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2021-09-03

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3 ways the Delta variant will hurt the US jobs market<blockquote>德尔塔变异毒株将损害美国就业市场的三种方式</blockquote>

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{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"detailType":1,"isChannel":false,"data":{"magic":2,"id":815928299,"tweetId":"815928299","gmtCreate":1630637051611,"gmtModify":1631891502134,"author":{"id":3566190997597521,"idStr":"3566190997597521","authorId":3566190997597521,"authorIdStr":"3566190997597521","name":"HillaryV","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5e41a8432102fa946fee83eeb1384d7","vip":1,"userType":1,"introduction":"","boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[],"wearingBadges":[],"fanSize":34,"starInvestorFlag":false},"themes":[],"images":[],"coverImages":[],"title":"","extraTitle":"","html":"<html><head></head><body>Comment and like</body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body>Comment and like</body></html>","text":"Comment and like","highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/815928299","repostId":1138488153,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1138488153","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1630636005,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1138488153?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-03 10:26","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 ways the Delta variant will hurt the US jobs market<blockquote>德尔塔变异毒株将损害美国就业市场的三种方式</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1138488153","media":"cnn","summary":"The sharp decline in Covid cases during the first half of 2021 raised expectations that the pandemic","content":"The sharp decline in Covid cases during the first half of 2021 raised expectations that the pandemic would gradually die down and the jobs market would return to normal by year's end. But the Delta variant has scrambled that labor market outlook for this year and beyond, with an increasing number of infections, hospitalizations and deaths.<blockquote>二零二一年上半年新冠病例急剧下降，令外界预期疫情将逐渐消退，就业市场将于年底恢复正常。但随着感染、住院和死亡人数的增加，德尔塔变异毒株扰乱了今年及以后的劳动力市场前景。</blockquote> There are three sets of implications this Covid surge has for hiring in the US. We'll start to see the Delta variant's ripple effects as soon as this week's jobs report, in slower employment and labor force growth, as well as a more sluggish rate of offices reopening.<blockquote>Covid激增对美国的招聘有三套影响。一旦本周的就业报告公布，我们就会开始看到 Delta 变体的连锁反应，就业和劳动力增长放缓，办公室重新开业速度放缓。</blockquote> Here's why:<blockquote>原因如下：</blockquote> Consumer demand will soften<blockquote>消费需求将疲软</blockquote> While we are unlikely to return to the restrictive shutdowns we saw last year, the fear of getting infected is likely to impact willingness to engage in in-person activities, including a wide range of consumption categories and work. It is now clear that Covid-19 will stay with us for the foreseeable future, and spending on in-person services in December 2021 will be weaker than had been expected before the Delta variant emerged. As a result, the demand for workers providing these services will be weaker and employment recovery by December 2021 will be far from complete.<blockquote>虽然我们不太可能回到去年看到的限制性关闭，但对被感染的恐惧可能会影响参与面对面活动的意愿，包括广泛的消费类别和工作。现在很明显，在可预见的未来，新冠肺炎将与我们同在，2021年12月的面对面服务支出将弱于德尔塔变异毒株出现前的预期。因此，对提供这些服务的工人的需求将减弱，到2021年12月就业复苏将远未完成。</blockquote> While economic data for July was still solid, August indicators show softening. Real-time statistics show a significant drop in air travel sales, as well as movie theatres' box office returns since July. And Google mobility measures show a drop in travel and leisure-related activities. Early readings from August suggest that consumer confidence has declined, while some businesses are seeing slowing sales.<blockquote>虽然7月份的经济数据仍然稳健，但8月份的指标显示疲软。实时统计数据显示，自 7 月份以来，航空旅行销售额以及电影院票房收入均大幅下降。谷歌移动测量显示，旅行和休闲相关活动有所下降。8 月份的早期数据表明消费者信心下降，而一些企业的销售正在放缓。</blockquote> The increase in infection risk is likely to significantly impact two groups in particular: senior citizens and families with children younger than 12 (and thus not eligible for the vaccine). These groups spend disproportionally more on consumption categories, such as vacations, restaurants, childcare and services catering to kids. These industries are likely to recover more slowly than expected. In addition, given the ongoing global spread of the pandemic, international tourism will not be back to normal anytime soon.<blockquote>感染风险的增加可能会对两个群体产生重大影响：老年人和有12岁以下儿童的家庭（因此没有资格接种疫苗）。这些群体在度假、餐馆、儿童保育和迎合儿童的服务等消费类别上的支出不成比例地增加。这些行业的复苏速度可能比预期要慢。此外，鉴于疫情持续在全球蔓延，国际旅游业不会很快恢复正常。</blockquote> As a result, this week's jobs report and September's will likely show slower than originally expected employment growth, especially in in-person services. In the previous Covid-19 surge from November to January, employment in leisure and hospitality not only slowed down, but declined during that period. The number of jobs available in December 2021 in these industries is likely to be lower than originally expected.<blockquote>因此，本周和9月份的就业报告可能会显示就业增长低于最初预期，尤其是在面对面服务方面。在11月至1月的前一次新冠肺炎疫情激增中，休闲和酒店业的就业不仅放缓，而且在此期间还有所下降。2021年12月这些行业的就业岗位数量可能会低于最初的预期。</blockquote> Labor supply will remain tight<blockquote>劳动力供应仍将紧张</blockquote> We hoped that Covid's continuing decline would reduce or eliminate barriers to returning to work, such as fear of infection or the threat of continued remote learning. But Delta's persistence will keep people out of the job market. Some older workers who have been waiting for infection risk to disappear before they return to work may now retire.<blockquote>我们希望Covid的持续下降将减少或消除重返工作岗位的障碍，如对感染的恐惧或持续远程学习的威胁。但达美航空的坚持会让人们远离就业市场。一些在重返工作岗位前一直在等待感染风险消失的老年工人现在可能会退休。</blockquote> In this week's jobs report and the ones that follow, we are likely to see the recovery in labor force participation lose steam. At the same time, we expect more unemployed workers to find work as the high unemployment benefits gradually expire.<blockquote>在本周的就业报告和接下来的报告中，我们可能会看到劳动力参与率的复苏失去动力。与此同时，随着高额失业救济金逐渐到期，我们预计会有更多失业工人找到工作。</blockquote> Remote work will make it harder to recover<blockquote>远程工作会使恢复变得更加困难</blockquote> Delta's rise will slow the return to the office. The delay will lengthen and increase the economic damage to city centers, where many office buildings are located and where workers spend money on food, retail and other consumption categories. Also, the longer workers and employers settle into a remote work environment, the harder it will be to fully return to the office. The share of remote workers in the post-pandemic new normal may be even higher than expected.<blockquote>达美航空的崛起将减缓重返办公室的速度。延误将延长并增加对市中心的经济损失，许多办公楼都位于市中心，工人在食品、零售和其他消费类别上花钱。此外，员工和雇主适应远程工作环境的时间越长，就越难完全回到办公室。大流行后新常态中远程工作者的份额可能甚至高于预期。</blockquote> At some point, despite the presence of Covid-19, the labor market and the US economy more broadly will return to normal. But unfortunately, with the rise of Delta, this is unlikely to happen in 2021. This week's jobs report, and the ones that follow in 2021, will show smaller growth in the labor force and in employment than originally expected.<blockquote>在某个时候，尽管存在 Covid-19，但劳动力市场和更广泛的美国经济将在某个时候恢复正常。但不幸的是，随着达美航空的崛起，这不太可能在2021年发生。本周的就业报告以及随后的 2021 年就业报告将显示劳动力和就业增长低于最初预期。</blockquote>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 ways the Delta variant will hurt the US jobs market<blockquote>德尔塔变异毒株将损害美国就业市场的三种方式</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 ways the Delta variant will hurt the US jobs market<blockquote>德尔塔变异毒株将损害美国就业市场的三种方式</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\ncnn2021-09-03 10:26\n\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\nThe sharp decline in Covid cases during the first half of 2021 raised expectations that the pandemic would gradually die down and the jobs market would return to normal by year's end. But the Delta variant has scrambled that labor market outlook for this year and beyond, with an increasing number of infections, hospitalizations and deaths.<blockquote>二零二一年上半年新冠病例急剧下降，令外界预期疫情将逐渐消退，就业市场将于年底恢复正常。但随着感染、住院和死亡人数的增加，德尔塔变异毒株扰乱了今年及以后的劳动力市场前景。</blockquote> There are three sets of implications this Covid surge has for hiring in the US. We'll start to see the Delta variant's ripple effects as soon as this week's jobs report, in slower employment and labor force growth, as well as a more sluggish rate of offices reopening.<blockquote>Covid激增对美国的招聘有三套影响。一旦本周的就业报告公布，我们就会开始看到 Delta 变体的连锁反应，就业和劳动力增长放缓，办公室重新开业速度放缓。</blockquote> Here's why:<blockquote>原因如下：</blockquote> Consumer demand will soften<blockquote>消费需求将疲软</blockquote> While we are unlikely to return to the restrictive shutdowns we saw last year, the fear of getting infected is likely to impact willingness to engage in in-person activities, including a wide range of consumption categories and work. It is now clear that Covid-19 will stay with us for the foreseeable future, and spending on in-person services in December 2021 will be weaker than had been expected before the Delta variant emerged. As a result, the demand for workers providing these services will be weaker and employment recovery by December 2021 will be far from complete.<blockquote>虽然我们不太可能回到去年看到的限制性关闭，但对被感染的恐惧可能会影响参与面对面活动的意愿，包括广泛的消费类别和工作。现在很明显，在可预见的未来，新冠肺炎将与我们同在，2021年12月的面对面服务支出将弱于德尔塔变异毒株出现前的预期。因此，对提供这些服务的工人的需求将减弱，到2021年12月就业复苏将远未完成。</blockquote> While economic data for July was still solid, August indicators show softening. Real-time statistics show a significant drop in air travel sales, as well as movie theatres' box office returns since July. And Google mobility measures show a drop in travel and leisure-related activities. Early readings from August suggest that consumer confidence has declined, while some businesses are seeing slowing sales.<blockquote>虽然7月份的经济数据仍然稳健，但8月份的指标显示疲软。实时统计数据显示，自 7 月份以来，航空旅行销售额以及电影院票房收入均大幅下降。谷歌移动测量显示，旅行和休闲相关活动有所下降。8 月份的早期数据表明消费者信心下降，而一些企业的销售正在放缓。</blockquote> The increase in infection risk is likely to significantly impact two groups in particular: senior citizens and families with children younger than 12 (and thus not eligible for the vaccine). These groups spend disproportionally more on consumption categories, such as vacations, restaurants, childcare and services catering to kids. These industries are likely to recover more slowly than expected. In addition, given the ongoing global spread of the pandemic, international tourism will not be back to normal anytime soon.<blockquote>感染风险的增加可能会对两个群体产生重大影响：老年人和有12岁以下儿童的家庭（因此没有资格接种疫苗）。这些群体在度假、餐馆、儿童保育和迎合儿童的服务等消费类别上的支出不成比例地增加。这些行业的复苏速度可能比预期要慢。此外，鉴于疫情持续在全球蔓延，国际旅游业不会很快恢复正常。</blockquote> As a result, this week's jobs report and September's will likely show slower than originally expected employment growth, especially in in-person services. In the previous Covid-19 surge from November to January, employment in leisure and hospitality not only slowed down, but declined during that period. The number of jobs available in December 2021 in these industries is likely to be lower than originally expected.<blockquote>因此，本周和9月份的就业报告可能会显示就业增长低于最初预期，尤其是在面对面服务方面。在11月至1月的前一次新冠肺炎疫情激增中，休闲和酒店业的就业不仅放缓，而且在此期间还有所下降。2021年12月这些行业的就业岗位数量可能会低于最初的预期。</blockquote> Labor supply will remain tight<blockquote>劳动力供应仍将紧张</blockquote> We hoped that Covid's continuing decline would reduce or eliminate barriers to returning to work, such as fear of infection or the threat of continued remote learning. But Delta's persistence will keep people out of the job market. Some older workers who have been waiting for infection risk to disappear before they return to work may now retire.<blockquote>我们希望Covid的持续下降将减少或消除重返工作岗位的障碍，如对感染的恐惧或持续远程学习的威胁。但达美航空的坚持会让人们远离就业市场。一些在重返工作岗位前一直在等待感染风险消失的老年工人现在可能会退休。</blockquote> In this week's jobs report and the ones that follow, we are likely to see the recovery in labor force participation lose steam. At the same time, we expect more unemployed workers to find work as the high unemployment benefits gradually expire.<blockquote>在本周的就业报告和接下来的报告中，我们可能会看到劳动力参与率的复苏失去动力。与此同时，随着高额失业救济金逐渐到期，我们预计会有更多失业工人找到工作。</blockquote> Remote work will make it harder to recover<blockquote>远程工作会使恢复变得更加困难</blockquote> Delta's rise will slow the return to the office. The delay will lengthen and increase the economic damage to city centers, where many office buildings are located and where workers spend money on food, retail and other consumption categories. Also, the longer workers and employers settle into a remote work environment, the harder it will be to fully return to the office. The share of remote workers in the post-pandemic new normal may be even higher than expected.<blockquote>达美航空的崛起将减缓重返办公室的速度。延误将延长并增加对市中心的经济损失，许多办公楼都位于市中心，工人在食品、零售和其他消费类别上花钱。此外，员工和雇主适应远程工作环境的时间越长，就越难完全回到办公室。大流行后新常态中远程工作者的份额可能甚至高于预期。</blockquote> At some point, despite the presence of Covid-19, the labor market and the US economy more broadly will return to normal. But unfortunately, with the rise of Delta, this is unlikely to happen in 2021. This week's jobs report, and the ones that follow in 2021, will show smaller growth in the labor force and in employment than originally expected.<blockquote>在某个时候，尽管存在 Covid-19，但劳动力市场和更广泛的美国经济将在某个时候恢复正常。但不幸的是，随着达美航空的崛起，这不太可能在2021年发生。本周的就业报告以及随后的 2021 年就业报告将显示劳动力和就业增长低于最初预期。</blockquote>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n 来源：<a href=\"https://edition.cnn.com/2021/09/02/perspectives/us-jobs-market-economic-recovery/index.html\">cnn</a>\n为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://edition.cnn.com/2021/09/02/perspectives/us-jobs-market-economic-recovery/index.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1138488153","content_text":"The sharp decline in Covid cases during the first half of 2021 raised expectations that the pandemic would gradually die down and the jobs market would return to normal by year's end. But the Delta variant has scrambled that labor market outlook for this year and beyond, with an increasing number of infections, hospitalizations and deaths.\nThere are three sets of implications this Covid surge has for hiring in the US. We'll start to see the Delta variant's ripple effects as soon as this week's jobs report, in slower employment and labor force growth, as well as a more sluggish rate of offices reopening.\nHere's why:\nConsumer demand will soften\nWhile we are unlikely to return to the restrictive shutdowns we saw last year, the fear of getting infected is likely to impact willingness to engage in in-person activities, including a wide range of consumption categories and work. It is now clear that Covid-19 will stay with us for the foreseeable future, and spending on in-person services in December 2021 will be weaker than had been expected before the Delta variant emerged. As a result, the demand for workers providing these services will be weaker and employment recovery by December 2021 will be far from complete.\nWhile economic data for July was still solid, August indicators show softening. Real-time statistics show a significant drop in air travel sales, as well as movie theatres' box office returns since July. And Google mobility measures show a drop in travel and leisure-related activities. Early readings from August suggest that consumer confidence has declined, while some businesses are seeing slowing sales.\nThe increase in infection risk is likely to significantly impact two groups in particular: senior citizens and families with children younger than 12 (and thus not eligible for the vaccine). These groups spend disproportionally more on consumption categories, such as vacations, restaurants, childcare and services catering to kids. These industries are likely to recover more slowly than expected. In addition, given the ongoing global spread of the pandemic, international tourism will not be back to normal anytime soon.\nAs a result, this week's jobs report and September's will likely show slower than originally expected employment growth, especially in in-person services. In the previous Covid-19 surge from November to January, employment in leisure and hospitality not only slowed down, but declined during that period. The number of jobs available in December 2021 in these industries is likely to be lower than originally expected.\nLabor supply will remain tight\nWe hoped that Covid's continuing decline would reduce or eliminate barriers to returning to work, such as fear of infection or the threat of continued remote learning. But Delta's persistence will keep people out of the job market. Some older workers who have been waiting for infection risk to disappear before they return to work may now retire.\nIn this week's jobs report and the ones that follow, we are likely to see the recovery in labor force participation lose steam. At the same time, we expect more unemployed workers to find work as the high unemployment benefits gradually expire.\nRemote work will make it harder to recover\nDelta's rise will slow the return to the office. The delay will lengthen and increase the economic damage to city centers, where many office buildings are located and where workers spend money on food, retail and other consumption categories. Also, the longer workers and employers settle into a remote work environment, the harder it will be to fully return to the office. The share of remote workers in the post-pandemic new normal may be even higher than expected.\nAt some point, despite the presence of Covid-19, the labor market and the US economy more broadly will return to normal. But unfortunately, with the rise of Delta, this is unlikely to happen in 2021. This week's jobs report, and the ones that follow in 2021, will show smaller growth in the labor force and in employment than originally expected.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1157,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":14,"subscribersOnly":false,"subscribersOnlyAccessible":false,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/815928299"}