Good news_老虎社区_美港股上老虎

2021-09-23

Good news

Fed signals possibility of 6 to 7 rate hikes through 2024 as taper talks advance<blockquote>随着缩减谈判的推进，美联储暗示到2024年可能加息6至7次</blockquote>

免责声明：上述内容仅代表发帖人个人观点，不构成本平台的任何投资建议。

精彩评论

我们需要你的真知灼见来填补这片空白

发表看法

{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"detailType":1,"isChannel":false,"data":{"magic":2,"id":863088542,"tweetId":"863088542","gmtCreate":1632334451386,"gmtModify":1632801153406,"author":{"id":4091975549439940,"idStr":"4091975549439940","authorId":4091975549439940,"authorIdStr":"4091975549439940","name":"cynn","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d45b68148695cb02b6620353f88f7880","vip":1,"userType":1,"introduction":"","boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[],"fanSize":10,"starInvestorFlag":false},"themes":[],"images":[],"coverImages":[],"extraTitle":"","html":"<html><head></head><body>Good news</body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body>Good news</body></html>","text":"Good news","highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/863088542","repostId":1105881552,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1105881552","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1632333734,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1105881552?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-23 02:02","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Fed signals possibility of 6 to 7 rate hikes through 2024 as taper talks advance<blockquote>随着缩减谈判的推进，美联储暗示到2024年可能加息6至7次</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1105881552","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(Sept 23) The Federal Reserve on Wednesday telegraphed it could hike rates six to seven times by the","content":"(Sept 23)&nbsp;The Federal Reserve on Wednesday telegraphed it could hike rates six to seven times by the end of 2024, illustrating the central bank’s optimism that the COVID-19 recovery will progress well enough for the Fed to tighten its easy money policies in a few years.<blockquote>（9月23日）美联储周三表示，到2024年底，它可能会加息六到七次，这表明央行乐观地认为，COVID-19复苏将进展顺利，足以让美联储在几年内收紧宽松货币政策。</blockquote> The policy-setting Federal Open Market Committee still held interest rates at near-zero in its updated statement, but said it had advanced talks on paring back its asset purchase program.<blockquote>制定政策的联邦公开市场委员会在更新的声明中仍将利率维持在接近零的水平，但表示已经推进了削减资产购买计划的谈判。</blockquote> Since the depths of the pandemic, the Fed has been absorbing about $120 billion a month in U.S. Treasuries and agency mortgage-backed securities. But Fed officials have said in recent weeks that by the end of the year, the economy will likely make the “substantial further progress” needed for the central bank to begin slowing the pace of those purchases.<blockquote>自疫情最严重以来，美联储每月吸收约1200亿美元的美国国债和机构抵押贷款支持证券。但美联储官员最近几周表示，到今年年底，经济可能会取得美联储开始放缓这些购买步伐所需的“实质性进一步进展”。</blockquote> “If progress continues broadly as expected, the Committee judges that a moderation in the pace of asset purchases may soon be warranted,” the FOMC statement reads.<blockquote>FOMC声明称：“如果进展按预期广泛持续，委员会判断可能很快就有必要放缓资产购买步伐。”</blockquote> The central bank only has two more meetings this year to announce a taper: in early November and in mid-December.<blockquote>央行今年只有两次会议宣布taper：11月初和12月中旬。</blockquote> The Fed has insisted that thetiming of a taper is not a “direct signal”on the timing of rate liftoff. But “dot plot” projections, which map out each of the 18 FOMC members’ expectations for where rates will be in coming years, suggest that the central bank is pulling forward its forecast for 25 basis point rate hikes.<blockquote>美联储坚称，缩减购债规模的时机并不是加息时机的“直接信号”。但“点阵图”预测显示了18位FOMC成员对未来几年利率的预期，表明央行正在将加息25个基点的预测提前。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/613f9571610513947a05c158ba7321ac\" tg-width=\"705\" tg-height=\"779\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">The updated forecast now has the committee split on rate hikes in 2022, with 9 members seeing the case for no rate hikes next year but the other 9 seeing the case for at least one hike. By the end of 2023, the median dot projects three to four total rate hikes.<blockquote>更新后的预测现在使委员会在2022年加息问题上存在分歧，9名成员认为明年不加息，但其他9名成员认为至少加息一次。到2023年底，dot中位数预计总共加息三到四次。</blockquote> Through the end of 2024, the median FOMC member sees six to seven total rate hikes.<blockquote>到2024年底，FOMC成员中位数预计总共加息六到七次。</blockquote> In thelast round of projections released in June, the median member of the FOMC saw no rate hikes through the end of 2022 but two rate hikes in 2023.<blockquote>在6月份发布的最新一轮预测中，FOMC成员中位数预计到2022年底不会加息，但2023年将加息两次。</blockquote> The expectation to raise interest rates earlier coincides with higher expectations on inflation. Although the Fed stood pat on its expectation for rising price pressures to be “transitory,” the median FOMC member raised their forecast on PCE inflation to 4.2% this year (compared to 3.4% in June). The median member expects inflation to then fall to 2.2% in 2022. The Fed’s inflation target is 2%.<blockquote>提前加息的预期与对通胀的更高预期不谋而合。尽管美联储坚持其对物价压力上升是“暂时的”的预期，但FOMC成员中位数将今年PCE通胀预期上调至4.2%（6月份为3.4%）。成员中位数预计2022年通胀率将降至2.2%。美联储的通胀目标是2%。</blockquote> The spike in COVID-19 cases from the Delta variant also weighed on forecasters’ expectations for GDP growth. The central bank now expects the U.S. economy to grow by 5.9% this year (compared to 7.0% in June) but revised up growth expectations for 2022 to 3.8% (compared to 3.3% in June).<blockquote>来自德尔塔变异毒株的COVID-19病例激增也影响了预测者对GDP增长的预期。央行目前预计美国经济今年将增长5.9%（6月份为7.0%），但将2022年的增长预期上调至3.8%（6月份为3.3%）。</blockquote> After a softer August jobs report, the Fed revised its expectation on the unemployment rate by the end of 2021 to 4.8% (compared to 4.5% in June). The central bank is hopeful it can return to the pre-pandemic record low on headline unemployment of 3.5% by the end of 2023.<blockquote>在8月份就业报告疲软后，美联储将2021年底失业率预期修正为4.8%（6月份为4.5%）。央行希望到2023年底，总体失业率能够恢复到大流行前3.5%的历史低点。</blockquote> The next FOMC meeting is scheduled to take place November 2 and 3.<blockquote>下一次FOMC会议定于11月2日至3日举行。</blockquote>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Fed signals possibility of 6 to 7 rate hikes through 2024 as taper talks advance<blockquote>随着缩减谈判的推进，美联储暗示到2024年可能加息6至7次</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFed signals possibility of 6 to 7 rate hikes through 2024 as taper talks advance<blockquote>随着缩减谈判的推进，美联储暗示到2024年可能加息6至7次</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\nTiger Newspress \n2021-09-23 02:02\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n(Sept 23)&nbsp;The Federal Reserve on Wednesday telegraphed it could hike rates six to seven times by the end of 2024, illustrating the central bank’s optimism that the COVID-19 recovery will progress well enough for the Fed to tighten its easy money policies in a few years.<blockquote>（9月23日）美联储周三表示，到2024年底，它可能会加息六到七次，这表明央行乐观地认为，COVID-19复苏将进展顺利，足以让美联储在几年内收紧宽松货币政策。</blockquote> The policy-setting Federal Open Market Committee still held interest rates at near-zero in its updated statement, but said it had advanced talks on paring back its asset purchase program.<blockquote>制定政策的联邦公开市场委员会在更新的声明中仍将利率维持在接近零的水平，但表示已经推进了削减资产购买计划的谈判。</blockquote> Since the depths of the pandemic, the Fed has been absorbing about $120 billion a month in U.S. Treasuries and agency mortgage-backed securities. But Fed officials have said in recent weeks that by the end of the year, the economy will likely make the “substantial further progress” needed for the central bank to begin slowing the pace of those purchases.<blockquote>自疫情最严重以来，美联储每月吸收约1200亿美元的美国国债和机构抵押贷款支持证券。但美联储官员最近几周表示，到今年年底，经济可能会取得美联储开始放缓这些购买步伐所需的“实质性进一步进展”。</blockquote> “If progress continues broadly as expected, the Committee judges that a moderation in the pace of asset purchases may soon be warranted,” the FOMC statement reads.<blockquote>FOMC声明称：“如果进展按预期广泛持续，委员会判断可能很快就有必要放缓资产购买步伐。”</blockquote> The central bank only has two more meetings this year to announce a taper: in early November and in mid-December.<blockquote>央行今年只有两次会议宣布taper：11月初和12月中旬。</blockquote> The Fed has insisted that thetiming of a taper is not a “direct signal”on the timing of rate liftoff. But “dot plot” projections, which map out each of the 18 FOMC members’ expectations for where rates will be in coming years, suggest that the central bank is pulling forward its forecast for 25 basis point rate hikes.<blockquote>美联储坚称，缩减购债规模的时机并不是加息时机的“直接信号”。但“点阵图”预测显示了18位FOMC成员对未来几年利率的预期，表明央行正在将加息25个基点的预测提前。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/613f9571610513947a05c158ba7321ac\" tg-width=\"705\" tg-height=\"779\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">The updated forecast now has the committee split on rate hikes in 2022, with 9 members seeing the case for no rate hikes next year but the other 9 seeing the case for at least one hike. By the end of 2023, the median dot projects three to four total rate hikes.<blockquote>更新后的预测现在使委员会在2022年加息问题上存在分歧，9名成员认为明年不加息，但其他9名成员认为至少加息一次。到2023年底，dot中位数预计总共加息三到四次。</blockquote> Through the end of 2024, the median FOMC member sees six to seven total rate hikes.<blockquote>到2024年底，FOMC成员中位数预计总共加息六到七次。</blockquote> In thelast round of projections released in June, the median member of the FOMC saw no rate hikes through the end of 2022 but two rate hikes in 2023.<blockquote>在6月份发布的最新一轮预测中，FOMC成员中位数预计到2022年底不会加息，但2023年将加息两次。</blockquote> The expectation to raise interest rates earlier coincides with higher expectations on inflation. Although the Fed stood pat on its expectation for rising price pressures to be “transitory,” the median FOMC member raised their forecast on PCE inflation to 4.2% this year (compared to 3.4% in June). The median member expects inflation to then fall to 2.2% in 2022. The Fed’s inflation target is 2%.<blockquote>提前加息的预期与对通胀的更高预期不谋而合。尽管美联储坚持其对物价压力上升是“暂时的”的预期，但FOMC成员中位数将今年PCE通胀预期上调至4.2%（6月份为3.4%）。成员中位数预计2022年通胀率将降至2.2%。美联储的通胀目标是2%。</blockquote> The spike in COVID-19 cases from the Delta variant also weighed on forecasters’ expectations for GDP growth. The central bank now expects the U.S. economy to grow by 5.9% this year (compared to 7.0% in June) but revised up growth expectations for 2022 to 3.8% (compared to 3.3% in June).<blockquote>来自德尔塔变异毒株的COVID-19病例激增也影响了预测者对GDP增长的预期。央行目前预计美国经济今年将增长5.9%（6月份为7.0%），但将2022年的增长预期上调至3.8%（6月份为3.3%）。</blockquote> After a softer August jobs report, the Fed revised its expectation on the unemployment rate by the end of 2021 to 4.8% (compared to 4.5% in June). The central bank is hopeful it can return to the pre-pandemic record low on headline unemployment of 3.5% by the end of 2023.<blockquote>在8月份就业报告疲软后，美联储将2021年底失业率预期修正为4.8%（6月份为4.5%）。央行希望到2023年底，总体失业率能够恢复到大流行前3.5%的历史低点。</blockquote> The next FOMC meeting is scheduled to take place November 2 and 3.<blockquote>下一次FOMC会议定于11月2日至3日举行。</blockquote>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1105881552","content_text":"(Sept 23) The Federal Reserve on Wednesday telegraphed it could hike rates six to seven times by the end of 2024, illustrating the central bank’s optimism that the COVID-19 recovery will progress well enough for the Fed to tighten its easy money policies in a few years.\nThe policy-setting Federal Open Market Committee still held interest rates at near-zero in its updated statement, but said it had advanced talks on paring back its asset purchase program.\nSince the depths of the pandemic, the Fed has been absorbing about $120 billion a month in U.S. Treasuries and agency mortgage-backed securities. But Fed officials have said in recent weeks that by the end of the year, the economy will likely make the “substantial further progress” needed for the central bank to begin slowing the pace of those purchases.\n“If progress continues broadly as expected, the Committee judges that a moderation in the pace of asset purchases may soon be warranted,” the FOMC statement reads.\nThe central bank only has two more meetings this year to announce a taper: in early November and in mid-December.\nThe Fed has insisted that thetiming of a taper is not a “direct signal”on the timing of rate liftoff. But “dot plot” projections, which map out each of the 18 FOMC members’ expectations for where rates will be in coming years, suggest that the central bank is pulling forward its forecast for 25 basis point rate hikes.\nThe updated forecast now has the committee split on rate hikes in 2022, with 9 members seeing the case for no rate hikes next year but the other 9 seeing the case for at least one hike. By the end of 2023, the median dot projects three to four total rate hikes.\nThrough the end of 2024, the median FOMC member sees six to seven total rate hikes.\nIn thelast round of projections released in June, the median member of the FOMC saw no rate hikes through the end of 2022 but two rate hikes in 2023.\nThe expectation to raise interest rates earlier coincides with higher expectations on inflation. Although the Fed stood pat on its expectation for rising price pressures to be “transitory,” the median FOMC member raised their forecast on PCE inflation to 4.2% this year (compared to 3.4% in June). The median member expects inflation to then fall to 2.2% in 2022. The Fed’s inflation target is 2%.\nThe spike in COVID-19 cases from the Delta variant also weighed on forecasters’ expectations for GDP growth. The central bank now expects the U.S. economy to grow by 5.9% this year (compared to 7.0% in June) but revised up growth expectations for 2022 to 3.8% (compared to 3.3% in June).\nAfter a softer August jobs report, the Fed revised its expectation on the unemployment rate by the end of 2021 to 4.8% (compared to 4.5% in June). The central bank is hopeful it can return to the pre-pandemic record low on headline unemployment of 3.5% by the end of 2023.\nThe next FOMC meeting is scheduled to take place November 2 and 3.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":184,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":8,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/863088542"}