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2022-01-03
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71 years of stock market data reveals investors may be happy in the New Year<blockquote>71年股市数据揭示投资者在新的一年里可能会感到高兴</blockquote>
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The outcome during that 71 year stretch: stocks advanced 82% of the time, or 14 out of 17 instances.</p><p><blockquote>Truist Advisory Services联席首席投资官Keith Lerner发现，回到1950年，当标普500一年的总回报率至少为25%时，股票通常会在第二年上涨。在这71年的时间里，结果是：股市上涨的时间为82%，即17次上涨中的14次。</blockquote></p><p>As the data shows, however, it's not always sunshine and rainbows after a big year for stocks.</p><p><blockquote>然而，正如数据显示的那样，股市经历了重要的一年后，并不总是阳光明媚。</blockquote></p><p>Two of the three years where stocks failed to rise after 25%+ annual gains were 1981 and 1990. Lerner points out both of those periods commenced with recessions. The other down year was 1962, which Lerner says was challenged by a "flash crash" and "deteriorating investor confidence."</p><p><blockquote>1981年和1990年是股市在年涨幅超过25%后未能上涨的三年中的两年。勒纳指出，这两个时期都始于经济衰退。另一个下跌的年份是1962年，勒纳表示，这一年受到了“闪电崩盘”和“投资者信心恶化”的挑战。</blockquote></p><p>Lerner doesn't see a recession in the cards for 2022, but acknowledges that it's likely stocks have more modest gains after a banner 2021.</p><p><blockquote>勒纳认为2022年不会出现经济衰退，但他承认，在2021年表现出色之后，股市可能会出现更温和的涨幅。</blockquote></p><p>"History is only a guide and should be used alongside other factors, such as the business cycle and fundamentals. Still, the studies reviewed on performance following years with robust market gains, strong price momentum, and shallow pullbacks lend further support to our base case outlook for 2022. That is, we still favor stocks and expect the bull market to extend, though at a much more modest pace relative to 2021. The data also suggest investors should anticipate more normal and deeper corrections relative to the unusually shallow pullbacks seen over the past year. Thus, we remain positive yet realistic entering the new year," Lerner explains.</p><p><blockquote>“历史只是一个指南，应该与其他因素一起使用，例如商业周期和基本面。尽管如此，对多年来市场强劲上涨、价格势头强劲和小幅回调的表现进行的研究进一步支持了我们的基本情况展望2022年。也就是说，我们仍然看好股票，并预计牛市将会延续，尽管速度相对于2021年要温和得多。数据还表明，相对于过去一年异常浅的回调，投资者应该预计会出现更正常、更深的回调。因此，进入新的一年，我们仍然保持积极而现实的态度，”勒纳解释道。</blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f2a393125c83e9e71035b9c23133616c\" tg-width=\"1094\" tg-height=\"466\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Another up year for stocks on tap?Truist</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>股市又是上涨的一年？Truist</span></p></blockquote></p><p>To be sure, the market enters 2022 with considerable momentum that go a long way to nailing down a positive year ahead.</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是，市场以相当大的势头进入2022年，这对于确定未来一年的积极发展大有帮助。</blockquote></p><p>The S&P 500 notched its 70th record close of the year on Wednesday. As Yahoo Finance's Alexandra Semenova points out, the S&P 500 recorded a new all-time high every month this year. That makes 2021 among the best years ever for investors.</p><p><blockquote>周三，标普500创下了今年第70个收盘纪录。正如雅虎财经的Alexandra Semenova指出的那样，标普500今年每个月都创下历史新高。这使得2021年成为投资者有史以来最好的一年。</blockquote></p><p>Meanwhile, well-known companies such as Apple, Home Depot, McDonald's, Coca-Cola and Procter & Gamble continue to hover around record highs.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，苹果、家得宝、麦当劳、可口可乐和宝洁等知名企业继续徘徊在历史高点附近。</blockquote></p><p>"We encourage our clients not to get out, to stay in the market. When the recoveries hit, when the sentiment changes, it happens so quickly that often by the time you're able to get back into the market, you have already missed out," said Erin Gibbs, Main Street Asset Management chief investment officer, on Yahoo Finance Live.</p><p><blockquote>“我们鼓励我们的客户不要退出，而是留在市场上。当复苏来袭时，当情绪发生变化时，它发生得如此之快，以至于当你能够重返市场时，你已经错过了，”主街资产管理公司首席投资官艾琳·吉布斯(Erin Gibbs)在雅虎财经直播中表示。</blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>71 years of stock market data reveals investors may be happy in the New Year<blockquote>71年股市数据揭示投资者在新的一年里可能会感到高兴</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n71 years of stock market data reveals investors may be happy in the New Year<blockquote>71年股市数据揭示投资者在新的一年里可能会感到高兴</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Yahoo Finance</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2022-01-03 10:10</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>After a nearly 29% total return for the S&P 500 this year, history suggests 2022 may see more gains for investors.</p><p><blockquote><html><head></head><body>今年标普500的总回报率接近29%，历史表明2022年投资者可能会获得更多收益。</body></html></blockquote></p><p>Truist Advisory Services co-chief investment officer Keith Lerner found that going back to 1950, when the S&P 500 had a total return of at least 25% in a year, stocks usually rose in the following year. The outcome during that 71 year stretch: stocks advanced 82% of the time, or 14 out of 17 instances.</p><p><blockquote>Truist Advisory Services联席首席投资官Keith Lerner发现，回到1950年，当标普500一年的总回报率至少为25%时，股票通常会在第二年上涨。在这71年的时间里，结果是：股市上涨的时间为82%，即17次上涨中的14次。</blockquote></p><p>As the data shows, however, it's not always sunshine and rainbows after a big year for stocks.</p><p><blockquote>然而，正如数据显示的那样，股市经历了重要的一年后，并不总是阳光明媚。</blockquote></p><p>Two of the three years where stocks failed to rise after 25%+ annual gains were 1981 and 1990. Lerner points out both of those periods commenced with recessions. The other down year was 1962, which Lerner says was challenged by a "flash crash" and "deteriorating investor confidence."</p><p><blockquote>1981年和1990年是股市在年涨幅超过25%后未能上涨的三年中的两年。勒纳指出，这两个时期都始于经济衰退。另一个下跌的年份是1962年，勒纳表示，这一年受到了“闪电崩盘”和“投资者信心恶化”的挑战。</blockquote></p><p>Lerner doesn't see a recession in the cards for 2022, but acknowledges that it's likely stocks have more modest gains after a banner 2021.</p><p><blockquote>勒纳认为2022年不会出现经济衰退，但他承认，在2021年表现出色之后，股市可能会出现更温和的涨幅。</blockquote></p><p>"History is only a guide and should be used alongside other factors, such as the business cycle and fundamentals. Still, the studies reviewed on performance following years with robust market gains, strong price momentum, and shallow pullbacks lend further support to our base case outlook for 2022. That is, we still favor stocks and expect the bull market to extend, though at a much more modest pace relative to 2021. The data also suggest investors should anticipate more normal and deeper corrections relative to the unusually shallow pullbacks seen over the past year. Thus, we remain positive yet realistic entering the new year," Lerner explains.</p><p><blockquote>“历史只是一个指南，应该与其他因素一起使用，例如商业周期和基本面。尽管如此，对多年来市场强劲上涨、价格势头强劲和小幅回调的表现进行的研究进一步支持了我们的基本情况展望2022年。也就是说，我们仍然看好股票，并预计牛市将会延续，尽管速度相对于2021年要温和得多。数据还表明，相对于过去一年异常浅的回调，投资者应该预计会出现更正常、更深的回调。因此，进入新的一年，我们仍然保持积极而现实的态度，”勒纳解释道。</blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f2a393125c83e9e71035b9c23133616c\" tg-width=\"1094\" tg-height=\"466\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Another up year for stocks on tap?Truist</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>股市又是上涨的一年？Truist</span></p></blockquote></p><p>To be sure, the market enters 2022 with considerable momentum that go a long way to nailing down a positive year ahead.</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是，市场以相当大的势头进入2022年，这对于确定未来一年的积极发展大有帮助。</blockquote></p><p>The S&P 500 notched its 70th record close of the year on Wednesday. As Yahoo Finance's Alexandra Semenova points out, the S&P 500 recorded a new all-time high every month this year. That makes 2021 among the best years ever for investors.</p><p><blockquote>周三，标普500创下了今年第70个收盘纪录。正如雅虎财经的Alexandra Semenova指出的那样，标普500今年每个月都创下历史新高。这使得2021年成为投资者有史以来最好的一年。</blockquote></p><p>Meanwhile, well-known companies such as Apple, Home Depot, McDonald's, Coca-Cola and Procter & Gamble continue to hover around record highs.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，苹果、家得宝、麦当劳、可口可乐和宝洁等知名企业继续徘徊在历史高点附近。</blockquote></p><p>"We encourage our clients not to get out, to stay in the market. When the recoveries hit, when the sentiment changes, it happens so quickly that often by the time you're able to get back into the market, you have already missed out," said Erin Gibbs, Main Street Asset Management chief investment officer, on Yahoo Finance Live.</p><p><blockquote>“我们鼓励我们的客户不要退出，而是留在市场上。当复苏来袭时，当情绪发生变化时，它发生得如此之快，以至于当你能够重返市场时，你已经错过了，”主街资产管理公司首席投资官艾琳·吉布斯(Erin Gibbs)在雅虎财经直播中表示。</blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/71-years-of-stock-market-data-reveals-investors-may-be-happy-in-the-new-year-173229105.html\">Yahoo Finance</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"HD":"家得宝",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","KO":"可口可乐","AAPL":"苹果","MCD":"麦当劳",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","NGD":"New Gold","PG":"宝洁","MRCC":"Monroe Capital Corporation","BK4017":"黄金"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/71-years-of-stock-market-data-reveals-investors-may-be-happy-in-the-new-year-173229105.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2200443162","content_text":"After a nearly 29% total return for the S&P 500 this year, history suggests 2022 may see more gains for investors.Truist Advisory Services co-chief investment officer Keith Lerner found that going back to 1950, when the S&P 500 had a total return of at least 25% in a year, stocks usually rose in the following year. The outcome during that 71 year stretch: stocks advanced 82% of the time, or 14 out of 17 instances.As the data shows, however, it's not always sunshine and rainbows after a big year for stocks.Two of the three years where stocks failed to rise after 25%+ annual gains were 1981 and 1990. Lerner points out both of those periods commenced with recessions. The other down year was 1962, which Lerner says was challenged by a \"flash crash\" and \"deteriorating investor confidence.\"Lerner doesn't see a recession in the cards for 2022, but acknowledges that it's likely stocks have more modest gains after a banner 2021.\"History is only a guide and should be used alongside other factors, such as the business cycle and fundamentals. Still, the studies reviewed on performance following years with robust market gains, strong price momentum, and shallow pullbacks lend further support to our base case outlook for 2022. That is, we still favor stocks and expect the bull market to extend, though at a much more modest pace relative to 2021. The data also suggest investors should anticipate more normal and deeper corrections relative to the unusually shallow pullbacks seen over the past year. Thus, we remain positive yet realistic entering the new year,\" Lerner explains.Another up year for stocks on tap?TruistTo be sure, the market enters 2022 with considerable momentum that go a long way to nailing down a positive year ahead.The S&P 500 notched its 70th record close of the year on Wednesday. As Yahoo Finance's Alexandra Semenova points out, the S&P 500 recorded a new all-time high every month this year. That makes 2021 among the best years ever for investors.Meanwhile, well-known companies such as Apple, Home Depot, McDonald's, Coca-Cola and Procter & Gamble continue to hover around record highs.\"We encourage our clients not to get out, to stay in the market. When the recoveries hit, when the sentiment changes, it happens so quickly that often by the time you're able to get back into the market, you have already missed out,\" said Erin Gibbs, Main Street Asset Management chief investment officer, on Yahoo Finance Live.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,"PG":0.6,"MCD":0.6,"AAPL":0.6,"MRCC":0.9,"HD":0.6,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"KO":0.6,"NGD":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1949,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"CN","currentLanguage":"CN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":2,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ZH_CN"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/692466322"}
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