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2021-08-11
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Amazon Stock To Rise 50%: One Analyst’s Bull Case<blockquote>亚马逊股价将上涨 50%： 一位分析师的牛市理由</blockquote>
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Some may not have realized, but shares of the cloud and e-commerce giant trade today a few percentage points below early September 2020 levels – nearly a full year of largely sideway movements in the market.One Wall Street expert, however,believesthat AMZN has a very long runway ahead. According to Susquehanna analyst Shyam Patil, the stock has 50% upside from here, and he thinks that now is a “great time to buy” shares.But the bullish Susq","content":"<p>Amazon stock(<b>AMZN</b>)has not been in a hurry to move any higher. Some may not have realized, but shares of the cloud and e-commerce giant trade today a few percentage points below early September 2020 levels – nearly a full year of largely sideway movements in the market.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊股票（<b>亚马逊</b>）并不急于走高。有些人可能没有意识到，但这家云和电子商务巨头的股价今天比2020年9月初的水平低了几个百分点——近一整年的市场基本横盘整理。</blockquote></p><p> One Wall Street expert, however,believesthat AMZN has a very long runway ahead. According to Susquehanna analyst Shyam Patil, the stock has 50% upside from here, and he thinks that now is a “great time to buy” shares.</p><p><blockquote>然而，一位华尔街专家认为，亚马逊还有很长的路要走。Susquehanna 分析师 Shyam Patil 认为，从现在开始，该股还有 50% 的上涨空间，他认为现在是 “买入 ”股票的好时机。</blockquote></p><p> <h3>Growth story intact</h3> Amazon stock would have been having a decent 12 months of performance, up around 20% between late July 2020 and 2021, if not for bearishnesstriggered by second quarter earnings. On July 29, the company downshifted gears on the e-commerce growth story, leading some investors to scramble for the exits.</p><p><blockquote><h3>成长故事完好无损</h3>如果不是第二季度收益引发的看跌行情，亚马逊股票在 12 个月的表现将会不错，在 2020 年 7 月下旬至 2021 年期间上涨了约 20%。7月29日，该公司降低了电子商务增长故事的档位，导致一些投资者争相退出。</blockquote></p><p> But the bullish Susquehanna analyst, who currently has a price target of $5,000 on Amazon shares, did not see reason to panic. Here is his quote:</p><p><blockquote>但这位看涨的萨斯奎哈纳分析师目前将亚马逊股票的目标价定为 5,000 美元，他认为没有理由恐慌。以下是他的名言：</blockquote></p><p> “Looking at the two-year compounded annual growth rates, trends are still very strong and we see no reason to be concerned. Ultimately, we continue to see Amazon as a long-term secular grower underpinned by its strong e-commerce, cloud, and advertising businesses.” Clearly, Mr. Patil is more focused on the company’s long-term prospects which, I agree, continue to look good. The graph below helps to illustrate his point on the two-year growth rate of Amazon’s North America business – the segment that underperformed in Q2. The figures below are annualized.</p><p><blockquote>“从两年的复合年增长率来看，趋势仍然非常强劲，我们认为没有理由担心。最终，我们将继续将亚马逊视为一个长期的长期增长者，其强大的电子商务、云计算和广告业务为支撑。”显然，帕蒂尔先生更关注公司的长期前景，我同意公司的长期前景仍然不错。下图有助于说明他对亚马逊北美业务两年增长率的看法--该业务在第二季度表现不佳。以下数字按年计算。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1fc8e36ef17f82f39040a45e4b885697\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"665\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Figure 2: North America annualized two-year growth.The Amazon Maven</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图2：北美年化两年增长。亚马逊专家</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Notice that growth in North America remains elevated, above 30% per year, after smoothing out the impact of the pandemic. The problem, in the short term, is that expectations may have been set too optimistically coming out of the COVID-19 crisis. They had to scale back at some point in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>请注意，在消除了疫情的影响后，北美的增长仍然很高，每年超过30%。从短期来看，问题是人们对新冠肺炎危机的预期可能过于乐观。他们不得不在2021年的某个时候缩减规模。</blockquote></p><p> <h3>Is AMZN's price right?</h3> The Susquehanna team seems to base its AMZN bullishness on the secular tailwinds in digital retail, cloud and advertising benefitting the Seattle-based company. But valuation does not seem to come up often as a key component of Mr. Patil’s investment thesis.</p><p><blockquote><h3>AMZN的价格合适吗？</h3>Susquehanna 团队似乎将其对 AMZN 的看涨态度建立在数字零售、云和广告领域的长期顺风上，这有利于这家总部位于西雅图的公司。但估值似乎并不经常出现在帕蒂尔先生的投资论点中。</blockquote></p><p> In that regard, I believe that Amazon stock may be about as attractively priced as it has ever been. Although the share price has<i>not</i>moved higher in 12 months, the company’s projected financial results<i>have</i>. As a result, valuations have dropped near all-time lows, asthe Amazon Maven recently discussed.</p><p><blockquote>在这方面，我相信亚马逊股票的价格可能会比以往任何时候都更具吸引力。虽然股价已经<i>不</i>公司预计财务业绩在 12 个月内走高<i>有</i>正如亚马逊专家最近讨论的那样，估值已降至历史最低点附近。</blockquote></p><p> Do I think that AMZN will, in fact, reach $5,000 per share in the foreseeable future? This is a tough question to answer. But historically, buying the stock after pullbacks (it is currently 11% off peak levels)has proven to be a smart move– more so now that valuations have de-risked quite a bit.</p><p><blockquote>我认为在可预见的未来，AMZN 实际上会达到每股 5,000 美元吗？这是一个很难回答的问题。但从历史上看，在回调后买入股票（目前较峰值水平低 11%）已被证明是明智之举——现在估值已经大幅降低了风险，更是如此。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Amazon Stock To Rise 50%: One Analyst’s Bull Case<blockquote>亚马逊股价将上涨 50%： 一位分析师的牛市理由</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAmazon Stock To Rise 50%: One Analyst’s Bull Case<blockquote>亚马逊股价将上涨 50%： 一位分析师的牛市理由</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Thestreet</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-11 22:23</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Amazon stock(<b>AMZN</b>)has not been in a hurry to move any higher. Some may not have realized, but shares of the cloud and e-commerce giant trade today a few percentage points below early September 2020 levels – nearly a full year of largely sideway movements in the market.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊股票（<b>亚马逊</b>）并不急于走高。有些人可能没有意识到，但这家云和电子商务巨头的股价今天比2020年9月初的水平低了几个百分点——近一整年的市场基本横盘整理。</blockquote></p><p> One Wall Street expert, however,believesthat AMZN has a very long runway ahead. According to Susquehanna analyst Shyam Patil, the stock has 50% upside from here, and he thinks that now is a “great time to buy” shares.</p><p><blockquote>然而，一位华尔街专家认为，亚马逊还有很长的路要走。Susquehanna 分析师 Shyam Patil 认为，从现在开始，该股还有 50% 的上涨空间，他认为现在是 “买入 ”股票的好时机。</blockquote></p><p> <h3>Growth story intact</h3> Amazon stock would have been having a decent 12 months of performance, up around 20% between late July 2020 and 2021, if not for bearishnesstriggered by second quarter earnings. On July 29, the company downshifted gears on the e-commerce growth story, leading some investors to scramble for the exits.</p><p><blockquote><h3>成长故事完好无损</h3>如果不是第二季度收益引发的看跌行情，亚马逊股票在 12 个月的表现将会不错，在 2020 年 7 月下旬至 2021 年期间上涨了约 20%。7月29日，该公司降低了电子商务增长故事的档位，导致一些投资者争相退出。</blockquote></p><p> But the bullish Susquehanna analyst, who currently has a price target of $5,000 on Amazon shares, did not see reason to panic. Here is his quote:</p><p><blockquote>但这位看涨的萨斯奎哈纳分析师目前将亚马逊股票的目标价定为 5,000 美元，他认为没有理由恐慌。以下是他的名言：</blockquote></p><p> “Looking at the two-year compounded annual growth rates, trends are still very strong and we see no reason to be concerned. Ultimately, we continue to see Amazon as a long-term secular grower underpinned by its strong e-commerce, cloud, and advertising businesses.” Clearly, Mr. Patil is more focused on the company’s long-term prospects which, I agree, continue to look good. The graph below helps to illustrate his point on the two-year growth rate of Amazon’s North America business – the segment that underperformed in Q2. The figures below are annualized.</p><p><blockquote>“从两年的复合年增长率来看，趋势仍然非常强劲，我们认为没有理由担心。最终，我们将继续将亚马逊视为一个长期的长期增长者，其强大的电子商务、云计算和广告业务为支撑。”显然，帕蒂尔先生更关注公司的长期前景，我同意公司的长期前景仍然不错。下图有助于说明他对亚马逊北美业务两年增长率的看法--该业务在第二季度表现不佳。以下数字按年计算。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1fc8e36ef17f82f39040a45e4b885697\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"665\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Figure 2: North America annualized two-year growth.The Amazon Maven</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图2：北美年化两年增长。亚马逊专家</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Notice that growth in North America remains elevated, above 30% per year, after smoothing out the impact of the pandemic. The problem, in the short term, is that expectations may have been set too optimistically coming out of the COVID-19 crisis. They had to scale back at some point in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>请注意，在消除了疫情的影响后，北美的增长仍然很高，每年超过30%。从短期来看，问题是人们对新冠肺炎危机的预期可能过于乐观。他们不得不在2021年的某个时候缩减规模。</blockquote></p><p> <h3>Is AMZN's price right?</h3> The Susquehanna team seems to base its AMZN bullishness on the secular tailwinds in digital retail, cloud and advertising benefitting the Seattle-based company. But valuation does not seem to come up often as a key component of Mr. Patil’s investment thesis.</p><p><blockquote><h3>AMZN的价格合适吗？</h3>Susquehanna 团队似乎将其对 AMZN 的看涨态度建立在数字零售、云和广告领域的长期顺风上，这有利于这家总部位于西雅图的公司。但估值似乎并不经常出现在帕蒂尔先生的投资论点中。</blockquote></p><p> In that regard, I believe that Amazon stock may be about as attractively priced as it has ever been. Although the share price has<i>not</i>moved higher in 12 months, the company’s projected financial results<i>have</i>. As a result, valuations have dropped near all-time lows, asthe Amazon Maven recently discussed.</p><p><blockquote>在这方面，我相信亚马逊股票的价格可能会比以往任何时候都更具吸引力。虽然股价已经<i>不</i>公司预计财务业绩在 12 个月内走高<i>有</i>正如亚马逊专家最近讨论的那样，估值已降至历史最低点附近。</blockquote></p><p> Do I think that AMZN will, in fact, reach $5,000 per share in the foreseeable future? This is a tough question to answer. But historically, buying the stock after pullbacks (it is currently 11% off peak levels)has proven to be a smart move– more so now that valuations have de-risked quite a bit.</p><p><blockquote>我认为在可预见的未来，AMZN 实际上会达到每股 5,000 美元吗？这是一个很难回答的问题。但从历史上看，在回调后买入股票（目前较峰值水平低 11%）已被证明是明智之举——现在估值已经大幅降低了风险，更是如此。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/amazon/stock/amazon-stock-to-rise-50-one-analysts-bull-case\">Thestreet</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMZN":"亚马逊"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/amazon/stock/amazon-stock-to-rise-50-one-analysts-bull-case","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1127308009","content_text":"Amazon stock(AMZN)has not been in a hurry to move any higher. Some may not have realized, but shares of the cloud and e-commerce giant trade today a few percentage points below early September 2020 levels – nearly a full year of largely sideway movements in the market.\nOne Wall Street expert, however,believesthat AMZN has a very long runway ahead. According to Susquehanna analyst Shyam Patil, the stock has 50% upside from here, and he thinks that now is a “great time to buy” shares.\nGrowth story intact\nAmazon stock would have been having a decent 12 months of performance, up around 20% between late July 2020 and 2021, if not for bearishnesstriggered by second quarter earnings. On July 29, the company downshifted gears on the e-commerce growth story, leading some investors to scramble for the exits.\nBut the bullish Susquehanna analyst, who currently has a price target of $5,000 on Amazon shares, did not see reason to panic. Here is his quote:\n\n “Looking at the two-year compounded annual growth rates, trends are still very strong and we see no reason to be concerned. Ultimately, we continue to see Amazon as a long-term secular grower underpinned by its strong e-commerce, cloud, and advertising businesses.”\n\nClearly, Mr. Patil is more focused on the company’s long-term prospects which, I agree, continue to look good. The graph below helps to illustrate his point on the two-year growth rate of Amazon’s North America business – the segment that underperformed in Q2. The figures below are annualized.\nFigure 2: North America annualized two-year growth.The Amazon Maven\nNotice that growth in North America remains elevated, above 30% per year, after smoothing out the impact of the pandemic. The problem, in the short term, is that expectations may have been set too optimistically coming out of the COVID-19 crisis. They had to scale back at some point in 2021.\nIs AMZN's price right?\nThe Susquehanna team seems to base its AMZN bullishness on the secular tailwinds in digital retail, cloud and advertising benefitting the Seattle-based company. But valuation does not seem to come up often as a key component of Mr. Patil’s investment thesis.\nIn that regard, I believe that Amazon stock may be about as attractively priced as it has ever been. Although the share price hasnotmoved higher in 12 months, the company’s projected financial resultshave. As a result, valuations have dropped near all-time lows, asthe Amazon Maven recently discussed.\nDo I think that AMZN will, in fact, reach $5,000 per share in the foreseeable future? This is a tough question to answer. But historically, buying the stock after pullbacks (it is currently 11% off peak levels)has proven to be a smart move– more so now that valuations have de-risked quite a bit.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMZN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2202,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":12,"subscribersOnly":false,"subscribersOnlyAccessible":false,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/895033898"}
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