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2021-08-05
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Gold Price Outlook: XAU Stumbles on Fed-Induced US Dollar Strength, NFPs Eyed<blockquote>金价展望：XAU因美联储引发的美元走强而跌跌撞撞，NFP关注</blockquote>
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The Federal Reserve’s Vice Chairman, Richard Clarida, caused Fed rate hike bets to strengthen on Wednesday. Mr. Clarida’s commentary suggested that economic conditions are on track to strengthen considerably, so much so that a possible taper timeline announcement is likely warranted later this year. The seasoned economist did acknowledge the growing threat posed by the highly transmissible Delta variant.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>美联储克拉里达加剧紧缩押注后金价受到打击</li><li>周五的非农就业报告可能对黄金的走向至关重要</li><li>XAU/USD认为可能出现死亡交叉形态</li></ul>黄金本周一直在运行，直到美元飙升。美联储副主席理查德·克拉里达周三导致美联储加息押注加强。克拉里达的评论表明，经济状况有望大幅走强，以至于今年晚些时候可能有必要宣布缩减时间表。这位经验丰富的经济学家确实承认高传染性德尔塔变异毒株构成的威胁日益严重。</blockquote></p><p> Still, market participants pushed the US Dollar higher as already hawkish Fed bets intensified. The Greenback’s strength dragged gold prices lower. The yellow metal typically weakens when the Greenback strengthens due to higher holding costs for foreign investors. Gold is also seen as an inflation hedge to some, although that function is still up for debate in many circles. Consider that true, however, and the accelerated view of Fed tightening likely works to the detriment of gold prices. That is because higher interest rates typically tame rising prices.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，随着本已鹰派的美联储押注加剧，市场参与者推动美元走高。美元走强拖累金价走低。由于外国投资者的持有成本上升，当美元走强时，黄金通常会走软。黄金也被一些人视为通胀对冲工具，尽管这一功能在许多圈子里仍有争议。然而，考虑到这一点，美联储加速紧缩的观点可能会损害金价。这是因为较高的利率通常会抑制物价上涨。</blockquote></p><p> The current focus for gold likely isn’t on inflation, though. Besides, the market has largely capitulated to the Fed’s transitory view on rising prices. The big driver on the horizon for gold prices, and markets overall, is this Friday’s non-farm payrolls report (NFPs). Analysts are expecting a print of 870k jobs for July. Given the Fed’s focus on the labor market, the data print relative to the consensus view will likely be vital to monetary policy bets. With this in mind, a better-than-expected NFP print is likely to weigh on gold prices by driving USD strength. Alternatively, a miss may benefit the yellow metal.</p><p><blockquote>不过，目前黄金的焦点可能不是通胀。此外，市场在很大程度上屈服于美联储对物价上涨的暂时性观点。金价和整个市场的最大驱动力是本周五的非农就业报告（NFPs）。分析师预计7月份将有87万个就业岗位。鉴于美联储对劳动力市场的关注，相对于共识观点的数据可能对货币政策押注至关重要。考虑到这一点，好于预期的NFP数据可能会推动美元走强，从而打压金价。或者，失误可能有利于黄色金属。</blockquote></p><p> <h3><b>GOLD TECHNICAL OUTLOOK</b></h3> XAU prices were looking higher earlier this week but failed to sustain above the 50- and 200-day Simple Moving Averages (SMA). The falling 50-day SMA has capped the upside over the past couple of weeks, and now a Death Cross appears to be on the horizon. That would likely put bearish technical pressure on gold and possibly drag it back below the psychologically imposing 1800 level.</p><p><blockquote><h3><b>黄金技术展望</b></h3>XAU价格本周早些时候看起来走高，但未能维持在50日和200日简单移动平均线(SMA)之上。过去几周，下跌的50日移动平均线限制了上涨空间，现在死亡交叉似乎即将出现。这可能会给黄金带来看跌的技术压力，并可能将其拖回1800点的心理关口下方。</blockquote></p><p> <b>GOLD DAILY CHART</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3d9506a0f4126957d013a1f5804f3c69\" tg-width=\"624\" tg-height=\"635\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Chart created with TradingView</p><p><blockquote><b>黄金日线图</b>使用TradingView创建的图表</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1568971417606","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Gold Price Outlook: XAU Stumbles on Fed-Induced US Dollar Strength, NFPs Eyed<blockquote>金价展望：XAU因美联储引发的美元走强而跌跌撞撞，NFP关注</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGold Price Outlook: XAU Stumbles on Fed-Induced US Dollar Strength, NFPs Eyed<blockquote>金价展望：XAU因美联储引发的美元走强而跌跌撞撞，NFP关注</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">DailyFX</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-05 11:22</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>GOLD, US DOLLAR, XAU/USD, FED BETS, DEATH CROSS – TALKING POINTS</b></p><p><blockquote><b>黄金、美元、XAU/美元、美联储押注、死亡相声点</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Gold price stook hit after Fed’s Clarida fueled tightening bets</li> <li>Friday’s non-farm payrolls report likely vital to gold’s direction</li> <li>XAU/USDsees a possible Death Cross formation on the horizon</li> </ul> Gold was on the run this week until it stumbled on a surge in the US Dollar. The Federal Reserve’s Vice Chairman, Richard Clarida, caused Fed rate hike bets to strengthen on Wednesday. Mr. Clarida’s commentary suggested that economic conditions are on track to strengthen considerably, so much so that a possible taper timeline announcement is likely warranted later this year. The seasoned economist did acknowledge the growing threat posed by the highly transmissible Delta variant.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>美联储克拉里达加剧紧缩押注后金价受到打击</li><li>周五的非农就业报告可能对黄金的走向至关重要</li><li>XAU/USD认为可能出现死亡交叉形态</li></ul>黄金本周一直在运行，直到美元飙升。美联储副主席理查德·克拉里达周三导致美联储加息押注加强。克拉里达的评论表明，经济状况有望大幅走强，以至于今年晚些时候可能有必要宣布缩减时间表。这位经验丰富的经济学家确实承认高传染性德尔塔变异毒株构成的威胁日益严重。</blockquote></p><p> Still, market participants pushed the US Dollar higher as already hawkish Fed bets intensified. The Greenback’s strength dragged gold prices lower. The yellow metal typically weakens when the Greenback strengthens due to higher holding costs for foreign investors. Gold is also seen as an inflation hedge to some, although that function is still up for debate in many circles. Consider that true, however, and the accelerated view of Fed tightening likely works to the detriment of gold prices. That is because higher interest rates typically tame rising prices.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，随着本已鹰派的美联储押注加剧，市场参与者推动美元走高。美元走强拖累金价走低。由于外国投资者的持有成本上升，当美元走强时，黄金通常会走软。黄金也被一些人视为通胀对冲工具，尽管这一功能在许多圈子里仍有争议。然而，考虑到这一点，美联储加速紧缩的观点可能会损害金价。这是因为较高的利率通常会抑制物价上涨。</blockquote></p><p> The current focus for gold likely isn’t on inflation, though. Besides, the market has largely capitulated to the Fed’s transitory view on rising prices. The big driver on the horizon for gold prices, and markets overall, is this Friday’s non-farm payrolls report (NFPs). Analysts are expecting a print of 870k jobs for July. Given the Fed’s focus on the labor market, the data print relative to the consensus view will likely be vital to monetary policy bets. With this in mind, a better-than-expected NFP print is likely to weigh on gold prices by driving USD strength. Alternatively, a miss may benefit the yellow metal.</p><p><blockquote>不过，目前黄金的焦点可能不是通胀。此外，市场在很大程度上屈服于美联储对物价上涨的暂时性观点。金价和整个市场的最大驱动力是本周五的非农就业报告（NFPs）。分析师预计7月份将有87万个就业岗位。鉴于美联储对劳动力市场的关注，相对于共识观点的数据可能对货币政策押注至关重要。考虑到这一点，好于预期的NFP数据可能会推动美元走强，从而打压金价。或者，失误可能有利于黄色金属。</blockquote></p><p> <h3><b>GOLD TECHNICAL OUTLOOK</b></h3> XAU prices were looking higher earlier this week but failed to sustain above the 50- and 200-day Simple Moving Averages (SMA). The falling 50-day SMA has capped the upside over the past couple of weeks, and now a Death Cross appears to be on the horizon. That would likely put bearish technical pressure on gold and possibly drag it back below the psychologically imposing 1800 level.</p><p><blockquote><h3><b>黄金技术展望</b></h3>XAU价格本周早些时候看起来走高，但未能维持在50日和200日简单移动平均线(SMA)之上。过去几周，下跌的50日移动平均线限制了上涨空间，现在死亡交叉似乎即将出现。这可能会给黄金带来看跌的技术压力，并可能将其拖回1800点的心理关口下方。</blockquote></p><p> <b>GOLD DAILY CHART</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3d9506a0f4126957d013a1f5804f3c69\" tg-width=\"624\" tg-height=\"635\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Chart created with TradingView</p><p><blockquote><b>黄金日线图</b>使用TradingView创建的图表</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/fundamental/daily_briefing/daily_pieces/commodities/2021/08/05/Gold-Price-Outlook-XAU-Stumbles-on-Fed-Induced-US-Dollar-Strength-NFPs-Eyed.html\">DailyFX</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/fundamental/daily_briefing/daily_pieces/commodities/2021/08/05/Gold-Price-Outlook-XAU-Stumbles-on-Fed-Induced-US-Dollar-Strength-NFPs-Eyed.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1179538570","content_text":"GOLD, US DOLLAR, XAU/USD, FED BETS, DEATH CROSS – TALKING POINTS\n\nGold price stook hit after Fed’s Clarida fueled tightening bets\nFriday’s non-farm payrolls report likely vital to gold’s direction\nXAU/USDsees a possible Death Cross formation on the horizon\n\nGold was on the run this week until it stumbled on a surge in the US Dollar. The Federal Reserve’s Vice Chairman, Richard Clarida, caused Fed rate hike bets to strengthen on Wednesday. Mr. Clarida’s commentary suggested that economic conditions are on track to strengthen considerably, so much so that a possible taper timeline announcement is likely warranted later this year. The seasoned economist did acknowledge the growing threat posed by the highly transmissible Delta variant.\nStill, market participants pushed the US Dollar higher as already hawkish Fed bets intensified. The Greenback’s strength dragged gold prices lower. The yellow metal typically weakens when the Greenback strengthens due to higher holding costs for foreign investors. Gold is also seen as an inflation hedge to some, although that function is still up for debate in many circles. Consider that true, however, and the accelerated view of Fed tightening likely works to the detriment of gold prices. That is because higher interest rates typically tame rising prices.\nThe current focus for gold likely isn’t on inflation, though. Besides, the market has largely capitulated to the Fed’s transitory view on rising prices. The big driver on the horizon for gold prices, and markets overall, is this Friday’s non-farm payrolls report (NFPs). Analysts are expecting a print of 870k jobs for July. Given the Fed’s focus on the labor market, the data print relative to the consensus view will likely be vital to monetary policy bets. With this in mind, a better-than-expected NFP print is likely to weigh on gold prices by driving USD strength. Alternatively, a miss may benefit the yellow metal.\nGOLD TECHNICAL OUTLOOK\nXAU prices were looking higher earlier this week but failed to sustain above the 50- and 200-day Simple Moving Averages (SMA). The falling 50-day SMA has capped the upside over the past couple of weeks, and now a Death Cross appears to be on the horizon. That would likely put bearish technical pressure on gold and possibly drag it back below the psychologically imposing 1800 level.\nGOLD DAILY CHARTChart created with TradingView","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GOLDmain":0.9,"GCmain":0.9,"MGCmain":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1795,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":6,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/890765132"}
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