690954914,"tweetId":"690954914","gmtCreate":1639625080773,"gmtModify":1639625080989,"author":{"id":3581589405041654,"idStr":"3581589405041654","authorId":3581589405041654,"authorIdStr":"3581589405041654","name":"cmg76","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7bce68ec0cb45bf31e79e66a7fa376ad","vip":1,"userType":1,"introduction":"","boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[],"wearingBadges":[],"fanSize":25,"starInvestorFlag":false},"themes":[],"images":[],"coverImages":[],"title":"","extraTitle":"","html":"<html><head></head><body><p>Yes</p></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><p>Yes</p></body></html>","text":"Yes","highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/690954914","repostId":2191399540,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2191399540","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1639624268,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/2191399540?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-16 11:11","market":"us","language":"en","title":"After a dazzling 2021, Apple and Tesla stocks are expected to be duds in 2022<blockquote>在经历了令人眼花缭乱的 2021 年之后，苹果和特斯拉的股票预计将在 2022 年表现不佳</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2191399540","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Here’s the outlook for the 25 stocks that have contributed more than half of the S&P 500 index’s gai","content":"<p>Here’s the outlook for the 25 stocks that have contributed more than half of the S&P 500 index’s gain this year</p><p><blockquote>以下是对今年标普500指数涨幅超过一半的 25 只股票的展望</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c7f9d26b6e333f1a0e3ef46a61239eb7\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"487\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Shares of Apple have returned 32% this year, while Tesla has risen 36%. Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>苹果股价今年回报率为 32%，而特斯拉股价则上涨了 36%。盖蒂图片社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> A report from Goldman Sachs shows how much of investors’ money is concentrated in only five high-flying stocks. And a screen of the biggest contributors to this year’s excellent performance for the S&P 500 index highlights two that are expected not to perform well in 2022: Apple and Tesla.</p><p><blockquote>高盛（Goldman Sachs）的一份报告显示，投资者的资金仅集中在五只飞涨的股票上。在今年标普500指数出色表现的最大贡献者屏幕上，有两个国家预计在 2022 年表现不佳： 苹果和特斯拉。</blockquote></p><p> Just five stocks — Microsoft Corp.,Alphabet Inc.,Apple Inc.,Nvidia Corp. and Tesla Inc. — contributed over a third of the S&P 500 Index’s 26% total return for 2021 through Dec. 9, according to analysts at Goldman. And from the end of April through Dec. 9, they contributed 51% of the index’s 13% return.</p><p><blockquote>据高盛（Goldman）分析师称，截至 12 月 9 日，微软公司、Alphabet 公司、苹果公司、英伟达公司和特斯拉公司这五只股票就贡献了标普500指数 2021 年 26% 总回报率的三分之一以上。从 4 月底到 12 月 9 日，它们贡献了该指数 13% 回报率的 51%。</blockquote></p><p> Moreover, only 25 stocks accounted for 58% of the index’s gains, including reinvested dividends, through Dec. 9, Goldman said. Its list of those stocks is below, along with screens of Wall Street analysts’ expectations for the group as we look ahead to 2022 and 2023.</p><p><blockquote>此外，高盛表示，截至 12 月 9 日，包括再投资股息在内，只有 25 只股票占该指数涨幅的 58%。以下是华尔街分析师在展望 2022 年和 2023 年时对该集团的预期。</blockquote></p><p> The analysts, led by David Kostin, pointed out that “market breadth has narrowed substantially” over the past several months. In other words, investors have concentrated more of their money (and risk) in the largest tech companies, by market capitalization.</p><p><blockquote>以大卫-科斯汀（David Kostin）为首的分析师指出，在过去几个月里，“市场广度大幅缩小”。换句话说，按市值计算，投资者将更多的资金（和风险）集中在最大的科技公司。</blockquote></p><p> That said, the Goldman analysts continue to recommend that long-term investors “own high-growth, high-margin stocks.”</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，高盛分析师仍然建议长期投资者 “持有高增长、高利润的股票”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Digging into the 25 biggest contributors to the S&P 500’s returns this year</b></p><p><blockquote><b>挖掘今年标普500收入的 25 个最大贡献者</b></blockquote></p><p> This list shows each of the 25 stocks and their “contributions” to the gains, expressed in basis points. (A basis point is one 100th of a percent. ) The table also includes pricing information — closing prices as of Dec. 14 with declines from 52-week highs and the dates of those highs.</p><p><blockquote>这份清单显示了 25 只股票及其对收益的 “贡献”，以基点表示。（基点是百分之一。）该表还包括定价信息——截至 12 月 14 日的收盘价，从 52 周高点下跌，以及这些高点的日期。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <table> <tbody> <tr> <td><b>Company</b></td> <td><b>Ticker</b></td> <td><b>Total return – 2021 through Dec. 9</b></td> <td><b>Contribution to S&P 500’s return for 2021 through Dec. 9 (basis points)</b></td> <td><b>Closing Price – 12/14/21</b></td> <td><b>Decline from 52-week high</b></td> <td><b>Date of 52-week high</b></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Microsoft Corp.</td> <td>MSFT</td> <td>51%</td> <td>271</td> <td>$328.34</td> <td>-6.1%</td> <td>11/22/2021</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Alphabet Inc. Class A</td> <td>GOOGL</td> <td>68%</td> <td>224</td> <td>$2,878.14</td> <td>-4.7%</td> <td>11/19/2021</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Apple Inc.</td> <td>AAPL</td> <td>32%</td> <td>217</td> <td>$174.33</td> <td>-4.3%</td> <td>12/13/2021</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Nvidia Corp.</td> <td>NVDA</td> <td>134%</td> <td>137</td> <td>$283.37</td> <td>-18.2%</td> <td>11/22/2021</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Tesla Inc.</td> <td>TSLA</td> <td>42%</td> <td>71</td> <td>$958.51</td> <td>-22.9%</td> <td>11/04/2021</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Home Depot Inc.</td> <td>HD</td> <td>58%</td> <td>52</td> <td>$402.20</td> <td>-4.4%</td> <td>12/06/2021</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Meta Platforms Inc. Class A</td> <td>FB</td> <td>21%</td> <td>43</td> <td>$333.74</td> <td>-13.2%</td> <td>09/01/2021</td> </tr> <tr> <td>UnitedHealth Group Inc.</td> <td>UNH</td> <td>37%</td> <td>39</td> <td>$479.46</td> <td>-0.7%</td> <td>12/14/2021</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Bank of America Corp</td> <td>BAC</td> <td>50%</td> <td>36</td> <td>$44.13</td> <td>-9.4%</td> <td>11/03/2021</td> </tr> <tr> <td>JPMorgan Chase & Co.</td> <td>JPM</td> <td>29%</td> <td>36</td> <td>$159.13</td> <td>-8.0%</td> <td>10/25/2021</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Exxon Mobil Corp.</td> <td>XOM</td> <td>61%</td> <td>34</td> <td>$61.54</td> <td>-7.3%</td> <td>11/08/2021</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Berkshire Hathaway Inc. Class B</td> <td>BRK</td> <td>23%</td> <td>32</td> <td>$295.03</td> <td>-0.5%</td> <td>12/14/2021</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Amazon.com Inc.</td> <td>AMZN</td> <td>7%</td> <td>31</td> <td>$3,381.83</td> <td>-10.4%</td> <td>07/13/2021</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Pfizer Inc.</td> <td>PFE</td> <td>47%</td> <td>30</td> <td>$55.54</td> <td>-0.7%</td> <td>12/14/2021</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Wells Fargo & Co.</td> <td>WFC</td> <td>67%</td> <td>26</td> <td>$48.89</td> <td>-7.0%</td> <td>11/03/2021</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Chevron Corp.</td> <td>CVX</td> <td>47%</td> <td>24</td> <td>$116.22</td> <td>-2.5%</td> <td>12/08/2021</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Intuit Inc.</td> <td>INTU</td> <td>76%</td> <td>24</td> <td>$639.48</td> <td>-10.8%</td> <td>11/19/2021</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Lowe’s Companies Inc.</td> <td><a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/stock/LOW?mod=MW_story_quote\" target=\"_blank\">LOW</a></td> <td>63%</td> <td>23</td> <td>$252.46</td> <td>-4.1%</td> <td>12/13/2021</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Accenture Plc Class A</td> <td>ACN</td> <td>44%</td> <td>23</td> <td>$369.73</td> <td>-3.0%</td> <td>12/13/2021</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc.</td> <td>TMO</td> <td>37%</td> <td>22</td> <td>$632.11</td> <td>-5.2%</td> <td>11/26/2021</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Costco Wholesale Corp.</td> <td>COST</td> <td>40%</td> <td>21</td> <td>$545.34</td> <td>-2.8%</td> <td>12/10/2021</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Broadcom Inc.</td> <td>AVGO</td> <td>36%</td> <td>20</td> <td>$614.91</td> <td>-4.6%</td> <td>12/10/2021</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Adobe Inc.</td> <td>ADBE</td> <td>26%</td> <td>20</td> <td>$614.86</td> <td>-12.1%</td> <td>11/22/2021</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Danaher Corp.</td> <td>DHR</td> <td>44%</td> <td>20</td> <td>$307.70</td> <td>-7.9%</td> <td>09/10/2021</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Eli Lilly and Co.</td> <td>LLY</td> <td>46%</td> <td>19</td> <td>$249.38</td> <td>-9.6%</td> <td>08/17/2021</td> </tr> </tbody> </table> Sources: Goldman Sachs, FactSet</p><p><blockquote><table><tbody><tr><td><b>公司</b></td><td><b>股票代码</b></td><td><b>总回报 – 2021 年至 12 月 9 日</b></td><td><b>截至 12 月 9 日对标普500 2021 年回归的贡献（基点）</b></td><td><b>收盘价–12/14/21</b></td><td><b>从 52 周高点回落</b></td><td><b>52周高点日期</b></td></tr><tr><td>微软公司</td><td>微软</td><td>51%</td><td>271</td><td>$328.34</td><td>-6.1%</td><td>11/22/2021</td></tr><tr><td>Alphabet公司 A 级</td><td>GOOGL</td><td>68%</td><td>224</td><td>$2,878.14</td><td>-4.7%</td><td>11/19/2021</td></tr><tr><td>苹果公司。</td><td>苹果</td><td>32%</td><td>217</td><td>$174.33</td><td>-4.3%</td><td>12/13/2021</td></tr><tr><td>英伟达公司</td><td>NVDA</td><td>134%</td><td>137</td><td>$283.37</td><td>-18.2%</td><td>11/22/2021</td></tr><tr><td>特斯拉公司。</td><td>特斯拉</td><td>42%</td><td>71</td><td>$958.51</td><td>-22.9%</td><td>11/04/2021</td></tr><tr><td>家得宝公司。</td><td>高清</td><td>58%</td><td>52</td><td>$402.20</td><td>-4.4%</td><td>12/06/2021</td></tr><tr><td>Meta Platforms 公司 A 级</td><td>脸书</td><td>21%</td><td>43</td><td>$333.74</td><td>-13.2%</td><td>09/01/2021</td></tr><tr><td>联合健康集团公司。</td><td>嗯</td><td>37%</td><td>39</td><td>$479.46</td><td>-0.7%</td><td>12/14/2021</td></tr><tr><td>美国银行</td><td>巴克</td><td>50%</td><td>36</td><td>$44.13</td><td>-9.4%</td><td>11/03/2021</td></tr><tr><td>摩根大通公司。</td><td>摩根大通</td><td>29%</td><td>36</td><td>$159.13</td><td>-8.0%</td><td>10/25/2021</td></tr><tr><td>埃克森美孚公司</td><td>生的</td><td>61%</td><td>34</td><td>$61.54</td><td>-7.3%</td><td>11/08/2021</td></tr><tr><td>伯克希尔哈撒韦公司 B 级</td><td>布尔克</td><td>23%</td><td>32</td><td>$295.03</td><td>-0.5%</td><td>12/14/2021</td></tr><tr><td>亚马逊公司。</td><td>亚马逊</td><td>7%</td><td>31</td><td>$3,381.83</td><td>-10.4%</td><td>07/13/2021</td></tr><tr><td>辉瑞公司。</td><td>PFE</td><td>47%</td><td>30</td><td>$55.54</td><td>-0.7%</td><td>12/14/2021</td></tr><tr><td>富国银行公司。</td><td>WFC</td><td>67%</td><td>26</td><td>$48.89</td><td>-7.0%</td><td>11/03/2021</td></tr><tr><td>雪佛龙公司</td><td>CVX</td><td>47%</td><td>24</td><td>$116.22</td><td>-2.5%</td><td>12/08/2021</td></tr><tr><td>直觉公司。</td><td>因图</td><td>76%</td><td>24</td><td>$639.48</td><td>-10.8%</td><td>11/19/2021</td></tr><tr><td>劳氏公司</td><td><a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/stock/LOW?mod=MW_story_quote\" target=\"_blank\">低的</a></td><td>63%</td><td>23</td><td>$252.46</td><td>-4.1%</td><td>12/13/2021</td></tr><tr><td>埃森哲 Plc A 级</td><td>ACN</td><td>44%</td><td>23</td><td>$369.73</td><td>-3.0%</td><td>12/13/2021</td></tr><tr><td>赛默飞世尔科学公司。</td><td>TMO</td><td>37%</td><td>22</td><td>$632.11</td><td>-5.2%</td><td>11/26/2021</td></tr><tr><td>好市多批发公司。</td><td>成本</td><td>40%</td><td>21</td><td>$545.34</td><td>-2.8%</td><td>12/10/2021</td></tr><tr><td>博通公司。</td><td>阿夫戈</td><td>36%</td><td>20</td><td>$614.91</td><td>-4.6%</td><td>12/10/2021</td></tr><tr><td>土坯公司。</td><td>阿德贝</td><td>26%</td><td>20</td><td>$614.86</td><td>-12.1%</td><td>11/22/2021</td></tr><tr><td>丹纳赫公司</td><td>先生</td><td>44%</td><td>20</td><td>$307.70</td><td>-7.9%</td><td>09/10/2021</td></tr><tr><td>礼来公司。</td><td>LLY</td><td>46%</td><td>19</td><td>$249.38</td><td>-9.6%</td><td>08/17/2021</td></tr></tbody></table>资料来源：高盛、FactSet</blockquote></p><p> <table> <tbody></tbody> </table> We included the declines from 52-week highs through Dec. 14 to illustrate how volatile the stocks of rapidly growing tech giants can be. Shares of Nvidia, for example, were down 18% from the high reached Nov. 22. Tesla has tumbled into bear-market territory three times in 2021 and is down 23% from its high reached Nov. 4.</p><p><blockquote><table><tbody></tbody></table>我们纳入了截至 12 月 14 日从 52 周高点的跌幅，以说明快速增长的科技巨头的股票波动性有多大。例如，英伟达 (Nvidia) 的股价较 11 月 22 日的高点下跌了 18%。特斯拉在 2021 年已三次陷入熊市区域，较 11 月 4 日达到的高点下跌了 23%。</blockquote></p><p> Leaving the list in the same order, here are consensus estimates among analysts polled by FactSet for sales (in millions of dollars) for calendar years through 2023, with projected compound annual growth rates (CAGR):</p><p><blockquote>按相同顺序离开列表，以下是 FactSet 调查的分析师对截至 2023 年日历年的销售额（单位：百万美元）的共识估计，以及预计的复合年增长率 (CAGR)：</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <table> <tbody> <tr> <td><b>Company</b></td> <td><b>Ticker</b></td> <td><b>Estimated revenue – 2021</b></td> <td><b>Estimated revenue – 2022</b></td> <td><b>Estimated revenue – 2023</b></td> <td><b>Two-year estimated sales CAGR</b></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Microsoft Corp.</td> <td>MSFT</td> <td>$182,593</td> <td>$210,753</td> <td>$240,396</td> <td>14.7%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Alphabet Inc. Class A</td> <td>GOOGL</td> <td>$254,060</td> <td>$296,677</td> <td>$341,671</td> <td>16.0%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Apple Inc.</td> <td>AAPL</td> <td>$369,729</td> <td>$389,037</td> <td>$413,789</td> <td>5.8%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Nvidia Corp.</td> <td>NVDA</td> <td>$25,754</td> <td>$31,175</td> <td>$36,380</td> <td>18.9%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Tesla Inc.</td> <td>TSLA</td> <td>$51,678</td> <td>$73,183</td> <td>$89,639</td> <td>31.7%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Home Depot Inc.</td> <td>HD</td> <td>$148,615</td> <td>$153,285</td> <td>$158,252</td> <td>3.2%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Meta Platforms Inc. Class A</td> <td>FB</td> <td>$117,569</td> <td>$139,805</td> <td>$164,737</td> <td>18.4%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>UnitedHealth Group Inc.</td> <td>UNH</td> <td>$286,410</td> <td>$316,412</td> <td>$342,740</td> <td>9.4%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Bank of America Corp</td> <td>BAC</td> <td>$89,268</td> <td>$93,591</td> <td>$99,180</td> <td>5.4%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>JPMorgan Chase & Co.</td> <td>JPM</td> <td>$123,128</td> <td>$123,405</td> <td>$130,270</td> <td>2.9%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Exxon Mobil Corp.</td> <td>XOM</td> <td>$294,130</td> <td>$308,304</td> <td>$292,830</td> <td>-0.2%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Berkshire Hathaway Inc. Class B</td> <td>BRK</td> <td>$294,667</td> <td>$294,894</td> <td>$309,287</td> <td>2.5%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Amazon.com Inc.</td> <td>AMZN</td> <td>$470,607</td> <td>$553,097</td> <td>$649,246</td> <td>17.5%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Pfizer Inc.</td> <td>PFE</td> <td>$81,333</td> <td>$92,070</td> <td>$72,748</td> <td>-5.4%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Wells Fargo & Co.</td> <td>WFC</td> <td>$76,024</td> <td>$72,048</td> <td>$75,462</td> <td>-0.4%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Chevron Corp.</td> <td>CVX</td> <td>$155,748</td> <td>$168,114</td> <td>$159,898</td> <td>1.3%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Intuit Inc.</td> <td>INTU</td> <td>$10,714</td> <td>$12,980</td> <td>$14,881</td> <td>17.9%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Lowe’s Companies Inc.</td> <td>LOW</td> <td>$95,152</td> <td>$97,459</td> <td>$100,080</td> <td>2.6%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Accenture Plc Class A</td> <td>ACN</td> <td>$52,819</td> <td>$58,906</td> <td>$63,622</td> <td>9.8%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc.</td> <td>TMO</td> <td>$37,210</td> <td>$39,493</td> <td>$42,053</td> <td>6.3%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Costco Wholesale Corp.</td> <td>COST</td> <td>$203,027</td> <td>$222,877</td> <td>$238,794</td> <td>8.5%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Broadcom Inc.</td> <td>AVGO</td> <td>$27,976</td> <td>$30,877</td> <td>$32,521</td> <td>7.8%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Adobe Inc.</td> <td>ADBE</td> <td>$15,957</td> <td>$18,393</td> <td>$21,000</td> <td>14.7%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Danaher Corp.</td> <td>DHR</td> <td>$29,116</td> <td>$30,792</td> <td>$32,437</td> <td>5.5%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Eli Lilly and Co.</td> <td>LLY</td> <td>$27,601</td> <td>$27,774</td> <td>$30,366</td> <td>4.9%</td> </tr> </tbody> </table> Source: FactSet</p><p><blockquote><table><tbody><tr><td><b>公司</b></td><td><b>股票代码</b></td><td><b>估计收入-2021</b></td><td><b>预计收入-2022</b></td><td><b>预计收入 – 2023</b></td><td><b>两年预计销售复合年增长率</b></td></tr><tr><td>微软公司</td><td>微软</td><td>$182,593</td><td>$210,753</td><td>$240,396</td><td>14.7%</td></tr><tr><td>Alphabet公司 A 级</td><td>GOOGL</td><td>$254,060</td><td>$296,677</td><td>$341,671</td><td>16.0%</td></tr><tr><td>苹果公司。</td><td>苹果</td><td>$369,729</td><td>$389,037</td><td>$413,789</td><td>5.8%</td></tr><tr><td>英伟达公司</td><td>NVDA</td><td>$25,754</td><td>$31,175</td><td>$36,380</td><td>18.9%</td></tr><tr><td>特斯拉公司。</td><td>特斯拉</td><td>$51,678</td><td>$73,183</td><td>$89,639</td><td>31.7%</td></tr><tr><td>家得宝公司。</td><td>高清</td><td>$148,615</td><td>$153,285</td><td>$158,252</td><td>3.2%</td></tr><tr><td>Meta Platforms 公司 A 级</td><td>脸书</td><td>$117,569</td><td>$139,805</td><td>$164,737</td><td>18.4%</td></tr><tr><td>联合健康集团公司。</td><td>嗯</td><td>$286,410</td><td>$316,412</td><td>$342,740</td><td>9.4%</td></tr><tr><td>美国银行</td><td>巴克</td><td>$89,268</td><td>$93,591</td><td>$99,180</td><td>5.4%</td></tr><tr><td>摩根大通公司。</td><td>摩根大通</td><td>$123,128</td><td>$123,405</td><td>$130,270</td><td>2.9%</td></tr><tr><td>埃克森美孚公司</td><td>生的</td><td>$294,130</td><td>$308,304</td><td>$292,830</td><td>-0.2%</td></tr><tr><td>伯克希尔哈撒韦公司 B 级</td><td>布尔克</td><td>$294,667</td><td>$294,894</td><td>$309,287</td><td>2.5%</td></tr><tr><td>亚马逊公司。</td><td>亚马逊</td><td>$470,607</td><td>$553,097</td><td>$649,246</td><td>17.5%</td></tr><tr><td>辉瑞公司。</td><td>PFE</td><td>$81,333</td><td>$92,070</td><td>$72,748</td><td>-5.4%</td></tr><tr><td>富国银行公司。</td><td>WFC</td><td>$76,024</td><td>$72,048</td><td>$75,462</td><td>-0.4%</td></tr><tr><td>雪佛龙公司</td><td>CVX</td><td>$155,748</td><td>$168,114</td><td>$159,898</td><td>1.3%</td></tr><tr><td>直觉公司。</td><td>因图</td><td>$10,714</td><td>$12,980</td><td>$14,881</td><td>17.9%</td></tr><tr><td>劳氏公司</td><td>低的</td><td>$95,152</td><td>$97,459</td><td>$100,080</td><td>2.6%</td></tr><tr><td>埃森哲 Plc A 级</td><td>ACN</td><td>$52,819</td><td>$58,906</td><td>$63,622</td><td>9.8%</td></tr><tr><td>赛默飞世尔科学公司。</td><td>TMO</td><td>$37,210</td><td>$39,493</td><td>$42,053</td><td>6.3%</td></tr><tr><td>好市多批发公司。</td><td>成本</td><td>$203,027</td><td>$222,877</td><td>$238,794</td><td>8.5%</td></tr><tr><td>博通公司。</td><td>阿夫戈</td><td>$27,976</td><td>$30,877</td><td>$32,521</td><td>7.8%</td></tr><tr><td>土坯公司。</td><td>阿德贝</td><td>$15,957</td><td>$18,393</td><td>$21,000</td><td>14.7%</td></tr><tr><td>丹纳赫公司</td><td>先生</td><td>$29,116</td><td>$30,792</td><td>$32,437</td><td>5.5%</td></tr><tr><td>礼来公司。</td><td>LLY</td><td>$27,601</td><td>$27,774</td><td>$30,366</td><td>4.9%</td></tr></tbody></table>来源：FactSet</blockquote></p><p> Here’s another look ahead, this time at earnings-per-share estimates</p><p><blockquote>以下是另一个展望，这次是每股收益预测</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <table> <tbody> <tr> <td><b>Company</b></td> <td><b>Ticker</b></td> <td><b>Estimated EPS – 2021</b></td> <td><b>Estimated EPS – 2022</b></td> <td><b>Estimated EPS – 2023</b></td> <td><b>Two-year estimated EPS CAGR</b></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Microsoft Corp.</td> <td>MSFT</td> <td>$8.60</td> <td>$9.85</td> <td>$11.44</td> <td>15.3%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Alphabet Inc. Class A</td> <td>GOOGL</td> <td>$108.65</td> <td>$113.97</td> <td>$130.48</td> <td>9.6%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Apple Inc.</td> <td>AAPL</td> <td>$5.64</td> <td>$5.85</td> <td>$6.27</td> <td>5.4%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Nvidia Corp.</td> <td>NVDA</td> <td>$4.18</td> <td>$5.08</td> <td>$6.15</td> <td>21.3%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Tesla Inc.</td> <td>TSLA</td> <td>$5.99</td> <td>$8.64</td> <td>$11.46</td> <td>38.3%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Home Depot Inc.</td> <td>HD</td> <td>$15.17</td> <td>$16.13</td> <td>$17.30</td> <td>6.8%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Meta Platforms Inc. Class A</td> <td>FB</td> <td>$13.94</td> <td>$14.24</td> <td>$16.94</td> <td>10.3%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>UnitedHealth Group Inc.</td> <td>UNH</td> <td>$18.84</td> <td>$21.63</td> <td>$24.58</td> <td>14.2%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Bank of America Corp</td> <td>BAC</td> <td>$3.52</td> <td>$3.19</td> <td>$3.63</td> <td>1.5%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>JPMorgan Chase & Co.</td> <td>JPM</td> <td>$14.98</td> <td>$12.03</td> <td>$13.23</td> <td>-6.0%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Exxon Mobil Corp.</td> <td>XOM</td> <td>$5.03</td> <td>$5.79</td> <td>$5.59</td> <td>5.4%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Berkshire Hathaway Inc. Class B</td> <td>BRK</td> <td>$11.65</td> <td>$12.63</td> <td>$14.13</td> <td>10.1%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Amazon.com Inc.</td> <td>AMZN</td> <td>$41.31</td> <td>$51.54</td> <td>$76.68</td> <td>36.2%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Pfizer Inc.</td> <td>PFE</td> <td>$4.19</td> <td>$5.75</td> <td>$4.87</td> <td>7.8%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Wells Fargo & Co.</td> <td>WFC</td> <td>$4.63</td> <td>$3.72</td> <td>$4.41</td> <td>-2.4%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Chevron Corp.</td> <td>CVX</td> <td>$8.36</td> <td>$9.42</td> <td>$8.78</td> <td>2.5%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Intuit Inc.</td> <td>INTU</td> <td>$10.56</td> <td>$12.51</td> <td>$14.70</td> <td>18.0%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Lowe’s Companies Inc.</td> <td>LOW</td> <td>$11.71</td> <td>$12.86</td> <td>$14.40</td> <td>10.9%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Accenture Plc Class A</td> <td>ACN</td> <td>$9.25</td> <td>$10.48</td> <td>$11.59</td> <td>11.9%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc.</td> <td>TMO</td> <td>$23.45</td> <td>$21.17</td> <td>$23.34</td> <td>-0.2%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Costco Wholesale Corp.</td> <td>COST</td> <td>$11.63</td> <td>$13.06</td> <td>$14.33</td> <td>11.0%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Broadcom Inc.</td> <td>AVGO</td> <td>$28.83</td> <td>$33.53</td> <td>$36.69</td> <td>12.8%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Adobe Inc.</td> <td>ADBE</td> <td>$12.63</td> <td>$14.47</td> <td>$16.88</td> <td>15.6%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Danaher Corp.</td> <td>DHR</td> <td>$9.82</td> <td>$10.16</td> <td>$10.72</td> <td>4.5%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Eli Lilly and Co.</td> <td>LLY</td> <td>$8.02</td> <td>$8.13</td> <td>$9.71</td> <td>10.1%</td> </tr> </tbody> </table> Source: FactSet</p><p><blockquote><table><tbody><tr><td><b>公司</b></td><td><b>股票代码</b></td><td><b>预计每股收益 – 2021</b></td><td><b>预计每股收益 – 2022</b></td><td><b>预计每股收益 – 2023</b></td><td><b>两年预计每股收益复合年增长率</b></td></tr><tr><td>微软公司</td><td>微软</td><td>$8.60</td><td>$9.85</td><td>$11.44</td><td>15.3%</td></tr><tr><td>Alphabet公司 A 级</td><td>GOOGL</td><td>$108.65</td><td>$113.97</td><td>$130.48</td><td>9.6%</td></tr><tr><td>苹果公司。</td><td>苹果</td><td>$5.64</td><td>$5.85</td><td>$6.27</td><td>5.4%</td></tr><tr><td>英伟达公司</td><td>NVDA</td><td>$4.18</td><td>$5.08</td><td>$6.15</td><td>21.3%</td></tr><tr><td>特斯拉公司。</td><td>特斯拉</td><td>$5.99</td><td>$8.64</td><td>$11.46</td><td>38.3%</td></tr><tr><td>家得宝公司。</td><td>高清</td><td>$15.17</td><td>$16.13</td><td>$17.30</td><td>6.8%</td></tr><tr><td>Meta Platforms 公司 A 级</td><td>脸书</td><td>$13.94</td><td>$14.24</td><td>$16.94</td><td>10.3%</td></tr><tr><td>联合健康集团公司。</td><td>嗯</td><td>$18.84</td><td>$21.63</td><td>$24.58</td><td>14.2%</td></tr><tr><td>美国银行</td><td>巴克</td><td>$3.52</td><td>$3.19</td><td>$3.63</td><td>1.5%</td></tr><tr><td>摩根大通公司。</td><td>摩根大通</td><td>$14.98</td><td>$12.03</td><td>$13.23</td><td>-6.0%</td></tr><tr><td>埃克森美孚公司</td><td>生的</td><td>$5.03</td><td>$5.79</td><td>$5.59</td><td>5.4%</td></tr><tr><td>伯克希尔哈撒韦公司 B 级</td><td>布尔克</td><td>$11.65</td><td>$12.63</td><td>$14.13</td><td>10.1%</td></tr><tr><td>亚马逊公司。</td><td>亚马逊</td><td>$41.31</td><td>$51.54</td><td>$76.68</td><td>36.2%</td></tr><tr><td>辉瑞公司。</td><td>PFE</td><td>$4.19</td><td>$5.75</td><td>$4.87</td><td>7.8%</td></tr><tr><td>富国银行公司。</td><td>WFC</td><td>$4.63</td><td>$3.72</td><td>$4.41</td><td>-2.4%</td></tr><tr><td>雪佛龙公司</td><td>CVX</td><td>$8.36</td><td>$9.42</td><td>$8.78</td><td>2.5%</td></tr><tr><td>直觉公司。</td><td>因图</td><td>$10.56</td><td>$12.51</td><td>$14.70</td><td>18.0%</td></tr><tr><td>劳氏公司</td><td>低的</td><td>$11.71</td><td>$12.86</td><td>$14.40</td><td>10.9%</td></tr><tr><td>埃森哲 Plc A 级</td><td>ACN</td><td>$9.25</td><td>$10.48</td><td>$11.59</td><td>11.9%</td></tr><tr><td>赛默飞世尔科学公司。</td><td>TMO</td><td>$23.45</td><td>$21.17</td><td>$23.34</td><td>-0.2%</td></tr><tr><td>好市多批发公司。</td><td>成本</td><td>$11.63</td><td>$13.06</td><td>$14.33</td><td>11.0%</td></tr><tr><td>博通公司。</td><td>阿夫戈</td><td>$28.83</td><td>$33.53</td><td>$36.69</td><td>12.8%</td></tr><tr><td>土坯公司。</td><td>阿德贝</td><td>$12.63</td><td>$14.47</td><td>$16.88</td><td>15.6%</td></tr><tr><td>丹纳赫公司</td><td>先生</td><td>$9.82</td><td>$10.16</td><td>$10.72</td><td>4.5%</td></tr><tr><td>礼来公司。</td><td>LLY</td><td>$8.02</td><td>$8.13</td><td>$9.71</td><td>10.1%</td></tr></tbody></table>来源：FactSet</blockquote></p><p> Here’s a summary of Wall Street analysts’ opinions about the stocks:</p><p><blockquote>以下是华尔街分析师对这些股票的看法摘要：</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <table> <tbody> <tr> <td><b>Company</b></td> <td><b>Ticker</b></td> <td><b>Share “buy” ratings</b></td> <td><b>Share neutral ratings</b></td> <td><b>Share “sell” ratings</b></td> <td><b>Closing price – 12/14/21</b></td> <td><b>Consensus price target</b></td> <td><b>Implied 12-month upside potential</b></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Microsoft Corp.</td> <td>MSFT</td> <td>90%</td> <td>10%</td> <td>0%</td> <td>$328.34</td> <td>$366.41</td> <td>12%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Alphabet Inc. Class A</td> <td>GOOGL</td> <td>94%</td> <td>6%</td> <td>0%</td> <td>$2,878.14</td> <td>$3,333.70</td> <td>16%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Apple Inc.</td> <td>AAPL</td> <td>79%</td> <td>19%</td> <td>2%</td> <td>$174.33</td> <td>$174.35</td> <td>0%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Nvidia Corp.</td> <td>NVDA</td> <td>81%</td> <td>12%</td> <td>7%</td> <td>$283.37</td> <td>$341.51</td> <td>21%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Tesla Inc.</td> <td>TSLA</td> <td>43%</td> <td>30%</td> <td>28%</td> <td>$958.51</td> <td>$860.35</td> <td>-10%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Home Depot Inc.</td> <td>HD</td> <td>65%</td> <td>32%</td> <td>3%</td> <td>$402.20</td> <td>$417.16</td> <td>4%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Meta Platforms Inc. Class A</td> <td>FB</td> <td>76%</td> <td>22%</td> <td>2%</td> <td>$333.74</td> <td>$398.32</td> <td>19%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>UnitedHealth Group Inc.</td> <td>UNH</td> <td>85%</td> <td>11%</td> <td>4%</td> <td>$479.46</td> <td>$490.88</td> <td>2%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Bank of America Corp</td> <td>BAC</td> <td>64%</td> <td>25%</td> <td>11%</td> <td>$44.13</td> <td>$49.83</td> <td>13%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>JPMorgan Chase & Co.</td> <td>JPM</td> <td>61%</td> <td>32%</td> <td>7%</td> <td>$159.13</td> <td>$179.70</td> <td>13%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Exxon Mobil Corp.</td> <td>XOM</td> <td>39%</td> <td>51%</td> <td>10%</td> <td>$61.54</td> <td>$72.97</td> <td>19%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Berkshire Hathaway Inc. Class B</td> <td>BRK</td> <td>43%</td> <td>57%</td> <td>0%</td> <td>$295.03</td> <td>$332.50</td> <td>13%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Amazon.com Inc.</td> <td>AMZN</td> <td>94%</td> <td>6%</td> <td>0%</td> <td>$3,381.83</td> <td>$4,102.98</td> <td>21%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Pfizer Inc.</td> <td>PFE</td> <td>38%</td> <td>58%</td> <td>4%</td> <td>$55.54</td> <td>$53.67</td> <td>-3%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Wells Fargo & Co.</td> <td>WFC</td> <td>67%</td> <td>33%</td> <td>0%</td> <td>$48.89</td> <td>$54.90</td> <td>12%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Chevron Corp.</td> <td>CVX</td> <td>68%</td> <td>32%</td> <td>0%</td> <td>$116.22</td> <td>$130.36</td> <td>12%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Intuit Inc.</td> <td>INTU</td> <td>83%</td> <td>13%</td> <td>4%</td> <td>$639.48</td> <td>$756.29</td> <td>18%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Lowe’s Companies Inc.</td> <td>LOW</td> <td>73%</td> <td>24%</td> <td>3%</td> <td>$252.46</td> <td>$272.43</td> <td>8%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Accenture Plc Class A</td> <td>ACN</td> <td>70%</td> <td>26%</td> <td>4%</td> <td>$369.73</td> <td>$383.68</td> <td>4%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc.</td> <td>TMO</td> <td>83%</td> <td>13%</td> <td>4%</td> <td>$632.11</td> <td>$682.47</td> <td>8%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Costco Wholesale Corp.</td> <td>COST</td> <td>59%</td> <td>35%</td> <td>6%</td> <td>$545.34</td> <td>$551.75</td> <td>1%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Broadcom Inc.</td> <td>AVGO</td> <td>84%</td> <td>13%</td> <td>3%</td> <td>$614.91</td> <td>$682.70</td> <td>11%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Adobe Inc.</td> <td>ADBE</td> <td>81%</td> <td>19%</td> <td>0%</td> <td>$614.86</td> <td>$720.69</td> <td>17%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Danaher Corp.</td> <td>DHR</td> <td>82%</td> <td>14%</td> <td>4%</td> <td>$307.70</td> <td>$350.29</td> <td>14%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Eli Lilly and Co.</td> <td>LLY</td> <td>67%</td> <td>28%</td> <td>5%</td> <td>$249.38</td> <td>$279.72</td> <td>12%</td> </tr> </tbody> </table> Source: FactSet</p><p><blockquote><table><tbody><tr><td><b>公司</b></td><td><b>股票代码</b></td><td><b>分享“买入”评级</b></td><td><b>分享中性评级</b></td><td><b>分享“卖出”评级</b></td><td><b>收盘价–12/14/21</b></td><td><b>共识价格目标</b></td><td><b>隐含 12 个月上行潜力</b></td></tr><tr><td>微软公司</td><td>微软</td><td>90%</td><td>10%</td><td>0%</td><td>$328.34</td><td>$366.41</td><td>12%</td></tr><tr><td>Alphabet公司 A 级</td><td>GOOGL</td><td>94%</td><td>6%</td><td>0%</td><td>$2,878.14</td><td>$3,333.70</td><td>16%</td></tr><tr><td>苹果公司。</td><td>苹果</td><td>79%</td><td>19%</td><td>2%</td><td>$174.33</td><td>$174.35</td><td>0%</td></tr><tr><td>英伟达公司</td><td>NVDA</td><td>81%</td><td>12%</td><td>7%</td><td>$283.37</td><td>$341.51</td><td>21%</td></tr><tr><td>特斯拉公司。</td><td>特斯拉</td><td>43%</td><td>30%</td><td>28%</td><td>$958.51</td><td>$860.35</td><td>-10%</td></tr><tr><td>家得宝公司。</td><td>高清</td><td>65%</td><td>32%</td><td>3%</td><td>$402.20</td><td>$417.16</td><td>4%</td></tr><tr><td>Meta Platforms 公司 A 级</td><td>脸书</td><td>76%</td><td>22%</td><td>2%</td><td>$333.74</td><td>$398.32</td><td>19%</td></tr><tr><td>联合健康集团公司。</td><td>嗯</td><td>85%</td><td>11%</td><td>4%</td><td>$479.46</td><td>$490.88</td><td>2%</td></tr><tr><td>美国银行</td><td>巴克</td><td>64%</td><td>25%</td><td>11%</td><td>$44.13</td><td>$49.83</td><td>13%</td></tr><tr><td>摩根大通公司。</td><td>摩根大通</td><td>61%</td><td>32%</td><td>7%</td><td>$159.13</td><td>$179.70</td><td>13%</td></tr><tr><td>埃克森美孚公司</td><td>生的</td><td>39%</td><td>51%</td><td>10%</td><td>$61.54</td><td>$72.97</td><td>19%</td></tr><tr><td>伯克希尔哈撒韦公司 B 级</td><td>布尔克</td><td>43%</td><td>57%</td><td>0%</td><td>$295.03</td><td>$332.50</td><td>13%</td></tr><tr><td>亚马逊公司。</td><td>亚马逊</td><td>94%</td><td>6%</td><td>0%</td><td>$3,381.83</td><td>$4,102.98</td><td>21%</td></tr><tr><td>辉瑞公司。</td><td>PFE</td><td>38%</td><td>58%</td><td>4%</td><td>$55.54</td><td>$53.67</td><td>-3%</td></tr><tr><td>富国银行公司。</td><td>WFC</td><td>67%</td><td>33%</td><td>0%</td><td>$48.89</td><td>$54.90</td><td>12%</td></tr><tr><td>雪佛龙公司</td><td>CVX</td><td>68%</td><td>32%</td><td>0%</td><td>$116.22</td><td>$130.36</td><td>12%</td></tr><tr><td>直觉公司。</td><td>因图</td><td>83%</td><td>13%</td><td>4%</td><td>$639.48</td><td>$756.29</td><td>18%</td></tr><tr><td>劳氏公司</td><td>低的</td><td>73%</td><td>24%</td><td>3%</td><td>$252.46</td><td>$272.43</td><td>8%</td></tr><tr><td>埃森哲 Plc A 级</td><td>ACN</td><td>70%</td><td>26%</td><td>4%</td><td>$369.73</td><td>$383.68</td><td>4%</td></tr><tr><td>赛默飞世尔科学公司。</td><td>TMO</td><td>83%</td><td>13%</td><td>4%</td><td>$632.11</td><td>$682.47</td><td>8%</td></tr><tr><td>好市多批发公司。</td><td>成本</td><td>59%</td><td>35%</td><td>6%</td><td>$545.34</td><td>$551.75</td><td>1%</td></tr><tr><td>博通公司。</td><td>阿夫戈</td><td>84%</td><td>13%</td><td>3%</td><td>$614.91</td><td>$682.70</td><td>11%</td></tr><tr><td>土坯公司。</td><td>阿德贝</td><td>81%</td><td>19%</td><td>0%</td><td>$614.86</td><td>$720.69</td><td>17%</td></tr><tr><td>丹纳赫公司</td><td>先生</td><td>82%</td><td>14%</td><td>4%</td><td>$307.70</td><td>$350.29</td><td>14%</td></tr><tr><td>礼来公司。</td><td>LLY</td><td>67%</td><td>28%</td><td>5%</td><td>$249.38</td><td>$279.72</td><td>12%</td></tr></tbody></table>来源：FactSet</blockquote></p><p> Here are six data highlights to consider:</p><p><blockquote>以下是需要考虑的六个数据亮点：</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <ul> <li>Two of this year’s best performers are expected to be poor performers next year, based on the price targets: Apple and Tesla.</li> <li>Apple is expected to show much slower sales and earnings growth than the rest of the top five companies on the list through 2023.</li> <li>Tesla’s expected two-year sales CAGR of 31.7% is by far the highest on the list. But only 43% of analysts polled by FactSet rate the stock a “buy.”</li> <li>Tesla also has the highest expected EPS CAGR through 2023 at 38.3%, but Amazon.com Inc. is right behind, with a projected EPS CAGR of 36.2%. Next on the list by this measure is Nvidia, at 21.3%.</li> <li>From the price targets, Nvidia and Amazon are Wall Street analysts’ favorite stocks on the list, with implied 12-month upside of 21%.</li> <li>Pfizer Inc.’s sales are expected to rise in 2022 but fall in 2023 to a level below that of 2021, according to analysts polled by FactSet. That could reflect expectations that the coronavirus pandemic will be ending.</li> </ul></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>根据价格目标，今年表现最好的两家明年预计将表现不佳： 苹果和特斯拉。</li><li>预计到 2023 年，苹果的销售和盈利增长将比榜单上的其他五家公司慢得多。</li><li>特斯拉预计两年销售额复合年增长率为 31.7%，是迄今为止榜单中最高的。但接受 FactSet 调查的分析师中，只有 43% 将该股评级为 “买入 ”。</li><li>特斯拉到 2023 年的预期每股收益复合年增长率也最高，为 38.3%，但亚马逊公司紧随其后，预计每股收益复合年增长率为 36.2%。根据这一指标，排名第二的是英伟达，占21.3%。</li><li>从目标价来看，英伟达和亚马逊是华尔街分析师最喜欢的榜单股票，12 个月的隐含上涨空间为 21%。</li><li>FactSet 调查的分析师称，辉瑞公司的销售额预计将在 2022 年上升，但在 2023 年下降至低于 2021 年的水平。这可能反映了人们对冠状病毒大流行即将结束的预期。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>After a dazzling 2021, Apple and Tesla stocks are expected to be duds in 2022<blockquote>在经历了令人眼花缭乱的 2021 年之后，苹果和特斯拉的股票预计将在 2022 年表现不佳</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAfter a dazzling 2021, Apple and Tesla stocks are expected to be duds in 2022<blockquote>在经历了令人眼花缭乱的 2021 年之后，苹果和特斯拉的股票预计将在 2022 年表现不佳</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-16 11:11</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Here’s the outlook for the 25 stocks that have contributed more than half of the S&P 500 index’s gain this year</p><p><blockquote>以下是对今年标普500指数涨幅超过一半的 25 只股票的展望</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c7f9d26b6e333f1a0e3ef46a61239eb7\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"487\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Shares of Apple have returned 32% this year, while Tesla has risen 36%. Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>苹果股价今年回报率为 32%，而特斯拉股价则上涨了 36%。盖蒂图片社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> A report from Goldman Sachs shows how much of investors’ money is concentrated in only five high-flying stocks. And a screen of the biggest contributors to this year’s excellent performance for the S&P 500 index highlights two that are expected not to perform well in 2022: Apple and Tesla.</p><p><blockquote>高盛（Goldman Sachs）的一份报告显示，投资者的资金仅集中在五只飞涨的股票上。在今年标普500指数出色表现的最大贡献者屏幕上，有两个国家预计在 2022 年表现不佳： 苹果和特斯拉。</blockquote></p><p> Just five stocks — Microsoft Corp.,Alphabet Inc.,Apple Inc.,Nvidia Corp. and Tesla Inc. — contributed over a third of the S&P 500 Index’s 26% total return for 2021 through Dec. 9, according to analysts at Goldman. And from the end of April through Dec. 9, they contributed 51% of the index’s 13% return.</p><p><blockquote>据高盛（Goldman）分析师称，截至 12 月 9 日，微软公司、Alphabet 公司、苹果公司、英伟达公司和特斯拉公司这五只股票就贡献了标普500指数 2021 年 26% 总回报率的三分之一以上。从 4 月底到 12 月 9 日，它们贡献了该指数 13% 回报率的 51%。</blockquote></p><p> Moreover, only 25 stocks accounted for 58% of the index’s gains, including reinvested dividends, through Dec. 9, Goldman said. Its list of those stocks is below, along with screens of Wall Street analysts’ expectations for the group as we look ahead to 2022 and 2023.</p><p><blockquote>此外，高盛表示，截至 12 月 9 日，包括再投资股息在内，只有 25 只股票占该指数涨幅的 58%。以下是华尔街分析师在展望 2022 年和 2023 年时对该集团的预期。</blockquote></p><p> The analysts, led by David Kostin, pointed out that “market breadth has narrowed substantially” over the past several months. In other words, investors have concentrated more of their money (and risk) in the largest tech companies, by market capitalization.</p><p><blockquote>以大卫-科斯汀（David Kostin）为首的分析师指出，在过去几个月里，“市场广度大幅缩小”。换句话说，按市值计算，投资者将更多的资金（和风险）集中在最大的科技公司。</blockquote></p><p> That said, the Goldman analysts continue to recommend that long-term investors “own high-growth, high-margin stocks.”</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，高盛分析师仍然建议长期投资者 “持有高增长、高利润的股票”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Digging into the 25 biggest contributors to the S&P 500’s returns this year</b></p><p><blockquote><b>挖掘今年标普500收入的 25 个最大贡献者</b></blockquote></p><p> This list shows each of the 25 stocks and their “contributions” to the gains, expressed in basis points. (A basis point is one 100th of a percent. ) The table also includes pricing information — closing prices as of Dec. 14 with declines from 52-week highs and the dates of those highs.</p><p><blockquote>这份清单显示了 25 只股票及其对收益的 “贡献”，以基点表示。（基点是百分之一。）该表还包括定价信息——截至 12 月 14 日的收盘价，从 52 周高点下跌，以及这些高点的日期。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <table> <tbody> <tr> <td><b>Company</b></td> <td><b>Ticker</b></td> <td><b>Total return – 2021 through Dec. 9</b></td> <td><b>Contribution to S&P 500’s return for 2021 through Dec. 9 (basis points)</b></td> <td><b>Closing Price – 12/14/21</b></td> <td><b>Decline from 52-week high</b></td> <td><b>Date of 52-week high</b></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Microsoft Corp.</td> <td>MSFT</td> <td>51%</td> <td>271</td> <td>$328.34</td> <td>-6.1%</td> <td>11/22/2021</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Alphabet Inc. Class A</td> <td>GOOGL</td> <td>68%</td> <td>224</td> <td>$2,878.14</td> <td>-4.7%</td> <td>11/19/2021</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Apple Inc.</td> <td>AAPL</td> <td>32%</td> <td>217</td> <td>$174.33</td> <td>-4.3%</td> <td>12/13/2021</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Nvidia Corp.</td> <td>NVDA</td> <td>134%</td> <td>137</td> <td>$283.37</td> <td>-18.2%</td> <td>11/22/2021</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Tesla Inc.</td> <td>TSLA</td> <td>42%</td> <td>71</td> <td>$958.51</td> <td>-22.9%</td> <td>11/04/2021</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Home Depot Inc.</td> <td>HD</td> <td>58%</td> <td>52</td> <td>$402.20</td> <td>-4.4%</td> <td>12/06/2021</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Meta Platforms Inc. Class A</td> <td>FB</td> <td>21%</td> <td>43</td> <td>$333.74</td> <td>-13.2%</td> <td>09/01/2021</td> </tr> <tr> <td>UnitedHealth Group Inc.</td> <td>UNH</td> <td>37%</td> <td>39</td> <td>$479.46</td> <td>-0.7%</td> <td>12/14/2021</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Bank of America Corp</td> <td>BAC</td> <td>50%</td> <td>36</td> <td>$44.13</td> <td>-9.4%</td> <td>11/03/2021</td> </tr> <tr> <td>JPMorgan Chase & Co.</td> <td>JPM</td> <td>29%</td> <td>36</td> <td>$159.13</td> <td>-8.0%</td> <td>10/25/2021</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Exxon Mobil Corp.</td> <td>XOM</td> <td>61%</td> <td>34</td> <td>$61.54</td> <td>-7.3%</td> <td>11/08/2021</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Berkshire Hathaway Inc. Class B</td> <td>BRK</td> <td>23%</td> <td>32</td> <td>$295.03</td> <td>-0.5%</td> <td>12/14/2021</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Amazon.com Inc.</td> <td>AMZN</td> <td>7%</td> <td>31</td> <td>$3,381.83</td> <td>-10.4%</td> <td>07/13/2021</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Pfizer Inc.</td> <td>PFE</td> <td>47%</td> <td>30</td> <td>$55.54</td> <td>-0.7%</td> <td>12/14/2021</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Wells Fargo & Co.</td> <td>WFC</td> <td>67%</td> <td>26</td> <td>$48.89</td> <td>-7.0%</td> <td>11/03/2021</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Chevron Corp.</td> <td>CVX</td> <td>47%</td> <td>24</td> <td>$116.22</td> <td>-2.5%</td> <td>12/08/2021</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Intuit Inc.</td> <td>INTU</td> <td>76%</td> <td>24</td> <td>$639.48</td> <td>-10.8%</td> <td>11/19/2021</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Lowe’s Companies Inc.</td> <td><a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/stock/LOW?mod=MW_story_quote\" target=\"_blank\">LOW</a></td> <td>63%</td> <td>23</td> <td>$252.46</td> <td>-4.1%</td> <td>12/13/2021</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Accenture Plc Class A</td> <td>ACN</td> <td>44%</td> <td>23</td> <td>$369.73</td> <td>-3.0%</td> <td>12/13/2021</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc.</td> <td>TMO</td> <td>37%</td> <td>22</td> <td>$632.11</td> <td>-5.2%</td> <td>11/26/2021</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Costco Wholesale Corp.</td> <td>COST</td> <td>40%</td> <td>21</td> <td>$545.34</td> <td>-2.8%</td> <td>12/10/2021</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Broadcom Inc.</td> <td>AVGO</td> <td>36%</td> <td>20</td> <td>$614.91</td> <td>-4.6%</td> <td>12/10/2021</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Adobe Inc.</td> <td>ADBE</td> <td>26%</td> <td>20</td> <td>$614.86</td> <td>-12.1%</td> <td>11/22/2021</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Danaher Corp.</td> <td>DHR</td> <td>44%</td> <td>20</td> <td>$307.70</td> <td>-7.9%</td> <td>09/10/2021</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Eli Lilly and Co.</td> <td>LLY</td> <td>46%</td> <td>19</td> <td>$249.38</td> <td>-9.6%</td> <td>08/17/2021</td> </tr> </tbody> </table> Sources: Goldman Sachs, FactSet</p><p><blockquote><table><tbody><tr><td><b>公司</b></td><td><b>股票代码</b></td><td><b>总回报 – 2021 年至 12 月 9 日</b></td><td><b>截至 12 月 9 日对标普500 2021 年回归的贡献（基点）</b></td><td><b>收盘价–12/14/21</b></td><td><b>从 52 周高点回落</b></td><td><b>52周高点日期</b></td></tr><tr><td>微软公司</td><td>微软</td><td>51%</td><td>271</td><td>$328.34</td><td>-6.1%</td><td>11/22/2021</td></tr><tr><td>Alphabet公司 A 级</td><td>GOOGL</td><td>68%</td><td>224</td><td>$2,878.14</td><td>-4.7%</td><td>11/19/2021</td></tr><tr><td>苹果公司。</td><td>苹果</td><td>32%</td><td>217</td><td>$174.33</td><td>-4.3%</td><td>12/13/2021</td></tr><tr><td>英伟达公司</td><td>NVDA</td><td>134%</td><td>137</td><td>$283.37</td><td>-18.2%</td><td>11/22/2021</td></tr><tr><td>特斯拉公司。</td><td>特斯拉</td><td>42%</td><td>71</td><td>$958.51</td><td>-22.9%</td><td>11/04/2021</td></tr><tr><td>家得宝公司。</td><td>高清</td><td>58%</td><td>52</td><td>$402.20</td><td>-4.4%</td><td>12/06/2021</td></tr><tr><td>Meta Platforms 公司 A 级</td><td>脸书</td><td>21%</td><td>43</td><td>$333.74</td><td>-13.2%</td><td>09/01/2021</td></tr><tr><td>联合健康集团公司。</td><td>嗯</td><td>37%</td><td>39</td><td>$479.46</td><td>-0.7%</td><td>12/14/2021</td></tr><tr><td>美国银行</td><td>巴克</td><td>50%</td><td>36</td><td>$44.13</td><td>-9.4%</td><td>11/03/2021</td></tr><tr><td>摩根大通公司。</td><td>摩根大通</td><td>29%</td><td>36</td><td>$159.13</td><td>-8.0%</td><td>10/25/2021</td></tr><tr><td>埃克森美孚公司</td><td>生的</td><td>61%</td><td>34</td><td>$61.54</td><td>-7.3%</td><td>11/08/2021</td></tr><tr><td>伯克希尔哈撒韦公司 B 级</td><td>布尔克</td><td>23%</td><td>32</td><td>$295.03</td><td>-0.5%</td><td>12/14/2021</td></tr><tr><td>亚马逊公司。</td><td>亚马逊</td><td>7%</td><td>31</td><td>$3,381.83</td><td>-10.4%</td><td>07/13/2021</td></tr><tr><td>辉瑞公司。</td><td>PFE</td><td>47%</td><td>30</td><td>$55.54</td><td>-0.7%</td><td>12/14/2021</td></tr><tr><td>富国银行公司。</td><td>WFC</td><td>67%</td><td>26</td><td>$48.89</td><td>-7.0%</td><td>11/03/2021</td></tr><tr><td>雪佛龙公司</td><td>CVX</td><td>47%</td><td>24</td><td>$116.22</td><td>-2.5%</td><td>12/08/2021</td></tr><tr><td>直觉公司。</td><td>因图</td><td>76%</td><td>24</td><td>$639.48</td><td>-10.8%</td><td>11/19/2021</td></tr><tr><td>劳氏公司</td><td><a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/stock/LOW?mod=MW_story_quote\" target=\"_blank\">低的</a></td><td>63%</td><td>23</td><td>$252.46</td><td>-4.1%</td><td>12/13/2021</td></tr><tr><td>埃森哲 Plc A 级</td><td>ACN</td><td>44%</td><td>23</td><td>$369.73</td><td>-3.0%</td><td>12/13/2021</td></tr><tr><td>赛默飞世尔科学公司。</td><td>TMO</td><td>37%</td><td>22</td><td>$632.11</td><td>-5.2%</td><td>11/26/2021</td></tr><tr><td>好市多批发公司。</td><td>成本</td><td>40%</td><td>21</td><td>$545.34</td><td>-2.8%</td><td>12/10/2021</td></tr><tr><td>博通公司。</td><td>阿夫戈</td><td>36%</td><td>20</td><td>$614.91</td><td>-4.6%</td><td>12/10/2021</td></tr><tr><td>土坯公司。</td><td>阿德贝</td><td>26%</td><td>20</td><td>$614.86</td><td>-12.1%</td><td>11/22/2021</td></tr><tr><td>丹纳赫公司</td><td>先生</td><td>44%</td><td>20</td><td>$307.70</td><td>-7.9%</td><td>09/10/2021</td></tr><tr><td>礼来公司。</td><td>LLY</td><td>46%</td><td>19</td><td>$249.38</td><td>-9.6%</td><td>08/17/2021</td></tr></tbody></table>资料来源：高盛、FactSet</blockquote></p><p> <table> <tbody></tbody> </table> We included the declines from 52-week highs through Dec. 14 to illustrate how volatile the stocks of rapidly growing tech giants can be. Shares of Nvidia, for example, were down 18% from the high reached Nov. 22. Tesla has tumbled into bear-market territory three times in 2021 and is down 23% from its high reached Nov. 4.</p><p><blockquote><table><tbody></tbody></table>我们纳入了截至 12 月 14 日从 52 周高点的跌幅，以说明快速增长的科技巨头的股票波动性有多大。例如，英伟达 (Nvidia) 的股价较 11 月 22 日的高点下跌了 18%。特斯拉在 2021 年已三次陷入熊市区域，较 11 月 4 日达到的高点下跌了 23%。</blockquote></p><p> Leaving the list in the same order, here are consensus estimates among analysts polled by FactSet for sales (in millions of dollars) for calendar years through 2023, with projected compound annual growth rates (CAGR):</p><p><blockquote>按相同顺序离开列表，以下是 FactSet 调查的分析师对截至 2023 年日历年的销售额（单位：百万美元）的共识估计，以及预计的复合年增长率 (CAGR)：</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <table> <tbody> <tr> <td><b>Company</b></td> <td><b>Ticker</b></td> <td><b>Estimated revenue – 2021</b></td> <td><b>Estimated revenue – 2022</b></td> <td><b>Estimated revenue – 2023</b></td> <td><b>Two-year estimated sales CAGR</b></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Microsoft Corp.</td> <td>MSFT</td> <td>$182,593</td> <td>$210,753</td> <td>$240,396</td> <td>14.7%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Alphabet Inc. Class A</td> <td>GOOGL</td> <td>$254,060</td> <td>$296,677</td> <td>$341,671</td> <td>16.0%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Apple Inc.</td> <td>AAPL</td> <td>$369,729</td> <td>$389,037</td> <td>$413,789</td> <td>5.8%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Nvidia Corp.</td> <td>NVDA</td> <td>$25,754</td> <td>$31,175</td> <td>$36,380</td> <td>18.9%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Tesla Inc.</td> <td>TSLA</td> <td>$51,678</td> <td>$73,183</td> <td>$89,639</td> <td>31.7%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Home Depot Inc.</td> <td>HD</td> <td>$148,615</td> <td>$153,285</td> <td>$158,252</td> <td>3.2%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Meta Platforms Inc. Class A</td> <td>FB</td> <td>$117,569</td> <td>$139,805</td> <td>$164,737</td> <td>18.4%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>UnitedHealth Group Inc.</td> <td>UNH</td> <td>$286,410</td> <td>$316,412</td> <td>$342,740</td> <td>9.4%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Bank of America Corp</td> <td>BAC</td> <td>$89,268</td> <td>$93,591</td> <td>$99,180</td> <td>5.4%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>JPMorgan Chase & Co.</td> <td>JPM</td> <td>$123,128</td> <td>$123,405</td> <td>$130,270</td> <td>2.9%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Exxon Mobil Corp.</td> <td>XOM</td> <td>$294,130</td> <td>$308,304</td> <td>$292,830</td> <td>-0.2%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Berkshire Hathaway Inc. Class B</td> <td>BRK</td> <td>$294,667</td> <td>$294,894</td> <td>$309,287</td> <td>2.5%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Amazon.com Inc.</td> <td>AMZN</td> <td>$470,607</td> <td>$553,097</td> <td>$649,246</td> <td>17.5%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Pfizer Inc.</td> <td>PFE</td> <td>$81,333</td> <td>$92,070</td> <td>$72,748</td> <td>-5.4%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Wells Fargo & Co.</td> <td>WFC</td> <td>$76,024</td> <td>$72,048</td> <td>$75,462</td> <td>-0.4%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Chevron Corp.</td> <td>CVX</td> <td>$155,748</td> <td>$168,114</td> <td>$159,898</td> <td>1.3%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Intuit Inc.</td> <td>INTU</td> <td>$10,714</td> <td>$12,980</td> <td>$14,881</td> <td>17.9%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Lowe’s Companies Inc.</td> <td>LOW</td> <td>$95,152</td> <td>$97,459</td> <td>$100,080</td> <td>2.6%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Accenture Plc Class A</td> <td>ACN</td> <td>$52,819</td> <td>$58,906</td> <td>$63,622</td> <td>9.8%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc.</td> <td>TMO</td> <td>$37,210</td> <td>$39,493</td> <td>$42,053</td> <td>6.3%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Costco Wholesale Corp.</td> <td>COST</td> <td>$203,027</td> <td>$222,877</td> <td>$238,794</td> <td>8.5%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Broadcom Inc.</td> <td>AVGO</td> <td>$27,976</td> <td>$30,877</td> <td>$32,521</td> <td>7.8%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Adobe Inc.</td> <td>ADBE</td> <td>$15,957</td> <td>$18,393</td> <td>$21,000</td> <td>14.7%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Danaher Corp.</td> <td>DHR</td> <td>$29,116</td> <td>$30,792</td> <td>$32,437</td> <td>5.5%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Eli Lilly and Co.</td> <td>LLY</td> <td>$27,601</td> <td>$27,774</td> <td>$30,366</td> <td>4.9%</td> </tr> </tbody> </table> Source: FactSet</p><p><blockquote><table><tbody><tr><td><b>公司</b></td><td><b>股票代码</b></td><td><b>估计收入-2021</b></td><td><b>预计收入-2022</b></td><td><b>预计收入 – 2023</b></td><td><b>两年预计销售复合年增长率</b></td></tr><tr><td>微软公司</td><td>微软</td><td>$182,593</td><td>$210,753</td><td>$240,396</td><td>14.7%</td></tr><tr><td>Alphabet公司 A 级</td><td>GOOGL</td><td>$254,060</td><td>$296,677</td><td>$341,671</td><td>16.0%</td></tr><tr><td>苹果公司。</td><td>苹果</td><td>$369,729</td><td>$389,037</td><td>$413,789</td><td>5.8%</td></tr><tr><td>英伟达公司</td><td>NVDA</td><td>$25,754</td><td>$31,175</td><td>$36,380</td><td>18.9%</td></tr><tr><td>特斯拉公司。</td><td>特斯拉</td><td>$51,678</td><td>$73,183</td><td>$89,639</td><td>31.7%</td></tr><tr><td>家得宝公司。</td><td>高清</td><td>$148,615</td><td>$153,285</td><td>$158,252</td><td>3.2%</td></tr><tr><td>Meta Platforms 公司 A 级</td><td>脸书</td><td>$117,569</td><td>$139,805</td><td>$164,737</td><td>18.4%</td></tr><tr><td>联合健康集团公司。</td><td>嗯</td><td>$286,410</td><td>$316,412</td><td>$342,740</td><td>9.4%</td></tr><tr><td>美国银行</td><td>巴克</td><td>$89,268</td><td>$93,591</td><td>$99,180</td><td>5.4%</td></tr><tr><td>摩根大通公司。</td><td>摩根大通</td><td>$123,128</td><td>$123,405</td><td>$130,270</td><td>2.9%</td></tr><tr><td>埃克森美孚公司</td><td>生的</td><td>$294,130</td><td>$308,304</td><td>$292,830</td><td>-0.2%</td></tr><tr><td>伯克希尔哈撒韦公司 B 级</td><td>布尔克</td><td>$294,667</td><td>$294,894</td><td>$309,287</td><td>2.5%</td></tr><tr><td>亚马逊公司。</td><td>亚马逊</td><td>$470,607</td><td>$553,097</td><td>$649,246</td><td>17.5%</td></tr><tr><td>辉瑞公司。</td><td>PFE</td><td>$81,333</td><td>$92,070</td><td>$72,748</td><td>-5.4%</td></tr><tr><td>富国银行公司。</td><td>WFC</td><td>$76,024</td><td>$72,048</td><td>$75,462</td><td>-0.4%</td></tr><tr><td>雪佛龙公司</td><td>CVX</td><td>$155,748</td><td>$168,114</td><td>$159,898</td><td>1.3%</td></tr><tr><td>直觉公司。</td><td>因图</td><td>$10,714</td><td>$12,980</td><td>$14,881</td><td>17.9%</td></tr><tr><td>劳氏公司</td><td>低的</td><td>$95,152</td><td>$97,459</td><td>$100,080</td><td>2.6%</td></tr><tr><td>埃森哲 Plc A 级</td><td>ACN</td><td>$52,819</td><td>$58,906</td><td>$63,622</td><td>9.8%</td></tr><tr><td>赛默飞世尔科学公司。</td><td>TMO</td><td>$37,210</td><td>$39,493</td><td>$42,053</td><td>6.3%</td></tr><tr><td>好市多批发公司。</td><td>成本</td><td>$203,027</td><td>$222,877</td><td>$238,794</td><td>8.5%</td></tr><tr><td>博通公司。</td><td>阿夫戈</td><td>$27,976</td><td>$30,877</td><td>$32,521</td><td>7.8%</td></tr><tr><td>土坯公司。</td><td>阿德贝</td><td>$15,957</td><td>$18,393</td><td>$21,000</td><td>14.7%</td></tr><tr><td>丹纳赫公司</td><td>先生</td><td>$29,116</td><td>$30,792</td><td>$32,437</td><td>5.5%</td></tr><tr><td>礼来公司。</td><td>LLY</td><td>$27,601</td><td>$27,774</td><td>$30,366</td><td>4.9%</td></tr></tbody></table>来源：FactSet</blockquote></p><p> Here’s another look ahead, this time at earnings-per-share estimates</p><p><blockquote>以下是另一个展望，这次是每股收益预测</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <table> <tbody> <tr> <td><b>Company</b></td> <td><b>Ticker</b></td> <td><b>Estimated EPS – 2021</b></td> <td><b>Estimated EPS – 2022</b></td> <td><b>Estimated EPS – 2023</b></td> <td><b>Two-year estimated EPS CAGR</b></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Microsoft Corp.</td> <td>MSFT</td> <td>$8.60</td> <td>$9.85</td> <td>$11.44</td> <td>15.3%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Alphabet Inc. Class A</td> <td>GOOGL</td> <td>$108.65</td> <td>$113.97</td> <td>$130.48</td> <td>9.6%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Apple Inc.</td> <td>AAPL</td> <td>$5.64</td> <td>$5.85</td> <td>$6.27</td> <td>5.4%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Nvidia Corp.</td> <td>NVDA</td> <td>$4.18</td> <td>$5.08</td> <td>$6.15</td> <td>21.3%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Tesla Inc.</td> <td>TSLA</td> <td>$5.99</td> <td>$8.64</td> <td>$11.46</td> <td>38.3%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Home Depot Inc.</td> <td>HD</td> <td>$15.17</td> <td>$16.13</td> <td>$17.30</td> <td>6.8%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Meta Platforms Inc. Class A</td> <td>FB</td> <td>$13.94</td> <td>$14.24</td> <td>$16.94</td> <td>10.3%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>UnitedHealth Group Inc.</td> <td>UNH</td> <td>$18.84</td> <td>$21.63</td> <td>$24.58</td> <td>14.2%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Bank of America Corp</td> <td>BAC</td> <td>$3.52</td> <td>$3.19</td> <td>$3.63</td> <td>1.5%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>JPMorgan Chase & Co.</td> <td>JPM</td> <td>$14.98</td> <td>$12.03</td> <td>$13.23</td> <td>-6.0%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Exxon Mobil Corp.</td> <td>XOM</td> <td>$5.03</td> <td>$5.79</td> <td>$5.59</td> <td>5.4%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Berkshire Hathaway Inc. Class B</td> <td>BRK</td> <td>$11.65</td> <td>$12.63</td> <td>$14.13</td> <td>10.1%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Amazon.com Inc.</td> <td>AMZN</td> <td>$41.31</td> <td>$51.54</td> <td>$76.68</td> <td>36.2%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Pfizer Inc.</td> <td>PFE</td> <td>$4.19</td> <td>$5.75</td> <td>$4.87</td> <td>7.8%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Wells Fargo & Co.</td> <td>WFC</td> <td>$4.63</td> <td>$3.72</td> <td>$4.41</td> <td>-2.4%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Chevron Corp.</td> <td>CVX</td> <td>$8.36</td> <td>$9.42</td> <td>$8.78</td> <td>2.5%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Intuit Inc.</td> <td>INTU</td> <td>$10.56</td> <td>$12.51</td> <td>$14.70</td> <td>18.0%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Lowe’s Companies Inc.</td> <td>LOW</td> <td>$11.71</td> <td>$12.86</td> <td>$14.40</td> <td>10.9%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Accenture Plc Class A</td> <td>ACN</td> <td>$9.25</td> <td>$10.48</td> <td>$11.59</td> <td>11.9%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc.</td> <td>TMO</td> <td>$23.45</td> <td>$21.17</td> <td>$23.34</td> <td>-0.2%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Costco Wholesale Corp.</td> <td>COST</td> <td>$11.63</td> <td>$13.06</td> <td>$14.33</td> <td>11.0%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Broadcom Inc.</td> <td>AVGO</td> <td>$28.83</td> <td>$33.53</td> <td>$36.69</td> <td>12.8%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Adobe Inc.</td> <td>ADBE</td> <td>$12.63</td> <td>$14.47</td> <td>$16.88</td> <td>15.6%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Danaher Corp.</td> <td>DHR</td> <td>$9.82</td> <td>$10.16</td> <td>$10.72</td> <td>4.5%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Eli Lilly and Co.</td> <td>LLY</td> <td>$8.02</td> <td>$8.13</td> <td>$9.71</td> <td>10.1%</td> </tr> </tbody> </table> Source: FactSet</p><p><blockquote><table><tbody><tr><td><b>公司</b></td><td><b>股票代码</b></td><td><b>预计每股收益 – 2021</b></td><td><b>预计每股收益 – 2022</b></td><td><b>预计每股收益 – 2023</b></td><td><b>两年预计每股收益复合年增长率</b></td></tr><tr><td>微软公司</td><td>微软</td><td>$8.60</td><td>$9.85</td><td>$11.44</td><td>15.3%</td></tr><tr><td>Alphabet公司 A 级</td><td>GOOGL</td><td>$108.65</td><td>$113.97</td><td>$130.48</td><td>9.6%</td></tr><tr><td>苹果公司。</td><td>苹果</td><td>$5.64</td><td>$5.85</td><td>$6.27</td><td>5.4%</td></tr><tr><td>英伟达公司</td><td>NVDA</td><td>$4.18</td><td>$5.08</td><td>$6.15</td><td>21.3%</td></tr><tr><td>特斯拉公司。</td><td>特斯拉</td><td>$5.99</td><td>$8.64</td><td>$11.46</td><td>38.3%</td></tr><tr><td>家得宝公司。</td><td>高清</td><td>$15.17</td><td>$16.13</td><td>$17.30</td><td>6.8%</td></tr><tr><td>Meta Platforms 公司 A 级</td><td>脸书</td><td>$13.94</td><td>$14.24</td><td>$16.94</td><td>10.3%</td></tr><tr><td>联合健康集团公司。</td><td>嗯</td><td>$18.84</td><td>$21.63</td><td>$24.58</td><td>14.2%</td></tr><tr><td>美国银行</td><td>巴克</td><td>$3.52</td><td>$3.19</td><td>$3.63</td><td>1.5%</td></tr><tr><td>摩根大通公司。</td><td>摩根大通</td><td>$14.98</td><td>$12.03</td><td>$13.23</td><td>-6.0%</td></tr><tr><td>埃克森美孚公司</td><td>生的</td><td>$5.03</td><td>$5.79</td><td>$5.59</td><td>5.4%</td></tr><tr><td>伯克希尔哈撒韦公司 B 级</td><td>布尔克</td><td>$11.65</td><td>$12.63</td><td>$14.13</td><td>10.1%</td></tr><tr><td>亚马逊公司。</td><td>亚马逊</td><td>$41.31</td><td>$51.54</td><td>$76.68</td><td>36.2%</td></tr><tr><td>辉瑞公司。</td><td>PFE</td><td>$4.19</td><td>$5.75</td><td>$4.87</td><td>7.8%</td></tr><tr><td>富国银行公司。</td><td>WFC</td><td>$4.63</td><td>$3.72</td><td>$4.41</td><td>-2.4%</td></tr><tr><td>雪佛龙公司</td><td>CVX</td><td>$8.36</td><td>$9.42</td><td>$8.78</td><td>2.5%</td></tr><tr><td>直觉公司。</td><td>因图</td><td>$10.56</td><td>$12.51</td><td>$14.70</td><td>18.0%</td></tr><tr><td>劳氏公司</td><td>低的</td><td>$11.71</td><td>$12.86</td><td>$14.40</td><td>10.9%</td></tr><tr><td>埃森哲 Plc A 级</td><td>ACN</td><td>$9.25</td><td>$10.48</td><td>$11.59</td><td>11.9%</td></tr><tr><td>赛默飞世尔科学公司。</td><td>TMO</td><td>$23.45</td><td>$21.17</td><td>$23.34</td><td>-0.2%</td></tr><tr><td>好市多批发公司。</td><td>成本</td><td>$11.63</td><td>$13.06</td><td>$14.33</td><td>11.0%</td></tr><tr><td>博通公司。</td><td>阿夫戈</td><td>$28.83</td><td>$33.53</td><td>$36.69</td><td>12.8%</td></tr><tr><td>土坯公司。</td><td>阿德贝</td><td>$12.63</td><td>$14.47</td><td>$16.88</td><td>15.6%</td></tr><tr><td>丹纳赫公司</td><td>先生</td><td>$9.82</td><td>$10.16</td><td>$10.72</td><td>4.5%</td></tr><tr><td>礼来公司。</td><td>LLY</td><td>$8.02</td><td>$8.13</td><td>$9.71</td><td>10.1%</td></tr></tbody></table>来源：FactSet</blockquote></p><p> Here’s a summary of Wall Street analysts’ opinions about the stocks:</p><p><blockquote>以下是华尔街分析师对这些股票的看法摘要：</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <table> <tbody> <tr> <td><b>Company</b></td> <td><b>Ticker</b></td> <td><b>Share “buy” ratings</b></td> <td><b>Share neutral ratings</b></td> <td><b>Share “sell” ratings</b></td> <td><b>Closing price – 12/14/21</b></td> <td><b>Consensus price target</b></td> <td><b>Implied 12-month upside potential</b></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Microsoft Corp.</td> <td>MSFT</td> <td>90%</td> <td>10%</td> <td>0%</td> <td>$328.34</td> <td>$366.41</td> <td>12%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Alphabet Inc. Class A</td> <td>GOOGL</td> <td>94%</td> <td>6%</td> <td>0%</td> <td>$2,878.14</td> <td>$3,333.70</td> <td>16%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Apple Inc.</td> <td>AAPL</td> <td>79%</td> <td>19%</td> <td>2%</td> <td>$174.33</td> <td>$174.35</td> <td>0%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Nvidia Corp.</td> <td>NVDA</td> <td>81%</td> <td>12%</td> <td>7%</td> <td>$283.37</td> <td>$341.51</td> <td>21%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Tesla Inc.</td> <td>TSLA</td> <td>43%</td> <td>30%</td> <td>28%</td> <td>$958.51</td> <td>$860.35</td> <td>-10%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Home Depot Inc.</td> <td>HD</td> <td>65%</td> <td>32%</td> <td>3%</td> <td>$402.20</td> <td>$417.16</td> <td>4%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Meta Platforms Inc. Class A</td> <td>FB</td> <td>76%</td> <td>22%</td> <td>2%</td> <td>$333.74</td> <td>$398.32</td> <td>19%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>UnitedHealth Group Inc.</td> <td>UNH</td> <td>85%</td> <td>11%</td> <td>4%</td> <td>$479.46</td> <td>$490.88</td> <td>2%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Bank of America Corp</td> <td>BAC</td> <td>64%</td> <td>25%</td> <td>11%</td> <td>$44.13</td> <td>$49.83</td> <td>13%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>JPMorgan Chase & Co.</td> <td>JPM</td> <td>61%</td> <td>32%</td> <td>7%</td> <td>$159.13</td> <td>$179.70</td> <td>13%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Exxon Mobil Corp.</td> <td>XOM</td> <td>39%</td> <td>51%</td> <td>10%</td> <td>$61.54</td> <td>$72.97</td> <td>19%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Berkshire Hathaway Inc. Class B</td> <td>BRK</td> <td>43%</td> <td>57%</td> <td>0%</td> <td>$295.03</td> <td>$332.50</td> <td>13%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Amazon.com Inc.</td> <td>AMZN</td> <td>94%</td> <td>6%</td> <td>0%</td> <td>$3,381.83</td> <td>$4,102.98</td> <td>21%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Pfizer Inc.</td> <td>PFE</td> <td>38%</td> <td>58%</td> <td>4%</td> <td>$55.54</td> <td>$53.67</td> <td>-3%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Wells Fargo & Co.</td> <td>WFC</td> <td>67%</td> <td>33%</td> <td>0%</td> <td>$48.89</td> <td>$54.90</td> <td>12%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Chevron Corp.</td> <td>CVX</td> <td>68%</td> <td>32%</td> <td>0%</td> <td>$116.22</td> <td>$130.36</td> <td>12%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Intuit Inc.</td> <td>INTU</td> <td>83%</td> <td>13%</td> <td>4%</td> <td>$639.48</td> <td>$756.29</td> <td>18%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Lowe’s Companies Inc.</td> <td>LOW</td> <td>73%</td> <td>24%</td> <td>3%</td> <td>$252.46</td> <td>$272.43</td> <td>8%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Accenture Plc Class A</td> <td>ACN</td> <td>70%</td> <td>26%</td> <td>4%</td> <td>$369.73</td> <td>$383.68</td> <td>4%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc.</td> <td>TMO</td> <td>83%</td> <td>13%</td> <td>4%</td> <td>$632.11</td> <td>$682.47</td> <td>8%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Costco Wholesale Corp.</td> <td>COST</td> <td>59%</td> <td>35%</td> <td>6%</td> <td>$545.34</td> <td>$551.75</td> <td>1%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Broadcom Inc.</td> <td>AVGO</td> <td>84%</td> <td>13%</td> <td>3%</td> <td>$614.91</td> <td>$682.70</td> <td>11%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Adobe Inc.</td> <td>ADBE</td> <td>81%</td> <td>19%</td> <td>0%</td> <td>$614.86</td> <td>$720.69</td> <td>17%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Danaher Corp.</td> <td>DHR</td> <td>82%</td> <td>14%</td> <td>4%</td> <td>$307.70</td> <td>$350.29</td> <td>14%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Eli Lilly and Co.</td> <td>LLY</td> <td>67%</td> <td>28%</td> <td>5%</td> <td>$249.38</td> <td>$279.72</td> <td>12%</td> </tr> </tbody> </table> Source: FactSet</p><p><blockquote><table><tbody><tr><td><b>公司</b></td><td><b>股票代码</b></td><td><b>分享“买入”评级</b></td><td><b>分享中性评级</b></td><td><b>分享“卖出”评级</b></td><td><b>收盘价–12/14/21</b></td><td><b>共识价格目标</b></td><td><b>隐含 12 个月上行潜力</b></td></tr><tr><td>微软公司</td><td>微软</td><td>90%</td><td>10%</td><td>0%</td><td>$328.34</td><td>$366.41</td><td>12%</td></tr><tr><td>Alphabet公司 A 级</td><td>GOOGL</td><td>94%</td><td>6%</td><td>0%</td><td>$2,878.14</td><td>$3,333.70</td><td>16%</td></tr><tr><td>苹果公司。</td><td>苹果</td><td>79%</td><td>19%</td><td>2%</td><td>$174.33</td><td>$174.35</td><td>0%</td></tr><tr><td>英伟达公司</td><td>NVDA</td><td>81%</td><td>12%</td><td>7%</td><td>$283.37</td><td>$341.51</td><td>21%</td></tr><tr><td>特斯拉公司。</td><td>特斯拉</td><td>43%</td><td>30%</td><td>28%</td><td>$958.51</td><td>$860.35</td><td>-10%</td></tr><tr><td>家得宝公司。</td><td>高清</td><td>65%</td><td>32%</td><td>3%</td><td>$402.20</td><td>$417.16</td><td>4%</td></tr><tr><td>Meta Platforms 公司 A 级</td><td>脸书</td><td>76%</td><td>22%</td><td>2%</td><td>$333.74</td><td>$398.32</td><td>19%</td></tr><tr><td>联合健康集团公司。</td><td>嗯</td><td>85%</td><td>11%</td><td>4%</td><td>$479.46</td><td>$490.88</td><td>2%</td></tr><tr><td>美国银行</td><td>巴克</td><td>64%</td><td>25%</td><td>11%</td><td>$44.13</td><td>$49.83</td><td>13%</td></tr><tr><td>摩根大通公司。</td><td>摩根大通</td><td>61%</td><td>32%</td><td>7%</td><td>$159.13</td><td>$179.70</td><td>13%</td></tr><tr><td>埃克森美孚公司</td><td>生的</td><td>39%</td><td>51%</td><td>10%</td><td>$61.54</td><td>$72.97</td><td>19%</td></tr><tr><td>伯克希尔哈撒韦公司 B 级</td><td>布尔克</td><td>43%</td><td>57%</td><td>0%</td><td>$295.03</td><td>$332.50</td><td>13%</td></tr><tr><td>亚马逊公司。</td><td>亚马逊</td><td>94%</td><td>6%</td><td>0%</td><td>$3,381.83</td><td>$4,102.98</td><td>21%</td></tr><tr><td>辉瑞公司。</td><td>PFE</td><td>38%</td><td>58%</td><td>4%</td><td>$55.54</td><td>$53.67</td><td>-3%</td></tr><tr><td>富国银行公司。</td><td>WFC</td><td>67%</td><td>33%</td><td>0%</td><td>$48.89</td><td>$54.90</td><td>12%</td></tr><tr><td>雪佛龙公司</td><td>CVX</td><td>68%</td><td>32%</td><td>0%</td><td>$116.22</td><td>$130.36</td><td>12%</td></tr><tr><td>直觉公司。</td><td>因图</td><td>83%</td><td>13%</td><td>4%</td><td>$639.48</td><td>$756.29</td><td>18%</td></tr><tr><td>劳氏公司</td><td>低的</td><td>73%</td><td>24%</td><td>3%</td><td>$252.46</td><td>$272.43</td><td>8%</td></tr><tr><td>埃森哲 Plc A 级</td><td>ACN</td><td>70%</td><td>26%</td><td>4%</td><td>$369.73</td><td>$383.68</td><td>4%</td></tr><tr><td>赛默飞世尔科学公司。</td><td>TMO</td><td>83%</td><td>13%</td><td>4%</td><td>$632.11</td><td>$682.47</td><td>8%</td></tr><tr><td>好市多批发公司。</td><td>成本</td><td>59%</td><td>35%</td><td>6%</td><td>$545.34</td><td>$551.75</td><td>1%</td></tr><tr><td>博通公司。</td><td>阿夫戈</td><td>84%</td><td>13%</td><td>3%</td><td>$614.91</td><td>$682.70</td><td>11%</td></tr><tr><td>土坯公司。</td><td>阿德贝</td><td>81%</td><td>19%</td><td>0%</td><td>$614.86</td><td>$720.69</td><td>17%</td></tr><tr><td>丹纳赫公司</td><td>先生</td><td>82%</td><td>14%</td><td>4%</td><td>$307.70</td><td>$350.29</td><td>14%</td></tr><tr><td>礼来公司。</td><td>LLY</td><td>67%</td><td>28%</td><td>5%</td><td>$249.38</td><td>$279.72</td><td>12%</td></tr></tbody></table>来源：FactSet</blockquote></p><p> Here are six data highlights to consider:</p><p><blockquote>以下是需要考虑的六个数据亮点：</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <ul> <li>Two of this year’s best performers are expected to be poor performers next year, based on the price targets: Apple and Tesla.</li> <li>Apple is expected to show much slower sales and earnings growth than the rest of the top five companies on the list through 2023.</li> <li>Tesla’s expected two-year sales CAGR of 31.7% is by far the highest on the list. But only 43% of analysts polled by FactSet rate the stock a “buy.”</li> <li>Tesla also has the highest expected EPS CAGR through 2023 at 38.3%, but Amazon.com Inc. is right behind, with a projected EPS CAGR of 36.2%. Next on the list by this measure is Nvidia, at 21.3%.</li> <li>From the price targets, Nvidia and Amazon are Wall Street analysts’ favorite stocks on the list, with implied 12-month upside of 21%.</li> <li>Pfizer Inc.’s sales are expected to rise in 2022 but fall in 2023 to a level below that of 2021, according to analysts polled by FactSet. That could reflect expectations that the coronavirus pandemic will be ending.</li> </ul></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>根据价格目标，今年表现最好的两家明年预计将表现不佳： 苹果和特斯拉。</li><li>预计到 2023 年，苹果的销售和盈利增长将比榜单上的其他五家公司慢得多。</li><li>特斯拉预计两年销售额复合年增长率为 31.7%，是迄今为止榜单中最高的。但接受 FactSet 调查的分析师中，只有 43% 将该股评级为 “买入 ”。</li><li>特斯拉到 2023 年的预期每股收益复合年增长率也最高，为 38.3%，但亚马逊公司紧随其后，预计每股收益复合年增长率为 36.2%。根据这一指标，排名第二的是英伟达，占21.3%。</li><li>从目标价来看，英伟达和亚马逊是华尔街分析师最喜欢的榜单股票，12 个月的隐含上涨空间为 21%。</li><li>FactSet 调查的分析师称，辉瑞公司的销售额预计将在 2022 年上升，但在 2023 年下降至低于 2021 年的水平。这可能反映了人们对冠状病毒大流行即将结束的预期。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/after-a-dazzling-2021-apple-and-tesla-stocks-are-expected-to-be-duds-in-2022-11639582194?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","BK4554":"元宇宙及AR概念","BK4527":"明星科技股","BK4553":"喜马拉雅资本持仓","BK4501":"段永平概念","BK4099":"汽车制造商","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","BK4555":"新能源车","BK4566":"资本集团","BK4505":"高瓴资本持仓","BK4515":"5G概念","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4507":"流媒体概念","TSLA":"特斯拉","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","NVDA":"英伟达","BK4170":"电脑硬件、储存设备及电脑周边","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","MSFT":"微软","GOOG":"谷歌","AAPL":"苹果","GOOGL":"谷歌A"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/after-a-dazzling-2021-apple-and-tesla-stocks-are-expected-to-be-duds-in-2022-11639582194?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2191399540","content_text":"Here’s the outlook for the 25 stocks that have contributed more than half of the S&P 500 index’s gain this year\nShares of Apple have returned 32% this year, while Tesla has risen 36%. Getty Images\nA report from Goldman Sachs shows how much of investors’ money is concentrated in only five high-flying stocks. And a screen of the biggest contributors to this year’s excellent performance for the S&P 500 index highlights two that are expected not to perform well in 2022: Apple and Tesla.\nJust five stocks — Microsoft Corp.,Alphabet Inc.,Apple Inc.,Nvidia Corp. and Tesla Inc. — contributed over a third of the S&P 500 Index’s 26% total return for 2021 through Dec. 9, according to analysts at Goldman. And from the end of April through Dec. 9, they contributed 51% of the index’s 13% return.\nMoreover, only 25 stocks accounted for 58% of the index’s gains, including reinvested dividends, through Dec. 9, Goldman said. Its list of those stocks is below, along with screens of Wall Street analysts’ expectations for the group as we look ahead to 2022 and 2023.\nThe analysts, led by David Kostin, pointed out that “market breadth has narrowed substantially” over the past several months. In other words, investors have concentrated more of their money (and risk) in the largest tech companies, by market capitalization.\nThat said, the Goldman analysts continue to recommend that long-term investors “own high-growth, high-margin stocks.”\nDigging into the 25 biggest contributors to the S&P 500’s returns this year\nThis list shows each of the 25 stocks and their “contributions” to the gains, expressed in basis points. (A basis point is one 100th of a percent. ) The table also includes pricing information — closing prices as of Dec. 14 with declines from 52-week highs and the dates of those highs.\n\n\n\nCompany\nTicker\nTotal return – 2021 through Dec. 9\nContribution to S&P 500’s return for 2021 through Dec. 9 (basis points)\nClosing Price – 12/14/21\nDecline from 52-week high\nDate of 52-week high\n\n\nMicrosoft Corp.\nMSFT\n51%\n271\n$328.34\n-6.1%\n11/22/2021\n\n\nAlphabet Inc. Class A\nGOOGL\n68%\n224\n$2,878.14\n-4.7%\n11/19/2021\n\n\nApple Inc.\nAAPL\n32%\n217\n$174.33\n-4.3%\n12/13/2021\n\n\nNvidia Corp.\nNVDA\n134%\n137\n$283.37\n-18.2%\n11/22/2021\n\n\nTesla Inc.\nTSLA\n42%\n71\n$958.51\n-22.9%\n11/04/2021\n\n\nHome Depot Inc.\nHD\n58%\n52\n$402.20\n-4.4%\n12/06/2021\n\n\nMeta Platforms Inc. Class A\nFB\n21%\n43\n$333.74\n-13.2%\n09/01/2021\n\n\nUnitedHealth Group Inc.\nUNH\n37%\n39\n$479.46\n-0.7%\n12/14/2021\n\n\nBank of America Corp\nBAC\n50%\n36\n$44.13\n-9.4%\n11/03/2021\n\n\nJPMorgan Chase & Co.\nJPM\n29%\n36\n$159.13\n-8.0%\n10/25/2021\n\n\nExxon Mobil Corp.\nXOM\n61%\n34\n$61.54\n-7.3%\n11/08/2021\n\n\nBerkshire Hathaway Inc. Class B\nBRK\n23%\n32\n$295.03\n-0.5%\n12/14/2021\n\n\nAmazon.com Inc.\nAMZN\n7%\n31\n$3,381.83\n-10.4%\n07/13/2021\n\n\nPfizer Inc.\nPFE\n47%\n30\n$55.54\n-0.7%\n12/14/2021\n\n\nWells Fargo & Co.\nWFC\n67%\n26\n$48.89\n-7.0%\n11/03/2021\n\n\nChevron Corp.\nCVX\n47%\n24\n$116.22\n-2.5%\n12/08/2021\n\n\nIntuit Inc.\nINTU\n76%\n24\n$639.48\n-10.8%\n11/19/2021\n\n\nLowe’s Companies Inc.\nLOW\n63%\n23\n$252.46\n-4.1%\n12/13/2021\n\n\nAccenture Plc Class A\nACN\n44%\n23\n$369.73\n-3.0%\n12/13/2021\n\n\nThermo Fisher Scientific Inc.\nTMO\n37%\n22\n$632.11\n-5.2%\n11/26/2021\n\n\nCostco Wholesale Corp.\nCOST\n40%\n21\n$545.34\n-2.8%\n12/10/2021\n\n\nBroadcom Inc.\nAVGO\n36%\n20\n$614.91\n-4.6%\n12/10/2021\n\n\nAdobe Inc.\nADBE\n26%\n20\n$614.86\n-12.1%\n11/22/2021\n\n\nDanaher Corp.\nDHR\n44%\n20\n$307.70\n-7.9%\n09/10/2021\n\n\nEli Lilly and Co.\nLLY\n46%\n19\n$249.38\n-9.6%\n08/17/2021\n\n\n\nSources: Goldman Sachs, FactSet\n\n\n\nWe included the declines from 52-week highs through Dec. 14 to illustrate how volatile the stocks of rapidly growing tech giants can be. Shares of Nvidia, for example, were down 18% from the high reached Nov. 22. Tesla has tumbled into bear-market territory three times in 2021 and is down 23% from its high reached Nov. 4.\nLeaving the list in the same order, here are consensus estimates among analysts polled by FactSet for sales (in millions of dollars) for calendar years through 2023, with projected compound annual growth rates (CAGR):\n\n\n\nCompany\nTicker\nEstimated revenue – 2021\nEstimated revenue – 2022\nEstimated revenue – 2023\nTwo-year estimated sales CAGR\n\n\nMicrosoft Corp.\nMSFT\n$182,593\n$210,753\n$240,396\n14.7%\n\n\nAlphabet Inc. Class A\nGOOGL\n$254,060\n$296,677\n$341,671\n16.0%\n\n\nApple Inc.\nAAPL\n$369,729\n$389,037\n$413,789\n5.8%\n\n\nNvidia Corp.\nNVDA\n$25,754\n$31,175\n$36,380\n18.9%\n\n\nTesla Inc.\nTSLA\n$51,678\n$73,183\n$89,639\n31.7%\n\n\nHome Depot Inc.\nHD\n$148,615\n$153,285\n$158,252\n3.2%\n\n\nMeta Platforms Inc. Class A\nFB\n$117,569\n$139,805\n$164,737\n18.4%\n\n\nUnitedHealth Group Inc.\nUNH\n$286,410\n$316,412\n$342,740\n9.4%\n\n\nBank of America Corp\nBAC\n$89,268\n$93,591\n$99,180\n5.4%\n\n\nJPMorgan Chase & Co.\nJPM\n$123,128\n$123,405\n$130,270\n2.9%\n\n\nExxon Mobil Corp.\nXOM\n$294,130\n$308,304\n$292,830\n-0.2%\n\n\nBerkshire Hathaway Inc. Class B\nBRK\n$294,667\n$294,894\n$309,287\n2.5%\n\n\nAmazon.com Inc.\nAMZN\n$470,607\n$553,097\n$649,246\n17.5%\n\n\nPfizer Inc.\nPFE\n$81,333\n$92,070\n$72,748\n-5.4%\n\n\nWells Fargo & Co.\nWFC\n$76,024\n$72,048\n$75,462\n-0.4%\n\n\nChevron Corp.\nCVX\n$155,748\n$168,114\n$159,898\n1.3%\n\n\nIntuit Inc.\nINTU\n$10,714\n$12,980\n$14,881\n17.9%\n\n\nLowe’s Companies Inc.\nLOW\n$95,152\n$97,459\n$100,080\n2.6%\n\n\nAccenture Plc Class A\nACN\n$52,819\n$58,906\n$63,622\n9.8%\n\n\nThermo Fisher Scientific Inc.\nTMO\n$37,210\n$39,493\n$42,053\n6.3%\n\n\nCostco Wholesale Corp.\nCOST\n$203,027\n$222,877\n$238,794\n8.5%\n\n\nBroadcom Inc.\nAVGO\n$27,976\n$30,877\n$32,521\n7.8%\n\n\nAdobe Inc.\nADBE\n$15,957\n$18,393\n$21,000\n14.7%\n\n\nDanaher Corp.\nDHR\n$29,116\n$30,792\n$32,437\n5.5%\n\n\nEli Lilly and Co.\nLLY\n$27,601\n$27,774\n$30,366\n4.9%\n\n\n\nSource: FactSet\nHere’s another look ahead, this time at earnings-per-share estimates\n\n\n\nCompany\nTicker\nEstimated EPS – 2021\nEstimated EPS – 2022\nEstimated EPS – 2023\nTwo-year estimated EPS CAGR\n\n\nMicrosoft Corp.\nMSFT\n$8.60\n$9.85\n$11.44\n15.3%\n\n\nAlphabet Inc. Class A\nGOOGL\n$108.65\n$113.97\n$130.48\n9.6%\n\n\nApple Inc.\nAAPL\n$5.64\n$5.85\n$6.27\n5.4%\n\n\nNvidia Corp.\nNVDA\n$4.18\n$5.08\n$6.15\n21.3%\n\n\nTesla Inc.\nTSLA\n$5.99\n$8.64\n$11.46\n38.3%\n\n\nHome Depot Inc.\nHD\n$15.17\n$16.13\n$17.30\n6.8%\n\n\nMeta Platforms Inc. Class A\nFB\n$13.94\n$14.24\n$16.94\n10.3%\n\n\nUnitedHealth Group Inc.\nUNH\n$18.84\n$21.63\n$24.58\n14.2%\n\n\nBank of America Corp\nBAC\n$3.52\n$3.19\n$3.63\n1.5%\n\n\nJPMorgan Chase & Co.\nJPM\n$14.98\n$12.03\n$13.23\n-6.0%\n\n\nExxon Mobil Corp.\nXOM\n$5.03\n$5.79\n$5.59\n5.4%\n\n\nBerkshire Hathaway Inc. Class B\nBRK\n$11.65\n$12.63\n$14.13\n10.1%\n\n\nAmazon.com Inc.\nAMZN\n$41.31\n$51.54\n$76.68\n36.2%\n\n\nPfizer Inc.\nPFE\n$4.19\n$5.75\n$4.87\n7.8%\n\n\nWells Fargo & Co.\nWFC\n$4.63\n$3.72\n$4.41\n-2.4%\n\n\nChevron Corp.\nCVX\n$8.36\n$9.42\n$8.78\n2.5%\n\n\nIntuit Inc.\nINTU\n$10.56\n$12.51\n$14.70\n18.0%\n\n\nLowe’s Companies Inc.\nLOW\n$11.71\n$12.86\n$14.40\n10.9%\n\n\nAccenture Plc Class A\nACN\n$9.25\n$10.48\n$11.59\n11.9%\n\n\nThermo Fisher Scientific Inc.\nTMO\n$23.45\n$21.17\n$23.34\n-0.2%\n\n\nCostco Wholesale Corp.\nCOST\n$11.63\n$13.06\n$14.33\n11.0%\n\n\nBroadcom Inc.\nAVGO\n$28.83\n$33.53\n$36.69\n12.8%\n\n\nAdobe Inc.\nADBE\n$12.63\n$14.47\n$16.88\n15.6%\n\n\nDanaher Corp.\nDHR\n$9.82\n$10.16\n$10.72\n4.5%\n\n\nEli Lilly and Co.\nLLY\n$8.02\n$8.13\n$9.71\n10.1%\n\n\n\nSource: FactSet\nHere’s a summary of Wall Street analysts’ opinions about the stocks:\n\n\n\nCompany\nTicker\nShare “buy” ratings\nShare neutral ratings\nShare “sell” ratings\nClosing price – 12/14/21\nConsensus price target\nImplied 12-month upside potential\n\n\nMicrosoft Corp.\nMSFT\n90%\n10%\n0%\n$328.34\n$366.41\n12%\n\n\nAlphabet Inc. Class A\nGOOGL\n94%\n6%\n0%\n$2,878.14\n$3,333.70\n16%\n\n\nApple Inc.\nAAPL\n79%\n19%\n2%\n$174.33\n$174.35\n0%\n\n\nNvidia Corp.\nNVDA\n81%\n12%\n7%\n$283.37\n$341.51\n21%\n\n\nTesla Inc.\nTSLA\n43%\n30%\n28%\n$958.51\n$860.35\n-10%\n\n\nHome Depot Inc.\nHD\n65%\n32%\n3%\n$402.20\n$417.16\n4%\n\n\nMeta Platforms Inc. Class A\nFB\n76%\n22%\n2%\n$333.74\n$398.32\n19%\n\n\nUnitedHealth Group Inc.\nUNH\n85%\n11%\n4%\n$479.46\n$490.88\n2%\n\n\nBank of America Corp\nBAC\n64%\n25%\n11%\n$44.13\n$49.83\n13%\n\n\nJPMorgan Chase & Co.\nJPM\n61%\n32%\n7%\n$159.13\n$179.70\n13%\n\n\nExxon Mobil Corp.\nXOM\n39%\n51%\n10%\n$61.54\n$72.97\n19%\n\n\nBerkshire Hathaway Inc. Class B\nBRK\n43%\n57%\n0%\n$295.03\n$332.50\n13%\n\n\nAmazon.com Inc.\nAMZN\n94%\n6%\n0%\n$3,381.83\n$4,102.98\n21%\n\n\nPfizer Inc.\nPFE\n38%\n58%\n4%\n$55.54\n$53.67\n-3%\n\n\nWells Fargo & Co.\nWFC\n67%\n33%\n0%\n$48.89\n$54.90\n12%\n\n\nChevron Corp.\nCVX\n68%\n32%\n0%\n$116.22\n$130.36\n12%\n\n\nIntuit Inc.\nINTU\n83%\n13%\n4%\n$639.48\n$756.29\n18%\n\n\nLowe’s Companies Inc.\nLOW\n73%\n24%\n3%\n$252.46\n$272.43\n8%\n\n\nAccenture Plc Class A\nACN\n70%\n26%\n4%\n$369.73\n$383.68\n4%\n\n\nThermo Fisher Scientific Inc.\nTMO\n83%\n13%\n4%\n$632.11\n$682.47\n8%\n\n\nCostco Wholesale Corp.\nCOST\n59%\n35%\n6%\n$545.34\n$551.75\n1%\n\n\nBroadcom Inc.\nAVGO\n84%\n13%\n3%\n$614.91\n$682.70\n11%\n\n\nAdobe Inc.\nADBE\n81%\n19%\n0%\n$614.86\n$720.69\n17%\n\n\nDanaher Corp.\nDHR\n82%\n14%\n4%\n$307.70\n$350.29\n14%\n\n\nEli Lilly and Co.\nLLY\n67%\n28%\n5%\n$249.38\n$279.72\n12%\n\n\n\nSource: FactSet\nHere are six data highlights to consider:\n\nTwo of this year’s best performers are expected to be poor performers next year, based on the price targets: Apple and Tesla.\nApple is expected to show much slower sales and earnings growth than the rest of the top five companies on the list through 2023.\nTesla’s expected two-year sales CAGR of 31.7% is by far the highest on the list. But only 43% of analysts polled by FactSet rate the stock a “buy.”\nTesla also has the highest expected EPS CAGR through 2023 at 38.3%, but Amazon.com Inc. is right behind, with a projected EPS CAGR of 36.2%. Next on the list by this measure is Nvidia, at 21.3%.\nFrom the price targets, Nvidia and Amazon are Wall Street analysts’ favorite stocks on the list, with implied 12-month upside of 21%.\nPfizer Inc.’s sales are expected to rise in 2022 but fall in 2023 to a level below that of 2021, according to analysts polled by FactSet. That could reflect expectations that the coronavirus pandemic will be ending.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"MSFT":0.9,"GOOG":0.9,"GOOGL":0.9,"NVDA":0.9,"AAPL":0.9,"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":861,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"CN","currentLanguage":"CN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":3,"subscribersOnly":false,"subscribersOnlyAccessible":false,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ZH_CN"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/690954914"}
精彩评论