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2022-01-13

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Fed’s Harker Sees Liftoff in March, Three or Four Hikes in 2022<blockquote>美联储哈克预计3月份加息，2022年加息三到四次</blockquote>

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But again, we have to look at the data.”<blockquote>“我预计今年将加息三次25个基点，”他补充道。“如果通胀没有得到控制，我可能会相信第四个。但同样，我们必须看看数据。”</blockquote>Harker, acting as the alternate this year for the Boston Fed which is currently without a president, is expected to vote in its place on the policy-setting Federal Open Market Committee until that seat has been filled.<blockquote>哈克今年担任波士顿联储的候补成员，目前波士顿联储没有主席，预计他将在制定政策的联邦公开市场委员会中代替他投票，直到该席位被填补。</blockquote>Harker said he sees the Fed starting to shrink its balance sheet in “in late 2022 or early 2023” after the central bank has raised its target rate sufficiently, to around 1% from near zero. He said he favored moving to a balance sheet concentrated in shorter-duration Treasuries, with Treasury-heavy or Treasury-only composition over time.<blockquote>哈克表示，他预计美联储将在“2022年底或2023年初”开始缩减资产负债表，此前美联储已将目标利率从接近零的水平上调至1%左右。他表示，他倾向于将资产负债表转向集中于短期国债，随着时间的推移，资产负债表将以国债为主或仅以国债为主。</blockquote>While the U.S. economy has lost jobs since the start of the Covid-19 pandemic, that represents a supply issue, he said. Demand for employees is very strong and the Fed has met its target of maximum employment, Harker said in his prepared remarks. Meanwhile, inflation has surged much higher, which raises the concern that inflation expectations could become unanchored, he said.<blockquote>他说，虽然自Covid-19大流行开始以来，美国经济已经失去了就业机会，但这代表了一个供应问题。哈克在准备好的讲话中表示，对员工的需求非常强劲，美联储已经实现了最大就业目标。他表示，与此同时，通胀飙升得更高，这引发了人们对通胀预期可能变得不稳定的担忧。</blockquote>The U.S. economy is likely to grow 3-4% this year, with the first quarter hurt by the omicron variant, Harker said.<blockquote>哈克表示，美国经济今年可能增长3-4%，第一季度受到奥密克戎变体的影响。</blockquote>“So many people are becoming infected simultaneously that businesses can’t staff themselves,” he said. “Airlines are canceling flights, restaurants are shuttering their kitchens, and big-box retail locations are closing down temporarily.”<blockquote>“如此多的人同时被感染，以至于企业无法为自己配备员工，”他说。“航空公司正在取消航班，餐馆正在关闭厨房，大型零售店也暂时关闭。”</blockquote></body></html><blockquote></blockquote>","source":"lsy1612507957220","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Fed’s Harker Sees Liftoff in March, Three or Four Hikes in 2022<blockquote>美联储哈克预计3月份加息，2022年加息三到四次</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFed’s Harker Sees Liftoff in March, Three or Four Hikes in 2022<blockquote>美联储哈克预计3月份加息，2022年加息三到四次</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\nBloomberg2022-01-13 22:22\n\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body>(Bloomberg) -- Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia President Patrick Harker joined the widespread calls by his policy-making colleagues for higher interest rates this year, saying he favors a March liftoff and three or four hikes for the 2022.<blockquote><html><head></head><body>（彭博社）——费城联邦储备银行行长帕特里克·哈克（Patrick Harker）加入了其政策制定同事对今年加息的广泛评级，称他赞成3月份加息，并在2022年加息三到四次。</body></html></blockquote>“The inescapable logical conclusion of this situation -- inflation higher than we want and a very robust jobs market -- is to tighten monetary policy,” Harker said Thursday to a virtual event hosted by the Philadelphia Business Journal.<blockquote>哈克周四在《费城商业杂志》主办的虚拟活动中表示：“这种情况不可避免的逻辑结论——通胀高于我们的预期和非常强劲的就业市场——是收紧货币政策。”</blockquote>Harker joins a large group of Fed officials -- led by St. Louis Fed President James Bullard and including one-time doves such as San Francisco leader Mary Daly -- in urging a near-term rate hike following the tapering of asset purchases, which is scheduled to end in March.<blockquote>哈克加入了以圣路易斯联储主席詹姆斯·布拉德为首的一大群美联储官员的行列，其中包括旧金山联储领导人玛丽·戴利等曾经的鸽派人士，敦促在缩减资产购买后近期加息。计划于三月结束。</blockquote>“My forecast is that we would have a 25 basis-point increase in March, barring any changes in the data,” Harker said in response to audience questions. “If I were to make that decision today given what I know today, I would be for that.”<blockquote>哈克在回答观众提问时表示：“我的预测是，除非数据发生任何变化，否则3月份加息25个基点。”“如果我今天根据我今天所知道的做出这个决定，我会支持。”</blockquote>“I have three 25 basis-point increases penciled in for this year,” he added. “I could be convinced of a fourth if inflation is not getting under control. But again, we have to look at the data.”<blockquote>“我预计今年将加息三次25个基点，”他补充道。“如果通胀没有得到控制，我可能会相信第四个。但同样，我们必须看看数据。”</blockquote>Harker, acting as the alternate this year for the Boston Fed which is currently without a president, is expected to vote in its place on the policy-setting Federal Open Market Committee until that seat has been filled.<blockquote>哈克今年担任波士顿联储的候补成员，目前波士顿联储没有主席，预计他将在制定政策的联邦公开市场委员会中代替他投票，直到该席位被填补。</blockquote>Harker said he sees the Fed starting to shrink its balance sheet in “in late 2022 or early 2023” after the central bank has raised its target rate sufficiently, to around 1% from near zero. He said he favored moving to a balance sheet concentrated in shorter-duration Treasuries, with Treasury-heavy or Treasury-only composition over time.<blockquote>哈克表示，他预计美联储将在“2022年底或2023年初”开始缩减资产负债表，此前美联储已将目标利率从接近零的水平上调至1%左右。他表示，他倾向于将资产负债表转向集中于短期国债，随着时间的推移，资产负债表将以国债为主或仅以国债为主。</blockquote>While the U.S. economy has lost jobs since the start of the Covid-19 pandemic, that represents a supply issue, he said. Demand for employees is very strong and the Fed has met its target of maximum employment, Harker said in his prepared remarks. Meanwhile, inflation has surged much higher, which raises the concern that inflation expectations could become unanchored, he said.<blockquote>他说，虽然自Covid-19大流行开始以来，美国经济已经失去了就业机会，但这代表了一个供应问题。哈克在准备好的讲话中表示，对员工的需求非常强劲，美联储已经实现了最大就业目标。他表示，与此同时，通胀飙升得更高，这引发了人们对通胀预期可能变得不稳定的担忧。</blockquote>The U.S. economy is likely to grow 3-4% this year, with the first quarter hurt by the omicron variant, Harker said.<blockquote>哈克表示，美国经济今年可能增长3-4%，第一季度受到奥密克戎变体的影响。</blockquote>“So many people are becoming infected simultaneously that businesses can’t staff themselves,” he said. “Airlines are canceling flights, restaurants are shuttering their kitchens, and big-box retail locations are closing down temporarily.”<blockquote>“如此多的人同时被感染，以至于企业无法为自己配备员工，”他说。“航空公司正在取消航班，餐馆正在关闭厨房，大型零售店也暂时关闭。”</blockquote></body></html><blockquote></blockquote>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/fed-harker-sees-liftoff-march-141136127.html\">Bloomberg</a>\n为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/fed-harker-sees-liftoff-march-141136127.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1124422025","content_text":"(Bloomberg) -- Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia President Patrick Harker joined the widespread calls by his policy-making colleagues for higher interest rates this year, saying he favors a March liftoff and three or four hikes for the 2022.“The inescapable logical conclusion of this situation -- inflation higher than we want and a very robust jobs market -- is to tighten monetary policy,” Harker said Thursday to a virtual event hosted by the Philadelphia Business Journal.Harker joins a large group of Fed officials -- led by St. Louis Fed President James Bullard and including one-time doves such as San Francisco leader Mary Daly -- in urging a near-term rate hike following the tapering of asset purchases, which is scheduled to end in March.“My forecast is that we would have a 25 basis-point increase in March, barring any changes in the data,” Harker said in response to audience questions. “If I were to make that decision today given what I know today, I would be for that.”“I have three 25 basis-point increases penciled in for this year,” he added. “I could be convinced of a fourth if inflation is not getting under control. But again, we have to look at the data.”Harker, acting as the alternate this year for the Boston Fed which is currently without a president, is expected to vote in its place on the policy-setting Federal Open Market Committee until that seat has been filled.Harker said he sees the Fed starting to shrink its balance sheet in “in late 2022 or early 2023” after the central bank has raised its target rate sufficiently, to around 1% from near zero. He said he favored moving to a balance sheet concentrated in shorter-duration Treasuries, with Treasury-heavy or Treasury-only composition over time.While the U.S. economy has lost jobs since the start of the Covid-19 pandemic, that represents a supply issue, he said. Demand for employees is very strong and the Fed has met its target of maximum employment, Harker said in his prepared remarks. Meanwhile, inflation has surged much higher, which raises the concern that inflation expectations could become unanchored, he said.The U.S. economy is likely to grow 3-4% this year, with the first quarter hurt by the omicron variant, Harker said.“So many people are becoming infected simultaneously that businesses can’t staff themselves,” he said. “Airlines are canceling flights, restaurants are shuttering their kitchens, and big-box retail locations are closing down temporarily.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":911,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"CN","currentLanguage":"CN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":11,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ZH_CN"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/694441396"}