ahong2706
2021-07-30
Like leh. I want applegao
Apple Stock Is Cheap, Here Is Why<blockquote>苹果股票很便宜，原因如下</blockquote>
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I want applegao","highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/806107049","repostId":1138453945,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1138453945","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627636895,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1138453945?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-30 17:21","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple Stock Is Cheap, Here Is Why<blockquote>苹果股票很便宜，原因如下</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1138453945","media":"TheStreet","summary":"Apple delivered strong Q3 results, but the stock went nowhere. The Apple Maven argues that AAPL is a","content":"<p>Apple delivered strong Q3 results, but the stock went nowhere. The Apple Maven argues that AAPL is attractively valued once again. Here is why.</p><p><blockquote>苹果第三季度业绩强劲，但该股却毫无进展。这位苹果专家认为，苹果公司的估值再次具有吸引力。原因如下。</blockquote></p><p> DespiteApple’s outstanding fiscal third quarter numbers, reported on July 27, Apple stock failed to find support. Shares were down -1.2% after the quarterly report, after having dipped another -1.5% on earnings day itself.</p><p><blockquote>尽管苹果7月27日公布了出色的第三财季数据，但苹果股价未能找到支撑。季度报告发布后，股价下跌-1.2%，此前财报当天又下跌了-1.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Some, including BMO Capital’s Tim Long, have argued that AAPL has reached fair valuation. I, on the other hand, believe that the stock has returned to being attractively priced. I present below the calculations that support my thesis.</p><p><blockquote>包括BMO Capital的蒂姆·朗(Tim Long)在内的一些人认为，苹果公司的估值已经达到了公平的水平。另一方面，我相信该股的价格已经恢复到有吸引力的水平。我在下面展示了支持我论文的计算结果。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b3facec59ae76a6c28f4c5847600b4de\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"886\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Figure 1: New York Apple Store (Fifth Avenue).</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图1：纽约苹果店（第五大道）。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Great business, good valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>伟大的业务，良好的估值</b></blockquote></p><p> I can not start a debate about Apple stock price and valuations without emphasizing what seems obvious to me. Apple has been executing flawlessly as of late, both during the COVID-19 crisis and through the messy post-pandemic environment of supply chain challenges, limited access to physical stores, etc.</p><p><blockquote>如果不强调对我来说显而易见的事情，我就无法开始关于苹果股价和估值的辩论。苹果最近一直完美地执行，无论是在COVID-19危机期间，还是在供应链挑战、实体店准入受限等混乱的大流行后环境中。</blockquote></p><p> That said, my main concern regarding Apple stock, if at all, tends to be valuations. Around mid-May, I presented the graph below as a key reason to “confidently buy Apple” on year-to-date weakness. Since the day of that article, AAPL has climbed 14% in just short of 12 weeks against the S&P 500’s 5% rise.</p><p><blockquote>也就是说，我对苹果股票的主要担忧（如果有的话）往往是估值。大约在5月中旬，我将下图作为在今年迄今疲软的情况下“自信地购买苹果”的关键原因。自那篇文章发表以来，AAPL在不到12周的时间里上涨了14%，而标普500则上涨了5%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aac0b08108dea875dd3255e8f75f0987\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"518\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Figure 2: AAPL - Historical valuation multiples.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图2：AAPL-历史估值倍数。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Counterintuitively, despite the recent rally, I think that Apple shares have started to head towards undervaluation once again. Think of current year P/E of 28 times as a starting point, which seems rich at first glance. This multiple is based on pre-earnings EPS consensus of $5.18 for fiscal 2021.</p><p><blockquote>与直觉相反的是，尽管最近有所上涨，但我认为苹果股价已开始再次走向低估。以今年28倍的市盈率为起点，乍一看似乎很丰厚。该倍数基于2021财年盈利前每股收益5.18美元的共识。</blockquote></p><p> After July 27, Apple’s management team presented investors with two new pieces of information. First, fiscal Q3 consensus EPS of $1.01 proved to be understated by 29 cents. Mathematically, and adjusting only for the most recent earnings beat, full-year EPS estimates should have been closer to $5.47.</p><p><blockquote>7月27日之后，苹果的管理团队向投资者展示了两条新信息。首先，事实证明，第三财季每股收益1.01美元被低估了29美分。从数学上讲，仅根据最近的盈利预期进行调整，全年每股收益预期应该接近5.47美元。</blockquote></p><p> The other part was fiscal Q4 outlook. While Apple did not provide specific guidance on revenues, it offered directional commentary on sales and offered projections on other P&L items (see below):</p><p><blockquote>另一部分是第四季度财政展望。虽然苹果没有提供具体的收入指导，但它对销售提供了方向性评论，并对其他损益项目提供了预测（见下文）：</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li><b>Revenue</b>: Double-digit growth, absent a COVID-19 comeback, but at a rate lower than the 36% seen in June quarter due to foreign exchange, normalization of services trend, and even worse supply constraints on iPhone and iPad.</li> <li><b>Below revenue line</b>: GM between 41.5% and 42.5%, opex between $11.3 billion and $11.5 billion, other income zero, tax rate of 16%.</li> </ul> I went ahead and plugged in the numbers. Wall Street projects revenue growth of 30% in fiscal Q4, which is in line with Apple’s vague outlook. Assuming the mid-point of the guidance range on all other P&L items, I estimate that next quarter’s EPS consensus should settle at $1.21 – about ten cents above where it currently stands.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>收入</b>：在没有COVID-19卷土重来的情况下，实现了两位数的增长，但由于外汇、服务趋势正常化以及iPhone和iPad更严重的供应限制，增长率低于6月份季度的36%。</li><li><b>收入线以下</b>：GM在41.5%至42.5%之间，opex在113亿美元至115亿美元之间，其他收入为零，税率为16%。</li></ul>我继续输入数字。华尔街预计第四财季营收将增长30%，这与苹果模糊的前景一致。假设所有其他损益项目指导范围的中点，我估计下一季度的每股收益共识应稳定在1.21美元，比目前高出约10美分。</blockquote></p><p> Lastly, consider that Apple has topped EPS consensus by 14 cents each quarter for the past ten periods. Add ten plus fourteen cents to the $5.47 mentioned above, and we are looking at a reasonable estimate of $5.71 in EPS for the current fiscal year. This represents a current P/E of only 25 times on the stock.</p><p><blockquote>最后，考虑一下苹果在过去十个时期中每个季度的每股收益都比市场普遍预期高出14美分。在上面提到的5.47美元的基础上加上10加14美分，我们认为本财年每股收益的合理估计为5.71美元。这意味着该股目前的市盈率仅为25倍。</blockquote></p><p> This could be just an interesting coincidence, but a current-year P/E of 25 times was precisely the multiple that AAPL commanded in early May, before it leaped to nearly $150 per share last week. If I considered the stock a “confident buy” back then, I should have the same opinion now, at least for the sake of consistency.</p><p><blockquote>这可能只是一个有趣的巧合，但今年25倍的市盈率正是AAPL在5月初的市盈率，然后上周跃升至每股近150美元。如果我当时认为这只股票是“有信心买入”，那么我现在应该有同样的看法，至少为了一致性。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Stock Is Cheap, Here Is Why<blockquote>苹果股票很便宜，原因如下</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Stock Is Cheap, Here Is Why<blockquote>苹果股票很便宜，原因如下</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">TheStreet</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-30 17:21</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Apple delivered strong Q3 results, but the stock went nowhere. The Apple Maven argues that AAPL is attractively valued once again. Here is why.</p><p><blockquote>苹果第三季度业绩强劲，但该股却毫无进展。这位苹果专家认为，苹果公司的估值再次具有吸引力。原因如下。</blockquote></p><p> DespiteApple’s outstanding fiscal third quarter numbers, reported on July 27, Apple stock failed to find support. Shares were down -1.2% after the quarterly report, after having dipped another -1.5% on earnings day itself.</p><p><blockquote>尽管苹果7月27日公布了出色的第三财季数据，但苹果股价未能找到支撑。季度报告发布后，股价下跌-1.2%，此前财报当天又下跌了-1.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Some, including BMO Capital’s Tim Long, have argued that AAPL has reached fair valuation. I, on the other hand, believe that the stock has returned to being attractively priced. I present below the calculations that support my thesis.</p><p><blockquote>包括BMO Capital的蒂姆·朗(Tim Long)在内的一些人认为，苹果公司的估值已经达到了公平的水平。另一方面，我相信该股的价格已经恢复到有吸引力的水平。我在下面展示了支持我论文的计算结果。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b3facec59ae76a6c28f4c5847600b4de\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"886\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Figure 1: New York Apple Store (Fifth Avenue).</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图1：纽约苹果店（第五大道）。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Great business, good valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>伟大的业务，良好的估值</b></blockquote></p><p> I can not start a debate about Apple stock price and valuations without emphasizing what seems obvious to me. Apple has been executing flawlessly as of late, both during the COVID-19 crisis and through the messy post-pandemic environment of supply chain challenges, limited access to physical stores, etc.</p><p><blockquote>如果不强调对我来说显而易见的事情，我就无法开始关于苹果股价和估值的辩论。苹果最近一直完美地执行，无论是在COVID-19危机期间，还是在供应链挑战、实体店准入受限等混乱的大流行后环境中。</blockquote></p><p> That said, my main concern regarding Apple stock, if at all, tends to be valuations. Around mid-May, I presented the graph below as a key reason to “confidently buy Apple” on year-to-date weakness. Since the day of that article, AAPL has climbed 14% in just short of 12 weeks against the S&P 500’s 5% rise.</p><p><blockquote>也就是说，我对苹果股票的主要担忧（如果有的话）往往是估值。大约在5月中旬，我将下图作为在今年迄今疲软的情况下“自信地购买苹果”的关键原因。自那篇文章发表以来，AAPL在不到12周的时间里上涨了14%，而标普500则上涨了5%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aac0b08108dea875dd3255e8f75f0987\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"518\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Figure 2: AAPL - Historical valuation multiples.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图2：AAPL-历史估值倍数。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Counterintuitively, despite the recent rally, I think that Apple shares have started to head towards undervaluation once again. Think of current year P/E of 28 times as a starting point, which seems rich at first glance. This multiple is based on pre-earnings EPS consensus of $5.18 for fiscal 2021.</p><p><blockquote>与直觉相反的是，尽管最近有所上涨，但我认为苹果股价已开始再次走向低估。以今年28倍的市盈率为起点，乍一看似乎很丰厚。该倍数基于2021财年盈利前每股收益5.18美元的共识。</blockquote></p><p> After July 27, Apple’s management team presented investors with two new pieces of information. First, fiscal Q3 consensus EPS of $1.01 proved to be understated by 29 cents. Mathematically, and adjusting only for the most recent earnings beat, full-year EPS estimates should have been closer to $5.47.</p><p><blockquote>7月27日之后，苹果的管理团队向投资者展示了两条新信息。首先，事实证明，第三财季每股收益1.01美元被低估了29美分。从数学上讲，仅根据最近的盈利预期进行调整，全年每股收益预期应该接近5.47美元。</blockquote></p><p> The other part was fiscal Q4 outlook. While Apple did not provide specific guidance on revenues, it offered directional commentary on sales and offered projections on other P&L items (see below):</p><p><blockquote>另一部分是第四季度财政展望。虽然苹果没有提供具体的收入指导，但它对销售提供了方向性评论，并对其他损益项目提供了预测（见下文）：</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li><b>Revenue</b>: Double-digit growth, absent a COVID-19 comeback, but at a rate lower than the 36% seen in June quarter due to foreign exchange, normalization of services trend, and even worse supply constraints on iPhone and iPad.</li> <li><b>Below revenue line</b>: GM between 41.5% and 42.5%, opex between $11.3 billion and $11.5 billion, other income zero, tax rate of 16%.</li> </ul> I went ahead and plugged in the numbers. Wall Street projects revenue growth of 30% in fiscal Q4, which is in line with Apple’s vague outlook. Assuming the mid-point of the guidance range on all other P&L items, I estimate that next quarter’s EPS consensus should settle at $1.21 – about ten cents above where it currently stands.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>收入</b>：在没有COVID-19卷土重来的情况下，实现了两位数的增长，但由于外汇、服务趋势正常化以及iPhone和iPad更严重的供应限制，增长率低于6月份季度的36%。</li><li><b>收入线以下</b>：GM在41.5%至42.5%之间，opex在113亿美元至115亿美元之间，其他收入为零，税率为16%。</li></ul>我继续输入数字。华尔街预计第四财季营收将增长30%，这与苹果模糊的前景一致。假设所有其他损益项目指导范围的中点，我估计下一季度的每股收益共识应稳定在1.21美元，比目前高出约10美分。</blockquote></p><p> Lastly, consider that Apple has topped EPS consensus by 14 cents each quarter for the past ten periods. Add ten plus fourteen cents to the $5.47 mentioned above, and we are looking at a reasonable estimate of $5.71 in EPS for the current fiscal year. This represents a current P/E of only 25 times on the stock.</p><p><blockquote>最后，考虑一下苹果在过去十个时期中每个季度的每股收益都比市场普遍预期高出14美分。在上面提到的5.47美元的基础上加上10加14美分，我们认为本财年每股收益的合理估计为5.71美元。这意味着该股目前的市盈率仅为25倍。</blockquote></p><p> This could be just an interesting coincidence, but a current-year P/E of 25 times was precisely the multiple that AAPL commanded in early May, before it leaped to nearly $150 per share last week. If I considered the stock a “confident buy” back then, I should have the same opinion now, at least for the sake of consistency.</p><p><blockquote>这可能只是一个有趣的巧合，但今年25倍的市盈率正是AAPL在5月初的市盈率，然后上周跃升至每股近150美元。如果我当时认为这只股票是“有信心买入”，那么我现在应该有同样的看法，至少为了一致性。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/stock/apple-stock-is-cheap-here-is-why\">TheStreet</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/stock/apple-stock-is-cheap-here-is-why","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1138453945","content_text":"Apple delivered strong Q3 results, but the stock went nowhere. The Apple Maven argues that AAPL is attractively valued once again. Here is why.\nDespiteApple’s outstanding fiscal third quarter numbers, reported on July 27, Apple stock failed to find support. Shares were down -1.2% after the quarterly report, after having dipped another -1.5% on earnings day itself.\nSome, including BMO Capital’s Tim Long, have argued that AAPL has reached fair valuation. I, on the other hand, believe that the stock has returned to being attractively priced. I present below the calculations that support my thesis.\nFigure 1: New York Apple Store (Fifth Avenue).\nGreat business, good valuation\nI can not start a debate about Apple stock price and valuations without emphasizing what seems obvious to me. Apple has been executing flawlessly as of late, both during the COVID-19 crisis and through the messy post-pandemic environment of supply chain challenges, limited access to physical stores, etc.\nThat said, my main concern regarding Apple stock, if at all, tends to be valuations. Around mid-May, I presented the graph below as a key reason to “confidently buy Apple” on year-to-date weakness. Since the day of that article, AAPL has climbed 14% in just short of 12 weeks against the S&P 500’s 5% rise.\nFigure 2: AAPL - Historical valuation multiples.\nCounterintuitively, despite the recent rally, I think that Apple shares have started to head towards undervaluation once again. Think of current year P/E of 28 times as a starting point, which seems rich at first glance. This multiple is based on pre-earnings EPS consensus of $5.18 for fiscal 2021.\nAfter July 27, Apple’s management team presented investors with two new pieces of information. First, fiscal Q3 consensus EPS of $1.01 proved to be understated by 29 cents. Mathematically, and adjusting only for the most recent earnings beat, full-year EPS estimates should have been closer to $5.47.\nThe other part was fiscal Q4 outlook. While Apple did not provide specific guidance on revenues, it offered directional commentary on sales and offered projections on other P&L items (see below):\n\nRevenue: Double-digit growth, absent a COVID-19 comeback, but at a rate lower than the 36% seen in June quarter due to foreign exchange, normalization of services trend, and even worse supply constraints on iPhone and iPad.\nBelow revenue line: GM between 41.5% and 42.5%, opex between $11.3 billion and $11.5 billion, other income zero, tax rate of 16%.\n\nI went ahead and plugged in the numbers. Wall Street projects revenue growth of 30% in fiscal Q4, which is in line with Apple’s vague outlook. Assuming the mid-point of the guidance range on all other P&L items, I estimate that next quarter’s EPS consensus should settle at $1.21 – about ten cents above where it currently stands.\nLastly, consider that Apple has topped EPS consensus by 14 cents each quarter for the past ten periods. Add ten plus fourteen cents to the $5.47 mentioned above, and we are looking at a reasonable estimate of $5.71 in EPS for the current fiscal year. This represents a current P/E of only 25 times on the stock.\nThis could be just an interesting coincidence, but a current-year P/E of 25 times was precisely the multiple that AAPL commanded in early May, before it leaped to nearly $150 per share last week. If I considered the stock a “confident buy” back then, I should have the same opinion now, at least for the sake of consistency.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":268,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":21,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/806107049"}
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