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2021-09-27

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Core inflation accelerates to 1.1% in August<blockquote>8月份核心通胀率加速至1.1%</blockquote>

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According to various banks, the 1.1% yoy increase in core CPI reported in September 23, 2021. can be attributed to various factors.<blockquote>与此同时，总体CPI继续小幅放缓。根据各银行的数据，2021年9月23日核心CPI同比上涨1.1%。可归因于多种因素。</blockquote> For UOB, the core inflation was due to performance from all clusters.<blockquote>对于大华银行来说，核心通胀是由于所有集群的表现。</blockquote> “Singapore’s core inflation accelerated to 1.1% y/y in August 2021 (from July’s 1.0% y/y), the fastest pace since May 2019. Core inflation, which strips out private road transport and accommodation prices, was supported by almost all clusters except for clothing &amp; footwear (-6.2% y/y), communications (-2.2% y/y) and miscellaneous goods &amp; services (-0.1% y/y),” said UOB in a report.<blockquote>“2021 年 8 月，新加坡的核心通胀率同比加速至 1.1%（7 月为 1.0%），为 2019 年 5 月以来的最快增速。除服装和鞋类（同比下降 6.2%）、通信（同比下降 2.2%）以及杂项商品和服务（同比下降 0.1%）外，几乎所有行业都对核心通胀率提供了支撑。</blockquote> OCBC, meanwhile, highlighted food inflation and other sectors as the reason for this.<blockquote>与此同时，华侨银行强调食品通胀和其他行业是造成这种情况的原因。</blockquote> “Core CPI continued to accelerate to 1.1% yoy in August, up from 1.0% in July. In on-month sequential terms, core CPI also increased 0.2% mom nsa for the second straight month. Higher food inflation (mainly driven by fruits) and a smaller decrease in retail &amp; other goods (amid higher personal effect prices) continued to underpin the core inflation picture in Singapore,” OCBC said in a separate report.<blockquote>“8 月份核心消费者物价指数（CPI）同比继续加速上升至 1.1%，高于 7 月份的 1.0%。按月环比计算，核心消费者物价指数也连续第二个月环比上涨 0.2%。华侨银行在另一份报告中说：”食品通胀上升（主要由水果推动）以及零售和其他商品降幅较小（个人物品价格上涨）继续支撑着新加坡的核心通胀形势。</blockquote> According to Maybank, this was due to the 6-month high of 1.5%. This was also acknowledged as one of the key drivers of core inflation prices.<blockquote>据马来亚银行称，这是由于 1.5% 的 6 个月高点。这也被认为是核心通胀价格的关键驱动因素之一。</blockquote> “Key driver of core inflation was food prices, which rose to a 6-month high of +1.5% (vs. +1.1% in Jul) on the back of both non-cooked food (+1.4% vs. +0.7% in Jul) – mainly due to the surgein prices of fruits (+5% vs. +0.4% in Jul) - and prepared meals (+1.5% vs. +1.3% in Jul),” said Maybank.<blockquote>“核心通胀的主要驱动力是食品价格，在非熟食（7 月份为 +1.4%，7 月份为 +0.7%）的推动下，食品价格上涨至 +1.5%（7 月份为 +1.1%），主要原因是水果（7 月份为 +5%，7 月份为 +0.4%）和熟食（7 月份为 +1.5%，7 月份为 +1.3%），”马来亚银行表示。</blockquote> Meanwhile, the 2.4% consumer price index (CPI) for August 2021 is in line with their current market estimates. This is the eighth straight month of inflation.<blockquote>与此同时，2021年8月2.4%的消费者价格指数（CPI）符合他们目前的市场预期。这是连续第八个月通货膨胀。</blockquote> “This is the eighth straight month where Singapore’s saw higher consumer prices from a year ago, although the latest print was slightly slower than July’s inflation pace of 2.5% year-on-year (-0.2% m/m sa). Accounting for the latest data, Singapore’s consumer prices rose 1.8% in the first eight months of 2021,”&nbsp;UOB said.<blockquote>“这是新加坡消费价格连续第八个月比一年前上涨，尽管最新数据略低于 7 月份 2.5% 的同比通胀率（南非环比-0.2%）。考虑到最新数据，2021 年前八个月新加坡消费价格上涨了 1.8%，”大华银行说。</blockquote> UOB also stated that despite the current performance, this period should be seen as a transitory period as the year ends. Various factors, such as the unemployment rate and spending power influenced the period.<blockquote>大华银行还表示，尽管目前表现良好，但随着年底，这一时期应被视为过渡时期。失业率和消费能力等各种因素都影响了这一时期。</blockquote> “Dissipating base effects and a higher unemployment rate in July suggest that Singapore’s inflation pressures are likely to be transitory. First, the low base effects in 2020, which had largely supported consumer prices year-to-date, is expected to dissipate into the year ahead. Second, the higher unemployment at 2.8% in July 2021 (from 2.7% in June) suggests that disposable income and spending power may be capped as more time may be needed to fully absorb the slack in Singapore’s labour market. Third and last, the lingering COVID-19 risks should continue to limit commercial rents, thus capping overall business cost pressures.”<blockquote>“基数效应的消散和 7 月份失业率的上升表明，新加坡的通胀压力很可能是暂时的。首先，2020 年的低基数效应在很大程度上支撑了今年迄今为止的消费价格，预计将在未来一年消散。其次，2021 年 7 月失业率为 2.8%（6 月份为 2.7%），这表明可支配收入和消费能力可能会受到限制，因为可能需要更多时间来完全消化新加坡劳动力市场的疲软。第三，也是最后一点，挥之不去的COVID-19风险应该会继续限制商业租金，从而限制整体商业成本压力。”</blockquote> The same sentiments were also echoed by OCBC, as the bank expects further improvement in 2022. Subdued wage inflation and lowered effects from commercial rents are the reason for this.<blockquote>华侨银行也表达了同样的观点，该银行预计 2022 年将进一步改善。工资通胀放缓和商业租金影响降低是造成这种情况的原因。</blockquote> “The inflation outlook is likely to evolve into a less benign end-2021 and into early 2022. Whilst the official rhetoric continues to cite that the elevated external pricing pressures are beginning to ease as low base effects fade, and domestic wage inflation remains subdued and commercial rents are also generally soft currently. However, local car demand remains firm (note Category E COEs crossed $70k in the latest tender results), and accommodation demand could pick up further on the back of rental demand. Moreover, the domestic labour market is likely to improve further into 2022, with the planned expansion of the Progressive Wage Model to more sectors from September 2022 and the requirement of firms to pay local workers the Local Qualifying Salary if they wish to hire foreign workers, likely to drive wage inflation higher next year.”<blockquote>“2021 年底和 2022 年初的通胀前景可能会变得不那么乐观。虽然官方言论继续指出，随着低基数效应的消退，外部定价压力的升高开始缓解，国内工资通胀依然低迷，商业租金目前也普遍疲软。然而，当地汽车需求仍然坚挺（请注意，在最新的招标结果中，E类COE超过了7万美元），住宿需求可能会在租赁需求的推动下进一步回升。此外，国内劳动力市场可能会在2022年进一步改善，计划从2022年9月起将累进工资模式扩展到更多行业，以及企业如果希望雇用外籍工人，必须向本地工人支付当地合格工资，这可能会推高明年的工资通胀。”</blockquote>","source":"lsy1618986048053","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Core inflation accelerates to 1.1% in August<blockquote>8月份核心通胀率加速至1.1%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCore inflation accelerates to 1.1% in August<blockquote>8月份核心通胀率加速至1.1%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\nSingapore Business2021-09-27 10:54\n\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n Headline CPI, meanwhile, continued its slight ease. According to various banks, the 1.1% yoy increase in core CPI reported in September 23, 2021. can be attributed to various factors.<blockquote>与此同时，总体CPI继续小幅放缓。根据各银行的数据，2021年9月23日核心CPI同比上涨1.1%。可归因于多种因素。</blockquote> For UOB, the core inflation was due to performance from all clusters.<blockquote>对于大华银行来说，核心通胀是由于所有集群的表现。</blockquote> “Singapore’s core inflation accelerated to 1.1% y/y in August 2021 (from July’s 1.0% y/y), the fastest pace since May 2019. Core inflation, which strips out private road transport and accommodation prices, was supported by almost all clusters except for clothing &amp; footwear (-6.2% y/y), communications (-2.2% y/y) and miscellaneous goods &amp; services (-0.1% y/y),” said UOB in a report.<blockquote>“2021 年 8 月，新加坡的核心通胀率同比加速至 1.1%（7 月为 1.0%），为 2019 年 5 月以来的最快增速。除服装和鞋类（同比下降 6.2%）、通信（同比下降 2.2%）以及杂项商品和服务（同比下降 0.1%）外，几乎所有行业都对核心通胀率提供了支撑。</blockquote> OCBC, meanwhile, highlighted food inflation and other sectors as the reason for this.<blockquote>与此同时，华侨银行强调食品通胀和其他行业是造成这种情况的原因。</blockquote> “Core CPI continued to accelerate to 1.1% yoy in August, up from 1.0% in July. In on-month sequential terms, core CPI also increased 0.2% mom nsa for the second straight month. Higher food inflation (mainly driven by fruits) and a smaller decrease in retail &amp; other goods (amid higher personal effect prices) continued to underpin the core inflation picture in Singapore,” OCBC said in a separate report.<blockquote>“8 月份核心消费者物价指数（CPI）同比继续加速上升至 1.1%，高于 7 月份的 1.0%。按月环比计算，核心消费者物价指数也连续第二个月环比上涨 0.2%。华侨银行在另一份报告中说：”食品通胀上升（主要由水果推动）以及零售和其他商品降幅较小（个人物品价格上涨）继续支撑着新加坡的核心通胀形势。</blockquote> According to Maybank, this was due to the 6-month high of 1.5%. This was also acknowledged as one of the key drivers of core inflation prices.<blockquote>据马来亚银行称，这是由于 1.5% 的 6 个月高点。这也被认为是核心通胀价格的关键驱动因素之一。</blockquote> “Key driver of core inflation was food prices, which rose to a 6-month high of +1.5% (vs. +1.1% in Jul) on the back of both non-cooked food (+1.4% vs. +0.7% in Jul) – mainly due to the surgein prices of fruits (+5% vs. +0.4% in Jul) - and prepared meals (+1.5% vs. +1.3% in Jul),” said Maybank.<blockquote>“核心通胀的主要驱动力是食品价格，在非熟食（7 月份为 +1.4%，7 月份为 +0.7%）的推动下，食品价格上涨至 +1.5%（7 月份为 +1.1%），主要原因是水果（7 月份为 +5%，7 月份为 +0.4%）和熟食（7 月份为 +1.5%，7 月份为 +1.3%），”马来亚银行表示。</blockquote> Meanwhile, the 2.4% consumer price index (CPI) for August 2021 is in line with their current market estimates. This is the eighth straight month of inflation.<blockquote>与此同时，2021年8月2.4%的消费者价格指数（CPI）符合他们目前的市场预期。这是连续第八个月通货膨胀。</blockquote> “This is the eighth straight month where Singapore’s saw higher consumer prices from a year ago, although the latest print was slightly slower than July’s inflation pace of 2.5% year-on-year (-0.2% m/m sa). Accounting for the latest data, Singapore’s consumer prices rose 1.8% in the first eight months of 2021,”&nbsp;UOB said.<blockquote>“这是新加坡消费价格连续第八个月比一年前上涨，尽管最新数据略低于 7 月份 2.5% 的同比通胀率（南非环比-0.2%）。考虑到最新数据，2021 年前八个月新加坡消费价格上涨了 1.8%，”大华银行说。</blockquote> UOB also stated that despite the current performance, this period should be seen as a transitory period as the year ends. Various factors, such as the unemployment rate and spending power influenced the period.<blockquote>大华银行还表示，尽管目前表现良好，但随着年底，这一时期应被视为过渡时期。失业率和消费能力等各种因素都影响了这一时期。</blockquote> “Dissipating base effects and a higher unemployment rate in July suggest that Singapore’s inflation pressures are likely to be transitory. First, the low base effects in 2020, which had largely supported consumer prices year-to-date, is expected to dissipate into the year ahead. Second, the higher unemployment at 2.8% in July 2021 (from 2.7% in June) suggests that disposable income and spending power may be capped as more time may be needed to fully absorb the slack in Singapore’s labour market. Third and last, the lingering COVID-19 risks should continue to limit commercial rents, thus capping overall business cost pressures.”<blockquote>“基数效应的消散和 7 月份失业率的上升表明，新加坡的通胀压力很可能是暂时的。首先，2020 年的低基数效应在很大程度上支撑了今年迄今为止的消费价格，预计将在未来一年消散。其次，2021 年 7 月失业率为 2.8%（6 月份为 2.7%），这表明可支配收入和消费能力可能会受到限制，因为可能需要更多时间来完全消化新加坡劳动力市场的疲软。第三，也是最后一点，挥之不去的COVID-19风险应该会继续限制商业租金，从而限制整体商业成本压力。”</blockquote> The same sentiments were also echoed by OCBC, as the bank expects further improvement in 2022. Subdued wage inflation and lowered effects from commercial rents are the reason for this.<blockquote>华侨银行也表达了同样的观点，该银行预计 2022 年将进一步改善。工资通胀放缓和商业租金影响降低是造成这种情况的原因。</blockquote> “The inflation outlook is likely to evolve into a less benign end-2021 and into early 2022. Whilst the official rhetoric continues to cite that the elevated external pricing pressures are beginning to ease as low base effects fade, and domestic wage inflation remains subdued and commercial rents are also generally soft currently. However, local car demand remains firm (note Category E COEs crossed $70k in the latest tender results), and accommodation demand could pick up further on the back of rental demand. Moreover, the domestic labour market is likely to improve further into 2022, with the planned expansion of the Progressive Wage Model to more sectors from September 2022 and the requirement of firms to pay local workers the Local Qualifying Salary if they wish to hire foreign workers, likely to drive wage inflation higher next year.”<blockquote>“2021 年底和 2022 年初的通胀前景可能会变得不那么乐观。虽然官方言论继续指出，随着低基数效应的消退，外部定价压力的升高开始缓解，国内工资通胀依然低迷，商业租金目前也普遍疲软。然而，当地汽车需求仍然坚挺（请注意，在最新的招标结果中，E类COE超过了7万美元），住宿需求可能会在租赁需求的推动下进一步回升。此外，国内劳动力市场可能会在2022年进一步改善，计划从2022年9月起将累进工资模式扩展到更多行业，以及企业如果希望雇用外籍工人，必须向本地工人支付当地合格工资，这可能会推高明年的工资通胀。”</blockquote>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n 来源：<a href=\"https://sbr.com.sg/economy/in-focus/core-inflation-accelerates-11-in-august\">Singapore Business</a>\n为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"STI.SI":"富时新加坡海峡指数"},"source_url":"https://sbr.com.sg/economy/in-focus/core-inflation-accelerates-11-in-august","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1131175296","content_text":"Headline CPI, meanwhile, continued its slight ease.\n\nAccording to various banks, the 1.1% yoy increase in core CPI reported in September 23, 2021. can be attributed to various factors.\nFor UOB, the core inflation was due to performance from all clusters.\n“Singapore’s core inflation accelerated to 1.1% y/y in August 2021 (from July’s 1.0% y/y), the fastest pace since May 2019. Core inflation, which strips out private road transport and accommodation prices, was supported by almost all clusters except for clothing & footwear (-6.2% y/y), communications (-2.2% y/y) and miscellaneous goods & services (-0.1% y/y),” said UOB in a report.\nOCBC, meanwhile, highlighted food inflation and other sectors as the reason for this.\n“Core CPI continued to accelerate to 1.1% yoy in August, up from 1.0% in July. In on-month sequential terms, core CPI also increased 0.2% mom nsa for the second straight month. Higher food inflation (mainly driven by fruits) and a smaller decrease in retail & other goods (amid higher personal effect prices) continued to underpin the core inflation picture in Singapore,” OCBC said in a separate report.\nAccording to Maybank, this was due to the 6-month high of 1.5%. This was also acknowledged as one of the key drivers of core inflation prices.\n“Key driver of core inflation was food prices, which rose to a 6-month high of +1.5% (vs. +1.1% in Jul) on the back of both non-cooked food (+1.4% vs. +0.7% in Jul) – mainly due to the surgein prices of fruits (+5% vs. +0.4% in Jul) - and prepared meals (+1.5% vs. +1.3% in Jul),” said Maybank.\nMeanwhile, the 2.4% consumer price index (CPI) for August 2021 is in line with their current market estimates. This is the eighth straight month of inflation.\n“This is the eighth straight month where Singapore’s saw higher consumer prices from a year ago, although the latest print was slightly slower than July’s inflation pace of 2.5% year-on-year (-0.2% m/m sa). Accounting for the latest data, Singapore’s consumer prices rose 1.8% in the first eight months of 2021,” UOB said.\nUOB also stated that despite the current performance, this period should be seen as a transitory period as the year ends. Various factors, such as the unemployment rate and spending power influenced the period.\n“Dissipating base effects and a higher unemployment rate in July suggest that Singapore’s inflation pressures are likely to be transitory. First, the low base effects in 2020, which had largely supported consumer prices year-to-date, is expected to dissipate into the year ahead. Second, the higher unemployment at 2.8% in July 2021 (from 2.7% in June) suggests that disposable income and spending power may be capped as more time may be needed to fully absorb the slack in Singapore’s labour market. Third and last, the lingering COVID-19 risks should continue to limit commercial rents, thus capping overall business cost pressures.”\nThe same sentiments were also echoed by OCBC, as the bank expects further improvement in 2022. Subdued wage inflation and lowered effects from commercial rents are the reason for this.\n“The inflation outlook is likely to evolve into a less benign end-2021 and into early 2022. Whilst the official rhetoric continues to cite that the elevated external pricing pressures are beginning to ease as low base effects fade, and domestic wage inflation remains subdued and commercial rents are also generally soft currently. However, local car demand remains firm (note Category E COEs crossed $70k in the latest tender results), and accommodation demand could pick up further on the back of rental demand. Moreover, the domestic labour market is likely to improve further into 2022, with the planned expansion of the Progressive Wage Model to more sectors from September 2022 and the requirement of firms to pay local workers the Local Qualifying Salary if they wish to hire foreign workers, likely to drive wage inflation higher next year.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"STI.SI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":723,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"CN","currentLanguage":"CN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":33,"subscribersOnly":false,"subscribersOnlyAccessible":false,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ZH_CN"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/866016531"}