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2021-08-24
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What Jackson Hole Could Mean For Apple Stock<blockquote>Jackson Hole对苹果股票意味着什么</blockquote>
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Here is what Apple stock investors should expect.</p><p><blockquote>八月下旬,来自怀俄明州杰克逊霍尔的货币政策消息可能会震动市场。以下是苹果股票投资者应该期待的。</blockquote></p><p> The week of August 23 will likely prove to be an important one in the markets. Starting on Thursday, central bank leaders from around the world will meet virtually to talk about monetary policy during a traditional event often referred to simply as “Jackson Hole”.</p><p><blockquote>8月23日这一周可能是市场上重要的一周。从周四开始,来自世界各地的央行领导人将在一场通常被简称为“杰克逊霍尔”的传统活动中虚拟会面,讨论货币政策。</blockquote></p><p> Today, the Apple Maven discusses how the upcoming meeting of central bankers could impact Apple stock’s performance in the last few trading sessions of August.</p><p><blockquote>今天,这位苹果专家讨论了即将举行的央行行长会议可能如何影响苹果股票在8月最后几个交易日的表现。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fb09ec199963ac68c7742982748bf7a0\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"800\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Figure 1: Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell in a screen display at NYSE.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图1:美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔在纽约证券交易所的屏幕上。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>The interest rate risk</b></p><p><blockquote><b>利率风险</b></blockquote></p><p> There seems to be a consensus that Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell will do little to “rock the boat” this week. Easing off on monetary stimulus is widely expected to occur over the next several months, but few seem confident that Mr. Powell will announce a change in policy as early as August.</p><p><blockquote>人们似乎一致认为,美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔本周不会采取什么“捣乱”的行动。人们普遍预计未来几个月将放松货币刺激,但似乎很少有人相信鲍威尔最早会在8月份宣布政策变化。</blockquote></p><p> Still, the risk that the Fed will start to scale back its asset purchases later this year is real. Analysts will probably dissect Jerome Powell’s keynote speech, on Friday, in search for clues on the exact timing. Comments perceived to be hawkish could send yields higher – the 10-year treasury rate is only 1.3%.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此,美联储将在今年晚些时候开始缩减资产购买规模的风险是真实存在的。分析师可能会剖析杰罗姆·鲍威尔周五的主题演讲,以寻找确切时间的线索。被视为鹰派的言论可能会推高收益率——10年期国债利率仅为1.3%。</blockquote></p><p> If recent history can serve as a guide,climbing yields tend to be bad news for growth stocks. Below are the main reasons why this is the case, as previously discussed on this channel:</p><p><blockquote>如果最近的历史可以作为指导,那么收益率攀升对成长型股票来说往往是个坏消息。以下是造成这种情况的主要原因,正如本频道之前所讨论的:</blockquote></p><p> “First, monetary tightening is a negative for consumption, everything else held constant. Second, a higher discount rate makes Apple’s far-out financial results less valuable in present value terms.” For instance, the 10-year rate shot up from around 1% to nearly 1.5% in February alone. Probably not a coincidence, AAPL sank 8% that same month, while the value-rich Dow index managed to reach higher.</p><p><blockquote>“首先,在其他一切保持不变的情况下,货币紧缩对消费不利。其次,较高的贴现率使得苹果遥远的财务业绩按现值计算价值较低。”例如,仅在2月份,10年期利率就从1%左右飙升至近1.5%。也许并非巧合,AAPL同月下跌了8%,而价值丰富的道琼斯指数却成功走高。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Brace for possible volatility</b></p><p><blockquote><b>为可能的波动做好准备</b></blockquote></p><p> Regardless of which way the stock market may head following the Jackson Hole symposium, volatility could rise as August comes to a close. This is the case because speculation, both on the bullish and bearish sides of the argument, tends to increase around important events like this.</p><p><blockquote>无论杰克逊霍尔研讨会后股市走向何方,随着八月接近尾声,波动性都可能上升。之所以出现这种情况,是因为围绕此类重要事件的猜测,无论是看涨还是看跌,往往都会增加。</blockquote></p><p> Volatility is both good and bad news for Apple stock. Market jitters can be uncomfortable for many investors, and some might be tempted to sell or trim their positions after a selloff. On the other hand, a possible pullback that is unrelated to the company’s fundamentals could open an opportunity to buy AAPL on weakness.</p><p><blockquote>波动对苹果股票来说既是好消息也是坏消息。市场紧张可能会让许多投资者感到不舒服,有些人可能会在抛售后试图出售或削减头寸。另一方面,与公司基本面无关的可能回调可能会带来逢低买入苹果公司的机会。</blockquote></p><p> This is precisely what happened in mid-June, following an important Federal Reserve meeting that the market perceived as hawkish. Those who bought AAPL at those levels, a move defended by the Apple Maven, saw the value of their investment rise by 14% in a matter of only about 10 weeks.</p><p><blockquote>这正是6月中旬发生的事情,此前美联储召开了一次重要会议,市场认为这是鹰派的。那些在这些水平上购买AAPL的人(这位苹果专家为这一举动辩护)发现,他们的投资价值在短短10周内上涨了14%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>What Jackson Hole Could Mean For Apple Stock<blockquote>Jackson Hole对苹果股票意味着什么</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhat Jackson Hole Could Mean For Apple Stock<blockquote>Jackson Hole对苹果股票意味着什么</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">TheStreet</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-24 20:54</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>In late August, the markets could be rocked by monetary policy news coming from Jackson Hole, Wyoming. Here is what Apple stock investors should expect.</p><p><blockquote>八月下旬,来自怀俄明州杰克逊霍尔的货币政策消息可能会震动市场。以下是苹果股票投资者应该期待的。</blockquote></p><p> The week of August 23 will likely prove to be an important one in the markets. Starting on Thursday, central bank leaders from around the world will meet virtually to talk about monetary policy during a traditional event often referred to simply as “Jackson Hole”.</p><p><blockquote>8月23日这一周可能是市场上重要的一周。从周四开始,来自世界各地的央行领导人将在一场通常被简称为“杰克逊霍尔”的传统活动中虚拟会面,讨论货币政策。</blockquote></p><p> Today, the Apple Maven discusses how the upcoming meeting of central bankers could impact Apple stock’s performance in the last few trading sessions of August.</p><p><blockquote>今天,这位苹果专家讨论了即将举行的央行行长会议可能如何影响苹果股票在8月最后几个交易日的表现。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fb09ec199963ac68c7742982748bf7a0\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"800\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Figure 1: Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell in a screen display at NYSE.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图1:美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔在纽约证券交易所的屏幕上。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>The interest rate risk</b></p><p><blockquote><b>利率风险</b></blockquote></p><p> There seems to be a consensus that Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell will do little to “rock the boat” this week. Easing off on monetary stimulus is widely expected to occur over the next several months, but few seem confident that Mr. Powell will announce a change in policy as early as August.</p><p><blockquote>人们似乎一致认为,美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔本周不会采取什么“捣乱”的行动。人们普遍预计未来几个月将放松货币刺激,但似乎很少有人相信鲍威尔最早会在8月份宣布政策变化。</blockquote></p><p> Still, the risk that the Fed will start to scale back its asset purchases later this year is real. Analysts will probably dissect Jerome Powell’s keynote speech, on Friday, in search for clues on the exact timing. Comments perceived to be hawkish could send yields higher – the 10-year treasury rate is only 1.3%.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此,美联储将在今年晚些时候开始缩减资产购买规模的风险是真实存在的。分析师可能会剖析杰罗姆·鲍威尔周五的主题演讲,以寻找确切时间的线索。被视为鹰派的言论可能会推高收益率——10年期国债利率仅为1.3%。</blockquote></p><p> If recent history can serve as a guide,climbing yields tend to be bad news for growth stocks. Below are the main reasons why this is the case, as previously discussed on this channel:</p><p><blockquote>如果最近的历史可以作为指导,那么收益率攀升对成长型股票来说往往是个坏消息。以下是造成这种情况的主要原因,正如本频道之前所讨论的:</blockquote></p><p> “First, monetary tightening is a negative for consumption, everything else held constant. Second, a higher discount rate makes Apple’s far-out financial results less valuable in present value terms.” For instance, the 10-year rate shot up from around 1% to nearly 1.5% in February alone. Probably not a coincidence, AAPL sank 8% that same month, while the value-rich Dow index managed to reach higher.</p><p><blockquote>“首先,在其他一切保持不变的情况下,货币紧缩对消费不利。其次,较高的贴现率使得苹果遥远的财务业绩按现值计算价值较低。”例如,仅在2月份,10年期利率就从1%左右飙升至近1.5%。也许并非巧合,AAPL同月下跌了8%,而价值丰富的道琼斯指数却成功走高。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Brace for possible volatility</b></p><p><blockquote><b>为可能的波动做好准备</b></blockquote></p><p> Regardless of which way the stock market may head following the Jackson Hole symposium, volatility could rise as August comes to a close. This is the case because speculation, both on the bullish and bearish sides of the argument, tends to increase around important events like this.</p><p><blockquote>无论杰克逊霍尔研讨会后股市走向何方,随着八月接近尾声,波动性都可能上升。之所以出现这种情况,是因为围绕此类重要事件的猜测,无论是看涨还是看跌,往往都会增加。</blockquote></p><p> Volatility is both good and bad news for Apple stock. Market jitters can be uncomfortable for many investors, and some might be tempted to sell or trim their positions after a selloff. On the other hand, a possible pullback that is unrelated to the company’s fundamentals could open an opportunity to buy AAPL on weakness.</p><p><blockquote>波动对苹果股票来说既是好消息也是坏消息。市场紧张可能会让许多投资者感到不舒服,有些人可能会在抛售后试图出售或削减头寸。另一方面,与公司基本面无关的可能回调可能会带来逢低买入苹果公司的机会。</blockquote></p><p> This is precisely what happened in mid-June, following an important Federal Reserve meeting that the market perceived as hawkish. Those who bought AAPL at those levels, a move defended by the Apple Maven, saw the value of their investment rise by 14% in a matter of only about 10 weeks.</p><p><blockquote>这正是6月中旬发生的事情,此前美联储召开了一次重要会议,市场认为这是鹰派的。那些在这些水平上购买AAPL的人(这位苹果专家为这一举动辩护)发现,他们的投资价值在短短10周内上涨了14%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/news/what-jackson-hole-could-mean-for-apple-stock\">TheStreet</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/news/what-jackson-hole-could-mean-for-apple-stock","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1192610173","content_text":"In late August, the markets could be rocked by monetary policy news coming from Jackson Hole, Wyoming. Here is what Apple stock investors should expect.\nThe week of August 23 will likely prove to be an important one in the markets. Starting on Thursday, central bank leaders from around the world will meet virtually to talk about monetary policy during a traditional event often referred to simply as “Jackson Hole”.\nToday, the Apple Maven discusses how the upcoming meeting of central bankers could impact Apple stock’s performance in the last few trading sessions of August.\nFigure 1: Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell in a screen display at NYSE.\nThe interest rate risk\nThere seems to be a consensus that Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell will do little to “rock the boat” this week. Easing off on monetary stimulus is widely expected to occur over the next several months, but few seem confident that Mr. Powell will announce a change in policy as early as August.\nStill, the risk that the Fed will start to scale back its asset purchases later this year is real. Analysts will probably dissect Jerome Powell’s keynote speech, on Friday, in search for clues on the exact timing. Comments perceived to be hawkish could send yields higher – the 10-year treasury rate is only 1.3%.\nIf recent history can serve as a guide,climbing yields tend to be bad news for growth stocks. Below are the main reasons why this is the case, as previously discussed on this channel:\n\n “First, monetary tightening is a negative for consumption, everything else held constant. Second, a higher discount rate makes Apple’s far-out financial results less valuable in present value terms.”\n\nFor instance, the 10-year rate shot up from around 1% to nearly 1.5% in February alone. Probably not a coincidence, AAPL sank 8% that same month, while the value-rich Dow index managed to reach higher.\nBrace for possible volatility\nRegardless of which way the stock market may head following the Jackson Hole symposium, volatility could rise as August comes to a close. This is the case because speculation, both on the bullish and bearish sides of the argument, tends to increase around important events like this.\nVolatility is both good and bad news for Apple stock. Market jitters can be uncomfortable for many investors, and some might be tempted to sell or trim their positions after a selloff. On the other hand, a possible pullback that is unrelated to the company’s fundamentals could open an opportunity to buy AAPL on weakness.\nThis is precisely what happened in mid-June, following an important Federal Reserve meeting that the market perceived as hawkish. Those who bought AAPL at those levels, a move defended by the Apple Maven, saw the value of their investment rise by 14% in a matter of only about 10 weeks.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1693,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":2,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/834505269"}
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