Kundla的个人主页 - 老虎社区

Kundla

Kundla

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0勋章

2021-07-01

$Senseonics Holdings,Inc.(SENS)$吼吼

2021-06-30

$Senseonics Holdings,Inc.(SENS)$[微笑] [微笑]

2021-06-29

$Senseonics Holdings,Inc.(SENS)$[微笑] [微笑]

2021-06-28

$Altimeter Growth Corp.(AGC)$吼吼

2021-06-26

$Altimeter Growth Corp.(AGC)$[微笑] [微笑]

2021-06-25

$Altimeter Growth Corp.(AGC)$[举爪] [举爪]

2021-06-23

$Altimeter Growth Corp.(AGC)$⛽️⛽️

2021-06-22

$Altimeter Growth Corp.(AGC)$加油加油💪

2021-06-21

$Altimeter Growth Corp.(AGC)$吼吼

2021-06-20

$Altimeter Growth Corp.(AGC)$加油加油💪

2021-06-18

$Altimeter Growth Corp.(AGC)$加油加油💪

2021-06-17

$Altimeter Growth Corp.(AGC)$佛系佛系

2021-06-15

$Altimeter Growth Corp.(AGC)$加油加油💪

2021-06-13

$Altimeter Growth Corp.(AGC)$雄起雄起

2021-06-11

$Altimeter Growth Corp.(AGC)$静观其变

2021-06-03

$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$加油加油💪即将上岸

2021-05-03

已阅

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-05-01

已阅

有人在大规模下注！鲍威尔8月将在杰克逊霍尔“转鹰”？

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09:23","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"有人在大规模下注！鲍威尔8月将在杰克逊霍尔“转鹰”？","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2131301215","media":"金十数据","summary":"神秘人构建的头寸已经达到12万张合约左右。","content":"<p>野村证券的Charlie McElligott周四提醒市场，<b>过去几天欧洲美元期权市场出现了大笔押注，有投资者预期美联储将在8月底举行的杰克逊霍尔（Jackson Hole）央行年会上转鹰。</b>这可能给市场带来巨大灾难，尤其是短端收益率曲线。</p><p>Charlie McElligott援引了彭博分析师Edward Bolingbroke的发现，后者发现过去几日有一位神秘的投资者在构建大规模的欧洲美元期权交易，似乎是在<b>押注鲍威尔将不得不在8月举行的杰克逊霍尔央行年会上宣布缩表，从而结束美联储的鸽派立场。</b>这一点有别于目前市场上许多分析师的普遍预期，他们普遍预期美联储将在6月转鹰。</p><p><b>为什么选择杰克逊霍尔央行年会呢？</b></p><p>杰克逊霍尔作为每年一度的全球央行年会，其召开一直以来备受市场关注，这是因为历史上全球主要央行领导人多次在该会上释放重要货币政策信号。</p><p>比如2010年、2012年时任美联储主席伯南克分别预示推出QE2和QE3，2014年时任欧洲央行行长德拉基暗示启动QE，去年现任美联储主席鲍威尔在该年会上揭开了新通胀框架的神秘面纱。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bbaf427043a11c1644c406d810b31f4b\" tg-width=\"1382\" tg-height=\"825\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>近年一些美联储官员在杰克逊霍尔央行年会上发表的观点</b></p><p>可以肯定的是，在过去一周中，欧洲美元期权交易突然爆发，如果到8月份美联储关于缩减的讨论增加，这些头寸都将获利。</p><p>Bolinkgbroke解释道，这些是Sep21三年中期曲线期权，是一种风险逆转策略。这些期权将于9月10日到期，也就是美联储在9月22日与随后的11月3日举行政策会议之前，到期日似乎是专门针对杰克逊霍尔央行年会，押注该会议上的缩表信号会令欧洲美元期货重新定价。</p><p>在今年的杰克逊霍尔年会召开之前，投资者已大量押注2024年9月之前美联储的加息步伐会快于预期，尽管这些押注将在9月到期。</p><p>就目前情况而言，<b>欧洲美元期货暗示到2024年9月美联储将加息约五次，或125个基点。</b>上文提到的神秘押注是通过风险逆转进行的新押注，投资者购买了期权，如果利率上升，这些期权将获得回报，同时，如果利率下降，也可通过出售那些从利率下降中获利的期权来抵消损失。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4a0b19d7335d81ab057d12bb9dc3ea3c\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"268\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>这位神秘的投资者买入了看跌期权，目标是3个月期Libor超过2%，相当于大约7次加息，同时，这位投资者卖出了那些瞄准利率低于1%的期权（暗示少于3次加息）。</p><p>这位交易员的身分无从可知，但从上周开始，他已经投入数千万美元，<b>构建的头寸已经达到12万张合约左右</b>，其中本周二2.5万张，本周三2万张。</p><p>截止周四上午，如果市场计价8次加息，他的策略可能产生了大约6000万美元的收益；如果加息预期降至2次，他可能亏损了9000万美元。毫无疑问，这位交易员押注的是前者。</p>","source":"xnew_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" 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href=https://xnews.jin10.com/webapp/details.html?id=73907&type=news><strong>金十数据</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>野村证券的Charlie McElligott周四提醒市场，过去几天欧洲美元期权市场出现了大笔押注，有投资者预期美联储将在8月底举行的杰克逊霍尔（Jackson Hole）央行年会上转鹰。这可能给市场带来巨大灾难，尤其是短端收益率曲线。Charlie McElligott援引了彭博分析师Edward Bolingbroke的发现，后者发现过去几日有一位神秘的投资者在构建大规模的欧洲美元期权交易，...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://xnews.jin10.com/webapp/details.html?id=73907&type=news\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62dafa537afba542bdc43da1b85df8b4","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://xnews.jin10.com/webapp/details.html?id=73907&type=news","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2131301215","content_text":"野村证券的Charlie McElligott周四提醒市场，过去几天欧洲美元期权市场出现了大笔押注，有投资者预期美联储将在8月底举行的杰克逊霍尔（Jackson Hole）央行年会上转鹰。这可能给市场带来巨大灾难，尤其是短端收益率曲线。Charlie McElligott援引了彭博分析师Edward 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Corp.(AGC)$静观其变","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/37232cdfbf1ddf082e8ceaa0f2442d43","width":"1242","height":"1767"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/181005560","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":752,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":101003400,"gmtCreate":1619828349000,"gmtModify":1619828349000,"author":{"id":"3442886995654645","authorId":"3442886995654645","name":"Kundla","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d68e198a388a509d1cec90fc673a1c02","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3442886995654645","authorIdStr":"3442886995654645"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"已阅","listText":"已阅","text":"已阅","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/101003400","repostId":"2131301215","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2131301215","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1619745831,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2131301215?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-30 09:23","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"有人在大规模下注！鲍威尔8月将在杰克逊霍尔“转鹰”？","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2131301215","media":"金十数据","summary":"神秘人构建的头寸已经达到12万张合约左右。","content":"<p>野村证券的Charlie McElligott周四提醒市场，<b>过去几天欧洲美元期权市场出现了大笔押注，有投资者预期美联储将在8月底举行的杰克逊霍尔（Jackson Hole）央行年会上转鹰。</b>这可能给市场带来巨大灾难，尤其是短端收益率曲线。</p><p>Charlie McElligott援引了彭博分析师Edward Bolingbroke的发现，后者发现过去几日有一位神秘的投资者在构建大规模的欧洲美元期权交易，似乎是在<b>押注鲍威尔将不得不在8月举行的杰克逊霍尔央行年会上宣布缩表，从而结束美联储的鸽派立场。</b>这一点有别于目前市场上许多分析师的普遍预期，他们普遍预期美联储将在6月转鹰。</p><p><b>为什么选择杰克逊霍尔央行年会呢？</b></p><p>杰克逊霍尔作为每年一度的全球央行年会，其召开一直以来备受市场关注，这是因为历史上全球主要央行领导人多次在该会上释放重要货币政策信号。</p><p>比如2010年、2012年时任美联储主席伯南克分别预示推出QE2和QE3，2014年时任欧洲央行行长德拉基暗示启动QE，去年现任美联储主席鲍威尔在该年会上揭开了新通胀框架的神秘面纱。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bbaf427043a11c1644c406d810b31f4b\" tg-width=\"1382\" tg-height=\"825\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>近年一些美联储官员在杰克逊霍尔央行年会上发表的观点</b></p><p>可以肯定的是，在过去一周中，欧洲美元期权交易突然爆发，如果到8月份美联储关于缩减的讨论增加，这些头寸都将获利。</p><p>Bolinkgbroke解释道，这些是Sep21三年中期曲线期权，是一种风险逆转策略。这些期权将于9月10日到期，也就是美联储在9月22日与随后的11月3日举行政策会议之前，到期日似乎是专门针对杰克逊霍尔央行年会，押注该会议上的缩表信号会令欧洲美元期货重新定价。</p><p>在今年的杰克逊霍尔年会召开之前，投资者已大量押注2024年9月之前美联储的加息步伐会快于预期，尽管这些押注将在9月到期。</p><p>就目前情况而言，<b>欧洲美元期货暗示到2024年9月美联储将加息约五次，或125个基点。</b>上文提到的神秘押注是通过风险逆转进行的新押注，投资者购买了期权，如果利率上升，这些期权将获得回报，同时，如果利率下降，也可通过出售那些从利率下降中获利的期权来抵消损失。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4a0b19d7335d81ab057d12bb9dc3ea3c\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"268\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>这位神秘的投资者买入了看跌期权，目标是3个月期Libor超过2%，相当于大约7次加息，同时，这位投资者卖出了那些瞄准利率低于1%的期权（暗示少于3次加息）。</p><p>这位交易员的身分无从可知，但从上周开始，他已经投入数千万美元，<b>构建的头寸已经达到12万张合约左右</b>，其中本周二2.5万张，本周三2万张。</p><p>截止周四上午，如果市场计价8次加息，他的策略可能产生了大约6000万美元的收益；如果加息预期降至2次，他可能亏损了9000万美元。毫无疑问，这位交易员押注的是前者。</p>","source":"xnew_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" 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display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n有人在大规模下注！鲍威尔8月将在杰克逊霍尔“转鹰”？\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-04-30 09:23 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://xnews.jin10.com/webapp/details.html?id=73907&type=news><strong>金十数据</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>野村证券的Charlie McElligott周四提醒市场，过去几天欧洲美元期权市场出现了大笔押注，有投资者预期美联储将在8月底举行的杰克逊霍尔（Jackson Hole）央行年会上转鹰。这可能给市场带来巨大灾难，尤其是短端收益率曲线。Charlie McElligott援引了彭博分析师Edward Bolingbroke的发现，后者发现过去几日有一位神秘的投资者在构建大规模的欧洲美元期权交易，...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://xnews.jin10.com/webapp/details.html?id=73907&type=news\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62dafa537afba542bdc43da1b85df8b4","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://xnews.jin10.com/webapp/details.html?id=73907&type=news","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2131301215","content_text":"野村证券的Charlie McElligott周四提醒市场，过去几天欧洲美元期权市场出现了大笔押注，有投资者预期美联储将在8月底举行的杰克逊霍尔（Jackson Hole）央行年会上转鹰。这可能给市场带来巨大灾难，尤其是短端收益率曲线。Charlie McElligott援引了彭博分析师Edward Bolingbroke的发现，后者发现过去几日有一位神秘的投资者在构建大规模的欧洲美元期权交易，似乎是在押注鲍威尔将不得不在8月举行的杰克逊霍尔央行年会上宣布缩表，从而结束美联储的鸽派立场。这一点有别于目前市场上许多分析师的普遍预期，他们普遍预期美联储将在6月转鹰。为什么选择杰克逊霍尔央行年会呢？杰克逊霍尔作为每年一度的全球央行年会，其召开一直以来备受市场关注，这是因为历史上全球主要央行领导人多次在该会上释放重要货币政策信号。比如2010年、2012年时任美联储主席伯南克分别预示推出QE2和QE3，2014年时任欧洲央行行长德拉基暗示启动QE，去年现任美联储主席鲍威尔在该年会上揭开了新通胀框架的神秘面纱。近年一些美联储官员在杰克逊霍尔央行年会上发表的观点可以肯定的是，在过去一周中，欧洲美元期权交易突然爆发，如果到8月份美联储关于缩减的讨论增加，这些头寸都将获利。Bolinkgbroke解释道，这些是Sep21三年中期曲线期权，是一种风险逆转策略。这些期权将于9月10日到期，也就是美联储在9月22日与随后的11月3日举行政策会议之前，到期日似乎是专门针对杰克逊霍尔央行年会，押注该会议上的缩表信号会令欧洲美元期货重新定价。在今年的杰克逊霍尔年会召开之前，投资者已大量押注2024年9月之前美联储的加息步伐会快于预期，尽管这些押注将在9月到期。就目前情况而言，欧洲美元期货暗示到2024年9月美联储将加息约五次，或125个基点。上文提到的神秘押注是通过风险逆转进行的新押注，投资者购买了期权，如果利率上升，这些期权将获得回报，同时，如果利率下降，也可通过出售那些从利率下降中获利的期权来抵消损失。这位神秘的投资者买入了看跌期权，目标是3个月期Libor超过2%，相当于大约7次加息，同时，这位投资者卖出了那些瞄准利率低于1%的期权（暗示少于3次加息）。这位交易员的身分无从可知，但从上周开始，他已经投入数千万美元，构建的头寸已经达到12万张合约左右，其中本周二2.5万张，本周三2万张。截止周四上午，如果市场计价8次加息，他的策略可能产生了大约6000万美元的收益；如果加息预期降至2次，他可能亏损了9000万美元。毫无疑问，这位交易员押注的是前者。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"161125":0.9,"513500":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"DDM":0.9,"DJX":0.9,"DOG":0.9,"DXD":0.9,"ESmain":0.9,"MNQmain":0.9,"NQmain":0.9,"IVV":0.9,"OEF":0.9,"OEX":0.9,"PSQ":0.9,"QID":0.9,"QLD":0.9,"QQQ":0.9,"SDOW":0.9,"SDS":0.9,"SH":0.9,"SPXU":0.9,"SPY":0.9,"SQQQ":0.9,"SSO":0.9,"TQQQ":0.9,"UDOW":0.9,"UPRO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":831,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}