$FUT:WTI原油_老虎社区_美港股上老虎 - 老虎社区

$FUT:WTI原油主连(CLmain)$ 我感觉除了明确确定美国和伊朗会打起来和中美达成协议其实就没什么可以对油价有强有力的支撑了。减产会议延迟我估计说沙特和俄罗斯没谈拢，美国自己的原油显然不会减产，毕竟页岩油企业的负债率很高，美国是想让别的国家减产来支撑油价，而且过低的油价对中国是利好，俄罗斯则表态不想失去市场份额，明显是对美国说的所以我估计俄罗斯不会减产，而且我猜测我们和俄罗斯可能签了个类似期权的东西，俄罗斯可能不那么怕油价走低。刚才看了一下新闻，联合国的组织说卡舒吉的案子有证据能让沙特负责，估计现在狗大户要fong了[贱笑][暗中观察]

免责声明：上述内容仅代表发帖人个人观点，不构成本平台的任何投资建议。

精彩评论

巷阳楠沭
2019-06-19
巷阳楠沭
我举一个例子，a卖牛奶，b也卖牛奶，b家牛便宜，所以产出的牛奶便宜，而且b家的牛奶库存越来越多，喝奶的人就那么多，所以牛奶的价格应该会越来越便宜，趋近或低于养牛成本，最后a跟b一起破产。但a跟b的共同愿望是生存下去，不是造福喝奶的人，所以他们宁愿倒掉多余的牛奶也不会为了多卖点降价，这样反而a跟b小日子更好。
- 巷阳楠沭:
  首先说个共识，低油价对谁都没好处。俄罗斯是有自己的特殊，可能像你说的，也可能不是，毕竟国际关系谁跟谁都是利益。但俄罗斯是原油输出大国，核心利益是赚钱，不是赔钱。美国沙特也一样。历史上低油价重来都是政治筹码，不是价值体现，有问题就拿出来用用，没啥好担心的。
- Callous:
  你说的是极端情况啦，俄罗斯和沙特和美国的关系都一般，况且目前看来俄罗斯对低油价的厌恶程度没有沙特高，就算他们一起减产的话你猜谁应该减更多？况且俄罗斯和我们谈成了一些东西，原油不怕没地方卖而且可能卖的比市场价高你猜俄罗斯会不会为了抢市场而选择不和沙特合作？
- 巷阳楠沭:
  目前原油就是这样
神郭嘉
2019-06-19
神郭嘉
俄罗斯gdp这么低，还要降低原油出口不可能，沙特已经减产了，也很难减产，美国原油扩张，准备出口要市场份额，市场需求又全面下降，至少要一**跌才能让三方坐下来和谈，你们觉得呢
- Callous:
  沙特已经减产不代表不能继续减产[贱笑]而且我觉得在原油这件事上他们三方很难很难谈拢的，高油价也不是低油价也不是
反踢小能手
2019-06-19
反踢小能手
小弟不听话，大佬肯定要修理啊
- 反踢小能手回复Callous:
  对啊
- Callous:
  哈哈哈小弟是指沙特吗

发表看法

9

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