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2021-08-24

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There's a market conundrum developing that casts a shadow over risk taking<blockquote>市场出现了一个难题，给冒险行为蒙上了阴影</blockquote>

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{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"detailType":1,"isChannel":false,"data":{"magic":2,"id":834293352,"tweetId":"834293352","gmtCreate":1629804328376,"gmtModify":1631887408297,"author":{"id":3577186497704650,"idStr":"3577186497704650","authorId":3577186497704650,"authorIdStr":"3577186497704650","name":"sleepy90","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e8532cceb0ce5a5b6ec28e16237bb5fe","vip":1,"userType":1,"introduction":"","boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[],"wearingBadges":[],"fanSize":10,"starInvestorFlag":false},"themes":[],"images":[],"coverImages":[],"title":"","extraTitle":"","html":"<html><head></head><body>Comment</body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body>Comment</body></html>","text":"Comment","highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":47,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/834293352","repostId":2161088789,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2161088789","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1629803445,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/2161088789?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-24 19:10","market":"us","language":"en","title":"There's a market conundrum developing that casts a shadow over risk taking<blockquote>市场出现了一个难题，给冒险行为蒙上了阴影</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2161088789","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"The market optimism switch has been turned back on, judging by the performance in markets on Monday ","content":"The market optimism switch has been turned back on, judging by the performance in markets on Monday -- where the S&amp;P 500 ended at its second-highest level ever -- and the early moves on Tuesday.<blockquote>从周一的市场表现（标普500收于有史以来第二高水平）和周二的早盘走势来看，市场乐观情绪的开关已经重新打开。</blockquote> But the technical outlook across multiple markets isn't conducive for risky assets, according to Paul Ciana, the chief global fixed income, currencies and commodities technical strategist at Bank of America.<blockquote>但美国银行首席全球固定收益、货币和大宗商品技术策略师 Paul Ciana 表示，多个市场的技术前景不利于风险资产。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a9f01a1f0e0b6743ce3810783541dc8d\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"491\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><blockquote></blockquote> The ratio of the U.S. treasury bond future vs. Russell 2000 index reached a new all-time low in March, and has since turned higher. When this ratio has turned up from such low levels before, it has preceded a period when the bond market outperformed the Russell 2000, he says.<blockquote>美国国债期货与罗素2000指数的比率在3月份创下历史新低，此后不断走高。他说，当这个比率从之前的如此低水平上升时，它是在债券市场表现优于罗素2000指数的时期之前的。</blockquote> Bonds also have turned up vs. copper and oil.<blockquote>债券相对于铜和石油也出现了上涨。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df16bd6d903f67be495727e1b0b4b7e1\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"642\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><blockquote></blockquote> Moreover, the charts of the U.S. dollar suggest the greenback is positioned to outperform bonds, the Russell 2000, copper and oil. The last time the dollar \"double-bottomed\" vs. the Russell 2000, it outperformed in 2018 and 2014.<blockquote>此外，美元图表显示美元的表现优于债券、罗素 2000 指数、铜和石油。上一次美元兑罗素2000指数“双底”时，2018年和2014年的表现优于美元。</blockquote> \"This cross-asset conundrum casts a shadow over risk taking in the second half of 2021,\" he says.<blockquote>“这种跨资产难题给 2021 年下半年的风险承担蒙上了阴影，”他说。</blockquote> Technical analysis by its very definition excludes fundamental analysis, but a world where bonds and the dollar rally would be consistent with a global economy struggling to maintain its momentum. Recent economic data have disappointed analysts, including Monday's report showing a drop in the U.S. composite purchasing managers index to an eight-month low.<blockquote>技术分析顾名思义不包括基本面分析，但在这个世界里，债券和美元的上涨将与全球经济努力保持势头是一致的。最近的经济数据令分析师感到失望，包括周一的报告显示美国综合采购经理人指数降至八个月低点。</blockquote>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>There's a market conundrum developing that casts a shadow over risk taking<blockquote>市场出现了一个难题，给冒险行为蒙上了阴影</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThere's a market conundrum developing that casts a shadow over risk taking<blockquote>市场出现了一个难题，给冒险行为蒙上了阴影</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\nMarketWatch2021-08-24 19:10\n\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\nThe market optimism switch has been turned back on, judging by the performance in markets on Monday -- where the S&amp;P 500 ended at its second-highest level ever -- and the early moves on Tuesday.<blockquote>从周一的市场表现（标普500收于有史以来第二高水平）和周二的早盘走势来看，市场乐观情绪的开关已经重新打开。</blockquote> But the technical outlook across multiple markets isn't conducive for risky assets, according to Paul Ciana, the chief global fixed income, currencies and commodities technical strategist at Bank of America.<blockquote>但美国银行首席全球固定收益、货币和大宗商品技术策略师 Paul Ciana 表示，多个市场的技术前景不利于风险资产。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a9f01a1f0e0b6743ce3810783541dc8d\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"491\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><blockquote></blockquote> The ratio of the U.S. treasury bond future vs. Russell 2000 index reached a new all-time low in March, and has since turned higher. When this ratio has turned up from such low levels before, it has preceded a period when the bond market outperformed the Russell 2000, he says.<blockquote>美国国债期货与罗素2000指数的比率在3月份创下历史新低，此后不断走高。他说，当这个比率从之前的如此低水平上升时，它是在债券市场表现优于罗素2000指数的时期之前的。</blockquote> Bonds also have turned up vs. copper and oil.<blockquote>债券相对于铜和石油也出现了上涨。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df16bd6d903f67be495727e1b0b4b7e1\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"642\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><blockquote></blockquote> Moreover, the charts of the U.S. dollar suggest the greenback is positioned to outperform bonds, the Russell 2000, copper and oil. The last time the dollar \"double-bottomed\" vs. the Russell 2000, it outperformed in 2018 and 2014.<blockquote>此外，美元图表显示美元的表现优于债券、罗素 2000 指数、铜和石油。上一次美元兑罗素2000指数“双底”时，2018年和2014年的表现优于美元。</blockquote> \"This cross-asset conundrum casts a shadow over risk taking in the second half of 2021,\" he says.<blockquote>“这种跨资产难题给 2021 年下半年的风险承担蒙上了阴影，”他说。</blockquote> Technical analysis by its very definition excludes fundamental analysis, but a world where bonds and the dollar rally would be consistent with a global economy struggling to maintain its momentum. Recent economic data have disappointed analysts, including Monday's report showing a drop in the U.S. composite purchasing managers index to an eight-month low.<blockquote>技术分析顾名思义不包括基本面分析，但在这个世界里，债券和美元的上涨将与全球经济努力保持势头是一致的。最近的经济数据令分析师感到失望，包括周一的报告显示美国综合采购经理人指数降至八个月低点。</blockquote>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/theres-a-market-conundrum-developing-that-casts-a-shadow-over-risk-taking-bank-of-america-technical-analyst-says-11629802619?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a>\n为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/theres-a-market-conundrum-developing-that-casts-a-shadow-over-risk-taking-bank-of-america-technical-analyst-says-11629802619?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2161088789","content_text":"The market optimism switch has been turned back on, judging by the performance in markets on Monday -- where the S&P 500 ended at its second-highest level ever -- and the early moves on Tuesday.\nBut the technical outlook across multiple markets isn't conducive for risky assets, according to Paul Ciana, the chief global fixed income, currencies and commodities technical strategist at Bank of America.\n\nThe ratio of the U.S. treasury bond future vs. Russell 2000 index reached a new all-time low in March, and has since turned higher. When this ratio has turned up from such low levels before, it has preceded a period when the bond market outperformed the Russell 2000, he says.\nBonds also have turned up vs. copper and oil.\n\nMoreover, the charts of the U.S. dollar suggest the greenback is positioned to outperform bonds, the Russell 2000, copper and oil. The last time the dollar \"double-bottomed\" vs. the Russell 2000, it outperformed in 2018 and 2014.\n\"This cross-asset conundrum casts a shadow over risk taking in the second half of 2021,\" he says.\nTechnical analysis by its very definition excludes fundamental analysis, but a world where bonds and the dollar rally would be consistent with a global economy struggling to maintain its momentum. Recent economic data have disappointed analysts, including Monday's report showing a drop in the U.S. composite purchasing managers index to an eight-month low.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2747,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":7,"subscribersOnly":false,"subscribersOnlyAccessible":false,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/834293352"}