KDaDa
2021-08-12
Nio is slowly but surely a up & coming company!
Nio released earnings Wednesday. Here’s how to value its stock compared to Tesla, Ford and other rivals<blockquote>蔚来周三发布了财报。与特斯拉、福特和其他竞争对手相比，如何对其股票进行估值</blockquote>
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Here’s how to value its stock compared to Tesla, Ford and other rivals<blockquote>蔚来周三发布了财报。与特斯拉、福特和其他竞争对手相比，如何对其股票进行估值</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1158059019","media":"Market Wacth","summary":"Nio may be a relatively small company. But investors are bullish on the Chinese electric-vehicle mak","content":"<p>Nio may be a relatively small company. But investors are bullish on the Chinese electric-vehicle maker’s prospects.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来可能是一家相对较小的公司。但投资者看好这家中国电动汽车制造商的前景。</blockquote></p><p> Chinese electric-vehicle maker Nio Inc., which sells no cars in the U.S., has a market capitalization of $60.2 billion. By that measure, it is larger than <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">Ford</a> Motor Co., which was founded in 1903.</p><p><blockquote>中国电动汽车制造商蔚来在美国不销售汽车，市值为 602 亿美元。按此衡量，它大于<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">福特</a>汽车公司，成立于1903年。</blockquote></p><p> That might make sense to you as an investor — after all, Nio is an innovative company that sells only electric vehicles. Ford is a legacy auto maker that is working to catch up and eventually make a full transition to electric vehicles. Shares of Nio have more than tripled in the past year, while Ford’s have almost doubled after cratering in the previous decade.</p><p><blockquote>作为投资者，这对您来说可能有意义——毕竟，蔚来是一家只销售电动汽车的创新型公司。福特是一家传统汽车制造商，正在努力迎头赶上，并最终全面过渡到电动汽车。蔚来的股价在过去一年里上涨了两倍多，而福特的股价在前十年一落千丈后几乎翻了一番。</blockquote></p><p> So where does NioNIO,-0.57%,which reported second-quarter results after the stock market closes Wednesday, fit in an investment thesis? Below are screens showing how its stock valuation compares to vehicle production, and how that valuation relates to projected earnings through 2025.</p><p><blockquote>那么，周三股市收盘后公布第二季度业绩的 NioNIO（-0.57%）在投资论点中处于什么位置呢？下面的屏幕显示了其股票估值与汽车产量的比较，以及该估值与 2025 年的预计收益有何关系。</blockquote></p><p> Doubling car production</p><p><blockquote>汽车产量翻倍</blockquote></p><p> For the second quarter, Nio delivered 21,896 vehicles for a 112% increase from a year earlier. The growth is impressive, but the total number of vehicles sold is still relatively small.</p><p><blockquote>第二季度，蔚来交付了21,896辆汽车，同比增长112%。增长令人印象深刻，但销售的车辆总数仍然相对较少。</blockquote></p><p> Here’s a look at the 10 largest auto makers by market capitalization, along with their second-quarter sales or delivery numbers (whichever was higher, if both were reported) and additional color below the table:<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aab892102ecbb4cc4eda647df8269bb9\" tg-width=\"791\" tg-height=\"468\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Click on the tickers for more about each company.</p><p><blockquote>以下是市值最大的 10 家汽车制造商，以及它们第二季度的销量或交付量（如果两者都有报告，以较高者为准）和表格下方的其他颜色：单击股票代码了解有关每家公司的更多信息。</blockquote></p><p> You can see that those valuations are about the future, when innovators in the EV space — Tesla Inc.TSLA,-0.31%and Nio, on this list — may (or may not) become as large as legacy players.</p><p><blockquote>你可以看到，这些估值是关于未来的，届时电动汽车领域的创新者——特斯拉公司 TSLA，-0.31% 和蔚来（在这份名单上）——可能（也可能不会）变得像传统企业一样大。</blockquote></p><p> For now, FordF,+0.80%churns out mostly internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicles at nearly 35 times the rate that Nio makes EVs.</p><p><blockquote>目前，福特 F,+0.80% 主要生产内燃机 (ICE) 汽车，其生产率几乎是蔚来电动汽车生产率的 35 倍。</blockquote></p><p> One thing to be aware of is that the legacy auto makers don’t all report their unit sales the same way. Most don’t break out electric vehicle sales.</p><p><blockquote>需要注意的一点是，传统汽车制造商报告销量的方式并不相同。大多数人都没有透露电动汽车的销售情况。</blockquote></p><p> Among those that do, definitions vary. For example, Toyota Motor Corp.TM,+0.82%7203,+0.98%reported that “electrified vehicle” sales made up 26.6% of total auto sales during the second quarter. But that category includes:</p><p><blockquote>其中，定义各不相同。例如，丰田汽车公司报告称，第二季度“电动汽车”销量占汽车总销量的26.6%。但该类别包括：</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>HEV – hybrid EVs that are not plug-ins.</li> <li>PHEV – plug-in electric vehicles.</li> <li>BEV – battery electric vehicles.</li> <li>FCEV – fuel-cell electric vehicles.</li> </ul> For Toyota, BEV made up only 0.2% of second-quarter sales, while they accounted for 100% of sales for Nio and Tesla. Toyota’s PHEV sales made up 1.4% of the total.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>HEV——非插电式混合动力电动汽车。</li><li>插电式电动汽车。</li><li>BEV——纯电动汽车。</li><li>FCEV——燃料电池电动汽车。</li></ul>对于丰田来说，纯电动汽车仅占第二季度销量的0.2%，而它们占蔚来和特斯拉销量的100%。丰田的插电式混合动力汽车销量占总销量的 1.4%。</blockquote></p><p> Volkswagen AGVWAGY,+1.52%VOW,+0.60%reports electric-vehicle sales as including PHEV, which accounted for 6.7% of second-quarter sales, or BEV, which made up 4.4% of total sales. Those are impressive numbers: a combined 11.1%.</p><p><blockquote>大众汽车 AGVWAGY,+1.52%VOW,+0.60% 报告电动汽车销量包括 PHEV（占第二季度销量的 6.7%）和 BEV（占总销量的 4.4%）。这些数字令人印象深刻：合计11.1%。</blockquote></p><p> For Bayerische Motoren Werke AktiengesellschaftBMWYY,+0.56%BMW,+0.54%,better known as BWM Group, a second-quarter breakdown of electric-vehicle deliveries isn’t yet available, but for the first half of 2021, 153,243 all-electric or plug-in hybrid vehicles were delivered, or 11.4% of total deliveries.</p><p><blockquote>对于 Bayerische Motoren Werke AktiengesellschaftBMWYY,+0.56% BMW,+0.54%，更广为人知的名称是 BWM 集团，第二季度电动汽车交付明细尚未公布，但 2021 年上半年，交付了 153,243 辆全电动或插电式混合动力汽车，占总交付量的 11.4%。</blockquote></p><p> Valuation to earnings estimates</p><p><blockquote>估值与盈利预测</blockquote></p><p> For companies at early stages, comparisons of price-to-earnings ratios may not mean very much. Such companies are focusing on growth rather than profits. An example of this has been <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">Amazon.com</a> Inc.AMZN,-0.86%,which has traded at a high P/E for decades as it has worked to expand into new lines of business, at the expense of the bottom line.</p><p><blockquote>对于处于早期阶段的公司来说，市盈率的比较可能意义不大。这些公司关注的是增长而不是利润。一个例子是<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">亚马逊</a>Inc.AMZN，-0.86%，几十年来一直以高市盈率进行交易，因为它一直在努力扩展到新的业务线，而牺牲了利润。</blockquote></p><p> A high P/E ratio can reflect investors’ enthusiasm for innovation and in the case of EVs, a political consensus for transforming the industry. So Nio and Tesla trade at much higher P/E ratios than the legacy auto makers.</p><p><blockquote>高市盈率可以反映投资者对创新的热情，就电动汽车而言，也可以反映投资者对行业转型的政治共识。因此，蔚来和特斯拉的市盈率远高于传统汽车制造商。</blockquote></p><p> Then again, very low P/E may show too much contempt among investors for the older manufacturers, as they use their cash flow from continuing massive sales of traditional vehicles to fund their development of EVs. Opportunities may be highlighted.</p><p><blockquote>话又说回来，非常低的市盈率可能表明投资者对老牌制造商过于蔑视，因为他们利用传统汽车持续大量销售的现金流来资助电动汽车的开发。机会可能会被强调。</blockquote></p><p> Normally a forward P/E ratio is calculated by dividing the share price by a rolling consensus estimate of earnings per share for 12 months. This isn’t available for all the companies listed here, so we’re using consensus estimates for net income for calendar 2022.</p><p><blockquote>通常，远期市盈率的计算方法是将股价除以 12 个月每股收益的滚动共识估计。这并不适用于此处列出的所有公司，因此我们使用的是对 2022 年净利润的共识估计。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FBNC\">First</a>, here are P/E ratios based on current market caps and consensus 2022 estimates among analysts polled by FactSet. The table includes the annual estimates going out to 2025, and also a P/E based on current market caps and the 2025 estimates:<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/40736da9fceac6db6166c509e26745b4\" tg-width=\"786\" tg-height=\"541\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Nio is expected to become profitable in 2023. Looking out to 2024, its forward P/E is lower than that of Tesla. To put the forward P/E valuations in perspective, the S&P 500 IndexSPX,+0.25%trades for a weighted 20.5 times consensus 2022 EPS estimates.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FBNC\">第一</a>以下是 FactSet 调查的分析师基于当前市值和 2022 年共识预测的市盈率。该表包括到 2025 年的年度预测，以及基于当前市值和 2025 年预测的市盈率：蔚来预计将于 2023 年实现盈利。展望2024年，其远期市盈率低于特斯拉。为了正确看待未来的市盈率估值，标普500指数 SPX,+0.25% 的交易加权 2022 年每股收益预期为 20.5 倍。</blockquote></p><p> Valuation to sales</p><p><blockquote>销售额估值</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FORD\">Forward</a> price-to-sales estimates might be more useful for early-stage companies that are showing low profits or net losses. Then again, the same distortions apply: <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISBC\">Investors</a> love the pure-play EV makers now, and may be paying too much for them when you consider that shares of Nio have more than tripled over the past year, while Tesla’s stock has risen 150%.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FORD\">向前</a>市销率估算对于利润或净亏损较低的早期公司可能更有用。同样，同样的失真也适用：<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISBC\">投资者</a>我现在很喜欢纯电动汽车制造商，但考虑到蔚来的股价在过去一年里上涨了两倍多，而特斯拉的股价却上涨了 150%，你可能会为它们付出太多。</blockquote></p><p> Here’s a similar set of data driving price-to-sale ratios, again using current market caps (in the first table at the top of this article) and consensus full-calendar-year estimates in millions of U.S. dollars:<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c8a9291d237f12d658a1f5194ee8b9ef\" tg-width=\"783\" tg-height=\"446\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">For reference, the S&P 500 trades for 2.7 times its consensus 2022 sales estimate.</p><p><blockquote>以下是一组类似的驱动市销率的数据，同样使用了当前市值（在本文顶部的第一个表格中）和以百万美元为单位的全年共识估计值：作为参考，标普500的交易价格是其 2022 年销量普遍预期的 2.7 倍。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts’ opinions</p><p><blockquote>分析师意见</blockquote></p><p> Here’s a summary of opinion of the 10 auto makers among analysts polled by FactSet. For companies with primary listings outside the U.S., the local tickers are used. All share prices and targets are in local currencies:<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f738c7bce6230dbfd6e1f87a8fc98186\" tg-width=\"785\" tg-height=\"450\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote>以下是 FactSet 调查的分析师对 10 家汽车制造商的看法摘要。对于主要在美国境外上市的公司，使用当地股票代码。所有股价和目标均以当地货币计算：</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1604288433698","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Nio released earnings Wednesday. Here’s how to value its stock compared to Tesla, Ford and other rivals<blockquote>蔚来周三发布了财报。与特斯拉、福特和其他竞争对手相比，如何对其股票进行估值</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNio released earnings Wednesday. Here’s how to value its stock compared to Tesla, Ford and other rivals<blockquote>蔚来周三发布了财报。与特斯拉、福特和其他竞争对手相比，如何对其股票进行估值</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Market Wacth</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-12 07:05</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Nio may be a relatively small company. But investors are bullish on the Chinese electric-vehicle maker’s prospects.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来可能是一家相对较小的公司。但投资者看好这家中国电动汽车制造商的前景。</blockquote></p><p> Chinese electric-vehicle maker Nio Inc., which sells no cars in the U.S., has a market capitalization of $60.2 billion. By that measure, it is larger than <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">Ford</a> Motor Co., which was founded in 1903.</p><p><blockquote>中国电动汽车制造商蔚来在美国不销售汽车，市值为 602 亿美元。按此衡量，它大于<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">福特</a>汽车公司，成立于1903年。</blockquote></p><p> That might make sense to you as an investor — after all, Nio is an innovative company that sells only electric vehicles. Ford is a legacy auto maker that is working to catch up and eventually make a full transition to electric vehicles. Shares of Nio have more than tripled in the past year, while Ford’s have almost doubled after cratering in the previous decade.</p><p><blockquote>作为投资者，这对您来说可能有意义——毕竟，蔚来是一家只销售电动汽车的创新型公司。福特是一家传统汽车制造商，正在努力迎头赶上，并最终全面过渡到电动汽车。蔚来的股价在过去一年里上涨了两倍多，而福特的股价在前十年一落千丈后几乎翻了一番。</blockquote></p><p> So where does NioNIO,-0.57%,which reported second-quarter results after the stock market closes Wednesday, fit in an investment thesis? Below are screens showing how its stock valuation compares to vehicle production, and how that valuation relates to projected earnings through 2025.</p><p><blockquote>那么，周三股市收盘后公布第二季度业绩的 NioNIO（-0.57%）在投资论点中处于什么位置呢？下面的屏幕显示了其股票估值与汽车产量的比较，以及该估值与 2025 年的预计收益有何关系。</blockquote></p><p> Doubling car production</p><p><blockquote>汽车产量翻倍</blockquote></p><p> For the second quarter, Nio delivered 21,896 vehicles for a 112% increase from a year earlier. The growth is impressive, but the total number of vehicles sold is still relatively small.</p><p><blockquote>第二季度，蔚来交付了21,896辆汽车，同比增长112%。增长令人印象深刻，但销售的车辆总数仍然相对较少。</blockquote></p><p> Here’s a look at the 10 largest auto makers by market capitalization, along with their second-quarter sales or delivery numbers (whichever was higher, if both were reported) and additional color below the table:<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aab892102ecbb4cc4eda647df8269bb9\" tg-width=\"791\" tg-height=\"468\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Click on the tickers for more about each company.</p><p><blockquote>以下是市值最大的 10 家汽车制造商，以及它们第二季度的销量或交付量（如果两者都有报告，以较高者为准）和表格下方的其他颜色：单击股票代码了解有关每家公司的更多信息。</blockquote></p><p> You can see that those valuations are about the future, when innovators in the EV space — Tesla Inc.TSLA,-0.31%and Nio, on this list — may (or may not) become as large as legacy players.</p><p><blockquote>你可以看到，这些估值是关于未来的，届时电动汽车领域的创新者——特斯拉公司 TSLA，-0.31% 和蔚来（在这份名单上）——可能（也可能不会）变得像传统企业一样大。</blockquote></p><p> For now, FordF,+0.80%churns out mostly internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicles at nearly 35 times the rate that Nio makes EVs.</p><p><blockquote>目前，福特 F,+0.80% 主要生产内燃机 (ICE) 汽车，其生产率几乎是蔚来电动汽车生产率的 35 倍。</blockquote></p><p> One thing to be aware of is that the legacy auto makers don’t all report their unit sales the same way. Most don’t break out electric vehicle sales.</p><p><blockquote>需要注意的一点是，传统汽车制造商报告销量的方式并不相同。大多数人都没有透露电动汽车的销售情况。</blockquote></p><p> Among those that do, definitions vary. For example, Toyota Motor Corp.TM,+0.82%7203,+0.98%reported that “electrified vehicle” sales made up 26.6% of total auto sales during the second quarter. But that category includes:</p><p><blockquote>其中，定义各不相同。例如，丰田汽车公司报告称，第二季度“电动汽车”销量占汽车总销量的26.6%。但该类别包括：</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>HEV – hybrid EVs that are not plug-ins.</li> <li>PHEV – plug-in electric vehicles.</li> <li>BEV – battery electric vehicles.</li> <li>FCEV – fuel-cell electric vehicles.</li> </ul> For Toyota, BEV made up only 0.2% of second-quarter sales, while they accounted for 100% of sales for Nio and Tesla. Toyota’s PHEV sales made up 1.4% of the total.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>HEV——非插电式混合动力电动汽车。</li><li>插电式电动汽车。</li><li>BEV——纯电动汽车。</li><li>FCEV——燃料电池电动汽车。</li></ul>对于丰田来说，纯电动汽车仅占第二季度销量的0.2%，而它们占蔚来和特斯拉销量的100%。丰田的插电式混合动力汽车销量占总销量的 1.4%。</blockquote></p><p> Volkswagen AGVWAGY,+1.52%VOW,+0.60%reports electric-vehicle sales as including PHEV, which accounted for 6.7% of second-quarter sales, or BEV, which made up 4.4% of total sales. Those are impressive numbers: a combined 11.1%.</p><p><blockquote>大众汽车 AGVWAGY,+1.52%VOW,+0.60% 报告电动汽车销量包括 PHEV（占第二季度销量的 6.7%）和 BEV（占总销量的 4.4%）。这些数字令人印象深刻：合计11.1%。</blockquote></p><p> For Bayerische Motoren Werke AktiengesellschaftBMWYY,+0.56%BMW,+0.54%,better known as BWM Group, a second-quarter breakdown of electric-vehicle deliveries isn’t yet available, but for the first half of 2021, 153,243 all-electric or plug-in hybrid vehicles were delivered, or 11.4% of total deliveries.</p><p><blockquote>对于 Bayerische Motoren Werke AktiengesellschaftBMWYY,+0.56% BMW,+0.54%，更广为人知的名称是 BWM 集团，第二季度电动汽车交付明细尚未公布，但 2021 年上半年，交付了 153,243 辆全电动或插电式混合动力汽车，占总交付量的 11.4%。</blockquote></p><p> Valuation to earnings estimates</p><p><blockquote>估值与盈利预测</blockquote></p><p> For companies at early stages, comparisons of price-to-earnings ratios may not mean very much. Such companies are focusing on growth rather than profits. An example of this has been <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">Amazon.com</a> Inc.AMZN,-0.86%,which has traded at a high P/E for decades as it has worked to expand into new lines of business, at the expense of the bottom line.</p><p><blockquote>对于处于早期阶段的公司来说，市盈率的比较可能意义不大。这些公司关注的是增长而不是利润。一个例子是<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">亚马逊</a>Inc.AMZN，-0.86%，几十年来一直以高市盈率进行交易，因为它一直在努力扩展到新的业务线，而牺牲了利润。</blockquote></p><p> A high P/E ratio can reflect investors’ enthusiasm for innovation and in the case of EVs, a political consensus for transforming the industry. So Nio and Tesla trade at much higher P/E ratios than the legacy auto makers.</p><p><blockquote>高市盈率可以反映投资者对创新的热情，就电动汽车而言，也可以反映投资者对行业转型的政治共识。因此，蔚来和特斯拉的市盈率远高于传统汽车制造商。</blockquote></p><p> Then again, very low P/E may show too much contempt among investors for the older manufacturers, as they use their cash flow from continuing massive sales of traditional vehicles to fund their development of EVs. Opportunities may be highlighted.</p><p><blockquote>话又说回来，非常低的市盈率可能表明投资者对老牌制造商过于蔑视，因为他们利用传统汽车持续大量销售的现金流来资助电动汽车的开发。机会可能会被强调。</blockquote></p><p> Normally a forward P/E ratio is calculated by dividing the share price by a rolling consensus estimate of earnings per share for 12 months. This isn’t available for all the companies listed here, so we’re using consensus estimates for net income for calendar 2022.</p><p><blockquote>通常，远期市盈率的计算方法是将股价除以 12 个月每股收益的滚动共识估计。这并不适用于此处列出的所有公司，因此我们使用的是对 2022 年净利润的共识估计。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FBNC\">First</a>, here are P/E ratios based on current market caps and consensus 2022 estimates among analysts polled by FactSet. The table includes the annual estimates going out to 2025, and also a P/E based on current market caps and the 2025 estimates:<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/40736da9fceac6db6166c509e26745b4\" tg-width=\"786\" tg-height=\"541\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Nio is expected to become profitable in 2023. Looking out to 2024, its forward P/E is lower than that of Tesla. To put the forward P/E valuations in perspective, the S&P 500 IndexSPX,+0.25%trades for a weighted 20.5 times consensus 2022 EPS estimates.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FBNC\">第一</a>以下是 FactSet 调查的分析师基于当前市值和 2022 年共识预测的市盈率。该表包括到 2025 年的年度预测，以及基于当前市值和 2025 年预测的市盈率：蔚来预计将于 2023 年实现盈利。展望2024年，其远期市盈率低于特斯拉。为了正确看待未来的市盈率估值，标普500指数 SPX,+0.25% 的交易加权 2022 年每股收益预期为 20.5 倍。</blockquote></p><p> Valuation to sales</p><p><blockquote>销售额估值</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FORD\">Forward</a> price-to-sales estimates might be more useful for early-stage companies that are showing low profits or net losses. Then again, the same distortions apply: <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISBC\">Investors</a> love the pure-play EV makers now, and may be paying too much for them when you consider that shares of Nio have more than tripled over the past year, while Tesla’s stock has risen 150%.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FORD\">向前</a>市销率估算对于利润或净亏损较低的早期公司可能更有用。同样，同样的失真也适用：<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISBC\">投资者</a>我现在很喜欢纯电动汽车制造商，但考虑到蔚来的股价在过去一年里上涨了两倍多，而特斯拉的股价却上涨了 150%，你可能会为它们付出太多。</blockquote></p><p> Here’s a similar set of data driving price-to-sale ratios, again using current market caps (in the first table at the top of this article) and consensus full-calendar-year estimates in millions of U.S. dollars:<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c8a9291d237f12d658a1f5194ee8b9ef\" tg-width=\"783\" tg-height=\"446\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">For reference, the S&P 500 trades for 2.7 times its consensus 2022 sales estimate.</p><p><blockquote>以下是一组类似的驱动市销率的数据，同样使用了当前市值（在本文顶部的第一个表格中）和以百万美元为单位的全年共识估计值：作为参考，标普500的交易价格是其 2022 年销量普遍预期的 2.7 倍。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts’ opinions</p><p><blockquote>分析师意见</blockquote></p><p> Here’s a summary of opinion of the 10 auto makers among analysts polled by FactSet. For companies with primary listings outside the U.S., the local tickers are used. All share prices and targets are in local currencies:<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f738c7bce6230dbfd6e1f87a8fc98186\" tg-width=\"785\" tg-height=\"450\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote>以下是 FactSet 调查的分析师对 10 家汽车制造商的看法摘要。对于主要在美国境外上市的公司，使用当地股票代码。所有股价和目标均以当地货币计算：</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/nio-releases-earnings-wednesday-heres-how-to-value-its-stock-compared-to-tesla-ford-and-other-rivals-11628716814?mod=home-page\">Market Wacth</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"F":"福特汽车","NIO":"蔚来"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/nio-releases-earnings-wednesday-heres-how-to-value-its-stock-compared-to-tesla-ford-and-other-rivals-11628716814?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1158059019","content_text":"Nio may be a relatively small company. But investors are bullish on the Chinese electric-vehicle maker’s prospects.\nChinese electric-vehicle maker Nio Inc., which sells no cars in the U.S., has a market capitalization of $60.2 billion. By that measure, it is larger than Ford Motor Co., which was founded in 1903.\nThat might make sense to you as an investor — after all, Nio is an innovative company that sells only electric vehicles. Ford is a legacy auto maker that is working to catch up and eventually make a full transition to electric vehicles. Shares of Nio have more than tripled in the past year, while Ford’s have almost doubled after cratering in the previous decade.\nSo where does NioNIO,-0.57%,which reported second-quarter results after the stock market closes Wednesday, fit in an investment thesis? Below are screens showing how its stock valuation compares to vehicle production, and how that valuation relates to projected earnings through 2025.\nDoubling car production\nFor the second quarter, Nio delivered 21,896 vehicles for a 112% increase from a year earlier. The growth is impressive, but the total number of vehicles sold is still relatively small.\nHere’s a look at the 10 largest auto makers by market capitalization, along with their second-quarter sales or delivery numbers (whichever was higher, if both were reported) and additional color below the table:Click on the tickers for more about each company.\nYou can see that those valuations are about the future, when innovators in the EV space — Tesla Inc.TSLA,-0.31%and Nio, on this list — may (or may not) become as large as legacy players.\nFor now, FordF,+0.80%churns out mostly internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicles at nearly 35 times the rate that Nio makes EVs.\nOne thing to be aware of is that the legacy auto makers don’t all report their unit sales the same way. Most don’t break out electric vehicle sales.\nAmong those that do, definitions vary. For example, Toyota Motor Corp.TM,+0.82%7203,+0.98%reported that “electrified vehicle” sales made up 26.6% of total auto sales during the second quarter. But that category includes:\n\nHEV – hybrid EVs that are not plug-ins.\nPHEV – plug-in electric vehicles.\nBEV – battery electric vehicles.\nFCEV – fuel-cell electric vehicles.\n\nFor Toyota, BEV made up only 0.2% of second-quarter sales, while they accounted for 100% of sales for Nio and Tesla. Toyota’s PHEV sales made up 1.4% of the total.\nVolkswagen AGVWAGY,+1.52%VOW,+0.60%reports electric-vehicle sales as including PHEV, which accounted for 6.7% of second-quarter sales, or BEV, which made up 4.4% of total sales. Those are impressive numbers: a combined 11.1%.\nFor Bayerische Motoren Werke AktiengesellschaftBMWYY,+0.56%BMW,+0.54%,better known as BWM Group, a second-quarter breakdown of electric-vehicle deliveries isn’t yet available, but for the first half of 2021, 153,243 all-electric or plug-in hybrid vehicles were delivered, or 11.4% of total deliveries.\nValuation to earnings estimates\nFor companies at early stages, comparisons of price-to-earnings ratios may not mean very much. Such companies are focusing on growth rather than profits. An example of this has been Amazon.com Inc.AMZN,-0.86%,which has traded at a high P/E for decades as it has worked to expand into new lines of business, at the expense of the bottom line.\nA high P/E ratio can reflect investors’ enthusiasm for innovation and in the case of EVs, a political consensus for transforming the industry. So Nio and Tesla trade at much higher P/E ratios than the legacy auto makers.\nThen again, very low P/E may show too much contempt among investors for the older manufacturers, as they use their cash flow from continuing massive sales of traditional vehicles to fund their development of EVs. Opportunities may be highlighted.\nNormally a forward P/E ratio is calculated by dividing the share price by a rolling consensus estimate of earnings per share for 12 months. This isn’t available for all the companies listed here, so we’re using consensus estimates for net income for calendar 2022.\nFirst, here are P/E ratios based on current market caps and consensus 2022 estimates among analysts polled by FactSet. The table includes the annual estimates going out to 2025, and also a P/E based on current market caps and the 2025 estimates:Nio is expected to become profitable in 2023. Looking out to 2024, its forward P/E is lower than that of Tesla. To put the forward P/E valuations in perspective, the S&P 500 IndexSPX,+0.25%trades for a weighted 20.5 times consensus 2022 EPS estimates.\nValuation to sales\nForward price-to-sales estimates might be more useful for early-stage companies that are showing low profits or net losses. Then again, the same distortions apply: Investors love the pure-play EV makers now, and may be paying too much for them when you consider that shares of Nio have more than tripled over the past year, while Tesla’s stock has risen 150%.\nHere’s a similar set of data driving price-to-sale ratios, again using current market caps (in the first table at the top of this article) and consensus full-calendar-year estimates in millions of U.S. dollars:For reference, the S&P 500 trades for 2.7 times its consensus 2022 sales estimate.\nAnalysts’ opinions\nHere’s a summary of opinion of the 10 auto makers among analysts polled by FactSet. For companies with primary listings outside the U.S., the local tickers are used. All share prices and targets are in local currencies:","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NIO":0.9,"F":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4142,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":38,"subscribersOnly":false,"subscribersOnlyAccessible":false,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/894917435"}
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