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2022-01-03
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71 years of stock market data reveals investors may be happy in the New Year<blockquote>71年的股市数据显示投资者可能会在新的一年里感到高兴</blockquote>
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{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"detailType":1,"isChannel":false,"data":{"magic":2,"id":692424827,"tweetId":"692424827","gmtCreate":1641181347981,"gmtModify":1641181395858,"author":{"id":4089589195647730,"idStr":"4089589195647730","authorId":4089589195647730,"authorIdStr":"4089589195647730","name":"Eric09876542","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/66c18d50a19f0ca4aa29fab1d5d1e482","vip":1,"userType":1,"introduction":"","boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[],"wearingBadges":[],"fanSize":34,"starInvestorFlag":false},"themes":[],"images":[],"coverImages":[],"title":"","extraTitle":"","html":"<html><head></head><body><p>read</p></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><p>read</p></body></html>","text":"read","highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/692424827","repostId":2200443162,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2200443162","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1641175843,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/2200443162?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-01-03 10:10","market":"us","language":"en","title":"71 years of stock market data reveals investors may be happy in the New Year<blockquote>71年的股市数据显示投资者可能会在新的一年里感到高兴</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2200443162","media":"Yahoo Finance","summary":"After a nearly 29% total return for the S&P 500 this year, history suggests 2022 may see more gains ","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>After a nearly 29% total return for the S&P 500 this year, history suggests 2022 may see more gains for investors.</p><p><blockquote><html><head></head><body>继今年标普500的总回报率接近 29% 之后，历史表明 2022 年投资者可能会获得更多收益。</body></html></blockquote></p><p>Truist Advisory Services co-chief investment officer Keith Lerner found that going back to 1950, when the S&P 500 had a total return of at least 25% in a year, stocks usually rose in the following year. The outcome during that 71 year stretch: stocks advanced 82% of the time, or 14 out of 17 instances.</p><p><blockquote>Truist Advisory Services 联席首席投资官 Keith Lerner 发现，追溯到 1950 年，当标普500一年的总回报率至少为 25% 时，股票通常会在第二年上涨。这 71 年的结果是：股市有 82% 的时间上涨，即 17 例中有 14 例上涨。</blockquote></p><p>As the data shows, however, it's not always sunshine and rainbows after a big year for stocks.</p><p><blockquote>然而，数据显示，股市经历了重要的一年后，并不总是阳光和彩虹。</blockquote></p><p>Two of the three years where stocks failed to rise after 25%+ annual gains were 1981 and 1990. Lerner points out both of those periods commenced with recessions. The other down year was 1962, which Lerner says was challenged by a "flash crash" and "deteriorating investor confidence."</p><p><blockquote>1981 年和 1990 年是股市在年涨幅超过 25% 后未能上涨的三年中的两年。勒纳指出，这两个时期都始于衰退。另一个下滑的年份是 1962 年，勒纳表示，这一年受到了“闪电崩盘”和“投资者信心恶化”的挑战。</blockquote></p><p>Lerner doesn't see a recession in the cards for 2022, but acknowledges that it's likely stocks have more modest gains after a banner 2021.</p><p><blockquote>勒纳认为 2022 年不会出现经济衰退，但承认在 2021 年表现强劲之后，股市可能会出现更温和的涨幅。</blockquote></p><p>"History is only a guide and should be used alongside other factors, such as the business cycle and fundamentals. Still, the studies reviewed on performance following years with robust market gains, strong price momentum, and shallow pullbacks lend further support to our base case outlook for 2022. That is, we still favor stocks and expect the bull market to extend, though at a much more modest pace relative to 2021. The data also suggest investors should anticipate more normal and deeper corrections relative to the unusually shallow pullbacks seen over the past year. Thus, we remain positive yet realistic entering the new year," Lerner explains.</p><p><blockquote>“历史只是一个指南，应与商业周期和基本面等其他因素一起使用。尽管如此，对多年来市场强劲上涨、价格强劲势头和浅层回调后的表现进行的研究，为我们的基本案例展望提供了进一步的支持2022 年。也就是说，我们仍然看好股票，并预计牛市将会延长，尽管相对于 2021 年，牛市的速度要温和得多。这些数据还表明，相对于过去一年异常轻微的回调，投资者应该预计会出现更正常、更深层次的调整。因此，我们在新的一年里保持积极而现实的态度，”勒纳解释道。</blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f2a393125c83e9e71035b9c23133616c\" tg-width=\"1094\" tg-height=\"466\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Another up year for stocks on tap?Truist</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>现货股票又是上涨的一年？特鲁伊斯特</span></p></blockquote></p><p>To be sure, the market enters 2022 with considerable momentum that go a long way to nailing down a positive year ahead.</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是，市场进入 2022 年时势头强劲，这对于未来一年的积极发展大有帮助。</blockquote></p><p>The S&P 500 notched its 70th record close of the year on Wednesday. As Yahoo Finance's Alexandra Semenova points out, the S&P 500 recorded a new all-time high every month this year. That makes 2021 among the best years ever for investors.</p><p><blockquote>周三，标普500创下了今年第70个创纪录的收盘纪录。正如雅虎财经的 Alexandra Semenova 指出的那样，今年每个月的标普500都创下历史新高。这使得2021年成为投资者有史以来最好的年份之一。</blockquote></p><p>Meanwhile, well-known companies such as Apple, Home Depot, McDonald's, Coca-Cola and Procter & Gamble continue to hover around record highs.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，苹果、家得宝、麦当劳、可口可乐和宝洁等知名公司继续徘徊在历史高位附近。</blockquote></p><p>"We encourage our clients not to get out, to stay in the market. When the recoveries hit, when the sentiment changes, it happens so quickly that often by the time you're able to get back into the market, you have already missed out," said Erin Gibbs, Main Street Asset Management chief investment officer, on Yahoo Finance Live.</p><p><blockquote>“我们鼓励客户不要退出，而是留在市场上。当经济复苏来袭时，当市场情绪发生变化时，这种情况发生得如此之快，以至于当你能够重返市场时，你已经错过了，”艾琳·吉布斯 (Erin Gibbs) 说道，Main Street Asset Management 首席投资官在雅虎财经直播上。</blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>71 years of stock market data reveals investors may be happy in the New Year<blockquote>71年的股市数据显示投资者可能会在新的一年里感到高兴</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n71 years of stock market data reveals investors may be happy in the New Year<blockquote>71年的股市数据显示投资者可能会在新的一年里感到高兴</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Yahoo Finance</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2022-01-03 10:10</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>After a nearly 29% total return for the S&P 500 this year, history suggests 2022 may see more gains for investors.</p><p><blockquote><html><head></head><body>继今年标普500的总回报率接近 29% 之后，历史表明 2022 年投资者可能会获得更多收益。</body></html></blockquote></p><p>Truist Advisory Services co-chief investment officer Keith Lerner found that going back to 1950, when the S&P 500 had a total return of at least 25% in a year, stocks usually rose in the following year. The outcome during that 71 year stretch: stocks advanced 82% of the time, or 14 out of 17 instances.</p><p><blockquote>Truist Advisory Services 联席首席投资官 Keith Lerner 发现，追溯到 1950 年，当标普500一年的总回报率至少为 25% 时，股票通常会在第二年上涨。这 71 年的结果是：股市有 82% 的时间上涨，即 17 例中有 14 例上涨。</blockquote></p><p>As the data shows, however, it's not always sunshine and rainbows after a big year for stocks.</p><p><blockquote>然而，数据显示，股市经历了重要的一年后，并不总是阳光和彩虹。</blockquote></p><p>Two of the three years where stocks failed to rise after 25%+ annual gains were 1981 and 1990. Lerner points out both of those periods commenced with recessions. The other down year was 1962, which Lerner says was challenged by a "flash crash" and "deteriorating investor confidence."</p><p><blockquote>1981 年和 1990 年是股市在年涨幅超过 25% 后未能上涨的三年中的两年。勒纳指出，这两个时期都始于衰退。另一个下滑的年份是 1962 年，勒纳表示，这一年受到了“闪电崩盘”和“投资者信心恶化”的挑战。</blockquote></p><p>Lerner doesn't see a recession in the cards for 2022, but acknowledges that it's likely stocks have more modest gains after a banner 2021.</p><p><blockquote>勒纳认为 2022 年不会出现经济衰退，但承认在 2021 年表现强劲之后，股市可能会出现更温和的涨幅。</blockquote></p><p>"History is only a guide and should be used alongside other factors, such as the business cycle and fundamentals. Still, the studies reviewed on performance following years with robust market gains, strong price momentum, and shallow pullbacks lend further support to our base case outlook for 2022. That is, we still favor stocks and expect the bull market to extend, though at a much more modest pace relative to 2021. The data also suggest investors should anticipate more normal and deeper corrections relative to the unusually shallow pullbacks seen over the past year. Thus, we remain positive yet realistic entering the new year," Lerner explains.</p><p><blockquote>“历史只是一个指南，应与商业周期和基本面等其他因素一起使用。尽管如此，对多年来市场强劲上涨、价格强劲势头和浅层回调后的表现进行的研究，为我们的基本案例展望提供了进一步的支持2022 年。也就是说，我们仍然看好股票，并预计牛市将会延长，尽管相对于 2021 年，牛市的速度要温和得多。这些数据还表明，相对于过去一年异常轻微的回调，投资者应该预计会出现更正常、更深层次的调整。因此，我们在新的一年里保持积极而现实的态度，”勒纳解释道。</blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f2a393125c83e9e71035b9c23133616c\" tg-width=\"1094\" tg-height=\"466\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Another up year for stocks on tap?Truist</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>现货股票又是上涨的一年？特鲁伊斯特</span></p></blockquote></p><p>To be sure, the market enters 2022 with considerable momentum that go a long way to nailing down a positive year ahead.</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是，市场进入 2022 年时势头强劲，这对于未来一年的积极发展大有帮助。</blockquote></p><p>The S&P 500 notched its 70th record close of the year on Wednesday. As Yahoo Finance's Alexandra Semenova points out, the S&P 500 recorded a new all-time high every month this year. That makes 2021 among the best years ever for investors.</p><p><blockquote>周三，标普500创下了今年第70个创纪录的收盘纪录。正如雅虎财经的 Alexandra Semenova 指出的那样，今年每个月的标普500都创下历史新高。这使得2021年成为投资者有史以来最好的年份之一。</blockquote></p><p>Meanwhile, well-known companies such as Apple, Home Depot, McDonald's, Coca-Cola and Procter & Gamble continue to hover around record highs.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，苹果、家得宝、麦当劳、可口可乐和宝洁等知名公司继续徘徊在历史高位附近。</blockquote></p><p>"We encourage our clients not to get out, to stay in the market. When the recoveries hit, when the sentiment changes, it happens so quickly that often by the time you're able to get back into the market, you have already missed out," said Erin Gibbs, Main Street Asset Management chief investment officer, on Yahoo Finance Live.</p><p><blockquote>“我们鼓励客户不要退出，而是留在市场上。当经济复苏来袭时，当市场情绪发生变化时，这种情况发生得如此之快，以至于当你能够重返市场时，你已经错过了，”艾琳·吉布斯 (Erin Gibbs) 说道，Main Street Asset Management 首席投资官在雅虎财经直播上。</blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/71-years-of-stock-market-data-reveals-investors-may-be-happy-in-the-new-year-173229105.html\">Yahoo Finance</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"KO":"可口可乐",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","NGD":"New Gold",".DJI":"道琼斯","HD":"家得宝","BK4017":"黄金","AAPL":"苹果","PG":"宝洁","MRCC":"Monroe Capital Corporation",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","MCD":"麦当劳"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/71-years-of-stock-market-data-reveals-investors-may-be-happy-in-the-new-year-173229105.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2200443162","content_text":"After a nearly 29% total return for the S&P 500 this year, history suggests 2022 may see more gains for investors.Truist Advisory Services co-chief investment officer Keith Lerner found that going back to 1950, when the S&P 500 had a total return of at least 25% in a year, stocks usually rose in the following year. The outcome during that 71 year stretch: stocks advanced 82% of the time, or 14 out of 17 instances.As the data shows, however, it's not always sunshine and rainbows after a big year for stocks.Two of the three years where stocks failed to rise after 25%+ annual gains were 1981 and 1990. Lerner points out both of those periods commenced with recessions. The other down year was 1962, which Lerner says was challenged by a \"flash crash\" and \"deteriorating investor confidence.\"Lerner doesn't see a recession in the cards for 2022, but acknowledges that it's likely stocks have more modest gains after a banner 2021.\"History is only a guide and should be used alongside other factors, such as the business cycle and fundamentals. Still, the studies reviewed on performance following years with robust market gains, strong price momentum, and shallow pullbacks lend further support to our base case outlook for 2022. That is, we still favor stocks and expect the bull market to extend, though at a much more modest pace relative to 2021. The data also suggest investors should anticipate more normal and deeper corrections relative to the unusually shallow pullbacks seen over the past year. Thus, we remain positive yet realistic entering the new year,\" Lerner explains.Another up year for stocks on tap?TruistTo be sure, the market enters 2022 with considerable momentum that go a long way to nailing down a positive year ahead.The S&P 500 notched its 70th record close of the year on Wednesday. As Yahoo Finance's Alexandra Semenova points out, the S&P 500 recorded a new all-time high every month this year. That makes 2021 among the best years ever for investors.Meanwhile, well-known companies such as Apple, Home Depot, McDonald's, Coca-Cola and Procter & Gamble continue to hover around record highs.\"We encourage our clients not to get out, to stay in the market. When the recoveries hit, when the sentiment changes, it happens so quickly that often by the time you're able to get back into the market, you have already missed out,\" said Erin Gibbs, Main Street Asset Management chief investment officer, on Yahoo Finance Live.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,"HD":0.6,"PG":0.6,"AAPL":0.6,"MCD":0.6,"KO":0.6,"NGD":1,"MRCC":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3931,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"CN","currentLanguage":"CN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":4,"subscribersOnly":false,"subscribersOnlyAccessible":false,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ZH_CN"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/692424827"}
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