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{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"detailType":1,"isChannel":false,"data":{"magic":2,"id":696343599,"tweetId":"696343599","gmtCreate":1640630414794,"gmtModify":1640630414893,"author":{"id":4101693532426560,"idStr":"4101693532426560","authorId":4101693532426560,"authorIdStr":"4101693532426560","name":"earthy","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2d4580f67ba31b0504ee8d4325d0385d","vip":1,"userType":1,"introduction":"","boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[],"fanSize":2,"starInvestorFlag":false},"themes":[],"images":[],"coverImages":[],"extraTitle":"","html":"<html><head></head><body>Like&nbsp;</body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body>Like&nbsp;</body></html>","text":"Like","highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/696343599","repostId":1151032995,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1151032995","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640617060,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1151032995?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-27 22:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple Stock: What Happens After The Santa Claus Rally?<blockquote>苹果股票：圣诞老人集会后会发生什么？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1151032995","media":"TheStreet","summary":"Apple investors have reasons to be more excited about what comes next. Here is what the data suggests might happen to AAPL share price in the next two weeks.Santa Claus almost skipped Wall Street this year. The S&P 500 dipped 3.5% between December 15 and 20, putting into question the year-end rally that some expected to see. But quickly, bullishness came flooding back, as the index jumped 4% in only three days.Figure 1: Apple's Watch, iPhone and iPad in a Christmas theme.If the “Santa Claus rall","content":"Santa Claus rally? Apple investors have reasons to be more excited about what comes next. Here is what the data suggests might happen to AAPL share price in the next two weeks.<blockquote>圣诞老人集会？苹果投资者有理由对接下来发生的事情更加兴奋。以下是数据表明未来两周AAPL股价可能发生的情况。</blockquote> Santa Claus almost skipped Wall Street this year. The S&amp;P 500&nbsp;dipped 3.5% between December 15 and 20, putting into question the year-end rally that some expected to see. But quickly, bullishness came flooding back, as the index jumped 4% in only three days.<blockquote>圣诞老人今年几乎跳过了华尔街。标普500在12月15日至20日期间下跌了3.5%，这让一些人预期的年底反弹受到质疑。但很快，看涨情绪又卷土重来，该指数在短短三天内上涨了4%。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f29dc35b16bd6dea058ab34fcedeaffc\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"784\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Figure 1: Apple's Watch, iPhone and iPad in a Christmas theme.<blockquote>图1：圣诞主题中的苹果手表、iPhone和iPad。</blockquote> If the “Santa Claus rally” is real, what happens after the Christmas holiday is over? And more importantly for the Apple Maven: which way will Apple stock&nbsp;head next?<blockquote>如果“圣诞老人集会”是真的，那么圣诞假期结束后会发生什么？对于苹果专家来说更重要的是：苹果股票下一步将走向何方？</blockquote> Is Santa Claus real?<blockquote>圣诞老人是真的吗？</blockquote> The first question to ask is whether the Santa Claus rally is even evident in the data, or simply a myth. Do stocks really tend to spike ahead of December 24?<blockquote>首先要问的问题是，圣诞老人集会在数据中是否很明显，或者只是一个神话。股市真的会在12月24日之前飙升吗？</blockquote> There are a few different ways to approach this one. I looked first at the S&amp;P 500’s performance over any two-week period since the early 1990s. Then, I compared my findings against the market returns in the two weeks that precede the Christmas break.<blockquote>有几种不同的方法来解决这个问题。我首先查看了自20世纪90年代初以来标普500在任何两周内的表现。然后，我将我的发现与圣诞假期前两周的市场回报进行了比较。</blockquote> It turns out that yes, the S&amp;P 500 has historically performed better during the pre-holiday period — but only minimally: average two week return of +0.54% vs. the year-round average of +0.45%. If an extra 9 basis points of performance in two weeks seems exciting enough to you, then sure, Santa Claus has been good to Wall Street.<blockquote>事实证明，是的，标普500在节前期间的表现历来更好，但只是最低限度：两周平均回报率为+0.54%，而全年平均回报率为+0.45%。如果两周内额外9个基点的表现对您来说足够令人兴奋，那么当然，圣诞老人对华尔街来说一直很好。</blockquote> The same thing can not be said of Apple stock and its investors. For the past three decades or so, AAPL has produced outstanding average two-week returns of +1.22%. However, in the two weeks preceding Santa’s arrival, returns have been dismal: an average loss of -1.33%.<blockquote>苹果股票及其投资者就不一样了。在过去三十年左右的时间里，AAPL的平均两周回报率为+1.22%。然而，在圣诞老人到来前的两周，回报却惨淡：平均损失-1.33%。</blockquote> This observation is consistent with the idea that&nbsp;the holiday period tends to be seasonally weak for Apple shares. December has only been the ninth best month of performance for Apple stock in the year since the launch of the iPhone, in 2007.<blockquote>这一观察与假期期间苹果股票往往季节性疲软的观点是一致的。自2007年iPhone推出以来，12月只是苹果股票今年表现第九好的月份。</blockquote> The most likely rationale: investors probably buy into AAPL before the big catalysts, namely the launch of the newest iPhone model in September and Black Friday. During the holiday shopping weeks, investors “sell the news” and shed some of their AAPL holdings.<blockquote>最有可能的理由：投资者可能会在重大催化剂（即9月份推出最新iPhone型号和黑色星期五）之前买入AAPL。在假日购物周期间，投资者“抛售消息”并抛售部分苹果公司持股。</blockquote> What next for AAPL?<blockquote>AAPL的下一步是什么？</blockquote> If Apple investors feel left out of Santa’s list, they should be more excited about what comes next. Since the early 1990s, Apple stock has produced an average gain of +4.83% in the two weeks following Christmas, which is well above average. This is probably a rebound effect from the traditionally dull, pre-Santa performance. See chart below.<blockquote>如果苹果投资者觉得自己被排除在圣诞老人的名单之外，他们应该对接下来发生的事情更加兴奋。自20世纪90年代初以来，苹果股票在圣诞节后两周内的平均涨幅为+4.83%，远高于平均水平。这可能是传统上沉闷的圣诞老人前表演的反弹效应。见下图。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/27bca749b86e2d2be63accff7a531f64\" tg-width=\"893\" tg-height=\"456\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Figure 2: Pre-Santa and Post-Santa two week Returns in AAPL and SPY.<blockquote>图2：AAPL和SPDR标普500指数ETF的圣诞老人前和圣诞老人后两周回报率。</blockquote> Something similar happens to the S&amp;P 500, although not to the same extent: the average post-Christmas gains of 0.80% tend to be better than those produced by the Santa rally.<blockquote>类似的情况也发生在标普500上，尽管程度不同：圣诞节后0.80%的平均涨幅往往好于圣诞老人反弹产生的涨幅。</blockquote> In the next few trading days, will Apple stock and the broad market perform as well as they have in prior years? We will keep monitoring price action through the year-end holiday to find out.<blockquote>未来几个交易日，苹果股票和大盘的表现会像往年一样好吗？我们将在年底假期期间继续监测价格走势以找出答案。</blockquote>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Stock: What Happens After The Santa Claus Rally?<blockquote>苹果股票：圣诞老人集会后会发生什么？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Stock: What Happens After The Santa Claus Rally?<blockquote>苹果股票：圣诞老人集会后会发生什么？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\nTheStreet2021-12-27 22:57\n\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\nSanta Claus rally? Apple investors have reasons to be more excited about what comes next. Here is what the data suggests might happen to AAPL share price in the next two weeks.<blockquote>圣诞老人集会？苹果投资者有理由对接下来发生的事情更加兴奋。以下是数据表明未来两周AAPL股价可能发生的情况。</blockquote> Santa Claus almost skipped Wall Street this year. The S&amp;P 500&nbsp;dipped 3.5% between December 15 and 20, putting into question the year-end rally that some expected to see. But quickly, bullishness came flooding back, as the index jumped 4% in only three days.<blockquote>圣诞老人今年几乎跳过了华尔街。标普500在12月15日至20日期间下跌了3.5%，这让一些人预期的年底反弹受到质疑。但很快，看涨情绪又卷土重来，该指数在短短三天内上涨了4%。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f29dc35b16bd6dea058ab34fcedeaffc\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"784\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Figure 1: Apple's Watch, iPhone and iPad in a Christmas theme.<blockquote>图1：圣诞主题中的苹果手表、iPhone和iPad。</blockquote> If the “Santa Claus rally” is real, what happens after the Christmas holiday is over? And more importantly for the Apple Maven: which way will Apple stock&nbsp;head next?<blockquote>如果“圣诞老人集会”是真的，那么圣诞假期结束后会发生什么？对于苹果专家来说更重要的是：苹果股票下一步将走向何方？</blockquote> Is Santa Claus real?<blockquote>圣诞老人是真的吗？</blockquote> The first question to ask is whether the Santa Claus rally is even evident in the data, or simply a myth. Do stocks really tend to spike ahead of December 24?<blockquote>首先要问的问题是，圣诞老人集会在数据中是否很明显，或者只是一个神话。股市真的会在12月24日之前飙升吗？</blockquote> There are a few different ways to approach this one. I looked first at the S&amp;P 500’s performance over any two-week period since the early 1990s. Then, I compared my findings against the market returns in the two weeks that precede the Christmas break.<blockquote>有几种不同的方法来解决这个问题。我首先查看了自20世纪90年代初以来标普500在任何两周内的表现。然后，我将我的发现与圣诞假期前两周的市场回报进行了比较。</blockquote> It turns out that yes, the S&amp;P 500 has historically performed better during the pre-holiday period — but only minimally: average two week return of +0.54% vs. the year-round average of +0.45%. If an extra 9 basis points of performance in two weeks seems exciting enough to you, then sure, Santa Claus has been good to Wall Street.<blockquote>事实证明，是的，标普500在节前期间的表现历来更好，但只是最低限度：两周平均回报率为+0.54%，而全年平均回报率为+0.45%。如果两周内额外9个基点的表现对您来说足够令人兴奋，那么当然，圣诞老人对华尔街来说一直很好。</blockquote> The same thing can not be said of Apple stock and its investors. For the past three decades or so, AAPL has produced outstanding average two-week returns of +1.22%. However, in the two weeks preceding Santa’s arrival, returns have been dismal: an average loss of -1.33%.<blockquote>苹果股票及其投资者就不一样了。在过去三十年左右的时间里，AAPL的平均两周回报率为+1.22%。然而，在圣诞老人到来前的两周，回报却惨淡：平均损失-1.33%。</blockquote> This observation is consistent with the idea that&nbsp;the holiday period tends to be seasonally weak for Apple shares. December has only been the ninth best month of performance for Apple stock in the year since the launch of the iPhone, in 2007.<blockquote>这一观察与假期期间苹果股票往往季节性疲软的观点是一致的。自2007年iPhone推出以来，12月只是苹果股票今年表现第九好的月份。</blockquote> The most likely rationale: investors probably buy into AAPL before the big catalysts, namely the launch of the newest iPhone model in September and Black Friday. During the holiday shopping weeks, investors “sell the news” and shed some of their AAPL holdings.<blockquote>最有可能的理由：投资者可能会在重大催化剂（即9月份推出最新iPhone型号和黑色星期五）之前买入AAPL。在假日购物周期间，投资者“抛售消息”并抛售部分苹果公司持股。</blockquote> What next for AAPL?<blockquote>AAPL的下一步是什么？</blockquote> If Apple investors feel left out of Santa’s list, they should be more excited about what comes next. Since the early 1990s, Apple stock has produced an average gain of +4.83% in the two weeks following Christmas, which is well above average. This is probably a rebound effect from the traditionally dull, pre-Santa performance. See chart below.<blockquote>如果苹果投资者觉得自己被排除在圣诞老人的名单之外，他们应该对接下来发生的事情更加兴奋。自20世纪90年代初以来，苹果股票在圣诞节后两周内的平均涨幅为+4.83%，远高于平均水平。这可能是传统上沉闷的圣诞老人前表演的反弹效应。见下图。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/27bca749b86e2d2be63accff7a531f64\" tg-width=\"893\" tg-height=\"456\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Figure 2: Pre-Santa and Post-Santa two week Returns in AAPL and SPY.<blockquote>图2：AAPL和SPDR标普500指数ETF的圣诞老人前和圣诞老人后两周回报率。</blockquote> Something similar happens to the S&amp;P 500, although not to the same extent: the average post-Christmas gains of 0.80% tend to be better than those produced by the Santa rally.<blockquote>类似的情况也发生在标普500上，尽管程度不同：圣诞节后0.80%的平均涨幅往往好于圣诞老人反弹产生的涨幅。</blockquote> In the next few trading days, will Apple stock and the broad market perform as well as they have in prior years? We will keep monitoring price action through the year-end holiday to find out.<blockquote>未来几个交易日，苹果股票和大盘的表现会像往年一样好吗？我们将在年底假期期间继续监测价格走势以找出答案。</blockquote>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n 来源：<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/news/apple-stock-what-happens-after-the-santa-claus-rally\">TheStreet</a>\n为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/news/apple-stock-what-happens-after-the-santa-claus-rally","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1151032995","content_text":"Santa Claus rally? Apple investors have reasons to be more excited about what comes next. Here is what the data suggests might happen to AAPL share price in the next two weeks.\nSanta Claus almost skipped Wall Street this year. The S&P 500 dipped 3.5% between December 15 and 20, putting into question the year-end rally that some expected to see. But quickly, bullishness came flooding back, as the index jumped 4% in only three days.\nFigure 1: Apple's Watch, iPhone and iPad in a Christmas theme.\nIf the “Santa Claus rally” is real, what happens after the Christmas holiday is over? And more importantly for the Apple Maven: which way will Apple stock head next?\nIs Santa Claus real?\nThe first question to ask is whether the Santa Claus rally is even evident in the data, or simply a myth. Do stocks really tend to spike ahead of December 24?\nThere are a few different ways to approach this one. I looked first at the S&P 500’s performance over any two-week period since the early 1990s. Then, I compared my findings against the market returns in the two weeks that precede the Christmas break.\nIt turns out that yes, the S&P 500 has historically performed better during the pre-holiday period — but only minimally: average two week return of +0.54% vs. the year-round average of +0.45%. If an extra 9 basis points of performance in two weeks seems exciting enough to you, then sure, Santa Claus has been good to Wall Street.\nThe same thing can not be said of Apple stock and its investors. For the past three decades or so, AAPL has produced outstanding average two-week returns of +1.22%. However, in the two weeks preceding Santa’s arrival, returns have been dismal: an average loss of -1.33%.\nThis observation is consistent with the idea that the holiday period tends to be seasonally weak for Apple shares. December has only been the ninth best month of performance for Apple stock in the year since the launch of the iPhone, in 2007.\nThe most likely rationale: investors probably buy into AAPL before the big catalysts, namely the launch of the newest iPhone model in September and Black Friday. During the holiday shopping weeks, investors “sell the news” and shed some of their AAPL holdings.\nWhat next for AAPL?\nIf Apple investors feel left out of Santa’s list, they should be more excited about what comes next. Since the early 1990s, Apple stock has produced an average gain of +4.83% in the two weeks following Christmas, which is well above average. This is probably a rebound effect from the traditionally dull, pre-Santa performance. See chart below.\nFigure 2: Pre-Santa and Post-Santa two week Returns in AAPL and SPY.\nSomething similar happens to the S&P 500, although not to the same extent: the average post-Christmas gains of 0.80% tend to be better than those produced by the Santa rally.\nIn the next few trading days, will Apple stock and the broad market perform as well as they have in prior years? We will keep monitoring price action through the year-end holiday to find out.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2283,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"CN","currentLanguage":"CN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":4,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ZH_CN"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/696343599"}