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2021-09-01
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September Is the Stock Market’s Worst Month. History Says This Time Could Be Different.<blockquote>九月是股市最糟糕的一个月。历史表明这一次可能会有所不同。</blockquote>
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History Says This Time Could Be Different.<blockquote>九月是股市最糟糕的一个月。历史表明这一次可能会有所不同。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1121703403","media":"Barron's","summary":"The stock market usually performs poorly in September. This year could be different, precisely becau","content":"<p>The stock market usually performs poorly in September. This year could be different, precisely because shares have already risen so much for the year.</p><p><blockquote>9月份股市通常表现不佳。今年可能会有所不同,正是因为今年股价已经上涨了很多。</blockquote></p><p> September is usually one of the worst months of the year for the stock market, but shares do better at times when they have already done well. Over the years dating back to 1928, the average September return for the S&P 500 has been a loss of 0.99%. That makes the month far worse than May, which ranks second in providing gloom for investors with an average loss of 0.11%.</p><p><blockquote>九月通常是股市一年中最糟糕的月份之一,但当股价已经表现良好时,有时会表现更好。自1928年以来的这些年里,标普500 9月份的平均回报率为亏损0.99%。这使得这个月比5月份要糟糕得多,5月份在给投资者带来悲观情绪方面排名第二,平均损失为0.11%。</blockquote></p><p> History indicates that September 2021 could be a good month for stocks. In the years since 1928 when the S&P 500 rose by more than 13% for the first six months, the index’s median September gain was 1.4%, according to Fundstrat. Through June this year, the broad market benchmark rallied 14%.</p><p><blockquote>历史表明,2021年9月可能是股市的好月份。根据Fundstrat的数据,自1928年以来,标普500前六个月涨幅超过13%,而该指数9月份的涨幅中位数为1.4%。截至今年6月,大盘基准上涨了14%。</blockquote></p><p> The index rose in September in 63% of the years when the market charged ahead from January through June, while it fell during the month in 54% of the years during that overall span.</p><p><blockquote>在1月至6月市场上涨的年份中,有63%的年份该指数在9月份上涨,而在整个期间,有54%的年份该指数在当月下跌。</blockquote></p><p> The stock market’s recent rise has bolstered hopes the index will do well for the rest of the year. Strategists at Wells Fargo recently lifted their target for the S&P 500 to a level that reflects more than 6% upside from the index’s current level. They say that in years in which the index sees double-digit gains in percentage terms for the first eight months, it rises another 8% to top off the year. The data goes back to 1990.</p><p><blockquote>股市最近的上涨增强了人们对该指数今年剩余时间表现良好的希望。富国银行的策略师最近将标普500的目标上调至该指数较当前水平上涨6%以上的水平。他们表示,在前八个月该指数百分比出现两位数增长的年份,该指数会再上涨8%,达到年底。数据可以追溯到1990年。</blockquote></p><p> The index closed Thursday at 4522.68, ending August with a year-to-date gain of 20.4%.</p><p><blockquote>该指数周四收于4522.68点,截至8月份,今年迄今已上涨20.4%。</blockquote></p><p> Just be aware that the ride upward could be bumpy. The S&P 500 hasn’t had a pullback of more than 5% this year. With several risks on the horizon, including a corporate-tax increase that could reduce aggregate S&P 500 earnings per share by 5%, stocks could see a correction.</p><p><blockquote>请注意,向上的过程可能会很颠簸。标普500今年的回调幅度从未超过5%。由于多种风险即将出现,包括公司税增加可能使标普500每股收益总额减少5%,股市可能会出现回调。</blockquote></p><p> “Markets are ‘overbought’ and due for a pullback,” writes Tom Lee, Fundstrat’s head of research. Just don’t be surprised to see the market gain some more.</p><p><blockquote>Fundstrat研究主管汤姆·李写道:“市场已‘过度买入’,且应会出现回调现象。”不要惊讶地看到市场又涨了一些。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1610680873436","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>September Is the Stock Market’s Worst Month. History Says This Time Could Be Different.<blockquote>九月是股市最糟糕的一个月。历史表明这一次可能会有所不同。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSeptember Is the Stock Market’s Worst Month. History Says This Time Could Be Different.<blockquote>九月是股市最糟糕的一个月。历史表明这一次可能会有所不同。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barron's</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-01 11:49</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The stock market usually performs poorly in September. This year could be different, precisely because shares have already risen so much for the year.</p><p><blockquote>9月份股市通常表现不佳。今年可能会有所不同,正是因为今年股价已经上涨了很多。</blockquote></p><p> September is usually one of the worst months of the year for the stock market, but shares do better at times when they have already done well. Over the years dating back to 1928, the average September return for the S&P 500 has been a loss of 0.99%. That makes the month far worse than May, which ranks second in providing gloom for investors with an average loss of 0.11%.</p><p><blockquote>九月通常是股市一年中最糟糕的月份之一,但当股价已经表现良好时,有时会表现更好。自1928年以来的这些年里,标普500 9月份的平均回报率为亏损0.99%。这使得这个月比5月份要糟糕得多,5月份在给投资者带来悲观情绪方面排名第二,平均损失为0.11%。</blockquote></p><p> History indicates that September 2021 could be a good month for stocks. In the years since 1928 when the S&P 500 rose by more than 13% for the first six months, the index’s median September gain was 1.4%, according to Fundstrat. Through June this year, the broad market benchmark rallied 14%.</p><p><blockquote>历史表明,2021年9月可能是股市的好月份。根据Fundstrat的数据,自1928年以来,标普500前六个月涨幅超过13%,而该指数9月份的涨幅中位数为1.4%。截至今年6月,大盘基准上涨了14%。</blockquote></p><p> The index rose in September in 63% of the years when the market charged ahead from January through June, while it fell during the month in 54% of the years during that overall span.</p><p><blockquote>在1月至6月市场上涨的年份中,有63%的年份该指数在9月份上涨,而在整个期间,有54%的年份该指数在当月下跌。</blockquote></p><p> The stock market’s recent rise has bolstered hopes the index will do well for the rest of the year. Strategists at Wells Fargo recently lifted their target for the S&P 500 to a level that reflects more than 6% upside from the index’s current level. They say that in years in which the index sees double-digit gains in percentage terms for the first eight months, it rises another 8% to top off the year. The data goes back to 1990.</p><p><blockquote>股市最近的上涨增强了人们对该指数今年剩余时间表现良好的希望。富国银行的策略师最近将标普500的目标上调至该指数较当前水平上涨6%以上的水平。他们表示,在前八个月该指数百分比出现两位数增长的年份,该指数会再上涨8%,达到年底。数据可以追溯到1990年。</blockquote></p><p> The index closed Thursday at 4522.68, ending August with a year-to-date gain of 20.4%.</p><p><blockquote>该指数周四收于4522.68点,截至8月份,今年迄今已上涨20.4%。</blockquote></p><p> Just be aware that the ride upward could be bumpy. The S&P 500 hasn’t had a pullback of more than 5% this year. With several risks on the horizon, including a corporate-tax increase that could reduce aggregate S&P 500 earnings per share by 5%, stocks could see a correction.</p><p><blockquote>请注意,向上的过程可能会很颠簸。标普500今年的回调幅度从未超过5%。由于多种风险即将出现,包括公司税增加可能使标普500每股收益总额减少5%,股市可能会出现回调。</blockquote></p><p> “Markets are ‘overbought’ and due for a pullback,” writes Tom Lee, Fundstrat’s head of research. Just don’t be surprised to see the market gain some more.</p><p><blockquote>Fundstrat研究主管汤姆·李写道:“市场已‘过度买入’,且应会出现回调现象。”不要惊讶地看到市场又涨了一些。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/september-stocks-what-happens-next-51630442637?mod=hp_LATEST\">Barron's</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/september-stocks-what-happens-next-51630442637?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1121703403","content_text":"The stock market usually performs poorly in September. This year could be different, precisely because shares have already risen so much for the year.\nSeptember is usually one of the worst months of the year for the stock market, but shares do better at times when they have already done well. Over the years dating back to 1928, the average September return for the S&P 500 has been a loss of 0.99%. That makes the month far worse than May, which ranks second in providing gloom for investors with an average loss of 0.11%.\nHistory indicates that September 2021 could be a good month for stocks. In the years since 1928 when the S&P 500 rose by more than 13% for the first six months, the index’s median September gain was 1.4%, according to Fundstrat. Through June this year, the broad market benchmark rallied 14%.\nThe index rose in September in 63% of the years when the market charged ahead from January through June, while it fell during the month in 54% of the years during that overall span.\nThe stock market’s recent rise has bolstered hopes the index will do well for the rest of the year. Strategists at Wells Fargo recently lifted their target for the S&P 500 to a level that reflects more than 6% upside from the index’s current level. They say that in years in which the index sees double-digit gains in percentage terms for the first eight months, it rises another 8% to top off the year. The data goes back to 1990.\nThe index closed Thursday at 4522.68, ending August with a year-to-date gain of 20.4%.\nJust be aware that the ride upward could be bumpy. The S&P 500 hasn’t had a pullback of more than 5% this year. With several risks on the horizon, including a corporate-tax increase that could reduce aggregate S&P 500 earnings per share by 5%, stocks could see a correction.\n“Markets are ‘overbought’ and due for a pullback,” writes Tom Lee, Fundstrat’s head of research. Just don’t be surprised to see the market gain some more.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2988,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":10,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/816352275"}
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