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2021-12-17

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Over 25% Of Nio Option Flows Are Expiring Friday: Will It Bounce?<blockquote>超过 25% 的蔚来期权流量将于周五到期：它会反弹吗？</blockquote>

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{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"detailType":1,"isChannel":false,"data":{"magic":2,"id":699303714,"tweetId":"699303714","gmtCreate":1639745249967,"gmtModify":1639745250198,"author":{"id":3581507312795318,"idStr":"3581507312795318","authorId":3581507312795318,"authorIdStr":"3581507312795318","name":"Ken3888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/493a96d6ecc5aa191181e04cc37afca5","vip":1,"userType":1,"introduction":"","boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[],"wearingBadges":[],"fanSize":21,"starInvestorFlag":false},"themes":[],"images":[],"coverImages":[],"title":"","extraTitle":"","html":"<html><head></head><body>No eyes to see</body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body>No eyes to see</body></html>","text":"No eyes to see","highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/699303714","repostId":1127951705,"repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1127951705","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga Earnings","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1639527737,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1127951705?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-15 08:22","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Over 25% Of Nio Option Flows Are Expiring Friday: Will It Bounce?<blockquote>超过 25% 的蔚来期权流量将于周五到期：它会反弹吗？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1127951705","media":"Benzinga Earnings","summary":"What Happened:Shares of NIO Inc lost 4% Tuesday as many U.S. and Asian stocks fell due to omicron CO","content":"What Happened:Shares of&nbsp;NIO Inc&nbsp;lost 4% Tuesday&nbsp;as many U.S. and Asian stocks fell due to omicron COVID-19 variant concerns.<blockquote>发生了什么：股份蔚来公司由于对奥密克戎 COVID-19 变种的担忧，许多美国和亚洲股票下跌，周二下跌 4%。</blockquote> The stock is approaching a major support level around $30 that has held since October of 2020.&nbsp;Looking at the option flows on the day, there are over 148,000 calls and 71,000 puts, so two out of every three&nbsp;options&nbsp;on the day are calls (image below).<blockquote>该股正在接近30美元左右的主要支撑位，该支撑位自2020年10月以来一直保持。从当天的期权流动来看，有超过148,000份评级和71,000份看跌期权，因此当天每三个期权中有两个是评级（下图）。</blockquote> Prior to Tuesday's trading, there were approximately 1.8 million calls and 1.6 million puts in NIO for a total of 3.48 million options.<blockquote>周二交易前，蔚来约有180万份评级和160万份看跌期权，总计348万份期权。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1829707a572d0f5331bc22fb8bb77d2e\" tg-width=\"1023\" tg-height=\"279\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><blockquote></blockquote> This means that the option flows for Tuesday&nbsp;represent about 7% of the total options, which is solid considering the FOMC meeting on Wednesday, Dec. 15 is putting a damper on flows.<blockquote>这意味着周二的期权流量约占期权总量的 7%，考虑到 12 月 15 日星期三的 FOMC 会议正在抑制流量，这一比例是可靠的。</blockquote> Why It Matters:Generally traders do not make aggressive bets ahead of a&nbsp;FOMC, meeting, especially the last one of the year, which could set the tone for trading in 2022.<blockquote>为什么重要：一般来说，交易员不会在联邦公开市场委员会会议之前进行激进押注，尤其是今年的最后一次会议，这可能会为 2022 年的交易定下基调。</blockquote> Of the approximately 219,000 options traded today, only about 60,000 of them are short dated (expiring Friday, Dec. 17), which means the majority of flows are forward looking beyond the FOMC and monthly op-ex.<blockquote>在今天交易的约 219,000 份期权中，只有约 60,000 份是短期期权（将于 12 月 17 日星期五到期），这意味着大多数流量都是前瞻性的，超出了 FOMC 和每月 op-ex。</blockquote> The next largest option expiry by volume is the Jan.&nbsp;21 op-ex, which means a strong amount of traders are taking bullish bets on Nio&nbsp;into next year.<blockquote>按交易量计算，下一个最大的期权到期日是 1 月 21 日的期权到期日，这意味着大量交易者正在对明年的蔚来进行看涨押注。</blockquote> What's Next:Looking at the option chain for the Jan. 21 expiry next year, the largest strikes by volume are concentrated between the $35 and $40 strikes (image below).<blockquote>下一步：纵观明年 1 月 21 日到期的期权链，成交量最大的行权集中在 35 美元至 40 美元之间（下图）。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/747fa367be175f2627d9a91fd7542fac\" tg-width=\"1117\" tg-height=\"399\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><blockquote></blockquote> Meanwhile, the largest strikes by open interest are the $40 and $45 strikes, which shows a fair amount of interest for a bounce off support and a move back up into the $40s.<blockquote>与此同时，未平仓合约中最大的打击是 40 美元和 45 美元的打击，这表明人们对反弹支撑位并回升至 40 美元左右有相当大的兴趣。</blockquote> It should be noted the option market is currently pricing in a 14% probability NIO closes at or above $40 by the January op-ex next year, so it's currently a lower probability event.<blockquote>需要注意的是，期权市场目前定价的概率为 14%，到明年 1 月份交易前，蔚来收盘价为 40 美元或以上，因此目前这是一个概率较低的事件。</blockquote> But if the $30 level can hold for this week&nbsp;and there is no hawkishness out of the Fed for the FOMC on Dec. 15, then equities might get a Christmas rally to end the year, as the bearish pressure leading into the FOMC could subside.<blockquote>但如果 30 美元的水平能够维持本周，并且美联储在 12 月 15 日没有对 FOMC 采取强硬立场，那么股市可能会在年底出现圣诞节反弹，因为导致 FOMC 的看跌压力可能会消退。</blockquote> On the other hand, if the stock closes below the $30 level on a weekly closing basis, then the next support does not come in until&nbsp;around $25.<blockquote>另一方面，如果该股每周收盘价低于 30 美元水平，那么下一个支撑位要到 25 美元左右才会出现。</blockquote>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" 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50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nOver 25% Of Nio Option Flows Are Expiring Friday: Will It Bounce?<blockquote>超过 25% 的蔚来期权流量将于周五到期：它会反弹吗？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\nBenzinga Earnings \n2021-12-15 08:22\n</div>\n</div>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\nWhat Happened:Shares of&nbsp;NIO Inc&nbsp;lost 4% Tuesday&nbsp;as many U.S. and Asian stocks fell due to omicron COVID-19 variant concerns.<blockquote>发生了什么：股份蔚来公司由于对奥密克戎 COVID-19 变种的担忧，许多美国和亚洲股票下跌，周二下跌 4%。</blockquote> The stock is approaching a major support level around $30 that has held since October of 2020.&nbsp;Looking at the option flows on the day, there are over 148,000 calls and 71,000 puts, so two out of every three&nbsp;options&nbsp;on the day are calls (image below).<blockquote>该股正在接近30美元左右的主要支撑位，该支撑位自2020年10月以来一直保持。从当天的期权流动来看，有超过148,000份评级和71,000份看跌期权，因此当天每三个期权中有两个是评级（下图）。</blockquote> Prior to Tuesday's trading, there were approximately 1.8 million calls and 1.6 million puts in NIO for a total of 3.48 million options.<blockquote>周二交易前，蔚来约有180万份评级和160万份看跌期权，总计348万份期权。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1829707a572d0f5331bc22fb8bb77d2e\" tg-width=\"1023\" tg-height=\"279\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><blockquote></blockquote> This means that the option flows for Tuesday&nbsp;represent about 7% of the total options, which is solid considering the FOMC meeting on Wednesday, Dec. 15 is putting a damper on flows.<blockquote>这意味着周二的期权流量约占期权总量的 7%，考虑到 12 月 15 日星期三的 FOMC 会议正在抑制流量，这一比例是可靠的。</blockquote> Why It Matters:Generally traders do not make aggressive bets ahead of a&nbsp;FOMC, meeting, especially the last one of the year, which could set the tone for trading in 2022.<blockquote>为什么重要：一般来说，交易员不会在联邦公开市场委员会会议之前进行激进押注，尤其是今年的最后一次会议，这可能会为 2022 年的交易定下基调。</blockquote> Of the approximately 219,000 options traded today, only about 60,000 of them are short dated (expiring Friday, Dec. 17), which means the majority of flows are forward looking beyond the FOMC and monthly op-ex.<blockquote>在今天交易的约 219,000 份期权中，只有约 60,000 份是短期期权（将于 12 月 17 日星期五到期），这意味着大多数流量都是前瞻性的，超出了 FOMC 和每月 op-ex。</blockquote> The next largest option expiry by volume is the Jan.&nbsp;21 op-ex, which means a strong amount of traders are taking bullish bets on Nio&nbsp;into next year.<blockquote>按交易量计算，下一个最大的期权到期日是 1 月 21 日的期权到期日，这意味着大量交易者正在对明年的蔚来进行看涨押注。</blockquote> What's Next:Looking at the option chain for the Jan. 21 expiry next year, the largest strikes by volume are concentrated between the $35 and $40 strikes (image below).<blockquote>下一步：纵观明年 1 月 21 日到期的期权链，成交量最大的行权集中在 35 美元至 40 美元之间（下图）。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/747fa367be175f2627d9a91fd7542fac\" tg-width=\"1117\" tg-height=\"399\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><blockquote></blockquote> Meanwhile, the largest strikes by open interest are the $40 and $45 strikes, which shows a fair amount of interest for a bounce off support and a move back up into the $40s.<blockquote>与此同时，未平仓合约中最大的打击是 40 美元和 45 美元的打击，这表明人们对反弹支撑位并回升至 40 美元左右有相当大的兴趣。</blockquote> It should be noted the option market is currently pricing in a 14% probability NIO closes at or above $40 by the January op-ex next year, so it's currently a lower probability event.<blockquote>需要注意的是，期权市场目前定价的概率为 14%，到明年 1 月份交易前，蔚来收盘价为 40 美元或以上，因此目前这是一个概率较低的事件。</blockquote> But if the $30 level can hold for this week&nbsp;and there is no hawkishness out of the Fed for the FOMC on Dec. 15, then equities might get a Christmas rally to end the year, as the bearish pressure leading into the FOMC could subside.<blockquote>但如果 30 美元的水平能够维持本周，并且美联储在 12 月 15 日没有对 FOMC 采取强硬立场，那么股市可能会在年底出现圣诞节反弹，因为导致 FOMC 的看跌压力可能会消退。</blockquote> On the other hand, if the stock closes below the $30 level on a weekly closing basis, then the next support does not come in until&nbsp;around $25.<blockquote>另一方面，如果该股每周收盘价低于 30 美元水平，那么下一个支撑位要到 25 美元左右才会出现。</blockquote>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NIO":"蔚来"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1127951705","content_text":"What Happened:Shares of NIO Inc lost 4% Tuesday as many U.S. and Asian stocks fell due to omicron COVID-19 variant concerns.\nThe stock is approaching a major support level around $30 that has held since October of 2020. Looking at the option flows on the day, there are over 148,000 calls and 71,000 puts, so two out of every three options on the day are calls (image below).\nPrior to Tuesday's trading, there were approximately 1.8 million calls and 1.6 million puts in NIO for a total of 3.48 million options.\n\nThis means that the option flows for Tuesday represent about 7% of the total options, which is solid considering the FOMC meeting on Wednesday, Dec. 15 is putting a damper on flows.\nWhy It Matters:Generally traders do not make aggressive bets ahead of a FOMC, meeting, especially the last one of the year, which could set the tone for trading in 2022.\nOf the approximately 219,000 options traded today, only about 60,000 of them are short dated (expiring Friday, Dec. 17), which means the majority of flows are forward looking beyond the FOMC and monthly op-ex.\nThe next largest option expiry by volume is the Jan. 21 op-ex, which means a strong amount of traders are taking bullish bets on Nio into next year.\nWhat's Next:Looking at the option chain for the Jan. 21 expiry next year, the largest strikes by volume are concentrated between the $35 and $40 strikes (image below).\n\nMeanwhile, the largest strikes by open interest are the $40 and $45 strikes, which shows a fair amount of interest for a bounce off support and a move back up into the $40s.\nIt should be noted the option market is currently pricing in a 14% probability NIO closes at or above $40 by the January op-ex next year, so it's currently a lower probability event.\nBut if the $30 level can hold for this week and there is no hawkishness out of the Fed for the FOMC on Dec. 15, then equities might get a Christmas rally to end the year, as the bearish pressure leading into the FOMC could subside.\nOn the other hand, if the stock closes below the $30 level on a weekly closing basis, then the next support does not come in until around $25.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NIO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4311,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"CN","currentLanguage":"CN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":11,"subscribersOnly":false,"subscribersOnlyAccessible":false,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ZH_CN"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/699303714"}