+关注
水云间
简介
IP属地:广东
92
关注
241
粉丝
3
主题
0
勋章
主贴
热门
水云间
2022-03-14
标题党,高瓴一点都不慌,巴菲特的很多持仓也经历过很多下行周期,不断新高,别拿一时的下跌乱喷
抱歉,原内容已删除
水云间
2018-11-21
$Keysight Technologies Inc(KEYS)$恭喜keysight加入标普500指数
水云间
2018-10-07
$辉盛研究系统(FDS)$全球顶级数据提供公司factset,老虎证券这名字要改一下
水云间
2018-09-15
$罗氏控股(RHHBY)$市值不对吧,罗氏制药不可能是200多亿美金 开玩笑吧
水云间
2018-08-03
精准医疗基因检测
$Genomic Health(GHDX)$美国精准医疗基因检测公司
精准医疗基因检测
水云间
2018-07-25
营收增长超预期,eps miss
$博实乐教育(BEDU)$ eps miss 2018 Third Fiscal Quarter Financial Highlights
营收增长超预期,eps miss
水云间
2018-07-24
双beat
谷歌双beat
双beat
水云间
2018-07-15
要月亮不要星星全球垄断三年一倍asml
$阿斯麦(ASML)$ 先说一下结论:准备小幅度买入ASML,安全边际价格在170美金,和152美金,只买三层。投资收益预期:持有三年正常情况下可以收益百分之50到百分之80、 具体分析过程: 1.ASML强大的护城河:ASML在行业中基本处于绝对垄断的地位。这具体可以分成四点来说。一个是ASML已经掌握EUV光刻机的核心技术(注意:已经量产,投资者不需要承担EUV研发失败的风险,咱们享受未来不断复制出货的这部分增长带来的利润),这已经把其他对手更是远远地甩在了后面,未来有且只有ASML能够为厂商们供应EUV光刻机。二个是EUV光刻机的研发费用非常的高,这足以让其他厂商望而却步,研发成功EUV光刻机,需要至少投入200亿美金。三个是台积电、三星和英特尔等芯片制造巨头都和ASML有着十分紧密的合伙关系。四个是ASML和卡尔蔡是亲密的战略同盟,卡尔蔡司在自己所属的领域,是“寻遍天下无敌手”,即便是有另外的厂商要研发EUV光刻机,也几乎没可能绕开卡尔蔡司的光学系统技术,ASML现在拥有蔡司 24.9%的股权。换种说法是,只要ASML始终保持着健康且稳健的运营,不犯下致命的错误,将来恐怕是再无其他厂商能打败ASML。 2. 优秀的商业模式:垄断销售新产品(拥有定价权) 后续维护高额稳定的服务收入 3. 稳健的财务数据: 1. 资产负债率 百分之38 2. 近三年 复合营收增长率百分之20多 3.17年净资产收益率达到百分之20.67. 4. 毛利率近三年稳定在百分之45以上,净利润率达到百分之25以上,每年稳健提升。 4. 2017年营收分布:主营总收入90.53亿欧元(其中设备收入63.74亿欧元,设备售后服务收入26亿欧元),设备销售包括 11台EUV系统,每台1.1亿欧 共11亿欧元,非EUV设备共282台,共52亿欧元。 未来大批量的生产设备都会被EUV替代。同时服务收入也
要月亮不要星星全球垄断三年一倍asml
水云间
2018-06-09
低调低调
$TapImmune Inc(TPIV)$低调低调
低调低调
水云间
2018-05-26
对聚美优品投资逻辑的思考
$聚美优品(JMEI)$$聚美优品(JMEI)$ 聚美优品的情况我谈一下,第一,投资烟蒂股的祖师爷是施洛斯,他是怎么做烟蒂股的,买一堆烟蒂股,用概率取胜,不能重仓,并且有严格的买入卖出标准。没有发这次财报之前,按照烟蒂股的严格买入标准,聚美优品的买入合适点是2美金,发了财报之后,公司基本面改变,估值中枢下移到1.5美金左右,并且聚美优品基本面恶化一个财务指标是经营性现金流开始流出4亿美金,这个基本动摇了烟蒂股的投资逻辑。
对聚美优品投资逻辑的思考
水云间
2018-05-23
wind 的爱奇艺数据
$爱奇艺(IQ)$ ttm pe 47
wind 的爱奇艺数据
水云间
2018-05-18
烂财报博实乐必破12美金
$博实乐教育(BEDU)$博实乐的入学人数在每年9月份就确定了,今年的入学人数很少,财报很差,短期上涨没有量,持有这个股票的投资者抓紧卖出。
烂财报博实乐必破12美金
水云间
2018-04-26
bedu不用割了,如果仓位不重
$博实乐教育(BEDU)$今天跌的越深,明天飞的越高
bedu不用割了,如果仓位不重
水云间
2018-04-02
博实乐估值高增长慢市场期望过高
$博实乐教育(BEDU)$博实乐这个学校并没有异地开发复制的能力,除了广东一家国际学校之外,其他几所国际学校毛利率很低 原因就是招不来学生,原因不仅仅是学校成熟问题,有一所已经开始招生6年了,入学率不到百分之40,博实乐的管理效率低,管理费用相比枫叶教育也比较高,建议10美金以下再考虑。
博实乐估值高增长慢市场期望过高
水云间
2018-03-31
博实乐毛利率很低建议观望
$博实乐教育(BEDU)$博实乐毛利率很低建议观望,底部在12美金左右。
博实乐毛利率很低建议观望
水云间
2018-03-22
fedu的入学人数同比增长只有百分之5
$四季教育(FEDU)$ 教育股的特点是学生人数乘以学费就是收入,现在的营收增长支撑不了现在的估值
fedu的入学人数同比增长只有百分之5
水云间
2018-03-20
好行业但这个公司护城河不强只能按烟蒂股标
$多尼斯(DOGZ)$ 宠物行业好行业,但是这个公司主营收入依赖几个大客户 ,并且产品一般,不能按常规的成长股投,要有更高的安全边际。按格雷厄姆的烟蒂股方法做
好行业但这个公司护城河不强只能按烟蒂股标
水云间
2018-03-20
博实乐四大利空
$博实乐教育(BEDU)$$好未来(TAL)$ $新东方(EDU)$ 博实乐4大利空,1.前期估值透支厉害,营收增速和估值不匹配 2. 上市半年新股解禁期,不少员工都在卖股 3.最近增发股份,稀释股东权益。 4.国家禁止补课受龙头股学而思tal抛压大。内部消息,tal这个季度释放利润可能是增发股份。
博实乐四大利空
水云间
2018-02-23
被交易所勒令退市
$长岛区块链(LBCC)$ 退市了
被交易所勒令退市
水云间
2017-12-22
百度可能戴维斯双击,阿里可能戴维斯双双杀
$百度(BIDU)$ 百度可能戴维斯双击,阿里可能戴维斯双双杀
百度可能戴维斯双击,阿里可能戴维斯双双杀
去老虎APP查看更多动态
{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"userPageInfo":{"id":"2271003572143","uuid":"2271003572143","gmtCreate":1447761747932,"gmtModify":1639113432670,"name":"水云间","pinyin":"syjshuiyunjian","introduction":"","introductionEn":"","signature":"简介","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/18df4874cb5a62e96c49cf72ed315d35","hat":null,"hatId":null,"hatName":null,"vip":1,"status":2,"fanSize":241,"headSize":92,"tweetSize":52,"questionSize":0,"limitLevel":900,"accountStatus":4,"level":{"id":3,"name":"书生虎","nameTw":"書生虎","represent":"努力向上","factor":"发布10条非转发主帖,其中5条获得他人回复或点赞","iconColor":"3C9E83","bgColor":"A2F1D9"},"themeCounts":3,"badgeCounts":0,"badges":[],"moderator":false,"superModerator":false,"manageSymbols":null,"badgeLevel":null,"boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"favoriteSize":4,"symbols":null,"coverImage":null,"realNameVerified":null,"userBadges":[{"badgeId":"228c86a078844d74991fff2b7ab2428d-3","templateUuid":"228c86a078844d74991fff2b7ab2428d","name":"投资合伙人虎","description":"证券账户累计交易金额达到100万美元","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fbeac6bb240db7da8b972e5183d050ba","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/436cdf80292b99f0a992e78750ac4e3a","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/506a259a7b456f037592c3b23c779599","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.25","exceedPercentage":"93.41%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1101},{"badgeId":"976c19eed35f4cd78f17501c2e99ef37-1","templateUuid":"976c19eed35f4cd78f17501c2e99ef37","name":"博闻投资者","description":"累计交易超过10只正股","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e74cc24115c4fbae6154ec1b1041bf47","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d48265cbfd97c57f9048db29f22227b0","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76c6d6898b073c77e1c537ebe9ac1c57","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1102},{"badgeId":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a-1","templateUuid":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a","name":"实盘交易者","description":"完成一笔实盘交易","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e08a1cc2087a1de93402c2c290fa65b","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4504a6397ce1137932d56e5f4ce27166","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b22c79415b4cd6e3d8ebc4a0fa32604","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100},{"badgeId":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969-3","templateUuid":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969","name":"传说交易员","description":"证券或期货账户累计交易次数达到300次","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/656db16598a0b8f21429e10d6c1cb033","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/03f10910d4dd9234f9b5702a3342193a","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0c767e35268feb729d50d3fa9a386c5a","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":"93.51%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100},{"badgeId":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561-4","templateUuid":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561","name":"明星虎友","description":"加入老虎社区2000天","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dddf24b906c7011de2617d4fb3f76987","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/53d58ad32c97254c6f74db8b97e6ec49","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6304700d92ad91c7a33e2e92ec32ecc1","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.20","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1001}],"userBadgeCount":5,"currentWearingBadge":null,"individualDisplayBadges":null,"crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"location":"广东","starInvestorFollowerNum":0,"starInvestorFlag":false,"starInvestorOrderShareNum":0,"subscribeStarInvestorNum":6,"ror":null,"winRationPercentage":null,"showRor":false,"investmentPhilosophy":null,"starInvestorSubscribeFlag":false},"baikeInfo":{},"tab":"post","tweets":[{"id":635470167,"gmtCreate":1647232392103,"gmtModify":1647232392103,"author":{"id":"2271003572143","authorId":"2271003572143","name":"水云间","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/18df4874cb5a62e96c49cf72ed315d35","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"2271003572143","authorIdStr":"2271003572143"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"标题党,高瓴一点都不慌,巴菲特的很多持仓也经历过很多下行周期,不断新高,别拿一时的下跌乱喷","listText":"标题党,高瓴一点都不慌,巴菲特的很多持仓也经历过很多下行周期,不断新高,别拿一时的下跌乱喷","text":"标题党,高瓴一点都不慌,巴菲特的很多持仓也经历过很多下行周期,不断新高,别拿一时的下跌乱喷","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/635470167","repostId":"2219229090","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2776,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":336794,"gmtCreate":1542781824844,"gmtModify":1704781569446,"author":{"id":"2271003572143","authorId":"2271003572143","name":"水云间","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/18df4874cb5a62e96c49cf72ed315d35","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"2271003572143","authorIdStr":"2271003572143"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"$Keysight Technologies Inc(KEYS)$恭喜keysight加入标普500指数","listText":"$Keysight Technologies Inc(KEYS)$恭喜keysight加入标普500指数","text":"$Keysight Technologies Inc(KEYS)$恭喜keysight加入标普500指数","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/336794","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3271,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":290818,"gmtCreate":1538911172585,"gmtModify":1704776359094,"author":{"id":"2271003572143","authorId":"2271003572143","name":"水云间","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/18df4874cb5a62e96c49cf72ed315d35","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"2271003572143","authorIdStr":"2271003572143"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"$辉盛研究系统(FDS)$全球顶级数据提供公司factset,老虎证券这名字要改一下","listText":"$辉盛研究系统(FDS)$全球顶级数据提供公司factset,老虎证券这名字要改一下","text":"$辉盛研究系统(FDS)$全球顶级数据提供公司factset,老虎证券这名字要改一下","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/290818","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":6177,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":268814,"gmtCreate":1537003463659,"gmtModify":1704773677633,"author":{"id":"2271003572143","authorId":"2271003572143","name":"水云间","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/18df4874cb5a62e96c49cf72ed315d35","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"2271003572143","authorIdStr":"2271003572143"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"$罗氏控股(RHHBY)$市值不对吧,罗氏制药不可能是200多亿美金 开玩笑吧","listText":"$罗氏控股(RHHBY)$市值不对吧,罗氏制药不可能是200多亿美金 开玩笑吧","text":"$罗氏控股(RHHBY)$市值不对吧,罗氏制药不可能是200多亿美金 开玩笑吧","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/268814","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5449,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":235022,"gmtCreate":1533304502780,"gmtModify":1704898843883,"author":{"id":"2271003572143","authorId":"2271003572143","name":"水云间","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/18df4874cb5a62e96c49cf72ed315d35","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"2271003572143","authorIdStr":"2271003572143"},"themes":[],"title":"精准医疗基因检测","htmlText":"$Genomic Health(GHDX)$美国精准医疗基因检测公司","listText":"$Genomic Health(GHDX)$美国精准医疗基因检测公司","text":"$Genomic Health(GHDX)$美国精准医疗基因检测公司","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/235022","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4228,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":226132,"gmtCreate":1532505093618,"gmtModify":1704897695964,"author":{"id":"2271003572143","authorId":"2271003572143","name":"水云间","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/18df4874cb5a62e96c49cf72ed315d35","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"2271003572143","authorIdStr":"2271003572143"},"themes":[],"title":"营收增长超预期,eps miss","htmlText":"$博实乐教育(BEDU)$ eps miss 2018 Third Fiscal Quarter Financial Highlights","listText":"$博实乐教育(BEDU)$ eps miss 2018 Third Fiscal Quarter Financial Highlights","text":"$博实乐教育(BEDU)$ eps miss 2018 Third Fiscal Quarter Financial Highlights","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/226132","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4384,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3437778105698414","authorId":"3437778105698414","name":"凌波丶微步","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3754fcbf7c996abd0dee10528e834827","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3437778105698414","authorIdStr":"3437778105698414"},"content":"现在可以买入了么?大佬","text":"现在可以买入了么?大佬","html":"现在可以买入了么?大佬"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":224796,"gmtCreate":1532380498915,"gmtModify":1704897528097,"author":{"id":"2271003572143","authorId":"2271003572143","name":"水云间","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/18df4874cb5a62e96c49cf72ed315d35","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"2271003572143","authorIdStr":"2271003572143"},"themes":[],"title":"双beat","htmlText":"谷歌双beat","listText":"谷歌双beat","text":"谷歌双beat","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/224796","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2661,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":219277,"gmtCreate":1531654285538,"gmtModify":1704896823196,"author":{"id":"2271003572143","authorId":"2271003572143","name":"水云间","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/18df4874cb5a62e96c49cf72ed315d35","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"2271003572143","authorIdStr":"2271003572143"},"themes":[],"title":"要月亮不要星星全球垄断三年一倍asml","htmlText":"$阿斯麦(ASML)$ 先说一下结论:准备小幅度买入ASML,安全边际价格在170美金,和152美金,只买三层。投资收益预期:持有三年正常情况下可以收益百分之50到百分之80、 具体分析过程: 1.ASML强大的护城河:ASML在行业中基本处于绝对垄断的地位。这具体可以分成四点来说。一个是ASML已经掌握EUV光刻机的核心技术(注意:已经量产,投资者不需要承担EUV研发失败的风险,咱们享受未来不断复制出货的这部分增长带来的利润),这已经把其他对手更是远远地甩在了后面,未来有且只有ASML能够为厂商们供应EUV光刻机。二个是EUV光刻机的研发费用非常的高,这足以让其他厂商望而却步,研发成功EUV光刻机,需要至少投入200亿美金。三个是台积电、三星和英特尔等芯片制造巨头都和ASML有着十分紧密的合伙关系。四个是ASML和卡尔蔡是亲密的战略同盟,卡尔蔡司在自己所属的领域,是“寻遍天下无敌手”,即便是有另外的厂商要研发EUV光刻机,也几乎没可能绕开卡尔蔡司的光学系统技术,ASML现在拥有蔡司 24.9%的股权。换种说法是,只要ASML始终保持着健康且稳健的运营,不犯下致命的错误,将来恐怕是再无其他厂商能打败ASML。 2. 优秀的商业模式:垄断销售新产品(拥有定价权) 后续维护高额稳定的服务收入 3. 稳健的财务数据: 1. 资产负债率 百分之38 2. 近三年 复合营收增长率百分之20多 3.17年净资产收益率达到百分之20.67. 4. 毛利率近三年稳定在百分之45以上,净利润率达到百分之25以上,每年稳健提升。 4. 2017年营收分布:主营总收入90.53亿欧元(其中设备收入63.74亿欧元,设备售后服务收入26亿欧元),设备销售包括 11台EUV系统,每台1.1亿欧 共11亿欧元,非EUV设备共282台,共52亿欧元。 未来大批量的生产设备都会被EUV替代。同时服务收入也","listText":"$阿斯麦(ASML)$ 先说一下结论:准备小幅度买入ASML,安全边际价格在170美金,和152美金,只买三层。投资收益预期:持有三年正常情况下可以收益百分之50到百分之80、 具体分析过程: 1.ASML强大的护城河:ASML在行业中基本处于绝对垄断的地位。这具体可以分成四点来说。一个是ASML已经掌握EUV光刻机的核心技术(注意:已经量产,投资者不需要承担EUV研发失败的风险,咱们享受未来不断复制出货的这部分增长带来的利润),这已经把其他对手更是远远地甩在了后面,未来有且只有ASML能够为厂商们供应EUV光刻机。二个是EUV光刻机的研发费用非常的高,这足以让其他厂商望而却步,研发成功EUV光刻机,需要至少投入200亿美金。三个是台积电、三星和英特尔等芯片制造巨头都和ASML有着十分紧密的合伙关系。四个是ASML和卡尔蔡是亲密的战略同盟,卡尔蔡司在自己所属的领域,是“寻遍天下无敌手”,即便是有另外的厂商要研发EUV光刻机,也几乎没可能绕开卡尔蔡司的光学系统技术,ASML现在拥有蔡司 24.9%的股权。换种说法是,只要ASML始终保持着健康且稳健的运营,不犯下致命的错误,将来恐怕是再无其他厂商能打败ASML。 2. 优秀的商业模式:垄断销售新产品(拥有定价权) 后续维护高额稳定的服务收入 3. 稳健的财务数据: 1. 资产负债率 百分之38 2. 近三年 复合营收增长率百分之20多 3.17年净资产收益率达到百分之20.67. 4. 毛利率近三年稳定在百分之45以上,净利润率达到百分之25以上,每年稳健提升。 4. 2017年营收分布:主营总收入90.53亿欧元(其中设备收入63.74亿欧元,设备售后服务收入26亿欧元),设备销售包括 11台EUV系统,每台1.1亿欧 共11亿欧元,非EUV设备共282台,共52亿欧元。 未来大批量的生产设备都会被EUV替代。同时服务收入也","text":"$阿斯麦(ASML)$ 先说一下结论:准备小幅度买入ASML,安全边际价格在170美金,和152美金,只买三层。投资收益预期:持有三年正常情况下可以收益百分之50到百分之80、 具体分析过程: 1.ASML强大的护城河:ASML在行业中基本处于绝对垄断的地位。这具体可以分成四点来说。一个是ASML已经掌握EUV光刻机的核心技术(注意:已经量产,投资者不需要承担EUV研发失败的风险,咱们享受未来不断复制出货的这部分增长带来的利润),这已经把其他对手更是远远地甩在了后面,未来有且只有ASML能够为厂商们供应EUV光刻机。二个是EUV光刻机的研发费用非常的高,这足以让其他厂商望而却步,研发成功EUV光刻机,需要至少投入200亿美金。三个是台积电、三星和英特尔等芯片制造巨头都和ASML有着十分紧密的合伙关系。四个是ASML和卡尔蔡是亲密的战略同盟,卡尔蔡司在自己所属的领域,是“寻遍天下无敌手”,即便是有另外的厂商要研发EUV光刻机,也几乎没可能绕开卡尔蔡司的光学系统技术,ASML现在拥有蔡司 24.9%的股权。换种说法是,只要ASML始终保持着健康且稳健的运营,不犯下致命的错误,将来恐怕是再无其他厂商能打败ASML。 2. 优秀的商业模式:垄断销售新产品(拥有定价权) 后续维护高额稳定的服务收入 3. 稳健的财务数据: 1. 资产负债率 百分之38 2. 近三年 复合营收增长率百分之20多 3.17年净资产收益率达到百分之20.67. 4. 毛利率近三年稳定在百分之45以上,净利润率达到百分之25以上,每年稳健提升。 4. 2017年营收分布:主营总收入90.53亿欧元(其中设备收入63.74亿欧元,设备售后服务收入26亿欧元),设备销售包括 11台EUV系统,每台1.1亿欧 共11亿欧元,非EUV设备共282台,共52亿欧元。 未来大批量的生产设备都会被EUV替代。同时服务收入也","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/219277","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":6348,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479691393028980","authorId":"3479691393028980","name":"大地瓜","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/24da2bc7a0bdbdbdf2042ef25dfb3221","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3479691393028980","authorIdStr":"3479691393028980"},"content":"问题是什么时候能跌到150-170啊...","text":"问题是什么时候能跌到150-170啊...","html":"问题是什么时候能跌到150-170啊..."}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":200692,"gmtCreate":1528511922666,"gmtModify":1704894470141,"author":{"id":"2271003572143","authorId":"2271003572143","name":"水云间","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/18df4874cb5a62e96c49cf72ed315d35","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"2271003572143","authorIdStr":"2271003572143"},"themes":[],"title":"低调低调","htmlText":"$TapImmune Inc(TPIV)$低调低调","listText":"$TapImmune Inc(TPIV)$低调低调","text":"$TapImmune Inc(TPIV)$低调低调","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/200692","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4553,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"20727972514030","authorId":"20727972514030","name":"Tony特别帅","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/61f671464b0bc8103579e8d0e2197c48","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"20727972514030","authorIdStr":"20727972514030"},"content":"活捉第11名!","text":"活捉第11名!","html":"活捉第11名!"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":194781,"gmtCreate":1527264465382,"gmtModify":1704893661354,"author":{"id":"2271003572143","authorId":"2271003572143","name":"水云间","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/18df4874cb5a62e96c49cf72ed315d35","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"2271003572143","authorIdStr":"2271003572143"},"themes":[],"title":"对聚美优品投资逻辑的思考","htmlText":"$聚美优品(JMEI)$$聚美优品(JMEI)$ 聚美优品的情况我谈一下,第一,投资烟蒂股的祖师爷是施洛斯,他是怎么做烟蒂股的,买一堆烟蒂股,用概率取胜,不能重仓,并且有严格的买入卖出标准。没有发这次财报之前,按照烟蒂股的严格买入标准,聚美优品的买入合适点是2美金,发了财报之后,公司基本面改变,估值中枢下移到1.5美金左右,并且聚美优品基本面恶化一个财务指标是经营性现金流开始流出4亿美金,这个基本动摇了烟蒂股的投资逻辑。","listText":"$聚美优品(JMEI)$$聚美优品(JMEI)$ 聚美优品的情况我谈一下,第一,投资烟蒂股的祖师爷是施洛斯,他是怎么做烟蒂股的,买一堆烟蒂股,用概率取胜,不能重仓,并且有严格的买入卖出标准。没有发这次财报之前,按照烟蒂股的严格买入标准,聚美优品的买入合适点是2美金,发了财报之后,公司基本面改变,估值中枢下移到1.5美金左右,并且聚美优品基本面恶化一个财务指标是经营性现金流开始流出4亿美金,这个基本动摇了烟蒂股的投资逻辑。","text":"$聚美优品(JMEI)$$聚美优品(JMEI)$ 聚美优品的情况我谈一下,第一,投资烟蒂股的祖师爷是施洛斯,他是怎么做烟蒂股的,买一堆烟蒂股,用概率取胜,不能重仓,并且有严格的买入卖出标准。没有发这次财报之前,按照烟蒂股的严格买入标准,聚美优品的买入合适点是2美金,发了财报之后,公司基本面改变,估值中枢下移到1.5美金左右,并且聚美优品基本面恶化一个财务指标是经营性现金流开始流出4亿美金,这个基本动摇了烟蒂股的投资逻辑。","images":[{"img":"https://static.laohu8.com/d13d2c16657f808fbb9c9076fcfe8413"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":8,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/194781","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":7179,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274787036362","authorId":"3479274787036362","name":"huuou","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/picture129","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3479274787036362","authorIdStr":"3479274787036362"},"content":"烟蒂股不知道适不适合这个时代","text":"烟蒂股不知道适不适合这个时代","html":"烟蒂股不知道适不适合这个时代"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":193298,"gmtCreate":1527027860906,"gmtModify":1704893458503,"author":{"id":"2271003572143","authorId":"2271003572143","name":"水云间","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/18df4874cb5a62e96c49cf72ed315d35","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"2271003572143","authorIdStr":"2271003572143"},"themes":[],"title":"wind 的爱奇艺数据","htmlText":"$爱奇艺(IQ)$ ttm pe 47","listText":"$爱奇艺(IQ)$ ttm pe 47","text":"$爱奇艺(IQ)$ ttm pe 47","images":[{"img":"https://static.laohu8.com/c7a7dc187d2f5a17c7e66e951de188a9"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/193298","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3636,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":192007,"gmtCreate":1526654402120,"gmtModify":1704893282152,"author":{"id":"2271003572143","authorId":"2271003572143","name":"水云间","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/18df4874cb5a62e96c49cf72ed315d35","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"2271003572143","authorIdStr":"2271003572143"},"themes":[],"title":"烂财报博实乐必破12美金","htmlText":"$博实乐教育(BEDU)$博实乐的入学人数在每年9月份就确定了,今年的入学人数很少,财报很差,短期上涨没有量,持有这个股票的投资者抓紧卖出。","listText":"$博实乐教育(BEDU)$博实乐的入学人数在每年9月份就确定了,今年的入学人数很少,财报很差,短期上涨没有量,持有这个股票的投资者抓紧卖出。","text":"$博实乐教育(BEDU)$博实乐的入学人数在每年9月份就确定了,今年的入学人数很少,财报很差,短期上涨没有量,持有这个股票的投资者抓紧卖出。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/192007","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3196,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3434037709891438","authorId":"3434037709891438","name":"娃儿别哭","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/36496c5ab329cd13812118a3c6411f3f","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3434037709891438","authorIdStr":"3434037709891438"},"content":"别信他,个个都挤破头要进碧桂园学校","text":"别信他,个个都挤破头要进碧桂园学校","html":"别信他,个个都挤破头要进碧桂园学校"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":181750,"gmtCreate":1524753125154,"gmtModify":1704892141921,"author":{"id":"2271003572143","authorId":"2271003572143","name":"水云间","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/18df4874cb5a62e96c49cf72ed315d35","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"2271003572143","authorIdStr":"2271003572143"},"themes":[],"title":"bedu不用割了,如果仓位不重","htmlText":"$博实乐教育(BEDU)$今天跌的越深,明天飞的越高","listText":"$博实乐教育(BEDU)$今天跌的越深,明天飞的越高","text":"$博实乐教育(BEDU)$今天跌的越深,明天飞的越高","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/181750","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2762,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":173924,"gmtCreate":1522649004793,"gmtModify":1704891131723,"author":{"id":"2271003572143","authorId":"2271003572143","name":"水云间","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/18df4874cb5a62e96c49cf72ed315d35","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"2271003572143","authorIdStr":"2271003572143"},"themes":[],"title":"博实乐估值高增长慢市场期望过高","htmlText":"$博实乐教育(BEDU)$博实乐这个学校并没有异地开发复制的能力,除了广东一家国际学校之外,其他几所国际学校毛利率很低 原因就是招不来学生,原因不仅仅是学校成熟问题,有一所已经开始招生6年了,入学率不到百分之40,博实乐的管理效率低,管理费用相比枫叶教育也比较高,建议10美金以下再考虑。","listText":"$博实乐教育(BEDU)$博实乐这个学校并没有异地开发复制的能力,除了广东一家国际学校之外,其他几所国际学校毛利率很低 原因就是招不来学生,原因不仅仅是学校成熟问题,有一所已经开始招生6年了,入学率不到百分之40,博实乐的管理效率低,管理费用相比枫叶教育也比较高,建议10美金以下再考虑。","text":"$博实乐教育(BEDU)$博实乐这个学校并没有异地开发复制的能力,除了广东一家国际学校之外,其他几所国际学校毛利率很低 原因就是招不来学生,原因不仅仅是学校成熟问题,有一所已经开始招生6年了,入学率不到百分之40,博实乐的管理效率低,管理费用相比枫叶教育也比较高,建议10美金以下再考虑。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":8,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/173924","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3838,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3453104108516109","authorId":"3453104108516109","name":"周海","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3453104108516109","authorIdStr":"3453104108516109"},"content":"大侠,真厉害","text":"大侠,真厉害","html":"大侠,真厉害"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":173774,"gmtCreate":1522465551373,"gmtModify":1704891112451,"author":{"id":"2271003572143","authorId":"2271003572143","name":"水云间","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/18df4874cb5a62e96c49cf72ed315d35","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"2271003572143","authorIdStr":"2271003572143"},"themes":[],"title":"博实乐毛利率很低建议观望","htmlText":"$博实乐教育(BEDU)$博实乐毛利率很低建议观望,底部在12美金左右。","listText":"$博实乐教育(BEDU)$博实乐毛利率很低建议观望,底部在12美金左右。","text":"$博实乐教育(BEDU)$博实乐毛利率很低建议观望,底部在12美金左右。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/173774","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2042,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":170033,"gmtCreate":1521719941339,"gmtModify":1704890656126,"author":{"id":"2271003572143","authorId":"2271003572143","name":"水云间","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/18df4874cb5a62e96c49cf72ed315d35","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"2271003572143","authorIdStr":"2271003572143"},"themes":[],"title":"fedu的入学人数同比增长只有百分之5","htmlText":"$四季教育(FEDU)$ 教育股的特点是学生人数乘以学费就是收入,现在的营收增长支撑不了现在的估值","listText":"$四季教育(FEDU)$ 教育股的特点是学生人数乘以学费就是收入,现在的营收增长支撑不了现在的估值","text":"$四季教育(FEDU)$ 教育股的特点是学生人数乘以学费就是收入,现在的营收增长支撑不了现在的估值","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":9,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/170033","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4108,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"80690914587468","authorId":"80690914587468","name":"老陆点五","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c71f2c80b9f5ac336b495eda7cb89b3a","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"80690914587468","authorIdStr":"80690914587468"},"content":"不要忘记人均学费年年在涨这个事实,我是上海人,对四季教育这家机构看得比较多,女儿在里面学了几年,这家机构真的赚钱。之所以上市以来表现不佳,是因为海外市场对其知之甚少,目前股价我认为低估了。所以我打算伺机加仓,长期持有,当然,想赚快钱的当我没说过。","text":"不要忘记人均学费年年在涨这个事实,我是上海人,对四季教育这家机构看得比较多,女儿在里面学了几年,这家机构真的赚钱。之所以上市以来表现不佳,是因为海外市场对其知之甚少,目前股价我认为低估了。所以我打算伺机加仓,长期持有,当然,想赚快钱的当我没说过。","html":"不要忘记人均学费年年在涨这个事实,我是上海人,对四季教育这家机构看得比较多,女儿在里面学了几年,这家机构真的赚钱。之所以上市以来表现不佳,是因为海外市场对其知之甚少,目前股价我认为低估了。所以我打算伺机加仓,长期持有,当然,想赚快钱的当我没说过。"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":169152,"gmtCreate":1521553497469,"gmtModify":1704890546291,"author":{"id":"2271003572143","authorId":"2271003572143","name":"水云间","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/18df4874cb5a62e96c49cf72ed315d35","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"2271003572143","authorIdStr":"2271003572143"},"themes":[],"title":"好行业但这个公司护城河不强只能按烟蒂股标","htmlText":"$多尼斯(DOGZ)$ 宠物行业好行业,但是这个公司主营收入依赖几个大客户 ,并且产品一般,不能按常规的成长股投,要有更高的安全边际。按格雷厄姆的烟蒂股方法做","listText":"$多尼斯(DOGZ)$ 宠物行业好行业,但是这个公司主营收入依赖几个大客户 ,并且产品一般,不能按常规的成长股投,要有更高的安全边际。按格雷厄姆的烟蒂股方法做","text":"$多尼斯(DOGZ)$ 宠物行业好行业,但是这个公司主营收入依赖几个大客户 ,并且产品一般,不能按常规的成长股投,要有更高的安全边际。按格雷厄姆的烟蒂股方法做","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/169152","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2718,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3484649336230544","authorId":"3484649336230544","name":"凤凰汽车 代号PEV","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/daf149f7608bc7bb679dc0b3518062ee","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3484649336230544","authorIdStr":"3484649336230544"},"content":"多尼斯三个月的解禁期已到,成本价极低的大股东们可以卖了。你知道大股东的成本价是多少吗?","text":"多尼斯三个月的解禁期已到,成本价极低的大股东们可以卖了。你知道大股东的成本价是多少吗?","html":"多尼斯三个月的解禁期已到,成本价极低的大股东们可以卖了。你知道大股东的成本价是多少吗?"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":169109,"gmtCreate":1521548733912,"gmtModify":1704890541831,"author":{"id":"2271003572143","authorId":"2271003572143","name":"水云间","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/18df4874cb5a62e96c49cf72ed315d35","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"2271003572143","authorIdStr":"2271003572143"},"themes":[],"title":"博实乐四大利空","htmlText":"$博实乐教育(BEDU)$$好未来(TAL)$ $新东方(EDU)$ 博实乐4大利空,1.前期估值透支厉害,营收增速和估值不匹配 2. 上市半年新股解禁期,不少员工都在卖股 3.最近增发股份,稀释股东权益。 4.国家禁止补课受龙头股学而思tal抛压大。内部消息,tal这个季度释放利润可能是增发股份。","listText":"$博实乐教育(BEDU)$$好未来(TAL)$ $新东方(EDU)$ 博实乐4大利空,1.前期估值透支厉害,营收增速和估值不匹配 2. 上市半年新股解禁期,不少员工都在卖股 3.最近增发股份,稀释股东权益。 4.国家禁止补课受龙头股学而思tal抛压大。内部消息,tal这个季度释放利润可能是增发股份。","text":"$博实乐教育(BEDU)$$好未来(TAL)$ $新东方(EDU)$ 博实乐4大利空,1.前期估值透支厉害,营收增速和估值不匹配 2. 上市半年新股解禁期,不少员工都在卖股 3.最近增发股份,稀释股东权益。 4.国家禁止补课受龙头股学而思tal抛压大。内部消息,tal这个季度释放利润可能是增发股份。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/169109","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":6618,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274779405626","authorId":"3479274779405626","name":"TODAMOON","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/picture112","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3479274779405626","authorIdStr":"3479274779405626"},"content":"$陌陌(MOMO)$后期怎么做?","text":"$陌陌(MOMO)$后期怎么做?","html":"$陌陌(MOMO)$后期怎么做?"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":161468,"gmtCreate":1519378997984,"gmtModify":1704889561174,"author":{"id":"2271003572143","authorId":"2271003572143","name":"水云间","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/18df4874cb5a62e96c49cf72ed315d35","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"2271003572143","authorIdStr":"2271003572143"},"themes":[],"title":"被交易所勒令退市","htmlText":"$长岛区块链(LBCC)$ 退市了","listText":"$长岛区块链(LBCC)$ 退市了","text":"$长岛区块链(LBCC)$ 退市了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/161468","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3227,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":136256,"gmtCreate":1513899645640,"gmtModify":1704886368420,"author":{"id":"2271003572143","authorId":"2271003572143","name":"水云间","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/18df4874cb5a62e96c49cf72ed315d35","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"2271003572143","authorIdStr":"2271003572143"},"themes":[],"title":"百度可能戴维斯双击,阿里可能戴维斯双双杀","htmlText":"$百度(BIDU)$ 百度可能戴维斯双击,阿里可能戴维斯双双杀","listText":"$百度(BIDU)$ 百度可能戴维斯双击,阿里可能戴维斯双双杀","text":"$百度(BIDU)$ 百度可能戴维斯双击,阿里可能戴维斯双双杀","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/136256","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2982,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3471179539841502","authorId":"3471179539841502","name":"高大叔","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3471179539841502","authorIdStr":"3471179539841502"},"content":"双击什么意思?双杀是买多买空都亏的意思吧","text":"双击什么意思?双杀是买多买空都亏的意思吧","html":"双击什么意思?双杀是买多买空都亏的意思吧"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":194781,"gmtCreate":1527264465382,"gmtModify":1704893661354,"author":{"id":"2271003572143","authorId":"2271003572143","name":"水云间","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/18df4874cb5a62e96c49cf72ed315d35","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"2271003572143","authorIdStr":"2271003572143"},"themes":[],"title":"对聚美优品投资逻辑的思考","htmlText":"$聚美优品(JMEI)$$聚美优品(JMEI)$ 聚美优品的情况我谈一下,第一,投资烟蒂股的祖师爷是施洛斯,他是怎么做烟蒂股的,买一堆烟蒂股,用概率取胜,不能重仓,并且有严格的买入卖出标准。没有发这次财报之前,按照烟蒂股的严格买入标准,聚美优品的买入合适点是2美金,发了财报之后,公司基本面改变,估值中枢下移到1.5美金左右,并且聚美优品基本面恶化一个财务指标是经营性现金流开始流出4亿美金,这个基本动摇了烟蒂股的投资逻辑。","listText":"$聚美优品(JMEI)$$聚美优品(JMEI)$ 聚美优品的情况我谈一下,第一,投资烟蒂股的祖师爷是施洛斯,他是怎么做烟蒂股的,买一堆烟蒂股,用概率取胜,不能重仓,并且有严格的买入卖出标准。没有发这次财报之前,按照烟蒂股的严格买入标准,聚美优品的买入合适点是2美金,发了财报之后,公司基本面改变,估值中枢下移到1.5美金左右,并且聚美优品基本面恶化一个财务指标是经营性现金流开始流出4亿美金,这个基本动摇了烟蒂股的投资逻辑。","text":"$聚美优品(JMEI)$$聚美优品(JMEI)$ 聚美优品的情况我谈一下,第一,投资烟蒂股的祖师爷是施洛斯,他是怎么做烟蒂股的,买一堆烟蒂股,用概率取胜,不能重仓,并且有严格的买入卖出标准。没有发这次财报之前,按照烟蒂股的严格买入标准,聚美优品的买入合适点是2美金,发了财报之后,公司基本面改变,估值中枢下移到1.5美金左右,并且聚美优品基本面恶化一个财务指标是经营性现金流开始流出4亿美金,这个基本动摇了烟蒂股的投资逻辑。","images":[{"img":"https://static.laohu8.com/d13d2c16657f808fbb9c9076fcfe8413"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":8,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/194781","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":7179,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274787036362","authorId":"3479274787036362","name":"huuou","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/picture129","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3479274787036362","authorIdStr":"3479274787036362"},"content":"烟蒂股不知道适不适合这个时代","text":"烟蒂股不知道适不适合这个时代","html":"烟蒂股不知道适不适合这个时代"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":133059,"gmtCreate":1513525676991,"gmtModify":1704885968164,"author":{"id":"2271003572143","authorId":"2271003572143","name":"水云间","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/18df4874cb5a62e96c49cf72ed315d35","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"2271003572143","authorIdStr":"2271003572143"},"themes":[],"title":"新能源时代最值得配置的etf","htmlText":"$Global X Lithium ETF(LIT)$ 电动车发展路径不确定,但是锂金属的长期需求会越来越大,,这个etf里面有主要是全球四大锂矿,加全球主要的新能源电池最主要供应商松下和LG化学,还有特斯拉,和比亚迪,管理费用不高,每年百分之0.76左右,今年应该是新能源开始的元年,短期也看不到锂金属被取代的可能。","listText":"$Global X Lithium ETF(LIT)$ 电动车发展路径不确定,但是锂金属的长期需求会越来越大,,这个etf里面有主要是全球四大锂矿,加全球主要的新能源电池最主要供应商松下和LG化学,还有特斯拉,和比亚迪,管理费用不高,每年百分之0.76左右,今年应该是新能源开始的元年,短期也看不到锂金属被取代的可能。","text":"$Global X Lithium ETF(LIT)$ 电动车发展路径不确定,但是锂金属的长期需求会越来越大,,这个etf里面有主要是全球四大锂矿,加全球主要的新能源电池最主要供应商松下和LG化学,还有特斯拉,和比亚迪,管理费用不高,每年百分之0.76左右,今年应该是新能源开始的元年,短期也看不到锂金属被取代的可能。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/133059","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":12031,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":219277,"gmtCreate":1531654285538,"gmtModify":1704896823196,"author":{"id":"2271003572143","authorId":"2271003572143","name":"水云间","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/18df4874cb5a62e96c49cf72ed315d35","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"2271003572143","authorIdStr":"2271003572143"},"themes":[],"title":"要月亮不要星星全球垄断三年一倍asml","htmlText":"$阿斯麦(ASML)$ 先说一下结论:准备小幅度买入ASML,安全边际价格在170美金,和152美金,只买三层。投资收益预期:持有三年正常情况下可以收益百分之50到百分之80、 具体分析过程: 1.ASML强大的护城河:ASML在行业中基本处于绝对垄断的地位。这具体可以分成四点来说。一个是ASML已经掌握EUV光刻机的核心技术(注意:已经量产,投资者不需要承担EUV研发失败的风险,咱们享受未来不断复制出货的这部分增长带来的利润),这已经把其他对手更是远远地甩在了后面,未来有且只有ASML能够为厂商们供应EUV光刻机。二个是EUV光刻机的研发费用非常的高,这足以让其他厂商望而却步,研发成功EUV光刻机,需要至少投入200亿美金。三个是台积电、三星和英特尔等芯片制造巨头都和ASML有着十分紧密的合伙关系。四个是ASML和卡尔蔡是亲密的战略同盟,卡尔蔡司在自己所属的领域,是“寻遍天下无敌手”,即便是有另外的厂商要研发EUV光刻机,也几乎没可能绕开卡尔蔡司的光学系统技术,ASML现在拥有蔡司 24.9%的股权。换种说法是,只要ASML始终保持着健康且稳健的运营,不犯下致命的错误,将来恐怕是再无其他厂商能打败ASML。 2. 优秀的商业模式:垄断销售新产品(拥有定价权) 后续维护高额稳定的服务收入 3. 稳健的财务数据: 1. 资产负债率 百分之38 2. 近三年 复合营收增长率百分之20多 3.17年净资产收益率达到百分之20.67. 4. 毛利率近三年稳定在百分之45以上,净利润率达到百分之25以上,每年稳健提升。 4. 2017年营收分布:主营总收入90.53亿欧元(其中设备收入63.74亿欧元,设备售后服务收入26亿欧元),设备销售包括 11台EUV系统,每台1.1亿欧 共11亿欧元,非EUV设备共282台,共52亿欧元。 未来大批量的生产设备都会被EUV替代。同时服务收入也","listText":"$阿斯麦(ASML)$ 先说一下结论:准备小幅度买入ASML,安全边际价格在170美金,和152美金,只买三层。投资收益预期:持有三年正常情况下可以收益百分之50到百分之80、 具体分析过程: 1.ASML强大的护城河:ASML在行业中基本处于绝对垄断的地位。这具体可以分成四点来说。一个是ASML已经掌握EUV光刻机的核心技术(注意:已经量产,投资者不需要承担EUV研发失败的风险,咱们享受未来不断复制出货的这部分增长带来的利润),这已经把其他对手更是远远地甩在了后面,未来有且只有ASML能够为厂商们供应EUV光刻机。二个是EUV光刻机的研发费用非常的高,这足以让其他厂商望而却步,研发成功EUV光刻机,需要至少投入200亿美金。三个是台积电、三星和英特尔等芯片制造巨头都和ASML有着十分紧密的合伙关系。四个是ASML和卡尔蔡是亲密的战略同盟,卡尔蔡司在自己所属的领域,是“寻遍天下无敌手”,即便是有另外的厂商要研发EUV光刻机,也几乎没可能绕开卡尔蔡司的光学系统技术,ASML现在拥有蔡司 24.9%的股权。换种说法是,只要ASML始终保持着健康且稳健的运营,不犯下致命的错误,将来恐怕是再无其他厂商能打败ASML。 2. 优秀的商业模式:垄断销售新产品(拥有定价权) 后续维护高额稳定的服务收入 3. 稳健的财务数据: 1. 资产负债率 百分之38 2. 近三年 复合营收增长率百分之20多 3.17年净资产收益率达到百分之20.67. 4. 毛利率近三年稳定在百分之45以上,净利润率达到百分之25以上,每年稳健提升。 4. 2017年营收分布:主营总收入90.53亿欧元(其中设备收入63.74亿欧元,设备售后服务收入26亿欧元),设备销售包括 11台EUV系统,每台1.1亿欧 共11亿欧元,非EUV设备共282台,共52亿欧元。 未来大批量的生产设备都会被EUV替代。同时服务收入也","text":"$阿斯麦(ASML)$ 先说一下结论:准备小幅度买入ASML,安全边际价格在170美金,和152美金,只买三层。投资收益预期:持有三年正常情况下可以收益百分之50到百分之80、 具体分析过程: 1.ASML强大的护城河:ASML在行业中基本处于绝对垄断的地位。这具体可以分成四点来说。一个是ASML已经掌握EUV光刻机的核心技术(注意:已经量产,投资者不需要承担EUV研发失败的风险,咱们享受未来不断复制出货的这部分增长带来的利润),这已经把其他对手更是远远地甩在了后面,未来有且只有ASML能够为厂商们供应EUV光刻机。二个是EUV光刻机的研发费用非常的高,这足以让其他厂商望而却步,研发成功EUV光刻机,需要至少投入200亿美金。三个是台积电、三星和英特尔等芯片制造巨头都和ASML有着十分紧密的合伙关系。四个是ASML和卡尔蔡是亲密的战略同盟,卡尔蔡司在自己所属的领域,是“寻遍天下无敌手”,即便是有另外的厂商要研发EUV光刻机,也几乎没可能绕开卡尔蔡司的光学系统技术,ASML现在拥有蔡司 24.9%的股权。换种说法是,只要ASML始终保持着健康且稳健的运营,不犯下致命的错误,将来恐怕是再无其他厂商能打败ASML。 2. 优秀的商业模式:垄断销售新产品(拥有定价权) 后续维护高额稳定的服务收入 3. 稳健的财务数据: 1. 资产负债率 百分之38 2. 近三年 复合营收增长率百分之20多 3.17年净资产收益率达到百分之20.67. 4. 毛利率近三年稳定在百分之45以上,净利润率达到百分之25以上,每年稳健提升。 4. 2017年营收分布:主营总收入90.53亿欧元(其中设备收入63.74亿欧元,设备售后服务收入26亿欧元),设备销售包括 11台EUV系统,每台1.1亿欧 共11亿欧元,非EUV设备共282台,共52亿欧元。 未来大批量的生产设备都会被EUV替代。同时服务收入也","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/219277","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":6348,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479691393028980","authorId":"3479691393028980","name":"大地瓜","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/24da2bc7a0bdbdbdf2042ef25dfb3221","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3479691393028980","authorIdStr":"3479691393028980"},"content":"问题是什么时候能跌到150-170啊...","text":"问题是什么时候能跌到150-170啊...","html":"问题是什么时候能跌到150-170啊..."}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":107760,"gmtCreate":1509356523662,"gmtModify":1704882848750,"author":{"id":"2271003572143","authorId":"2271003572143","name":"水云间","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/18df4874cb5a62e96c49cf72ed315d35","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"2271003572143","authorIdStr":"2271003572143"},"themes":[],"title":"百度不算ai的合理1000亿美金","htmlText":"$百度(BIDU)$ 百度主营业务搜索和信息流一年40亿美金收入,按20pe算是800亿市值,爱奇艺100亿美金市值,携程+去哪儿是60亿美金市值,糯米是40亿美金市值,","listText":"$百度(BIDU)$ 百度主营业务搜索和信息流一年40亿美金收入,按20pe算是800亿市值,爱奇艺100亿美金市值,携程+去哪儿是60亿美金市值,糯米是40亿美金市值,","text":"$百度(BIDU)$ 百度主营业务搜索和信息流一年40亿美金收入,按20pe算是800亿市值,爱奇艺100亿美金市值,携程+去哪儿是60亿美金市值,糯米是40亿美金市值,","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":13,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/107760","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1775,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3464659690747715","authorId":"3464659690747715","name":"zzzzzq","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3464659690747715","authorIdStr":"3464659690747715"},"content":"20pe这季财报没去掉出售外卖额外收益吧,去掉的话只有500亿左右","text":"20pe这季财报没去掉出售外卖额外收益吧,去掉的话只有500亿左右","html":"20pe这季财报没去掉出售外卖额外收益吧,去掉的话只有500亿左右"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":170033,"gmtCreate":1521719941339,"gmtModify":1704890656126,"author":{"id":"2271003572143","authorId":"2271003572143","name":"水云间","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/18df4874cb5a62e96c49cf72ed315d35","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"2271003572143","authorIdStr":"2271003572143"},"themes":[],"title":"fedu的入学人数同比增长只有百分之5","htmlText":"$四季教育(FEDU)$ 教育股的特点是学生人数乘以学费就是收入,现在的营收增长支撑不了现在的估值","listText":"$四季教育(FEDU)$ 教育股的特点是学生人数乘以学费就是收入,现在的营收增长支撑不了现在的估值","text":"$四季教育(FEDU)$ 教育股的特点是学生人数乘以学费就是收入,现在的营收增长支撑不了现在的估值","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":9,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/170033","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4108,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"80690914587468","authorId":"80690914587468","name":"老陆点五","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c71f2c80b9f5ac336b495eda7cb89b3a","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"80690914587468","authorIdStr":"80690914587468"},"content":"不要忘记人均学费年年在涨这个事实,我是上海人,对四季教育这家机构看得比较多,女儿在里面学了几年,这家机构真的赚钱。之所以上市以来表现不佳,是因为海外市场对其知之甚少,目前股价我认为低估了。所以我打算伺机加仓,长期持有,当然,想赚快钱的当我没说过。","text":"不要忘记人均学费年年在涨这个事实,我是上海人,对四季教育这家机构看得比较多,女儿在里面学了几年,这家机构真的赚钱。之所以上市以来表现不佳,是因为海外市场对其知之甚少,目前股价我认为低估了。所以我打算伺机加仓,长期持有,当然,想赚快钱的当我没说过。","html":"不要忘记人均学费年年在涨这个事实,我是上海人,对四季教育这家机构看得比较多,女儿在里面学了几年,这家机构真的赚钱。之所以上市以来表现不佳,是因为海外市场对其知之甚少,目前股价我认为低估了。所以我打算伺机加仓,长期持有,当然,想赚快钱的当我没说过。"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":173924,"gmtCreate":1522649004793,"gmtModify":1704891131723,"author":{"id":"2271003572143","authorId":"2271003572143","name":"水云间","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/18df4874cb5a62e96c49cf72ed315d35","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"2271003572143","authorIdStr":"2271003572143"},"themes":[],"title":"博实乐估值高增长慢市场期望过高","htmlText":"$博实乐教育(BEDU)$博实乐这个学校并没有异地开发复制的能力,除了广东一家国际学校之外,其他几所国际学校毛利率很低 原因就是招不来学生,原因不仅仅是学校成熟问题,有一所已经开始招生6年了,入学率不到百分之40,博实乐的管理效率低,管理费用相比枫叶教育也比较高,建议10美金以下再考虑。","listText":"$博实乐教育(BEDU)$博实乐这个学校并没有异地开发复制的能力,除了广东一家国际学校之外,其他几所国际学校毛利率很低 原因就是招不来学生,原因不仅仅是学校成熟问题,有一所已经开始招生6年了,入学率不到百分之40,博实乐的管理效率低,管理费用相比枫叶教育也比较高,建议10美金以下再考虑。","text":"$博实乐教育(BEDU)$博实乐这个学校并没有异地开发复制的能力,除了广东一家国际学校之外,其他几所国际学校毛利率很低 原因就是招不来学生,原因不仅仅是学校成熟问题,有一所已经开始招生6年了,入学率不到百分之40,博实乐的管理效率低,管理费用相比枫叶教育也比较高,建议10美金以下再考虑。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":8,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/173924","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3838,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3453104108516109","authorId":"3453104108516109","name":"周海","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3453104108516109","authorIdStr":"3453104108516109"},"content":"大侠,真厉害","text":"大侠,真厉害","html":"大侠,真厉害"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":78874,"gmtCreate":1501257372701,"gmtModify":1704879368941,"author":{"id":"2271003572143","authorId":"2271003572143","name":"水云间","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/18df4874cb5a62e96c49cf72ed315d35","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"2271003572143","authorIdStr":"2271003572143"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"$AVEO制药公司(AVEO)$ 31号这个股fda要出一个评审,注意风险","listText":"$AVEO制药公司(AVEO)$ 31号这个股fda要出一个评审,注意风险","text":"$AVEO制药公司(AVEO)$ 31号这个股fda要出一个评审,注意风险","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":8,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/78874","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":517,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":77616,"gmtCreate":1501077775536,"gmtModify":1704879213145,"author":{"id":"2271003572143","authorId":"2271003572143","name":"水云间","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/18df4874cb5a62e96c49cf72ed315d35","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"2271003572143","authorIdStr":"2271003572143"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"$安捷伦科技(A)$ 安捷伦这个公司是非常好的,测试测量细分领域全球龙头,剥离电子测量以后能保持多年缓慢增长。","listText":"$安捷伦科技(A)$ 安捷伦这个公司是非常好的,测试测量细分领域全球龙头,剥离电子测量以后能保持多年缓慢增长。","text":"$安捷伦科技(A)$ 安捷伦这个公司是非常好的,测试测量细分领域全球龙头,剥离电子测量以后能保持多年缓慢增长。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":8,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/77616","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":978,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"65878377846918","authorId":"65878377846918","name":"独股九贱","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"65878377846918","authorIdStr":"65878377846918"},"content":"为了不辜负群主对此票的专心 研究,我搞了它12手call以资鼓励!","text":"为了不辜负群主对此票的专心 研究,我搞了它12手call以资鼓励!","html":"为了不辜负群主对此票的专心 研究,我搞了它12手call以资鼓励!"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":112725,"gmtCreate":1510234539777,"gmtModify":1704883446689,"author":{"id":"2271003572143","authorId":"2271003572143","name":"水云间","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/18df4874cb5a62e96c49cf72ed315d35","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"2271003572143","authorIdStr":"2271003572143"},"themes":[],"title":"这一次争取回到15美金","htmlText":"$博实乐教育(BEDU)$ 财报很差","listText":"$博实乐教育(BEDU)$ 财报很差","text":"$博实乐教育(BEDU)$ 财报很差","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":7,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/112725","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1589,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"2271003572143","authorId":"2271003572143","name":"水云间","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/18df4874cb5a62e96c49cf72ed315d35","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"2271003572143","authorIdStr":"2271003572143"},"content":"主要他的流通盘小,学生才增长百分之不到20,国际k12最重要的一个指标就是学生入学人同比增长速率,市场预期是百分之50以上","text":"主要他的流通盘小,学生才增长百分之不到20,国际k12最重要的一个指标就是学生入学人同比增长速率,市场预期是百分之50以上","html":"主要他的流通盘小,学生才增长百分之不到20,国际k12最重要的一个指标就是学生入学人同比增长速率,市场预期是百分之50以上"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":169109,"gmtCreate":1521548733912,"gmtModify":1704890541831,"author":{"id":"2271003572143","authorId":"2271003572143","name":"水云间","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/18df4874cb5a62e96c49cf72ed315d35","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"2271003572143","authorIdStr":"2271003572143"},"themes":[],"title":"博实乐四大利空","htmlText":"$博实乐教育(BEDU)$$好未来(TAL)$ $新东方(EDU)$ 博实乐4大利空,1.前期估值透支厉害,营收增速和估值不匹配 2. 上市半年新股解禁期,不少员工都在卖股 3.最近增发股份,稀释股东权益。 4.国家禁止补课受龙头股学而思tal抛压大。内部消息,tal这个季度释放利润可能是增发股份。","listText":"$博实乐教育(BEDU)$$好未来(TAL)$ $新东方(EDU)$ 博实乐4大利空,1.前期估值透支厉害,营收增速和估值不匹配 2. 上市半年新股解禁期,不少员工都在卖股 3.最近增发股份,稀释股东权益。 4.国家禁止补课受龙头股学而思tal抛压大。内部消息,tal这个季度释放利润可能是增发股份。","text":"$博实乐教育(BEDU)$$好未来(TAL)$ $新东方(EDU)$ 博实乐4大利空,1.前期估值透支厉害,营收增速和估值不匹配 2. 上市半年新股解禁期,不少员工都在卖股 3.最近增发股份,稀释股东权益。 4.国家禁止补课受龙头股学而思tal抛压大。内部消息,tal这个季度释放利润可能是增发股份。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/169109","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":6618,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274779405626","authorId":"3479274779405626","name":"TODAMOON","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/picture112","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3479274779405626","authorIdStr":"3479274779405626"},"content":"$陌陌(MOMO)$后期怎么做?","text":"$陌陌(MOMO)$后期怎么做?","html":"$陌陌(MOMO)$后期怎么做?"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":88318,"gmtCreate":1503487652902,"gmtModify":1704880517987,"author":{"id":"2271003572143","authorId":"2271003572143","name":"水云间","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/18df4874cb5a62e96c49cf72ed315d35","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"2271003572143","authorIdStr":"2271003572143"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"$陌陌(MOMO)$ 陌陌大跌是机会,2017年财年按现在这个市值会21pe,2018年15pe,目标价52美金。","listText":"$陌陌(MOMO)$ 陌陌大跌是机会,2017年财年按现在这个市值会21pe,2018年15pe,目标价52美金。","text":"$陌陌(MOMO)$ 陌陌大跌是机会,2017年财年按现在这个市值会21pe,2018年15pe,目标价52美金。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/88318","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":357,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":101061,"gmtCreate":1507557004540,"gmtModify":1704882012494,"author":{"id":"2271003572143","authorId":"2271003572143","name":"水云间","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/18df4874cb5a62e96c49cf72ed315d35","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"2271003572143","authorIdStr":"2271003572143"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"$红黄蓝(RYB)$ 熊市的时候这个公司不会超过10元。","listText":"$红黄蓝(RYB)$ 熊市的时候这个公司不会超过10元。","text":"$红黄蓝(RYB)$ 熊市的时候这个公司不会超过10元。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/101061","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":948,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3464047538937370","authorId":"3464047538937370","name":"azeyo","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3464047538937370","authorIdStr":"3464047538937370"},"content":"幼儿园是刚需,公办园要找关系才能进也要排队,这种2公里内没别的幼儿园,你都不得不让孩子进,受经济周期影响小","text":"幼儿园是刚需,公办园要找关系才能进也要排队,这种2公里内没别的幼儿园,你都不得不让孩子进,受经济周期影响小","html":"幼儿园是刚需,公办园要找关系才能进也要排队,这种2公里内没别的幼儿园,你都不得不让孩子进,受经济周期影响小"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":200692,"gmtCreate":1528511922666,"gmtModify":1704894470141,"author":{"id":"2271003572143","authorId":"2271003572143","name":"水云间","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/18df4874cb5a62e96c49cf72ed315d35","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"2271003572143","authorIdStr":"2271003572143"},"themes":[],"title":"低调低调","htmlText":"$TapImmune Inc(TPIV)$低调低调","listText":"$TapImmune Inc(TPIV)$低调低调","text":"$TapImmune Inc(TPIV)$低调低调","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/200692","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4553,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"20727972514030","authorId":"20727972514030","name":"Tony特别帅","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/61f671464b0bc8103579e8d0e2197c48","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"20727972514030","authorIdStr":"20727972514030"},"content":"活捉第11名!","text":"活捉第11名!","html":"活捉第11名!"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":104832,"gmtCreate":1508749494809,"gmtModify":1704882495582,"author":{"id":"2271003572143","authorId":"2271003572143","name":"水云间","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/18df4874cb5a62e96c49cf72ed315d35","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"2271003572143","authorIdStr":"2271003572143"},"themes":[],"title":"捡烟蒂","htmlText":"$乐居(LEJU)$ 乐居希望跌到1亿美金我进来捡,","listText":"$乐居(LEJU)$ 乐居希望跌到1亿美金我进来捡,","text":"$乐居(LEJU)$ 乐居希望跌到1亿美金我进来捡,","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/104832","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1098,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"308375317140033","authorId":"308375317140033","name":"汤圆儿","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/2fcd118bf1015038821e9ce1dad51522","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"308375317140033","authorIdStr":"308375317140033"},"content":"乐居在的兄弟姐妹们吱个声","text":"乐居在的兄弟姐妹们吱个声","html":"乐居在的兄弟姐妹们吱个声"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":192007,"gmtCreate":1526654402120,"gmtModify":1704893282152,"author":{"id":"2271003572143","authorId":"2271003572143","name":"水云间","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/18df4874cb5a62e96c49cf72ed315d35","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"2271003572143","authorIdStr":"2271003572143"},"themes":[],"title":"烂财报博实乐必破12美金","htmlText":"$博实乐教育(BEDU)$博实乐的入学人数在每年9月份就确定了,今年的入学人数很少,财报很差,短期上涨没有量,持有这个股票的投资者抓紧卖出。","listText":"$博实乐教育(BEDU)$博实乐的入学人数在每年9月份就确定了,今年的入学人数很少,财报很差,短期上涨没有量,持有这个股票的投资者抓紧卖出。","text":"$博实乐教育(BEDU)$博实乐的入学人数在每年9月份就确定了,今年的入学人数很少,财报很差,短期上涨没有量,持有这个股票的投资者抓紧卖出。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/192007","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3196,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3434037709891438","authorId":"3434037709891438","name":"娃儿别哭","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/36496c5ab329cd13812118a3c6411f3f","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3434037709891438","authorIdStr":"3434037709891438"},"content":"别信他,个个都挤破头要进碧桂园学校","text":"别信他,个个都挤破头要进碧桂园学校","html":"别信他,个个都挤破头要进碧桂园学校"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":136256,"gmtCreate":1513899645640,"gmtModify":1704886368420,"author":{"id":"2271003572143","authorId":"2271003572143","name":"水云间","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/18df4874cb5a62e96c49cf72ed315d35","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"2271003572143","authorIdStr":"2271003572143"},"themes":[],"title":"百度可能戴维斯双击,阿里可能戴维斯双双杀","htmlText":"$百度(BIDU)$ 百度可能戴维斯双击,阿里可能戴维斯双双杀","listText":"$百度(BIDU)$ 百度可能戴维斯双击,阿里可能戴维斯双双杀","text":"$百度(BIDU)$ 百度可能戴维斯双击,阿里可能戴维斯双双杀","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/136256","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2982,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3471179539841502","authorId":"3471179539841502","name":"高大叔","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3471179539841502","authorIdStr":"3471179539841502"},"content":"双击什么意思?双杀是买多买空都亏的意思吧","text":"双击什么意思?双杀是买多买空都亏的意思吧","html":"双击什么意思?双杀是买多买空都亏的意思吧"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":635470167,"gmtCreate":1647232392103,"gmtModify":1647232392103,"author":{"id":"2271003572143","authorId":"2271003572143","name":"水云间","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/18df4874cb5a62e96c49cf72ed315d35","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"2271003572143","authorIdStr":"2271003572143"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"标题党,高瓴一点都不慌,巴菲特的很多持仓也经历过很多下行周期,不断新高,别拿一时的下跌乱喷","listText":"标题党,高瓴一点都不慌,巴菲特的很多持仓也经历过很多下行周期,不断新高,别拿一时的下跌乱喷","text":"标题党,高瓴一点都不慌,巴菲特的很多持仓也经历过很多下行周期,不断新高,别拿一时的下跌乱喷","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/635470167","repostId":"2219229090","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2776,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":226132,"gmtCreate":1532505093618,"gmtModify":1704897695964,"author":{"id":"2271003572143","authorId":"2271003572143","name":"水云间","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/18df4874cb5a62e96c49cf72ed315d35","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"2271003572143","authorIdStr":"2271003572143"},"themes":[],"title":"营收增长超预期,eps miss","htmlText":"$博实乐教育(BEDU)$ eps miss 2018 Third Fiscal Quarter Financial Highlights","listText":"$博实乐教育(BEDU)$ eps miss 2018 Third Fiscal Quarter Financial Highlights","text":"$博实乐教育(BEDU)$ eps miss 2018 Third Fiscal Quarter Financial Highlights","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/226132","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4384,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3437778105698414","authorId":"3437778105698414","name":"凌波丶微步","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3754fcbf7c996abd0dee10528e834827","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3437778105698414","authorIdStr":"3437778105698414"},"content":"现在可以买入了么?大佬","text":"现在可以买入了么?大佬","html":"现在可以买入了么?大佬"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":173774,"gmtCreate":1522465551373,"gmtModify":1704891112451,"author":{"id":"2271003572143","authorId":"2271003572143","name":"水云间","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/18df4874cb5a62e96c49cf72ed315d35","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"2271003572143","authorIdStr":"2271003572143"},"themes":[],"title":"博实乐毛利率很低建议观望","htmlText":"$博实乐教育(BEDU)$博实乐毛利率很低建议观望,底部在12美金左右。","listText":"$博实乐教育(BEDU)$博实乐毛利率很低建议观望,底部在12美金左右。","text":"$博实乐教育(BEDU)$博实乐毛利率很低建议观望,底部在12美金左右。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/173774","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2042,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":169152,"gmtCreate":1521553497469,"gmtModify":1704890546291,"author":{"id":"2271003572143","authorId":"2271003572143","name":"水云间","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/18df4874cb5a62e96c49cf72ed315d35","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"2271003572143","authorIdStr":"2271003572143"},"themes":[],"title":"好行业但这个公司护城河不强只能按烟蒂股标","htmlText":"$多尼斯(DOGZ)$ 宠物行业好行业,但是这个公司主营收入依赖几个大客户 ,并且产品一般,不能按常规的成长股投,要有更高的安全边际。按格雷厄姆的烟蒂股方法做","listText":"$多尼斯(DOGZ)$ 宠物行业好行业,但是这个公司主营收入依赖几个大客户 ,并且产品一般,不能按常规的成长股投,要有更高的安全边际。按格雷厄姆的烟蒂股方法做","text":"$多尼斯(DOGZ)$ 宠物行业好行业,但是这个公司主营收入依赖几个大客户 ,并且产品一般,不能按常规的成长股投,要有更高的安全边际。按格雷厄姆的烟蒂股方法做","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/169152","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2718,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3484649336230544","authorId":"3484649336230544","name":"凤凰汽车 代号PEV","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/daf149f7608bc7bb679dc0b3518062ee","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3484649336230544","authorIdStr":"3484649336230544"},"content":"多尼斯三个月的解禁期已到,成本价极低的大股东们可以卖了。你知道大股东的成本价是多少吗?","text":"多尼斯三个月的解禁期已到,成本价极低的大股东们可以卖了。你知道大股东的成本价是多少吗?","html":"多尼斯三个月的解禁期已到,成本价极低的大股东们可以卖了。你知道大股东的成本价是多少吗?"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}