hoa
2021-09-21
Apple still a good stock for long term hold
Apple iPhone 13 Setup Looks Worse Than iPhone 12, Says Analyst<blockquote>分析师表示，苹果iPhone 13的设置看起来比iPhone 12更糟糕</blockquote>
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Even though the iPh","content":"<p>Apple stock practically lives and dies on the company’s iPhone sales every year. Even though the iPhone 13 launched last week didn’t surprise anyone, there are good reasons to predict it will have a positive impact on the share price.</p><p><blockquote>苹果股票的生死几乎取决于该公司每年的iPhone销量。尽管上周推出的iPhone 13没有让任何人感到惊讶，但有充分的理由预测它将对股价产生积极影响。</blockquote></p><p> But New Street Research analyst Pierre Ferragu wrote in a research note that investors should be cautious about Apple’s (ticker: AAPL) forthcoming iPhone 13 sales. It’s not the phone itself, which looks like a powerful piece of hardware, and contains several incremental updates. The problem is the number of people who are likely to upgrade that is getting discussed on Wall Street.</p><p><blockquote>但New Street Research分析师Pierre Ferragu在一份研究报告中写道，投资者应该对苹果（股票代码：AAPL）即将推出的iPhone 13销售保持谨慎。它不是手机本身，它看起来像一个强大的硬件，并包含几个增量更新。问题是华尔街正在讨论的可能升级的人数。</blockquote></p><p> Several reports, Ferragu wrote, say that there are more than 450 million iPhones three years old or older—seemingly nearly a half billion people that may want to upgrade. As a result, Apple bulls have predicted a strong cycle for the forthcoming batch of phones.</p><p><blockquote>费拉古写道，几份报告称，有超过4.5亿部三年或更长时间的iPhone——似乎有近5亿人可能想要升级。因此，苹果的多头预测即将推出的一批手机将出现强劲的周期。</blockquote></p><p> But Ferragu said that steps over an important factor: most people who buy new phones are now upgrading them every two years, either trading them in or handing them down to a child, for example. Their phones are reused in the secondary market, which upgrades every two to three years.</p><p><blockquote>但费拉古表示，这忽略了一个重要因素：大多数购买新手机的人现在每两年升级一次，例如，要么以旧换新，要么传给孩子。他们的手机在二级市场重复使用，二级市场每两到三年升级一次。</blockquote></p><p> Taking into account the phones that will likely get upgraded this year—from people who own iPhones that are roughly two years old—Ferragu arrives at a much smaller number of likely replacements: 190 million. That is fewer than last year’s figure, which suggests to him that the setup for the iPhone 13 isn’t as good as the iPhone 12.</p><p><blockquote>考虑到今年可能会升级的手机——来自拥有大约两年历史的iPhone的人——Ferragu得出的可能更换数量要少得多：1.9亿部。这低于去年的数字，这向他表明iPhone 13的设置不如iPhone 12。</blockquote></p><p> In May, Ferragu downgraded Apple stock to a Sell, and set a $90 target price. At the time, he wrote that his team sees “material downside risk” with shipments of the new phones in the 180 million to 200 million range, compared with the consensus estimate of 234 million.</p><p><blockquote>5月份，Ferragu将苹果股票评级下调至卖出，并设定了90美元的目标价。当时，他写道，他的团队认为新手机的出货量在1.8亿至2亿部之间存在“重大下行风险”，而市场普遍估计为2.34亿部。</blockquote></p><p> Of the 44 analysts that cover Apple 73% rate shares at Buy, and 23% have a Hold rating.</p><p><blockquote>在研究苹果的44名分析师中，73%的分析师给予买入评级，23%的分析师给予持有评级。</blockquote></p><p> Apple stock fell 2.1% to $142.9 on Tuesday amid broad market weakness. Shares have gained 7.7% this year, as the comparable rise in the S&P 500 inde stands at 16%.</p><p><blockquote>由于市场普遍疲软，苹果股价周二下跌2.1%，至142.9美元。今年股价上涨了7.7%，标准普尔500指数的可比涨幅为16%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple iPhone 13 Setup Looks Worse Than iPhone 12, Says Analyst<blockquote>分析师表示，苹果iPhone 13的设置看起来比iPhone 12更糟糕</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple iPhone 13 Setup Looks Worse Than iPhone 12, Says Analyst<blockquote>分析师表示，苹果iPhone 13的设置看起来比iPhone 12更糟糕</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-21 14:06</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Apple stock practically lives and dies on the company’s iPhone sales every year. Even though the iPhone 13 launched last week didn’t surprise anyone, there are good reasons to predict it will have a positive impact on the share price.</p><p><blockquote>苹果股票的生死几乎取决于该公司每年的iPhone销量。尽管上周推出的iPhone 13没有让任何人感到惊讶，但有充分的理由预测它将对股价产生积极影响。</blockquote></p><p> But New Street Research analyst Pierre Ferragu wrote in a research note that investors should be cautious about Apple’s (ticker: AAPL) forthcoming iPhone 13 sales. It’s not the phone itself, which looks like a powerful piece of hardware, and contains several incremental updates. The problem is the number of people who are likely to upgrade that is getting discussed on Wall Street.</p><p><blockquote>但New Street Research分析师Pierre Ferragu在一份研究报告中写道，投资者应该对苹果（股票代码：AAPL）即将推出的iPhone 13销售保持谨慎。它不是手机本身，它看起来像一个强大的硬件，并包含几个增量更新。问题是华尔街正在讨论的可能升级的人数。</blockquote></p><p> Several reports, Ferragu wrote, say that there are more than 450 million iPhones three years old or older—seemingly nearly a half billion people that may want to upgrade. As a result, Apple bulls have predicted a strong cycle for the forthcoming batch of phones.</p><p><blockquote>费拉古写道，几份报告称，有超过4.5亿部三年或更长时间的iPhone——似乎有近5亿人可能想要升级。因此，苹果的多头预测即将推出的一批手机将出现强劲的周期。</blockquote></p><p> But Ferragu said that steps over an important factor: most people who buy new phones are now upgrading them every two years, either trading them in or handing them down to a child, for example. Their phones are reused in the secondary market, which upgrades every two to three years.</p><p><blockquote>但费拉古表示，这忽略了一个重要因素：大多数购买新手机的人现在每两年升级一次，例如，要么以旧换新，要么传给孩子。他们的手机在二级市场重复使用，二级市场每两到三年升级一次。</blockquote></p><p> Taking into account the phones that will likely get upgraded this year—from people who own iPhones that are roughly two years old—Ferragu arrives at a much smaller number of likely replacements: 190 million. That is fewer than last year’s figure, which suggests to him that the setup for the iPhone 13 isn’t as good as the iPhone 12.</p><p><blockquote>考虑到今年可能会升级的手机——来自拥有大约两年历史的iPhone的人——Ferragu得出的可能更换数量要少得多：1.9亿部。这低于去年的数字，这向他表明iPhone 13的设置不如iPhone 12。</blockquote></p><p> In May, Ferragu downgraded Apple stock to a Sell, and set a $90 target price. At the time, he wrote that his team sees “material downside risk” with shipments of the new phones in the 180 million to 200 million range, compared with the consensus estimate of 234 million.</p><p><blockquote>5月份，Ferragu将苹果股票评级下调至卖出，并设定了90美元的目标价。当时，他写道，他的团队认为新手机的出货量在1.8亿至2亿部之间存在“重大下行风险”，而市场普遍估计为2.34亿部。</blockquote></p><p> Of the 44 analysts that cover Apple 73% rate shares at Buy, and 23% have a Hold rating.</p><p><blockquote>在研究苹果的44名分析师中，73%的分析师给予买入评级，23%的分析师给予持有评级。</blockquote></p><p> Apple stock fell 2.1% to $142.9 on Tuesday amid broad market weakness. Shares have gained 7.7% this year, as the comparable rise in the S&P 500 inde stands at 16%.</p><p><blockquote>由于市场普遍疲软，苹果股价周二下跌2.1%，至142.9美元。今年股价上涨了7.7%，标准普尔500指数的可比涨幅为16%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/apple-iphone-13-51632155026?mod=hp_LEADSUPP_1\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/apple-iphone-13-51632155026?mod=hp_LEADSUPP_1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1147257083","content_text":"Apple stock practically lives and dies on the company’s iPhone sales every year. Even though the iPhone 13 launched last week didn’t surprise anyone, there are good reasons to predict it will have a positive impact on the share price.\n\nBut New Street Research analyst Pierre Ferragu wrote in a research note that investors should be cautious about Apple’s (ticker: AAPL) forthcoming iPhone 13 sales. It’s not the phone itself, which looks like a powerful piece of hardware, and contains several incremental updates. The problem is the number of people who are likely to upgrade that is getting discussed on Wall Street.\n\nSeveral reports, Ferragu wrote, say that there are more than 450 million iPhones three years old or older—seemingly nearly a half billion people that may want to upgrade. As a result, Apple bulls have predicted a strong cycle for the forthcoming batch of phones.\nBut Ferragu said that steps over an important factor: most people who buy new phones are now upgrading them every two years, either trading them in or handing them down to a child, for example. Their phones are reused in the secondary market, which upgrades every two to three years.\nTaking into account the phones that will likely get upgraded this year—from people who own iPhones that are roughly two years old—Ferragu arrives at a much smaller number of likely replacements: 190 million. That is fewer than last year’s figure, which suggests to him that the setup for the iPhone 13 isn’t as good as the iPhone 12.\nIn May, Ferragu downgraded Apple stock to a Sell, and set a $90 target price. At the time, he wrote that his team sees “material downside risk” with shipments of the new phones in the 180 million to 200 million range, compared with the consensus estimate of 234 million.\nOf the 44 analysts that cover Apple 73% rate shares at Buy, and 23% have a Hold rating.\nApple stock fell 2.1% to $142.9 on Tuesday amid broad market weakness. Shares have gained 7.7% this year, as the comparable rise in the S&P 500 inde stands at 16%.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2253,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":["AAPL"],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":35,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/860477345"}
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