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2021-09-27
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Core inflation accelerates to 1.1% in August<blockquote>8月核心通胀率加速至1.1%</blockquote>
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Core inflation, which strips out private road transport and accommodation prices, was supported by almost all clusters except for clothing & footwear (-6.2% y/y), communications (-2.2% y/y) and miscellaneous goods & services (-0.1% y/y),” said UOB in a report.</p><p><blockquote>“2021年8月,新加坡核心通胀率同比加速至1.1%(7月同比1.0%),这是自2019年5月以来的最快增速。剔除私人道路运输和住宿价格的核心通胀几乎得到了除服装和鞋类(同比-6.2%)、通信(同比-2.2%)以及杂项商品和服务(同比-0.1%)之外的所有集群,”大华银行在一份报告中表示。</blockquote></p><p> OCBC, meanwhile, highlighted food inflation and other sectors as the reason for this.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时,华侨银行强调食品通胀和其他行业是造成这种情况的原因。</blockquote></p><p> “Core CPI continued to accelerate to 1.1% yoy in August, up from 1.0% in July. In on-month sequential terms, core CPI also increased 0.2% mom nsa for the second straight month. Higher food inflation (mainly driven by fruits) and a smaller decrease in retail & other goods (amid higher personal effect prices) continued to underpin the core inflation picture in Singapore,” OCBC said in a separate report.</p><p><blockquote>“8月份核心CPI同比继续加速至1.1%,高于7月份的1.0%。从环比来看,核心CPI也连续第二个月环比上涨0.2%。食品通胀上升(主要由水果推动)华侨银行在另一份报告中表示:“零售和其他商品的降幅较小(个人物品价格上涨)继续支撑新加坡的核心通胀状况。”</blockquote></p><p> According to Maybank, this was due to the 6-month high of 1.5%. This was also acknowledged as one of the key drivers of core inflation prices.</p><p><blockquote>据马来亚银行称,这是由于1.5%的6个月高点。这也被认为是核心通胀价格的关键驱动因素之一。</blockquote></p><p> “Key driver of core inflation was food prices, which rose to a 6-month high of +1.5% (vs. +1.1% in Jul) on the back of both non-cooked food (+1.4% vs. +0.7% in Jul) – mainly due to the surgein prices of fruits (+5% vs. +0.4% in Jul) - and prepared meals (+1.5% vs. +1.3% in Jul),” said Maybank.</p><p><blockquote>“核心通胀的主要驱动因素是食品价格,在非熟食(+1.4%对+0.7%)的推动下,食品价格升至+1.5%的6个月高点(7月份为+1.1%)7月)——主要是由于水果价格上涨(7月份为+0.4%)——以及即食食品(7月份为+1.5%对+1.3%),”马来亚银行表示。</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, the 2.4% consumer price index (CPI) for August 2021 is in line with their current market estimates. This is the eighth straight month of inflation.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时,2021年8月2.4%的消费者价格指数(CPI)符合他们目前的市场预期。这是连续第八个月出现通胀。</blockquote></p><p> “This is the eighth straight month where Singapore’s saw higher consumer prices from a year ago, although the latest print was slightly slower than July’s inflation pace of 2.5% year-on-year (-0.2% m/m sa). Accounting for the latest data, Singapore’s consumer prices rose 1.8% in the first eight months of 2021,” UOB said.</p><p><blockquote>大华银行表示:“这是新加坡消费者价格连续第八个月同比上涨,尽管最新数据略慢于7月份同比2.5%的通胀速度(-0.2%m/m sa)。考虑到最新数据,2021年前8个月新加坡消费者价格上涨1.8%。”</blockquote></p><p> UOB also stated that despite the current performance, this period should be seen as a transitory period as the year ends. Various factors, such as the unemployment rate and spending power influenced the period.</p><p><blockquote>大华银行还表示,尽管目前的表现,但随着年底的结束,这一时期应被视为过渡期。失业率和消费能力等各种因素影响了这一时期。</blockquote></p><p> “Dissipating base effects and a higher unemployment rate in July suggest that Singapore’s inflation pressures are likely to be transitory. First, the low base effects in 2020, which had largely supported consumer prices year-to-date, is expected to dissipate into the year ahead. Second, the higher unemployment at 2.8% in July 2021 (from 2.7% in June) suggests that disposable income and spending power may be capped as more time may be needed to fully absorb the slack in Singapore’s labour market. Third and last, the lingering COVID-19 risks should continue to limit commercial rents, thus capping overall business cost pressures.”</p><p><blockquote>“基数效应的消散和7月份失业率的上升表明,新加坡的通胀压力可能是暂时的。首先,2020年的低基数效应在很大程度上支撑了年初至今的消费者价格,预计将在未来一年消散。其次,2021年7月失业率上升至2.8%(6月为2.7%),这表明可支配收入和消费能力可能会受到限制,因为可能需要更多时间来完全吸收新加坡劳动力市场的疲软。第三,也是最后一点,挥之不去的COVID-19风险应该会继续限制商业租金,从而限制整体商业成本压力。”</blockquote></p><p> The same sentiments were also echoed by OCBC, as the bank expects further improvement in 2022. Subdued wage inflation and lowered effects from commercial rents are the reason for this.</p><p><blockquote>华侨银行也表达了同样的观点,该银行预计2022年情况会进一步改善。工资通胀放缓和商业租金影响降低是造成这种情况的原因。</blockquote></p><p> “The inflation outlook is likely to evolve into a less benign end-2021 and into early 2022. Whilst the official rhetoric continues to cite that the elevated external pricing pressures are beginning to ease as low base effects fade, and domestic wage inflation remains subdued and commercial rents are also generally soft currently. However, local car demand remains firm (note Category E COEs crossed $70k in the latest tender results), and accommodation demand could pick up further on the back of rental demand. Moreover, the domestic labour market is likely to improve further into 2022, with the planned expansion of the Progressive Wage Model to more sectors from September 2022 and the requirement of firms to pay local workers the Local Qualifying Salary if they wish to hire foreign workers, likely to drive wage inflation higher next year.”</p><p><blockquote>“到2021年底和2022年初,通胀前景可能会变得不那么良性。虽然官方言论继续指出,随着低基数效应消退,外部定价压力上升开始缓解,而国内工资通胀仍然低迷,商业租金目前也普遍疲软。然而,当地汽车需求仍然强劲(请注意,在最新的招标结果中,E类COE超过了7万美元),住宿需求可能会在租赁需求的推动下进一步回升。此外,国内劳动力市场可能会在2022年进一步改善,计划从2022年9月起将累进工资模式扩展到更多行业,并要求企业如果希望雇用外国工人,则向当地工人支付当地合格工资,可能会推高明年的工资通胀。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1618986048053","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Core inflation accelerates to 1.1% in August<blockquote>8月核心通胀率加速至1.1%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCore inflation accelerates to 1.1% in August<blockquote>8月核心通胀率加速至1.1%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Singapore Business</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-27 10:54</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p> <b>Headline CPI, meanwhile, continued its slight ease.</b> According to various banks, the 1.1% yoy increase in core CPI reported in September 23, 2021. can be attributed to various factors.</p><p><blockquote><b>与此同时,总体CPI继续小幅回落。</b>根据多家银行的数据,2021年9月23日公布的核心CPI同比上涨1.1%。可归因于多种因素。</blockquote></p><p> For UOB, the core inflation was due to performance from all clusters.</p><p><blockquote>对于大华银行来说,核心通胀是由于所有集群的表现。</blockquote></p><p> “Singapore’s core inflation accelerated to 1.1% y/y in August 2021 (from July’s 1.0% y/y), the fastest pace since May 2019. Core inflation, which strips out private road transport and accommodation prices, was supported by almost all clusters except for clothing & footwear (-6.2% y/y), communications (-2.2% y/y) and miscellaneous goods & services (-0.1% y/y),” said UOB in a report.</p><p><blockquote>“2021年8月,新加坡核心通胀率同比加速至1.1%(7月同比1.0%),这是自2019年5月以来的最快增速。剔除私人道路运输和住宿价格的核心通胀几乎得到了除服装和鞋类(同比-6.2%)、通信(同比-2.2%)以及杂项商品和服务(同比-0.1%)之外的所有集群,”大华银行在一份报告中表示。</blockquote></p><p> OCBC, meanwhile, highlighted food inflation and other sectors as the reason for this.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时,华侨银行强调食品通胀和其他行业是造成这种情况的原因。</blockquote></p><p> “Core CPI continued to accelerate to 1.1% yoy in August, up from 1.0% in July. In on-month sequential terms, core CPI also increased 0.2% mom nsa for the second straight month. Higher food inflation (mainly driven by fruits) and a smaller decrease in retail & other goods (amid higher personal effect prices) continued to underpin the core inflation picture in Singapore,” OCBC said in a separate report.</p><p><blockquote>“8月份核心CPI同比继续加速至1.1%,高于7月份的1.0%。从环比来看,核心CPI也连续第二个月环比上涨0.2%。食品通胀上升(主要由水果推动)华侨银行在另一份报告中表示:“零售和其他商品的降幅较小(个人物品价格上涨)继续支撑新加坡的核心通胀状况。”</blockquote></p><p> According to Maybank, this was due to the 6-month high of 1.5%. This was also acknowledged as one of the key drivers of core inflation prices.</p><p><blockquote>据马来亚银行称,这是由于1.5%的6个月高点。这也被认为是核心通胀价格的关键驱动因素之一。</blockquote></p><p> “Key driver of core inflation was food prices, which rose to a 6-month high of +1.5% (vs. +1.1% in Jul) on the back of both non-cooked food (+1.4% vs. +0.7% in Jul) – mainly due to the surgein prices of fruits (+5% vs. +0.4% in Jul) - and prepared meals (+1.5% vs. +1.3% in Jul),” said Maybank.</p><p><blockquote>“核心通胀的主要驱动因素是食品价格,在非熟食(+1.4%对+0.7%)的推动下,食品价格升至+1.5%的6个月高点(7月份为+1.1%)7月)——主要是由于水果价格上涨(7月份为+0.4%)——以及即食食品(7月份为+1.5%对+1.3%),”马来亚银行表示。</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, the 2.4% consumer price index (CPI) for August 2021 is in line with their current market estimates. This is the eighth straight month of inflation.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时,2021年8月2.4%的消费者价格指数(CPI)符合他们目前的市场预期。这是连续第八个月出现通胀。</blockquote></p><p> “This is the eighth straight month where Singapore’s saw higher consumer prices from a year ago, although the latest print was slightly slower than July’s inflation pace of 2.5% year-on-year (-0.2% m/m sa). Accounting for the latest data, Singapore’s consumer prices rose 1.8% in the first eight months of 2021,” UOB said.</p><p><blockquote>大华银行表示:“这是新加坡消费者价格连续第八个月同比上涨,尽管最新数据略慢于7月份同比2.5%的通胀速度(-0.2%m/m sa)。考虑到最新数据,2021年前8个月新加坡消费者价格上涨1.8%。”</blockquote></p><p> UOB also stated that despite the current performance, this period should be seen as a transitory period as the year ends. Various factors, such as the unemployment rate and spending power influenced the period.</p><p><blockquote>大华银行还表示,尽管目前的表现,但随着年底的结束,这一时期应被视为过渡期。失业率和消费能力等各种因素影响了这一时期。</blockquote></p><p> “Dissipating base effects and a higher unemployment rate in July suggest that Singapore’s inflation pressures are likely to be transitory. First, the low base effects in 2020, which had largely supported consumer prices year-to-date, is expected to dissipate into the year ahead. Second, the higher unemployment at 2.8% in July 2021 (from 2.7% in June) suggests that disposable income and spending power may be capped as more time may be needed to fully absorb the slack in Singapore’s labour market. Third and last, the lingering COVID-19 risks should continue to limit commercial rents, thus capping overall business cost pressures.”</p><p><blockquote>“基数效应的消散和7月份失业率的上升表明,新加坡的通胀压力可能是暂时的。首先,2020年的低基数效应在很大程度上支撑了年初至今的消费者价格,预计将在未来一年消散。其次,2021年7月失业率上升至2.8%(6月为2.7%),这表明可支配收入和消费能力可能会受到限制,因为可能需要更多时间来完全吸收新加坡劳动力市场的疲软。第三,也是最后一点,挥之不去的COVID-19风险应该会继续限制商业租金,从而限制整体商业成本压力。”</blockquote></p><p> The same sentiments were also echoed by OCBC, as the bank expects further improvement in 2022. Subdued wage inflation and lowered effects from commercial rents are the reason for this.</p><p><blockquote>华侨银行也表达了同样的观点,该银行预计2022年情况会进一步改善。工资通胀放缓和商业租金影响降低是造成这种情况的原因。</blockquote></p><p> “The inflation outlook is likely to evolve into a less benign end-2021 and into early 2022. Whilst the official rhetoric continues to cite that the elevated external pricing pressures are beginning to ease as low base effects fade, and domestic wage inflation remains subdued and commercial rents are also generally soft currently. However, local car demand remains firm (note Category E COEs crossed $70k in the latest tender results), and accommodation demand could pick up further on the back of rental demand. Moreover, the domestic labour market is likely to improve further into 2022, with the planned expansion of the Progressive Wage Model to more sectors from September 2022 and the requirement of firms to pay local workers the Local Qualifying Salary if they wish to hire foreign workers, likely to drive wage inflation higher next year.”</p><p><blockquote>“到2021年底和2022年初,通胀前景可能会变得不那么良性。虽然官方言论继续指出,随着低基数效应消退,外部定价压力上升开始缓解,而国内工资通胀仍然低迷,商业租金目前也普遍疲软。然而,当地汽车需求仍然强劲(请注意,在最新的招标结果中,E类COE超过了7万美元),住宿需求可能会在租赁需求的推动下进一步回升。此外,国内劳动力市场可能会在2022年进一步改善,计划从2022年9月起将累进工资模式扩展到更多行业,并要求企业如果希望雇用外国工人,则向当地工人支付当地合格工资,可能会推高明年的工资通胀。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://sbr.com.sg/economy/in-focus/core-inflation-accelerates-11-in-august\">Singapore Business</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"STI.SI":"富时新加坡海峡指数"},"source_url":"https://sbr.com.sg/economy/in-focus/core-inflation-accelerates-11-in-august","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1131175296","content_text":"Headline CPI, meanwhile, continued its slight ease.\n\nAccording to various banks, the 1.1% yoy increase in core CPI reported in September 23, 2021. can be attributed to various factors.\nFor UOB, the core inflation was due to performance from all clusters.\n“Singapore’s core inflation accelerated to 1.1% y/y in August 2021 (from July’s 1.0% y/y), the fastest pace since May 2019. Core inflation, which strips out private road transport and accommodation prices, was supported by almost all clusters except for clothing & footwear (-6.2% y/y), communications (-2.2% y/y) and miscellaneous goods & services (-0.1% y/y),” said UOB in a report.\nOCBC, meanwhile, highlighted food inflation and other sectors as the reason for this.\n“Core CPI continued to accelerate to 1.1% yoy in August, up from 1.0% in July. In on-month sequential terms, core CPI also increased 0.2% mom nsa for the second straight month. Higher food inflation (mainly driven by fruits) and a smaller decrease in retail & other goods (amid higher personal effect prices) continued to underpin the core inflation picture in Singapore,” OCBC said in a separate report.\nAccording to Maybank, this was due to the 6-month high of 1.5%. This was also acknowledged as one of the key drivers of core inflation prices.\n“Key driver of core inflation was food prices, which rose to a 6-month high of +1.5% (vs. +1.1% in Jul) on the back of both non-cooked food (+1.4% vs. +0.7% in Jul) – mainly due to the surgein prices of fruits (+5% vs. +0.4% in Jul) - and prepared meals (+1.5% vs. +1.3% in Jul),” said Maybank.\nMeanwhile, the 2.4% consumer price index (CPI) for August 2021 is in line with their current market estimates. This is the eighth straight month of inflation.\n“This is the eighth straight month where Singapore’s saw higher consumer prices from a year ago, although the latest print was slightly slower than July’s inflation pace of 2.5% year-on-year (-0.2% m/m sa). Accounting for the latest data, Singapore’s consumer prices rose 1.8% in the first eight months of 2021,” UOB said.\nUOB also stated that despite the current performance, this period should be seen as a transitory period as the year ends. Various factors, such as the unemployment rate and spending power influenced the period.\n“Dissipating base effects and a higher unemployment rate in July suggest that Singapore’s inflation pressures are likely to be transitory. First, the low base effects in 2020, which had largely supported consumer prices year-to-date, is expected to dissipate into the year ahead. Second, the higher unemployment at 2.8% in July 2021 (from 2.7% in June) suggests that disposable income and spending power may be capped as more time may be needed to fully absorb the slack in Singapore’s labour market. Third and last, the lingering COVID-19 risks should continue to limit commercial rents, thus capping overall business cost pressures.”\nThe same sentiments were also echoed by OCBC, as the bank expects further improvement in 2022. Subdued wage inflation and lowered effects from commercial rents are the reason for this.\n“The inflation outlook is likely to evolve into a less benign end-2021 and into early 2022. Whilst the official rhetoric continues to cite that the elevated external pricing pressures are beginning to ease as low base effects fade, and domestic wage inflation remains subdued and commercial rents are also generally soft currently. However, local car demand remains firm (note Category E COEs crossed $70k in the latest tender results), and accommodation demand could pick up further on the back of rental demand. Moreover, the domestic labour market is likely to improve further into 2022, with the planned expansion of the Progressive Wage Model to more sectors from September 2022 and the requirement of firms to pay local workers the Local Qualifying Salary if they wish to hire foreign workers, likely to drive wage inflation higher next year.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"STI.SI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":528,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"CN","currentLanguage":"CN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":33,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ZH_CN"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/866016531"}
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