Dawang
2021-08-10
Hakuna Matata
Crude Oil and Iron Ore Prices in Tailspin as Covid Continues Spreading<blockquote>随着新冠疫情持续蔓延，原油和铁矿石价格陷入混乱</blockquote>
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Goldman sees third-quarter growth slowing to 2.3% from 5.8%. A rebound in the fourth quarter may transpire, however, but the full-year projection remains worse off as restrictions are seen hampering consumption in the Chinese economy. Nearly 100 locally sourced cases were reported on Monday, according to China’s National Health Commission.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>中国降级抑制需求押注原油价格下跌</li><li>由于新冠疫情引发的需求担忧，铁矿石价格也随之下跌</li><li>随着病例激增，澳大利亚新冠疫情封锁可能会持续下去</li></ul>在高盛和摩根大通下调中国经济前景后，人们对快速传播的Delta Covid变种对全球经济影响的担忧本周进一步加剧。高盛预计第三季度增长率将从5.8%放缓至2.3%。然而，第四季度可能会出现反弹，但由于限制措施阻碍了中国经济的消费，全年预测仍然更糟。据中国国家卫生健康委员会称，周一报告了近100例本地病例。</blockquote></p><p> The downbeat outlook weighed on crude oil and iron ore prices, two major commodities that are particularly insightful to gauge demand in the world’s second-largest economy. Crude oil fell nearly 2% on Monday, while the global benchmark, Brent, sank just over half a percent. Meanwhile, iron ore prices added to recent losses, extending the monthly drop to almost 10%. Iron ore prices are highly reliant on Chinese demand, given it is the largest importer of the mineral ore.</p><p><blockquote>悲观的前景打压了原油和铁矿石价格，这两种主要大宗商品在衡量世界第二大经济体的需求方面尤其具有洞察力。原油周一下跌近2%，而全球基准布伦特原油下跌略高于0.5%。与此同时，铁矿石价格加剧了近期的跌幅，将月度跌幅扩大至近10%。鉴于中国是铁矿石的最大进口国，铁矿石价格高度依赖中国的需求。</blockquote></p><p> The drop in prices may help ease some inflation pressure in the economy. Beijing moved to release state reserves of certain commodities in recent months, including crude oil and iron ore, to cool rapid price increases. The PBOC has also taken a variety of measures to support monetary policy, including a reduction in reserve ratio rates to spur bank lending. Balancing the recovery against growing inflation threats will remain key for Chinese authorities.</p><p><blockquote>价格的下降可能有助于缓解经济中的一些通胀压力。最近几个月，中国政府释放了包括原油和铁矿石在内的某些大宗商品的国家储备，以冷却快速上涨的价格。中国人民银行还采取了多种措施支持货币政策，包括降低准备金率以刺激银行放贷。平衡经济复苏与日益加剧的通胀威胁仍将是中国当局的关键。</blockquote></p><p> Still, China saw inflation - via CPI - rise 1.0% in July, while producer prices climbed 9.0% in the same time frame. Rising producer prices sometimes translate into higher prices for consumers down the road if producers feel the need to pass on higher input costs to consumers. Meanwhile, lockdowns in Australia are likely to drag on after New South Wales (NSW) reported 356 new virus cases on Tuesday. Overall, the Delta variant’s spread is now having a tangible and visible impact on global sentiment, particularly denting growth-sensitive commodities like oil and iron ore.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，中国7月份通胀（CPI）仍上涨1.0%，而同期生产者价格上涨9.0%。如果生产者觉得有必要将更高的投入成本转嫁给消费者，生产者价格上涨有时会转化为消费者未来更高的价格。与此同时，在新南威尔士州（NSW）周二报告356例新病毒病例后，澳大利亚的封锁可能会持续下去。总体而言，德尔塔变异毒株的利差现在对全球情绪产生了切实可见的影响，特别是削弱了石油和铁矿石等对增长敏感的大宗商品。</blockquote></p><p> <h3><b>CRUDE OIL TECHNICAL OUTLOOK</b></h3> Crude oil’s technical posture has weakened substantially since reaching a multi-year high at 76.98 back in late July. Since then, prices have dropped over 10%. The 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) has also been breached this week. However, a trendline formed from the March low appears to be underpinning further losses. If prices pierce below the trendline, an extension lower may be likely. Alternatively, holding the trendline may see the preceding trend higher continue.</p><p><blockquote><h3><b>原油技术展望</b></h3>自7月底触及76.98的多年高点以来，原油技术面已大幅走弱。自那以后，价格下降了10%以上。100日简单移动平均线(SMA)本周也被突破。然而，从三月低点形成的趋势线似乎支撑了进一步的下跌。如果价格跌破趋势线，可能会进一步走低。或者，保持趋势线可能会看到之前的趋势继续走高。</blockquote></p><p> <b>CRUDE OIL DAILY CHART</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/96527b766dd3c544aeb986dfae47a88d\" tg-width=\"624\" tg-height=\"405\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote><b>原油日线图</b></blockquote></p><p> Chart created with TradingView</p><p><blockquote>使用TradingView创建的图表</blockquote></p><p> <h3><b>IRON ORE TECHNICAL OUTLOOK</b></h3> Iron ore prices have seen a sharp drop over the last few weeks, with a slice through the 100- and 200-day Simple Moving Averages (SMAs). A trendline from October was also breached with ease. Prices are over 20% lower since June, and the 2021 yearly gain is in danger of being wiped out. The April low at 158.10 appears to be providing a layer of support. Below that, the 2021 low at 146.55 may be endangered. Bulls may need to recapture the 200-day SMA to regain a solid footing to push higher.</p><p><blockquote><h3><b>铁矿石技术展望</b></h3>过去几周，铁矿石价格大幅下跌，突破100日和200日简单移动平均线(SMA)。10月份的趋势线也被轻松突破。自6月以来，价格下跌了20%以上，2021年的年度涨幅有被抹去的危险。4月份低点158.10似乎提供了一层支撑。低于该水平，2021年低点146.55可能会受到威胁。多头可能需要重新夺回200日移动平均线，以重新获得坚实的基础来推高。</blockquote></p><p> <b>IRON ORE DAILY CHART</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/64f038b392feb7397b76582fe26a66a8\" tg-width=\"625\" tg-height=\"527\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote><b>铁矿石日线图</b></blockquote></p><p> Chart created with TradingView</p><p><blockquote>使用TradingView创建的图表</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1568971417606","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Crude Oil and Iron Ore Prices in Tailspin as Covid Continues Spreading<blockquote>随着新冠疫情持续蔓延，原油和铁矿石价格陷入混乱</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCrude Oil and Iron Ore Prices in Tailspin as Covid Continues Spreading<blockquote>随着新冠疫情持续蔓延，原油和铁矿石价格陷入混乱</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">DailyFX</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-10 14:03</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>CRUDE OIL, IRON ORE, CHINA, DELTA VARIANT – TALKING POINTS</b></p><p><blockquote><b>原油、铁矿石、中国、德尔塔变异毒株-谈话要点</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Crude Oil prices fall as China downgrades stifle demand bets</li> <li>Iron ore prices join drop on Covid-induced demand worries</li> <li>Australia Covid lockdowns likely to drag on as cases surge</li> </ul> Mounting worries over the quickly spreading Delta Covid variant’s impact on the global economy solidified further this week after Goldman Sachs and JP Morgan Chase downgraded economic outlooks on China. Goldman sees third-quarter growth slowing to 2.3% from 5.8%. A rebound in the fourth quarter may transpire, however, but the full-year projection remains worse off as restrictions are seen hampering consumption in the Chinese economy. Nearly 100 locally sourced cases were reported on Monday, according to China’s National Health Commission.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>中国降级抑制需求押注原油价格下跌</li><li>由于新冠疫情引发的需求担忧，铁矿石价格也随之下跌</li><li>随着病例激增，澳大利亚新冠疫情封锁可能会持续下去</li></ul>在高盛和摩根大通下调中国经济前景后，人们对快速传播的Delta Covid变种对全球经济影响的担忧本周进一步加剧。高盛预计第三季度增长率将从5.8%放缓至2.3%。然而，第四季度可能会出现反弹，但由于限制措施阻碍了中国经济的消费，全年预测仍然更糟。据中国国家卫生健康委员会称，周一报告了近100例本地病例。</blockquote></p><p> The downbeat outlook weighed on crude oil and iron ore prices, two major commodities that are particularly insightful to gauge demand in the world’s second-largest economy. Crude oil fell nearly 2% on Monday, while the global benchmark, Brent, sank just over half a percent. Meanwhile, iron ore prices added to recent losses, extending the monthly drop to almost 10%. Iron ore prices are highly reliant on Chinese demand, given it is the largest importer of the mineral ore.</p><p><blockquote>悲观的前景打压了原油和铁矿石价格，这两种主要大宗商品在衡量世界第二大经济体的需求方面尤其具有洞察力。原油周一下跌近2%，而全球基准布伦特原油下跌略高于0.5%。与此同时，铁矿石价格加剧了近期的跌幅，将月度跌幅扩大至近10%。鉴于中国是铁矿石的最大进口国，铁矿石价格高度依赖中国的需求。</blockquote></p><p> The drop in prices may help ease some inflation pressure in the economy. Beijing moved to release state reserves of certain commodities in recent months, including crude oil and iron ore, to cool rapid price increases. The PBOC has also taken a variety of measures to support monetary policy, including a reduction in reserve ratio rates to spur bank lending. Balancing the recovery against growing inflation threats will remain key for Chinese authorities.</p><p><blockquote>价格的下降可能有助于缓解经济中的一些通胀压力。最近几个月，中国政府释放了包括原油和铁矿石在内的某些大宗商品的国家储备，以冷却快速上涨的价格。中国人民银行还采取了多种措施支持货币政策，包括降低准备金率以刺激银行放贷。平衡经济复苏与日益加剧的通胀威胁仍将是中国当局的关键。</blockquote></p><p> Still, China saw inflation - via CPI - rise 1.0% in July, while producer prices climbed 9.0% in the same time frame. Rising producer prices sometimes translate into higher prices for consumers down the road if producers feel the need to pass on higher input costs to consumers. Meanwhile, lockdowns in Australia are likely to drag on after New South Wales (NSW) reported 356 new virus cases on Tuesday. Overall, the Delta variant’s spread is now having a tangible and visible impact on global sentiment, particularly denting growth-sensitive commodities like oil and iron ore.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，中国7月份通胀（CPI）仍上涨1.0%，而同期生产者价格上涨9.0%。如果生产者觉得有必要将更高的投入成本转嫁给消费者，生产者价格上涨有时会转化为消费者未来更高的价格。与此同时，在新南威尔士州（NSW）周二报告356例新病毒病例后，澳大利亚的封锁可能会持续下去。总体而言，德尔塔变异毒株的利差现在对全球情绪产生了切实可见的影响，特别是削弱了石油和铁矿石等对增长敏感的大宗商品。</blockquote></p><p> <h3><b>CRUDE OIL TECHNICAL OUTLOOK</b></h3> Crude oil’s technical posture has weakened substantially since reaching a multi-year high at 76.98 back in late July. Since then, prices have dropped over 10%. The 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) has also been breached this week. However, a trendline formed from the March low appears to be underpinning further losses. If prices pierce below the trendline, an extension lower may be likely. Alternatively, holding the trendline may see the preceding trend higher continue.</p><p><blockquote><h3><b>原油技术展望</b></h3>自7月底触及76.98的多年高点以来，原油技术面已大幅走弱。自那以后，价格下降了10%以上。100日简单移动平均线(SMA)本周也被突破。然而，从三月低点形成的趋势线似乎支撑了进一步的下跌。如果价格跌破趋势线，可能会进一步走低。或者，保持趋势线可能会看到之前的趋势继续走高。</blockquote></p><p> <b>CRUDE OIL DAILY CHART</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/96527b766dd3c544aeb986dfae47a88d\" tg-width=\"624\" tg-height=\"405\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote><b>原油日线图</b></blockquote></p><p> Chart created with TradingView</p><p><blockquote>使用TradingView创建的图表</blockquote></p><p> <h3><b>IRON ORE TECHNICAL OUTLOOK</b></h3> Iron ore prices have seen a sharp drop over the last few weeks, with a slice through the 100- and 200-day Simple Moving Averages (SMAs). A trendline from October was also breached with ease. Prices are over 20% lower since June, and the 2021 yearly gain is in danger of being wiped out. The April low at 158.10 appears to be providing a layer of support. Below that, the 2021 low at 146.55 may be endangered. Bulls may need to recapture the 200-day SMA to regain a solid footing to push higher.</p><p><blockquote><h3><b>铁矿石技术展望</b></h3>过去几周，铁矿石价格大幅下跌，突破100日和200日简单移动平均线(SMA)。10月份的趋势线也被轻松突破。自6月以来，价格下跌了20%以上，2021年的年度涨幅有被抹去的危险。4月份低点158.10似乎提供了一层支撑。低于该水平，2021年低点146.55可能会受到威胁。多头可能需要重新夺回200日移动平均线，以重新获得坚实的基础来推高。</blockquote></p><p> <b>IRON ORE DAILY CHART</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/64f038b392feb7397b76582fe26a66a8\" tg-width=\"625\" tg-height=\"527\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote><b>铁矿石日线图</b></blockquote></p><p> Chart created with TradingView</p><p><blockquote>使用TradingView创建的图表</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/fundamental/daily_briefing/daily_pieces/commodities/2021/08/10/Crude-Oil-and-Iron-Ore-Prices-in-Tailspin-as-Covid-Seen-Damaging-Chinas-Growth.html\">DailyFX</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"FEOVF":"Oceanic Iron Ore Corp.","AXXDF":"Alderon Iron Ore Corp."},"source_url":"https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/fundamental/daily_briefing/daily_pieces/commodities/2021/08/10/Crude-Oil-and-Iron-Ore-Prices-in-Tailspin-as-Covid-Seen-Damaging-Chinas-Growth.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1132629182","content_text":"CRUDE OIL, IRON ORE, CHINA, DELTA VARIANT – TALKING POINTS\n\nCrude Oil prices fall as China downgrades stifle demand bets\nIron ore prices join drop on Covid-induced demand worries\nAustralia Covid lockdowns likely to drag on as cases surge\n\nMounting worries over the quickly spreading Delta Covid variant’s impact on the global economy solidified further this week after Goldman Sachs and JP Morgan Chase downgraded economic outlooks on China. Goldman sees third-quarter growth slowing to 2.3% from 5.8%. A rebound in the fourth quarter may transpire, however, but the full-year projection remains worse off as restrictions are seen hampering consumption in the Chinese economy. Nearly 100 locally sourced cases were reported on Monday, according to China’s National Health Commission.\nThe downbeat outlook weighed on crude oil and iron ore prices, two major commodities that are particularly insightful to gauge demand in the world’s second-largest economy. Crude oil fell nearly 2% on Monday, while the global benchmark, Brent, sank just over half a percent. Meanwhile, iron ore prices added to recent losses, extending the monthly drop to almost 10%. Iron ore prices are highly reliant on Chinese demand, given it is the largest importer of the mineral ore.\nThe drop in prices may help ease some inflation pressure in the economy. Beijing moved to release state reserves of certain commodities in recent months, including crude oil and iron ore, to cool rapid price increases. The PBOC has also taken a variety of measures to support monetary policy, including a reduction in reserve ratio rates to spur bank lending. Balancing the recovery against growing inflation threats will remain key for Chinese authorities.\nStill, China saw inflation - via CPI - rise 1.0% in July, while producer prices climbed 9.0% in the same time frame. Rising producer prices sometimes translate into higher prices for consumers down the road if producers feel the need to pass on higher input costs to consumers. Meanwhile, lockdowns in Australia are likely to drag on after New South Wales (NSW) reported 356 new virus cases on Tuesday. Overall, the Delta variant’s spread is now having a tangible and visible impact on global sentiment, particularly denting growth-sensitive commodities like oil and iron ore.\nCRUDE OIL TECHNICAL OUTLOOK\nCrude oil’s technical posture has weakened substantially since reaching a multi-year high at 76.98 back in late July. Since then, prices have dropped over 10%. The 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) has also been breached this week. However, a trendline formed from the March low appears to be underpinning further losses. If prices pierce below the trendline, an extension lower may be likely. Alternatively, holding the trendline may see the preceding trend higher continue.\nCRUDE OIL DAILY CHART\nChart created with TradingView\nIRON ORE TECHNICAL OUTLOOK\nIron ore prices have seen a sharp drop over the last few weeks, with a slice through the 100- and 200-day Simple Moving Averages (SMAs). A trendline from October was also breached with ease. Prices are over 20% lower since June, and the 2021 yearly gain is in danger of being wiped out. The April low at 158.10 appears to be providing a layer of support. Below that, the 2021 low at 146.55 may be endangered. Bulls may need to recapture the 200-day SMA to regain a solid footing to push higher.\nIRON ORE DAILY CHART\nChart created with TradingView","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"FEOVF":0.9,"UKOILmain":0.9,"AXXDF":0.9,"BZmain":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":230,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":12,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/896276265"}
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