Little Rose的个人主页 - 老虎社区

Little Rose

Little Rose

一年开仓5次

IP属地：上海

28关注

39粉丝

1主题

0勋章

06-10

$美图公司(01357)$ 今天你最争气，开心🥳

05-22

$泡泡玛特(09992)$ 真的强啊，家里小朋友买了一面墙，也算做业绩[流泪]

05-08

$谷歌(GOOG)$ 没看明白，所以买了，记录一下吧

04-07

$苹果(AAPL)$ 溜了溜了

04-07

$英伟达(NVDA)$ 溜了溜了

03-27

$美图公司(01357)$ 同时看好你和泡泡玛特，偏偏你最不争气

03-18

$美图公司(01357)$ 财报呢

2024-11-12

$Marathon Digital Holdings Inc(MARA)$ 再见少年拉满弓，不惧岁月不惧风埋了好久的Call，今天终于拉起来了！激动！！！

2024-02-08

$ARM Holdings Ltd(ARM)$ 赌了那么多次财报，第一次做成这样的收益，记录一下，小赌怡情，新年博个好彩头吧

2024-01-20

$英伟达(NVDA)$ 钟摆摆不回来了，有意思

2024-01-20

$Marathon Digital Holdings Inc(MARA)$ 先看到10元左右

2024-01-12

$Marathon Digital Holdings Inc(MARA)$ 手法彪悍，还挺爽！

2023-07-19

强👍

阿斯麦第二季度净销售额69亿欧元超预期，上调财年指引

2023-07-14

$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 主做特斯拉和RIOT这两只，正股+期权的操作，复盘了一下，和股价的涨幅相比，做的并不好[流泪]

2023-05-28

哈哈

美债违约危局：初步协议达成，但警报远未解除

2023-04-12

$Riot Blockchain, Inc.(RIOT)$ 正股40%的盈利，落袋了

2023-03-14

$阿莱恩斯西部银行(WAL)$ 正股第一次做成这种收益，还是略激动，记录一下

2022-12-22

$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 机会是跌出来的

2022-09-01

$英伟达(NVDA)$买

2022-06-03

好酷

抱歉，原内容已删除

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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13:03","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"阿斯麦第二季度净销售额69亿欧元超预期，上调财年指引","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1120309435","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"7月19日，阿斯麦第二季度净销售额为69亿欧元，预期为66.9亿欧元；第二季度订单额45亿欧元，市场预计39.8亿欧元。ASML上调财年指引，预计净销售增幅迈向30％。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>7月19日，阿斯麦发布财报，财报显示：ASML第二季度净销售额为69亿欧元，预期为66.9亿欧元；第二季度订单额45亿欧元，市场预计39.8亿欧元。</p><p>ASML上调财年指引，预计净销售增幅迈向30％。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/29b71dd88e43765e89a9ec27e2ad88e0\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"871\" tg-height=\"278\"/></p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94e7e0e12cbb26d2dab07733dfb40806\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1149\" tg-height=\"728\"/></p><p>该公司首席执行官Peter Wennink表示：“由于宏观经济的不确定性持续存在，我们不同细分市场的客户目前更为谨慎，因此预计市场将在稍晚复苏。“然而，我们约380亿欧元的强劲积压订单为我们应对这些短期不确定性提供了良好的基础。”</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Wennink称，电脑芯片市场某些领域的低迷似乎正在触底。在美国，ASML的积压订单仍然大于公司的供应能力，该公司正在扩大生产。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>阿斯麦第二季度净销售额69亿欧元超预期，上调财年指引</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; 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}\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n阿斯麦第二季度净销售额69亿欧元超预期，上调财年指引\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2023-07-19 13:03</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>7月19日，阿斯麦发布财报，财报显示：ASML第二季度净销售额为69亿欧元，预期为66.9亿欧元；第二季度订单额45亿欧元，市场预计39.8亿欧元。</p><p>ASML上调财年指引，预计净销售增幅迈向30％。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/29b71dd88e43765e89a9ec27e2ad88e0\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"871\" tg-height=\"278\"/></p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94e7e0e12cbb26d2dab07733dfb40806\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1149\" tg-height=\"728\"/></p><p>该公司首席执行官Peter Wennink表示：“由于宏观经济的不确定性持续存在，我们不同细分市场的客户目前更为谨慎，因此预计市场将在稍晚复苏。“然而，我们约380亿欧元的强劲积压订单为我们应对这些短期不确定性提供了良好的基础。”</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Wennink称，电脑芯片市场某些领域的低迷似乎正在触底。在美国，ASML的积压订单仍然大于公司的供应能力，该公司正在扩大生产。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c9a5bf70230b34046657c91800556952","relate_stocks":{"ASML":"阿斯麦"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1120309435","content_text":"7月19日，阿斯麦发布财报，财报显示：ASML第二季度净销售额为69亿欧元，预期为66.9亿欧元；第二季度订单额45亿欧元，市场预计39.8亿欧元。ASML上调财年指引，预计净销售增幅迈向30％。该公司首席执行官Peter Wennink表示：“由于宏观经济的不确定性持续存在，我们不同细分市场的客户目前更为谨慎，因此预计市场将在稍晚复苏。“然而，我们约380亿欧元的强劲积压订单为我们应对这些短期不确定性提供了良好的基础。”Wennink称，电脑芯片市场某些领域的低迷似乎正在触底。在美国，ASML的积压订单仍然大于公司的供应能力，该公司正在扩大生产。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ASML":1.1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2193,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":197577608712432,"gmtCreate":1689266509092,"gmtModify":1689266510972,"author":{"id":"3463715824258773","authorId":"3463715824258773","name":"Little Rose","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fccd562d14af6853e41e6497c7bcb910","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3463715824258773","authorIdStr":"3463715824258773"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$&nbsp;</a>主做特斯拉和RIOT这两只，正股+期权的操作，复盘了一下，和股价的涨幅相比，做的并不好[流泪]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$&nbsp;</a>主做特斯拉和RIOT这两只，正股+期权的操作，复盘了一下，和股价的涨幅相比，做的并不好[流泪]&nbsp;","text":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 主做特斯拉和RIOT这两只，正股+期权的操作，复盘了一下，和股价的涨幅相比，做的并不好[流泪]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5234d412a5ed8cd558f1cd6123fd5d84","width":"652","height":"742"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/197577608712432","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3182,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4100517425095450","authorId":"4100517425095450","name":"无情的交易机器","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe4c3469b049b5cd16092b7b85f2e3c2","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"4100517425095450","authorIdStr":"4100517425095450"},"content":"一百多的低点满仓特斯拉，拿到现在不出手，才有这个收益。几个人能做到啊。","text":"一百多的低点满仓特斯拉，拿到现在不出手，才有这个收益。几个人能做到啊。","html":"一百多的低点满仓特斯拉，拿到现在不出手，才有这个收益。几个人能做到啊。"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":655382546,"gmtCreate":1685280303385,"gmtModify":1685280304717,"author":{"id":"3463715824258773","authorId":"3463715824258773","name":"Little 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justify;\">经过数周的激烈谈判，美国两党终于在周六晚间就解决美国债务上限问题达成“原则性协议”。不过，这份协议还需得到美国国会的快速通过，才能真正解除本次美债违约的“警报”。而这，又将是一场“恶仗”。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">在协议初步达成后，拜登表示，对他而言这代表了“妥协”，而共和党籍的众议院议长麦卡锡则表示，协议“在开支方面做了历史性的削减”。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">回顾本轮美债上限博弈，不难发现双方的矛盾点在于，共和党人希望在调整债务上限的同时，达成大幅削减政府开支的协议；而民主党人则坚持相对独立地调整债务上限，不愿在削减开支方面做出太大让步。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">不少分析认为，这份妥协的产物恐怕既无法满足共和党内立场更为激进的议员，又无法令民主党左翼感到满意：</p><blockquote>“几乎可以肯定的是，一揽子计划中的削减措施既过于温和，无法赢得强硬保守派的投票，又过于严厉，无法赢得众议院激进派的投票。”</blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">因此，不少媒体评论称，该协议在参众两院的前景可能都将“崎岖不平”。央视新闻援引《华盛顿邮报》评论称，短时间内在当前这个“容易陷入困境且分裂的”国会通过协议是一项“艰难的任务”。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">按麦卡锡给出的时间表，众议院将在下周三（5月31日）进行投票，随后送往参议院过会。而美国财政部本周五曾表示，如果美国国会不能及时通过协议，政府将会在6月5日出现债务违约。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">因此，美国国会必须成功在“X Date”前投票通过相关法案，才能避免美国出现债务违约。如果下周两院投票“稍有差池”，美债“技术性违约”的潜在风险就远远谈不上消失。</p><h2>“两党合作”是必须，“搞定刺头”是关键</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">2022年中期选举后，民主党和共和党分别控制着美国会参议院和众议院，因此两党必须达成“合作”，才有可能使相关法案在两院都获得通过。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">不过，如前所述，双方的矛盾点在于，双方党内激进派议员可能很难就法案达成让步，来自每个党派的参议员可能会找到不同的理由反对该法案——部分极右翼共和党人可能会认为支出削减不够充分，而部分民主党左翼政客可能会觉得他们向共和党人让步太多。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">因此，在拜登和麦卡锡达成“两党合作”的基础上，能否搞定这些“刺头”议员，是解决问题的关键。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">据Politico此前报道，白宫官员曾非正式地计算过，在失去共和党一部分选票的情况下，<strong>麦卡锡可能需要获得多达100张民主党选票，才能以确保最终的债务上限协议取得218多数票——确保协议能够在众议院获得通过。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">值得一提的是，如果法案在众议院严重遇阻，民主党人还可以采取一种很少使用的紧急策略——“解除请愿书”，以“清洁”调整，不应该有附加条件的方式对债务上限进行投票。不过，这项议会策略更是希望渺茫——尽管民主党人支持这一做法，但需要说服足够多的共和党多数派加入，否则无法成功。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">此外，拜登可以尝试援引美国宪法第14修正案的未经检验的法律理论，该修正案规定“美国公共债务的有效性……不得被质疑”，从而为他授权更多借款扫清了道路。不过，这可能会立即在法庭上受到质疑。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">如果在众议院获得通过，该法案将提交参议院。<strong>在参议院，这项法案需要至少9名共和党人的支持，才能取得100票中的60票支持，从而继续推动立法。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">媒体分析称，在民主党控制的参议院，多数党领袖查克·舒默(Chuck Schumer)对该法案何时进行投票拥有完全控制权。但是，个别参议员可以通过坚持程序性操作来延缓这一进程，包括就是否开始辩论先进行30个小时的辩论，以及就法案本身再进行30个小时的辩论。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">而参议院需要在不改变众议院议案的情况下通过该法案。否则，它将不得不被打回众议院重新开始新一轮投票。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">值得一提的是，如果参议院出现50-50的平局，副总统卡玛拉·哈里斯可以投票以51-50通过。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">只有在参众两院都取得通过后，该协议方能提交白宫，由拜登签署成为法律。而只有快速完成这一立法，本次美债违约的“警报”才能顺利解除。</p><h2>本轮“美债上限博弈”时间线</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">2023年1月13日，美国财政部长耶伦致信国会称，美国将在1月19日触及31.4万亿美元的法定债务上限，财政部将开始采取一些“非常措施”，现金和“非常措施”可能会支持到6月初。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">值得一提的是，美债触及上限并不罕见，但这次市场恐慌情绪之浓较为罕见。究其原因，可能和当前美国极其紧缩的货币政策、地区银行危机与衰退预期有关。而美财长耶伦的频频提醒，又进一步点燃了这一恐慌。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">1月13日耶伦致信国会将会在1月19日采取“非常措施”；4月25日，美财长耶伦发表演讲，警告美债上限不解决会产生严重后果；5月1日和5月15日，耶伦致信国会，正式警告违约日期比预期更早；5月27日，耶伦又警告称表示，如果美国国会不能及时通过协议，政府将会在6月5日出现债务违约。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">5月27日晚，美国总统拜登和国会共和党领袖麦卡锡已就提高联邦政府31.4万亿美元的债务上限达成原则性协议，媒体援引知情人士消息报道，<strong>双方谈判代表同意将美国联邦债务上限提高两年，同时将削减和限制两年内部分政府支出，非国防支出在2年内保持接近持平</strong>，协议中并未提及2025年后的预算上限，宣布具体法案于5月31日交由众议院表决。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">据白宫的一个机构经济顾问委员会估计，如果美债发生违约，美国股市将暴跌 45%。另据穆迪估计，若美债违约，那么美国失业率将飙升5个百分点，这意味着大约800万美国人失业。同时，受债务上限限制的政府将无法通过财政刺激应对经济低迷，从而导致更严重的衰退。</p></body></html>","source":"wallstreetcn_api","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>美债违约危局：初步协议达成，但警报远未解除</title>\n<style 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}\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n美债违约危局：初步协议达成，但警报远未解除\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-05-28 20:21 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3689787><strong>华尔街见闻</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>闯关国会，又是一场“恶仗”。经过数周的激烈谈判，美国两党终于在周六晚间就解决美国债务上限问题达成“原则性协议”。不过，这份协议还需得到美国国会的快速通过，才能真正解除本次美债违约的“警报”。而这，又将是一场“恶仗”。在协议初步达成后，拜登表示，对他而言这代表了“妥协”，而共和党籍的众议院议长麦卡锡则表示，协议“在开支方面做了历史性的削减”。回顾本轮美债上限博弈，不难发现双方的矛盾点在于，共和党人...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3689787\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/41f81b99b97a59da55dd70fd1af475cb","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3689787","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1169636070","content_text":"闯关国会，又是一场“恶仗”。经过数周的激烈谈判，美国两党终于在周六晚间就解决美国债务上限问题达成“原则性协议”。不过，这份协议还需得到美国国会的快速通过，才能真正解除本次美债违约的“警报”。而这，又将是一场“恶仗”。在协议初步达成后，拜登表示，对他而言这代表了“妥协”，而共和党籍的众议院议长麦卡锡则表示，协议“在开支方面做了历史性的削减”。回顾本轮美债上限博弈，不难发现双方的矛盾点在于，共和党人希望在调整债务上限的同时，达成大幅削减政府开支的协议；而民主党人则坚持相对独立地调整债务上限，不愿在削减开支方面做出太大让步。不少分析认为，这份妥协的产物恐怕既无法满足共和党内立场更为激进的议员，又无法令民主党左翼感到满意：“几乎可以肯定的是，一揽子计划中的削减措施既过于温和，无法赢得强硬保守派的投票，又过于严厉，无法赢得众议院激进派的投票。”因此，不少媒体评论称，该协议在参众两院的前景可能都将“崎岖不平”。央视新闻援引《华盛顿邮报》评论称，短时间内在当前这个“容易陷入困境且分裂的”国会通过协议是一项“艰难的任务”。按麦卡锡给出的时间表，众议院将在下周三（5月31日）进行投票，随后送往参议院过会。而美国财政部本周五曾表示，如果美国国会不能及时通过协议，政府将会在6月5日出现债务违约。因此，美国国会必须成功在“X Date”前投票通过相关法案，才能避免美国出现债务违约。如果下周两院投票“稍有差池”，美债“技术性违约”的潜在风险就远远谈不上消失。“两党合作”是必须，“搞定刺头”是关键2022年中期选举后，民主党和共和党分别控制着美国会参议院和众议院，因此两党必须达成“合作”，才有可能使相关法案在两院都获得通过。不过，如前所述，双方的矛盾点在于，双方党内激进派议员可能很难就法案达成让步，来自每个党派的参议员可能会找到不同的理由反对该法案——部分极右翼共和党人可能会认为支出削减不够充分，而部分民主党左翼政客可能会觉得他们向共和党人让步太多。因此，在拜登和麦卡锡达成“两党合作”的基础上，能否搞定这些“刺头”议员，是解决问题的关键。据Politico此前报道，白宫官员曾非正式地计算过，在失去共和党一部分选票的情况下，麦卡锡可能需要获得多达100张民主党选票，才能以确保最终的债务上限协议取得218多数票——确保协议能够在众议院获得通过。值得一提的是，如果法案在众议院严重遇阻，民主党人还可以采取一种很少使用的紧急策略——“解除请愿书”，以“清洁”调整，不应该有附加条件的方式对债务上限进行投票。不过，这项议会策略更是希望渺茫——尽管民主党人支持这一做法，但需要说服足够多的共和党多数派加入，否则无法成功。此外，拜登可以尝试援引美国宪法第14修正案的未经检验的法律理论，该修正案规定“美国公共债务的有效性……不得被质疑”，从而为他授权更多借款扫清了道路。不过，这可能会立即在法庭上受到质疑。如果在众议院获得通过，该法案将提交参议院。在参议院，这项法案需要至少9名共和党人的支持，才能取得100票中的60票支持，从而继续推动立法。媒体分析称，在民主党控制的参议院，多数党领袖查克·舒默(Chuck Schumer)对该法案何时进行投票拥有完全控制权。但是，个别参议员可以通过坚持程序性操作来延缓这一进程，包括就是否开始辩论先进行30个小时的辩论，以及就法案本身再进行30个小时的辩论。而参议院需要在不改变众议院议案的情况下通过该法案。否则，它将不得不被打回众议院重新开始新一轮投票。值得一提的是，如果参议院出现50-50的平局，副总统卡玛拉·哈里斯可以投票以51-50通过。只有在参众两院都取得通过后，该协议方能提交白宫，由拜登签署成为法律。而只有快速完成这一立法，本次美债违约的“警报”才能顺利解除。本轮“美债上限博弈”时间线2023年1月13日，美国财政部长耶伦致信国会称，美国将在1月19日触及31.4万亿美元的法定债务上限，财政部将开始采取一些“非常措施”，现金和“非常措施”可能会支持到6月初。值得一提的是，美债触及上限并不罕见，但这次市场恐慌情绪之浓较为罕见。究其原因，可能和当前美国极其紧缩的货币政策、地区银行危机与衰退预期有关。而美财长耶伦的频频提醒，又进一步点燃了这一恐慌。1月13日耶伦致信国会将会在1月19日采取“非常措施”；4月25日，美财长耶伦发表演讲，警告美债上限不解决会产生严重后果；5月1日和5月15日，耶伦致信国会，正式警告违约日期比预期更早；5月27日，耶伦又警告称表示，如果美国国会不能及时通过协议，政府将会在6月5日出现债务违约。5月27日晚，美国总统拜登和国会共和党领袖麦卡锡已就提高联邦政府31.4万亿美元的债务上限达成原则性协议，媒体援引知情人士消息报道，双方谈判代表同意将美国联邦债务上限提高两年，同时将削减和限制两年内部分政府支出，非国防支出在2年内保持接近持平，协议中并未提及2025年后的预算上限，宣布具体法案于5月31日交由众议院表决。据白宫的一个机构经济顾问委员会估计，如果美债发生违约，美国股市将暴跌 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14:47</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><blockquote>俄罗斯央行将关键利率提升至20%</blockquote><p>俄罗斯央行表示，加息是为了抵消卢布贬值和通胀风险的增加；已准备好采取进一步调整利率。此前俄罗斯央行将基准利率从9.5%提升至20%。</p><p>俄罗斯中央银行：俄罗斯央行行长纳比乌琳娜将于格林尼治时间周一13点（北京时间21点）举行新闻发布会。</p><p>更多俄乌局势日程一览<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5468bc94c2bc0a19a7775c84f65a7392\" tg-width=\"821\" tg-height=\"420\" 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