4ba26e35
2021-08-25
More challenges ahead
“Infrastructure Plan and Welfare Plan” - The Second “Trouble” That Biden Has to Deal with<blockquote>“基建计划和福利计划”——拜登要处理的第二个“麻烦”</blockquote>
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And what's the second problem? The answer is \"infrastructure plan & welfare plan.\"</p><p><blockquote>隐藏在喀布尔机场背后的危机已经形成了拜登必须面对的第一个麻烦,正如我们在8月23日发布的文章中所讨论的那样。第二个问题是什么?答案是“基础设施计划和福利计划”。</blockquote></p><p> The withdrawal of troops from Afghanistan has made the whole world feel the weakening of US military forces. In the meantime, the troop withdrawal has also given the Democratic Party a reason for infighting. Biden's infrastructure plan has been promoted in a high-profile manner since the first day he took office. However, the infrastructure plan encountered obstacles.</p><p><blockquote>从阿富汗撤军,让全世界都感受到了美国军事力量的削弱。其间,撤军也给了民主党内斗的理由。拜登的基建计划从上任第一天起就高调推进。然而,基建计划遇到了障碍。</blockquote></p><p> According to the statement made by major investment banks in the United States yesterday, it is impossible for these 9 Democratic centrists to kick against the pricks. One reason is that none of these 9 Democratic congressmen are well-known enough. The second reason is that the bills promoted by the White House in the past 40 years have never been successfully \"kidnapped\" by the Democratic centrists. If the 9 Democratic centrists work together, it is indeed possible to prevent both plans from being passed together. If so, the likelihood that the infrastructure plan will not be passed is going to be thicker. Failure to pass the infrastructure plan will not only lead to the collapse of Biden's advantages but also the breakdown of the Democratic Party's mid-term elections next year. Therefore, the market judges that the $4.5 trillion plan will be launched as scheduled.</p><p><blockquote>按照美国各大投行昨日的表态,这9位民主党中间派根本不可能一脚踢到刺头上。一个原因是,这9名民主党议员都不够知名。第二个原因是,过去40年白宫力推的法案从未被民主党中间派成功“绑架”。如果民主党9名中间派共同努力,确实有可能阻止两个方案一起通过。如果是这样,基础设施计划不被通过的可能性将会更大。基建计划不能通过,不仅会导致拜登优势崩塌也会导致民主党明年中期选举的破局。因此,市场判断4.5万亿美元计划将如期推出。</blockquote></p><p> At a superficial level, the struggle is followed by the incompatibility between infrastructure plan and welfare plan; but from a deeper perspective, it is the disharmony between the Democratic centrist and the extreme left-wing.</p><p><blockquote>从表面上看,斗争之后是基建计划与福利计划的不相容;但从更深层次看,则是民主党中间派与极左翼的不和谐。</blockquote></p><p> It is pretty easy for the infrastructure plan to be approved by Congress and the White House alone. But the extreme left-wing realizes that once the $1 trillion infrastructure plan is passed alone, the $3.5 trillion welfare plan will completely come to nothing. So, the left-wing in the House of Representatives got the drop on the issue, indicating that either the two plans are passed together, or none of them are passed. It is said that there are 50 people in the extreme left-wing under the House of Representatives, which makes it hard to offend them.</p><p><blockquote>基础设施计划很容易获得国会和白宫的批准。但极左翼意识到,一旦1万亿美元的基础设施计划单独通过,3.5万亿美元的福利计划将彻底化为乌有。因此,众议院的左翼在这个问题上让步了,表明要么这两个计划一起通过,要么都不通过。据说众议院下面的极左有50人,很难得罪。</blockquote></p><p> Biden's taking the crown in the White House benefited from his identity of Democratic centrist to a large extent. Not only is he a centrist, but the leaders of both houses of the Democratic Party are holding a background of a centrist. However, after Biden came to power, he was unconsciously coerced by the extreme left-wing in the middle of the policy agenda, and the leaders of the two houses of the Democratic Party were kidnapped in thoughts even more severely.</p><p><blockquote>拜登在白宫摘得桂冠,很大程度上得益于其民主党中间派的身份。不仅他是中间派,民主党两院领导人都抱着中间派的背景。但拜登上台后,在施政纲领中段不自觉地被极左翼裹挟,民主党两院领袖在思想上被绑架的情况更加严重。</blockquote></p><p> In terms of the infrastructure plan and welfare plan, the two congressional leaders of the Democratic Party were very active in tying up the two plans, which finally dragged Biden into the mire. However, the statement made by Biden is still vague, suggesting that he is swaying precariously between the approval of the infrastructure plan and the support for both plans. As a result, both the centrists and the extreme left-wing say that their voice represents Biden's opinion.</p><p><blockquote>在基建计划和福利计划方面,民主党两位国会领袖非常积极地将两个计划捆绑在一起,最终将拜登拖入泥潭。然而,拜登的表态仍然含糊其辞,暗示他正在基建计划的批准和两项计划的支持之间摇摆不定。因此,中间派和极左翼都表示,他们的声音代表了拜登的意见。</blockquote></p><p> To pass the vote on Monday night, the leaders made great efforts on these 9 people during the weekend. Disappointedly, not only did the efforts beat a dead horse, but more Democrats were willing to join the group of these 9 people, including the 18-member Democratic Party group Blue Dog. The two Democrats in the Senate also supported the loosening of two plans. It should be noted that the support of these two people is necessary for the implementation of the $3.5 trillion plan. Like the predicament of Kabul Airport, if Biden cannot resolve the battle quickly in this fight, the division will inevitably spread.</p><p><blockquote>为了在周一晚上通过投票,领导们在周末期间在这9个人身上下了很大功夫。令人失望的是,不仅努力得不偿失,更多的民主党人愿意加入这9人的团体,包括18人组成的民主党团体蓝狗。参议院的两名民主党人也支持放松两项计划。需要注意的是,这两个人的支持对于3.5万亿美元计划的实施是必要的。和喀布尔机场的困境一样,拜登在这场战斗中如果不能迅速化解战局,分裂必然会蔓延。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Now, there are 3 choices that Biden can make:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>现在,拜登可以做出3个选择:</b></blockquote></p><p> 1. Persuading these 9 people and other centrists to support the bundling of two plans, with the difficulty factor marking 70 points;</p><p><blockquote>1.说服这9人和其他中间派支持捆绑两个计划,难度系数打70分;</blockquote></p><p> 2. Persuading the extreme left-wing to give up the bundling, with the difficulty factor marking 90 points;</p><p><blockquote>2.劝说极左翼放弃捆绑,难度系数标注90分;</blockquote></p><p> 3. Abandoning the support from the extreme left-wing and trying his best to be endorsed by some Republican congressmen to support the infrastructure plan, with the difficulty factor marking 50 points.</p><p><blockquote>3、放弃来自极左翼的支持,竭力获得部分共和党议员背书,支持基建计划,难度系数为50分。</blockquote></p><p> The third choice is the easiest for the president to make. Biden and Democratic leaders are afraid to mention it now because it will make the left-wing feel \"betrayed,\" which may affect the result of the next election. The first choice is relatively easy, with little impact on the later stage. But, as time goes on, the forces of centrists will grow, too.</p><p><blockquote>第三种选择是总统最容易做出的。拜登和民主党领导人现在不敢提及,因为这会让左翼感到“被背叛”,这可能会影响下次选举的结果。第一种选择相对容易,对后期影响不大。但是,随着时间的推移,中间派的力量也会增长。</blockquote></p><p> If necessary, the decision on the predicament of Kabul Airport will be pended. But for Biden, the implementation of the infrastructure plan is imperative.</p><p><blockquote>如有必要,关于喀布尔机场困境的决定将悬而未决。但对拜登来说,基建计划的实施势在必行。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>“Infrastructure Plan and Welfare Plan” - The Second “Trouble” That Biden Has to Deal with<blockquote>“基建计划和福利计划”——拜登要处理的第二个“麻烦”</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n“Infrastructure Plan and Welfare Plan” - The Second “Trouble” That Biden Has to Deal with<blockquote>“基建计划和福利计划”——拜登要处理的第二个“麻烦”</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-08-24 22:16</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The crises hidden behind the Kabul airport have formed the first trouble that Biden has to face, as we discussed in the article posted on August 23. And what's the second problem? The answer is \"infrastructure plan & welfare plan.\"</p><p><blockquote>隐藏在喀布尔机场背后的危机已经形成了拜登必须面对的第一个麻烦,正如我们在8月23日发布的文章中所讨论的那样。第二个问题是什么?答案是“基础设施计划和福利计划”。</blockquote></p><p> The withdrawal of troops from Afghanistan has made the whole world feel the weakening of US military forces. In the meantime, the troop withdrawal has also given the Democratic Party a reason for infighting. Biden's infrastructure plan has been promoted in a high-profile manner since the first day he took office. However, the infrastructure plan encountered obstacles.</p><p><blockquote>从阿富汗撤军,让全世界都感受到了美国军事力量的削弱。其间,撤军也给了民主党内斗的理由。拜登的基建计划从上任第一天起就高调推进。然而,基建计划遇到了障碍。</blockquote></p><p> According to the statement made by major investment banks in the United States yesterday, it is impossible for these 9 Democratic centrists to kick against the pricks. One reason is that none of these 9 Democratic congressmen are well-known enough. The second reason is that the bills promoted by the White House in the past 40 years have never been successfully \"kidnapped\" by the Democratic centrists. If the 9 Democratic centrists work together, it is indeed possible to prevent both plans from being passed together. If so, the likelihood that the infrastructure plan will not be passed is going to be thicker. Failure to pass the infrastructure plan will not only lead to the collapse of Biden's advantages but also the breakdown of the Democratic Party's mid-term elections next year. Therefore, the market judges that the $4.5 trillion plan will be launched as scheduled.</p><p><blockquote>按照美国各大投行昨日的表态,这9位民主党中间派根本不可能一脚踢到刺头上。一个原因是,这9名民主党议员都不够知名。第二个原因是,过去40年白宫力推的法案从未被民主党中间派成功“绑架”。如果民主党9名中间派共同努力,确实有可能阻止两个方案一起通过。如果是这样,基础设施计划不被通过的可能性将会更大。基建计划不能通过,不仅会导致拜登优势崩塌也会导致民主党明年中期选举的破局。因此,市场判断4.5万亿美元计划将如期推出。</blockquote></p><p> At a superficial level, the struggle is followed by the incompatibility between infrastructure plan and welfare plan; but from a deeper perspective, it is the disharmony between the Democratic centrist and the extreme left-wing.</p><p><blockquote>从表面上看,斗争之后是基建计划与福利计划的不相容;但从更深层次看,则是民主党中间派与极左翼的不和谐。</blockquote></p><p> It is pretty easy for the infrastructure plan to be approved by Congress and the White House alone. But the extreme left-wing realizes that once the $1 trillion infrastructure plan is passed alone, the $3.5 trillion welfare plan will completely come to nothing. So, the left-wing in the House of Representatives got the drop on the issue, indicating that either the two plans are passed together, or none of them are passed. It is said that there are 50 people in the extreme left-wing under the House of Representatives, which makes it hard to offend them.</p><p><blockquote>基础设施计划很容易获得国会和白宫的批准。但极左翼意识到,一旦1万亿美元的基础设施计划单独通过,3.5万亿美元的福利计划将彻底化为乌有。因此,众议院的左翼在这个问题上让步了,表明要么这两个计划一起通过,要么都不通过。据说众议院下面的极左有50人,很难得罪。</blockquote></p><p> Biden's taking the crown in the White House benefited from his identity of Democratic centrist to a large extent. Not only is he a centrist, but the leaders of both houses of the Democratic Party are holding a background of a centrist. However, after Biden came to power, he was unconsciously coerced by the extreme left-wing in the middle of the policy agenda, and the leaders of the two houses of the Democratic Party were kidnapped in thoughts even more severely.</p><p><blockquote>拜登在白宫摘得桂冠,很大程度上得益于其民主党中间派的身份。不仅他是中间派,民主党两院领导人都抱着中间派的背景。但拜登上台后,在施政纲领中段不自觉地被极左翼裹挟,民主党两院领袖在思想上被绑架的情况更加严重。</blockquote></p><p> In terms of the infrastructure plan and welfare plan, the two congressional leaders of the Democratic Party were very active in tying up the two plans, which finally dragged Biden into the mire. However, the statement made by Biden is still vague, suggesting that he is swaying precariously between the approval of the infrastructure plan and the support for both plans. As a result, both the centrists and the extreme left-wing say that their voice represents Biden's opinion.</p><p><blockquote>在基建计划和福利计划方面,民主党两位国会领袖非常积极地将两个计划捆绑在一起,最终将拜登拖入泥潭。然而,拜登的表态仍然含糊其辞,暗示他正在基建计划的批准和两项计划的支持之间摇摆不定。因此,中间派和极左翼都表示,他们的声音代表了拜登的意见。</blockquote></p><p> To pass the vote on Monday night, the leaders made great efforts on these 9 people during the weekend. Disappointedly, not only did the efforts beat a dead horse, but more Democrats were willing to join the group of these 9 people, including the 18-member Democratic Party group Blue Dog. The two Democrats in the Senate also supported the loosening of two plans. It should be noted that the support of these two people is necessary for the implementation of the $3.5 trillion plan. Like the predicament of Kabul Airport, if Biden cannot resolve the battle quickly in this fight, the division will inevitably spread.</p><p><blockquote>为了在周一晚上通过投票,领导们在周末期间在这9个人身上下了很大功夫。令人失望的是,不仅努力得不偿失,更多的民主党人愿意加入这9人的团体,包括18人组成的民主党团体蓝狗。参议院的两名民主党人也支持放松两项计划。需要注意的是,这两个人的支持对于3.5万亿美元计划的实施是必要的。和喀布尔机场的困境一样,拜登在这场战斗中如果不能迅速化解战局,分裂必然会蔓延。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Now, there are 3 choices that Biden can make:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>现在,拜登可以做出3个选择:</b></blockquote></p><p> 1. Persuading these 9 people and other centrists to support the bundling of two plans, with the difficulty factor marking 70 points;</p><p><blockquote>1.说服这9人和其他中间派支持捆绑两个计划,难度系数打70分;</blockquote></p><p> 2. Persuading the extreme left-wing to give up the bundling, with the difficulty factor marking 90 points;</p><p><blockquote>2.劝说极左翼放弃捆绑,难度系数标注90分;</blockquote></p><p> 3. Abandoning the support from the extreme left-wing and trying his best to be endorsed by some Republican congressmen to support the infrastructure plan, with the difficulty factor marking 50 points.</p><p><blockquote>3、放弃来自极左翼的支持,竭力获得部分共和党议员背书,支持基建计划,难度系数为50分。</blockquote></p><p> The third choice is the easiest for the president to make. Biden and Democratic leaders are afraid to mention it now because it will make the left-wing feel \"betrayed,\" which may affect the result of the next election. The first choice is relatively easy, with little impact on the later stage. But, as time goes on, the forces of centrists will grow, too.</p><p><blockquote>第三种选择是总统最容易做出的。拜登和民主党领导人现在不敢提及,因为这会让左翼感到“被背叛”,这可能会影响下次选举的结果。第一种选择相对容易,对后期影响不大。但是,随着时间的推移,中间派的力量也会增长。</blockquote></p><p> If necessary, the decision on the predicament of Kabul Airport will be pended. But for Biden, the implementation of the infrastructure plan is imperative.</p><p><blockquote>如有必要,关于喀布尔机场困境的决定将悬而未决。但对拜登来说,基建计划的实施势在必行。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1123156655","content_text":"The crises hidden behind the Kabul airport have formed the first trouble that Biden has to face, as we discussed in the article posted on August 23. And what's the second problem? The answer is \"infrastructure plan & welfare plan.\"\nThe withdrawal of troops from Afghanistan has made the whole world feel the weakening of US military forces. In the meantime, the troop withdrawal has also given the Democratic Party a reason for infighting. Biden's infrastructure plan has been promoted in a high-profile manner since the first day he took office. However, the infrastructure plan encountered obstacles.\nAccording to the statement made by major investment banks in the United States yesterday, it is impossible for these 9 Democratic centrists to kick against the pricks. One reason is that none of these 9 Democratic congressmen are well-known enough. The second reason is that the bills promoted by the White House in the past 40 years have never been successfully \"kidnapped\" by the Democratic centrists. If the 9 Democratic centrists work together, it is indeed possible to prevent both plans from being passed together. If so, the likelihood that the infrastructure plan will not be passed is going to be thicker. Failure to pass the infrastructure plan will not only lead to the collapse of Biden's advantages but also the breakdown of the Democratic Party's mid-term elections next year. Therefore, the market judges that the $4.5 trillion plan will be launched as scheduled.\nAt a superficial level, the struggle is followed by the incompatibility between infrastructure plan and welfare plan; but from a deeper perspective, it is the disharmony between the Democratic centrist and the extreme left-wing.\nIt is pretty easy for the infrastructure plan to be approved by Congress and the White House alone. But the extreme left-wing realizes that once the $1 trillion infrastructure plan is passed alone, the $3.5 trillion welfare plan will completely come to nothing. So, the left-wing in the House of Representatives got the drop on the issue, indicating that either the two plans are passed together, or none of them are passed. It is said that there are 50 people in the extreme left-wing under the House of Representatives, which makes it hard to offend them.\nBiden's taking the crown in the White House benefited from his identity of Democratic centrist to a large extent. Not only is he a centrist, but the leaders of both houses of the Democratic Party are holding a background of a centrist. However, after Biden came to power, he was unconsciously coerced by the extreme left-wing in the middle of the policy agenda, and the leaders of the two houses of the Democratic Party were kidnapped in thoughts even more severely.\nIn terms of the infrastructure plan and welfare plan, the two congressional leaders of the Democratic Party were very active in tying up the two plans, which finally dragged Biden into the mire. However, the statement made by Biden is still vague, suggesting that he is swaying precariously between the approval of the infrastructure plan and the support for both plans. As a result, both the centrists and the extreme left-wing say that their voice represents Biden's opinion.\nTo pass the vote on Monday night, the leaders made great efforts on these 9 people during the weekend. Disappointedly, not only did the efforts beat a dead horse, but more Democrats were willing to join the group of these 9 people, including the 18-member Democratic Party group Blue Dog. The two Democrats in the Senate also supported the loosening of two plans. It should be noted that the support of these two people is necessary for the implementation of the $3.5 trillion plan. Like the predicament of Kabul Airport, if Biden cannot resolve the battle quickly in this fight, the division will inevitably spread.\nNow, there are 3 choices that Biden can make:\n1. Persuading these 9 people and other centrists to support the bundling of two plans, with the difficulty factor marking 70 points;\n2. Persuading the extreme left-wing to give up the bundling, with the difficulty factor marking 90 points;\n3. Abandoning the support from the extreme left-wing and trying his best to be endorsed by some Republican congressmen to support the infrastructure plan, with the difficulty factor marking 50 points.\nThe third choice is the easiest for the president to make. Biden and Democratic leaders are afraid to mention it now because it will make the left-wing feel \"betrayed,\" which may affect the result of the next election. The first choice is relatively easy, with little impact on the later stage. But, as time goes on, the forces of centrists will grow, too.\nIf necessary, the decision on the predicament of Kabul Airport will be pended. But for Biden, the implementation of the infrastructure plan is imperative.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1360,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":19,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/837960668"}
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