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2021-11-22
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Disney Stock May Be Poised For A Big Rebound<blockquote>迪士尼股票可能有望大幅反弹</blockquote>
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The streaming unit has been a crucial element to Disney's significant gains since the pandemic began. So the weakness, although not surprising, was not received well by investors.</p><p><blockquote>迪士尼 (DIS) 公布季度业绩后股价暴跌，原因是该公司报告其流媒体部门新增用户数量令人失望。自疫情开始以来，流媒体部门一直是迪士尼取得重大进展的关键因素。因此，这种疲软虽然并不奇怪，但并没有受到投资者的欢迎。</blockquote></p><p> The CEO, Bob Chapek,noted on September 21 that Disney+ subscriber growth would slow down from the prior quarter. Still, when the company provided results on November 10, the stock reacted negatively to the news and dropped by nearly 8%. The steep decline appears to be prompting some traders to bet that Disney's shares bounce back between now down and the middle of December.</p><p><blockquote>首席执行官鲍勃·查佩克 (Bob Chapek) 于 9 月 21 日指出，Disney+ 用户增长将比上一季度放缓。尽管如此，当该公司于 11 月 10 日提供业绩时，该股对这一消息反应消极，下跌近 8%。大幅下跌似乎促使一些交易员押注迪士尼股价将在现在到 12 月中旬之间反弹。</blockquote></p><p> There's also some positive news recently which could help lift the shares. There were reports on November 19 that the company was boosting the price of its Hulu Live TV bundle, and that the company may enter sports betting.</p><p><blockquote>最近也有一些积极的消息可能有助于提振股价。11月19日有报道称，该公司正在提高其Hulu直播电视捆绑包的价格，该公司可能会进入体育博彩领域。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Disney Stock's Valuation is Lofty</b></p><p><blockquote><b>迪士尼股票估值很高</b></blockquote></p><p> The stock is not cheap on a PE basis, trading at 28.2 times next-year earnings estimates of $5.66 per share. The average over the past five years has been around 23.6, a level that the stock reached before the pandemic as investors started to focus on the potential of Disney+.</p><p><blockquote>该股市盈率并不便宜，交易价格是明年每股收益预期 5.66 美元的 28.2 倍。过去五年的平均水平约为 23.6，这是该股在大流行之前达到的水平，当时投资者开始关注 Disney+ 的潜力。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80ed52602f8ad9601829a374adb7b9ca\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"480\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> However, when looking at Disney and the revenue outlook, the stock's valuation is much more attractive. Meanwhile, given the higher cost of the pandemic and increased spending for content creation for the streaming service, the sales valuation may prove a better way to measure the company over the shorter term. Based on current sales estimates of $100.6 billion in the fiscal year 2024, the stock currently trades at 2.9 times sales and is in line with its five-year average of 2.8.</p><p><blockquote>然而，从迪士尼和收入前景来看，该股的估值更具吸引力。与此同时，考虑到疫情成本上升以及流媒体服务内容创作支出增加，销售估值可能被证明是短期内衡量公司的更好方法。根据目前 2024 财年 1006 亿美元的销售额估计，该股目前的交易价格是销售额的 2.9 倍，与五年平均水平 2.8 倍一致。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4589e6e0795ff207306611d7ccf893b9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"480\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>Bullish Options Betting</b></p><p><blockquote><b>看涨期权投注</b></blockquote></p><p> Whether looking at Disney from a sales or earnings standpoint, the valuation today seems to be much more attractive than where it stood just a few weeks ago and appears to be prompting some traders to bet that Disney's stock rebounds. On November 16, the open interest for December 17 $155 puts and calls rose by roughly 19,000 contracts each. Additionally, the $160 puts and calls saw their open interest increase by around 20,000 contracts. The data shows the $160 calls were bought on the ASK for $5.54 per contract, while the $160 puts were sold on the BID for $3.91 per contract. Additionally, the $155 calls were bought on the ASK for $6.50 per contract, while the $155 puts were sold on the BID for $3.15 per contract. Two massively bullish bets that the shares rise over the next four weeks.</p><p><blockquote>无论是从销售还是盈利的角度来看迪士尼，今天的估值似乎比几周前更具吸引力，并且似乎促使一些交易员押注迪士尼的股票将会反弹。11 月 16 日，12 月 17 日 155 美元看跌期权和评级的未平仓合约各增加了约 19,000 份合约。此外，160美元看跌期权和评级的未平仓合约增加了约20,000份合约。数据显示，160美元的评级以每份合约5.54美元的价格买入，而160美元的看跌期权以每份合约3.91美元的价格卖出。此外，155美元的评级以每份合约6.50美元的价格买入，而155美元的看跌期权以每份合约3.15美元的价格卖出。两个巨大的看涨押注认为股价将在未来四周内上涨。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Technical Rebound In DIS Stock</b></p><p><blockquote><b>DIS 股票技术性反弹</b></blockquote></p><p> From a technical standpoint, a rally seems more than plausible. A huge gap was created on November 10 after the company reported results. The shares have now fallen to support $154.50 and filled a gap created on December 11, 2020. Additionally, the stock has a relative strength index that has reached oversold levels after hitting 30 on November 15.</p><p><blockquote>从技术角度来看，反弹似乎非常有可能。11月10日，该公司公布业绩后，出现了巨大的差距。该股现已跌至 154.50 美元的支撑位，填补了 2020 年 12 月 11 日造成的缺口。此外，该股的相对强弱指数在 11 月 15 日达到 30 点后已达到超卖水平。</blockquote></p><p> With strong support of around $154 and a gap to fill at higher levels, the equity has an opportunity to rebound from oversold conditions and potentially even fill the gap around $170, a gain of about 6.5% from the current price of $159.25 on November 16.</p><p><blockquote>由于154美元左右的强劲支撑和更高水平的缺口需要填补，该股有机会从超卖状况中反弹，甚至有可能填补170美元左右的缺口，较11月16日159.25美元的当前价格上涨约6.5%。</blockquote></p><p> However, a break in support around $152.50 could lead to a sharp decline to approximately $128.</p><p><blockquote>然而，突破 152.50 美元附近的支撑位可能会导致大幅下跌至 128 美元左右。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d8861bfc61350b2d7ae8f368fd0b4c94\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"403\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The news on the subscriber miss didn't come as a surprise, and the sell-off at this point may be more of an overreaction. Given the valuation and bullish option betting, the stock seems like a good candidate for a short-term rebound opportunity.</p><p><blockquote>关于用户失踪的消息并不令人意外，此时的抛售可能更多的是反应过度。考虑到估值和看涨期权押注，该股似乎是短期反弹机会的良好候选者。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Disney Stock May Be Poised For A Big Rebound<blockquote>迪士尼股票可能有望大幅反弹</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDisney Stock May Be Poised For A Big Rebound<blockquote>迪士尼股票可能有望大幅反弹</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Seeking Alpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-22 14:35</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Disney shares plunged following quarterly results last week.</li> <li>However, DIS stock's valuation has come down to much more attractive levels.</li> <li>This has prompted options traders to bet a big rebound.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/db18b8191ffe57bbd7ff43b3b4de329b\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Marvin Samuel Tolentino Pineda/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>上周季度业绩公布后，迪士尼股价暴跌。</li><li>然而，DIS 股票的估值已降至更具吸引力的水平。</li><li>这促使期权交易员押注大幅反弹。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Marvin Samuel Tolentino Pineda/iStock 社论来自 Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Disney (DIS) shares plunged following its quarterly results when the company reported disappointing new subscriber additions for its streaming unit. The streaming unit has been a crucial element to Disney's significant gains since the pandemic began. So the weakness, although not surprising, was not received well by investors.</p><p><blockquote>迪士尼 (DIS) 公布季度业绩后股价暴跌，原因是该公司报告其流媒体部门新增用户数量令人失望。自疫情开始以来，流媒体部门一直是迪士尼取得重大进展的关键因素。因此，这种疲软虽然并不奇怪，但并没有受到投资者的欢迎。</blockquote></p><p> The CEO, Bob Chapek,noted on September 21 that Disney+ subscriber growth would slow down from the prior quarter. Still, when the company provided results on November 10, the stock reacted negatively to the news and dropped by nearly 8%. The steep decline appears to be prompting some traders to bet that Disney's shares bounce back between now down and the middle of December.</p><p><blockquote>首席执行官鲍勃·查佩克 (Bob Chapek) 于 9 月 21 日指出，Disney+ 用户增长将比上一季度放缓。尽管如此，当该公司于 11 月 10 日提供业绩时，该股对这一消息反应消极，下跌近 8%。大幅下跌似乎促使一些交易员押注迪士尼股价将在现在到 12 月中旬之间反弹。</blockquote></p><p> There's also some positive news recently which could help lift the shares. There were reports on November 19 that the company was boosting the price of its Hulu Live TV bundle, and that the company may enter sports betting.</p><p><blockquote>最近也有一些积极的消息可能有助于提振股价。11月19日有报道称，该公司正在提高其Hulu直播电视捆绑包的价格，该公司可能会进入体育博彩领域。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Disney Stock's Valuation is Lofty</b></p><p><blockquote><b>迪士尼股票估值很高</b></blockquote></p><p> The stock is not cheap on a PE basis, trading at 28.2 times next-year earnings estimates of $5.66 per share. The average over the past five years has been around 23.6, a level that the stock reached before the pandemic as investors started to focus on the potential of Disney+.</p><p><blockquote>该股市盈率并不便宜，交易价格是明年每股收益预期 5.66 美元的 28.2 倍。过去五年的平均水平约为 23.6，这是该股在大流行之前达到的水平，当时投资者开始关注 Disney+ 的潜力。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80ed52602f8ad9601829a374adb7b9ca\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"480\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> However, when looking at Disney and the revenue outlook, the stock's valuation is much more attractive. Meanwhile, given the higher cost of the pandemic and increased spending for content creation for the streaming service, the sales valuation may prove a better way to measure the company over the shorter term. Based on current sales estimates of $100.6 billion in the fiscal year 2024, the stock currently trades at 2.9 times sales and is in line with its five-year average of 2.8.</p><p><blockquote>然而，从迪士尼和收入前景来看，该股的估值更具吸引力。与此同时，考虑到疫情成本上升以及流媒体服务内容创作支出增加，销售估值可能被证明是短期内衡量公司的更好方法。根据目前 2024 财年 1006 亿美元的销售额估计，该股目前的交易价格是销售额的 2.9 倍，与五年平均水平 2.8 倍一致。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4589e6e0795ff207306611d7ccf893b9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"480\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>Bullish Options Betting</b></p><p><blockquote><b>看涨期权投注</b></blockquote></p><p> Whether looking at Disney from a sales or earnings standpoint, the valuation today seems to be much more attractive than where it stood just a few weeks ago and appears to be prompting some traders to bet that Disney's stock rebounds. On November 16, the open interest for December 17 $155 puts and calls rose by roughly 19,000 contracts each. Additionally, the $160 puts and calls saw their open interest increase by around 20,000 contracts. The data shows the $160 calls were bought on the ASK for $5.54 per contract, while the $160 puts were sold on the BID for $3.91 per contract. Additionally, the $155 calls were bought on the ASK for $6.50 per contract, while the $155 puts were sold on the BID for $3.15 per contract. Two massively bullish bets that the shares rise over the next four weeks.</p><p><blockquote>无论是从销售还是盈利的角度来看迪士尼，今天的估值似乎比几周前更具吸引力，并且似乎促使一些交易员押注迪士尼的股票将会反弹。11 月 16 日，12 月 17 日 155 美元看跌期权和评级的未平仓合约各增加了约 19,000 份合约。此外，160美元看跌期权和评级的未平仓合约增加了约20,000份合约。数据显示，160美元的评级以每份合约5.54美元的价格买入，而160美元的看跌期权以每份合约3.91美元的价格卖出。此外，155美元的评级以每份合约6.50美元的价格买入，而155美元的看跌期权以每份合约3.15美元的价格卖出。两个巨大的看涨押注认为股价将在未来四周内上涨。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Technical Rebound In DIS Stock</b></p><p><blockquote><b>DIS 股票技术性反弹</b></blockquote></p><p> From a technical standpoint, a rally seems more than plausible. A huge gap was created on November 10 after the company reported results. The shares have now fallen to support $154.50 and filled a gap created on December 11, 2020. Additionally, the stock has a relative strength index that has reached oversold levels after hitting 30 on November 15.</p><p><blockquote>从技术角度来看，反弹似乎非常有可能。11月10日，该公司公布业绩后，出现了巨大的差距。该股现已跌至 154.50 美元的支撑位，填补了 2020 年 12 月 11 日造成的缺口。此外，该股的相对强弱指数在 11 月 15 日达到 30 点后已达到超卖水平。</blockquote></p><p> With strong support of around $154 and a gap to fill at higher levels, the equity has an opportunity to rebound from oversold conditions and potentially even fill the gap around $170, a gain of about 6.5% from the current price of $159.25 on November 16.</p><p><blockquote>由于154美元左右的强劲支撑和更高水平的缺口需要填补，该股有机会从超卖状况中反弹，甚至有可能填补170美元左右的缺口，较11月16日159.25美元的当前价格上涨约6.5%。</blockquote></p><p> However, a break in support around $152.50 could lead to a sharp decline to approximately $128.</p><p><blockquote>然而，突破 152.50 美元附近的支撑位可能会导致大幅下跌至 128 美元左右。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d8861bfc61350b2d7ae8f368fd0b4c94\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"403\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The news on the subscriber miss didn't come as a surprise, and the sell-off at this point may be more of an overreaction. Given the valuation and bullish option betting, the stock seems like a good candidate for a short-term rebound opportunity.</p><p><blockquote>关于用户失踪的消息并不令人意外，此时的抛售可能更多的是反应过度。考虑到估值和看涨期权押注，该股似乎是短期反弹机会的良好候选者。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4470926-disney-may-be-poised-for-a-big-rebound\">Seeking Alpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"DIS":"迪士尼"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4470926-disney-may-be-poised-for-a-big-rebound","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1167883318","content_text":"Summary\n\nDisney shares plunged following quarterly results last week.\nHowever, DIS stock's valuation has come down to much more attractive levels.\nThis has prompted options traders to bet a big rebound.\n\nMarvin Samuel Tolentino Pineda/iStock Editorial via Getty Images\nDisney (DIS) shares plunged following its quarterly results when the company reported disappointing new subscriber additions for its streaming unit. The streaming unit has been a crucial element to Disney's significant gains since the pandemic began. So the weakness, although not surprising, was not received well by investors.\nThe CEO, Bob Chapek,noted on September 21 that Disney+ subscriber growth would slow down from the prior quarter. Still, when the company provided results on November 10, the stock reacted negatively to the news and dropped by nearly 8%. The steep decline appears to be prompting some traders to bet that Disney's shares bounce back between now down and the middle of December.\nThere's also some positive news recently which could help lift the shares. There were reports on November 19 that the company was boosting the price of its Hulu Live TV bundle, and that the company may enter sports betting.\nDisney Stock's Valuation is Lofty\nThe stock is not cheap on a PE basis, trading at 28.2 times next-year earnings estimates of $5.66 per share. The average over the past five years has been around 23.6, a level that the stock reached before the pandemic as investors started to focus on the potential of Disney+.\n\nHowever, when looking at Disney and the revenue outlook, the stock's valuation is much more attractive. Meanwhile, given the higher cost of the pandemic and increased spending for content creation for the streaming service, the sales valuation may prove a better way to measure the company over the shorter term. Based on current sales estimates of $100.6 billion in the fiscal year 2024, the stock currently trades at 2.9 times sales and is in line with its five-year average of 2.8.\n\nBullish Options Betting\nWhether looking at Disney from a sales or earnings standpoint, the valuation today seems to be much more attractive than where it stood just a few weeks ago and appears to be prompting some traders to bet that Disney's stock rebounds. On November 16, the open interest for December 17 $155 puts and calls rose by roughly 19,000 contracts each. Additionally, the $160 puts and calls saw their open interest increase by around 20,000 contracts. The data shows the $160 calls were bought on the ASK for $5.54 per contract, while the $160 puts were sold on the BID for $3.91 per contract. Additionally, the $155 calls were bought on the ASK for $6.50 per contract, while the $155 puts were sold on the BID for $3.15 per contract. Two massively bullish bets that the shares rise over the next four weeks.\nTechnical Rebound In DIS Stock\nFrom a technical standpoint, a rally seems more than plausible. A huge gap was created on November 10 after the company reported results. The shares have now fallen to support $154.50 and filled a gap created on December 11, 2020. Additionally, the stock has a relative strength index that has reached oversold levels after hitting 30 on November 15.\nWith strong support of around $154 and a gap to fill at higher levels, the equity has an opportunity to rebound from oversold conditions and potentially even fill the gap around $170, a gain of about 6.5% from the current price of $159.25 on November 16.\nHowever, a break in support around $152.50 could lead to a sharp decline to approximately $128.\n\nThe news on the subscriber miss didn't come as a surprise, and the sell-off at this point may be more of an overreaction. Given the valuation and bullish option betting, the stock seems like a good candidate for a short-term rebound opportunity.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"DIS":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3350,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"CN","currentLanguage":"CN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":6,"subscribersOnly":false,"subscribersOnlyAccessible":false,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ZH_CN"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/872785193"}
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