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2021-11-24

一i wonder how reliable the data

Weekly jobless claims total 199,000, reaching the lowest since 1969<blockquote>每周申请失业救济人数为19.9万人，创1969年以来新低</blockquote>

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Here were the main metrics from the print, compared to consensus estimates compiled by Bloomberg:<blockquote>由于感恩节假期，劳工部周三发布了初请失业金报告，比往常提前一天。以下是印刷品中的主要指标，与彭博社编制的共识估计进行了比较：</blockquote> <ul> <li>Initial unemployment claims, week ended November 20:199,000 vs. 260,000 expected and 268,000 during prior week<blockquote><ul><li>截至11月20日当周首次申请失业救济人数：199,000，而预期为260,000，前一周为268,000</li></ul></blockquote></li> <li>Continuing claims, week ended November 13:2.049 million vs. 2.033 million expected and 2.080 million during prior week<blockquote><li>截至11月13日当周的持续索赔：204.9万，预期为203.3万，前一周为208万</li></blockquote></li> </ul> The total number of new weekly filings fell to a fresh virus-era low for a seventh straight week. During the comparable week last year, initial filings came at well over 700,000. Claims also fell below their 2019 weekly average of approximately 220,000.<blockquote>每周新申请总数连续第七周降至病毒时代的新低。去年同期，首次申请数量远远超过70万份。申请失业救济人数也低于2019年约22万人的周平均水平。</blockquote> Continuing claims for regular state unemployment benefits have also drawn closer to pre-virus levels. After coming in at the lowest level since March 2020 last week, continuing claims also neared their 2019 average rate of about 1.7 million per week.<blockquote>持续申请常规州失业救济金的人数也接近病毒爆发前的水平。继上周达到2020年3月以来的最低水平后，持续申请失业救济人数也接近2019年每周约170万人的平均水平。</blockquote> And if this week's jobless claims report comes in as expected with further improvement in both new and continuing claims, it would also bode well for November's monthly jobs report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. This week's claims report coincides with the survey week for that data, which is due for release next week. Consensus economists expect that report to show non-farm payrolls rose by half a million in November, with the unemployment rate ticking down to 4.5% from 4.6% in October.<blockquote>如果本周的初请失业金报告符合预期，新申请和持续申请失业金人数进一步改善，这也将是美国劳工统计局11月份月度就业报告的好兆头。本周的索赔报告恰逢该数据的调查周，该数据将于下周发布。经济学家普遍预计，该报告将显示11月份非农就业人数增加50万人，失业率从10月份的4.6%降至4.5%。</blockquote> The past couple months' worth of jobless claims reports have offered just one look at a labor market that has grown increasingly tight as the economic recovery progressed. Though the labor force participation rate has yet to return to pre-pandemic levels, the number of those rendered newly unemployed has fallen precipitously, with many employers incentivized to keep their current workforces as job openings and labor shortages across industries remain elevated. Job openings werelast reported at 10.4 million as of the end of September, with this sum dipping only slightly from July's record high of more than 11 million.<blockquote>过去几个月的初请失业金报告只是让我们看到了随着经济复苏的进展而变得越来越紧张的劳动力市场。尽管劳动力参与率尚未恢复到大流行前的水平，但新失业人数已急剧下降，由于各行业的职位空缺和劳动力短缺仍然很高，许多雇主有动力保留现有劳动力。截至9月底，职位空缺最新报告为1040万个，仅比7月份超过1100万个的历史新高略有下降。</blockquote> Monetary policymakers have been dealt the delicate task of further stoking employment growth while keeping inflation from running too hot for too long. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, who just this week wasrenominated to lead the central bank for another four-year term, has suggested that supply-side constraints contributing present levels of elevated inflation will eventually begin to ease.<blockquote>货币政策制定者面临着一项微妙的任务，即进一步刺激就业增长，同时防止通胀过热过久。美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔本周刚刚被重新提名为美联储主席，连任四年任期，他表示，导致目前通胀高企的供给侧限制最终将开始缓解。</blockquote> \"In our assessment — against a backdrop of moderating growth and slowing inflation in 2022 — policymakers will have to shift focus next year from price pressures to a complete labor market recovery, which will take some time, delaying an eventual rise in interest rates,\" wrote Rubeela Farooqi, chief U.S. economist for High Frequency Economics, in a note.<blockquote>“根据我们的评估，在2022年增长放缓和通胀放缓的背景下，政策制定者明年将不得不将重点从价格压力转向劳动力市场的完全复苏，这需要一些时间，从而推迟利率的最终上升，”美国高频经济学首席经济学家鲁比拉·法鲁奇在一份报告中写道。</blockquote>","source":"lsy1612507957220","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Weekly jobless claims total 199,000, reaching the lowest since 1969<blockquote>每周申请失业救济人数为19.9万人，创1969年以来新低</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWeekly jobless claims total 199,000, reaching the lowest since 1969<blockquote>每周申请失业救济人数为19.9万人，创1969年以来新低</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\nfinance.yahoo2021-11-24 21:35\n\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\nNew jobless claims fell far more than expected to the lowest level since November 1969 last week, underscoring the present tight labor market conditions as initial unemployment claims near 2019 levels while job openings hold near record highs.<blockquote>上周，新增失业人数远超预期降至1969年11月以来的最低水平，突出表明劳动力市场目前的紧张状况，因为初请失业金人数接近2019年水平，职位空缺接近历史新高。</blockquote> The&nbsp;Labor Department released its jobless claims&nbsp;report on Wednesday, a day earlier than usual due to the Thanksgiving holiday. Here were the main metrics from the print, compared to consensus estimates compiled by Bloomberg:<blockquote>由于感恩节假期，劳工部周三发布了初请失业金报告，比往常提前一天。以下是印刷品中的主要指标，与彭博社编制的共识估计进行了比较：</blockquote> <ul> <li>Initial unemployment claims, week ended November 20:199,000 vs. 260,000 expected and 268,000 during prior week<blockquote><ul><li>截至11月20日当周首次申请失业救济人数：199,000，而预期为260,000，前一周为268,000</li></ul></blockquote></li> <li>Continuing claims, week ended November 13:2.049 million vs. 2.033 million expected and 2.080 million during prior week<blockquote><li>截至11月13日当周的持续索赔：204.9万，预期为203.3万，前一周为208万</li></blockquote></li> </ul> The total number of new weekly filings fell to a fresh virus-era low for a seventh straight week. During the comparable week last year, initial filings came at well over 700,000. Claims also fell below their 2019 weekly average of approximately 220,000.<blockquote>每周新申请总数连续第七周降至病毒时代的新低。去年同期，首次申请数量远远超过70万份。申请失业救济人数也低于2019年约22万人的周平均水平。</blockquote> Continuing claims for regular state unemployment benefits have also drawn closer to pre-virus levels. After coming in at the lowest level since March 2020 last week, continuing claims also neared their 2019 average rate of about 1.7 million per week.<blockquote>持续申请常规州失业救济金的人数也接近病毒爆发前的水平。继上周达到2020年3月以来的最低水平后，持续申请失业救济人数也接近2019年每周约170万人的平均水平。</blockquote> And if this week's jobless claims report comes in as expected with further improvement in both new and continuing claims, it would also bode well for November's monthly jobs report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. This week's claims report coincides with the survey week for that data, which is due for release next week. Consensus economists expect that report to show non-farm payrolls rose by half a million in November, with the unemployment rate ticking down to 4.5% from 4.6% in October.<blockquote>如果本周的初请失业金报告符合预期，新申请和持续申请失业金人数进一步改善，这也将是美国劳工统计局11月份月度就业报告的好兆头。本周的索赔报告恰逢该数据的调查周，该数据将于下周发布。经济学家普遍预计，该报告将显示11月份非农就业人数增加50万人，失业率从10月份的4.6%降至4.5%。</blockquote> The past couple months' worth of jobless claims reports have offered just one look at a labor market that has grown increasingly tight as the economic recovery progressed. Though the labor force participation rate has yet to return to pre-pandemic levels, the number of those rendered newly unemployed has fallen precipitously, with many employers incentivized to keep their current workforces as job openings and labor shortages across industries remain elevated. Job openings werelast reported at 10.4 million as of the end of September, with this sum dipping only slightly from July's record high of more than 11 million.<blockquote>过去几个月的初请失业金报告只是让我们看到了随着经济复苏的进展而变得越来越紧张的劳动力市场。尽管劳动力参与率尚未恢复到大流行前的水平，但新失业人数已急剧下降，由于各行业的职位空缺和劳动力短缺仍然很高，许多雇主有动力保留现有劳动力。截至9月底，职位空缺最新报告为1040万个，仅比7月份超过1100万个的历史新高略有下降。</blockquote> Monetary policymakers have been dealt the delicate task of further stoking employment growth while keeping inflation from running too hot for too long. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, who just this week wasrenominated to lead the central bank for another four-year term, has suggested that supply-side constraints contributing present levels of elevated inflation will eventually begin to ease.<blockquote>货币政策制定者面临着一项微妙的任务，即进一步刺激就业增长，同时防止通胀过热过久。美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔本周刚刚被重新提名为美联储主席，连任四年任期，他表示，导致目前通胀高企的供给侧限制最终将开始缓解。</blockquote> \"In our assessment — against a backdrop of moderating growth and slowing inflation in 2022 — policymakers will have to shift focus next year from price pressures to a complete labor market recovery, which will take some time, delaying an eventual rise in interest rates,\" wrote Rubeela Farooqi, chief U.S. economist for High Frequency Economics, in a note.<blockquote>“根据我们的评估，在2022年增长放缓和通胀放缓的背景下，政策制定者明年将不得不将重点从价格压力转向劳动力市场的完全复苏，这需要一些时间，从而推迟利率的最终上升，”美国高频经济学首席经济学家鲁比拉·法鲁奇在一份报告中写道。</blockquote>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/weekly-jobless-claims-week-ended-november-20-2021-175525622.html\">finance.yahoo</a>\n为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/weekly-jobless-claims-week-ended-november-20-2021-175525622.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1122102600","content_text":"New jobless claims fell far more than expected to the lowest level since November 1969 last week, underscoring the present tight labor market conditions as initial unemployment claims near 2019 levels while job openings hold near record highs.\nThe Labor Department released its jobless claims report on Wednesday, a day earlier than usual due to the Thanksgiving holiday. Here were the main metrics from the print, compared to consensus estimates compiled by Bloomberg:\n\nInitial unemployment claims, week ended November 20:199,000 vs. 260,000 expected and 268,000 during prior week\nContinuing claims, week ended November 13:2.049 million vs. 2.033 million expected and 2.080 million during prior week\n\nThe total number of new weekly filings fell to a fresh virus-era low for a seventh straight week. During the comparable week last year, initial filings came at well over 700,000. Claims also fell below their 2019 weekly average of approximately 220,000.\nContinuing claims for regular state unemployment benefits have also drawn closer to pre-virus levels. After coming in at the lowest level since March 2020 last week, continuing claims also neared their 2019 average rate of about 1.7 million per week.\nAnd if this week's jobless claims report comes in as expected with further improvement in both new and continuing claims, it would also bode well for November's monthly jobs report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. This week's claims report coincides with the survey week for that data, which is due for release next week. Consensus economists expect that report to show non-farm payrolls rose by half a million in November, with the unemployment rate ticking down to 4.5% from 4.6% in October.\nThe past couple months' worth of jobless claims reports have offered just one look at a labor market that has grown increasingly tight as the economic recovery progressed. Though the labor force participation rate has yet to return to pre-pandemic levels, the number of those rendered newly unemployed has fallen precipitously, with many employers incentivized to keep their current workforces as job openings and labor shortages across industries remain elevated. Job openings werelast reported at 10.4 million as of the end of September, with this sum dipping only slightly from July's record high of more than 11 million.\nMonetary policymakers have been dealt the delicate task of further stoking employment growth while keeping inflation from running too hot for too long. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, who just this week wasrenominated to lead the central bank for another four-year term, has suggested that supply-side constraints contributing present levels of elevated inflation will eventually begin to ease.\n\"In our assessment — against a backdrop of moderating growth and slowing inflation in 2022 — policymakers will have to shift focus next year from price pressures to a complete labor market recovery, which will take some time, delaying an eventual rise in interest rates,\" wrote Rubeela Farooqi, chief U.S. economist for High Frequency Economics, in a note.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":561,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"CN","currentLanguage":"CN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":27,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ZH_CN"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/874852232"}