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2021-08-02
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Can Tesla's stock price return to the upward channel?<blockquote>特斯拉股价能否重回上升通道？</blockquote>
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Thank you!","highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/805420423","repostId":1131923658,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1131923658","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1627898076,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1131923658?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-02 17:54","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Can Tesla's stock price return to the upward channel?<blockquote>特斯拉股价能否重回上升通道？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1131923658","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Tesla released Q2 earnings and revenues last week that beat analysts' expectations.\n\"In the second q","content":"<p>Tesla released Q2 earnings and revenues last week that beat analysts' expectations.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉上周发布的第二季度盈利和收入超出了分析师的预期。</blockquote></p><p> \"In the second quarter of 2021, we broke new and notable records,\" said Tesla in the company's second-quarter update. \"We produced and delivered over 200,000 vehicles, achieved an operating margin of 11% and exceeded [$1 billion] of GAAP net income for the first time in our history.\"</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉在公司第二季度更新中表示：“2021年第二季度，我们打破了新的、引人注目的记录。”“我们生产和交付了超过200,000辆汽车，实现了11%的营业利润率，并在我们历史上首次超过[10亿美元]GAAP净利润。”</blockquote></p><p> Here's a closer look at the quarter, captured by five must-see takeaways from the report.</p><p><blockquote>以下是对本季度的近距离观察，其中包括报告中的五个必看要点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Revenue hit $12 billion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.营收达到120亿美元</b></blockquote></p><p> Helped by a 121% year-over-year increase in vehicle deliveries, Tesla's revenue surged 98% year over year to approximately $12 billion. This crushed analysts' average forecast for revenue of $11.3 billion.</p><p><blockquote>得益于汽车交付量同比增长121%，特斯拉的收入同比飙升98%，达到约120亿美元。这超出了分析师113亿美元营收的平均预期。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Profits skyrocketed</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2、利润暴涨</b></blockquote></p><p> Of course, with revenue like this, it wasn't surprising to see profits soar. Net income increased from $104 million in the year-ago period to $1.14 billion. Non-GAAP (adjusted) net income increased 258% year over year to $1.6 billion. This translated to non-GAAP earnings per share of $1.45 -- far ahead of a consensus analyst estimate of $0.98.</p><p><blockquote>当然，有了这样的收入，利润飙升也就不足为奇了。净利润从去年同期的1.04亿美元增至11.4亿美元。非GAAP（调整后）净利润同比增长258%至16亿美元。这意味着非GAAP每股收益为1.45美元，远高于分析师普遍预期的0.98美元。</blockquote></p><p> The outsized growth in Tesla's profits demonstrates the scalability of the company's business model.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉利润的大幅增长表明了该公司商业模式的可扩展性。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Free cash flow remains healthy</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3.自由现金流保持健康</b></blockquote></p><p> Tesla once again generated positive free cash flow, or cash flow from operations less capital expenditures. Free cash flow for the period increased from $418 million in the year-ago period to $619 million.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉再次产生了正的自由现金流，即运营现金流减去资本支出。期内自由现金流从去年同期的4.18亿美元增至6.19亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Total cash on hand fell from $17.1 billion in the first quarter of 2021 to $16.2 billion but this was primarily due to $1.6 billion in net debt and finance lease repayments.</p><p><blockquote>手头现金总额从2021年第一季度的171亿美元下降至162亿美元，但这主要是由于16亿美元的净债务和融资租赁还款。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4. Vehicle demand is robust</b></p><p><blockquote><b>四、车辆需求旺盛</b></blockquote></p><p> Tesla once again said demand for its vehicles achieved record levels. Indeed, demand is so robust that the company is supply constrained. \"Global demand continues to be robust, and we are producing at the limits of available parts supply,\" Tesla explained.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉再次表示，对其汽车的需求达到了创纪录的水平。事实上，需求如此强劲，以至于该公司的供应受到限制。“全球需求持续强劲，我们正在现有零部件供应的极限下进行生产，”特斯拉解释道。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5. There's more sharp growth to come</b></p><p><blockquote><b>5.未来还会有更大幅度的增长</b></blockquote></p><p> Importantly, Tesla remains optimistic about its growth trajectory. The company says it continues to expect to grow its total deliveries more than 50% year over year this year. This implies 2021 total deliveries of more than 750,000. So far, Tesla has delivered more than 386,000 vehicles this year.</p><p><blockquote>重要的是，特斯拉对其增长轨迹保持乐观。该公司表示，预计今年的总交付量将同比增长50%以上。这意味着2021年总交付量将超过75万辆。截至目前，特斯拉今年已交付超过38.6万辆汽车。</blockquote></p><p> \"The rate of growth will depend on our equipment capacity, operational efficiency, and the capacity and stability of the supply chain,\" Tesla noted.</p><p><blockquote>“增长率将取决于我们的设备容量、运营效率以及供应链的容量和稳定性，”特斯拉指出。</blockquote></p><p> <h4>Four Challenges to Tesla’s Growth</h4> However,investors are concerned with several factors that may slow Tesla's feverish share price growth soon.</p><p><blockquote><h4>特斯拉经济增长面临的四大挑战</h4>然而，投资者担心几个因素可能会很快减缓特斯拉狂热的股价增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>High Valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>高估值</b></blockquote></p><p> Wall Street is an efficient market, discounting good news and bad news on listed companies. As a result, shares are run-up ahead of good news and sold-off ahead of bad news. Sometimes, Mr. Market—to use Benjamin Graham's terminology—is too optimistic, sending the shares of listed companies well above their fundamental or intrinsic value. Other times, Mr. Market is too pessimistic, sending shares of listed companies well below their intrinsic value.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街是一个有效的市场，对上市公司的好消息和坏消息都进行了贴现。因此，股价在好消息之前上涨，在坏消息之前遭到抛售。有时，市场先生——用本杰明·格雷厄姆的术语来说——过于乐观，导致上市公司的股价远高于其基本或内在价值。其他时候，先生。市场过于悲观，导致上市公司股价远低于其内在价值。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla's shares are overvalued by many standards. TipRanks, for instance, estimates Tesla's 12-month-trailing return on equity to be a modest 12.41%, while estimates put Tesla's intrinsic value at $160.11, well below its current price level.</p><p><blockquote>从许多标准来看，特斯拉的股价都被高估了。例如，TipRanks估计特斯拉过去12个月的股本回报率为12.41%，而特斯拉的内在价值估计为160.11美元，远低于当前的价格水平。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Competition from Colonizers</b></p><p><blockquote><b>来自殖民者的竞争</b></blockquote></p><p> Once, Tesla had little competition, as the electric vehicle (EV) market it pioneered had little competition from traditional automakers. However, that's no longer the case, as General Motors, Ford, Volkswagen, and Toyota are invading the electric market.</p><p><blockquote>曾经，特斯拉几乎没有竞争，因为它开创的电动汽车（EV）市场几乎没有来自传统汽车制造商的竞争。然而，随着通用汽车、福特、大众和丰田正在入侵电动市场，情况已不再如此。</blockquote></p><p> These \"colonizers\" of the EV market have the manufacturing experience, expertise, and distribution networks to scale up EV production and cross the \"tipping point\" of bringing EVs to the masses. Meanwhile, the entry of new competitors into the EV market could unleash price competition that will erode Tesla's revenue growth and profit margins. That's something Wall Street is watching closely in quarterly financial statements.</p><p><blockquote>这些电动汽车市场的“殖民者”拥有制造经验、专业知识和分销网络，可以扩大电动汽车生产规模，跨越将电动汽车推向大众的“临界点”。与此同时，新竞争对手进入电动汽车市场可能会引发价格竞争，从而削弱特斯拉的收入增长和利润率。这是华尔街在季度财务报表中密切关注的事情。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Bitcoin Exposure</b></p><p><blockquote><b>比特币风险</b></blockquote></p><p> Tesla's CEO Elon Musk has an affinity for bitcoin. That's why he has been investing some of the company's cash in digital currency. As of the end of March, Tesla's $1.5 billion investment was worth $2.48 billion, based on the surge in bitcoin in the first quarter. However, that has its risks, too, given bitcoin's volatility.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉CEO Elon Musk对比特币情有独钟。这就是为什么他一直将公司的部分现金投资于数字货币。截至3月底，特斯拉15亿美元的投资价值24.8亿美元，以第一季度比特币的激增计算。然而，考虑到比特币的波动性，这也有其风险。</blockquote></p><p> Adding to bitcoin's volatility are accounting rules that treat the digital currency as an indefinite-lived intangible asset. Thus, it is subject to impairment losses if its fair value decreases below the carrying value during the assessed reporting period. Companies cannot recover impairment losses for any subsequent increase in fair value until the asset's sale. Tesla reported bitcoin-related impairments of $23 million in Q2 as the price of digital currency dived.</p><p><blockquote>将数字货币视为无限期无形资产的会计规则加剧了比特币的波动性。因此，倘其公平值于评估报告期内减值至低于账面值，则须计提减值亏损。在资产出售之前，公司无法收回公允价值后续增加的减值损失。随着数字货币价格暴跌，特斯拉报告第二季度与比特币相关的减值为2300万美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Rising Material Costs</b></p><p><blockquote><b>材料成本上升</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Together with traditional automobile makers, Tesla faces a severe material shortage due to supply chain disruptions during the COVID-19 pandemic, which is expected to slow down the pace of its feverish growth.</p><p><blockquote>由于COVID-19大流行期间供应链中断，特斯拉与传统汽车制造商一起面临严重的材料短缺，预计这将减缓其狂热增长的步伐。</blockquote></p><p> \"While we're making cars at full speed, the global chip shortage situation remains quite serious,\" Musk told investors. \"For the rest of this year, our growth rates will be determined by the slowest part in our supply chain,\" adding that there are a wide range of chips that will serve as that brake on growth.</p><p><blockquote>“在我们全速造车的同时，全球芯片短缺的情况仍然相当严重，”马斯克告诉投资者。“在今年剩余时间里，我们的增长率将取决于供应链中最慢的部分，”他补充说，有多种芯片将成为增长的刹车。</blockquote></p><p> <h4>Mixed reviews from Wall Street</h4> Needham analyst Rajvindra Gill said Tesla shares are already priced to perfection, which could explain the stock’s weakness on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote><h4>华尔街褒贬不一</h4>Needham分析师Rajvindra Gill表示，特斯拉股票的定价已经非常完美，这可以解释该股周二的疲软。</blockquote></p><p> “Tesla's ‘priced to perfection’ valuation is hard for us to justify, even with more positive recent Results,” Gill wrote.</p><p><blockquote>吉尔写道：“即使最近的业绩更加积极，我们也很难证明特斯拉‘定价完美’的估值是合理的。”</blockquote></p><p> Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas said the quarter likely didn’t change the narrative for bulls or bears, and Tesla is still not a value stock priced at an enterprise multiple of 70x.</p><p><blockquote>Morgan Stanley分析师Adam Jonas表示，本季度可能不会改变多头或空头的说法，特斯拉仍然不是企业市盈率70倍的价值股。</blockquote></p><p> “Tesla is not only among the fastest growing auto companies in the world, it is also one of the most profitable,” Jonas wrote.</p><p><blockquote>“特斯拉不仅是世界上增长最快的汽车公司之一，也是最赚钱的公司之一，”Jonas写道。</blockquote></p><p> Wells Fargo analyst Colin Langan said auto gross margins were impressive, but they may not last.</p><p><blockquote>富国银行分析师Colin Langan表示，汽车毛利率令人印象深刻，但可能不会持续。</blockquote></p><p> “We see auto margins moderating in Q3/Q4 due to rising raw mat costs and mix dilution as the lower priced Model Y SR launches in China,” Langran wrote.</p><p><blockquote>Langran写道：“随着价格较低的Model Y SR在中国推出，由于原材料成本上升和混合动力稀释，我们预计第三季度/第四季度汽车利润率将放缓。”</blockquote></p><p> John Murphy with B. of A. Securities struck a more cautious tone. Despite the beat, \"competition is fierce and heating up,\" he said. \"(Tesla's) operating environment is shifting from that of a vacuum to an increasingly crowded space.\"</p><p><blockquote>B.of A.Securities的约翰·墨菲(John Murphy)的语气更加谨慎。尽管节奏很慢，但“竞争非常激烈，而且正在升温，”他说。“（特斯拉的）运营环境正在从真空转向日益拥挤的空间。”</blockquote></p><p> The quarterly beat was \"very much helped by positive pricing dynamics and good execution,\" and Murphy raised his price target on the stock to $800 from $750, which represents an upside around 26% from Tuesday's prices. He kept B. of A.'s neutral rating on the stock.</p><p><blockquote>季度业绩“在很大程度上得益于积极的定价动态和良好的执行力”，墨菲将该股的目标价从750美元上调至800美元，较周二的价格上涨约26%。他维持B.of A.对该股的中性评级。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Can Tesla's stock price return to the upward channel?<blockquote>特斯拉股价能否重回上升通道？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCan Tesla's stock price return to the upward channel?<blockquote>特斯拉股价能否重回上升通道？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-08-02 17:54</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Tesla released Q2 earnings and revenues last week that beat analysts' expectations.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉上周发布的第二季度盈利和收入超出了分析师的预期。</blockquote></p><p> \"In the second quarter of 2021, we broke new and notable records,\" said Tesla in the company's second-quarter update. \"We produced and delivered over 200,000 vehicles, achieved an operating margin of 11% and exceeded [$1 billion] of GAAP net income for the first time in our history.\"</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉在公司第二季度更新中表示：“2021年第二季度，我们打破了新的、引人注目的记录。”“我们生产和交付了超过200,000辆汽车，实现了11%的营业利润率，并在我们历史上首次超过[10亿美元]GAAP净利润。”</blockquote></p><p> Here's a closer look at the quarter, captured by five must-see takeaways from the report.</p><p><blockquote>以下是对本季度的近距离观察，其中包括报告中的五个必看要点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Revenue hit $12 billion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.营收达到120亿美元</b></blockquote></p><p> Helped by a 121% year-over-year increase in vehicle deliveries, Tesla's revenue surged 98% year over year to approximately $12 billion. This crushed analysts' average forecast for revenue of $11.3 billion.</p><p><blockquote>得益于汽车交付量同比增长121%，特斯拉的收入同比飙升98%，达到约120亿美元。这超出了分析师113亿美元营收的平均预期。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Profits skyrocketed</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2、利润暴涨</b></blockquote></p><p> Of course, with revenue like this, it wasn't surprising to see profits soar. Net income increased from $104 million in the year-ago period to $1.14 billion. Non-GAAP (adjusted) net income increased 258% year over year to $1.6 billion. This translated to non-GAAP earnings per share of $1.45 -- far ahead of a consensus analyst estimate of $0.98.</p><p><blockquote>当然，有了这样的收入，利润飙升也就不足为奇了。净利润从去年同期的1.04亿美元增至11.4亿美元。非GAAP（调整后）净利润同比增长258%至16亿美元。这意味着非GAAP每股收益为1.45美元，远高于分析师普遍预期的0.98美元。</blockquote></p><p> The outsized growth in Tesla's profits demonstrates the scalability of the company's business model.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉利润的大幅增长表明了该公司商业模式的可扩展性。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Free cash flow remains healthy</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3.自由现金流保持健康</b></blockquote></p><p> Tesla once again generated positive free cash flow, or cash flow from operations less capital expenditures. Free cash flow for the period increased from $418 million in the year-ago period to $619 million.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉再次产生了正的自由现金流，即运营现金流减去资本支出。期内自由现金流从去年同期的4.18亿美元增至6.19亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Total cash on hand fell from $17.1 billion in the first quarter of 2021 to $16.2 billion but this was primarily due to $1.6 billion in net debt and finance lease repayments.</p><p><blockquote>手头现金总额从2021年第一季度的171亿美元下降至162亿美元，但这主要是由于16亿美元的净债务和融资租赁还款。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4. Vehicle demand is robust</b></p><p><blockquote><b>四、车辆需求旺盛</b></blockquote></p><p> Tesla once again said demand for its vehicles achieved record levels. Indeed, demand is so robust that the company is supply constrained. \"Global demand continues to be robust, and we are producing at the limits of available parts supply,\" Tesla explained.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉再次表示，对其汽车的需求达到了创纪录的水平。事实上，需求如此强劲，以至于该公司的供应受到限制。“全球需求持续强劲，我们正在现有零部件供应的极限下进行生产，”特斯拉解释道。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5. There's more sharp growth to come</b></p><p><blockquote><b>5.未来还会有更大幅度的增长</b></blockquote></p><p> Importantly, Tesla remains optimistic about its growth trajectory. The company says it continues to expect to grow its total deliveries more than 50% year over year this year. This implies 2021 total deliveries of more than 750,000. So far, Tesla has delivered more than 386,000 vehicles this year.</p><p><blockquote>重要的是，特斯拉对其增长轨迹保持乐观。该公司表示，预计今年的总交付量将同比增长50%以上。这意味着2021年总交付量将超过75万辆。截至目前，特斯拉今年已交付超过38.6万辆汽车。</blockquote></p><p> \"The rate of growth will depend on our equipment capacity, operational efficiency, and the capacity and stability of the supply chain,\" Tesla noted.</p><p><blockquote>“增长率将取决于我们的设备容量、运营效率以及供应链的容量和稳定性，”特斯拉指出。</blockquote></p><p> <h4>Four Challenges to Tesla’s Growth</h4> However,investors are concerned with several factors that may slow Tesla's feverish share price growth soon.</p><p><blockquote><h4>特斯拉经济增长面临的四大挑战</h4>然而，投资者担心几个因素可能会很快减缓特斯拉狂热的股价增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>High Valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>高估值</b></blockquote></p><p> Wall Street is an efficient market, discounting good news and bad news on listed companies. As a result, shares are run-up ahead of good news and sold-off ahead of bad news. Sometimes, Mr. Market—to use Benjamin Graham's terminology—is too optimistic, sending the shares of listed companies well above their fundamental or intrinsic value. Other times, Mr. Market is too pessimistic, sending shares of listed companies well below their intrinsic value.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街是一个有效的市场，对上市公司的好消息和坏消息都进行了贴现。因此，股价在好消息之前上涨，在坏消息之前遭到抛售。有时，市场先生——用本杰明·格雷厄姆的术语来说——过于乐观，导致上市公司的股价远高于其基本或内在价值。其他时候，先生。市场过于悲观，导致上市公司股价远低于其内在价值。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla's shares are overvalued by many standards. TipRanks, for instance, estimates Tesla's 12-month-trailing return on equity to be a modest 12.41%, while estimates put Tesla's intrinsic value at $160.11, well below its current price level.</p><p><blockquote>从许多标准来看，特斯拉的股价都被高估了。例如，TipRanks估计特斯拉过去12个月的股本回报率为12.41%，而特斯拉的内在价值估计为160.11美元，远低于当前的价格水平。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Competition from Colonizers</b></p><p><blockquote><b>来自殖民者的竞争</b></blockquote></p><p> Once, Tesla had little competition, as the electric vehicle (EV) market it pioneered had little competition from traditional automakers. However, that's no longer the case, as General Motors, Ford, Volkswagen, and Toyota are invading the electric market.</p><p><blockquote>曾经，特斯拉几乎没有竞争，因为它开创的电动汽车（EV）市场几乎没有来自传统汽车制造商的竞争。然而，随着通用汽车、福特、大众和丰田正在入侵电动市场，情况已不再如此。</blockquote></p><p> These \"colonizers\" of the EV market have the manufacturing experience, expertise, and distribution networks to scale up EV production and cross the \"tipping point\" of bringing EVs to the masses. Meanwhile, the entry of new competitors into the EV market could unleash price competition that will erode Tesla's revenue growth and profit margins. That's something Wall Street is watching closely in quarterly financial statements.</p><p><blockquote>这些电动汽车市场的“殖民者”拥有制造经验、专业知识和分销网络，可以扩大电动汽车生产规模，跨越将电动汽车推向大众的“临界点”。与此同时，新竞争对手进入电动汽车市场可能会引发价格竞争，从而削弱特斯拉的收入增长和利润率。这是华尔街在季度财务报表中密切关注的事情。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Bitcoin Exposure</b></p><p><blockquote><b>比特币风险</b></blockquote></p><p> Tesla's CEO Elon Musk has an affinity for bitcoin. That's why he has been investing some of the company's cash in digital currency. As of the end of March, Tesla's $1.5 billion investment was worth $2.48 billion, based on the surge in bitcoin in the first quarter. However, that has its risks, too, given bitcoin's volatility.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉CEO Elon Musk对比特币情有独钟。这就是为什么他一直将公司的部分现金投资于数字货币。截至3月底，特斯拉15亿美元的投资价值24.8亿美元，以第一季度比特币的激增计算。然而，考虑到比特币的波动性，这也有其风险。</blockquote></p><p> Adding to bitcoin's volatility are accounting rules that treat the digital currency as an indefinite-lived intangible asset. Thus, it is subject to impairment losses if its fair value decreases below the carrying value during the assessed reporting period. Companies cannot recover impairment losses for any subsequent increase in fair value until the asset's sale. Tesla reported bitcoin-related impairments of $23 million in Q2 as the price of digital currency dived.</p><p><blockquote>将数字货币视为无限期无形资产的会计规则加剧了比特币的波动性。因此，倘其公平值于评估报告期内减值至低于账面值，则须计提减值亏损。在资产出售之前，公司无法收回公允价值后续增加的减值损失。随着数字货币价格暴跌，特斯拉报告第二季度与比特币相关的减值为2300万美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Rising Material Costs</b></p><p><blockquote><b>材料成本上升</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Together with traditional automobile makers, Tesla faces a severe material shortage due to supply chain disruptions during the COVID-19 pandemic, which is expected to slow down the pace of its feverish growth.</p><p><blockquote>由于COVID-19大流行期间供应链中断，特斯拉与传统汽车制造商一起面临严重的材料短缺，预计这将减缓其狂热增长的步伐。</blockquote></p><p> \"While we're making cars at full speed, the global chip shortage situation remains quite serious,\" Musk told investors. \"For the rest of this year, our growth rates will be determined by the slowest part in our supply chain,\" adding that there are a wide range of chips that will serve as that brake on growth.</p><p><blockquote>“在我们全速造车的同时，全球芯片短缺的情况仍然相当严重，”马斯克告诉投资者。“在今年剩余时间里，我们的增长率将取决于供应链中最慢的部分，”他补充说，有多种芯片将成为增长的刹车。</blockquote></p><p> <h4>Mixed reviews from Wall Street</h4> Needham analyst Rajvindra Gill said Tesla shares are already priced to perfection, which could explain the stock’s weakness on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote><h4>华尔街褒贬不一</h4>Needham分析师Rajvindra Gill表示，特斯拉股票的定价已经非常完美，这可以解释该股周二的疲软。</blockquote></p><p> “Tesla's ‘priced to perfection’ valuation is hard for us to justify, even with more positive recent Results,” Gill wrote.</p><p><blockquote>吉尔写道：“即使最近的业绩更加积极，我们也很难证明特斯拉‘定价完美’的估值是合理的。”</blockquote></p><p> Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas said the quarter likely didn’t change the narrative for bulls or bears, and Tesla is still not a value stock priced at an enterprise multiple of 70x.</p><p><blockquote>Morgan Stanley分析师Adam Jonas表示，本季度可能不会改变多头或空头的说法，特斯拉仍然不是企业市盈率70倍的价值股。</blockquote></p><p> “Tesla is not only among the fastest growing auto companies in the world, it is also one of the most profitable,” Jonas wrote.</p><p><blockquote>“特斯拉不仅是世界上增长最快的汽车公司之一，也是最赚钱的公司之一，”Jonas写道。</blockquote></p><p> Wells Fargo analyst Colin Langan said auto gross margins were impressive, but they may not last.</p><p><blockquote>富国银行分析师Colin Langan表示，汽车毛利率令人印象深刻，但可能不会持续。</blockquote></p><p> “We see auto margins moderating in Q3/Q4 due to rising raw mat costs and mix dilution as the lower priced Model Y SR launches in China,” Langran wrote.</p><p><blockquote>Langran写道：“随着价格较低的Model Y SR在中国推出，由于原材料成本上升和混合动力稀释，我们预计第三季度/第四季度汽车利润率将放缓。”</blockquote></p><p> John Murphy with B. of A. Securities struck a more cautious tone. Despite the beat, \"competition is fierce and heating up,\" he said. \"(Tesla's) operating environment is shifting from that of a vacuum to an increasingly crowded space.\"</p><p><blockquote>B.of A.Securities的约翰·墨菲(John Murphy)的语气更加谨慎。尽管节奏很慢，但“竞争非常激烈，而且正在升温，”他说。“（特斯拉的）运营环境正在从真空转向日益拥挤的空间。”</blockquote></p><p> The quarterly beat was \"very much helped by positive pricing dynamics and good execution,\" and Murphy raised his price target on the stock to $800 from $750, which represents an upside around 26% from Tuesday's prices. He kept B. of A.'s neutral rating on the stock.</p><p><blockquote>季度业绩“在很大程度上得益于积极的定价动态和良好的执行力”，墨菲将该股的目标价从750美元上调至800美元，较周二的价格上涨约26%。他维持B.of A.对该股的中性评级。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1131923658","content_text":"Tesla released Q2 earnings and revenues last week that beat analysts' expectations.\n\"In the second quarter of 2021, we broke new and notable records,\" said Tesla in the company's second-quarter update. \"We produced and delivered over 200,000 vehicles, achieved an operating margin of 11% and exceeded [$1 billion] of GAAP net income for the first time in our history.\"\nHere's a closer look at the quarter, captured by five must-see takeaways from the report.\n1. Revenue hit $12 billion\nHelped by a 121% year-over-year increase in vehicle deliveries, Tesla's revenue surged 98% year over year to approximately $12 billion. This crushed analysts' average forecast for revenue of $11.3 billion.\n2. Profits skyrocketed\nOf course, with revenue like this, it wasn't surprising to see profits soar. Net income increased from $104 million in the year-ago period to $1.14 billion. Non-GAAP (adjusted) net income increased 258% year over year to $1.6 billion. This translated to non-GAAP earnings per share of $1.45 -- far ahead of a consensus analyst estimate of $0.98.\nThe outsized growth in Tesla's profits demonstrates the scalability of the company's business model.\n3. Free cash flow remains healthy\nTesla once again generated positive free cash flow, or cash flow from operations less capital expenditures. Free cash flow for the period increased from $418 million in the year-ago period to $619 million.\nTotal cash on hand fell from $17.1 billion in the first quarter of 2021 to $16.2 billion but this was primarily due to $1.6 billion in net debt and finance lease repayments.\n4. Vehicle demand is robust\nTesla once again said demand for its vehicles achieved record levels. Indeed, demand is so robust that the company is supply constrained. \"Global demand continues to be robust, and we are producing at the limits of available parts supply,\" Tesla explained.\n5. There's more sharp growth to come\nImportantly, Tesla remains optimistic about its growth trajectory. The company says it continues to expect to grow its total deliveries more than 50% year over year this year. This implies 2021 total deliveries of more than 750,000. So far, Tesla has delivered more than 386,000 vehicles this year.\n\"The rate of growth will depend on our equipment capacity, operational efficiency, and the capacity and stability of the supply chain,\" Tesla noted.\nFour Challenges to Tesla’s Growth\nHowever,investors are concerned with several factors that may slow Tesla's feverish share price growth soon.\nHigh Valuation\nWall Street is an efficient market, discounting good news and bad news on listed companies. As a result, shares are run-up ahead of good news and sold-off ahead of bad news. Sometimes, Mr. Market—to use Benjamin Graham's terminology—is too optimistic, sending the shares of listed companies well above their fundamental or intrinsic value. Other times, Mr. Market is too pessimistic, sending shares of listed companies well below their intrinsic value.\nTesla's shares are overvalued by many standards. TipRanks, for instance, estimates Tesla's 12-month-trailing return on equity to be a modest 12.41%, while estimates put Tesla's intrinsic value at $160.11, well below its current price level.\nCompetition from Colonizers\nOnce, Tesla had little competition, as the electric vehicle (EV) market it pioneered had little competition from traditional automakers. However, that's no longer the case, as General Motors, Ford, Volkswagen, and Toyota are invading the electric market.\nThese \"colonizers\" of the EV market have the manufacturing experience, expertise, and distribution networks to scale up EV production and cross the \"tipping point\" of bringing EVs to the masses. Meanwhile, the entry of new competitors into the EV market could unleash price competition that will erode Tesla's revenue growth and profit margins. That's something Wall Street is watching closely in quarterly financial statements.\nBitcoin Exposure\nTesla's CEO Elon Musk has an affinity for bitcoin. That's why he has been investing some of the company's cash in digital currency. As of the end of March, Tesla's $1.5 billion investment was worth $2.48 billion, based on the surge in bitcoin in the first quarter. However, that has its risks, too, given bitcoin's volatility.\nAdding to bitcoin's volatility are accounting rules that treat the digital currency as an indefinite-lived intangible asset. Thus, it is subject to impairment losses if its fair value decreases below the carrying value during the assessed reporting period. Companies cannot recover impairment losses for any subsequent increase in fair value until the asset's sale. Tesla reported bitcoin-related impairments of $23 million in Q2 as the price of digital currency dived.\nRising Material Costs\nTogether with traditional automobile makers, Tesla faces a severe material shortage due to supply chain disruptions during the COVID-19 pandemic, which is expected to slow down the pace of its feverish growth.\n\"While we're making cars at full speed, the global chip shortage situation remains quite serious,\" Musk told investors. \"For the rest of this year, our growth rates will be determined by the slowest part in our supply chain,\" adding that there are a wide range of chips that will serve as that brake on growth.\nMixed reviews from Wall Street\nNeedham analyst Rajvindra Gill said Tesla shares are already priced to perfection, which could explain the stock’s weakness on Tuesday.\n“Tesla's ‘priced to perfection’ valuation is hard for us to justify, even with more positive recent Results,” Gill wrote.\nMorgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas said the quarter likely didn’t change the narrative for bulls or bears, and Tesla is still not a value stock priced at an enterprise multiple of 70x.\n“Tesla is not only among the fastest growing auto companies in the world, it is also one of the most profitable,” Jonas wrote.\nWells Fargo analyst Colin Langan said auto gross margins were impressive, but they may not last.\n“We see auto margins moderating in Q3/Q4 due to rising raw mat costs and mix dilution as the lower priced Model Y SR launches in China,” Langran wrote.\nJohn Murphy with B. of A. Securities struck a more cautious tone. Despite the beat, \"competition is fierce and heating up,\" he said. \"(Tesla's) operating environment is shifting from that of a vacuum to an increasingly crowded space.\"\nThe quarterly beat was \"very much helped by positive pricing dynamics and good execution,\" and Murphy raised his price target on the stock to $800 from $750, which represents an upside around 26% from Tuesday's prices. He kept B. of A.'s neutral rating on the stock.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":389,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":30,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/805420423"}
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