Unicorn82
2021-10-24
Price to increase?
Intel: Good Value Or Value Trap?<blockquote>英特尔：好价值还是价值陷阱？</blockquote>
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(INTC) investors over the past few years.</p><p><blockquote>过去几年，英特尔公司 (INTC) 投资者的处境相当艰难。</blockquote></p><p> It seems like every time the sun comes out...there is another storm right around the corner.</p><p><blockquote>好像每次太阳出来……...又一场暴风雨就在眼前。</blockquote></p><p> As highlighted on the earnings call last night, the next \"storm\" brewing for Intel is continued supply chain issues (component shortages in the PC business) and reduced near-term profitability from rising capital expenditure needs, which has sent the stock plummeting 11% this morning into the abyss.</p><p><blockquote>正如昨晚的财报看涨期权上所强调的那样，英特尔正在酝酿的下一个“风暴”是持续的供应链问题（个人电脑业务的零部件短缺）以及不断上升的资本支出需求导致近期盈利能力下降，这导致该股暴跌11%今天上午陷入深渊。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5bd612f6f25b6e86d7a72b38440d513f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"449\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> However, buying the dips has actually been pretty lucrative in the recent past...if, of course, you were lucky enough to fade the rallies.</p><p><blockquote>然而，在最近的过去，逢低买入实际上是相当有利可图的……当然，如果你足够幸运，赶上了涨势。</blockquote></p><p> To be fair, Intel has had its fair share of challenges this year, despite general tailwinds in the industry (i.e., chip demand far outpacing supply).</p><p><blockquote>公平地说，尽管行业普遍有利（即芯片需求远远超过供应），但英特尔今年仍然面临着相当大的挑战。</blockquote></p><p> Specifically, Intel has had some well-documented manufacturing blunders that have caused major delays and loss of some market share...mainly to Advanced Micro Devices (AMD).</p><p><blockquote>具体来说，英特尔出现了一些有据可查的制造失误，导致了重大延误和部分市场份额的损失……主要是先进微设备公司（AMD）。</blockquote></p><p> This has triggered concern amongst investors that the stock may be a potential \"value trap\" now.</p><p><blockquote>这引发了投资者的担忧，即该股现在可能是一个潜在的“价值陷阱”。</blockquote></p><p> All that said, Intel is dedicated to spending $25 billion to $28 billion in 2022 and just broke ground on some new fabs.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，英特尔致力于在 2022 年斥资 250 亿至 280 亿美元，并且刚刚在一些新晶圆厂上破土动工。</blockquote></p><p> Personally, I don't think we are anywhere near peak demand for chips and I believe that Intel's fabrication capabilities are (and will continue to be) a huge advantage for the company for years to come.</p><p><blockquote>就我个人而言，我认为我们还没有接近芯片需求的峰值，我相信英特尔的制造能力是（并将继续是）该公司未来几年的巨大优势。</blockquote></p><p> So how can we structure a trade to take advantage of the upside potential in the stock (after this pullback) while also protecting ourselves from more near-term downside (if any)?</p><p><blockquote>那么，我们如何组织交易来利用股票的上行潜力（在这次回调之后），同时保护自己免受更多近期下行（如果有的话）的影响呢？</blockquote></p><p> <b>It's a perfect situation for a \"Triple Play\" trade!</b></p><p><blockquote><b>这是“三网融合”交易的完美局面!</b></blockquote></p><p> Intel Corp.</p><p><blockquote>英特尔公司</blockquote></p><p> <b>Sector/Industry:</b>Technology/Semiconductors</p><p><blockquote><b>行业/行业：</b>技术/半导体</blockquote></p><p> Intel is the world's largest chipmaker. It designs and manufactures microprocessors for the global personal computer and data center markets. Intel pioneered the x86 architecture for microprocessors. It was the prime proponent of Moore's Law for advances in semiconductor manufacturing, though the firm has recently faced manufacturing delays. While Intel's server processor business has benefited from the shift to the cloud, the firm has also been expanding into new adjacencies as the personal computer market has stagnated. These include areas such as the Internet of Things, artificial intelligence, and automotive. Intel has been active on the merger and acquisitions front, acquiring Altera, Mobileye, and Habana Labs in order to bolster these efforts in non-PC arenas. <i>Source: YCharts</i></p><p><blockquote>英特尔是全球最大的芯片制造商。它为全球个人电脑和数据中心市场设计和制造微处理器。英特尔是微处理器x86架构的先驱。它是半导体制造进步摩尔定律的主要支持者，尽管该公司最近面临制造延误。虽然英特尔的服务器处理器业务受益于向云的转变，但随着个人电脑市场停滞不前，该公司也在向新的邻近地区扩张。其中包括物联网、人工智能和汽车等领域。英特尔一直活跃在并购领域，收购了Altera、Mobileye和Habana Labs，以支持非PC领域的这些努力。<i>资料来源：YCharts</i></blockquote></p><p> <b>Valuation/Upside Potential</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估值/上行潜力</b></blockquote></p><p> Intel looks extremely attractive from a valuation standpoint and is currently trading at a decent discount to all of its long-term valuation metrics (hence the high Value Ranking of 10).</p><p><blockquote>从估值的角度来看，英特尔看起来极具吸引力，目前其所有长期估值指标的交易价格都有相当大的折扣（因此价值排名为 10）。</blockquote></p><p> Specifically, Intel is trading at a nice discount to its historical P/E multiple on a forward basis (10.6x 2021 earnings).<i>Note that the company actually just increased its guidance for fiscal 2021 earnings to $5.28 per share</i>.</p><p><blockquote>具体来说，英特尔的远期交易价格较其历史市盈率有不错的折扣（2021 年收益的 10.6 倍）。<i>请注意，该公司实际上刚刚将 2021 财年收益指引上调至每股 5.28 美元</i>.</blockquote></p><p> That said, as supply chain worries decrease over time, we definitely think there could be some room for margin expansion in the future.</p><p><blockquote>也就是说，随着供应链担忧随着时间的推移而减少，我们肯定认为未来可能还有一些利润扩张的空间。</blockquote></p><p> If you put just a 12x-14x multiple on consensus forward earnings of $5.28 per share for FYE 2021, that would equate to a $63.00- $73.00 stock price (representing 25%-45% upside from current levels).</p><p><blockquote>如果您将 FYE 2021 每股 5.28 美元的共识预期收益仅放置 12 倍-14 倍，则相当于 63.00-73.00 美元的股价（比当前水平上涨 25%-45%）。</blockquote></p><p> Although it probably won't get there in a straight line...</p><p><blockquote>虽然它可能不会直线到达那里……</blockquote></p><p> <b>\"Triple Play\" Trade Analysis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>“三网融合”贸易分析</b></blockquote></p><p> A \"Triple Play\" trade involves simultaneously selling a cash-secured put and a covered call on a stock that you own.</p><p><blockquote>“三重交易”涉及同时出售您拥有的股票的现金担保看跌期权和备兑看涨期权。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7e3af23e0208929d569a6e62a12a9607\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: Option Income Advisor</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：期权收入顾问</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Note that if you don't currently own INTC stock, you will want to buy it before you write the covered call.</p><p><blockquote>请注意，如果您目前没有 INTC 股票，您需要在撰写备兑看涨期权之前购买它。</blockquote></p><p> This trade will allow you to take advantage of the upside potential in the stock while also protecting some of the near-term downside (if any).</p><p><blockquote>这种交易将允许您利用股票的上行潜力，同时也保护一些近期的下行（如果有的话）。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Step 1: Sell Cash-Secured Puts (50% of position size)</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第 1 步：出售现金担保看跌期权（头寸规模的 50%）</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> The first step of the Triple Play trade is to sell a cash-secured put on the stock for 50% of your target position size. For example, if you wanted to own 400 shares of INTC... you would sell 2 cash-secured put contract, which represents 200 shares of stock.</p><p><blockquote>三重交易的第一步是以目标头寸规模的 50% 出售现金担保的股票看跌期权。例如，如果你想拥有400股INTC股票……您将出售 2 份现金担保看跌期权合约，代表 200 股股票。</blockquote></p><p> The three main data points we look at when analyzing a cash-secured put trade are:</p><p><blockquote>在分析现金担保看跌期权交易时，我们关注的三个主要数据点是：</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Premium Yield % (or Average Monthly Yield %): Measure of expected return on capital assuming that the option expires worthless (out-of-the-money).<i>Assumes that the option is fully cash secured.</i></li> <li>Margin-of-Safety %: Measure of downside protection or the percentage that the underlying stock could decline and would still allow you to break even on the option trade.</li> <li>Delta: A good proxy for the probability that the put option will finish in-the-money.</li> </ul> <i>Note that there's always a negative correlation between Premium Yield and Margin of Safety: The higher the Premium Yield for a given strike month, the lower the Margin of Safety.</i></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>权利金收益率%（或平均月收益率%）：假设期权到期时一文不值（价外），衡量预期资本回报率。<i>假设购股权完全以现金作抵押。</i></li><li>安全边际%：下行保护的衡量标准或标的股票可能下跌但仍允许您在期权交易中实现收支平衡的百分比。</li><li>Delta：看跌期权最终平价概率的一个很好的代表。</li></ul><i>请注意，保费收益率和安全边际之间总是存在负相关关系：给定行权月份的保费收益率越高，安全边际就越低。</i></blockquote></p><p> <i>Investors always should be honest with themselves about their risk tolerance. Selling CSPs can be adapted to suit your needs.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>投资者应该始终对自己的风险承受能力诚实。销售CSP可以根据您的需求进行调整。</i></blockquote></p><p> As discussed in the video, we like the $45.00-$50.00 range for INTC in the near term. So we like the following cash-secured put:</p><p><blockquote>正如视频中所讨论的，我们看好 INTC 短期内 45.00-50.00 美元的区间。因此，我们喜欢以下现金担保看跌期权：</blockquote></p><p> <i><b>INTC Nov 19th $47.50.00 Put (28 days until expiration)</b></i></p><p><blockquote><i><b>INTC 11 月 19 日 $47.50.00 看跌期权（距到期 28 天）</b></i></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Option Premium: ~$0.58 premium</li> <li>Average Monthly Yield %: 1.3% (15.6% annualized)</li> <li>Margin-of-Safety %: 4.2%</li> <li>Delta: 28</li> </ul> <b>Step 2: Buy the Stock (50% of position size)</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>期权溢价：~0.58 美元溢价</li><li>平均月收益率%：1.3%（年化15.6%）</li><li>安全裕度%：4.2%</li><li>德尔塔：28</li></ul><b>第 2 步：购买股票（仓位规模的 50%）</b></blockquote></p><p> <i>Note: At the time of publication, INTC was trading at $49.60. If you already own the stock, you can skip to Step 3.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>注：在发布时，INTC的交易价格为49.60美元。如果您已经拥有该股票，您可以跳到第 3 步。</i></blockquote></p><p> The second step of the Triple Play is to buy the stock (50% of your target position size). For example, if you wanted to own 400 shares of INTC... you would buy 200 shares of stock.</p><p><blockquote>三重策略的第二步是购买股票（目标仓位规模的 50%）。例如，如果你想拥有400股INTC股票……你会买200股股票。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Step 3: Sell Covered Calls On Your Stock Position (*optional*)</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第 3 步：出售股票头寸上的备兑评级（*可选*）</b></blockquote></p><p> A covered call strategy will help generate some short-term income, maintain some upside exposure, and mitigate some downside risk.</p><p><blockquote>备兑看涨期权策略将有助于产生一些短期收入，维持一些上行风险，并减轻一些下行风险。</blockquote></p><p> With a covered call, you are agreeing to sell your stock at a higher price (your call option strike price) but you get to keep your call option premium either way.</p><p><blockquote>通过备兑看涨期权，您同意以更高的价格（您的看涨期权期权执行价格）出售您的股票，但无论哪种方式，您都可以保留您的看涨期权期权费。</blockquote></p><p> As discussed in the video, since we like the upside potential in the near term with INTC, you will want to give yourself some room for the stock to run.<b>So we would actually recommend waiting for the stock to trade a little higher before selling covered calls.</b></p><p><blockquote>正如视频中所讨论的，由于我们看好 INTC 短期内的上涨潜力，因此您需要给自己一些股票运行的空间。<b>因此，我们实际上建议等待股票交易稍微走高后再出售备兑评级。</b></blockquote></p><p> That said, if you wanted to execute the covered calls today, I would certainly consider taking less premium income to preserve more potential upside profit. For example, the $53.00 call would give you an extra 0.5% of income per month (6.0% annualized)...which would essentially triple your dividend yield on the stock!</p><p><blockquote>也就是说，如果您今天想执行承保评级，我肯定会考虑减少保费收入，以保留更多潜在的上行利润。例如，53.00美元的看涨期权会给你每月额外0.5%的收入（年化6.0%）...这基本上会让你的股票股息收益率增加两倍!</blockquote></p><p> <i><b>INTC Nov 19th $53.00 Call (28 days until expiration)</b></i></p><p><blockquote><i><b>INTC 11 月 19 日 $53.00 看涨期权（距到期 28 天）</b></i></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Option Premium: ~$0.25 premium</li> <li>Average Monthly Yield %: 0.5% (6.0% annualized)</li> <li>Upside Profit %: 7.4%</li> <li>Delta: 15</li> </ul> <b>Conclusion</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>期权溢价：~0.25 美元溢价</li><li>平均月收益率%：0.5%（年化6.0%）</li><li>上行利润%：7.4%</li><li>德尔塔：15</li></ul><b>结论</b></blockquote></p><p> This Triple Play trade will allow you to take advantage of the upside potential in INTC stock while also giving you some downside cushion if shares trade lower in the near term. As the covered calls and cash-secured puts expire, you can rinse and repeat the Triple Play trade!</p><p><blockquote>这种三重交易将允许您利用 INTC 股票的上行潜力，同时如果股价在短期内走低，也可以为您提供一些下行缓冲。当备兑评级和现金担保看跌期权到期时，您可以清洗并重复三重交易!</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Intel: Good Value Or Value Trap?<blockquote>英特尔：好价值还是价值陷阱？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIntel: Good Value Or Value Trap?<blockquote>英特尔：好价值还是价值陷阱？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Seeking Alpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-24 09:49</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Intel had a mixed earnings report that sent some investors running for the hills.</li> <li>The company beat earnings and actually raised guidance for 2021, but they signaled that supply chain issues remain and profitability in 2022 will be lower.</li> <li>After the sell-off, is Intel a good value or a value trap?</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c02609041d90c055d66b217f06706d28\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1022\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>4kodiak/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>英特尔的财报喜忧参半，这让一些投资者望而却步。</li><li>该公司超出了盈利预期，实际上提高了 2021 年的指引，但他们表示供应链问题仍然存在，2022 年的盈利能力将较低。</li><li>抛售之后，英特尔是好价值还是价值陷阱？</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>4kodiak/iStock 未通过 Getty Images 发布</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The waters have been pretty rough for Intel Corp. (INTC) investors over the past few years.</p><p><blockquote>过去几年，英特尔公司 (INTC) 投资者的处境相当艰难。</blockquote></p><p> It seems like every time the sun comes out...there is another storm right around the corner.</p><p><blockquote>好像每次太阳出来……...又一场暴风雨就在眼前。</blockquote></p><p> As highlighted on the earnings call last night, the next \"storm\" brewing for Intel is continued supply chain issues (component shortages in the PC business) and reduced near-term profitability from rising capital expenditure needs, which has sent the stock plummeting 11% this morning into the abyss.</p><p><blockquote>正如昨晚的财报看涨期权上所强调的那样，英特尔正在酝酿的下一个“风暴”是持续的供应链问题（个人电脑业务的零部件短缺）以及不断上升的资本支出需求导致近期盈利能力下降，这导致该股暴跌11%今天上午陷入深渊。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5bd612f6f25b6e86d7a72b38440d513f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"449\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> However, buying the dips has actually been pretty lucrative in the recent past...if, of course, you were lucky enough to fade the rallies.</p><p><blockquote>然而，在最近的过去，逢低买入实际上是相当有利可图的……当然，如果你足够幸运，赶上了涨势。</blockquote></p><p> To be fair, Intel has had its fair share of challenges this year, despite general tailwinds in the industry (i.e., chip demand far outpacing supply).</p><p><blockquote>公平地说，尽管行业普遍有利（即芯片需求远远超过供应），但英特尔今年仍然面临着相当大的挑战。</blockquote></p><p> Specifically, Intel has had some well-documented manufacturing blunders that have caused major delays and loss of some market share...mainly to Advanced Micro Devices (AMD).</p><p><blockquote>具体来说，英特尔出现了一些有据可查的制造失误，导致了重大延误和部分市场份额的损失……主要是先进微设备公司（AMD）。</blockquote></p><p> This has triggered concern amongst investors that the stock may be a potential \"value trap\" now.</p><p><blockquote>这引发了投资者的担忧，即该股现在可能是一个潜在的“价值陷阱”。</blockquote></p><p> All that said, Intel is dedicated to spending $25 billion to $28 billion in 2022 and just broke ground on some new fabs.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，英特尔致力于在 2022 年斥资 250 亿至 280 亿美元，并且刚刚在一些新晶圆厂上破土动工。</blockquote></p><p> Personally, I don't think we are anywhere near peak demand for chips and I believe that Intel's fabrication capabilities are (and will continue to be) a huge advantage for the company for years to come.</p><p><blockquote>就我个人而言，我认为我们还没有接近芯片需求的峰值，我相信英特尔的制造能力是（并将继续是）该公司未来几年的巨大优势。</blockquote></p><p> So how can we structure a trade to take advantage of the upside potential in the stock (after this pullback) while also protecting ourselves from more near-term downside (if any)?</p><p><blockquote>那么，我们如何组织交易来利用股票的上行潜力（在这次回调之后），同时保护自己免受更多近期下行（如果有的话）的影响呢？</blockquote></p><p> <b>It's a perfect situation for a \"Triple Play\" trade!</b></p><p><blockquote><b>这是“三网融合”交易的完美局面!</b></blockquote></p><p> Intel Corp.</p><p><blockquote>英特尔公司</blockquote></p><p> <b>Sector/Industry:</b>Technology/Semiconductors</p><p><blockquote><b>行业/行业：</b>技术/半导体</blockquote></p><p> Intel is the world's largest chipmaker. It designs and manufactures microprocessors for the global personal computer and data center markets. Intel pioneered the x86 architecture for microprocessors. It was the prime proponent of Moore's Law for advances in semiconductor manufacturing, though the firm has recently faced manufacturing delays. While Intel's server processor business has benefited from the shift to the cloud, the firm has also been expanding into new adjacencies as the personal computer market has stagnated. These include areas such as the Internet of Things, artificial intelligence, and automotive. Intel has been active on the merger and acquisitions front, acquiring Altera, Mobileye, and Habana Labs in order to bolster these efforts in non-PC arenas. <i>Source: YCharts</i></p><p><blockquote>英特尔是全球最大的芯片制造商。它为全球个人电脑和数据中心市场设计和制造微处理器。英特尔是微处理器x86架构的先驱。它是半导体制造进步摩尔定律的主要支持者，尽管该公司最近面临制造延误。虽然英特尔的服务器处理器业务受益于向云的转变，但随着个人电脑市场停滞不前，该公司也在向新的邻近地区扩张。其中包括物联网、人工智能和汽车等领域。英特尔一直活跃在并购领域，收购了Altera、Mobileye和Habana Labs，以支持非PC领域的这些努力。<i>资料来源：YCharts</i></blockquote></p><p> <b>Valuation/Upside Potential</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估值/上行潜力</b></blockquote></p><p> Intel looks extremely attractive from a valuation standpoint and is currently trading at a decent discount to all of its long-term valuation metrics (hence the high Value Ranking of 10).</p><p><blockquote>从估值的角度来看，英特尔看起来极具吸引力，目前其所有长期估值指标的交易价格都有相当大的折扣（因此价值排名为 10）。</blockquote></p><p> Specifically, Intel is trading at a nice discount to its historical P/E multiple on a forward basis (10.6x 2021 earnings).<i>Note that the company actually just increased its guidance for fiscal 2021 earnings to $5.28 per share</i>.</p><p><blockquote>具体来说，英特尔的远期交易价格较其历史市盈率有不错的折扣（2021 年收益的 10.6 倍）。<i>请注意，该公司实际上刚刚将 2021 财年收益指引上调至每股 5.28 美元</i>.</blockquote></p><p> That said, as supply chain worries decrease over time, we definitely think there could be some room for margin expansion in the future.</p><p><blockquote>也就是说，随着供应链担忧随着时间的推移而减少，我们肯定认为未来可能还有一些利润扩张的空间。</blockquote></p><p> If you put just a 12x-14x multiple on consensus forward earnings of $5.28 per share for FYE 2021, that would equate to a $63.00- $73.00 stock price (representing 25%-45% upside from current levels).</p><p><blockquote>如果您将 FYE 2021 每股 5.28 美元的共识预期收益仅放置 12 倍-14 倍，则相当于 63.00-73.00 美元的股价（比当前水平上涨 25%-45%）。</blockquote></p><p> Although it probably won't get there in a straight line...</p><p><blockquote>虽然它可能不会直线到达那里……</blockquote></p><p> <b>\"Triple Play\" Trade Analysis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>“三网融合”贸易分析</b></blockquote></p><p> A \"Triple Play\" trade involves simultaneously selling a cash-secured put and a covered call on a stock that you own.</p><p><blockquote>“三重交易”涉及同时出售您拥有的股票的现金担保看跌期权和备兑看涨期权。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7e3af23e0208929d569a6e62a12a9607\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: Option Income Advisor</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：期权收入顾问</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Note that if you don't currently own INTC stock, you will want to buy it before you write the covered call.</p><p><blockquote>请注意，如果您目前没有 INTC 股票，您需要在撰写备兑看涨期权之前购买它。</blockquote></p><p> This trade will allow you to take advantage of the upside potential in the stock while also protecting some of the near-term downside (if any).</p><p><blockquote>这种交易将允许您利用股票的上行潜力，同时也保护一些近期的下行（如果有的话）。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Step 1: Sell Cash-Secured Puts (50% of position size)</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第 1 步：出售现金担保看跌期权（头寸规模的 50%）</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> The first step of the Triple Play trade is to sell a cash-secured put on the stock for 50% of your target position size. For example, if you wanted to own 400 shares of INTC... you would sell 2 cash-secured put contract, which represents 200 shares of stock.</p><p><blockquote>三重交易的第一步是以目标头寸规模的 50% 出售现金担保的股票看跌期权。例如，如果你想拥有400股INTC股票……您将出售 2 份现金担保看跌期权合约，代表 200 股股票。</blockquote></p><p> The three main data points we look at when analyzing a cash-secured put trade are:</p><p><blockquote>在分析现金担保看跌期权交易时，我们关注的三个主要数据点是：</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Premium Yield % (or Average Monthly Yield %): Measure of expected return on capital assuming that the option expires worthless (out-of-the-money).<i>Assumes that the option is fully cash secured.</i></li> <li>Margin-of-Safety %: Measure of downside protection or the percentage that the underlying stock could decline and would still allow you to break even on the option trade.</li> <li>Delta: A good proxy for the probability that the put option will finish in-the-money.</li> </ul> <i>Note that there's always a negative correlation between Premium Yield and Margin of Safety: The higher the Premium Yield for a given strike month, the lower the Margin of Safety.</i></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>权利金收益率%（或平均月收益率%）：假设期权到期时一文不值（价外），衡量预期资本回报率。<i>假设购股权完全以现金作抵押。</i></li><li>安全边际%：下行保护的衡量标准或标的股票可能下跌但仍允许您在期权交易中实现收支平衡的百分比。</li><li>Delta：看跌期权最终平价概率的一个很好的代表。</li></ul><i>请注意，保费收益率和安全边际之间总是存在负相关关系：给定行权月份的保费收益率越高，安全边际就越低。</i></blockquote></p><p> <i>Investors always should be honest with themselves about their risk tolerance. Selling CSPs can be adapted to suit your needs.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>投资者应该始终对自己的风险承受能力诚实。销售CSP可以根据您的需求进行调整。</i></blockquote></p><p> As discussed in the video, we like the $45.00-$50.00 range for INTC in the near term. So we like the following cash-secured put:</p><p><blockquote>正如视频中所讨论的，我们看好 INTC 短期内 45.00-50.00 美元的区间。因此，我们喜欢以下现金担保看跌期权：</blockquote></p><p> <i><b>INTC Nov 19th $47.50.00 Put (28 days until expiration)</b></i></p><p><blockquote><i><b>INTC 11 月 19 日 $47.50.00 看跌期权（距到期 28 天）</b></i></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Option Premium: ~$0.58 premium</li> <li>Average Monthly Yield %: 1.3% (15.6% annualized)</li> <li>Margin-of-Safety %: 4.2%</li> <li>Delta: 28</li> </ul> <b>Step 2: Buy the Stock (50% of position size)</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>期权溢价：~0.58 美元溢价</li><li>平均月收益率%：1.3%（年化15.6%）</li><li>安全裕度%：4.2%</li><li>德尔塔：28</li></ul><b>第 2 步：购买股票（仓位规模的 50%）</b></blockquote></p><p> <i>Note: At the time of publication, INTC was trading at $49.60. If you already own the stock, you can skip to Step 3.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>注：在发布时，INTC的交易价格为49.60美元。如果您已经拥有该股票，您可以跳到第 3 步。</i></blockquote></p><p> The second step of the Triple Play is to buy the stock (50% of your target position size). For example, if you wanted to own 400 shares of INTC... you would buy 200 shares of stock.</p><p><blockquote>三重策略的第二步是购买股票（目标仓位规模的 50%）。例如，如果你想拥有400股INTC股票……你会买200股股票。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Step 3: Sell Covered Calls On Your Stock Position (*optional*)</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第 3 步：出售股票头寸上的备兑评级（*可选*）</b></blockquote></p><p> A covered call strategy will help generate some short-term income, maintain some upside exposure, and mitigate some downside risk.</p><p><blockquote>备兑看涨期权策略将有助于产生一些短期收入，维持一些上行风险，并减轻一些下行风险。</blockquote></p><p> With a covered call, you are agreeing to sell your stock at a higher price (your call option strike price) but you get to keep your call option premium either way.</p><p><blockquote>通过备兑看涨期权，您同意以更高的价格（您的看涨期权期权执行价格）出售您的股票，但无论哪种方式，您都可以保留您的看涨期权期权费。</blockquote></p><p> As discussed in the video, since we like the upside potential in the near term with INTC, you will want to give yourself some room for the stock to run.<b>So we would actually recommend waiting for the stock to trade a little higher before selling covered calls.</b></p><p><blockquote>正如视频中所讨论的，由于我们看好 INTC 短期内的上涨潜力，因此您需要给自己一些股票运行的空间。<b>因此，我们实际上建议等待股票交易稍微走高后再出售备兑评级。</b></blockquote></p><p> That said, if you wanted to execute the covered calls today, I would certainly consider taking less premium income to preserve more potential upside profit. For example, the $53.00 call would give you an extra 0.5% of income per month (6.0% annualized)...which would essentially triple your dividend yield on the stock!</p><p><blockquote>也就是说，如果您今天想执行承保评级，我肯定会考虑减少保费收入，以保留更多潜在的上行利润。例如，53.00美元的看涨期权会给你每月额外0.5%的收入（年化6.0%）...这基本上会让你的股票股息收益率增加两倍!</blockquote></p><p> <i><b>INTC Nov 19th $53.00 Call (28 days until expiration)</b></i></p><p><blockquote><i><b>INTC 11 月 19 日 $53.00 看涨期权（距到期 28 天）</b></i></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Option Premium: ~$0.25 premium</li> <li>Average Monthly Yield %: 0.5% (6.0% annualized)</li> <li>Upside Profit %: 7.4%</li> <li>Delta: 15</li> </ul> <b>Conclusion</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>期权溢价：~0.25 美元溢价</li><li>平均月收益率%：0.5%（年化6.0%）</li><li>上行利润%：7.4%</li><li>德尔塔：15</li></ul><b>结论</b></blockquote></p><p> This Triple Play trade will allow you to take advantage of the upside potential in INTC stock while also giving you some downside cushion if shares trade lower in the near term. As the covered calls and cash-secured puts expire, you can rinse and repeat the Triple Play trade!</p><p><blockquote>这种三重交易将允许您利用 INTC 股票的上行潜力，同时如果股价在短期内走低，也可以为您提供一些下行缓冲。当备兑评级和现金担保看跌期权到期时，您可以清洗并重复三重交易!</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4461530-intel-intc-stock-good-value-or-value-trap\">Seeking Alpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"INTC":"英特尔"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4461530-intel-intc-stock-good-value-or-value-trap","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1100055241","content_text":"Summary\n\nIntel had a mixed earnings report that sent some investors running for the hills.\nThe company beat earnings and actually raised guidance for 2021, but they signaled that supply chain issues remain and profitability in 2022 will be lower.\nAfter the sell-off, is Intel a good value or a value trap?\n\n4kodiak/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images\nThe waters have been pretty rough for Intel Corp. (INTC) investors over the past few years.\nIt seems like every time the sun comes out...there is another storm right around the corner.\nAs highlighted on the earnings call last night, the next \"storm\" brewing for Intel is continued supply chain issues (component shortages in the PC business) and reduced near-term profitability from rising capital expenditure needs, which has sent the stock plummeting 11% this morning into the abyss.\n\nHowever, buying the dips has actually been pretty lucrative in the recent past...if, of course, you were lucky enough to fade the rallies.\nTo be fair, Intel has had its fair share of challenges this year, despite general tailwinds in the industry (i.e., chip demand far outpacing supply).\nSpecifically, Intel has had some well-documented manufacturing blunders that have caused major delays and loss of some market share...mainly to Advanced Micro Devices (AMD).\nThis has triggered concern amongst investors that the stock may be a potential \"value trap\" now.\nAll that said, Intel is dedicated to spending $25 billion to $28 billion in 2022 and just broke ground on some new fabs.\nPersonally, I don't think we are anywhere near peak demand for chips and I believe that Intel's fabrication capabilities are (and will continue to be) a huge advantage for the company for years to come.\nSo how can we structure a trade to take advantage of the upside potential in the stock (after this pullback) while also protecting ourselves from more near-term downside (if any)?\nIt's a perfect situation for a \"Triple Play\" trade!\nIntel Corp.\nSector/Industry:Technology/Semiconductors\n\n Intel is the world's largest chipmaker. It designs and manufactures microprocessors for the global personal computer and data center markets. Intel pioneered the x86 architecture for microprocessors. It was the prime proponent of Moore's Law for advances in semiconductor manufacturing, though the firm has recently faced manufacturing delays. While Intel's server processor business has benefited from the shift to the cloud, the firm has also been expanding into new adjacencies as the personal computer market has stagnated. These include areas such as the Internet of Things, artificial intelligence, and automotive. Intel has been active on the merger and acquisitions front, acquiring Altera, Mobileye, and Habana Labs in order to bolster these efforts in non-PC arenas.\n\nSource: YCharts\nValuation/Upside Potential\nIntel looks extremely attractive from a valuation standpoint and is currently trading at a decent discount to all of its long-term valuation metrics (hence the high Value Ranking of 10).\nSpecifically, Intel is trading at a nice discount to its historical P/E multiple on a forward basis (10.6x 2021 earnings).Note that the company actually just increased its guidance for fiscal 2021 earnings to $5.28 per share.\nThat said, as supply chain worries decrease over time, we definitely think there could be some room for margin expansion in the future.\nIf you put just a 12x-14x multiple on consensus forward earnings of $5.28 per share for FYE 2021, that would equate to a $63.00- $73.00 stock price (representing 25%-45% upside from current levels).\nAlthough it probably won't get there in a straight line...\n\"Triple Play\" Trade Analysis\nA \"Triple Play\" trade involves simultaneously selling a cash-secured put and a covered call on a stock that you own.\nSource: Option Income Advisor\nNote that if you don't currently own INTC stock, you will want to buy it before you write the covered call.\nThis trade will allow you to take advantage of the upside potential in the stock while also protecting some of the near-term downside (if any).\nStep 1: Sell Cash-Secured Puts (50% of position size)\nThe first step of the Triple Play trade is to sell a cash-secured put on the stock for 50% of your target position size. For example, if you wanted to own 400 shares of INTC... you would sell 2 cash-secured put contract, which represents 200 shares of stock.\nThe three main data points we look at when analyzing a cash-secured put trade are:\n\nPremium Yield % (or Average Monthly Yield %): Measure of expected return on capital assuming that the option expires worthless (out-of-the-money).Assumes that the option is fully cash secured.\nMargin-of-Safety %: Measure of downside protection or the percentage that the underlying stock could decline and would still allow you to break even on the option trade.\nDelta: A good proxy for the probability that the put option will finish in-the-money.\n\nNote that there's always a negative correlation between Premium Yield and Margin of Safety: The higher the Premium Yield for a given strike month, the lower the Margin of Safety.\nInvestors always should be honest with themselves about their risk tolerance. Selling CSPs can be adapted to suit your needs.\nAs discussed in the video, we like the $45.00-$50.00 range for INTC in the near term. So we like the following cash-secured put:\nINTC Nov 19th $47.50.00 Put (28 days until expiration)\n\nOption Premium: ~$0.58 premium\nAverage Monthly Yield %: 1.3% (15.6% annualized)\nMargin-of-Safety %: 4.2%\nDelta: 28\n\nStep 2: Buy the Stock (50% of position size)\nNote: At the time of publication, INTC was trading at $49.60. If you already own the stock, you can skip to Step 3.\nThe second step of the Triple Play is to buy the stock (50% of your target position size). For example, if you wanted to own 400 shares of INTC... you would buy 200 shares of stock.\nStep 3: Sell Covered Calls On Your Stock Position (*optional*)\nA covered call strategy will help generate some short-term income, maintain some upside exposure, and mitigate some downside risk.\nWith a covered call, you are agreeing to sell your stock at a higher price (your call option strike price) but you get to keep your call option premium either way.\nAs discussed in the video, since we like the upside potential in the near term with INTC, you will want to give yourself some room for the stock to run.So we would actually recommend waiting for the stock to trade a little higher before selling covered calls.\nThat said, if you wanted to execute the covered calls today, I would certainly consider taking less premium income to preserve more potential upside profit. For example, the $53.00 call would give you an extra 0.5% of income per month (6.0% annualized)...which would essentially triple your dividend yield on the stock!\nINTC Nov 19th $53.00 Call (28 days until expiration)\n\nOption Premium: ~$0.25 premium\nAverage Monthly Yield %: 0.5% (6.0% annualized)\nUpside Profit %: 7.4%\nDelta: 15\n\nConclusion\nThis Triple Play trade will allow you to take advantage of the upside potential in INTC stock while also giving you some downside cushion if shares trade lower in the near term. As the covered calls and cash-secured puts expire, you can rinse and repeat the Triple Play trade!","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"INTC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3041,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"CN","currentLanguage":"CN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":16,"subscribersOnly":false,"subscribersOnlyAccessible":false,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ZH_CN"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/858555766"}
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