jas68
2022-01-11
To the moon
Can Apple Stock Reclaim $3 Trillion And Thrive In 2022?<blockquote>苹果股票能否在2022年收回3万亿美元并蓬勃发展？</blockquote>
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Can shares reclaim the milestone soon and head higher in 2022?</p><p><blockquote><html><head></head><body>到目前为止，3 万亿美元的市值已被证明是苹果股票似乎尚未准备好突破的上限。股价能否很快夺回里程碑并在 2022 年走高？</body></html></blockquote></p><p>Recently, Apple stock flirted with $3 trillion in market cap, but quickly dipped below $2.9 trillion — as the broad market reacted to monetary tightening that should now happen more rapidly than previously expected.</p><p><blockquote>最近，苹果股票的市值接近 3 万亿美元，但很快跌破 2.9 万亿美元——因为大盘对货币紧缩政策的反应应该比之前预期的更快。</blockquote></p><p>Can shares of the Cupertino company finally find its way north in 2022 and meet the expectations of so many bulls on Wall Street? Or will bearishness take over during a year of rising interest rates and lingering inflation?</p><p><blockquote>这家库比蒂诺公司的股票最终能否在 2022 年找到北上之路，并满足华尔街众多多头的期望？或者，在利率上升和通胀挥之不去的一年里，看跌情绪会接管吗？</blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1f77cd919bf55f9c7b79f631b0255910\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"697\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Figure 1: Apple Park in Cupertino, CA.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图1：加利福尼亚州库比蒂诺的苹果公园。</span></p></blockquote></p><p><b>AAPL: the bull case</b></p><p><blockquote><b>AAPL：牛市案例</b></blockquote></p><p>As Apple stock climbed viciously between late November and early December, many Wall Street experts piled on in support of “AAPL $3T”. Wedbush’s Dan Ives, for example, has been talking about the market cap milestone since our conversation in Q3 of last year, at least.</p><p><blockquote>随着苹果股价在 11 月底至 12 月初疯狂攀升，许多华尔街专家纷纷支持 “AAPL 3 万亿美元 ”。例如，至少从我们去年第三季度的谈话开始，Wedbush 的丹-艾夫斯（Dan Ives）就一直在谈论市值里程碑。</blockquote></p><p>But other analysts have also hopped on the bullish bandwagon recently. Morgan Stanley upped its price target to $200 per share in November, while the JPMorgan research team saw Apple stock heading to $3.5 trillion in market cap over the next 12 months.</p><p><blockquote>但其他分析师最近也加入了看涨行列。摩根士丹利在 11 月份将目标价上调至每股 200 美元，而摩根大通研究团队则预计苹果股票在未来 12 个月内市值将达到 3.5 万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>One of the most vocal optimists came from the buy side. Loup’s Gene Munster thought that his previous price target had quickly become stale, and that $250 per share now seemed more reasonable. In his opinion, the multi-year opportunity in the metaverse will gain investor appreciation in the new year, which should reignite momentum that the stock had lost in the last few weeks of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>最直言不讳的乐观主义者之一来自买方。Loup 的吉恩-明斯特（Gene Munster）认为，他之前的目标价很快就过时了，现在每股 250 美元似乎更合理。他认为，元宇宙的多年机会将在新的一年获得投资者的赞赏，这应该会重新点燃该股在2021年最后几周失去的势头。</blockquote></p><p><b>AAPL: the bear case</b></p><p><blockquote><b>AAPL：熊案</b></blockquote></p><p>Despite the upbeat expectations described above, mostly supported by company-specific factors, the market rolled into 2022 with its guard up. The boogieman of the moment seems to be the Federal Reserve’s anticipated reaction to near-full employment and sticky inflation, which should lead to higher interest rates in the next several months.</p><p><blockquote>尽管上述乐观预期主要受到公司特定因素的支持，但市场进入 2022 年仍保持警惕。目前的祸根似乎是美联储对接近充分就业和粘性通胀的预期反应，这将导致未来几个月利率上升。</blockquote></p><p>I have recently explained how tighter money supply can spell trouble for stocks that trade for relatively high multiples. While AAPL is no Tesla or Rivian, the stock’s forward P/E of nearly 30 times and only modest earnings growth expectations could be a drag for share price in 2022, as investors look for better deals in value and cyclical stocks.</p><p><blockquote>我最近解释了货币供应收紧如何给市盈率相对较高的股票带来麻烦。虽然 AAPL 不是特斯拉或Rivian，但该股近 30 倍的远期市盈率和温和的盈利增长预期可能会拖累 2022 年的股价，因为投资者正在寻找价值股和周期性股票的更好交易。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Apple Maven’s take</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果专家的看法</b></blockquote></p><p>I continue to think that Apple is a great stock to buy and hold for the long term. Under the leadership of a CEO (and former COO) that is driven by operational excellence, the company seems to be in very good hands. Better yet, demand for Apple’s products and services, as well as consumer appreciation for the brand, seem to be at or near an all-time high.</p><p><blockquote>我仍然认为苹果是一只值得长期购买和持有的好股票。在以卓越运营为动力的首席执行官（兼前首席运营官）的领导下，公司似乎得到了很好的管理。更好的是，对苹果产品和服务的需求以及消费者对该品牌的欣赏似乎处于或接近历史最高水平。</blockquote></p><p>That said, the setup for the first few weeks or months of 2022 looks challenging to me. Apple stock climbed relentlessly in 2020, and then again last year. Aided by a spike in pandemic-driven demand for tech devices and lavish liquidity in the system, AAPL recorded one of its best three years of returns ever between 2019 and 2021.</p><p><blockquote>也就是说，2022 年头几周或几个月的设置对我来说很有挑战性。苹果股价在 2020 年持续攀升，去年又再次攀升。得益于疫情推动的技术设备需求激增以及系统中充足的流动性，苹果公司在 2019 年至 2021 年间创下了有史以来最好的三年回报之一。</blockquote></p><p>As much as the metaverse and autonomous vehicles can and likely will support the company’s financial results over the next many years, I think that AAPL stock is overdue for a breather. While shares will likely climb back above $3 trillion and head much higher from there eventually, I am not so confident that this rally will happen in the immediate future.</p><p><blockquote>尽管元宇宙和自动驾驶汽车能够并可能在未来许多年为公司的财务业绩提供支持，但我认为苹果公司的股票早该喘口气了。虽然股价可能会回升至 3 万亿美元以上，并最终从那里走得更高，但我对这种反弹会在不久的将来发生并不那么有信心。</blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Can Apple Stock Reclaim $3 Trillion And Thrive In 2022?<blockquote>苹果股票能否在2022年收回3万亿美元并蓬勃发展？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCan Apple Stock Reclaim $3 Trillion And Thrive In 2022?<blockquote>苹果股票能否在2022年收回3万亿美元并蓬勃发展？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">TheStreet</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2022-01-09 12:31</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>A market cap of $3 trillion has, so far, proven to be a ceiling that Apple stock does not seem ready to break through yet. Can shares reclaim the milestone soon and head higher in 2022?</p><p><blockquote><html><head></head><body>到目前为止，3 万亿美元的市值已被证明是苹果股票似乎尚未准备好突破的上限。股价能否很快夺回里程碑并在 2022 年走高？</body></html></blockquote></p><p>Recently, Apple stock flirted with $3 trillion in market cap, but quickly dipped below $2.9 trillion — as the broad market reacted to monetary tightening that should now happen more rapidly than previously expected.</p><p><blockquote>最近，苹果股票的市值接近 3 万亿美元，但很快跌破 2.9 万亿美元——因为大盘对货币紧缩政策的反应应该比之前预期的更快。</blockquote></p><p>Can shares of the Cupertino company finally find its way north in 2022 and meet the expectations of so many bulls on Wall Street? Or will bearishness take over during a year of rising interest rates and lingering inflation?</p><p><blockquote>这家库比蒂诺公司的股票最终能否在 2022 年找到北上之路，并满足华尔街众多多头的期望？或者，在利率上升和通胀挥之不去的一年里，看跌情绪会接管吗？</blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1f77cd919bf55f9c7b79f631b0255910\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"697\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Figure 1: Apple Park in Cupertino, CA.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图1：加利福尼亚州库比蒂诺的苹果公园。</span></p></blockquote></p><p><b>AAPL: the bull case</b></p><p><blockquote><b>AAPL：牛市案例</b></blockquote></p><p>As Apple stock climbed viciously between late November and early December, many Wall Street experts piled on in support of “AAPL $3T”. Wedbush’s Dan Ives, for example, has been talking about the market cap milestone since our conversation in Q3 of last year, at least.</p><p><blockquote>随着苹果股价在 11 月底至 12 月初疯狂攀升，许多华尔街专家纷纷支持 “AAPL 3 万亿美元 ”。例如，至少从我们去年第三季度的谈话开始，Wedbush 的丹-艾夫斯（Dan Ives）就一直在谈论市值里程碑。</blockquote></p><p>But other analysts have also hopped on the bullish bandwagon recently. Morgan Stanley upped its price target to $200 per share in November, while the JPMorgan research team saw Apple stock heading to $3.5 trillion in market cap over the next 12 months.</p><p><blockquote>但其他分析师最近也加入了看涨行列。摩根士丹利在 11 月份将目标价上调至每股 200 美元，而摩根大通研究团队则预计苹果股票在未来 12 个月内市值将达到 3.5 万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>One of the most vocal optimists came from the buy side. Loup’s Gene Munster thought that his previous price target had quickly become stale, and that $250 per share now seemed more reasonable. In his opinion, the multi-year opportunity in the metaverse will gain investor appreciation in the new year, which should reignite momentum that the stock had lost in the last few weeks of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>最直言不讳的乐观主义者之一来自买方。Loup 的吉恩-明斯特（Gene Munster）认为，他之前的目标价很快就过时了，现在每股 250 美元似乎更合理。他认为，元宇宙的多年机会将在新的一年获得投资者的赞赏，这应该会重新点燃该股在2021年最后几周失去的势头。</blockquote></p><p><b>AAPL: the bear case</b></p><p><blockquote><b>AAPL：熊案</b></blockquote></p><p>Despite the upbeat expectations described above, mostly supported by company-specific factors, the market rolled into 2022 with its guard up. The boogieman of the moment seems to be the Federal Reserve’s anticipated reaction to near-full employment and sticky inflation, which should lead to higher interest rates in the next several months.</p><p><blockquote>尽管上述乐观预期主要受到公司特定因素的支持，但市场进入 2022 年仍保持警惕。目前的祸根似乎是美联储对接近充分就业和粘性通胀的预期反应，这将导致未来几个月利率上升。</blockquote></p><p>I have recently explained how tighter money supply can spell trouble for stocks that trade for relatively high multiples. While AAPL is no Tesla or Rivian, the stock’s forward P/E of nearly 30 times and only modest earnings growth expectations could be a drag for share price in 2022, as investors look for better deals in value and cyclical stocks.</p><p><blockquote>我最近解释了货币供应收紧如何给市盈率相对较高的股票带来麻烦。虽然 AAPL 不是特斯拉或Rivian，但该股近 30 倍的远期市盈率和温和的盈利增长预期可能会拖累 2022 年的股价，因为投资者正在寻找价值股和周期性股票的更好交易。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Apple Maven’s take</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果专家的看法</b></blockquote></p><p>I continue to think that Apple is a great stock to buy and hold for the long term. Under the leadership of a CEO (and former COO) that is driven by operational excellence, the company seems to be in very good hands. Better yet, demand for Apple’s products and services, as well as consumer appreciation for the brand, seem to be at or near an all-time high.</p><p><blockquote>我仍然认为苹果是一只值得长期购买和持有的好股票。在以卓越运营为动力的首席执行官（兼前首席运营官）的领导下，公司似乎得到了很好的管理。更好的是，对苹果产品和服务的需求以及消费者对该品牌的欣赏似乎处于或接近历史最高水平。</blockquote></p><p>That said, the setup for the first few weeks or months of 2022 looks challenging to me. Apple stock climbed relentlessly in 2020, and then again last year. Aided by a spike in pandemic-driven demand for tech devices and lavish liquidity in the system, AAPL recorded one of its best three years of returns ever between 2019 and 2021.</p><p><blockquote>也就是说，2022 年头几周或几个月的设置对我来说很有挑战性。苹果股价在 2020 年持续攀升，去年又再次攀升。得益于疫情推动的技术设备需求激增以及系统中充足的流动性，苹果公司在 2019 年至 2021 年间创下了有史以来最好的三年回报之一。</blockquote></p><p>As much as the metaverse and autonomous vehicles can and likely will support the company’s financial results over the next many years, I think that AAPL stock is overdue for a breather. While shares will likely climb back above $3 trillion and head much higher from there eventually, I am not so confident that this rally will happen in the immediate future.</p><p><blockquote>尽管元宇宙和自动驾驶汽车能够并可能在未来许多年为公司的财务业绩提供支持，但我认为苹果公司的股票早该喘口气了。虽然股价可能会回升至 3 万亿美元以上，并最终从那里走得更高，但我对这种反弹会在不久的将来发生并不那么有信心。</blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/stock/can-apple-stock-reclaim-3-trillion-and-thrive-in-2022\">TheStreet</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/stock/can-apple-stock-reclaim-3-trillion-and-thrive-in-2022","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1198290127","content_text":"A market cap of $3 trillion has, so far, proven to be a ceiling that Apple stock does not seem ready to break through yet. Can shares reclaim the milestone soon and head higher in 2022?Recently, Apple stock flirted with $3 trillion in market cap, but quickly dipped below $2.9 trillion — as the broad market reacted to monetary tightening that should now happen more rapidly than previously expected.Can shares of the Cupertino company finally find its way north in 2022 and meet the expectations of so many bulls on Wall Street? Or will bearishness take over during a year of rising interest rates and lingering inflation?Figure 1: Apple Park in Cupertino, CA.AAPL: the bull caseAs Apple stock climbed viciously between late November and early December, many Wall Street experts piled on in support of “AAPL $3T”. Wedbush’s Dan Ives, for example, has been talking about the market cap milestone since our conversation in Q3 of last year, at least.But other analysts have also hopped on the bullish bandwagon recently. Morgan Stanley upped its price target to $200 per share in November, while the JPMorgan research team saw Apple stock heading to $3.5 trillion in market cap over the next 12 months.One of the most vocal optimists came from the buy side. Loup’s Gene Munster thought that his previous price target had quickly become stale, and that $250 per share now seemed more reasonable. In his opinion, the multi-year opportunity in the metaverse will gain investor appreciation in the new year, which should reignite momentum that the stock had lost in the last few weeks of 2021.AAPL: the bear caseDespite the upbeat expectations described above, mostly supported by company-specific factors, the market rolled into 2022 with its guard up. The boogieman of the moment seems to be the Federal Reserve’s anticipated reaction to near-full employment and sticky inflation, which should lead to higher interest rates in the next several months.I have recently explained how tighter money supply can spell trouble for stocks that trade for relatively high multiples. While AAPL is no Tesla or Rivian, the stock’s forward P/E of nearly 30 times and only modest earnings growth expectations could be a drag for share price in 2022, as investors look for better deals in value and cyclical stocks.The Apple Maven’s takeI continue to think that Apple is a great stock to buy and hold for the long term. Under the leadership of a CEO (and former COO) that is driven by operational excellence, the company seems to be in very good hands. Better yet, demand for Apple’s products and services, as well as consumer appreciation for the brand, seem to be at or near an all-time high.That said, the setup for the first few weeks or months of 2022 looks challenging to me. Apple stock climbed relentlessly in 2020, and then again last year. Aided by a spike in pandemic-driven demand for tech devices and lavish liquidity in the system, AAPL recorded one of its best three years of returns ever between 2019 and 2021.As much as the metaverse and autonomous vehicles can and likely will support the company’s financial results over the next many years, I think that AAPL stock is overdue for a breather. While shares will likely climb back above $3 trillion and head much higher from there eventually, I am not so confident that this rally will happen in the immediate future.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1277,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"CN","currentLanguage":"CN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":9,"subscribersOnly":false,"subscribersOnlyAccessible":false,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ZH_CN"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/694190516"}
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