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2021-08-24

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There's a market conundrum developing that casts a shadow over risk taking<blockquote>市场难题的发展给冒险蒙上了阴影</blockquote>

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When this ratio has turned up from such low levels before, it has preceded a period when the bond market outperformed the Russell 2000, he says.<blockquote>美国国债期货与罗素2000指数的比值在3月创下历史新低，此后转高。他表示，当这一比率从之前的低水平上升时，就已经出现了债券市场表现优于罗素2000指数的时期。</blockquote> Bonds also have turned up vs. copper and oil.<blockquote>相对于铜和石油，债券也有所上涨。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df16bd6d903f67be495727e1b0b4b7e1\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"642\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><blockquote></blockquote> Moreover, the charts of the U.S. dollar suggest the greenback is positioned to outperform bonds, the Russell 2000, copper and oil. The last time the dollar \"double-bottomed\" vs. the Russell 2000, it outperformed in 2018 and 2014.<blockquote>此外，美元图表显示，美元的表现优于债券、罗素2000指数、铜和石油。上一次美元对罗素2000指数“双底”是在2018年和2014年。</blockquote> \"This cross-asset conundrum casts a shadow over risk taking in the second half of 2021,\" he says.<blockquote>“这种跨资产难题给2021年下半年的风险承担蒙上了阴影，”他表示。</blockquote> Technical analysis by its very definition excludes fundamental analysis, but a world where bonds and the dollar rally would be consistent with a global economy struggling to maintain its momentum. Recent economic data have disappointed analysts, including Monday's report showing a drop in the U.S. composite purchasing managers index to an eight-month low.<blockquote>顾名思义，技术分析不包括基本面分析，但在这个世界上，债券和美元的反弹将与全球经济努力保持势头相一致。最近的经济数据令分析师失望，包括周一的报告显示美国综合采购经理人指数跌至八个月低点。</blockquote>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>There's a market conundrum developing that casts a shadow over risk taking<blockquote>市场难题的发展给冒险蒙上了阴影</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThere's a market conundrum developing that casts a shadow over risk taking<blockquote>市场难题的发展给冒险蒙上了阴影</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\nMarketWatch2021-08-24 19:10\n\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\nThe market optimism switch has been turned back on, judging by the performance in markets on Monday -- where the S&amp;P 500 ended at its second-highest level ever -- and the early moves on Tuesday.<blockquote>从周一的市场表现（标普500收于有史以来第二高水平）和周二的早盘走势来看，市场乐观情绪已经重新打开。</blockquote> But the technical outlook across multiple markets isn't conducive for risky assets, according to Paul Ciana, the chief global fixed income, currencies and commodities technical strategist at Bank of America.<blockquote>但美国银行首席全球固定收益、货币和大宗商品技术策略师Paul Ciana表示，多个市场的技术前景不利于风险资产。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a9f01a1f0e0b6743ce3810783541dc8d\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"491\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><blockquote></blockquote> The ratio of the U.S. treasury bond future vs. Russell 2000 index reached a new all-time low in March, and has since turned higher. When this ratio has turned up from such low levels before, it has preceded a period when the bond market outperformed the Russell 2000, he says.<blockquote>美国国债期货与罗素2000指数的比值在3月创下历史新低，此后转高。他表示，当这一比率从之前的低水平上升时，就已经出现了债券市场表现优于罗素2000指数的时期。</blockquote> Bonds also have turned up vs. copper and oil.<blockquote>相对于铜和石油，债券也有所上涨。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df16bd6d903f67be495727e1b0b4b7e1\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"642\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><blockquote></blockquote> Moreover, the charts of the U.S. dollar suggest the greenback is positioned to outperform bonds, the Russell 2000, copper and oil. The last time the dollar \"double-bottomed\" vs. the Russell 2000, it outperformed in 2018 and 2014.<blockquote>此外，美元图表显示，美元的表现优于债券、罗素2000指数、铜和石油。上一次美元对罗素2000指数“双底”是在2018年和2014年。</blockquote> \"This cross-asset conundrum casts a shadow over risk taking in the second half of 2021,\" he says.<blockquote>“这种跨资产难题给2021年下半年的风险承担蒙上了阴影，”他表示。</blockquote> Technical analysis by its very definition excludes fundamental analysis, but a world where bonds and the dollar rally would be consistent with a global economy struggling to maintain its momentum. Recent economic data have disappointed analysts, including Monday's report showing a drop in the U.S. composite purchasing managers index to an eight-month low.<blockquote>顾名思义，技术分析不包括基本面分析，但在这个世界上，债券和美元的反弹将与全球经济努力保持势头相一致。最近的经济数据令分析师失望，包括周一的报告显示美国综合采购经理人指数跌至八个月低点。</blockquote>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/theres-a-market-conundrum-developing-that-casts-a-shadow-over-risk-taking-bank-of-america-technical-analyst-says-11629802619?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a>\n为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/theres-a-market-conundrum-developing-that-casts-a-shadow-over-risk-taking-bank-of-america-technical-analyst-says-11629802619?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2161088789","content_text":"The market optimism switch has been turned back on, judging by the performance in markets on Monday -- where the S&P 500 ended at its second-highest level ever -- and the early moves on Tuesday.\nBut the technical outlook across multiple markets isn't conducive for risky assets, according to Paul Ciana, the chief global fixed income, currencies and commodities technical strategist at Bank of America.\n\nThe ratio of the U.S. treasury bond future vs. Russell 2000 index reached a new all-time low in March, and has since turned higher. When this ratio has turned up from such low levels before, it has preceded a period when the bond market outperformed the Russell 2000, he says.\nBonds also have turned up vs. copper and oil.\n\nMoreover, the charts of the U.S. dollar suggest the greenback is positioned to outperform bonds, the Russell 2000, copper and oil. The last time the dollar \"double-bottomed\" vs. the Russell 2000, it outperformed in 2018 and 2014.\n\"This cross-asset conundrum casts a shadow over risk taking in the second half of 2021,\" he says.\nTechnical analysis by its very definition excludes fundamental analysis, but a world where bonds and the dollar rally would be consistent with a global economy struggling to maintain its momentum. Recent economic data have disappointed analysts, including Monday's report showing a drop in the U.S. composite purchasing managers index to an eight-month low.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2195,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":7,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/834293352"}