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2021-09-09
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Disney Stock Is Struggling. Buy or Sell?<blockquote>迪士尼股票正在苦苦挣扎。买还是卖？</blockquote>
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Buy or Sell?<blockquote>迪士尼股票正在苦苦挣扎。买还是卖？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1160298217","media":"TheStreet","summary":"Disney stock keeps struggling. Is this an opportunity to buy the stock in September, or should the r","content":"<p>Disney stock keeps struggling. Is this an opportunity to buy the stock in September, or should the risks keep potential investors away?</p><p><blockquote>迪士尼股票持续陷入困境。这是9月份购买该股票的机会，还是风险应该让潜在投资者远离？</blockquote></p><p> Despite a 13% rally in the first couple of months of the year, Disney stock has vastly underperformed the broad market in 2021. Following six months of weakness in share price, is September a good month to buy Disney stock?</p><p><blockquote>尽管今年前几个月上涨了13%，但迪士尼股价在2021年的表现仍远远落后于大盘。经过六个月的股价疲软，九月是购买迪士尼股票的好月份吗？</blockquote></p><p> Below are some points for market participants to consider before deciding on whether to hit the “buy” button on DIS this month.</p><p><blockquote>以下是市场参与者在决定本月是否点击DIS的“买入”按钮之前需要考虑的一些要点。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e4158f896b062dda9f421975d5627f44\" tg-width=\"1136\" tg-height=\"852\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Figure 1: Disney+ logo.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图1：迪士尼+标志。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Seasonality says “not so fast”</b></p><p><blockquote><b>季节性说“没那么快”</b></blockquote></p><p> Since 2016, the best months for Disney stock have been October and November. However, leading up to this period of outperformance, September has been historically weak.</p><p><blockquote>自2016年以来，迪士尼股票表现最好的月份是10月和11月。然而，在这段表现优异的时期之前，9月份一直处于历史疲软状态。</blockquote></p><p> The average return in DIS in September has been a loss of 4%. Even in 2020, as Disney+ approached its first anniversary during a pandemic year that was highly supportive of streaming services, the company's shares sank 9% in September.</p><p><blockquote>9月份DIS的平均回报率为亏损4%。即使在2020年，随着Disney+在高度支持流媒体服务的疫情年临近一周年，该公司股价在9月份下跌了9%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0f8ec68f4ece1dfda2aae954bbdb29e4\" tg-width=\"627\" tg-height=\"377\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Figure 2: DIS average monthly return.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图2：DIS平均月回报率。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Volatility and opportunities</b></p><p><blockquote><b>波动与机遇</b></blockquote></p><p> For some, a volatile market brings trading opportunities. Meanwhile, long-term investors tend to prefer “calm seas” that smooth out the performance of their portfolios. Since this time last year, stock market volatility has decreased to reach one of its lowest points today.</p><p><blockquote>对于一些人来说，波动的市场带来了交易机会。与此同时，长期投资者往往更喜欢“平静的大海”，以平滑其投资组合的表现。自去年这个时候以来，股市波动性已经下降，今天达到了最低点之一。</blockquote></p><p> Should the trend continue, investors might be encouraged to buy Disney stock in September on relative weakness and, hopefully, ride the broad market upside. However, September is also known for being more unpredictable than average, especially during a year in which inflation and interest rate risk seem particularly elevated.</p><p><blockquote>如果这种趋势持续下去，投资者可能会被鼓励在9月份相对疲软的情况下购买迪士尼股票，并有望乘着大盘上涨的东风。然而，9月份也因比平均水平更不可预测而闻名，尤其是在通胀和利率风险似乎特别高的一年。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5698af753f90e2d0cb93da7eefbfc995\" tg-width=\"710\" tg-height=\"330\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Figure 3: S&P 500 1-month realized volatility index.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图3：标普500 1个月已实现波动率指数。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Key developments and catalysts</b></p><p><blockquote><b>主要发展和催化剂</b></blockquote></p><p> On September 3, Disney released its new movie in partnership with Marvel: Shang-Chi. The title has proven to be a success in theaters. However, Shang-Chi will only be available on Disney’s catalog 45 days after its theater premiere, limiting the financial impact in the short term.</p><p><blockquote>9月3日，迪士尼发布了与漫威合作的新电影：尚气。事实证明，这部电影在影院获得了成功。然而，《尚气》在影院首映45天后才会出现在迪士尼的目录中，这限制了短期内的财务影响。</blockquote></p><p> On September 8, Disney will resume the sale of its annual passes, as they were discontinued during the pandemic. In addition, Disney willcelebrate the Orlando park’s 50th thanniversary, an event that will extend through the spring of 2023. This could be an opportunity for the company to jumpstart park revenues this year.</p><p><blockquote>9月8日，迪士尼将恢复销售其年票，因为它们在疫情期间停止销售。此外，迪士尼还将庆祝奥兰多公园成立50周年，该活动将持续到2023年春季。这可能是该公司今年增加公园收入的机会。</blockquote></p><p> <b>In our view</b></p><p><blockquote><b>在我们看来</b></blockquote></p><p> It is hard to tell for sure whether buying Disney stock in September is wise. Recent share price weakness can be interpreted as either a buy-on-dip opportunity (bullish) or lack of momentum (bearish). Catalysts exist, but it is unclear what their impact on the stock might be.</p><p><blockquote>很难确定9月份购买迪士尼股票是否明智。最近的股价疲软可以被解释为逢低买入的机会（看涨）或缺乏动力（看跌）。催化剂是存在的，但尚不清楚它们对股票的影响是什么。</blockquote></p><p> Long-term investors, on the other hand, may be less interested in nailing the timing of the stock purchase. Disney is a great company with compelling growth prospects. Driven by the trends in streaming and a post-pandemic “return to normal”, owning DIS shares today and holding them for the long haul might make sense.</p><p><blockquote>另一方面，长期投资者可能对确定股票购买时机不太感兴趣。迪士尼是一家伟大的公司，具有引人注目的增长前景。在流媒体趋势和大流行后“恢复正常”的推动下，今天持有DIS股票并长期持有可能是有意义的。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Disney Stock Is Struggling. Buy or Sell?<blockquote>迪士尼股票正在苦苦挣扎。买还是卖？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDisney Stock Is Struggling. Buy or Sell?<blockquote>迪士尼股票正在苦苦挣扎。买还是卖？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">TheStreet</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-09 08:18</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Disney stock keeps struggling. Is this an opportunity to buy the stock in September, or should the risks keep potential investors away?</p><p><blockquote>迪士尼股票持续陷入困境。这是9月份购买该股票的机会，还是风险应该让潜在投资者远离？</blockquote></p><p> Despite a 13% rally in the first couple of months of the year, Disney stock has vastly underperformed the broad market in 2021. Following six months of weakness in share price, is September a good month to buy Disney stock?</p><p><blockquote>尽管今年前几个月上涨了13%，但迪士尼股价在2021年的表现仍远远落后于大盘。经过六个月的股价疲软，九月是购买迪士尼股票的好月份吗？</blockquote></p><p> Below are some points for market participants to consider before deciding on whether to hit the “buy” button on DIS this month.</p><p><blockquote>以下是市场参与者在决定本月是否点击DIS的“买入”按钮之前需要考虑的一些要点。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e4158f896b062dda9f421975d5627f44\" tg-width=\"1136\" tg-height=\"852\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Figure 1: Disney+ logo.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图1：迪士尼+标志。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Seasonality says “not so fast”</b></p><p><blockquote><b>季节性说“没那么快”</b></blockquote></p><p> Since 2016, the best months for Disney stock have been October and November. However, leading up to this period of outperformance, September has been historically weak.</p><p><blockquote>自2016年以来，迪士尼股票表现最好的月份是10月和11月。然而，在这段表现优异的时期之前，9月份一直处于历史疲软状态。</blockquote></p><p> The average return in DIS in September has been a loss of 4%. Even in 2020, as Disney+ approached its first anniversary during a pandemic year that was highly supportive of streaming services, the company's shares sank 9% in September.</p><p><blockquote>9月份DIS的平均回报率为亏损4%。即使在2020年，随着Disney+在高度支持流媒体服务的疫情年临近一周年，该公司股价在9月份下跌了9%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0f8ec68f4ece1dfda2aae954bbdb29e4\" tg-width=\"627\" tg-height=\"377\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Figure 2: DIS average monthly return.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图2：DIS平均月回报率。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Volatility and opportunities</b></p><p><blockquote><b>波动与机遇</b></blockquote></p><p> For some, a volatile market brings trading opportunities. Meanwhile, long-term investors tend to prefer “calm seas” that smooth out the performance of their portfolios. Since this time last year, stock market volatility has decreased to reach one of its lowest points today.</p><p><blockquote>对于一些人来说，波动的市场带来了交易机会。与此同时，长期投资者往往更喜欢“平静的大海”，以平滑其投资组合的表现。自去年这个时候以来，股市波动性已经下降，今天达到了最低点之一。</blockquote></p><p> Should the trend continue, investors might be encouraged to buy Disney stock in September on relative weakness and, hopefully, ride the broad market upside. However, September is also known for being more unpredictable than average, especially during a year in which inflation and interest rate risk seem particularly elevated.</p><p><blockquote>如果这种趋势持续下去，投资者可能会被鼓励在9月份相对疲软的情况下购买迪士尼股票，并有望乘着大盘上涨的东风。然而，9月份也因比平均水平更不可预测而闻名，尤其是在通胀和利率风险似乎特别高的一年。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5698af753f90e2d0cb93da7eefbfc995\" tg-width=\"710\" tg-height=\"330\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Figure 3: S&P 500 1-month realized volatility index.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图3：标普500 1个月已实现波动率指数。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Key developments and catalysts</b></p><p><blockquote><b>主要发展和催化剂</b></blockquote></p><p> On September 3, Disney released its new movie in partnership with Marvel: Shang-Chi. The title has proven to be a success in theaters. However, Shang-Chi will only be available on Disney’s catalog 45 days after its theater premiere, limiting the financial impact in the short term.</p><p><blockquote>9月3日，迪士尼发布了与漫威合作的新电影：尚气。事实证明，这部电影在影院获得了成功。然而，《尚气》在影院首映45天后才会出现在迪士尼的目录中，这限制了短期内的财务影响。</blockquote></p><p> On September 8, Disney will resume the sale of its annual passes, as they were discontinued during the pandemic. In addition, Disney willcelebrate the Orlando park’s 50th thanniversary, an event that will extend through the spring of 2023. This could be an opportunity for the company to jumpstart park revenues this year.</p><p><blockquote>9月8日，迪士尼将恢复销售其年票，因为它们在疫情期间停止销售。此外，迪士尼还将庆祝奥兰多公园成立50周年，该活动将持续到2023年春季。这可能是该公司今年增加公园收入的机会。</blockquote></p><p> <b>In our view</b></p><p><blockquote><b>在我们看来</b></blockquote></p><p> It is hard to tell for sure whether buying Disney stock in September is wise. Recent share price weakness can be interpreted as either a buy-on-dip opportunity (bullish) or lack of momentum (bearish). Catalysts exist, but it is unclear what their impact on the stock might be.</p><p><blockquote>很难确定9月份购买迪士尼股票是否明智。最近的股价疲软可以被解释为逢低买入的机会（看涨）或缺乏动力（看跌）。催化剂是存在的，但尚不清楚它们对股票的影响是什么。</blockquote></p><p> Long-term investors, on the other hand, may be less interested in nailing the timing of the stock purchase. Disney is a great company with compelling growth prospects. Driven by the trends in streaming and a post-pandemic “return to normal”, owning DIS shares today and holding them for the long haul might make sense.</p><p><blockquote>另一方面，长期投资者可能对确定股票购买时机不太感兴趣。迪士尼是一家伟大的公司，具有引人注目的增长前景。在流媒体趋势和大流行后“恢复正常”的推动下，今天持有DIS股票并长期持有可能是有意义的。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/streaming/dis/buy-disney-stock-in-september\">TheStreet</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"DIS":"迪士尼"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/streaming/dis/buy-disney-stock-in-september","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1160298217","content_text":"Disney stock keeps struggling. Is this an opportunity to buy the stock in September, or should the risks keep potential investors away?\nDespite a 13% rally in the first couple of months of the year, Disney stock has vastly underperformed the broad market in 2021. Following six months of weakness in share price, is September a good month to buy Disney stock?\nBelow are some points for market participants to consider before deciding on whether to hit the “buy” button on DIS this month.\nFigure 1: Disney+ logo.\nSeasonality says “not so fast”\nSince 2016, the best months for Disney stock have been October and November. However, leading up to this period of outperformance, September has been historically weak.\nThe average return in DIS in September has been a loss of 4%. Even in 2020, as Disney+ approached its first anniversary during a pandemic year that was highly supportive of streaming services, the company's shares sank 9% in September.\nFigure 2: DIS average monthly return.\nVolatility and opportunities\nFor some, a volatile market brings trading opportunities. Meanwhile, long-term investors tend to prefer “calm seas” that smooth out the performance of their portfolios. Since this time last year, stock market volatility has decreased to reach one of its lowest points today.\nShould the trend continue, investors might be encouraged to buy Disney stock in September on relative weakness and, hopefully, ride the broad market upside. However, September is also known for being more unpredictable than average, especially during a year in which inflation and interest rate risk seem particularly elevated.\nFigure 3: S&P 500 1-month realized volatility index.\nKey developments and catalysts\nOn September 3, Disney released its new movie in partnership with Marvel: Shang-Chi. The title has proven to be a success in theaters. However, Shang-Chi will only be available on Disney’s catalog 45 days after its theater premiere, limiting the financial impact in the short term.\nOn September 8, Disney will resume the sale of its annual passes, as they were discontinued during the pandemic. In addition, Disney willcelebrate the Orlando park’s 50th thanniversary, an event that will extend through the spring of 2023. This could be an opportunity for the company to jumpstart park revenues this year.\nIn our view\nIt is hard to tell for sure whether buying Disney stock in September is wise. Recent share price weakness can be interpreted as either a buy-on-dip opportunity (bullish) or lack of momentum (bearish). Catalysts exist, but it is unclear what their impact on the stock might be.\nLong-term investors, on the other hand, may be less interested in nailing the timing of the stock purchase. Disney is a great company with compelling growth prospects. Driven by the trends in streaming and a post-pandemic “return to normal”, owning DIS shares today and holding them for the long haul might make sense.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"DIS":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":426,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":1,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/889656119"}
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